FATCOIN

FATCOIN · Robinhood · beta_5y

token id: #811
symbol: FATCOIN
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x12d5ee7917ca430073c3a638ee1e6f0648a98a01
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-09-04
predictions: 117

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 39 predictions shown

direction hit

52.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1413

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0012

actual -0.0388

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.0003623	0.000360096	-0.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003674	0.000364934	-0.67%	0.0003623	-1.39%	0.0059	✓	0.45
2026-10-19	oos	0.0003527	0.000351027	-0.47%	0.0003674	+4.17%	0.0411	✗	0.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004097	0.000406787	-0.71%	0.0003527	-13.91%	0.1420	✓	0.32
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043515	0.000430644	-1.04%	0.0004097	-5.85%	0.0522	✓	0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.000357	0.000355881	-0.31%	0.00043515	+21.89%	0.2016	✗	0.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.00038465	0.000383206	-0.38%	0.000357	-7.19%	0.0680	✓	0.37
2026-10-14	oos	0.00040915	0.000407017	-0.52%	0.00038465	-5.99%	0.0589	✓	0.35
2026-10-13	oos	0.0003266	0.0003272	+0.18%	0.00040915	+25.28%	0.2392	✓	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.00035135	0.000351912	+0.16%	0.0003266	-7.04%	0.0880	✗	0.81
2026-10-11	oos	0.000385	0.000385358	+0.09%	0.00035135	-8.74%	0.0716	✗	0.89
2026-10-10	oos	0.00037315	0.000374295	+0.31%	0.000385	+3.18%	0.0208	✓	0.80
2026-10-09	oos	0.00040435	0.000405379	+0.25%	0.00037315	-7.72%	0.0863	✗	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	0.00036805	0.00037031	+0.61%	0.00040435	+9.86%	0.0814	✓	0.63
2026-10-07	oos	0.000506	0.000505915	-0.02%	0.00036805	-27.26%	0.3119	✓	0.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.00038745	0.00039021	+0.71%	0.000506	+30.60%	0.2960	✓	1.35
2026-10-05	oos	0.00035605	0.000359687	+1.02%	0.00038745	+8.82%	0.0779	✓	1.44
2026-10-04	oos	0.0004861	0.000488957	+0.59%	0.00035605	-26.75%	0.3059	✗	1.28
2026-10-03	oos	0.00051235	0.000515592	+0.63%	0.0004861	-5.12%	0.0795	✗	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.00051375	0.000517716	+0.77%	0.00051235	-0.27%	0.0132	✗	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.00054035	0.000544816	+0.83%	0.00051375	-4.92%	0.0547	✗	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.0006234	0.00062763	+0.68%	0.00054035	-13.32%	0.1651	✗	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.00059005	0.000595705	+0.96%	0.0006234	+5.65%	0.0464	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.00074535	0.000749846	+0.60%	0.00059005	-20.84%	0.2418	✗	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.0008163	0.000820381	+0.50%	0.00074535	-8.69%	0.0839	✗	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.00094305	0.000945677	+0.28%	0.0008163	-13.44%	0.1477	✗	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.001029	0.001031	+0.18%	0.00094305	-8.38%	0.0931	✗	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.0009778	0.000981939	+0.42%	0.001029	+5.26%	0.0505	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.001144	0.001147	+0.23%	0.0009778	-14.57%	0.1598	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.001388	0.001387	-0.12%	0.001144	-17.57%	0.1707	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.001228	0.001231	+0.27%	0.001388	+13.06%	0.1247	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.001401	0.001405	+0.29%	0.001228	-12.36%	0.1997	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.00174	0.001741	+0.01%	0.001401	-19.48%	0.2159	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.001629	0.001631	+0.14%	0.00174	+6.85%	0.0605	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.001716	0.00171	-0.34%	0.001629	-5.07%	0.1063	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.000835	0.000830474	-0.54%	0.001716	+105.50%	0.7230	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.001151	0.001143	-0.64%	0.000835	-27.42%	0.3215	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.00143	0.001391	-2.76%	0.001151	-19.57%	0.1561	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.001492	0.001398	-6.30%	0.00143	-4.12%	0.0052	✓	1.00