BNB

BNB · BNB Chain · beta_5y

token id: #9
symbol: BNB
variant: –
chain: BNB Chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-10-22
predictions: 1,071

Track record at +1d

assessed

356

of 357 predictions shown

direction hit

52.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0098

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0047

actual -0.0003

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	748.76	744.3649	-0.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-21	oos	743.66	739.2474	-0.59%	748.76	+0.40%	0.0084	✗	0.67
2026-10-20	oos	740.97	736.2851	-0.63%	743.66	+0.36%	0.0119	✗	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	731.175	726.8013	-0.60%	740.97	+1.34%	0.0103	✗	0.67
2026-10-18	oos	722.47	718.1501	-0.60%	731.175	+1.20%	0.0194	✗	0.67
2026-10-17	oos	717.185	713.5559	-0.51%	722.47	+0.74%	0.0073	✗	0.67
2026-10-16	oos	720.56	716.986	-0.50%	717.185	-0.47%	0.0012	✓	0.67
2026-10-15	oos	728.82	725.1749	-0.50%	720.56	-1.13%	0.0013	✓	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	729.67	725.9882	-0.50%	728.82	-0.12%	0.0006	✓	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	741.1	737.3489	-0.51%	729.67	-1.54%	0.0019	✓	0.66
2026-10-12	oos	732.015	728.4583	-0.49%	741.1	+1.24%	0.0063	✗	0.66
2026-10-11	oos	753.435	749.7628	-0.49%	732.015	-2.84%	0.0088	✓	0.65
2026-10-10	oos	749.575	746.1123	-0.46%	753.435	+0.51%	0.0038	✓	0.65
2026-10-09	oos	741.655	738.5579	-0.42%	749.575	+1.07%	0.0119	✗	0.65
2026-10-08	oos	735.59	732.3816	-0.44%	741.655	+0.82%	0.0059	✗	0.65
2026-10-07	oos	772.055	768.3368	-0.48%	735.59	-4.72%	0.0316	✓	0.62
2026-10-06	oos	779.285	775.6758	-0.46%	772.055	-0.93%	0.0121	✗	0.63
2026-10-05	oos	786.345	782.4352	-0.50%	779.285	-0.90%	0.0025	✓	0.63
2026-10-04	oos	795.305	791.0067	-0.54%	786.345	-1.13%	0.0004	✓	0.63
2026-10-03	oos	786.805	781.8215	-0.63%	795.305	+1.08%	0.0041	✓	0.63
2026-10-02	oos	768.11	763.4144	-0.61%	786.805	+2.43%	0.0284	✗	0.63
2026-10-01	oos	771.455	766.5756	-0.63%	768.11	-0.43%	0.0046	✓	0.63
2026-09-30	oos	768.8	763.6702	-0.67%	771.455	+0.35%	0.0003	✓	0.64
2026-09-29	oos	758.39	753.3728	-0.66%	768.8	+1.37%	0.0209	✗	0.64
2026-09-28	oos	763.53	758.0645	-0.72%	758.39	-0.67%	0.0009	✓	0.63
2026-09-27	oos	778.53	772.7864	-0.74%	763.53	-1.93%	0.0045	✓	0.63
2026-09-26	oos	773.375	767.7981	-0.72%	778.53	+0.67%	0.0135	✗	0.64
2026-09-25	oos	776.945	771.0959	-0.75%	773.375	-0.46%	0.0005	✓	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	776.36	770.5917	-0.74%	776.945	+0.08%	0.0104	✗	0.64
2026-09-23	oos	767.19	761.7791	-0.71%	776.36	+1.20%	0.0189	✗	0.64
2026-09-22	oos	788.285	782.0524	-0.79%	767.19	-2.68%	0.0058	✓	0.63
2026-09-21	oos	799.2	791.7438	-0.93%	788.285	-1.37%	0.0015	✓	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	772.375	766.0704	-0.82%	799.2	+3.47%	0.0001	✓	0.65
2026-09-19	oos	761.85	755.8776	-0.78%	772.375	+1.38%	0.0222	✗	0.66
2026-09-18	oos	761.16	754.6676	-0.85%	761.85	+0.09%	0.0066	✓	0.65
2026-09-17	oos	737.75	733.3996	-0.59%	761.16	+3.17%	0.0013	✓	0.67
2026-09-16	oos	725.435	721.8438	-0.50%	737.75	+1.70%	0.0200	✗	0.67
2026-09-15	oos	711.665	709.4469	-0.31%	725.435	+1.93%	0.0172	✗	0.68
2026-09-14	oos	720.39	718.2172	-0.30%	711.665	-1.21%	0.0141	✗	0.69
2026-09-13	oos	716.04	714.834	-0.17%	720.39	+0.61%	0.0047	✓	0.70
2026-09-12	oos	727.355	727.0186	-0.05%	716.04	-1.56%	0.0110	✓	0.70
2026-09-11	oos	726.67	726.8772	+0.03%	727.355	+0.09%	0.0002	✓	0.69
2026-09-10	oos	708.42	710.731	+0.33%	726.67	+2.58%	0.0161	✓	0.69
2026-09-09	oos	722.425	725.6615	+0.45%	708.42	-1.94%	0.0085	✗	0.69
2026-09-08	oos	752.03	754.7035	+0.36%	722.425	-3.94%	0.0423	✗	0.69
2026-09-07	oos	739.805	743.2851	+0.47%	752.03	+1.65%	0.0174	✓	0.70
2026-09-06	oos	752.88	756.0223	+0.42%	739.805	-1.74%	0.0108	✗	0.69
2026-09-05	oos	766.72	767.8636	+0.15%	752.88	-1.81%	0.0241	✗	0.70
2026-09-04	oos	721.62	723.7244	+0.29%	766.72	+6.25%	0.0563	✓	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	725.32	726.6547	+0.18%	721.62	-0.51%	0.0074	✓	0.73
2026-09-02	oos	688.46	689.0084	+0.08%	725.32	+5.35%	0.0146	✓	0.74
2026-09-01	oos	682.57	683.2325	+0.10%	688.46	+0.86%	0.0085	✓	0.74
2026-08-31	oos	691.18	691.1502	-0.00%	682.57	-1.25%	0.0011	✓	0.76
2026-08-30	oos	685.33	684.3493	-0.14%	691.18	+0.85%	0.0010	✓	0.78
2026-08-29	oos	692.66	691.0848	-0.23%	685.33	-1.06%	0.0027	✓	0.78
2026-08-28	oos	691.43	689.5048	-0.28%	692.66	+0.18%	0.0006	✓	0.78
2026-08-27	oos	711.98	709.4339	-0.36%	691.43	-2.89%	0.0014	✓	0.79
2026-08-26	oos	707.61	704.3032	-0.47%	711.98	+0.62%	0.0015	✓	0.79
2026-08-25	oos	694.05	690.7165	-0.48%	707.61	+1.95%	0.0192	✗	0.79
2026-08-24	oos	704.28	700.0656	-0.60%	694.05	-1.45%	0.0041	✓	0.79
2026-08-23	oos	702.3	697.9016	-0.63%	704.28	+0.28%	0.0035	✓	0.79
2026-08-22	oos	695.3	690.0876	-0.75%	702.3	+1.01%	0.0107	✗	0.79
2026-08-21	oos	686.92	681.682	-0.76%	695.3	+1.22%	0.0329	✗	0.80
2026-08-20	oos	654.66	649.5123	-0.79%	686.92	+4.93%	0.0012	✓	0.81
2026-08-19	oos	627.41	623.0251	-0.70%	654.66	+4.34%	0.0074	✗	0.81
2026-08-18	oos	603.55	600.3541	-0.53%	627.41	+3.95%	0.0146	✓	0.85
2026-08-17	oos	605.15	601.7007	-0.57%	603.55	-0.26%	0.0004	✓	0.85
2026-08-16	oos	602.38	599.1088	-0.54%	605.15	+0.46%	0.0125	✓	0.87
2026-08-15	oos	607.08	603.6533	-0.56%	602.38	-0.77%	0.0004	✓	0.87
2026-08-14	oos	607.46	604.0647	-0.56%	607.08	-0.06%	0.0044	✓	0.88
2026-08-13	oos	610.135	606.6454	-0.57%	607.46	-0.44%	0.0076	✗	0.88
2026-08-12	oos	609.83	606.1005	-0.61%	610.135	+0.05%	0.0064	✗	0.87
2026-08-11	oos	616.16	611.5672	-0.75%	609.83	-1.03%	0.0012	✓	0.86
2026-08-10	oos	598.64	595.3091	-0.56%	616.16	+2.93%	0.0395	✗	0.86
2026-08-09	oos	601.735	598.4816	-0.54%	598.64	-0.51%	0.0127	✗	0.86
2026-08-08	oos	600.25	596.9532	-0.55%	601.735	+0.25%	0.0088	✗	0.86
2026-08-07	oos	592.37	589.504	-0.48%	600.25	+1.33%	0.0178	✗	0.86
2026-08-06	oos	591.745	588.4853	-0.55%	592.37	+0.11%	0.0017	✓	0.86
2026-08-05	oos	593.28	589.1029	-0.70%	591.745	-0.26%	0.0090	✗	0.86
2026-08-04	oos	592.73	589.323	-0.57%	593.28	+0.09%	0.0007	✓	0.87
2026-08-03	oos	588.74	585.6097	-0.53%	592.73	+0.68%	0.0041	✓	0.87
2026-08-02	oos	587.85	584.9165	-0.50%	588.74	+0.15%	0.0070	✗	0.87
2026-08-01	oos	574.73	571.7587	-0.52%	587.85	+2.28%	0.0177	✗	0.86
2026-07-31	oos	586.4	582.425	-0.68%	574.73	-1.99%	0.0125	✓	0.86
2026-07-30	oos	591.7	587.9282	-0.64%	586.4	-0.90%	0.0235	✗	0.88
2026-07-29	oos	571.24	568.2809	-0.52%	591.7	+3.58%	0.0295	✗	0.85
2026-07-28	oos	570.62	567.5951	-0.53%	571.24	+0.11%	0.0058	✗	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	565.785	562.8054	-0.53%	570.62	+0.85%	0.0118	✗	0.84
2026-07-26	oos	574.77	572.0028	-0.48%	565.785	-1.56%	0.0106	✗	0.84
2026-07-25	oos	568.38	565.7554	-0.46%	574.77	+1.12%	0.0021	✓	0.85
2026-07-24	oos	564.47	561.9391	-0.45%	568.38	+0.69%	0.0086	✗	0.85
2026-07-23	oos	566.99	564.741	-0.40%	564.47	-0.44%	0.0122	✗	0.85
2026-07-22	oos	570.86	568.8579	-0.35%	566.99	-0.68%	0.0101	✗	0.85
2026-07-21	oos	573.69	571.6985	-0.35%	570.86	-0.49%	0.0040	✗	0.85
2026-07-20	oos	570.92	568.7329	-0.38%	573.69	+0.49%	0.0081	✓	0.85
2026-07-19	oos	570.62	568.6265	-0.35%	570.92	+0.05%	0.0029	✓	0.85
2026-07-18	oos	570.32	568.5251	-0.31%	570.62	+0.05%	0.0052	✗	0.85
2026-07-17	oos	567.7	565.9667	-0.31%	570.32	+0.46%	0.0043	✓	0.85
2026-07-16	oos	572.14	570.2356	-0.33%	567.7	-0.78%	0.0061	✓	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	580.32	578.2111	-0.36%	572.14	-1.41%	0.0019	✓	0.85
2026-07-14	oos	581.4	579.2519	-0.37%	580.32	-0.19%	0.0054	✗	0.85
2026-07-13	oos	566.87	564.6969	-0.38%	581.4	+2.56%	0.0081	✓	0.87
2026-07-12	oos	573.505	571.2903	-0.39%	566.87	-1.16%	0.0127	✗	0.87
2026-07-11	oos	574.3	572.135	-0.38%	573.505	-0.14%	0.0028	✓	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	575.035	572.762	-0.40%	574.3	-0.13%	0.0075	✗	0.86
2026-07-09	oos	568.44	566.3913	-0.36%	575.035	+1.16%	0.0022	✓	0.86
2026-07-08	oos	568.31	566.2623	-0.36%	568.44	+0.02%	0.0091	✓	0.86
2026-07-07	oos	576.36	574.3366	-0.35%	568.31	-1.40%	0.0043	✗	0.86
2026-07-06	oos	585.4	583.1878	-0.38%	576.36	-1.54%	0.0025	✓	0.87
2026-07-05	oos	589.32	586.6179	-0.46%	585.4	-0.67%	0.0077	✓	0.86
2026-07-04	oos	574.83	571.69	-0.55%	589.32	+2.52%	0.0236	✗	0.86
2026-07-03	oos	573.35	571.1403	-0.39%	574.83	+0.26%	0.0013	✓	0.85
2026-07-02	oos	558.22	555.996	-0.40%	573.35	+2.71%	0.0166	✗	0.85
2026-07-01	oos	549.9	547.6796	-0.40%	558.22	+1.51%	0.0023	✓	0.85
2026-06-30	oos	545.86	543.6719	-0.40%	549.9	+0.74%	0.0099	✓	0.88
2026-06-29	oos	558.8	556.576	-0.40%	545.86	-2.32%	0.0048	✗	0.88
2026-06-28	oos	550.205	548.2246	-0.36%	558.8	+1.56%	0.0091	✗	0.87
2026-06-27	oos	556.48	554.4664	-0.36%	550.205	-1.13%	0.0010	✓	0.87
2026-06-26	oos	566.9	564.5093	-0.42%	556.48	-1.84%	0.0133	✓	0.87
2026-06-25	oos	559.77	557.4135	-0.42%	566.9	+1.27%	0.0125	✗	0.87
2026-06-24	oos	563.59	561.3443	-0.40%	559.77	-0.68%	0.0156	✗	0.87
2026-06-23	oos	577.53	575.4294	-0.36%	563.59	-2.41%	0.0025	✓	0.87
2026-06-22	oos	589.485	587.1506	-0.40%	577.53	-2.03%	0.0014	✓	0.87
2026-06-21	oos	583.74	581.5464	-0.38%	589.485	+0.98%	0.0038	✗	0.87
2026-06-20	oos	587.2	585.0063	-0.37%	583.74	-0.59%	0.0110	✗	0.85
2026-06-19	oos	581	578.9214	-0.36%	587.2	+1.07%	0.0043	✗	0.84
2026-06-18	oos	577.92	575.8341	-0.36%	581	+0.53%	0.0010	✓	0.84
2026-06-17	oos	601.34	598.8938	-0.41%	577.92	-3.89%	0.0152	✓	0.83
2026-06-16	oos	604.42	601.8171	-0.43%	601.34	-0.51%	0.0143	✗	0.84
2026-06-15	oos	617.465	614.3131	-0.51%	604.42	-2.11%	0.0079	✓	0.83
2026-06-14	oos	616.58	613.5918	-0.48%	617.465	+0.14%	0.0009	✓	0.83
2026-06-13	oos	609.3	606.3118	-0.49%	616.58	+1.19%	0.0006	✓	0.82
2026-06-12	oos	603.71	600.6345	-0.51%	609.3	+0.93%	0.0028	✓	0.83
2026-06-11	oos	605.26	601.956	-0.55%	603.71	-0.26%	0.0032	✓	0.83
2026-06-10	oos	586.1	583.5446	-0.44%	605.26	+3.27%	0.0086	✗	0.83
2026-06-09	oos	593	590.1062	-0.49%	586.1	-1.16%	0.0036	✓	0.82
2026-06-08	oos	601.53	598.5282	-0.50%	593	-1.42%	0.0090	✗	0.83
2026-06-07	oos	604.37	601.0623	-0.55%	601.53	-0.47%	0.0039	✓	0.82
2026-06-06	oos	574.2	571.9646	-0.39%	604.37	+5.25%	0.0231	✗	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	572	569.1978	-0.49%	574.2	+0.38%	0.0112	✗	0.81
2026-06-04	oos	603.84	600.3667	-0.58%	572	-5.27%	0.0134	✓	0.79
2026-06-03	oos	619.79	616.9443	-0.46%	603.84	-2.57%	0.0186	✓	0.79
2026-06-02	oos	649.92	645.9204	-0.62%	619.79	-4.64%	0.0106	✓	0.77
2026-06-01	oos	692.19	685.9083	-0.91%	649.92	-6.11%	0.0047	✓	0.73
2026-05-31	oos	709.58	703.7221	-0.83%	692.19	-2.45%	0.0061	✓	0.73
2026-05-30	oos	717.48	709.3097	-1.14%	709.58	-1.10%	0.0023	✓	0.72
2026-05-29	oos	642.38	638.2614	-0.64%	717.48	+11.69%	0.1131	✗	0.70
2026-05-28	oos	637.3	633.4398	-0.61%	642.38	+0.80%	0.0154	✗	0.70
2026-05-27	oos	647.88	644.1318	-0.58%	637.3	-1.63%	0.0031	✓	0.70
2026-05-26	oos	655.62	651.654	-0.60%	647.88	-1.18%	0.0083	✗	0.70
2026-05-25	oos	662.61	657.9702	-0.70%	655.62	-1.05%	0.0104	✗	0.75
2026-05-24	oos	655.76	651.8223	-0.60%	662.61	+1.04%	0.0137	✗	0.75
2026-05-23	oos	655.49	651.3571	-0.63%	655.76	+0.04%	0.0036	✓	0.75
2026-05-22	oos	649.64	645.4187	-0.65%	655.49	+0.90%	0.0035	✓	0.75
2026-05-21	oos	657.8	653.6013	-0.64%	649.64	-1.24%	0.0148	✗	0.76
2026-05-20	oos	648.94	644.9449	-0.62%	657.8	+1.37%	0.0190	✗	0.77
2026-05-19	oos	639.36	635.921	-0.54%	648.94	+1.50%	0.0132	✗	0.76
2026-05-18	oos	643.2	639.9138	-0.51%	639.36	-0.60%	0.0009	✓	0.77
2026-05-17	oos	649.02	645.5653	-0.53%	643.2	-0.90%	0.0009	✓	0.77
2026-05-16	oos	656.09	652.7441	-0.51%	649.02	-1.08%	0.0011	✓	0.76
2026-05-15	oos	672.045	667.6219	-0.66%	656.09	-2.37%	0.0081	✓	0.77
2026-05-14	oos	678.24	674.4364	-0.56%	672.045	-0.91%	0.0161	✗	0.78
2026-05-13	oos	671.48	667.6073	-0.58%	678.24	+1.01%	0.0012	✓	0.76
2026-05-12	oos	664.81	661.3254	-0.52%	671.48	+1.00%	0.0267	✗	0.76
2026-05-11	oos	670.32	666.6003	-0.55%	664.81	-0.82%	0.0090	✗	0.76
2026-05-10	oos	663.43	659.8314	-0.54%	670.32	+1.04%	0.0202	✗	0.77
2026-05-09	oos	649.52	646.448	-0.47%	663.43	+2.14%	0.0113	✗	0.77
2026-05-08	oos	649.39	646.3719	-0.46%	649.52	+0.02%	0.0004	✓	0.76
2026-05-07	oos	637.01	634.0872	-0.46%	649.39	+1.94%	0.0221	✗	0.76
2026-05-06	oos	647.59	644.3643	-0.50%	637.01	-1.63%	0.0018	✓	0.75
2026-05-05	oos	630.47	627.7681	-0.43%	647.59	+2.72%	0.0259	✗	0.79
2026-05-04	oos	622.5	619.6082	-0.46%	630.47	+1.28%	0.0068	✗	0.81
2026-05-03	oos	617.29	615.079	-0.36%	622.5	+0.84%	0.0012	✓	0.81
2026-05-02	oos	618.1	616.0797	-0.33%	617.29	-0.13%	0.0032	✓	0.81
2026-05-01	oos	615.24	613.3444	-0.31%	618.1	+0.46%	0.0031	✗	0.81
2026-04-30	oos	615.04	612.581	-0.40%	615.24	+0.03%	0.0167	✓	0.84
2026-04-29	oos	617.165	614.6798	-0.40%	615.04	-0.34%	0.0055	✓	0.84
2026-04-28	oos	624.58	622.1284	-0.39%	617.165	-1.19%	0.0018	✓	0.84
2026-04-27	oos	626.68	624.4226	-0.36%	624.58	-0.34%	0.0117	✗	0.84
2026-04-26	oos	635.8	633.7636	-0.32%	626.68	-1.43%	0.0029	✓	0.84
2026-04-25	oos	628.69	626.7387	-0.31%	635.8	+1.13%	0.0033	✗	0.84
2026-04-24	oos	636.42	634.1802	-0.35%	628.69	-1.21%	0.0107	✓	0.84
2026-04-23	oos	638.68	636.3745	-0.36%	636.42	-0.35%	0.0089	✗	0.84
2026-04-22	oos	637.83	635.3288	-0.39%	638.68	+0.13%	0.0045	✗	0.84
2026-04-21	oos	631.95	629.367	-0.41%	637.83	+0.93%	0.0070	✓	0.84
2026-04-20	oos	629.59	626.9457	-0.42%	631.95	+0.37%	0.0026	✓	0.84
2026-04-19	oos	616.46	614.0702	-0.39%	629.59	+2.13%	0.0019	✓	0.84
2026-04-18	oos	629.93	627.5112	-0.38%	616.46	-2.14%	0.0039	✗	0.84
2026-04-17	oos	643.63	640.8749	-0.43%	629.93	-2.13%	0.0022	✓	0.84
2026-04-16	oos	636.07	633.1271	-0.46%	643.63	+1.19%	0.0051	✓	0.85
2026-04-15	oos	622.86	620.2061	-0.43%	636.07	+2.12%	0.0216	✗	0.84
2026-04-14	oos	614.18	611.5577	-0.43%	622.86	+1.41%	0.0109	✗	0.84
2026-04-13	oos	615.03	612.1275	-0.47%	614.18	-0.14%	0.0064	✗	0.84
2026-04-12	oos	592.15	589.735	-0.41%	615.03	+3.86%	0.0011	✓	0.85
2026-04-11	oos	607.34	604.841	-0.41%	592.15	-2.50%	0.0063	✗	0.85
2026-04-10	oos	605.71	603.1239	-0.43%	607.34	+0.27%	0.0059	✗	0.85
2026-04-09	oos	603	600.478	-0.42%	605.71	+0.45%	0.0054	✓	0.85
2026-04-08	oos	601.24	598.6211	-0.44%	603	+0.29%	0.0012	✓	0.85
2026-04-07	oos	620.35	617.0819	-0.53%	601.24	-3.08%	0.0162	✓	0.85
2026-04-06	oos	600.08	596.7692	-0.55%	620.35	+3.38%	0.0019	✓	0.85
2026-04-05	oos	601.36	598.3202	-0.51%	600.08	-0.21%	0.0048	✓	0.85
2026-04-04	oos	593.34	590.5187	-0.48%	601.36	+1.35%	0.0032	✓	0.85
2026-04-03	oos	588.3	585.6477	-0.45%	593.34	+0.86%	0.0088	✗	0.85
2026-04-02	oos	583.32	580.764	-0.44%	588.3	+0.85%	0.0121	✗	0.85
2026-04-01	oos	610.725	607.6117	-0.51%	583.32	-4.49%	0.0255	✓	0.85
2026-03-31	oos	616.85	613.3607	-0.57%	610.725	-0.99%	0.0030	✓	0.84
2026-03-30	oos	608.56	605.1093	-0.57%	616.85	+1.36%	0.0006	✓	0.84
2026-03-29	oos	605.62	602.4574	-0.52%	608.56	+0.49%	0.0001	✓	0.84
2026-03-28	oos	610.47	607.4558	-0.49%	605.62	-0.79%	0.0016	✓	0.84
2026-03-27	oos	613.45	610.3571	-0.50%	610.47	-0.49%	0.0006	✓	0.85
2026-03-26	oos	628.48	625.5398	-0.47%	613.45	-2.39%	0.0109	✗	0.85
2026-03-25	oos	647.39	644.3164	-0.47%	628.48	-2.92%	0.0059	✗	0.85
2026-03-24	oos	638.04	635.2056	-0.44%	647.39	+1.47%	0.0098	✗	0.85
2026-03-23	oos	638.93	635.619	-0.52%	638.04	-0.14%	0.0079	✗	0.85
2026-03-22	oos	626.29	623.4236	-0.46%	638.93	+2.02%	0.0130	✓	0.86
2026-03-21	oos	630.24	627.7529	-0.39%	626.29	-0.63%	0.0111	✗	0.86
2026-03-20	oos	641.995	639.4546	-0.40%	630.24	-1.83%	0.0051	✗	0.86
2026-03-19	oos	639.02	636.4996	-0.39%	641.995	+0.47%	0.0015	✓	0.86
2026-03-18	oos	652.205	650.0501	-0.33%	639.02	-2.02%	0.0009	✓	0.86
2026-03-17	oos	668.96	666.9172	-0.31%	652.205	-2.50%	0.0098	✗	0.87
2026-03-16	oos	679.51	677.1008	-0.35%	668.96	-1.55%	0.0009	✓	0.87
2026-03-15	oos	673.98	671.4302	-0.38%	679.51	+0.82%	0.0125	✓	0.88
2026-03-14	oos	657.81	655.4702	-0.36%	673.98	+2.46%	0.0084	✗	0.88
2026-03-13	oos	655.86	653.4102	-0.37%	657.81	+0.30%	0.0032	✓	0.88
2026-03-12	oos	651.74	649.4628	-0.35%	655.86	+0.63%	0.0047	✗	0.88
2026-03-11	oos	651.44	649.014	-0.37%	651.74	+0.05%	0.0002	✓	0.87
2026-03-10	oos	642.1	639.7782	-0.36%	651.44	+1.45%	0.0150	✗	0.87
2026-03-09	oos	634.68	631.9145	-0.44%	642.1	+1.17%	0.0033	✓	0.87
2026-03-08	oos	611.76	609.4783	-0.37%	634.68	+3.75%	0.0089	✗	0.86
2026-03-07	oos	620.14	618.1501	-0.32%	611.76	-1.35%	0.0063	✗	0.86
2026-03-06	oos	627.4	625.5745	-0.29%	620.14	-1.16%	0.0021	✓	0.86
2026-03-05	oos	647.8	645.8602	-0.30%	627.4	-3.15%	0.0056	✗	0.87
2026-03-04	oos	658.48	656.1909	-0.35%	647.8	-1.62%	0.0088	✗	0.86
2026-03-03	oos	633.41	631.3192	-0.33%	658.48	+3.96%	0.0120	✓	0.88
2026-03-02	oos	637.65	635.3342	-0.36%	633.41	-0.66%	0.0034	✓	0.89
2026-03-01	oos	617.76	615.4897	-0.37%	637.65	+3.22%	0.0056	✓	0.90
2026-02-28	oos	616.88	614.8471	-0.33%	617.76	+0.14%	0.0212	✗	0.91
2026-02-27	oos	613.92	611.8788	-0.33%	616.88	+0.48%	0.0071	✓	0.91
2026-02-26	oos	625.83	623.7815	-0.33%	613.92	-1.90%	0.0064	✗	0.91
2026-02-25	oos	629.14	626.8317	-0.37%	625.83	-0.53%	0.0052	✗	0.92
2026-02-24	oos	583.45	581.8269	-0.28%	629.14	+7.83%	0.0249	✗	0.90
2026-02-23	oos	596.11	594.3142	-0.30%	583.45	-2.12%	0.0107	✓	0.90
2026-02-22	oos	614.625	613.1004	-0.25%	596.11	-3.01%	0.0127	✗	0.90
2026-02-21	oos	625.68	623.9386	-0.28%	614.625	-1.77%	0.0105	✓	0.90
2026-02-20	oos	625.69	623.8127	-0.30%	625.68	-0.00%	0.0034	✗	0.90
2026-02-19	oos	607.68	606.1791	-0.25%	625.69	+2.96%	0.0182	✗	0.90
2026-02-18	oos	604.4	602.9977	-0.23%	607.68	+0.54%	0.0003	✓	0.90
2026-02-17	oos	617.485	615.9768	-0.24%	604.4	-2.12%	0.0051	✓	0.89
2026-02-16	oos	627.13	625.4376	-0.27%	617.485	-1.54%	0.0055	✗	0.89
2026-02-15	oos	614.61	613.1474	-0.24%	627.13	+2.04%	0.0217	✗	0.90
2026-02-14	oos	632.34	630.6195	-0.27%	614.61	-2.80%	0.0129	✓	0.89
2026-02-13	oos	618.56	616.995	-0.25%	632.34	+2.23%	0.0120	✗	0.89
2026-02-12	oos	613.57	612.1736	-0.23%	618.56	+0.81%	0.0246	✓	0.91
2026-02-11	oos	607.69	606.3774	-0.22%	613.57	+0.97%	0.0227	✗	0.89
2026-02-10	oos	619.36	618.2135	-0.19%	607.69	-1.88%	0.0062	✗	0.89
2026-02-09	oos	635.99	634.5846	-0.22%	619.36	-2.61%	0.0077	✓	0.89
2026-02-08	oos	639.51	638.3911	-0.17%	635.99	-0.55%	0.0015	✓	0.89
2026-02-07	oos	646.53	645.2858	-0.19%	639.51	-1.09%	0.0222	✓	0.89
2026-02-06	oos	656.84	654.5975	-0.34%	646.53	-1.57%	0.0039	✗	0.89
2026-02-05	oos	607.2	608.1735	+0.16%	656.84	+8.18%	0.0316	✗	0.93
2026-02-04	oos	695.89	694.379	-0.22%	607.2	-12.74%	0.0109	✗	0.96
2026-02-03	oos	753.45	750.7147	-0.36%	695.89	-7.64%	0.0428	✓	0.92
2026-02-02	oos	773.2	769.4282	-0.49%	753.45	-2.55%	0.0153	✗	0.93
2026-02-01	oos	757.46	754.6101	-0.38%	773.2	+2.08%	0.0028	✓	0.95
2026-01-31	oos	780.31	776.8701	-0.44%	757.46	-2.93%	0.0032	✓	0.98
2026-01-30	oos	857.33	849.6211	-0.90%	780.31	-8.98%	0.0224	✓	0.93
2026-01-29	oos	867.275	862.6231	-0.54%	857.33	-1.15%	0.0017	✓	0.93
2026-01-28	oos	901.44	896.331	-0.57%	867.275	-3.79%	0.0178	✗	0.95
2026-01-27	oos	897.22	891.3944	-0.65%	901.44	+0.47%	0.0107	✗	0.95
2026-01-26	oos	878.43	873.732	-0.53%	897.22	+2.14%	0.0174	✗	0.93
2026-01-25	oos	865.03	860.6163	-0.51%	878.43	+1.55%	0.0024	✓	0.94
2026-01-24	oos	886.12	881.6981	-0.50%	865.03	-2.38%	0.0079	✗	0.94
2026-01-23	oos	890.52	885.6336	-0.55%	886.12	-0.49%	0.0047	✓	0.93
2026-01-22	oos	887.31	882.816	-0.51%	890.52	+0.36%	0.0086	✗	0.93
2026-01-21	oos	882.83	876.4096	-0.73%	887.31	+0.51%	0.0113	✗	0.93
2026-01-20	oos	883.13	877.0615	-0.69%	882.83	-0.03%	0.0047	✓	0.95
2026-01-19	oos	923.08	915.7217	-0.80%	883.13	-4.33%	0.0085	✗	0.95
2026-01-18	oos	931.8	927.1984	-0.49%	923.08	-0.94%	0.0065	✗	0.95
2026-01-17	oos	946.94	941.978	-0.52%	931.8	-1.60%	0.0040	✓	0.95
2026-01-16	oos	937.86	933.484	-0.47%	946.94	+0.97%	0.0183	✗	0.95
2026-01-15	oos	931.02	926.368	-0.50%	937.86	+0.73%	0.0132	✗	0.95
2026-01-14	oos	948.385	943.4054	-0.53%	931.02	-1.83%	0.0003	✓	0.95
2026-01-13	oos	943.3	937.4914	-0.62%	948.385	+0.54%	0.0041	✓	0.96
2026-01-12	oos	905.01	900.3439	-0.52%	943.3	+4.23%	0.0035	✓	0.96
2026-01-11	oos	902.48	897.8886	-0.51%	905.01	+0.28%	0.0046	✓	0.96
2026-01-10	oos	906.64	901.8705	-0.53%	902.48	-0.46%	0.0046	✓	0.96
2026-01-09	oos	895.55	891.1756	-0.49%	906.64	+1.24%	0.0187	✗	0.96
2026-01-08	oos	891.58	887.7079	-0.43%	895.55	+0.45%	0.0142	✗	0.96
2026-01-07	oos	899.39	895.5607	-0.43%	891.58	-0.87%	0.0018	✓	0.96
2026-01-06	oos	917.14	912.9391	-0.46%	899.39	-1.94%	0.0105	✗	0.97
2026-01-05	oos	910.35	906.1349	-0.46%	917.14	+0.75%	0.0136	✗	0.97
2026-01-04	oos	895.53	891.6329	-0.44%	910.35	+1.65%	0.0042	✓	0.97
2026-01-03	oos	878.06	874.1345	-0.45%	895.53	+1.99%	0.0147	✗	0.97
2026-01-02	oos	881.01	875.965	-0.57%	878.06	-0.33%	0.0045	✓	0.97
2026-01-01	oos	863.24	859.6003	-0.42%	881.01	+2.06%	0.0114	✗	0.97
2025-12-31	oos	862.74	858.8639	-0.45%	863.24	+0.06%	0.0086	✓	0.97
2025-12-30	oos	860.46	856.8203	-0.42%	862.74	+0.26%	0.0169	✗	0.98
2025-12-29	oos	851.2	847.5558	-0.43%	860.46	+1.09%	0.0007	✓	0.98
2025-12-28	oos	858.68	855.0346	-0.42%	851.2	-0.87%	0.0041	✓	0.98
2025-12-27	oos	844.51	841.142	-0.40%	858.68	+1.68%	0.0199	✗	0.98
2025-12-26	oos	833.95	830.7164	-0.39%	844.51	+1.27%	0.0108	✗	0.98
2025-12-25	oos	829.41	826.4354	-0.36%	833.95	+0.55%	0.0077	✗	0.97
2025-12-24	oos	846.16	842.9551	-0.38%	829.41	-1.98%	0.0113	✓	0.97
2025-12-23	oos	843.84	840.6223	-0.38%	846.16	+0.27%	0.0046	✗	0.97
2025-12-22	oos	858.19	854.5808	-0.42%	843.84	-1.67%	0.0002	✓	0.97
2025-12-21	oos	858.2	854.8537	-0.39%	858.19	-0.00%	0.0048	✗	0.97
2025-12-20	oos	853.92	850.661	-0.38%	858.2	+0.50%	0.0054	✗	0.97
2025-12-19	oos	855.61	851.9086	-0.43%	853.92	-0.20%	0.0002	✓	0.97
2025-12-18	oos	829.56	826.2728	-0.40%	855.61	+3.14%	0.0055	✗	0.97
2025-12-17	oos	842.7	838.9786	-0.44%	829.56	-1.56%	0.0028	✓	0.97
2025-12-16	oos	875.11	870.8096	-0.49%	842.7	-3.70%	0.0147	✓	0.96
2025-12-15	oos	858.62	854.5209	-0.48%	875.11	+1.92%	0.0080	✗	0.96
2025-12-14	oos	877.21	873.0039	-0.48%	858.62	-2.12%	0.0026	✓	0.96
2025-12-13	oos	897.01	892.593	-0.49%	877.21	-2.21%	0.0049	✓	0.96
2025-12-12	oos	881.76	877.5141	-0.48%	897.01	+1.73%	0.0222	✗	0.95
2025-12-11	oos	885.8	881.8215	-0.45%	881.76	-0.46%	0.0239	✗	0.97
2025-12-10	oos	893.41	889.1963	-0.47%	885.8	-0.85%	0.0092	✓	0.97
2025-12-09	oos	897.34	892.9733	-0.49%	893.41	-0.44%	0.0074	✗	0.97
2025-12-08	oos	897.31	892.6563	-0.52%	897.34	+0.00%	0.0169	✓	0.99
2025-12-07	oos	894.49	889.845	-0.52%	897.31	+0.32%	0.0056	✗	0.99
2025-12-06	oos	890.57	886.052	-0.51%	894.49	+0.44%	0.0031	✓	1.00
2025-12-05	oos	883.69	879.4344	-0.48%	890.57	+0.78%	0.0134	✗	1.00
2025-12-04	oos	900.19	895.598	-0.51%	883.69	-1.83%	0.0172	✗	1.01
2025-12-03	oos	921.03	915.4896	-0.60%	900.19	-2.26%	0.0021	✓	1.01
2025-12-02	oos	876.75	872.0194	-0.54%	921.03	+5.05%	0.0320	✗	0.98
2025-12-01	oos	826.8	822.6791	-0.50%	876.75	+6.04%	0.0090	✗	0.97
2025-11-30	oos	875.61	871.0929	-0.52%	826.8	-5.57%	0.0087	✓	0.94
2025-11-29	oos	873.02	868.6553	-0.50%	875.61	+0.30%	0.0127	✗	0.94
2025-11-28	oos	887.395	882.5567	-0.55%	873.02	-1.62%	0.0101	✓	0.94
2025-11-27	oos	895.65	890.4448	-0.58%	887.395	-0.92%	0.0009	✓	0.94
2025-11-26	oos	891.46	885.914	-0.62%	895.65	+0.47%	0.0021	✓	0.95
2025-11-25	oos	862.01	857.0122	-0.58%	891.46	+3.42%	0.0060	✗	0.94
2025-11-24	oos	864.31	858.5473	-0.67%	862.01	-0.27%	0.0142	✗	0.95
2025-11-23	oos	843.39	838.5189	-0.58%	864.31	+2.48%	0.0148	✗	0.93
2025-11-22	oos	833.31	828.8493	-0.54%	843.39	+1.21%	0.0062	✓	0.95
2025-11-21	oos	829.93	824.9398	-0.60%	833.31	+0.41%	0.0144	✗	0.95
2025-11-20	oos	865.48	860.6051	-0.56%	829.93	-4.11%	0.0192	✓	1.00
2025-11-19	oos	896.71	891.0774	-0.63%	865.48	-3.48%	0.0262	✗	1.00
2025-11-18	oos	931.97	924.4187	-0.81%	896.71	-3.78%	0.0147	✓	1.00
2025-11-17	oos	906.13	899.6057	-0.72%	931.97	+2.85%	0.0265	✗	1.00
2025-11-16	oos	926.11	918.7397	-0.80%	906.13	-2.16%	0.0085	✗	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	931.82	925.0361	-0.73%	926.11	-0.61%	0.0155	✗	1.00
2025-11-14	oos	914.57	907.8713	-0.73%	931.82	+1.89%	0.0151	✗	1.00
2025-11-13	oos	926.52	919.77	-0.73%	914.57	-1.29%	0.0470	✗	1.00
2025-11-12	oos	952.89	945.7441	-0.75%	926.52	-2.77%	0.0004	✓	1.00
2025-11-11	oos	957.82	950.0675	-0.81%	952.89	-0.51%	0.0164	✗	1.00
2025-11-10	oos	992.15	984.0464	-0.82%	957.82	-3.46%	0.0014	✓	1.00
2025-11-09	oos	996.89	988.5623	-0.84%	992.15	-0.48%	0.0086	✓	1.00
2025-11-08	oos	991.1	982.999	-0.82%	996.89	+0.58%	0.0092	✓	1.00
2025-11-07	oos	990.16	980.4427	-0.98%	991.1	+0.09%	0.0205	✗	1.00
2025-11-06	oos	950.03	942.5472	-0.79%	990.16	+4.22%	0.0298	✗	1.00
2025-11-05	oos	959.93	951.9795	-0.83%	950.03	-1.03%	0.0231	✗	1.00
2025-11-04	oos	936.6	929.0595	-0.81%	959.93	+2.49%	0.0093	✗	1.00
2025-11-03	oos	993.73	984.2599	-0.95%	936.6	-5.75%	0.0007	✓	1.00
2025-11-02	oos	1,083.43	1,074.40	-0.83%	993.73	-8.28%	0.0414	✓	1.00
2025-11-01	oos	1,093.88	1,084.78	-0.83%	1,083.43	-0.96%	0.0056	✓	1.00
2025-10-31	oos	1,089.03	1,079.92	-0.84%	1,093.88	+0.45%	0.0083	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.