DOS
DAPPOS · Ethereum · beta_5y
- token id
- #141
- symbol
- DOS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x951f086a127e280724fd93ccc543f65065afeb5e
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-10
- predictions
- 192
Track record at +1d
assessed
63
of 64 predictions shown
direction hit
52.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0385
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0059
actual -0.0061
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.204 | 0.202767 | -0.60% | – | pending | – | – | 0.73 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.2083 | 0.205951 | -1.13% | 0.204 | -2.06% | 0.0074 | ✓ | 0.73 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.19055 | 0.189531 | -0.53% | 0.2083 | +9.32% | 0.0851 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.1862 | 0.185196 | -0.54% | 0.19055 | +2.34% | 0.0300 | ✗ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.18235 | 0.181625 | -0.40% | 0.1862 | +2.11% | 0.0195 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.1833 | 0.182481 | -0.45% | 0.18235 | -0.52% | 0.0003 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.18835 | 0.187653 | -0.37% | 0.1833 | -2.68% | 0.0181 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.1899 | 0.189258 | -0.34% | 0.18835 | -0.82% | 0.0096 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.20685 | 0.205602 | -0.60% | 0.1899 | -8.19% | 0.0671 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2327 | 0.230389 | -0.99% | 0.20685 | -11.11% | 0.1194 | ✓ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.27105 | 0.26681 | -1.56% | 0.2327 | -14.15% | 0.1229 | ✓ | 0.59 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.252 | 0.249237 | -1.10% | 0.27105 | +7.56% | 0.0786 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.23355 | 0.231249 | -0.99% | 0.252 | +7.90% | 0.0834 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.2209 | 0.2184 | -1.13% | 0.23355 | +5.73% | 0.0612 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.2179 | 0.215655 | -1.03% | 0.2209 | +1.38% | 0.0355 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.21455 | 0.213285 | -0.59% | 0.2179 | +1.56% | 0.0388 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.2139 | 0.212706 | -0.56% | 0.21455 | +0.30% | 0.0102 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.2148 | 0.213592 | -0.56% | 0.2139 | -0.42% | 0.0073 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2139 | 0.212623 | -0.60% | 0.2148 | +0.42% | 0.0034 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2155 | 0.214043 | -0.68% | 0.2139 | -0.74% | 0.0025 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.2162 | 0.214877 | -0.61% | 0.2155 | -0.32% | 0.0056 | ✓ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.21385 | 0.212515 | -0.62% | 0.2162 | +1.10% | 0.0071 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.21445 | 0.213067 | -0.65% | 0.21385 | -0.28% | 0.0043 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.21085 | 0.20955 | -0.62% | 0.21445 | +1.71% | 0.0217 | ✗ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2256 | 0.224013 | -0.70% | 0.21085 | -6.54% | 0.0529 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.2314 | 0.229633 | -0.76% | 0.2256 | -2.51% | 0.0181 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.22475 | 0.223091 | -0.74% | 0.2314 | +2.96% | 0.0341 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2242 | 0.222486 | -0.76% | 0.22475 | +0.25% | 0.0124 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.2203 | 0.218643 | -0.75% | 0.2242 | +1.77% | 0.0250 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.22085 | 0.219178 | -0.76% | 0.2203 | -0.25% | 0.0198 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.2193 | 0.217621 | -0.77% | 0.22085 | +0.71% | 0.0180 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.212 | 0.210478 | -0.72% | 0.2193 | +3.44% | 0.0031 | ✓ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.2159 | 0.214084 | -0.84% | 0.212 | -1.81% | 0.0092 | ✓ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.21255 | 0.210324 | -1.05% | 0.2159 | +1.58% | 0.0231 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.2026 | 0.201084 | -0.75% | 0.21255 | +4.91% | 0.0207 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.197 | 0.195965 | -0.53% | 0.2026 | +2.84% | 0.0317 | ✗ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.2 | 0.198963 | -0.52% | 0.197 | -1.50% | 0.0144 | ✓ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.21345 | 0.212218 | -0.58% | 0.2 | -6.30% | 0.0403 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.2166 | 0.215176 | -0.66% | 0.21345 | -1.45% | 0.0181 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.2156 | 0.2144 | -0.56% | 0.2166 | +0.46% | 0.0137 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.21115 | 0.209983 | -0.55% | 0.2156 | +2.11% | 0.0260 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.1993 | 0.198748 | -0.28% | 0.21115 | +5.95% | 0.0554 | ✗ | 0.59 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.2055 | 0.205144 | -0.17% | 0.1993 | -3.02% | 0.0153 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.21975 | 0.219289 | -0.21% | 0.2055 | -6.48% | 0.0628 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.23365 | 0.233035 | -0.26% | 0.21975 | -5.95% | 0.0505 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.24265 | 0.242164 | -0.20% | 0.23365 | -3.71% | 0.0201 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.2467 | 0.246306 | -0.16% | 0.24265 | -1.64% | 0.0213 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.24235 | 0.242205 | -0.06% | 0.2467 | +1.79% | 0.0164 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.24145 | 0.24154 | +0.04% | 0.24235 | +0.37% | 0.0231 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.23655 | 0.236506 | -0.02% | 0.24145 | +2.07% | 0.0292 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.2577 | 0.257277 | -0.16% | 0.23655 | -8.21% | 0.0828 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.2727 | 0.272068 | -0.23% | 0.2577 | -5.50% | 0.0393 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.3061 | 0.304129 | -0.64% | 0.2727 | -10.91% | 0.1206 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.28175 | 0.280022 | -0.61% | 0.3061 | +8.64% | 0.0963 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.26065 | 0.25927 | -0.53% | 0.28175 | +8.10% | 0.0781 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.2385 | 0.237599 | -0.38% | 0.26065 | +9.29% | 0.1234 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.236 | 0.235154 | -0.36% | 0.2385 | +1.06% | 0.0016 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.2465 | 0.245367 | -0.46% | 0.236 | -4.26% | 0.0453 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.23155 | 0.230566 | -0.42% | 0.2465 | +6.46% | 0.0726 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.22495 | 0.223884 | -0.47% | 0.23155 | +2.93% | 0.0177 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.2328 | 0.231649 | -0.49% | 0.22495 | -3.37% | 0.0381 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.25325 | 0.251894 | -0.54% | 0.2328 | -8.08% | 0.0625 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.2353 | 0.233698 | -0.68% | 0.25325 | +7.63% | 0.0101 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.2551 | 0.251944 | -1.24% | 0.2353 | -7.76% | 0.1205 | ✓ | 1.00 |