CARDS

Collector Crypt · Solana · beta_5y

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 21 predictions shown

direction hit

40.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0991

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0148

actual +0.0161

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.37764	0.371123	-1.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-21	oos	0.376255	0.368697	-2.01%	0.37764	+0.37%	0.0217	✗	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.341225	0.334689	-1.92%	0.376255	+10.27%	0.1041	✗	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.332115	0.325276	-2.06%	0.341225	+2.74%	0.0345	✗	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.25713	0.254879	-0.88%	0.332115	+29.16%	0.2668	✗	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.271445	0.268988	-0.91%	0.25713	-5.27%	0.0527	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.29283	0.289251	-1.22%	0.271445	-7.30%	0.0621	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.349415	0.343142	-1.80%	0.29283	-16.19%	0.1509	✓	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.31083	0.305348	-1.76%	0.349415	+12.41%	0.1280	✗	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.279395	0.274672	-1.69%	0.31083	+11.25%	0.1423	✗	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.2734	0.270884	-0.92%	0.279395	+2.19%	0.0144	✗	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.32592	0.321344	-1.40%	0.2734	-16.11%	0.1382	✓	1.00
2026-10-10	oos	0.31055	0.305565	-1.61%	0.32592	+4.95%	0.0553	✗	1.00
2026-10-09	oos	0.29286	0.288049	-1.64%	0.31055	+6.04%	0.0708	✗	1.00
2026-10-08	oos	0.25146	0.248896	-1.02%	0.29286	+16.46%	0.1523	✗	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.272395	0.269315	-1.13%	0.25146	-7.69%	0.0494	✓	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.310145	0.305603	-1.46%	0.272395	-12.17%	0.0882	✓	1.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.285115	0.280027	-1.78%	0.310145	+8.78%	0.1046	✗	1.00
2026-10-04	oos	0.23562	0.234143	-0.63%	0.285115	+21.01%	0.2058	✗	1.00
2026-10-03	oos	0.26884	0.264982	-1.43%	0.23562	-12.36%	0.1381	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.2746	0.268657	-2.16%	0.26884	-2.10%	0.0021	✓	1.00