FIRO

Firo · native · beta_5y

token id: #950
symbol: FIRO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,138

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

54.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2966

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0681

actual +0.0396

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.9131	0.812291	-11.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-21	oos	0.8476	0.76032	-10.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-20	oos	0.8371	0.751962	-10.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-19	oos	0.8963	0.800122	-10.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-18	oos	0.9173	0.816734	-10.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.8812	0.790177	-10.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-16	oos	0.922	0.822733	-10.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-15	oos	0.9549	0.847212	-11.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-14	oos	0.93775	0.833508	-11.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-13	oos	1.0017	0.88153	-12.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-12	oos	1.0128	0.887582	-12.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-11	oos	0.9873	0.869213	-11.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-10	oos	0.9798	0.862756	-11.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-09	oos	0.9222	0.81982	-11.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-08	oos	0.8936	0.799855	-10.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-07	oos	0.99505	0.883696	-11.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-06	oos	0.9847	0.880255	-10.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-05	oos	1.0559	0.941063	-10.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-04	oos	1.1169	0.992693	-11.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-03	oos	1.0857	0.963831	-11.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-02	oos	1.0794	0.957561	-11.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-01	oos	1.0735	0.952007	-11.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-30	oos	1.0859	0.961164	-11.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-29	oos	1.0804	0.953959	-11.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-28	oos	1.2496	1.0979	-12.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-27	oos	1.2486	1.098	-12.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-09-26	oos	1.2486	1.0977	-12.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	1.3131	1.1523	-12.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	1.2151	1.0763	-11.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.73
2026-09-23	oos	1.2796	1.1291	-11.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.73
2026-09-22	oos	1.3302	1.1727	-11.84%	0.9131	-31.36%	0.2338	✓	0.71
2026-09-21	oos	1.2501	1.1138	-10.91%	0.8476	-32.20%	0.2386	✓	0.75
2026-09-20	oos	1.1219	0.999837	-10.88%	0.8371	-25.39%	0.1918	✓	0.65
2026-09-19	oos	1.217	1.0724	-11.88%	0.8963	-26.35%	0.1841	✓	0.64
2026-09-18	oos	1.199	1.0498	-12.44%	0.9173	-23.49%	0.1436	✓	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.9257	0.837705	-9.51%	0.8812	-4.81%	0.0348	✓	0.25
2026-09-16	oos	0.8081	0.744624	-7.86%	0.922	+14.09%	0.1974	✗	0.24
2026-09-15	oos	0.8086	0.742797	-8.14%	0.9549	+18.09%	0.2290	✗	0.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.7633	0.706621	-7.43%	0.93775	+22.85%	0.2679	✗	0.36
2026-09-13	oos	0.7143	0.66763	-6.53%	1.0017	+40.24%	0.3800	✗	0.33
2026-09-12	oos	0.7453	0.694724	-6.79%	1.0128	+35.88%	0.3590	✗	0.32
2026-09-11	oos	0.7486	0.699448	-6.57%	0.9873	+31.89%	0.3194	✗	0.31
2026-09-10	oos	0.73085	0.687519	-5.93%	0.9798	+34.06%	0.3291	✗	0.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.77315	0.723672	-6.40%	0.9222	+19.28%	0.2279	✗	0.27
2026-09-08	oos	0.8507	0.786413	-7.56%	0.8936	+5.04%	0.1167	✗	0.27
2026-09-07	oos	0.8843	0.814927	-7.84%	0.99505	+12.52%	0.1860	✗	0.26
2026-09-06	oos	1.0139	0.912827	-9.97%	0.9847	-2.88%	0.0638	✓	0.19
2026-09-05	oos	0.88455	0.821141	-7.17%	1.0559	+19.38%	0.2392	✗	0.17
2026-09-04	oos	0.6999	0.674014	-3.70%	1.1169	+59.58%	0.4944	✗	0.13
2026-09-03	oos	0.6648	0.657709	-1.07%	1.0857	+63.31%	0.4943	✗	0.17
2026-09-02	oos	0.6575	0.660679	+0.48%	1.0794	+64.16%	0.4672	✓	0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.6566	0.667582	+1.67%	1.0735	+63.49%	0.4494	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.6867	0.70256	+2.31%	1.0859	+58.14%	0.4205	✓	0.24
2026-08-30	oos	0.6726	0.692062	+2.89%	1.0804	+60.63%	0.4244	✓	0.28
2026-08-29	oos	0.6713	0.695643	+3.63%	1.2496	+86.15%	0.5692	✓	0.26
2026-08-28	oos	0.6639	0.692699	+4.34%	1.2486	+88.07%	0.5682	✓	0.26
2026-08-27	oos	0.6748	0.714085	+5.82%	1.2486	+85.03%	0.5463	✓	0.25
2026-08-26	oos	0.6745	0.709851	+5.24%	1.3131	+94.67%	0.5997	✓	0.25
2026-08-25	oos	0.6911	0.726146	+5.07%	1.2151	+75.82%	0.4971	✓	0.25
2026-08-24	oos	0.676	0.717215	+6.10%	1.2796	+89.29%	0.5614	✓	0.26
2026-08-23	oos	0.7136	0.740585	+3.78%	1.3302	+86.41%	0.5544	✓	0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.7006	0.730711	+4.30%	1.2501	+78.43%	0.5021	✓	0.30
2026-08-21	oos	0.6643	0.708937	+6.72%	1.1219	+68.88%	0.4471	✓	0.33
2026-08-20	oos	0.6627	0.679955	+2.60%	1.217	+83.64%	0.5435	✓	0.36
2026-08-19	oos	0.6468	0.645093	-0.26%	1.199	+85.37%	0.5654	✗	0.35
2026-08-18	oos	0.6224	0.602505	-3.20%	0.9257	+48.73%	0.3801	✗	0.30
2026-08-17	oos	0.6235	0.602615	-3.35%	0.8081	+29.61%	0.2384	✗	0.33
2026-08-16	oos	0.6239	0.598287	-4.11%	0.8086	+29.60%	0.2392	✗	0.34
2026-08-15	oos	0.6215	0.596858	-3.96%	0.7633	+22.82%	0.1743	✗	0.33
2026-08-14	oos	0.629	0.603189	-4.10%	0.7143	+13.56%	0.0981	✗	0.36
2026-08-13	oos	0.6267	0.601573	-4.01%	0.7453	+18.92%	0.1344	✗	0.40
2026-08-12	oos	0.6273	0.602459	-3.96%	0.7486	+19.34%	0.1317	✗	0.43
2026-08-11	oos	0.6415	0.614578	-4.20%	0.73085	+13.93%	0.0828	✗	0.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.6254	0.601632	-3.80%	0.77315	+23.62%	0.1393	✗	0.55
2026-08-09	oos	0.6305	0.609021	-3.41%	0.8507	+34.92%	0.2433	✗	0.48
2026-08-08	oos	0.6489	0.625659	-3.58%	0.8843	+36.28%	0.2516	✗	0.48
2026-08-07	oos	0.6318	0.611466	-3.22%	1.0139	+60.48%	0.4022	✗	0.48
2026-08-06	oos	0.6206	0.60119	-3.13%	0.88455	+42.53%	0.2827	✗	0.48
2026-08-05	oos	0.6237	0.604809	-3.03%	0.6999	+12.22%	0.0458	✗	0.48
2026-08-04	oos	0.6509	0.626639	-3.73%	0.6648	+2.14%	0.0563	✓	0.48
2026-08-03	oos	0.656	0.629273	-4.07%	0.6575	+0.23%	0.0616	✓	0.53
2026-08-02	oos	0.6586	0.632247	-4.00%	0.6566	-0.30%	0.0789	✓	0.59
2026-08-01	oos	0.6603	0.632092	-4.27%	0.6867	+4.00%	0.0509	✓	0.60
2026-07-31	oos	0.6649	0.636877	-4.21%	0.6726	+1.16%	0.0718	✓	0.60
2026-07-30	oos	0.6688	0.646682	-3.31%	0.6713	+0.37%	0.0799	✓	0.62
2026-07-29	oos	0.6391	0.62204	-2.67%	0.6639	+3.88%	0.0566	✓	0.62
2026-07-28	oos	0.6317	0.620643	-1.75%	0.6748	+6.82%	0.0578	✓	0.62
2026-07-27	oos	0.6857	0.668712	-2.48%	0.6745	-1.63%	0.1311	✓	0.65
2026-07-26	oos	0.666	0.658892	-1.07%	0.6911	+3.77%	0.0744	✓	0.66
2026-07-25	oos	0.6855	0.675005	-1.53%	0.676	-1.39%	0.1479	✓	0.73
2026-07-24	oos	0.75	0.727318	-3.02%	0.7136	-4.85%	0.1772	✓	0.82
2026-07-23	oos	0.6247	0.627604	+0.46%	0.7006	+12.15%	0.0450	✗	0.92
2026-07-22	oos	0.6896	0.687071	-0.37%	0.6643	-3.67%	0.1851	✓	0.89
2026-07-21	oos	0.651	0.657539	+1.00%	0.6627	+1.80%	0.0759	✗	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.6351	0.639523	+0.70%	0.6468	+1.84%	0.0448	✗	0.92
2026-07-19	oos	0.6101	0.615948	+0.96%	0.6224	+2.02%	0.0104	✓	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.6132	0.618728	+0.90%	0.6235	+1.68%	0.0121	✓	0.90
2026-07-17	oos	0.6091	0.612931	+0.63%	0.6239	+2.43%	0.0326	✓	0.89
2026-07-16	oos	0.6314	0.633872	+0.39%	0.6215	-1.57%	0.0092	✗	0.89
2026-07-15	oos	0.6589	0.659598	+0.11%	0.629	-4.54%	0.0220	✗	0.93
2026-07-14	oos	0.6501	0.652979	+0.44%	0.6267	-3.60%	0.0186	✗	0.92
2026-07-13	oos	0.636	0.633239	-0.43%	0.6273	-1.37%	0.0265	✓	0.93
2026-07-12	oos	0.6463	0.645382	-0.14%	0.6415	-0.74%	0.0029	✓	0.94
2026-07-11	oos	0.6453	0.644263	-0.16%	0.6254	-3.08%	0.0317	✓	0.91
2026-07-10	oos	0.6517	0.649643	-0.32%	0.6305	-3.25%	0.0401	✓	0.91
2026-07-09	oos	0.6119	0.613407	+0.25%	0.6489	+6.05%	0.0320	✓	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	0.6209	0.620424	-0.08%	0.6318	+1.76%	0.0208	✓	0.93
2026-07-07	oos	0.6265	0.628033	+0.24%	0.6206	-0.94%	0.0257	✗	0.94
2026-07-06	oos	0.63	0.632286	+0.36%	0.6237	-1.00%	0.0224	✗	0.94
2026-07-05	oos	0.6357	0.637012	+0.21%	0.6509	+2.39%	0.0146	✓	0.95
2026-07-04	oos	0.6459	0.644683	-0.19%	0.656	+1.56%	0.0117	✗	0.95
2026-07-03	oos	0.6386	0.637311	-0.20%	0.6586	+3.13%	0.0187	✗	0.91
2026-07-02	oos	0.6473	0.643699	-0.56%	0.6603	+2.01%	0.0065	✗	0.92
2026-07-01	oos	0.6503	0.643741	-1.01%	0.6649	+2.25%	0.0117	✓	0.94
2026-06-30	oos	0.6606	0.649589	-1.67%	0.6688	+1.24%	0.0677	✓	0.96
2026-06-29	oos	0.642	0.636368	-0.88%	0.6391	-0.45%	0.0561	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.6702	0.659358	-1.62%	0.6317	-5.74%	0.1143	✓	1.01
2026-06-27	oos	0.6664	0.655762	-1.60%	0.6857	+2.90%	0.0158	✓	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.6523	0.642877	-1.44%	0.666	+2.10%	0.0492	✓	0.99
2026-06-25	oos	0.6487	0.639362	-1.44%	0.6855	+5.67%	0.0039	✓	0.99
2026-06-24	oos	0.653	0.644303	-1.33%	0.75	+14.85%	0.1029	✗	0.99
2026-06-23	oos	0.6854	0.674289	-1.62%	0.6247	-8.86%	0.1157	✓	1.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.6992	0.687247	-1.71%	0.6896	-1.37%	0.0314	✓	1.06
2026-06-21	oos	0.7204	0.703617	-2.33%	0.651	-9.63%	0.1322	✓	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.7058	0.691214	-2.07%	0.6351	-10.02%	0.1012	✓	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.7008	0.685944	-2.12%	0.6101	-12.94%	0.1381	✓	1.11
2026-06-18	oos	0.7193	0.701194	-2.52%	0.6132	-14.75%	0.1671	✓	1.10
2026-06-17	oos	0.7489	0.726211	-3.03%	0.6091	-18.67%	0.1664	✓	1.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.7709	0.743946	-3.50%	0.6314	-18.10%	0.1328	✓	1.09
2026-06-15	oos	0.7762	0.746581	-3.82%	0.6589	-15.11%	0.1000	✓	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.7691	0.739537	-3.84%	0.6501	-15.47%	0.1173	✓	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.7705	0.738592	-4.14%	0.636	-17.46%	0.1126	✓	1.08
2026-06-12	oos	0.756	0.724784	-4.13%	0.6463	-14.51%	0.1180	✓	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.732	0.70389	-3.84%	0.6453	-11.84%	0.0904	✓	1.08
2026-06-10	oos	0.7157	0.689934	-3.60%	0.6517	-8.94%	0.1034	✓	1.09
2026-06-09	oos	0.7293	0.699337	-4.11%	0.6119	-16.10%	0.1597	✓	1.09
2026-06-08	oos	0.7329	0.700471	-4.42%	0.6209	-15.28%	0.1061	✓	1.10
2026-06-07	oos	0.7127	0.683241	-4.13%	0.6265	-12.09%	0.0870	✓	1.04
2026-06-06	oos	0.7402	0.706802	-4.51%	0.63	-14.89%	0.1733	✓	1.15
2026-06-05	oos	0.7405	0.706902	-4.54%	0.6357	-14.15%	0.1531	✓	1.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.8074	0.759071	-5.99%	0.6459	-20.00%	0.1487	✓	1.12
2026-06-03	oos	0.875	0.811727	-7.23%	0.6386	-27.02%	0.2126	✓	1.14
2026-06-02	oos	0.874	0.808974	-7.44%	0.6473	-25.94%	0.1315	✓	1.13
2026-06-01	oos	0.9156	0.838321	-8.44%	0.6503	-28.98%	0.0741	✓	1.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.895	0.817195	-8.69%	0.6606	-26.19%	0.0398	✓	1.10
2026-05-30	oos	0.912	0.830518	-8.93%	0.642	-29.61%	0.0668	✓	0.93
2026-05-29	oos	0.9561	0.86503	-9.53%	0.6702	-29.90%	0.0648	✓	0.91
2026-05-28	oos	0.9597	0.865831	-9.78%	0.6664	-30.56%	0.0798	✓	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.9509	0.856822	-9.89%	0.6523	-31.40%	0.0997	✓	0.81
2026-05-26	oos	0.9861	0.879807	-10.78%	0.6487	-34.22%	0.1124	✓	0.80
2026-05-25	oos	1.0307	0.910911	-11.62%	0.653	-36.64%	0.1260	✓	0.87
2026-05-24	oos	1.0175	0.899457	-11.60%	0.6854	-32.64%	0.0910	✓	0.88
2026-05-23	oos	0.927	0.832488	-10.20%	0.6992	-24.57%	0.0150	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	0.9386	0.846814	-9.78%	0.7204	-23.25%	0.0035	✓	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.9575	0.863688	-9.80%	0.7058	-26.29%	0.0322	✓	0.90
2026-05-20	oos	1.0566	0.943308	-10.72%	0.7008	-33.67%	0.1196	✓	0.89
2026-05-19	oos	0.9715	0.876356	-9.79%	0.7193	-25.96%	0.0230	✓	0.87
2026-05-18	oos	0.9539	0.863954	-9.43%	0.7489	-21.49%	0.0124	✓	0.88
2026-05-17	oos	0.9369	0.850269	-9.25%	0.7709	-17.72%	0.0508	✓	0.90
2026-05-16	oos	1.0445	0.940931	-9.92%	0.7762	-25.69%	0.0486	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	1.201	1.0725	-10.70%	0.7691	-35.96%	0.1775	✓	0.84
2026-05-14	oos	1.2687	1.1277	-11.11%	0.7705	-39.27%	0.1948	✓	0.81
2026-05-13	oos	1.1912	1.0618	-10.86%	0.756	-36.53%	0.1506	✓	0.85
2026-05-12	oos	1.3903	1.2136	-12.71%	0.732	-47.35%	0.3170	✓	0.80
2026-05-11	oos	1.1881	1.0641	-10.44%	0.7157	-39.76%	0.1423	✓	0.89
2026-05-10	oos	1.1859	1.0656	-10.15%	0.7293	-38.50%	0.1188	✓	0.91
2026-05-09	oos	1.1651	1.049	-9.97%	0.7329	-37.10%	0.1347	✓	0.91
2026-05-08	oos	1.168	1.0508	-10.03%	0.7127	-38.98%	0.1799	✓	0.88
2026-05-07	oos	1.1705	1.0524	-10.09%	0.7402	-36.76%	0.1051	✓	0.90
2026-05-06	oos	1.1673	1.0535	-9.75%	0.7405	-36.56%	0.0336	✓	1.11
2026-05-05	oos	1.0047	0.92985	-7.45%	0.8074	-19.64%	0.1396	✗	1.18
2026-05-04	oos	0.9014	0.84709	-6.03%	0.875	-2.93%	0.2854	✗	1.15
2026-05-03	oos	0.891	0.835773	-6.20%	0.874	-1.91%	0.2332	✗	1.15
2026-05-02	oos	0.8907	0.837875	-5.93%	0.9156	+2.80%	0.2010	✗	1.14
2026-05-01	oos	0.8571	0.812029	-5.26%	0.895	+4.42%	0.1671	✗	1.14
2026-04-30	oos	0.829	0.786383	-5.14%	0.912	+10.01%	0.1856	✗	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.821	0.781881	-4.76%	0.9561	+16.46%	0.2366	✗	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.9136	0.858225	-6.06%	0.9597	+5.05%	0.1540	✗	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.8744	0.832124	-4.83%	0.9509	+8.75%	0.1791	✗	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.9573	0.904837	-5.48%	0.9861	+3.01%	0.1271	✗	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.8181	0.789053	-3.55%	1.0307	+25.99%	0.2729	✗	1.11
2026-04-24	oos	0.7601	0.741746	-2.41%	1.0175	+33.86%	0.3232	✗	1.13
2026-04-23	oos	0.8087	0.787854	-2.58%	0.927	+14.63%	0.1863	✗	1.12
2026-04-22	oos	0.8333	0.806263	-3.24%	0.9386	+12.64%	0.1924	✗	1.12
2026-04-21	oos	0.7887	0.761908	-3.40%	0.9575	+21.40%	0.2111	✗	1.11
2026-04-20	oos	0.7759	0.747401	-3.67%	1.0566	+36.18%	0.3229	✗	1.11
2026-04-19	oos	0.7667	0.732879	-4.41%	0.9715	+26.71%	0.2396	✗	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.7735	0.744318	-3.77%	0.9539	+23.32%	0.2311	✗	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.7731	0.749199	-3.09%	0.9369	+21.19%	0.2192	✗	1.09
2026-04-16	oos	0.7084	0.686814	-3.05%	1.0445	+47.44%	0.3783	✗	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.7505	0.720687	-3.97%	1.201	+60.03%	0.4519	✗	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.7751	0.738394	-4.74%	1.2687	+63.68%	0.4455	✗	1.08
2026-04-13	oos	0.8106	0.767716	-5.29%	1.1912	+46.95%	0.3680	✗	1.13
2026-04-12	oos	0.7887	0.74225	-5.89%	1.3903	+76.28%	0.4798	✗	1.15
2026-04-11	oos	0.8128	0.767212	-5.61%	1.1881	+46.17%	0.3080	✗	1.16
2026-04-10	oos	0.6947	0.670592	-3.47%	1.1859	+70.71%	0.4322	✗	1.16
2026-04-09	oos	0.6567	0.636723	-3.04%	1.1651	+77.42%	0.4701	✗	1.15
2026-04-08	oos	0.6537	0.635591	-2.77%	1.168	+78.68%	0.4695	✗	1.15
2026-04-07	oos	0.6643	0.649513	-2.23%	1.1705	+76.20%	0.4659	✗	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	0.6347	0.615723	-2.99%	1.1673	+83.91%	0.4449	✗	1.16
2026-04-05	oos	0.6043	0.58915	-2.51%	1.0047	+66.26%	0.3491	✗	1.16
2026-04-04	oos	0.6245	0.604527	-3.20%	0.9014	+44.34%	0.1987	✗	1.17
2026-04-03	oos	0.6235	0.604	-3.13%	0.891	+42.90%	0.2012	✗	1.17
2026-04-02	oos	0.6293	0.608396	-3.32%	0.8907	+41.54%	0.1907	✗	1.17
2026-04-01	oos	0.6221	0.604321	-2.86%	0.8571	+37.78%	0.1877	✗	1.17
2026-03-31	oos	0.6198	0.603406	-2.65%	0.829	+33.75%	0.1877	✗	1.16
2026-03-30	oos	0.6208	0.604657	-2.60%	0.821	+32.25%	0.1581	✗	1.17
2026-03-29	oos	0.6376	0.619873	-2.78%	0.9136	+43.29%	0.2193	✗	1.16
2026-03-28	oos	0.6315	0.616722	-2.34%	0.8744	+38.46%	0.1727	✗	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.6051	0.596	-1.50%	0.9573	+58.21%	0.2790	✗	1.14
2026-03-26	oos	0.6183	0.614464	-0.62%	0.8181	+32.31%	0.1460	✗	1.15
2026-03-25	oos	0.6875	0.685221	-0.33%	0.7601	+10.56%	0.0104	✗	1.13
2026-03-24	oos	0.6465	0.647765	+0.20%	0.8087	+25.09%	0.1057	✓	1.11
2026-03-23	oos	0.6555	0.657605	+0.32%	0.8333	+27.12%	0.1272	✓	1.11
2026-03-22	oos	0.6279	0.624488	-0.54%	0.7887	+25.61%	0.1020	✗	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.6771	0.673011	-0.60%	0.7759	+14.59%	0.0360	✗	1.11
2026-03-20	oos	0.669	0.670882	+0.28%	0.7667	+14.60%	0.0821	✓	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.6529	0.654852	+0.30%	0.7735	+18.47%	0.0777	✓	1.11
2026-03-18	oos	0.6722	0.677528	+0.79%	0.7731	+15.01%	0.0459	✓	1.09
2026-03-17	oos	0.6644	0.679693	+2.30%	0.7084	+6.62%	0.0229	✓	1.12
2026-03-16	oos	0.6809	0.695609	+2.16%	0.7505	+10.22%	0.0767	✓	1.11
2026-03-15	oos	0.6459	0.658135	+1.89%	0.7751	+20.00%	0.1435	✓	1.09
2026-03-14	oos	0.6292	0.637972	+1.39%	0.8106	+28.83%	0.1916	✓	1.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.642	0.649937	+1.24%	0.7887	+22.85%	0.1964	✓	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.6526	0.658941	+0.97%	0.8128	+24.55%	0.1709	✓	1.09
2026-03-11	oos	0.612	0.620627	+1.41%	0.6947	+13.51%	0.0695	✓	1.11
2026-03-10	oos	0.6458	0.653833	+1.24%	0.6567	+1.69%	0.0243	✗	1.10
2026-03-09	oos	0.6859	0.687852	+0.28%	0.6537	-4.69%	0.0939	✗	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.6458	0.645695	-0.02%	0.6643	+2.86%	0.0692	✓	1.13
2026-03-07	oos	0.6502	0.654345	+0.64%	0.6347	-2.38%	0.0571	✗	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.7077	0.70997	+0.32%	0.6043	-14.61%	0.1759	✗	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.7517	0.754179	+0.33%	0.6245	-16.92%	0.1304	✗	1.12
2026-03-04	oos	0.7127	0.72227	+1.34%	0.6235	-12.52%	0.0539	✗	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.721	0.725333	+0.60%	0.6293	-12.72%	0.1168	✗	1.18
2026-03-02	oos	0.7801	0.778482	-0.21%	0.6221	-20.25%	0.2117	✓	1.20
2026-03-01	oos	0.8504	0.831631	-2.21%	0.6198	-27.12%	0.3395	✓	1.24
2026-02-28	oos	0.81	0.798915	-1.37%	0.6208	-23.36%	0.2481	✓	1.22
2026-02-27	oos	0.8276	0.809395	-2.20%	0.6376	-22.96%	0.2404	✓	1.23
2026-02-26	oos	0.7424	0.737956	-0.60%	0.6315	-14.94%	0.1336	✓	1.27
2026-02-25	oos	0.7725	0.76412	-1.08%	0.6051	-21.67%	0.2024	✓	1.27
2026-02-24	oos	0.692	0.688279	-0.54%	0.6183	-10.65%	0.1934	✓	1.22
2026-02-23	oos	0.7031	0.700805	-0.33%	0.6875	-2.22%	0.1373	✓	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.7356	0.734334	-0.17%	0.6465	-12.11%	0.1790	✓	1.22
2026-02-21	oos	0.7696	0.764801	-0.62%	0.6555	-14.83%	0.2073	✓	1.26
2026-02-20	oos	0.7956	0.788543	-0.89%	0.6279	-21.08%	0.2250	✓	1.34
2026-02-19	oos	0.8029	0.79499	-0.99%	0.6771	-15.67%	0.1991	✓	1.35
2026-02-18	oos	0.8113	0.80291	-1.03%	0.669	-17.54%	0.2650	✓	1.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.822	0.814161	-0.95%	0.6529	-20.57%	0.2726	✓	1.45
2026-02-16	oos	0.8702	0.856459	-1.58%	0.6722	-22.75%	0.2914	✓	1.44
2026-02-15	oos	0.9231	0.900003	-2.50%	0.6644	-28.03%	0.4054	✓	1.41
2026-02-14	oos	0.9424	0.914004	-3.01%	0.6809	-27.75%	0.3930	✓	1.40
2026-02-13	oos	0.9471	0.916557	-3.22%	0.6459	-31.80%	0.4268	✓	1.35
2026-02-12	oos	0.8499	0.838275	-1.37%	0.6292	-25.97%	0.3843	✓	1.33
2026-02-11	oos	0.8637	0.852937	-1.25%	0.642	-25.67%	0.3577	✓	1.30
2026-02-10	oos	0.9149	0.897996	-1.85%	0.6526	-28.67%	0.3509	✓	1.28
2026-02-09	oos	0.9577	0.935434	-2.32%	0.612	-36.10%	0.4262	✓	1.28
2026-02-08	oos	0.9885	0.963242	-2.56%	0.6458	-34.67%	0.3941	✓	1.26
2026-02-07	oos	1.0725	1.033	-3.68%	0.6859	-36.05%	0.3936	✓	1.35
2026-02-06	oos	1.1406	1.0818	-5.15%	0.6458	-43.38%	0.4222	✓	1.40
2026-02-05	oos	0.9324	0.930379	-0.22%	0.6502	-30.27%	0.4497	✓	1.33
2026-02-04	oos	1.1532	1.0914	-5.36%	0.7077	-38.63%	0.3377	✓	1.38
2026-02-03	oos	1.1517	1.087	-5.61%	0.7517	-34.73%	0.2698	✓	1.52
2026-02-02	oos	1.208	1.1257	-6.81%	0.7127	-41.00%	0.3383	✓	1.50
2026-02-01	oos	1.2018	1.123	-6.56%	0.721	-40.01%	0.2943	✓	1.26
2026-01-31	oos	1.2276	1.1417	-6.99%	0.7801	-36.45%	0.2037	✓	1.33
2026-01-30	oos	1.2832	1.1852	-7.63%	0.8504	-33.73%	0.0186	✓	1.43
2026-01-29	oos	1.2912	1.193	-7.61%	0.81	-37.27%	0.0496	✓	1.45
2026-01-28	oos	1.4375	1.3159	-8.46%	0.8276	-42.43%	0.0320	✓	1.43
2026-01-27	oos	1.4171	1.2999	-8.27%	0.7424	-47.61%	0.1498	✓	1.48
2026-01-26	oos	1.5084	1.3787	-8.60%	0.7725	-48.79%	0.1986	✓	1.46
2026-01-25	oos	1.3886	1.2783	-7.95%	0.692	-50.17%	0.1730	✓	1.46
2026-01-24	oos	1.5632	1.4258	-8.79%	0.7031	-55.02%	0.2558	✓	1.41
2026-01-23	oos	1.6004	1.4543	-9.13%	0.7356	-54.04%	0.2791	✓	1.44
2026-01-22	oos	1.7155	1.5416	-10.13%	0.7696	-55.14%	0.2994	✓	1.44
2026-01-21	oos	1.705	1.5255	-10.53%	0.7956	-53.34%	0.2592	✓	1.43
2026-01-20	oos	1.7586	1.5626	-11.15%	0.8029	-54.34%	0.2460	✓	1.52
2026-01-19	oos	1.7548	1.547	-11.84%	0.8113	-53.77%	0.1161	✓	1.60
2026-01-18	oos	1.6001	1.4222	-11.12%	0.822	-48.63%	0.0122	✓	1.64
2026-01-17	oos	1.7004	1.5058	-11.44%	0.8702	-48.82%	0.0114	✓	1.66
2026-01-16	oos	1.911	1.6811	-12.03%	0.9231	-51.70%	0.0669	✓	1.62
2026-01-15	oos	1.8505	1.6327	-11.77%	0.9424	-49.07%	0.0437	✓	1.61
2026-01-14	oos	1.8977	1.6661	-12.21%	0.9471	-50.09%	0.0022	✓	1.64
2026-01-13	oos	1.4442	1.2866	-10.91%	0.8499	-41.15%	0.1520	✗	1.55
2026-01-12	oos	1.3797	1.2345	-10.53%	0.8637	-37.40%	0.1180	✗	1.54
2026-01-11	oos	1.2505	1.1342	-9.30%	0.9149	-26.84%	0.2168	✗	1.55
2026-01-10	oos	1.1019	1.0197	-7.46%	0.9577	-13.09%	0.3278	✗	1.54
2026-01-09	oos	1.155	1.0615	-8.09%	0.9885	-14.42%	0.2813	✗	1.39
2026-01-08	oos	1.1722	1.0724	-8.51%	1.0725	-8.51%	0.3348	✗	1.22
2026-01-07	oos	1.2265	1.1112	-9.40%	1.1406	-7.00%	0.2397	✗	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	1.3002	1.1527	-11.34%	0.9324	-28.29%	0.0918	✓	0.76
2026-01-05	oos	1.2657	1.1214	-11.40%	1.1532	-8.89%	0.2166	✗	0.75
2026-01-04	oos	1.2551	1.1224	-10.57%	1.1517	-8.24%	0.1606	✗	0.71
2026-01-03	oos	1.2419	1.1122	-10.45%	1.208	-2.73%	0.1836	✗	0.71
2026-01-02	oos	1.2407	1.1095	-10.57%	1.2018	-3.14%	0.1915	✗	0.71
2026-01-01	oos	1.3103	1.1653	-11.07%	1.2276	-6.31%	0.1415	✗	0.74
2025-12-31	oos	1.3419	1.191	-11.25%	1.2832	-4.37%	0.1040	✓	0.74
2025-12-30	oos	1.3547	1.1902	-12.15%	1.2912	-4.69%	0.1172	✓	0.79
2025-12-29	oos	1.4501	1.261	-13.04%	1.4375	-0.87%	0.1124	✓	0.80
2025-12-28	oos	1.2472	1.1129	-10.77%	1.4171	+13.62%	0.2302	✗	0.82
2025-12-27	oos	1.2406	1.1105	-10.49%	1.5084	+21.59%	0.3019	✗	0.86
2025-12-26	oos	1.2271	1.1063	-9.84%	1.3886	+13.16%	0.2343	✗	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	1.373	1.2133	-11.63%	1.5632	+13.85%	0.2353	✗	0.84
2025-12-24	oos	1.2847	1.1482	-10.63%	1.6004	+24.57%	0.3143	✗	0.85
2025-12-23	oos	1.3175	1.181	-10.36%	1.7155	+30.21%	0.3538	✗	0.85
2025-12-22	oos	1.3396	1.1955	-10.76%	1.705	+27.28%	0.3474	✗	0.84
2025-12-21	oos	1.3321	1.1926	-10.47%	1.7586	+32.02%	0.3915	✗	0.84
2025-12-20	oos	1.352	1.2125	-10.31%	1.7548	+29.79%	0.3296	✗	0.85
2025-12-19	oos	1.3798	1.24	-10.13%	1.6001	+15.97%	0.2027	✗	0.86
2025-12-18	oos	1.4117	1.28	-9.33%	1.7004	+20.45%	0.1880	✗	0.90
2025-12-17	oos	1.5658	1.3936	-11.00%	1.911	+22.05%	0.2265	✗	0.87
2025-12-16	oos	1.5189	1.3574	-10.63%	1.8505	+21.83%	0.2370	✗	0.86
2025-12-15	oos	1.547	1.3888	-10.22%	1.8977	+22.67%	0.2105	✗	0.88
2025-12-14	oos	1.5612	1.3998	-10.34%	1.4442	-7.49%	0.0357	✓	0.85
2025-12-13	oos	1.6587	1.4737	-11.15%	1.3797	-16.82%	0.0744	✓	0.83
2025-12-12	oos	1.6998	1.5136	-10.96%	1.2505	-26.43%	0.1964	✓	0.83
2025-12-11	oos	1.9007	1.665	-12.40%	1.1019	-42.03%	0.3944	✓	0.78
2025-12-10	oos	2.0681	1.7945	-13.23%	1.155	-44.15%	0.4275	✓	0.79
2025-12-09	oos	2.2147	1.8984	-14.28%	1.1722	-47.07%	0.4680	✓	0.78
2025-12-08	oos	2.0749	1.802	-13.15%	1.2265	-40.89%	0.3900	✓	0.76
2025-12-07	oos	2.1585	1.8626	-13.71%	1.3002	-39.76%	0.3872	✓	0.77
2025-12-06	oos	2.1753	1.8726	-13.92%	1.2657	-41.81%	0.4300	✓	0.76
2025-12-05	oos	2.3701	1.9974	-15.73%	1.2551	-47.04%	0.4829	✓	0.77
2025-12-04	oos	2.4001	1.9962	-16.83%	1.2419	-48.26%	0.4621	✓	0.77
2025-12-03	oos	2.2141	1.8509	-16.41%	1.2407	-43.96%	0.3698	✓	0.79
2025-12-02	oos	2.0663	1.7615	-14.75%	1.3103	-36.59%	0.2738	✓	0.77
2025-12-01	oos	2.0424	1.7654	-13.56%	1.3419	-34.30%	0.2862	✓	0.85
2025-11-30	oos	2.0181	1.7441	-13.58%	1.3547	-32.87%	0.2326	✓	0.91
2025-11-29	oos	2.1995	1.8882	-14.15%	1.4501	-34.07%	0.2265	✓	0.90
2025-11-28	oos	2.2508	1.9297	-14.27%	1.2472	-44.59%	0.4058	✓	0.91
2025-11-27	oos	2.65	2.2257	-16.01%	1.2406	-53.18%	0.5495	✓	0.89
2025-11-26	oos	2.8145	2.3433	-16.74%	1.2271	-56.40%	0.6142	✓	0.92
2025-11-25	oos	2.8099	2.3377	-16.81%	1.373	-51.14%	0.5305	✓	0.95
2025-11-24	oos	3.1104	2.5287	-18.70%	1.2847	-58.70%	0.6703	✓	0.92
2025-11-23	oos	2.6466	2.2127	-16.40%	1.3175	-50.22%	0.5243	✓	0.82
2025-11-22	oos	2.0862	1.811	-13.19%	1.3396	-35.79%	0.3286	✓	0.61
2025-11-21	oos	2.3982	2.0497	-14.53%	1.3321	-44.45%	0.4559	✓	0.61
2025-11-20	oos	2.928	2.4515	-16.27%	1.352	-53.83%	0.6060	✓	0.53
2025-11-19	oos	3.509	2.8854	-17.77%	1.3798	-60.68%	0.7283	✓	0.25
2025-11-18	oos	3.5056	2.8723	-18.06%	1.4117	-59.73%	0.6898	✓	0.25
2025-11-17	oos	4.2919	3.421	-20.29%	1.5658	-63.52%	0.7620	✓	0.30
2025-11-16	oos	4.1796	3.3008	-21.03%	1.5189	-63.66%	0.7529	✓	0.33
2025-11-15	oos	3.103	2.5484	-17.87%	1.547	-50.15%	0.4559	✓	0.43
2025-11-14	oos	2.8813	2.3861	-17.19%	1.5612	-45.82%	0.3956	✓	0.41
2025-11-13	oos	2.939	2.4386	-17.03%	1.6587	-43.56%	0.3473	✓	0.39
2025-11-12	oos	2.8393	2.3628	-16.78%	1.6998	-40.13%	0.2822	✓	0.40
2025-11-11	oos	3.1359	2.5664	-18.16%	1.9007	-39.39%	0.2620	✓	0.36
2025-11-10	oos	3.0174	2.4449	-18.97%	2.0681	-31.46%	0.1137	✓	0.38
2025-11-09	oos	2.1958	1.8516	-15.67%	2.2147	+0.86%	0.2106	✗	0.26
2025-11-08	oos	1.794	1.5424	-14.03%	2.0749	+15.66%	0.3110	✗	0.12
2025-11-07	oos	1.7824	1.5288	-14.23%	2.1585	+21.10%	0.3606	✗	0.12
2025-11-06	oos	1.4682	1.2801	-12.81%	2.1753	+48.16%	0.5299	✗	-0.00
2025-11-05	oos	1.8578	1.5842	-14.73%	2.3701	+27.58%	0.3744	✗	-0.19
2025-11-04	oos	1.8728	1.5769	-15.80%	2.4001	+28.16%	0.4020	✗	-0.19
2025-11-03	oos	1.5803	1.3618	-13.82%	2.2141	+40.11%	0.4922	✗	0.05
2025-11-02	oos	1.8033	1.5309	-15.10%	2.0663	+14.58%	0.2735	✗	-0.14
2025-11-01	oos	1.5727	1.3449	-14.48%	2.0424	+29.87%	0.3801	✗	-0.15
2025-10-31	oos	1.3608	1.1842	-12.97%	2.0181	+48.30%	0.4975	✗	-0.18
2025-10-30	oos	1.2619	1.1051	-12.42%	2.1995	+74.30%	0.6524	✗	-0.20
2025-10-29	oos	1.4833	1.2769	-13.91%	2.2508	+51.74%	0.5118	✗	-0.29
2025-10-28	oos	1.4321	1.2294	-14.15%	2.65	+85.04%	0.7146	✗	-0.25
2025-10-27	oos	1.7264	1.4527	-15.85%	2.8145	+63.03%	0.5862	✗	-0.32
2025-10-26	oos	1.5906	1.3504	-15.10%	2.8099	+76.66%	0.6473	✗	-0.32
2025-10-25	oos	1.4643	1.2533	-14.41%	3.1104	+112.42%	0.8236	✗	-0.36
2025-10-24	oos	1.4757	1.2572	-14.80%	2.6466	+79.35%	0.6469	✗	-0.40
2025-10-23	oos	1.4768	1.2498	-15.37%	2.0862	+41.26%	0.4087	✗	-0.39
2025-10-22	oos	1.2884	1.1119	-13.70%	2.3982	+86.14%	0.6474	✗	-0.52
2025-10-21	oos	1.2338	1.0725	-13.07%	2.928	+137.32%	0.8904	✗	-0.51
2025-10-20	oos	1.2969	1.118	-13.79%	3.509	+170.57%	1.0417	✗	-0.54
2025-10-19	oos	1.1538	1.0119	-12.29%	3.5056	+203.83%	1.1476	✗	-0.61
2025-10-18	oos	1.2065	1.0516	-12.84%	4.2919	+255.73%	1.3186	✗	-0.58
2025-10-17	oos	1.2667	1.096	-13.48%	4.1796	+229.96%	1.2696	✗	-0.56
2025-10-16	oos	1.4108	1.2035	-14.69%	3.103	+119.95%	0.8681	✗	-0.64
2025-10-15	oos	1.5306	1.2945	-15.42%	2.8813	+88.25%	0.6854	✗	-0.72
2025-10-14	oos	1.447	1.2358	-14.60%	2.939	+103.11%	0.7777	✗	-0.70
2025-10-13	oos	1.5624	1.3189	-15.58%	2.8393	+81.73%	0.6686	✗	-0.78
2025-10-12	oos	1.4058	1.2012	-14.55%	3.1359	+123.07%	0.8742	✗	-0.77
2025-10-11	oos	1.5112	1.2549	-16.96%	3.0174	+99.67%	0.8471	✗	-0.68
2025-10-10	oos	1.0842	0.947701	-12.59%	2.1958	+102.53%	0.8059	✗	-0.45
2025-10-09	oos	0.9355	0.843331	-9.85%	1.794	+91.77%	0.7555	✗	0.00
2025-10-08	oos	0.7801	0.719842	-7.72%	1.7824	+128.48%	0.9379	✗	0.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.7782	0.715867	-8.01%	1.4682	+88.67%	0.7637	✗	0.25
2025-10-06	oos	0.717	0.678616	-5.35%	1.8578	+159.11%	1.0744	✗	0.37
2025-10-05	oos	0.6989	0.661564	-5.34%	1.8728	+167.96%	1.1101	✗	0.35
2025-10-04	oos	0.7039	0.6649	-5.54%	1.5803	+124.51%	0.9139	✗	0.35
2025-10-03	oos	0.701	0.663277	-5.38%	1.8033	+157.25%	1.0348	✗	0.34
2025-10-02	oos	0.7127	0.670205	-5.96%	1.5727	+120.67%	0.8857	✗	0.36
2025-10-01	oos	0.6238	0.594689	-4.67%	1.3608	+118.15%	0.8480	✗	0.25
2025-09-30	oos	0.6189	0.584934	-5.49%	1.2619	+103.89%	0.7819	✗	0.25
2025-09-29	oos	0.6369	0.600207	-5.76%	1.4833	+132.89%	0.9151	✗	0.27
2025-09-28	oos	0.5722	0.538887	-5.82%	1.4321	+150.28%	0.9763	✗	0.18
2025-09-27	oos	0.5832	0.547517	-6.12%	1.7264	+196.02%	1.1411	✗	0.18
2025-09-26	oos	0.6207	0.581427	-6.33%	1.5906	+156.26%	0.9991	✗	0.17
2025-09-25	oos	0.5954	0.558089	-6.27%	1.4643	+145.94%	0.9610	✗	0.15
2025-09-24	oos	0.6084	0.574317	-5.60%	1.4757	+142.55%	0.9461	✗	0.12
2025-09-23	oos	0.6103	0.574761	-5.82%	1.4768	+141.98%	0.9460	✗	0.13
2025-09-22	oos	0.5926	0.559711	-5.55%	1.2884	+117.41%	0.8394	✗	0.12
2025-09-21	oos	0.6157	0.584145	-5.13%	1.2338	+100.39%	0.7523	✗	0.07
2025-09-20	oos	0.6	0.570363	-4.94%	1.2969	+116.15%	0.8399	✗	0.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.6327	0.599827	-5.20%	1.1538	+82.36%	0.6832	✗	0.46
2025-09-18	oos	0.5919	0.563298	-4.83%	1.2065	+103.84%	0.8074	✗	0.52

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.