EMBER
embercurve · Solana · beta_5y
- token id
- #783
- symbol
- EMBER
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- 5dvXTZ5qwgafnHtwu3Ls3QrWx1U4LQsFeCuJgkk4QEC6
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-11
- predictions
- 96
Track record at +1d
assessed
31
of 32 predictions shown
direction hit
71.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1336
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0051
actual -0.0513
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.002465 | 0.002463 | -0.09% | – | pending | – | – | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.002424 | 0.002427 | +0.12% | 0.002465 | +1.69% | 0.0202 | ✓ | 1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.002855 | 0.00285 | -0.18% | 0.002424 | -15.11% | 0.1846 | ✓ | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.003005 | 0.002999 | -0.19% | 0.002855 | -4.98% | 0.0456 | ✓ | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003031 | 0.003029 | -0.07% | 0.003005 | -0.87% | 0.0210 | ✓ | 1.68 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002896 | 0.002902 | +0.24% | 0.003031 | +4.70% | 0.0460 | ✓ | 1.70 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003313 | 0.003311 | -0.07% | 0.002896 | -12.60% | 0.1215 | ✓ | 1.64 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.002646 | 0.002668 | +0.82% | 0.003313 | +25.18% | 0.2060 | ✓ | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.003509 | 0.003516 | +0.21% | 0.002646 | -24.58% | 0.2619 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00415 | 0.004147 | -0.08% | 0.003509 | -15.45% | 0.1896 | ✓ | 1.37 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005229 | 0.005198 | -0.61% | 0.00415 | -20.64% | 0.2015 | ✓ | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005076 | 0.005057 | -0.38% | 0.005229 | +3.02% | 0.0244 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005148 | 0.005134 | -0.27% | 0.005076 | -1.40% | 0.0158 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005587 | 0.005564 | -0.41% | 0.005148 | -7.86% | 0.0881 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.006234 | 0.006194 | -0.65% | 0.005587 | -10.38% | 0.0839 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005932 | 0.005896 | -0.60% | 0.006234 | +5.09% | 0.0825 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.004325 | 0.004345 | +0.46% | 0.005932 | +37.16% | 0.3138 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.004877 | 0.004892 | +0.32% | 0.004325 | -11.32% | 0.1145 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.005381 | 0.005398 | +0.31% | 0.004877 | -9.37% | 0.1222 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006784 | 0.006766 | -0.27% | 0.005381 | -20.68% | 0.2318 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007134 | 0.007104 | -0.42% | 0.006784 | -4.89% | 0.0419 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.006565 | 0.00657 | +0.08% | 0.007134 | +8.66% | 0.0669 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00693 | 0.00692 | -0.14% | 0.006565 | -5.27% | 0.0517 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00905 | 0.00896 | -0.99% | 0.00693 | -23.43% | 0.2591 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01286 | 0.012685 | -1.36% | 0.00905 | -29.63% | 0.3257 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.013545 | 0.013356 | -1.39% | 0.01286 | -5.06% | 0.0384 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013812 | -1.42% | 0.013545 | -3.32% | 0.0233 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0134 | 0.013209 | -1.43% | 0.01401 | +4.55% | 0.0623 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01968 | 0.019285 | -2.01% | 0.0134 | -31.91% | 0.3642 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.01742 | 0.017053 | -2.10% | 0.01968 | +12.97% | 0.1646 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.01335 | 0.013126 | -1.68% | 0.01742 | +30.49% | 0.2876 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.011735 | 0.011541 | -1.65% | 0.01335 | +13.76% | 0.0808 | ✗ | 1.00 |