ATLA

? · · beta_5y

token id: #450
symbol: ATLA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-08-17
predictions: 1,269

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

55.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1187

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0227

actual +0.0279

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	115.9674	114.1681	-1.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.17
2026-10-21	oos	116.35	114.4862	-1.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.17
2026-10-20	oos	116.7219	114.8749	-1.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.17
2026-10-19	oos	115.1533	113.3705	-1.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.17
2026-10-18	oos	117.0067	115.0634	-1.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.17
2026-10-17	oos	116.2617	114.2516	-1.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.17
2026-10-16	oos	116.6026	114.7229	-1.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.17
2026-10-15	oos	116.0011	114.3624	-1.41%	115.9674	-0.03%	0.0096	✓	0.17
2026-10-14	oos	116.679	114.9709	-1.46%	116.35	-0.28%	0.0095	✓	0.17
2026-10-13	oos	117.4309	115.8195	-1.37%	116.7219	-0.60%	0.0081	✓	0.17
2026-10-12	oos	115.7178	114.1044	-1.39%	115.1533	-0.49%	0.0090	✓	0.16
2026-10-11	oos	119.1933	117.2809	-1.60%	117.0067	-1.83%	0.0006	✓	0.15
2026-10-10	oos	118.4958	116.4108	-1.76%	116.2617	-1.89%	0.0013	✓	0.14
2026-10-09	oos	118.2518	115.9628	-1.94%	116.6026	-1.39%	0.0073	✓	0.14
2026-10-08	oos	118.544	115.9559	-2.18%	116.0011	-2.15%	0.0003	✓	0.14
2026-10-07	oos	115.5679	113.1517	-2.09%	116.679	+0.96%	0.0340	✗	0.16
2026-10-06	oos	115.9719	113.3168	-2.29%	117.4309	+1.26%	0.0404	✗	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	116.27	113.3989	-2.47%	115.7178	-0.47%	0.0278	✗	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	117.0534	113.8902	-2.70%	119.1933	+1.83%	0.0509	✗	0.16
2026-10-03	oos	116.522	113.2865	-2.78%	118.4958	+1.69%	0.0485	✗	0.16
2026-10-02	oos	116.2472	112.876	-2.90%	118.2518	+1.72%	0.0503	✗	0.16
2026-10-01	oos	118.5477	114.8757	-3.10%	118.544	-0.00%	0.0375	✗	0.16
2026-09-30	oos	116.9363	113.434	-3.00%	115.5679	-1.17%	0.0192	✓	0.16
2026-09-29	oos	118.5378	114.7856	-3.17%	115.9719	-2.16%	0.0067	✓	0.16
2026-09-28	oos	118.279	114.3816	-3.30%	116.27	-1.70%	0.0121	✓	0.16
2026-09-27	oos	119.6322	115.3861	-3.55%	117.0534	-2.16%	0.0108	✓	0.15
2026-09-26	oos	119.7037	115.6607	-3.38%	116.522	-2.66%	0.0068	✓	0.15
2026-09-25	oos	119.1593	115.1909	-3.33%	116.2472	-2.44%	0.0084	✓	0.15
2026-09-24	oos	119.5586	115.5594	-3.34%	118.5477	-0.85%	0.0247	✓	0.15
2026-09-23	oos	119.5349	115.5749	-3.31%	116.9363	-2.17%	0.0132	✓	0.15
2026-09-22	oos	120.5905	116.9024	-3.06%	118.5378	-1.70%	0.0183	✓	0.15
2026-09-21	oos	122.0118	118.4782	-2.90%	118.279	-3.06%	0.0035	✓	0.14
2026-09-20	oos	122.0733	118.3705	-3.03%	119.6322	-2.00%	0.0048	✓	0.15
2026-09-19	oos	122.1804	118.5254	-2.99%	119.7037	-2.03%	0.0042	✓	0.15
2026-09-18	oos	121.7619	118.329	-2.82%	119.1593	-2.14%	0.0013	✓	0.15
2026-09-17	oos	119.8243	117.2956	-2.11%	119.5586	-0.22%	0.0063	✓	0.13
2026-09-16	oos	119.6282	117.3066	-1.94%	119.5349	-0.08%	0.0057	✓	0.13
2026-09-15	oos	118.9348	117.0334	-1.60%	120.5905	+1.39%	0.0135	✓	0.12
2026-09-14	oos	122.4108	120.1506	-1.85%	122.0118	-0.33%	0.0041	✓	0.11
2026-09-13	oos	121.0485	119.3935	-1.37%	122.0733	+0.85%	0.0169	✗	0.10
2026-09-12	oos	121.6973	120.4244	-1.05%	122.1804	+0.40%	0.0100	✓	0.09
2026-09-11	oos	121.8078	121.0994	-0.58%	121.7619	-0.04%	0.0012	✓	0.09
2026-09-10	oos	122.6452	122.3507	-0.24%	119.8243	-2.30%	0.0206	✓	0.09
2026-09-09	oos	125.4371	125.5115	+0.06%	119.6282	-4.63%	0.0457	✗	0.08
2026-09-08	oos	126.7087	127.2651	+0.44%	118.9348	-6.14%	0.0654	✗	0.06
2026-09-07	oos	127.8053	128.8354	+0.81%	122.4108	-4.22%	0.0504	✗	0.06
2026-09-06	oos	129.8901	131.5032	+1.24%	121.0485	-6.81%	0.0792	✗	0.08
2026-09-05	oos	129.0303	131.8413	+2.18%	121.6973	-5.68%	0.0774	✗	0.08
2026-09-04	oos	130.1788	134.2377	+3.12%	121.8078	-6.43%	0.0945	✗	0.09
2026-09-03	oos	132.4877	138.7011	+4.69%	122.6452	-7.43%	0.1183	✗	0.08
2026-09-02	oos	136.2007	142.0382	+4.29%	125.4371	-7.90%	0.1259	✗	0.12
2026-09-01	oos	137.779	144.8815	+5.16%	126.7087	-8.03%	0.1358	✗	0.13
2026-08-31	oos	136.8872	144.3288	+5.44%	127.8053	-6.63%	0.1225	✗	0.14
2026-08-30	oos	135.8412	142.1007	+4.61%	129.8901	-4.38%	0.0942	✗	0.13
2026-08-29	oos	137.7388	143.5853	+4.24%	129.0303	-6.32%	0.1094	✗	0.12
2026-08-28	oos	136.563	141.4397	+3.57%	130.1788	-4.67%	0.0859	✗	0.12
2026-08-27	oos	137.6446	142.695	+3.67%	132.4877	-3.75%	0.0758	✗	0.13
2026-08-26	oos	136.7192	140.6891	+2.90%	136.2007	-0.38%	0.0297	✗	0.12
2026-08-25	oos	135.7951	139.165	+2.48%	137.779	+1.46%	0.0082	✓	0.12
2026-08-24	oos	138.0338	141.1178	+2.23%	136.8872	-0.83%	0.0298	✗	0.12
2026-08-23	oos	138.5343	141.0049	+1.78%	135.8412	-1.94%	0.0372	✗	0.11
2026-08-22	oos	137.8683	140.01	+1.55%	137.7388	-0.09%	0.0180	✗	0.11
2026-08-21	oos	138.6534	140.9254	+1.64%	136.563	-1.51%	0.0308	✗	0.11
2026-08-20	oos	140.2151	140.7934	+0.41%	137.6446	-1.83%	0.0358	✗	0.14
2026-08-19	oos	139.2406	138.5345	-0.51%	136.7192	-1.81%	0.0343	✓	0.16
2026-08-18	oos	139.1964	137.4351	-1.27%	135.7951	-2.44%	0.0466	✓	0.18
2026-08-17	oos	138.781	137.082	-1.22%	138.0338	-0.54%	0.0313	✓	0.19
2026-08-16	oos	139.7788	137.9522	-1.31%	138.5343	-0.89%	0.0376	✓	0.20
2026-08-15	oos	140.189	138.4803	-1.22%	137.8683	-1.66%	0.0433	✓	0.19
2026-08-14	oos	146.9445	144.9407	-1.36%	138.6534	-5.64%	0.0926	✓	0.22
2026-08-13	oos	151.1525	148.9667	-1.45%	140.2151	-7.24%	0.0907	✓	0.21
2026-08-12	oos	150.0512	147.9825	-1.38%	139.2406	-7.20%	0.0793	✓	0.21
2026-08-11	oos	150.0016	147.967	-1.36%	139.1964	-7.20%	0.0644	✓	0.18
2026-08-10	oos	150.5222	148.485	-1.35%	138.781	-7.80%	0.0695	✓	0.21
2026-08-09	oos	149.8991	148.0161	-1.26%	139.7788	-6.75%	0.0508	✓	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	150.7103	148.7498	-1.30%	140.189	-6.98%	0.0532	✓	0.20
2026-08-07	oos	150.2681	148.278	-1.32%	146.9445	-2.21%	0.0028	✓	0.21
2026-08-06	oos	150.2508	148.189	-1.37%	151.1525	+0.60%	0.0225	✗	0.20
2026-08-05	oos	151.7696	149.5859	-1.44%	150.0512	-1.13%	0.0067	✓	0.20
2026-08-04	oos	151.192	148.9511	-1.48%	150.0016	-0.79%	0.0085	✓	0.18
2026-08-03	oos	151.2501	148.9258	-1.54%	150.5222	-0.48%	0.0095	✓	0.17
2026-08-02	oos	152.0657	149.6793	-1.57%	149.8991	-1.42%	0.0022	✓	0.18
2026-08-01	oos	151.7473	149.3397	-1.59%	150.7103	-0.68%	0.0035	✓	0.17
2026-07-31	oos	150.4472	148.243	-1.47%	150.2681	-0.12%	0.0081	✓	0.17
2026-07-30	oos	151.3602	149.4079	-1.29%	150.2508	-0.73%	0.0068	✓	0.17
2026-07-29	oos	150.5366	148.7845	-1.16%	151.7696	+0.82%	0.0174	✗	0.22
2026-07-28	oos	151.869	150.2093	-1.09%	151.192	-0.45%	0.0058	✓	0.23
2026-07-27	oos	149.3046	148.0011	-0.87%	151.2501	+1.30%	0.0225	✗	0.22
2026-07-26	oos	153.1511	152.008	-0.75%	152.0657	-0.71%	0.0060	✓	0.20
2026-07-25	oos	151.4572	150.4479	-0.67%	151.7473	+0.19%	0.0131	✗	0.19
2026-07-24	oos	151.2942	150.3883	-0.60%	150.4472	-0.56%	0.0039	✓	0.17
2026-07-23	oos	151.0425	150.4752	-0.38%	151.3602	+0.21%	0.0068	✗	0.18
2026-07-22	oos	152.3194	151.9775	-0.22%	150.5366	-1.17%	0.0034	✓	0.18
2026-07-21	oos	153.2626	153.0078	-0.17%	151.869	-0.91%	0.0000	✓	0.18
2026-07-20	oos	152.0898	151.7131	-0.25%	149.3046	-1.83%	0.0116	✓	0.19
2026-07-19	oos	154.1228	153.5556	-0.37%	153.1511	-0.63%	0.0046	✓	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	155.108	154.4997	-0.39%	151.4572	-2.35%	0.0182	✓	0.22
2026-07-17	oos	152.9571	152.2879	-0.44%	151.2942	-1.09%	0.0072	✓	0.22
2026-07-16	oos	151.6415	151.0143	-0.41%	151.0425	-0.40%	0.0042	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	149.9178	149.5873	-0.22%	152.3194	+1.60%	0.0129	✗	0.25
2026-07-14	oos	153.3422	152.8834	-0.30%	153.2626	-0.05%	0.0028	✓	0.23
2026-07-13	oos	152.7226	151.8893	-0.55%	152.0898	-0.41%	0.0088	✓	0.22
2026-07-12	oos	152.4355	151.8584	-0.38%	154.1228	+1.11%	0.0114	✗	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	152.4016	151.8385	-0.37%	155.108	+1.78%	0.0173	✗	0.25
2026-07-10	oos	152.366	151.8808	-0.32%	152.9571	+0.39%	0.0081	✗	0.27
2026-07-09	oos	152.3446	151.7839	-0.37%	151.6415	-0.46%	0.0035	✓	0.27
2026-07-08	oos	151.7781	151.167	-0.40%	149.9178	-1.23%	0.0188	✓	0.27
2026-07-07	oos	151.5182	151.1331	-0.25%	153.3422	+1.20%	0.0074	✗	0.27
2026-07-06	oos	154.3142	153.9233	-0.25%	152.7226	-1.03%	0.0005	✓	0.27
2026-07-05	oos	154.077	153.6825	-0.26%	152.4355	-1.07%	0.0088	✓	0.27
2026-07-04	oos	154.7202	154.2574	-0.30%	152.4016	-1.50%	0.0150	✓	0.27
2026-07-03	oos	153.7662	153.2489	-0.34%	152.366	-0.91%	0.0123	✓	0.26
2026-07-02	oos	152.0462	151.4894	-0.37%	152.3446	+0.20%	0.0013	✓	0.26
2026-07-01	oos	151.6335	150.8969	-0.49%	151.7781	+0.10%	0.0036	✓	0.25
2026-06-30	oos	152.05	151.0974	-0.63%	151.5182	-0.35%	0.0168	✓	0.25
2026-06-29	oos	152.0878	151.3233	-0.50%	154.3142	+1.46%	0.0035	✓	0.26
2026-06-28	oos	151.5607	150.7129	-0.56%	154.077	+1.66%	0.0044	✓	0.26
2026-06-27	oos	152.1466	151.3206	-0.54%	154.7202	+1.69%	0.0083	✗	0.27
2026-06-26	oos	154.0792	153.1114	-0.63%	153.7662	-0.20%	0.0068	✓	0.27
2026-06-25	oos	152.199	151.2759	-0.61%	152.0462	-0.10%	0.0028	✓	0.27
2026-06-24	oos	152.274	151.4999	-0.51%	151.6335	-0.42%	0.0053	✗	0.26
2026-06-23	oos	152.4131	151.824	-0.39%	152.05	-0.24%	0.0191	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	152.288	151.8723	-0.27%	152.0878	-0.13%	0.0177	✗	0.27
2026-06-21	oos	152.065	151.5973	-0.31%	151.5607	-0.33%	0.0158	✗	0.26
2026-06-20	oos	152.8393	152.4599	-0.25%	152.1466	-0.45%	0.0148	✗	0.24
2026-06-19	oos	153.6905	153.2071	-0.31%	154.0792	+0.25%	0.0190	✗	0.24
2026-06-18	oos	154.2555	153.7098	-0.35%	152.199	-1.33%	0.0016	✓	0.22
2026-06-17	oos	155.0079	154.599	-0.26%	152.274	-1.76%	0.0027	✓	0.23
2026-06-16	oos	158.1635	157.733	-0.27%	152.4131	-3.64%	0.0235	✓	0.23
2026-06-15	oos	155.3014	155.1094	-0.12%	152.288	-1.94%	0.0109	✓	0.21
2026-06-14	oos	160.2353	159.8206	-0.26%	152.065	-5.10%	0.0413	✓	0.22
2026-06-13	oos	159.8021	159.3516	-0.28%	152.8393	-4.36%	0.0410	✓	0.23
2026-06-12	oos	159.9919	159.5914	-0.25%	153.6905	-3.94%	0.0374	✓	0.23
2026-06-11	oos	166.0988	165.3807	-0.43%	154.2555	-7.13%	0.0671	✓	0.23
2026-06-10	oos	169.7934	168.7988	-0.59%	155.0079	-8.71%	0.0974	✓	0.25
2026-06-09	oos	174.6371	173.2466	-0.80%	158.1635	-9.43%	0.1074	✓	0.26
2026-06-08	oos	180.7511	178.9531	-0.99%	155.3014	-14.08%	0.1548	✓	0.26
2026-06-07	oos	183.1239	181.0626	-1.13%	160.2353	-12.50%	0.1338	✓	0.31
2026-06-06	oos	182.4621	180.5909	-1.03%	159.8021	-12.42%	0.1366	✓	0.25
2026-06-05	oos	185.492	183.4335	-1.11%	159.9919	-13.75%	0.1459	✓	0.23
2026-06-04	oos	187.7511	185.4293	-1.24%	166.0988	-11.53%	0.1092	✓	0.23
2026-06-03	oos	193.7013	190.8519	-1.47%	169.7934	-12.34%	0.1085	✓	0.20
2026-06-02	oos	196.8275	193.726	-1.58%	174.6371	-11.27%	0.0924	✓	0.15
2026-06-01	oos	198.3972	195.2911	-1.57%	180.7511	-8.89%	0.0474	✓	0.24
2026-05-31	oos	199.2405	196.2668	-1.49%	183.1239	-8.09%	0.0321	✓	0.25
2026-05-30	oos	202.775	199.7676	-1.48%	182.4621	-10.02%	0.0227	✗	0.59
2026-05-29	oos	200.2331	197.4917	-1.37%	185.492	-7.36%	0.0318	✗	0.51
2026-05-28	oos	204.5351	201.679	-1.40%	187.7511	-8.21%	0.0014	✓	0.52
2026-05-27	oos	206.7726	203.9059	-1.39%	193.7013	-6.32%	0.0079	✓	0.29
2026-05-26	oos	205.4656	202.7938	-1.30%	196.8275	-4.20%	0.0244	✓	0.04
2026-05-25	oos	203.8498	201.5659	-1.12%	198.3972	-2.67%	0.0250	✗	0.51
2026-05-24	oos	201.751	199.491	-1.12%	199.2405	-1.24%	0.0219	✗	0.51
2026-05-23	oos	203.1663	200.779	-1.18%	202.775	-0.19%	0.0299	✗	0.52
2026-05-22	oos	202.7993	200.3368	-1.21%	200.2331	-1.27%	0.0145	✗	0.54
2026-05-21	oos	211.6062	208.6829	-1.38%	204.5351	-3.34%	0.0069	✓	0.50
2026-05-20	oos	208.2707	205.4422	-1.36%	206.7726	-0.72%	0.0274	✗	0.50
2026-05-19	oos	202.8908	200.2658	-1.29%	205.4656	+1.27%	0.0318	✗	0.50
2026-05-18	oos	204.5183	201.8111	-1.32%	203.8498	-0.33%	0.0080	✓	0.52
2026-05-17	oos	200.68	198.5562	-1.06%	201.751	+0.53%	0.0189	✗	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	222.4611	219.0213	-1.55%	203.1663	-8.67%	0.0658	✓	0.50
2026-05-15	oos	221.8012	218.7258	-1.39%	202.7993	-8.57%	0.0516	✓	0.51
2026-05-14	oos	222.2199	219.7407	-1.12%	211.6062	-4.78%	0.0152	✓	0.51
2026-05-13	oos	228.3821	225.0806	-1.45%	208.2707	-8.81%	0.0660	✓	0.50
2026-05-12	oos	247.5702	242.9947	-1.85%	202.8908	-18.05%	0.1585	✓	0.46
2026-05-11	oos	240.5782	237.191	-1.41%	204.5183	-14.99%	0.1196	✓	0.47
2026-05-10	oos	244.2902	240.8985	-1.39%	200.68	-17.85%	0.1534	✓	0.49
2026-05-09	oos	243.2573	239.6205	-1.50%	222.4611	-8.55%	0.0582	✓	0.50
2026-05-08	oos	245.6895	241.8868	-1.55%	221.8012	-9.72%	0.0797	✓	0.49
2026-05-07	oos	260.8894	255.7337	-1.98%	222.2199	-14.82%	0.1471	✓	0.50
2026-05-06	oos	255.1516	251.4224	-1.46%	228.3821	-10.49%	0.0830	✓	0.49
2026-05-05	oos	264.0396	259.2623	-1.81%	247.5702	-6.24%	0.0433	✓	0.54
2026-05-04	oos	259.6586	254.8109	-1.87%	240.5782	-7.35%	0.0703	✓	0.55
2026-05-03	oos	262.6737	256.7466	-2.26%	244.2902	-7.00%	0.0753	✓	0.56
2026-05-02	oos	262.4384	256.5239	-2.25%	243.2573	-7.31%	0.0671	✓	0.56
2026-05-01	oos	265.3872	258.6405	-2.54%	245.6895	-7.42%	0.0657	✓	0.58
2026-04-30	oos	249.8432	243.4497	-2.56%	260.8894	+4.42%	0.0430	✗	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	246.8498	240.2479	-2.67%	255.1516	+3.36%	0.0201	✓	0.55
2026-04-28	oos	244.3125	238.1502	-2.52%	264.0396	+8.07%	0.0718	✗	0.54
2026-04-27	oos	239.4538	234.5346	-2.05%	259.6586	+8.44%	0.0848	✗	0.54
2026-04-26	oos	240.4076	236.5232	-1.62%	262.6737	+9.26%	0.1056	✗	0.52
2026-04-25	oos	246.8195	240.5863	-2.53%	262.4384	+6.33%	0.0799	✗	0.53
2026-04-24	oos	239.3317	232.1205	-3.01%	265.3872	+10.89%	0.1284	✗	0.55
2026-04-23	oos	240.4245	232.5504	-3.28%	249.8432	+3.92%	0.0858	✗	0.55
2026-04-22	oos	242.0296	233.5949	-3.48%	246.8498	+1.99%	0.0728	✗	0.55
2026-04-21	oos	239.428	231.1179	-3.47%	244.3125	+2.04%	0.0557	✗	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	241.0308	232.5321	-3.53%	239.4538	-0.65%	0.0184	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	233.5885	226.071	-3.22%	240.4076	+2.92%	0.0231	✓	0.60
2026-04-18	oos	239.4263	231.2772	-3.40%	246.8195	+3.09%	0.0502	✗	0.60
2026-04-17	oos	241.1719	232.8483	-3.45%	239.3317	-0.76%	0.0246	✓	0.60
2026-04-16	oos	235.6184	228.218	-3.14%	240.4245	+2.04%	0.0275	✓	0.60
2026-04-15	oos	262.677	253.9042	-3.34%	242.0296	-7.86%	0.0750	✓	0.62
2026-04-14	oos	268.7346	259.7767	-3.33%	239.428	-10.91%	0.0997	✓	0.63
2026-04-13	oos	275.3103	265.7535	-3.47%	241.0308	-12.45%	0.1093	✓	0.62
2026-04-12	oos	269.944	260.3328	-3.56%	233.5885	-13.47%	0.1358	✓	0.65
2026-04-11	oos	280.1861	269.5393	-3.80%	239.4263	-14.55%	0.1408	✓	0.63
2026-04-10	oos	283.65	272.0491	-4.09%	241.1719	-14.98%	0.1547	✓	0.63
2026-04-09	oos	285.12	273.0717	-4.23%	235.6184	-17.36%	0.1766	✓	0.64
2026-04-08	oos	287.4921	275.1463	-4.29%	262.677	-8.63%	0.0794	✓	0.64
2026-04-07	oos	288.3202	275.5188	-4.44%	268.7346	-6.79%	0.0448	✓	0.64
2026-04-06	oos	285.8666	273.096	-4.47%	275.3103	-3.69%	0.0452	✓	0.68
2026-04-05	oos	292.2391	278.3162	-4.76%	269.944	-7.63%	0.0476	✓	0.68
2026-04-04	oos	296.5	281.7551	-4.97%	280.1861	-5.50%	0.0618	✓	0.68
2026-04-03	oos	289.5533	275.2011	-4.96%	283.65	-2.04%	0.0283	✓	0.68
2026-04-02	oos	291.033	276.0629	-5.14%	285.12	-2.03%	0.0155	✓	0.68
2026-04-01	oos	290.5238	274.8756	-5.39%	287.4921	-1.04%	0.0161	✓	0.67
2026-03-31	oos	288.4871	272.5609	-5.52%	288.3202	-0.06%	0.0208	✓	0.67
2026-03-30	oos	285.5425	269.7504	-5.53%	285.8666	+0.11%	0.0366	✓	0.69
2026-03-29	oos	282.4259	266.5493	-5.62%	292.2391	+3.47%	0.0611	✗	0.68
2026-03-28	oos	283.9924	267.3667	-5.85%	296.5	+4.40%	0.0934	✗	0.69
2026-03-27	oos	286.5556	269.215	-6.05%	289.5533	+1.05%	0.0666	✗	0.69
2026-03-26	oos	286.9869	268.7742	-6.35%	291.033	+1.41%	0.0984	✗	0.68
2026-03-25	oos	288.6543	269.4017	-6.67%	290.5238	+0.65%	0.1065	✗	0.68
2026-03-24	oos	289.4908	269.9045	-6.77%	288.4871	-0.35%	0.0895	✗	0.69
2026-03-23	oos	285.2288	265.6624	-6.86%	285.5425	+0.11%	0.1133	✗	0.68
2026-03-22	oos	288.3836	268.8233	-6.78%	282.4259	-2.07%	0.0698	✓	0.73
2026-03-21	oos	285.2849	265.7232	-6.86%	283.9924	-0.45%	0.0943	✗	0.72
2026-03-20	oos	281.6591	262.2177	-6.90%	286.5556	+1.74%	0.1325	✗	0.72
2026-03-19	oos	283.0578	263.9205	-6.76%	286.9869	+1.39%	0.0958	✗	0.72
2026-03-18	oos	292.3958	271.6925	-7.08%	288.6543	-1.28%	0.0600	✓	0.70
2026-03-17	oos	287.8671	267.1577	-7.19%	289.4908	+0.56%	0.1143	✗	0.72
2026-03-16	oos	293.0667	272.0329	-7.18%	285.2288	-2.67%	0.0834	✗	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	287.8375	266.982	-7.25%	288.3836	+0.19%	0.1238	✗	0.66
2026-03-14	oos	286.9874	266.323	-7.20%	285.2849	-0.59%	0.0913	✗	0.68
2026-03-13	oos	287.1263	265.5846	-7.50%	281.6591	-1.90%	0.0632	✓	0.70
2026-03-12	oos	291.2892	267.4617	-8.18%	283.0578	-2.83%	0.0628	✓	0.70
2026-03-11	oos	274.2802	251.1614	-8.43%	292.3958	+6.60%	0.1421	✗	0.68
2026-03-10	oos	250.1096	228.6625	-8.58%	287.8671	+15.10%	0.1936	✗	0.66
2026-03-09	oos	229.7689	210.6124	-8.34%	293.0667	+27.55%	0.2717	✗	0.65
2026-03-08	oos	243.7696	222.6568	-8.66%	287.8375	+18.08%	0.1871	✗	0.70
2026-03-07	oos	234.8456	213.9331	-8.90%	286.9874	+22.20%	0.2534	✗	0.70
2026-03-06	oos	235.0381	213.3837	-9.21%	287.1263	+22.16%	0.2686	✗	0.69
2026-03-05	oos	233.0921	209.1051	-10.29%	291.2892	+24.97%	0.3350	✗	0.69
2026-03-04	oos	217.4655	194.8559	-10.40%	274.2802	+26.13%	0.3672	✗	0.73
2026-03-03	oos	204.6076	182.6751	-10.72%	250.1096	+22.24%	0.2966	✗	0.75
2026-03-02	oos	205.5447	180.6805	-12.10%	229.7689	+11.79%	0.2448	✗	0.76
2026-03-01	oos	153.2768	134.9184	-11.98%	243.7696	+59.04%	0.5896	✗	0.63
2026-02-28	oos	133.8969	118.1916	-11.73%	234.8456	+75.39%	0.6836	✗	0.69
2026-02-27	oos	130.9839	113.9633	-12.99%	235.0381	+79.44%	0.7006	✗	0.69
2026-02-26	oos	95.535	81.9278	-14.24%	233.0921	+143.99%	1.0074	✗	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	32.0054	30.4283	-4.93%	217.4655	+579.47%	1.9109	✗	0.84
2026-02-24	oos	22.4332	22.1343	-1.33%	204.6076	+812.07%	2.1871	✗	0.57
2026-02-23	oos	22.132	21.864	-1.21%	205.5447	+828.72%	2.2046	✗	0.57
2026-02-22	oos	22.2461	22.0149	-1.04%	153.2768	+589.01%	1.9568	✗	0.59
2026-02-21	oos	22.9018	22.6175	-1.24%	133.8969	+484.66%	1.7869	✗	0.59
2026-02-20	oos	22.7649	22.475	-1.27%	130.9839	+475.38%	1.7813	✗	0.59
2026-02-19	oos	22.1787	21.9201	-1.17%	95.535	+330.75%	1.4676	✗	0.58
2026-02-18	oos	21.7848	21.5572	-1.04%	32.0054	+46.92%	0.3815	✗	0.59
2026-02-17	oos	22.3419	22.0873	-1.14%	22.4332	+0.41%	0.0439	✗	0.55
2026-02-16	oos	22.6204	22.3551	-1.17%	22.132	-2.16%	0.0266	✗	0.58
2026-02-15	oos	22.5257	22.2581	-1.19%	22.2461	-1.24%	0.0092	✓	0.57
2026-02-14	oos	23.3204	22.9637	-1.53%	22.9018	-1.79%	0.0120	✓	0.55
2026-02-13	oos	22.5	22.1925	-1.37%	22.7649	+1.18%	0.0321	✗	0.55
2026-02-12	oos	22.3803	22.0463	-1.49%	22.1787	-0.90%	0.0002	✓	0.54
2026-02-11	oos	21.9658	21.6658	-1.37%	21.7848	-0.82%	0.0113	✓	0.64
2026-02-10	oos	21.9054	21.6208	-1.30%	22.3419	+1.99%	0.0455	✗	0.65
2026-02-09	oos	22.4283	22.1027	-1.45%	22.6204	+0.86%	0.0347	✗	0.65
2026-02-08	oos	22.1734	21.8632	-1.40%	22.5257	+1.59%	0.0440	✗	0.66
2026-02-07	oos	22.3773	22.0358	-1.53%	23.3204	+4.21%	0.0514	✗	0.67
2026-02-06	oos	22.299	21.927	-1.67%	22.5	+0.90%	0.0423	✗	0.67
2026-02-05	oos	20.5777	20.4388	-0.68%	22.3803	+8.76%	0.0559	✗	0.66
2026-02-04	oos	22.0357	21.6947	-1.55%	21.9658	-0.32%	0.0797	✗	0.79
2026-02-03	oos	22.5834	22.1698	-1.83%	21.9054	-3.00%	0.0647	✗	0.81
2026-02-02	oos	22.4885	22.0619	-1.90%	22.4283	-0.27%	0.0997	✗	0.72
2026-02-01	oos	21.5711	21.2274	-1.59%	22.1734	+2.79%	0.1022	✗	0.65
2026-01-31	oos	22.5394	22.072	-2.07%	22.3773	-0.72%	0.1009	✗	0.68
2026-01-30	oos	22.1003	21.657	-2.01%	22.299	+0.90%	0.1719	✗	0.81
2026-01-29	oos	20.9116	20.5929	-1.52%	20.5777	-1.60%	0.2408	✗	0.81
2026-01-28	oos	20.4224	20.1786	-1.19%	22.0357	+7.90%	0.2736	✗	0.93
2026-01-27	oos	20.2232	19.9993	-1.11%	22.5834	+11.67%	0.2733	✗	0.93
2026-01-26	oos	21.3303	21.0227	-1.44%	22.4885	+5.43%	0.1718	✗	0.91
2026-01-25	oos	20.5804	20.3267	-1.23%	21.5711	+4.81%	0.1652	✗	0.89
2026-01-24	oos	21.7946	21.4798	-1.44%	22.5394	+3.42%	0.1575	✗	0.88
2026-01-23	oos	21.8302	21.5271	-1.39%	22.1003	+1.24%	0.0802	✗	0.87
2026-01-22	oos	21.8837	21.5799	-1.39%	20.9116	-4.44%	0.0183	✗	0.87
2026-01-21	oos	22.1339	21.8115	-1.46%	20.4224	-7.73%	0.0638	✓	0.88
2026-01-20	oos	21.6518	21.3664	-1.32%	20.2232	-6.60%	0.0629	✓	0.87
2026-01-19	oos	23.4273	23.0932	-1.43%	21.3303	-8.95%	0.0399	✓	0.83
2026-01-18	oos	23.2421	22.9593	-1.22%	20.5804	-11.45%	0.0438	✓	0.84
2026-01-17	oos	23.9459	23.659	-1.20%	21.7946	-8.98%	0.0267	✓	0.85
2026-01-16	oos	23.9111	23.6465	-1.11%	21.8302	-8.70%	0.0241	✓	0.86
2026-01-15	oos	24.0331	23.7572	-1.15%	21.8837	-8.94%	0.0255	✓	0.86
2026-01-14	oos	24.5732	24.2721	-1.23%	22.1339	-9.93%	0.0222	✓	0.86
2026-01-13	oos	24.7011	24.3193	-1.55%	21.6518	-12.34%	0.0679	✓	0.63
2026-01-12	oos	23.1593	22.8123	-1.50%	23.4273	+1.16%	0.0180	✗	0.58
2026-01-11	oos	23.9192	23.5106	-1.71%	23.2421	-2.83%	0.0288	✓	0.58
2026-01-10	oos	23.8134	23.4115	-1.69%	23.9459	+0.56%	0.0071	✓	0.58
2026-01-09	oos	23.8132	23.454	-1.51%	23.9111	+0.41%	0.0127	✓	0.60
2026-01-08	oos	24.1148	23.7673	-1.44%	24.0331	-0.34%	0.0177	✓	0.59
2026-01-07	oos	24.5347	24.2042	-1.35%	24.5732	+0.16%	0.0183	✓	0.55
2026-01-06	oos	25.6867	25.3212	-1.42%	24.7011	-3.84%	0.0343	✓	0.54
2026-01-05	oos	25.467	25.1367	-1.30%	23.1593	-9.06%	0.0659	✓	0.55
2026-01-04	oos	25.957	25.5944	-1.40%	23.9192	-7.85%	0.0637	✓	0.58
2026-01-03	oos	25.5897	25.2454	-1.35%	23.8134	-6.94%	0.0569	✓	0.59
2026-01-02	oos	25.667	25.2929	-1.46%	23.8132	-7.22%	0.0641	✓	0.62
2026-01-01	oos	24.5707	24.2652	-1.24%	24.1148	-1.86%	0.0216	✓	0.60
2025-12-31	oos	23.7913	23.5396	-1.06%	24.5347	+3.12%	0.0167	✗	0.58
2025-12-30	oos	24.2007	23.9409	-1.07%	25.6867	+6.14%	0.0366	✗	0.58
2025-12-29	oos	23.9863	23.7265	-1.08%	25.467	+6.17%	0.0263	✗	0.59
2025-12-28	oos	24.3566	24.0867	-1.11%	25.957	+6.57%	0.0508	✗	0.59
2025-12-27	oos	24.3761	24.1062	-1.11%	25.5897	+4.98%	0.0413	✗	0.59
2025-12-26	oos	23.7524	23.5305	-0.93%	25.667	+8.06%	0.0694	✗	0.58
2025-12-25	oos	23.5185	23.3329	-0.79%	24.5707	+4.47%	0.0413	✗	0.58
2025-12-24	oos	26.0062	25.6817	-1.25%	23.7913	-8.52%	0.0757	✓	0.58
2025-12-23	oos	26.8291	26.4409	-1.45%	24.2007	-9.80%	0.0950	✓	0.58
2025-12-22	oos	26.8696	26.4873	-1.42%	23.9863	-10.73%	0.0895	✓	0.59
2025-12-21	oos	26.5705	26.2156	-1.34%	24.3566	-8.33%	0.0685	✓	0.58
2025-12-20	oos	26.8269	26.4427	-1.43%	24.3761	-9.14%	0.0782	✓	0.54
2025-12-19	oos	26.7768	26.3738	-1.50%	23.7524	-11.29%	0.0998	✓	0.54
2025-12-18	oos	26.2886	25.8675	-1.60%	23.5185	-10.54%	0.1055	✓	0.52
2025-12-17	oos	29.9878	28.92	-3.56%	26.0062	-13.28%	0.1142	✓	0.50
2025-12-16	oos	21.8866	21.6863	-0.92%	26.8291	+22.58%	0.2158	✗	0.61
2025-12-15	oos	21.6415	21.4439	-0.91%	26.8696	+24.16%	0.2107	✗	0.61
2025-12-14	oos	22.2734	22.0631	-0.94%	26.5705	+19.29%	0.1828	✗	0.59
2025-12-13	oos	23.0332	22.8188	-0.93%	26.8269	+16.47%	0.1745	✗	0.59
2025-12-12	oos	23.8373	23.558	-1.17%	26.7768	+12.33%	0.1425	✗	0.59
2025-12-11	oos	21.8244	21.7054	-0.55%	26.2886	+20.46%	0.2428	✗	0.64
2025-12-10	oos	22.8815	22.7093	-0.75%	29.9878	+31.06%	0.3204	✗	0.65
2025-12-09	oos	23.3848	23.1809	-0.87%	21.8866	-6.41%	0.0199	✓	0.70
2025-12-08	oos	22.6316	22.4706	-0.71%	21.6415	-4.37%	0.0046	✓	0.69
2025-12-07	oos	23.2849	23.0957	-0.81%	22.2734	-4.34%	0.0190	✓	0.69
2025-12-06	oos	23.7457	23.5305	-0.91%	23.0332	-3.00%	0.0291	✓	0.70
2025-12-05	oos	23.319	23.1462	-0.74%	23.8373	+2.22%	0.0221	✗	0.70
2025-12-04	oos	24.4511	24.2046	-1.01%	21.8244	-10.74%	0.1068	✓	0.68
2025-12-03	oos	25.408	25.061	-1.37%	22.8815	-9.94%	0.0807	✓	0.67
2025-12-02	oos	23.6644	23.4273	-1.00%	23.3848	-1.18%	0.0114	✓	0.64
2025-12-01	oos	21.5241	21.4457	-0.36%	22.6316	+5.15%	0.0267	✗	0.55
2025-11-30	oos	23.1575	22.9914	-0.72%	23.2849	+0.55%	0.0125	✗	0.50
2025-11-29	oos	23.481	23.3058	-0.75%	23.7457	+1.13%	0.0291	✗	0.60
2025-11-28	oos	23.7343	23.5598	-0.74%	23.319	-1.75%	0.0002	✓	0.61
2025-11-27	oos	24.1139	23.9233	-0.79%	24.4511	+1.40%	0.0167	✗	0.60
2025-11-26	oos	24.3308	24.1382	-0.79%	25.408	+4.43%	0.0310	✗	0.62
2025-11-25	oos	23.7477	23.6477	-0.42%	23.6644	-0.35%	0.0263	✓	0.61
2025-11-24	oos	23.9648	23.8573	-0.45%	21.5241	-10.18%	0.0892	✓	0.61
2025-11-23	oos	23.7215	23.6703	-0.22%	23.1575	-2.38%	0.0520	✓	0.75
2025-11-22	oos	23.2791	23.3447	+0.28%	23.481	+0.87%	0.0390	✗	0.64
2025-11-21	oos	23.1645	23.3244	+0.69%	23.7343	+2.46%	0.0253	✗	0.64
2025-11-20	oos	23.9538	24.1329	+0.75%	24.1139	+0.67%	0.0347	✗	0.63
2025-11-19	oos	23.5218	23.7822	+1.11%	24.3308	+3.44%	0.0299	✓	0.65
2025-11-18	oos	28.4432	28.3441	-0.35%	23.7477	-16.51%	0.1425	✓	0.55
2025-11-17	oos	30.6551	30.428	-0.74%	23.9648	-21.82%	0.2139	✓	0.59
2025-11-16	oos	30.1868	30.0502	-0.45%	23.7215	-21.42%	0.1954	✓	0.50
2025-11-15	oos	30.8623	30.734	-0.42%	23.2791	-24.57%	0.2207	✓	0.47
2025-11-14	oos	33.0263	32.837	-0.57%	23.1645	-29.86%	0.2958	✓	0.51
2025-11-13	oos	39.8493	38.9739	-2.20%	23.9538	-39.89%	0.4527	✓	0.24
2025-11-12	oos	40.1724	39.2836	-2.21%	23.5218	-41.45%	0.4885	✓	0.23
2025-11-11	oos	40.3298	39.5169	-2.02%	28.4432	-29.47%	0.3057	✓	0.22
2025-11-10	oos	43.3289	42.1879	-2.63%	30.6551	-29.25%	0.2974	✓	0.16
2025-11-09	oos	42.2415	41.3225	-2.18%	30.1868	-28.54%	0.2977	✓	0.15
2025-11-08	oos	42.1604	41.3691	-1.88%	30.8623	-26.80%	0.2815	✓	0.17
2025-11-07	oos	43.038	42.1842	-1.98%	33.0263	-23.26%	0.2306	✓	0.16
2025-11-06	oos	42.0086	41.4391	-1.36%	39.8493	-5.14%	0.0365	✓	0.16
2025-11-05	oos	44.1646	43.3747	-1.79%	40.1724	-9.04%	0.0743	✓	0.11
2025-11-04	oos	52.6475	51.0152	-3.10%	40.3298	-23.40%	0.2392	✓	0.27
2025-11-03	oos	52.3884	50.7133	-3.20%	43.3289	-17.29%	0.1559	✓	0.27
2025-11-02	oos	57.15	54.9617	-3.83%	42.2415	-26.09%	0.2560	✓	0.13
2025-11-01	oos	55.4853	53.4843	-3.61%	42.1604	-24.02%	0.2282	✓	0.13
2025-10-31	oos	55.7768	53.7178	-3.69%	43.038	-22.84%	0.2135	✓	0.14
2025-10-30	oos	54.3527	52.4815	-3.44%	42.0086	-22.71%	0.2133	✓	0.14
2025-10-29	oos	55.7967	53.7251	-3.71%	44.1646	-20.85%	0.1896	✓	0.11
2025-10-28	oos	54.3445	52.3441	-3.68%	52.6475	-3.12%	0.0181	✓	0.12
2025-10-27	oos	55.5335	53.3562	-3.92%	52.3884	-5.66%	0.0116	✓	0.10
2025-10-26	oos	57.5933	55.0412	-4.43%	57.15	-0.77%	0.0408	✓	0.09
2025-10-25	oos	57.1906	54.6616	-4.42%	55.4853	-2.98%	0.0166	✓	0.11
2025-10-24	oos	57.1726	54.619	-4.47%	55.7768	-2.44%	0.0226	✓	0.12
2025-10-23	oos	56.9443	54.3742	-4.51%	54.3527	-4.55%	0.0017	✓	0.13
2025-10-22	oos	56.2255	53.6778	-4.53%	55.7967	-0.76%	0.0355	✓	0.14
2025-10-21	oos	56.035	53.3991	-4.70%	54.3445	-3.02%	0.0118	✓	0.14
2025-10-20	oos	57.4	54.4222	-5.19%	55.5335	-3.25%	0.0171	✓	0.10
2025-10-19	oos	55.5789	52.8257	-4.95%	57.5933	+3.62%	0.0812	✗	0.10
2025-10-18	oos	54.0674	51.4906	-4.77%	57.1906	+5.78%	0.1009	✗	0.10
2025-10-17	oos	54.232	51.4484	-5.13%	57.1726	+5.42%	0.1008	✗	0.11
2025-10-16	oos	55.8495	51.6519	-7.52%	56.9443	+1.96%	0.0962	✗	0.08
2025-10-15	oos	38.7231	37.5061	-3.14%	56.2255	+45.20%	0.4172	✗	0.42
2025-10-14	oos	39.6162	38.272	-3.39%	56.035	+41.44%	0.3976	✗	0.38
2025-10-13	oos	40.1722	38.6933	-3.68%	57.4	+42.88%	0.4092	✗	0.36
2025-10-12	oos	39.6347	38.1718	-3.69%	55.5789	+40.23%	0.3962	✗	0.36
2025-10-11	oos	38.3818	37.0768	-3.40%	54.0674	+40.87%	0.3894	✗	0.37
2025-10-10	oos	38.5326	37.1412	-3.61%	54.232	+40.74%	0.3994	✗	0.35
2025-10-09	oos	39.5594	37.9784	-4.00%	55.8495	+41.18%	0.4105	✗	0.21
2025-10-08	oos	40.0443	38.4006	-4.10%	38.7231	-3.30%	0.0271	✓	0.17
2025-10-07	oos	38.6379	37.0996	-3.98%	39.6162	+2.53%	0.0776	✗	0.17
2025-10-06	oos	40.0257	38.2646	-4.40%	40.1722	+0.37%	0.0521	✗	0.04
2025-10-05	oos	38.1369	36.428	-4.48%	39.6347	+3.93%	0.0866	✗	0.03
2025-10-04	oos	34.6692	33.2234	-4.17%	38.3818	+10.71%	0.1435	✗	-0.01
2025-10-03	oos	35.2035	33.6985	-4.28%	38.5326	+9.46%	0.1334	✗	-0.01
2025-10-02	oos	35.7534	34.1919	-4.37%	39.5594	+10.65%	0.1455	✗	0.04
2025-10-01	oos	35.9315	34.3226	-4.48%	40.0443	+11.45%	0.1510	✗	0.08
2025-09-30	oos	34.53	33.0542	-4.27%	38.6379	+11.90%	0.1525	✗	0.06
2025-09-29	oos	35.227	33.6647	-4.43%	40.0257	+13.62%	0.1689	✗	0.05
2025-09-28	oos	35.3014	33.7241	-4.47%	38.1369	+8.03%	0.1121	✗	0.11
2025-09-27	oos	34.9165	33.4092	-4.32%	34.6692	-0.71%	0.0184	✓	0.17
2025-09-26	oos	35.3441	33.7489	-4.51%	35.2035	-0.40%	0.0230	✓	0.18
2025-09-25	oos	34.0119	32.5651	-4.25%	35.7534	+5.12%	0.0759	✗	0.17
2025-09-24	oos	34.679	33.0865	-4.59%	35.9315	+3.61%	0.0839	✗	-0.03
2025-09-23	oos	34.2595	32.5914	-4.87%	34.53	+0.79%	0.0577	✗	0.00
2025-09-22	oos	32.1767	30.6162	-4.85%	35.227	+9.48%	0.1400	✗	0.02
2025-09-21	oos	29.8116	28.2956	-5.09%	35.3014	+18.41%	0.2250	✗	0.14
2025-09-20	oos	24.5372	23.4235	-4.54%	34.9165	+42.30%	0.4107	✗	0.21
2025-09-19	oos	31.4257	29.7693	-5.27%	35.3441	+12.47%	0.1849	✗	0.25
2025-09-18	oos	30.3499	28.7622	-5.23%	34.0119	+12.07%	0.1856	✗	0.25

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.