FATCOIN

FATCOIN · Robinhood · beta_5y

token id: #811
symbol: FATCOIN
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x12d5ee7917ca430073c3a638ee1e6f0648a98a01
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-09-04
predictions: 120

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 40 predictions shown

direction hit

66.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1321

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0243

actual -0.0372

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.000374	0.000367418	-1.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-21	oos	0.00037465	0.000368948	-1.52%	0.000374	-0.17%	0.0124	✓	0.54
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003674	0.000363049	-1.18%	0.00037465	+1.97%	0.0256	✗	0.45
2026-10-19	oos	0.0003527	0.000350307	-0.68%	0.0003674	+4.17%	0.0432	✗	0.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004097	0.000405243	-1.09%	0.0003527	-13.91%	0.1382	✓	0.32
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043515	0.000429045	-1.40%	0.0004097	-5.85%	0.0485	✓	0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.000357	0.0003564	-0.17%	0.00043515	+21.89%	0.2001	✗	0.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.00038465	0.000383472	-0.31%	0.000357	-7.19%	0.0687	✓	0.37
2026-10-14	oos	0.00040915	0.000407559	-0.39%	0.00038465	-5.99%	0.0602	✓	0.35
2026-10-13	oos	0.0003266	0.000326691	+0.03%	0.00040915	+25.28%	0.2407	✓	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.00035135	0.000351914	+0.16%	0.0003266	-7.04%	0.0880	✗	0.81
2026-10-11	oos	0.000385	0.000384285	-0.19%	0.00035135	-8.74%	0.0688	✓	0.89
2026-10-10	oos	0.00037315	0.000372791	-0.10%	0.000385	+3.18%	0.0248	✗	0.80
2026-10-09	oos	0.00040435	0.000403594	-0.19%	0.00037315	-7.72%	0.0819	✓	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	0.00036805	0.000367223	-0.22%	0.00040435	+9.86%	0.0898	✗	0.63
2026-10-07	oos	0.000506	0.000501899	-0.81%	0.00036805	-27.26%	0.3039	✓	0.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.00038745	0.000380802	-1.72%	0.000506	+30.60%	0.3204	✗	1.35
2026-10-05	oos	0.00035605	0.000346027	-2.81%	0.00038745	+8.82%	0.1166	✗	1.44
2026-10-04	oos	0.0004861	0.000478019	-1.66%	0.00035605	-26.75%	0.2833	✓	1.28
2026-10-03	oos	0.00051235	0.000504304	-1.57%	0.0004861	-5.12%	0.0574	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.00051375	0.000503305	-2.03%	0.00051235	-0.27%	0.0150	✓	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.00054035	0.000527291	-2.42%	0.00051375	-4.92%	0.0220	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.0006234	0.000611356	-1.93%	0.00054035	-13.32%	0.1388	✓	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.00059005	0.000573415	-2.82%	0.0006234	+5.65%	0.0846	✗	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.00074535	0.000729925	-2.07%	0.00059005	-20.84%	0.2149	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.0008163	0.000796789	-2.39%	0.00074535	-8.69%	0.0548	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.00094305	0.000919637	-2.48%	0.0008163	-13.44%	0.1197	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.001029	0.001001	-2.77%	0.00094305	-8.38%	0.0633	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.0009778	0.000946661	-3.18%	0.001029	+5.26%	0.0871	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.001144	0.001107	-3.26%	0.0009778	-14.57%	0.1244	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.001388	0.001335	-3.82%	0.001144	-17.57%	0.1330	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.001228	0.001181	-3.80%	0.001388	+13.06%	0.1661	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.001401	0.001347	-3.89%	0.001228	-12.36%	0.1571	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.00174	0.001657	-4.82%	0.001401	-19.48%	0.1664	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.001629	0.001545	-5.15%	0.00174	+6.85%	0.1147	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.001716	0.001603	-6.60%	0.001629	-5.07%	0.0414	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.000835	0.000782828	-6.25%	0.001716	+105.50%	0.7821	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.001151	0.001083	-5.85%	0.000835	-27.42%	0.2677	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.00143	0.001348	-5.74%	0.001151	-19.57%	0.1250	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.001492	0.001406	-5.76%	0.00143	-4.12%	0.0006	✓	1.00