DOS
DAPPOS · Ethereum · beta_5y
- token id
- #141
- symbol
- DOS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x951f086a127e280724fd93ccc543f65065afeb5e
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-10
- predictions
- 195
Track record at +7d
assessed
58
of 65 predictions shown
direction hit
50.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0951
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0192
actual -0.0316
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 0.2092 | 0.205469 | -1.78% | – | pending | – | – | 0.73 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.204 | 0.200373 | -1.78% | – | pending | – | – | 0.73 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.2083 | 0.202272 | -2.89% | – | pending | – | – | 0.73 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.19055 | 0.187461 | -1.62% | – | pending | – | – | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.1862 | 0.183207 | -1.61% | – | pending | – | – | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.18235 | 0.179868 | -1.36% | – | pending | – | – | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.1833 | 0.180697 | -1.42% | – | pending | – | – | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.18835 | 0.186072 | -1.21% | 0.2092 | +11.07% | 0.0995 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.1899 | 0.187701 | -1.16% | 0.204 | +7.42% | 0.0736 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.20685 | 0.203236 | -1.75% | 0.2083 | +0.70% | 0.0259 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2327 | 0.22618 | -2.80% | 0.19055 | -18.11% | 0.1722 | ✓ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.27105 | 0.259864 | -4.13% | 0.1862 | -31.30% | 0.3214 | ✓ | 0.59 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.252 | 0.244026 | -3.16% | 0.18235 | -27.64% | 0.2806 | ✓ | 0.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.23355 | 0.226832 | -2.88% | 0.1833 | -21.52% | 0.2057 | ✓ | 0.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.2209 | 0.213858 | -3.19% | 0.18835 | -14.74% | 0.1300 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.2179 | 0.211409 | -2.98% | 0.1899 | -12.85% | 0.0949 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.21455 | 0.210309 | -1.98% | 0.20685 | -3.59% | 0.0022 | ✓ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.2139 | 0.209823 | -1.91% | 0.2327 | +8.79% | 0.1348 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.2148 | 0.210667 | -1.92% | 0.27105 | +26.19% | 0.2741 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2139 | 0.209408 | -2.10% | 0.252 | +17.81% | 0.1996 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2155 | 0.210376 | -2.38% | 0.23355 | +8.38% | 0.1200 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.2162 | 0.211301 | -2.27% | 0.2209 | +2.17% | 0.0697 | ✗ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.21385 | 0.208673 | -2.42% | 0.2179 | +1.89% | 0.0455 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.21445 | 0.208985 | -2.55% | 0.21455 | +0.05% | 0.0114 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.21085 | 0.205466 | -2.55% | 0.2139 | +1.45% | 0.0222 | ✓ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2256 | 0.219245 | -2.82% | 0.2148 | -4.79% | 0.0358 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.2314 | 0.224426 | -3.01% | 0.2139 | -7.56% | 0.0505 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.22475 | 0.217971 | -3.02% | 0.2155 | -4.12% | 0.0145 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2242 | 0.217042 | -3.19% | 0.2162 | -3.57% | 0.0074 | ✓ | 0.65 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.2203 | 0.21319 | -3.23% | 0.21385 | -2.93% | 0.0095 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.22085 | 0.213878 | -3.16% | 0.21445 | -2.90% | 0.0235 | ✓ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.2193 | 0.212325 | -3.18% | 0.21085 | -3.85% | 0.0190 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.212 | 0.204549 | -3.51% | 0.2256 | +6.42% | 0.0708 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.2159 | 0.207574 | -3.86% | 0.2314 | +7.18% | 0.0825 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.21255 | 0.203404 | -4.30% | 0.22475 | +5.74% | 0.0731 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.2026 | 0.195547 | -3.48% | 0.2242 | +10.66% | 0.0764 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.197 | 0.191294 | -2.90% | 0.2203 | +11.83% | 0.0787 | ✗ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.2 | 0.194405 | -2.80% | 0.22085 | +10.42% | 0.0477 | ✗ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.21345 | 0.207093 | -2.98% | 0.2193 | +2.74% | 0.0004 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.2166 | 0.209961 | -3.07% | 0.212 | -2.12% | 0.0215 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.2156 | 0.209753 | -2.71% | 0.2159 | +0.14% | 0.0004 | ✓ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.21115 | 0.205861 | -2.50% | 0.21255 | +0.66% | 0.0042 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.1993 | 0.196324 | -1.49% | 0.2026 | +1.66% | 0.0329 | ✗ | 0.59 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.2055 | 0.203552 | -0.95% | 0.197 | -4.14% | 0.0160 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.21975 | 0.218002 | -0.80% | 0.2 | -8.99% | 0.0490 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.23365 | 0.232115 | -0.66% | 0.21345 | -8.65% | 0.0722 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.24265 | 0.242316 | -0.14% | 0.2166 | -10.74% | 0.0671 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.2467 | 0.2477 | +0.41% | 0.2156 | -12.61% | 0.1061 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.24235 | 0.244846 | +1.03% | 0.21115 | -12.87% | 0.1166 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.24145 | 0.245181 | +1.55% | 0.1993 | -17.46% | 0.1473 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.23655 | 0.238277 | +0.73% | 0.2055 | -13.13% | 0.1605 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.2577 | 0.258029 | +0.13% | 0.21975 | -14.73% | 0.1741 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.2727 | 0.272772 | +0.03% | 0.23365 | -14.32% | 0.1615 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.3061 | 0.302701 | -1.11% | 0.24265 | -20.73% | 0.2550 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.28175 | 0.279364 | -0.85% | 0.2467 | -12.44% | 0.1446 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.26065 | 0.258478 | -0.83% | 0.24235 | -7.02% | 0.0877 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.2385 | 0.237962 | -0.23% | 0.24145 | +1.24% | 0.0023 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.236 | 0.235601 | -0.17% | 0.23655 | +0.23% | 0.0260 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.2465 | 0.24558 | -0.37% | 0.2577 | +4.54% | 0.0626 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.23155 | 0.230858 | -0.30% | 0.2727 | +17.77% | 0.1719 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.22495 | 0.223144 | -0.80% | 0.3061 | +36.07% | 0.3169 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.2328 | 0.230921 | -0.81% | 0.28175 | +21.03% | 0.1838 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.25325 | 0.252504 | -0.29% | 0.26065 | +2.92% | 0.0380 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.2353 | 0.230141 | -2.19% | 0.2385 | +1.36% | 0.0592 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.2551 | 0.243612 | -4.50% | 0.236 | -7.49% | 0.1631 | ✓ | 1.00 |