AVAAI

? · · beta_5y

token id: #791
symbol: AVAAI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-03-04
predictions: 1,740

Track record at +30d

assessed

361

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

53.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2021

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0173

actual +0.0398

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.008125	0.007768	-4.39%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-21	oos	0.008075	0.007722	-4.37%	–	pending	–	–	-0.53
2026-10-20	oos	0.00756	0.007203	-4.72%	–	pending	–	–	-0.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.007405	0.007061	-4.65%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.00711	0.006809	-4.23%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-17	oos	0.007295	0.006916	-5.20%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-16	oos	0.00736	0.007027	-4.53%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.00747	0.00718	-3.88%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-14	oos	0.007585	0.007263	-4.24%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-13	oos	0.007845	0.007585	-3.32%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-12	oos	0.008115	0.007776	-4.18%	–	pending	–	–	-0.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.00849	0.008253	-2.79%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-10	oos	0.008855	0.008559	-3.35%	–	pending	–	–	-0.45
2026-10-09	oos	0.008635	0.0084	-2.72%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-08	oos	0.009345	0.008998	-3.71%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-10-07	oos	0.009275	0.009035	-2.59%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.00931	0.009187	-1.32%	–	pending	–	–	-0.45
2026-10-05	oos	0.00941	0.00931	-1.06%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-10-04	oos	0.00963	0.009537	-0.97%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-10-03	oos	0.009195	0.009163	-0.35%	–	pending	–	–	-0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.009955	0.009803	-1.52%	–	pending	–	–	-0.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.00995	0.00982	-1.30%	–	pending	–	–	-0.47
2026-09-30	oos	0.009625	0.009513	-1.16%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-09-29	oos	0.00986	0.00972	-1.42%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-09-28	oos	0.010215	0.01003	-1.81%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-09-27	oos	0.00985	0.009786	-0.64%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-09-26	oos	0.01024	0.010165	-0.74%	–	pending	–	–	-0.47
2026-09-25	oos	0.00975	0.009812	+0.63%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.009845	0.009999	+1.57%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.009825	0.010032	+2.10%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-09-22	oos	0.010185	0.01038	+1.92%	0.008125	-20.23%	0.2585	✗	-0.58
2026-09-21	oos	0.011175	0.011236	+0.55%	0.008075	-27.74%	0.3436	✗	-0.44
2026-09-20	oos	0.01132	0.01108	-2.12%	0.00756	-33.22%	0.3708	✓	-0.53
2026-09-19	oos	0.009885	0.009971	+0.87%	0.007405	-25.09%	0.2939	✗	-0.49
2026-09-18	oos	0.00951	0.009669	+1.67%	0.00711	-25.24%	0.3008	✗	-0.48
2026-09-17	oos	0.00962	0.009518	-1.06%	0.007295	-24.17%	0.2343	✓	-0.50
2026-09-16	oos	0.00954	0.009437	-1.08%	0.00736	-22.85%	0.2139	✓	-0.51
2026-09-15	oos	0.01028	0.010026	-2.47%	0.00747	-27.33%	0.2568	✓	-0.45
2026-09-14	oos	0.01038	0.010264	-1.12%	0.007585	-26.93%	0.2832	✓	-0.45
2026-09-13	oos	0.00893	0.008998	+0.76%	0.007845	-12.15%	0.0939	✗	-0.55
2026-09-12	oos	0.00878	0.008818	+0.43%	0.008115	-7.57%	0.0525	✗	-0.54
2026-09-11	oos	0.00872	0.008646	-0.85%	0.00849	-2.64%	0.0240	✗	-0.52
2026-09-10	oos	0.007835	0.008004	+2.15%	0.008855	+13.02%	0.1439	✓	-0.53
2026-09-09	oos	0.008415	0.00866	+2.91%	0.008635	+2.61%	0.0289	✓	-0.60
2026-09-08	oos	0.008665	0.008821	+1.81%	0.009345	+7.85%	0.0803	✓	-0.56
2026-09-07	oos	0.00862	0.0089	+3.25%	0.009275	+7.60%	0.0700	✓	-0.56
2026-09-06	oos	0.00832	0.008782	+5.55%	0.00931	+11.90%	0.0973	✓	-0.62
2026-09-05	oos	0.00847	0.008901	+5.09%	0.00941	+11.10%	0.1003	✓	-0.62
2026-09-04	oos	0.00848	0.009082	+7.10%	0.00963	+13.56%	0.1051	✓	-0.56
2026-09-03	oos	0.008545	0.009054	+5.96%	0.009195	+7.61%	0.0395	✓	-0.58
2026-09-02	oos	0.0081	0.008342	+2.99%	0.009955	+22.90%	0.2272	✓	-0.57
2026-09-01	oos	0.00816	0.00831	+1.83%	0.00995	+21.94%	0.2292	✓	-0.53
2026-08-31	oos	0.008515	0.009018	+5.91%	0.009625	+13.04%	0.0996	✓	-0.56
2026-08-30	oos	0.00861	0.009152	+6.30%	0.00986	+14.52%	0.1105	✓	-0.49
2026-08-29	oos	0.008825	0.009292	+5.29%	0.010215	+15.75%	0.1172	✓	-0.35
2026-08-28	oos	0.009015	0.009344	+3.65%	0.00985	+9.26%	0.0809	✓	-0.35
2026-08-27	oos	0.008675	0.009167	+5.67%	0.01024	+18.04%	0.1270	✓	-0.32
2026-08-26	oos	0.008715	0.009349	+7.27%	0.00975	+11.88%	0.0622	✓	-0.32
2026-08-25	oos	0.0089	0.009354	+5.10%	0.009845	+10.62%	0.0734	✓	-0.31
2026-08-24	oos	0.00901	0.009386	+4.17%	0.009825	+9.05%	0.0665	✓	-0.31
2026-08-23	oos	0.008855	0.009181	+3.68%	0.010185	+15.02%	0.1350	✓	-0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.00889	0.009218	+3.69%	0.011175	+25.70%	0.2275	✓	-0.30
2026-08-21	oos	0.00965	0.010225	+5.96%	0.01132	+17.31%	0.1138	✓	-0.34
2026-08-20	oos	0.01943	0.018559	-4.48%	0.009885	-49.13%	0.7378	✓	1.01
2026-08-19	oos	0.014135	0.013467	-4.72%	0.00951	-32.72%	0.4445	✓	0.63
2026-08-18	oos	0.012725	0.011995	-5.74%	0.00962	-24.40%	0.3026	✓	0.49
2026-08-17	oos	0.01269	0.011944	-5.88%	0.00954	-24.82%	0.3079	✓	0.50
2026-08-16	oos	0.013505	0.01262	-6.56%	0.01028	-23.88%	0.3128	✓	0.58
2026-08-15	oos	0.013505	0.012645	-6.37%	0.01038	-23.14%	0.3230	✓	0.58
2026-08-14	oos	0.01464	0.013571	-7.30%	0.00893	-39.00%	0.5410	✓	0.62
2026-08-13	oos	0.01464	0.013508	-7.74%	0.00878	-40.03%	0.5582	✓	0.65
2026-08-12	oos	0.01266	0.011677	-7.77%	0.00872	-31.12%	0.4219	✓	0.66
2026-08-11	oos	0.00852	0.00814	-4.46%	0.007835	-8.04%	0.1544	✓	0.62
2026-08-10	oos	0.00858	0.008194	-4.50%	0.008415	-1.92%	0.1097	✓	0.67
2026-08-09	oos	0.00846	0.008094	-4.32%	0.008665	+2.42%	0.0422	✓	0.58
2026-08-08	oos	0.00894	0.008511	-4.80%	0.00862	-3.58%	0.1029	✓	0.59
2026-08-07	oos	0.0084	0.008035	-4.34%	0.00832	-0.95%	0.0751	✓	0.51
2026-08-06	oos	0.0089	0.008468	-4.86%	0.00847	-4.83%	0.1171	✓	0.54
2026-08-05	oos	0.008635	0.008263	-4.31%	0.00848	-1.80%	0.0881	✓	0.54
2026-08-04	oos	0.0085	0.008125	-4.42%	0.008545	+0.53%	0.0647	✓	0.48
2026-08-03	oos	0.00825	0.007905	-4.18%	0.0081	-1.82%	0.0668	✓	0.46
2026-08-02	oos	0.00774	0.007426	-4.05%	0.00816	+5.43%	0.0141	✓	0.40
2026-08-01	oos	0.00771	0.007351	-4.66%	0.008515	+10.44%	0.0562	✗	0.40
2026-07-31	oos	0.007635	0.007291	-4.50%	0.00861	+12.77%	0.0806	✗	0.40
2026-07-30	oos	0.00719	0.006963	-3.16%	0.008825	+22.74%	0.1474	✗	0.47
2026-07-29	oos	0.007175	0.006947	-3.18%	0.009015	+25.64%	0.1468	✗	0.58
2026-07-28	oos	0.007545	0.007272	-3.61%	0.008675	+14.98%	0.0571	✗	0.52
2026-07-27	oos	0.00718	0.006972	-2.90%	0.008715	+21.38%	0.1105	✗	0.52
2026-07-26	oos	0.00804	0.007755	-3.55%	0.0089	+10.70%	0.0558	✗	0.45
2026-07-25	oos	0.008155	0.007853	-3.70%	0.00901	+10.48%	0.0519	✗	0.42
2026-07-24	oos	0.008755	0.008357	-4.54%	0.008855	+1.14%	0.0369	✓	0.49
2026-07-23	oos	0.00817	0.007881	-3.53%	0.00889	+8.81%	0.0324	✓	0.52
2026-07-22	oos	0.008285	0.008008	-3.35%	0.00965	+16.48%	0.0941	✗	0.54
2026-07-21	oos	0.00929	0.00886	-4.63%	0.01943	+109.15%	0.7353	✗	0.54
2026-07-20	oos	0.008425	0.008096	-3.91%	0.014135	+67.77%	0.5389	✗	0.30
2026-07-19	oos	0.010075	0.00946	-6.10%	0.012725	+26.30%	0.2965	✗	0.36
2026-07-18	oos	0.00858	0.00817	-4.78%	0.01269	+47.90%	0.4428	✗	0.48
2026-07-17	oos	0.0072	0.006978	-3.08%	0.013505	+87.57%	0.6686	✗	0.50
2026-07-16	oos	0.006605	0.00648	-1.90%	0.013505	+104.47%	0.7403	✗	0.50
2026-07-15	oos	0.006445	0.006346	-1.53%	0.01464	+127.15%	0.8529	✗	0.63
2026-07-14	oos	0.00651	0.006392	-1.82%	0.01464	+124.88%	0.8442	✗	0.63
2026-07-13	oos	0.006445	0.006285	-2.49%	0.01266	+96.43%	0.6883	✗	0.66
2026-07-12	oos	0.00661	0.006403	-3.13%	0.00852	+28.90%	0.2878	✗	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.005985	0.005898	-1.45%	0.00858	+43.36%	0.3729	✗	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.006075	0.005968	-1.77%	0.00846	+39.26%	0.3386	✗	0.93
2026-07-09	oos	0.00596	0.005836	-2.09%	0.00894	+50.00%	0.4016	✗	0.92
2026-07-08	oos	0.00582	0.005708	-1.93%	0.0084	+44.33%	0.3484	✗	0.91
2026-07-07	oos	0.005875	0.005747	-2.19%	0.0089	+51.49%	0.4235	✗	0.94
2026-07-06	oos	0.00595	0.005795	-2.60%	0.008635	+45.13%	0.3901	✗	0.93
2026-07-05	oos	0.005985	0.005828	-2.63%	0.0085	+42.02%	0.3708	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	0.00595	0.005775	-2.94%	0.00825	+38.66%	0.3512	✗	0.91
2026-07-03	oos	0.005965	0.005771	-3.26%	0.00774	+29.76%	0.2800	✗	0.88
2026-07-02	oos	0.005235	0.005136	-1.88%	0.00771	+47.28%	0.3896	✗	0.80
2026-07-01	oos	0.00587	0.00568	-3.24%	0.007635	+30.07%	0.2531	✗	0.91
2026-06-30	oos	0.00581	0.005613	-3.39%	0.00719	+23.75%	0.1554	✗	0.92
2026-06-29	oos	0.005865	0.005664	-3.43%	0.007175	+22.34%	0.1804	✗	0.93
2026-06-28	oos	0.00615	0.005881	-4.37%	0.007545	+22.68%	0.1821	✗	0.95
2026-06-27	oos	0.00522	0.005115	-2.01%	0.00718	+37.55%	0.2797	✗	0.98
2026-06-26	oos	0.005615	0.005455	-2.85%	0.00804	+43.19%	0.3045	✗	0.98
2026-06-25	oos	0.006115	0.005877	-3.88%	0.008155	+33.36%	0.2537	✗	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.005745	0.005561	-3.20%	0.008755	+52.39%	0.4019	✗	1.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.006925	0.006512	-5.97%	0.00817	+17.98%	0.1911	✗	0.95
2026-06-22	oos	0.006105	0.005835	-4.43%	0.008285	+35.71%	0.3154	✗	1.07
2026-06-21	oos	0.00552	0.005378	-2.58%	0.00929	+68.30%	0.4941	✗	1.04
2026-06-20	oos	0.005575	0.005425	-2.70%	0.008425	+51.12%	0.4248	✗	1.01
2026-06-19	oos	0.005625	0.005474	-2.68%	0.010075	+79.11%	0.5911	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.005965	0.005742	-3.74%	0.00858	+43.84%	0.3708	✗	1.03
2026-06-17	oos	0.0062	0.005935	-4.27%	0.0072	+16.13%	0.2018	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.006445	0.006126	-4.94%	0.006605	+2.48%	0.1043	✗	1.02
2026-06-15	oos	0.006055	0.005822	-3.84%	0.006445	+6.44%	0.1313	✗	1.25
2026-06-14	oos	0.00592	0.005688	-3.91%	0.00651	+9.97%	0.1485	✗	1.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.005765	0.005569	-3.40%	0.006445	+11.80%	0.1923	✗	1.35
2026-06-12	oos	0.005605	0.00542	-3.30%	0.00661	+17.93%	0.1940	✗	1.41
2026-06-11	oos	0.005835	0.005633	-3.46%	0.005985	+2.57%	0.0560	✗	1.42
2026-06-10	oos	0.00564	0.005457	-3.24%	0.006075	+7.71%	0.0468	✗	1.42
2026-06-09	oos	0.00566	0.005488	-3.04%	0.00596	+5.30%	0.0488	✗	1.42
2026-06-08	oos	0.00503	0.004955	-1.49%	0.00582	+15.71%	0.1807	✗	1.50
2026-06-07	oos	0.00482	0.004772	-1.00%	0.005875	+21.89%	0.2075	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.00463	0.004577	-1.16%	0.00595	+28.51%	0.1853	✗	1.53
2026-06-05	oos	0.00478	0.004669	-2.32%	0.005985	+25.21%	0.1832	✗	1.59
2026-06-04	oos	0.00502	0.004891	-2.58%	0.00595	+18.53%	0.2143	✗	1.60
2026-06-03	oos	0.00608	0.005846	-3.85%	0.005965	-1.89%	0.0567	✗	1.52
2026-06-02	oos	0.00593	0.005773	-2.65%	0.005235	-11.72%	0.0326	✗	1.61
2026-06-01	oos	0.00592	0.005852	-1.15%	0.00587	-0.84%	0.3263	✗	1.86
2026-05-31	oos	0.007	0.006828	-2.46%	0.00581	-17.00%	0.2514	✗	1.80
2026-05-30	oos	0.00695	0.006832	-1.69%	0.005865	-15.61%	0.2154	✗	1.81
2026-05-29	oos	0.00684	0.006728	-1.64%	0.00615	-10.09%	0.2888	✗	1.80
2026-05-28	oos	0.006745	0.006648	-1.44%	0.00522	-22.61%	0.1216	✗	1.78
2026-05-27	oos	0.006985	0.006879	-1.52%	0.005615	-19.61%	0.1707	✗	1.75
2026-05-26	oos	0.00688	0.006867	-0.19%	0.006115	-11.12%	0.3115	✗	1.79
2026-05-25	oos	0.00712	0.007135	+0.21%	0.005745	-19.31%	0.2465	✓	1.96
2026-05-24	oos	0.006995	0.00707	+1.07%	0.006925	-1.00%	0.3829	✓	1.96
2026-05-23	oos	0.00723	0.007332	+1.41%	0.006105	-15.56%	0.1588	✓	1.89
2026-05-22	oos	0.00717	0.007249	+1.10%	0.00552	-23.01%	0.0627	✓	1.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.00747	0.007613	+1.91%	0.005575	-25.37%	0.0485	✓	1.91
2026-05-20	oos	0.00715	0.007349	+2.79%	0.005625	-21.33%	0.1122	✓	1.90
2026-05-19	oos	0.006985	0.007161	+2.51%	0.005965	-14.60%	0.1977	✓	1.91
2026-05-18	oos	0.00721	0.007344	+1.86%	0.0062	-14.01%	0.1691	✓	1.91
2026-05-17	oos	0.00716	0.007297	+1.92%	0.006445	-9.99%	0.1883	✓	1.89
2026-05-16	oos	0.00792	0.008068	+1.87%	0.006055	-23.55%	0.0201	✓	1.87
2026-05-15	oos	0.008605	0.008737	+1.54%	0.00592	-31.20%	0.0453	✗	1.86
2026-05-14	oos	0.009	0.009153	+1.70%	0.005765	-35.94%	0.0341	✗	1.86
2026-05-13	oos	0.009115	0.009197	+0.90%	0.005605	-38.51%	0.0754	✗	1.90
2026-05-12	oos	0.01031	0.010274	-0.35%	0.005835	-43.40%	0.1330	✓	1.83
2026-05-11	oos	0.008235	0.008539	+3.69%	0.00564	-31.51%	0.1362	✓	1.93
2026-05-10	oos	0.008425	0.008729	+3.60%	0.00566	-32.82%	0.1198	✓	1.93
2026-05-09	oos	0.0091	0.009168	+0.75%	0.00503	-44.73%	0.1133	✗	1.98
2026-05-07	oos	0.008435	0.008589	+1.82%	0.00463	-45.11%	0.0828	✗	1.96
2026-05-06	oos	0.00761	0.00802	+5.38%	0.00478	-37.19%	0.0373	✓	1.66
2026-05-05	oos	0.007865	0.008187	+4.10%	0.00502	-36.17%	0.1440	✗	1.45
2026-05-04	oos	0.00863	0.00871	+0.92%	0.00608	-29.55%	0.0372	✗	1.46
2026-05-01	oos	0.00842	0.008372	-0.57%	0.007	-16.86%	0.0982	✓	1.31
2026-04-30	oos	0.007465	0.007495	+0.40%	0.00695	-6.90%	0.0350	✗	1.20
2026-04-29	oos	0.00896	0.008703	-2.87%	0.00684	-23.66%	0.2017	✓	1.22
2026-04-28	oos	0.00955	0.009204	-3.63%	0.006745	-29.37%	0.2663	✓	1.19
2026-04-27	oos	0.009655	0.009328	-3.39%	0.006985	-27.65%	0.2415	✓	1.19
2026-04-26	oos	0.008935	0.008807	-1.43%	0.00688	-23.00%	0.2024	✓	1.21
2026-04-25	oos	0.007945	0.007993	+0.61%	0.00712	-10.38%	0.1095	✗	1.19
2026-04-24	oos	0.008115	0.008117	+0.03%	0.006995	-13.80%	0.1413	✗	1.19
2026-04-23	oos	0.008985	0.008934	-0.57%	0.00723	-19.53%	0.1867	✓	1.18
2026-04-22	oos	0.008285	0.008308	+0.28%	0.00717	-13.46%	0.1048	✗	1.18
2026-04-21	oos	0.00987	0.009528	-3.47%	0.00747	-24.32%	0.2627	✓	1.25
2026-04-20	oos	0.009995	0.009617	-3.78%	0.00715	-28.46%	0.3232	✓	1.27
2026-04-19	oos	0.008755	0.008507	-2.83%	0.006985	-20.22%	0.2465	✓	1.26
2026-04-18	oos	0.01023	0.00977	-4.49%	0.00721	-29.52%	0.3235	✓	1.24
2026-04-17	oos	0.01058	0.010053	-4.98%	0.00716	-32.33%	0.3443	✓	1.24
2026-04-16	oos	0.009235	0.008897	-3.65%	0.00792	-14.24%	0.1625	✓	1.20
2026-04-15	oos	0.008915	0.008592	-3.62%	0.008605	-3.48%	0.0645	✓	1.20
2026-04-14	oos	0.00885	0.008495	-4.01%	0.009	+1.69%	0.0493	✓	1.20
2026-04-13	oos	0.00846	0.008191	-3.18%	0.009115	+7.74%	0.0316	✓	1.19
2026-04-12	oos	0.007195	0.007029	-2.31%	0.01031	+43.29%	0.2422	✗	1.09
2026-04-11	oos	0.00799	0.007753	-2.97%	0.008235	+3.07%	0.0594	✓	1.07
2026-04-10	oos	0.0085	0.008206	-3.46%	0.008425	-0.88%	0.1016	✓	1.08
2026-04-09	oos	0.00848	0.008146	-3.94%	0.0091	+7.31%	0.0151	✓	1.08
2026-04-08	oos	0.00788	0.007631	-3.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-04-07	oos	0.007705	0.00751	-2.53%	0.008435	+9.47%	0.0016	✓	1.07
2026-04-06	oos	0.007535	0.007282	-3.36%	0.00761	+1.00%	0.1398	✓	1.10
2026-04-05	oos	0.00697	0.006792	-2.55%	0.007865	+12.84%	0.0273	✓	1.09
2026-04-04	oos	0.007145	0.006903	-3.39%	0.00863	+20.78%	0.0358	✗	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.007545	0.007233	-4.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.00692	0.006677	-3.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.00696	0.006728	-3.34%	0.00842	+20.98%	0.0705	✗	1.11
2026-03-31	oos	0.00588	0.00578	-1.70%	0.007465	+26.96%	0.1308	✗	1.12
2026-03-30	oos	0.00583	0.005719	-1.90%	0.00896	+53.69%	0.3071	✗	1.12
2026-03-28	oos	0.0065	0.006333	-2.57%	0.009655	+48.54%	0.2494	✗	1.12
2026-03-26	oos	0.00699	0.006843	-2.10%	0.007945	+13.66%	0.0137	✓	1.12
2026-03-25	oos	0.00744	0.007345	-1.27%	0.008115	+9.07%	0.0077	✓	1.11
2026-03-24	oos	0.00665	0.006644	-0.09%	0.008985	+35.11%	0.1880	✗	1.09
2026-03-23	oos	0.006775	0.006789	+0.21%	0.008285	+22.29%	0.0918	✓	1.09
2026-03-22	oos	0.00665	0.006593	-0.86%	0.00987	+48.42%	0.2725	✗	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.00658	0.006568	-0.18%	0.009995	+51.90%	0.3128	✗	1.11
2026-03-20	oos	0.006735	0.006765	+0.45%	0.008755	+29.99%	0.2066	✓	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.00703	0.007043	+0.19%	0.01023	+45.52%	0.2837	✓	1.12
2026-03-18	oos	0.00754	0.007552	+0.16%	0.01058	+40.32%	0.2529	✓	1.07
2026-03-17	oos	0.00968	0.009494	-1.93%	0.009235	-4.60%	0.0435	✓	0.97
2026-03-16	oos	0.00966	0.009494	-1.72%	0.008915	-7.71%	0.0622	✓	0.99
2026-03-15	oos	0.00812	0.008067	-0.65%	0.00885	+8.99%	0.0747	✗	0.98
2026-03-14	oos	0.0071	0.007114	+0.19%	0.00846	+19.15%	0.1334	✓	0.91
2026-03-13	oos	0.00702	0.007027	+0.11%	0.007195	+2.49%	0.0260	✓	0.92
2026-03-12	oos	0.00747	0.007422	-0.64%	0.00799	+6.96%	0.0407	✗	0.93
2026-03-10	oos	0.0094	0.009111	-3.08%	0.00848	-9.79%	0.0957	✓	0.92
2026-03-08	oos	0.0069	0.006806	-1.37%	0.007705	+11.67%	0.0468	✗	0.90
2026-03-07	oos	0.008	0.00781	-2.38%	0.007535	-5.81%	0.0562	✓	0.87
2026-03-06	oos	0.00777	0.007646	-1.59%	0.00697	-10.30%	0.1038	✓	0.86
2026-03-05	oos	0.00777	0.00772	-0.65%	0.007145	-8.04%	0.0317	✓	0.88
2026-03-04	oos	0.008	0.007949	-0.64%	0.007545	-5.69%	0.0220	✗	0.90
2026-03-03	oos	0.00719	0.007141	-0.68%	0.00692	-3.76%	0.0131	✓	0.86
2026-03-02	oos	0.00896	0.008721	-2.67%	0.00696	-22.32%	0.2168	✓	0.83
2026-02-28	oos	0.007825	0.007689	-1.74%	0.00583	-25.50%	0.2741	✓	0.78
2026-02-27	oos	0.007995	0.007801	-2.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-02-26	oos	0.00808	0.007903	-2.19%	0.0065	-19.55%	0.1816	✓	0.79
2026-02-25	oos	0.00843	0.008212	-2.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-02-24	oos	0.006895	0.006797	-1.42%	0.00699	+1.38%	0.0184	✓	0.66
2026-02-23	oos	0.00707	0.006956	-1.61%	0.00744	+5.23%	0.0036	✓	0.65
2026-02-22	oos	0.0073	0.007236	-0.88%	0.00665	-8.90%	0.1116	✓	0.64
2026-02-21	oos	0.00756	0.007488	-0.95%	0.006775	-10.38%	0.1279	✓	0.66
2026-02-20	oos	0.007695	0.007614	-1.05%	0.00665	-13.58%	0.1341	✓	0.64
2026-02-19	oos	0.0076	0.007512	-1.15%	0.00658	-13.42%	0.1507	✓	0.64
2026-02-18	oos	0.00738	0.007322	-0.79%	0.006735	-8.74%	0.1228	✓	0.66
2026-02-17	oos	0.00772	0.007616	-1.35%	0.00703	-8.94%	0.1033	✓	0.65
2026-02-16	oos	0.00775	0.007647	-1.33%	0.00754	-2.71%	0.0365	✓	0.66
2026-02-15	oos	0.00758	0.007501	-1.04%	0.00968	+27.70%	0.2080	✗	0.65
2026-02-14	oos	0.00798	0.007844	-1.71%	0.00966	+21.05%	0.1643	✗	0.62
2026-02-13	oos	0.00777	0.007645	-1.61%	0.00812	+4.50%	0.0255	✗	0.61
2026-02-12	oos	0.007225	0.007142	-1.15%	0.0071	-1.73%	0.0484	✓	0.58
2026-02-11	oos	0.006995	0.006923	-1.03%	0.00702	+0.36%	0.0201	✓	0.60
2026-02-10	oos	0.007205	0.007098	-1.49%	0.00747	+3.68%	0.0361	✗	0.61
2026-02-09	oos	0.00743	0.007293	-1.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-02-08	oos	0.007305	0.007177	-1.75%	0.0094	+28.68%	0.2727	✗	0.63
2026-02-07	oos	0.00745	0.007319	-1.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-02-06	oos	0.00764	0.007484	-2.05%	0.0069	-9.69%	0.0386	✓	0.64
2026-02-05	oos	0.0071	0.006993	-1.51%	0.008	+12.68%	0.0911	✗	0.63
2026-02-04	oos	0.008245	0.007964	-3.41%	0.00777	-5.76%	0.0084	✓	0.48
2026-02-03	oos	0.008465	0.008139	-3.86%	0.00777	-8.21%	0.0162	✓	0.46
2026-02-02	oos	0.00849	0.008165	-3.83%	0.008	-5.77%	0.0211	✓	0.52
2026-02-01	oos	0.00988	0.009234	-6.54%	0.00719	-27.23%	0.1765	✓	0.62
2026-01-31	oos	0.00818	0.007885	-3.61%	0.00896	+9.54%	0.2286	✗	0.76
2026-01-30	oos	0.00799	0.007754	-2.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-01-29	oos	0.00854	0.008191	-4.09%	0.007825	-8.37%	0.1581	✗	0.88
2026-01-28	oos	0.00866	0.008432	-2.63%	0.007995	-7.68%	0.2409	✗	0.97
2026-01-27	oos	0.00907	0.008839	-2.55%	0.00808	-10.92%	0.1870	✗	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	0.00863	0.008441	-2.19%	0.00843	-2.32%	0.2486	✗	0.96
2026-01-24	oos	0.00918	0.008971	-2.28%	0.00707	-22.98%	0.0729	✗	0.97
2026-01-23	oos	0.00991	0.009636	-2.77%	0.0073	-26.34%	0.0165	✓	0.93
2026-01-22	oos	0.00946	0.009253	-2.19%	0.00756	-20.08%	0.0597	✗	0.95
2026-01-21	oos	0.01008	0.009778	-2.99%	0.007695	-23.66%	0.0230	✓	0.96
2026-01-20	oos	0.00853	0.008425	-1.23%	0.0076	-10.90%	0.1477	✗	0.91
2026-01-19	oos	0.00937	0.009271	-1.06%	0.00738	-21.24%	0.0482	✗	0.83
2026-01-18	oos	0.01061	0.010317	-2.77%	0.00772	-27.24%	0.0251	✓	0.81
2026-01-17	oos	0.01091	0.010681	-2.10%	0.00775	-28.96%	0.0659	✓	0.79
2026-01-16	oos	0.01143	0.011094	-2.94%	0.00758	-33.68%	0.1316	✓	0.76
2026-01-15	oos	0.01061	0.010369	-2.28%	0.00798	-24.79%	0.0167	✓	0.78
2026-01-14	oos	0.01078	0.010581	-1.84%	0.00777	-27.92%	0.0385	✓	0.79
2026-01-13	oos	0.0109	0.010685	-1.97%	0.007225	-33.72%	0.0887	✓	0.83
2026-01-12	oos	0.01092	0.010562	-3.28%	0.006995	-35.94%	0.1349	✓	0.90
2026-01-11	oos	0.01061	0.010272	-3.18%	0.007205	-32.09%	0.0999	✓	0.92
2026-01-10	oos	0.01035	0.010093	-2.48%	0.00743	-28.21%	0.0711	✓	0.93
2026-01-09	oos	0.0103	0.010062	-2.31%	0.007305	-29.08%	0.0667	✓	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.00995	0.009759	-1.92%	0.00745	-25.13%	0.0304	✓	0.88
2026-01-07	oos	0.01011	0.009919	-1.89%	0.00764	-24.43%	0.2105	✗	1.83
2026-01-06	oos	0.01065	0.010443	-1.94%	0.0071	-33.33%	0.3513	✗	1.84
2026-01-05	oos	0.01071	0.010492	-2.04%	0.008245	-23.02%	0.2245	✗	1.85
2026-01-04	oos	0.01088	0.010605	-2.53%	0.008465	-22.20%	0.1385	✗	1.91
2026-01-03	oos	0.01056	0.010303	-2.43%	0.00849	-19.60%	0.0787	✗	1.93
2026-01-02	oos	0.01001	0.009793	-2.16%	0.00988	-1.30%	0.3088	✗	1.91
2026-01-01	oos	0.00981	0.009606	-2.08%	0.00818	-16.62%	0.0699	✗	1.91
2025-12-31	oos	0.00922	0.009075	-1.57%	0.00799	-13.34%	0.0524	✓	1.90
2025-12-30	oos	0.00912	0.009017	-1.13%	0.00854	-6.36%	0.0309	✗	1.90
2025-12-29	oos	0.00901	0.008902	-1.20%	0.00866	-3.88%	0.0714	✓	1.88
2025-12-28	oos	0.00913	0.009019	-1.22%	0.00907	-0.66%	0.0207	✓	1.89
2025-12-27	oos	0.00926	0.009139	-1.30%	0.00863	-6.80%	0.0666	✓	1.84
2025-12-26	oos	0.00933	0.009211	-1.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.83
2025-12-25	oos	0.00897	0.008919	-0.57%	0.00918	+2.34%	0.0107	✓	1.82
2025-12-24	oos	0.00947	0.009394	-0.80%	0.00991	+4.65%	0.0148	✗	1.83
2025-12-23	oos	0.00969	0.009614	-0.79%	0.00946	-2.37%	0.0585	✓	1.84
2025-12-22	oos	0.01004	0.009947	-0.92%	0.01008	+0.40%	0.0034	✓	1.84
2025-12-21	oos	0.00998	0.009906	-0.75%	0.00853	-14.53%	0.1427	✓	1.84
2025-12-20	oos	0.0105	0.010353	-1.40%	0.00937	-10.76%	0.1887	✓	1.90
2025-12-19	oos	0.01023	0.010083	-1.44%	0.01061	+3.71%	0.0647	✓	1.90
2025-12-18	oos	0.01094	0.010614	-2.98%	0.01091	-0.27%	0.1854	✓	1.99
2025-12-17	oos	0.01009	0.009867	-2.21%	0.01143	+13.28%	0.0576	✓	2.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.01143	0.010974	-3.99%	0.01061	-7.17%	0.1995	✓	1.96
2025-12-15	oos	0.00933	0.009148	-1.95%	0.01078	+15.54%	0.0530	✓	1.89
2025-12-14	oos	0.00819	0.008109	-0.99%	0.0109	+33.09%	0.1421	✗	1.95
2025-12-13	oos	0.00886	0.008726	-1.51%	0.01092	+23.25%	0.2044	✗	1.94
2025-12-12	oos	0.00883	0.008708	-1.39%	0.01061	+20.16%	0.1849	✗	1.94
2025-12-11	oos	0.00935	0.00918	-1.82%	0.01035	+10.70%	0.1660	✗	1.94
2025-12-10	oos	0.01041	0.010137	-2.62%	0.0103	-1.06%	0.0488	✗	1.97
2025-12-09	oos	0.01022	0.009982	-2.33%	0.00995	-2.64%	0.0322	✗	1.95
2025-12-08	oos	0.01078	0.010499	-2.61%	0.01011	-6.22%	0.0516	✓	2.02
2025-12-07	oos	0.01075	0.010566	-1.71%	0.01065	-0.93%	0.0650	✓	2.02
2025-12-06	oos	0.01164	0.011397	-2.09%	0.01071	-7.99%	0.1659	✓	2.06
2025-12-05	oos	0.01061	0.010482	-1.21%	0.01088	+2.54%	0.0119	✓	2.07
2025-12-04	oos	0.01177	0.011617	-1.30%	0.01056	-10.28%	0.0620	✓	2.04
2025-12-03	oos	0.01243	0.012246	-1.48%	0.01001	-19.47%	0.1239	✓	2.04
2025-12-02	oos	0.01279	0.012532	-2.02%	0.00981	-23.30%	0.1851	✓	2.09
2025-12-01	oos	0.01306	0.012654	-3.11%	0.00922	-29.40%	0.3489	✓	2.31
2025-11-30	oos	0.01361	0.013154	-3.35%	0.00912	-32.99%	0.3137	✓	2.38
2025-11-29	oos	0.012045	0.011836	-1.73%	0.00901	-25.20%	0.1743	✓	2.36
2025-11-28	oos	0.01104	0.010926	-1.03%	0.00913	-17.30%	0.0998	✓	2.36
2025-11-27	oos	0.011235	0.011111	-1.10%	0.00926	-17.58%	0.0899	✓	2.36
2025-11-26	oos	0.01114	0.011014	-1.13%	0.00933	-16.25%	0.0832	✓	2.32
2025-11-25	oos	0.01105	0.010919	-1.19%	0.00897	-18.82%	0.1924	✓	2.39
2025-11-24	oos	0.01073	0.010629	-0.94%	0.00947	-11.74%	0.0975	✓	2.40
2025-11-23	oos	0.00993	0.009899	-0.32%	0.00969	-2.42%	0.0383	✓	2.38
2025-11-22	oos	0.01035	0.010279	-0.69%	0.01004	-3.00%	0.1351	✓	2.50
2025-11-21	oos	0.00991	0.009885	-0.25%	0.00998	+0.71%	0.0927	✓	2.49
2025-11-20	oos	0.01144	0.011271	-1.48%	0.0105	-8.22%	0.1210	✓	2.45
2025-11-19	oos	0.01182	0.011663	-1.33%	0.01023	-13.45%	0.0344	✓	2.58
2025-11-18	oos	0.01244	0.012283	-1.26%	0.01094	-12.06%	0.0996	✗	2.57
2025-11-17	oos	0.012795	0.012567	-1.78%	0.01009	-21.14%	0.0484	✓	2.59
2025-11-16	oos	0.011855	0.011765	-0.76%	0.01143	-3.58%	0.1553	✗	2.65
2025-11-15	oos	0.01158	0.011551	-0.25%	0.00933	-19.43%	0.0549	✗	2.67
2025-11-14	oos	0.01169	0.011668	-0.19%	0.00819	-29.94%	0.1674	✓	2.69
2025-11-13	oos	0.012335	0.012306	-0.24%	0.00886	-28.17%	0.0495	✓	2.83
2025-11-12	oos	0.01321	0.013081	-0.97%	0.00883	-33.16%	0.0580	✓	2.83
2025-11-11	oos	0.01342	0.013292	-0.95%	0.00935	-30.33%	0.0439	✓	2.87
2025-11-10	oos	0.01488	0.01453	-2.35%	0.01041	-30.04%	0.0615	✗	2.80
2025-11-09	oos	0.014945	0.014533	-2.76%	0.01022	-31.62%	0.0117	✓	2.79
2025-11-08	oos	0.01458	0.014186	-2.70%	0.01078	-26.06%	0.0695	✗	2.85
2025-11-07	oos	0.01479	0.014326	-3.14%	0.01075	-27.32%	0.1413	✗	3.22
2025-11-06	oos	0.014025	0.013659	-2.61%	0.01164	-17.01%	0.2468	✗	3.22
2025-11-05	oos	0.01395	0.013599	-2.52%	0.01061	-23.94%	0.2457	✗	3.28
2025-11-04	oos	0.0129	0.012665	-1.82%	0.01177	-8.76%	0.2427	✗	3.26
2025-11-03	oos	0.013235	0.012926	-2.33%	0.01243	-6.08%	0.4181	✗	3.48
2025-11-02	oos	0.01428	0.013845	-3.05%	0.01279	-10.43%	0.6045	✗	3.58
2025-11-01	oos	0.015055	0.014486	-3.78%	0.01306	-13.25%	0.7686	✗	3.58
2025-10-31	oos	0.01473	0.014192	-3.65%	0.01361	-7.60%	0.6441	✗	3.56
2025-10-30	oos	0.013045	0.012715	-2.53%	0.012045	-7.67%	0.5671	✗	3.53
2025-10-29	oos	0.01405	0.013757	-2.09%	0.01104	-21.42%	0.4447	✗	3.48
2025-10-28	oos	0.013935	0.013697	-1.71%	0.011235	-19.38%	0.5620	✗	3.58
2025-10-27	oos	0.01474	0.01446	-1.90%	0.01114	-24.42%	0.5690	✗	3.58
2025-10-26	oos	0.015345	0.015067	-1.81%	0.01105	-27.99%	0.6604	✗	3.58
2025-10-25	oos	0.015695	0.015246	-2.86%	0.01073	-31.63%	0.5193	✗	3.70
2025-10-24	oos	0.01405	0.013822	-1.62%	0.00993	-29.32%	0.5758	✗	3.68
2025-10-23	oos	0.013835	0.013637	-1.43%	0.01035	-25.19%	0.6922	✗	3.69
2025-10-22	oos	0.013455	0.01326	-1.45%	0.00991	-26.35%	0.5823	✗	3.72
2025-10-21	oos	0.012415	0.012358	-0.46%	0.01144	-7.85%	0.7666	✗	3.75
2025-10-20	oos	0.012795	0.012725	-0.55%	0.01182	-7.62%	0.6464	✗	3.80
2025-10-19	oos	0.012955	0.012798	-1.21%	0.01244	-3.98%	0.5530	✗	3.71
2025-10-18	oos	0.013675	0.013411	-1.93%	0.012795	-6.44%	0.5246	✗	3.76
2025-10-17	oos	0.01244	0.012353	-0.70%	0.011855	-4.70%	0.4178	✗	3.74
2025-10-16	oos	0.012935	0.012846	-0.69%	0.01158	-10.48%	0.3640	✗	3.76
2025-10-15	oos	0.013855	0.01367	-1.34%	0.01169	-15.63%	0.4540	✗	3.84
2025-10-14	oos	0.014675	0.014476	-1.36%	0.012335	-15.95%	0.3282	✗	3.85
2025-10-13	oos	0.015605	0.015334	-1.73%	0.01321	-15.35%	0.3365	✗	3.86
2025-10-12	oos	0.01386	0.013692	-1.21%	0.01342	-3.17%	0.3939	✗	3.74
2025-10-11	oos	0.012495	0.012237	-2.07%	0.01488	+19.09%	0.3663	✗	3.86
2025-10-10	oos	0.00968	0.009248	-4.46%	0.014945	+54.39%	0.7939	✗	4.12
2025-10-09	oos	0.018125	0.017825	-1.66%	0.01458	-19.56%	0.3247	✗	3.02
2025-10-08	oos	0.01968	0.019377	-1.54%	0.01479	-24.85%	0.2497	✗	2.93
2025-10-07	oos	0.018695	0.018427	-1.43%	0.014025	-24.98%	0.2733	✗	3.02
2025-10-06	oos	0.020405	0.020338	-0.33%	0.01395	-31.63%	0.1815	✗	3.05
2025-10-05	oos	0.018995	0.019035	+0.21%	0.0129	-32.09%	0.2060	✓	3.03
2025-10-04	oos	0.019065	0.019071	+0.03%	0.013235	-30.58%	0.0603	✓	3.06
2025-10-03	oos	0.019705	0.019675	-0.15%	0.01428	-27.53%	0.0087	✓	3.08
2025-10-02	oos	0.019045	0.019028	-0.09%	0.015055	-20.95%	0.0483	✗	3.08
2025-10-01	oos	0.01877	0.018759	-0.06%	0.01473	-21.52%	0.0072	✗	3.12
2025-09-30	oos	0.01776	0.01766	-0.56%	0.013045	-26.55%	0.1354	✓	3.23
2025-09-29	oos	0.017835	0.017808	-0.15%	0.01405	-21.22%	0.1051	✓	3.42
2025-09-28	oos	0.018995	0.018704	-1.53%	0.013935	-26.64%	0.3168	✓	3.57
2025-09-27	oos	0.018745	0.01846	-1.52%	0.01474	-21.37%	0.3676	✓	3.62
2025-09-26	oos	0.01917	0.018885	-1.49%	0.015345	-19.95%	0.3648	✓	3.63
2025-09-25	oos	0.017775	0.017528	-1.39%	0.015695	-11.70%	0.1968	✓	3.62
2025-09-24	oos	0.019315	0.018985	-1.71%	0.01405	-27.26%	0.2240	✓	3.75
2025-09-23	oos	0.01906	0.018766	-1.54%	0.013835	-27.41%	0.2403	✓	3.77
2025-09-22	oos	0.019105	0.018874	-1.21%	0.013455	-29.57%	0.1656	✓	3.70
2025-09-21	oos	0.02267	0.022083	-2.59%	0.012415	-45.24%	0.3530	✓	3.60
2025-09-20	oos	0.024065	0.023291	-3.21%	0.012795	-46.83%	0.4319	✓	3.65
2025-09-19	oos	0.02346	0.022578	-3.76%	0.012955	-44.78%	0.3283	✓	3.63
2025-09-18	oos	0.02366	0.02265	-4.27%	0.013675	-42.20%	0.1798	✓	3.67
2025-09-17	oos	0.023985	0.022796	-4.96%	0.01244	-48.13%	0.2705	✓	3.73
2025-09-16	oos	0.022655	0.021493	-5.13%	0.012935	-42.90%	0.2211	✓	3.73
2025-09-15	oos	0.02217	0.021009	-5.24%	0.013855	-37.51%	0.2647	✓	3.74
2025-09-14	oos	0.02363	0.022305	-5.61%	0.014675	-37.90%	0.3448	✓	3.76
2025-09-13	oos	0.02563	0.024082	-6.04%	0.015605	-39.11%	0.4114	✓	3.74
2025-09-12	oos	0.025755	0.024109	-6.39%	0.01386	-46.19%	0.5200	✓	3.74
2025-09-11	oos	0.024105	0.022482	-6.73%	0.012495	-48.16%	0.4297	✓	3.74
2025-09-10	oos	0.02493	0.023165	-7.08%	0.00968	-61.17%	0.8393	✓	3.78
2025-09-09	oos	0.02357	0.021909	-7.05%	0.018125	-23.10%	0.5260	✓	3.86

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.