ATLA

? · · beta_5y

token id: #450
symbol: ATLA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-08-17
predictions: 1,269

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

52.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0287

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0063

actual +0.0040

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	115.9674	115.4514	-0.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.17
2026-10-21	oos	116.35	115.8598	-0.42%	115.9674	+0.10%	0.0048	✗	0.17
2026-10-20	oos	116.7219	116.2139	-0.44%	116.35	-0.32%	0.0017	✓	0.17
2026-10-19	oos	115.1533	114.686	-0.41%	116.7219	+1.36%	0.0154	✗	0.17
2026-10-18	oos	117.0067	116.4569	-0.47%	115.1533	-1.58%	0.0109	✓	0.17
2026-10-17	oos	116.2617	115.6949	-0.49%	117.0067	+0.64%	0.0100	✗	0.17
2026-10-16	oos	116.6026	116.089	-0.44%	116.2617	-0.29%	0.0017	✓	0.17
2026-10-15	oos	116.0011	115.5407	-0.40%	116.6026	+0.52%	0.0105	✗	0.17
2026-10-14	oos	116.679	116.2003	-0.41%	116.0011	-0.58%	0.0029	✓	0.17
2026-10-13	oos	117.4309	116.9401	-0.42%	116.679	-0.64%	0.0008	✓	0.17
2026-10-12	oos	115.7178	115.2687	-0.39%	117.4309	+1.48%	0.0159	✗	0.16
2026-10-11	oos	119.1933	118.6467	-0.46%	115.7178	-2.92%	0.0216	✓	0.15
2026-10-10	oos	118.4958	117.9226	-0.48%	119.1933	+0.59%	0.0094	✗	0.14
2026-10-09	oos	118.2518	117.6389	-0.52%	118.4958	+0.21%	0.0066	✗	0.14
2026-10-08	oos	118.544	117.8465	-0.59%	118.2518	-0.25%	0.0020	✓	0.14
2026-10-07	oos	115.5679	114.9551	-0.53%	118.544	+2.58%	0.0338	✗	0.16
2026-10-06	oos	115.9719	115.3571	-0.53%	115.5679	-0.35%	0.0062	✗	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	116.27	115.626	-0.55%	115.9719	-0.26%	0.0034	✓	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	117.0534	116.3694	-0.58%	116.27	-0.67%	0.0006	✓	0.16
2026-10-03	oos	116.522	115.819	-0.60%	117.0534	+0.46%	0.0073	✗	0.16
2026-10-02	oos	116.2472	115.5281	-0.62%	116.522	+0.24%	0.0081	✗	0.16
2026-10-01	oos	118.5477	117.7894	-0.64%	116.2472	-1.94%	0.0125	✓	0.16
2026-09-30	oos	116.9363	116.2311	-0.60%	118.5477	+1.38%	0.0173	✗	0.16
2026-09-29	oos	118.5378	117.7761	-0.64%	116.9363	-1.35%	0.0070	✓	0.16
2026-09-28	oos	118.279	117.4636	-0.69%	118.5378	+0.22%	0.0088	✗	0.16
2026-09-27	oos	119.6322	118.7024	-0.78%	118.279	-1.13%	0.0018	✓	0.15
2026-09-26	oos	119.7037	118.8844	-0.68%	119.6322	-0.06%	0.0062	✓	0.15
2026-09-25	oos	119.1593	118.368	-0.66%	119.7037	+0.46%	0.0106	✗	0.15
2026-09-24	oos	119.5586	118.7344	-0.69%	119.1593	-0.33%	0.0041	✓	0.15
2026-09-23	oos	119.5349	118.7158	-0.69%	119.5586	+0.02%	0.0071	✗	0.15
2026-09-22	oos	120.5905	119.8106	-0.65%	119.5349	-0.88%	0.0008	✓	0.15
2026-09-21	oos	122.0118	121.2202	-0.65%	120.5905	-1.16%	0.0046	✓	0.14
2026-09-20	oos	122.0733	121.3303	-0.61%	122.0118	-0.05%	0.0039	✓	0.15
2026-09-19	oos	122.1804	121.4275	-0.62%	122.0733	-0.09%	0.0054	✓	0.15
2026-09-18	oos	121.7619	121.0704	-0.57%	122.1804	+0.34%	0.0085	✗	0.15
2026-09-17	oos	119.8243	119.2979	-0.44%	121.7619	+1.62%	0.0131	✗	0.13
2026-09-16	oos	119.6282	119.1352	-0.41%	119.8243	+0.16%	0.0054	✗	0.13
2026-09-15	oos	118.9348	118.5259	-0.34%	119.6282	+0.58%	0.0083	✗	0.12
2026-09-14	oos	122.4108	121.9235	-0.40%	118.9348	-2.84%	0.0211	✓	0.11
2026-09-13	oos	121.0485	120.6631	-0.32%	122.4108	+1.13%	0.0127	✗	0.10
2026-09-12	oos	121.6973	121.3709	-0.27%	121.0485	-0.53%	0.0021	✓	0.09
2026-09-11	oos	121.8078	121.5802	-0.19%	121.6973	-0.09%	0.0009	✓	0.09
2026-09-10	oos	122.6452	122.446	-0.16%	121.8078	-0.68%	0.0060	✓	0.09
2026-09-09	oos	125.4371	125.2961	-0.11%	122.6452	-2.23%	0.0195	✓	0.08
2026-09-08	oos	126.7087	126.6391	-0.05%	125.4371	-1.00%	0.0094	✓	0.06
2026-09-07	oos	127.8053	127.7536	-0.04%	126.7087	-0.86%	0.0077	✓	0.06
2026-09-06	oos	129.8901	129.967	+0.06%	127.8053	-1.61%	0.0155	✗	0.08
2026-09-05	oos	129.0303	129.2607	+0.18%	129.8901	+0.67%	0.0043	✓	0.08
2026-09-04	oos	130.1788	130.5476	+0.28%	129.0303	-0.88%	0.0119	✗	0.09
2026-09-03	oos	132.4877	133.0948	+0.46%	130.1788	-1.74%	0.0206	✗	0.08
2026-09-02	oos	136.2007	136.682	+0.35%	132.4877	-2.73%	0.0374	✗	0.12
2026-09-01	oos	137.779	138.3706	+0.43%	136.2007	-1.15%	0.0157	✗	0.13
2026-08-31	oos	136.8872	137.4975	+0.45%	137.779	+0.65%	0.0042	✓	0.14
2026-08-30	oos	135.8412	136.2843	+0.33%	136.8872	+0.77%	0.0029	✓	0.13
2026-08-29	oos	137.7388	138.0875	+0.25%	135.8412	-1.38%	0.0155	✗	0.12
2026-08-28	oos	136.563	136.7808	+0.16%	137.7388	+0.86%	0.0064	✓	0.12
2026-08-27	oos	137.6446	137.8374	+0.14%	136.563	-0.79%	0.0054	✗	0.13
2026-08-26	oos	136.7192	136.7749	+0.04%	137.6446	+0.68%	0.0044	✓	0.12
2026-08-25	oos	135.7951	135.7757	-0.01%	136.7192	+0.68%	0.0061	✗	0.12
2026-08-24	oos	138.0338	137.9344	-0.07%	135.7951	-1.62%	0.0150	✓	0.12
2026-08-23	oos	138.5343	138.3461	-0.14%	138.0338	-0.36%	0.0040	✓	0.11
2026-08-22	oos	137.8683	137.6411	-0.16%	138.5343	+0.48%	0.0055	✗	0.11
2026-08-21	oos	138.6534	138.4132	-0.17%	137.8683	-0.57%	0.0022	✓	0.11
2026-08-20	oos	140.2151	139.828	-0.28%	138.6534	-1.11%	0.0182	✓	0.14
2026-08-19	oos	139.2406	138.7859	-0.33%	140.2151	+0.70%	0.0019	✓	0.16
2026-08-18	oos	139.1964	138.6702	-0.38%	139.2406	+0.03%	0.0082	✓	0.18
2026-08-17	oos	138.781	138.2855	-0.36%	139.1964	+0.30%	0.0060	✗	0.19
2026-08-16	oos	139.7788	139.2716	-0.36%	138.781	-0.71%	0.0086	✓	0.20
2026-08-15	oos	140.189	139.7133	-0.34%	139.7788	-0.29%	0.0010	✓	0.19
2026-08-14	oos	146.9445	146.3743	-0.39%	140.189	-4.60%	0.0433	✓	0.22
2026-08-13	oos	151.1525	150.5098	-0.43%	146.9445	-2.78%	0.0224	✓	0.21
2026-08-12	oos	150.0512	149.4385	-0.41%	151.1525	+0.73%	0.0114	✗	0.21
2026-08-11	oos	150.0016	149.3939	-0.41%	150.0512	+0.03%	0.0047	✗	0.18
2026-08-10	oos	150.5222	149.901	-0.41%	150.0016	-0.35%	0.0020	✓	0.21
2026-08-09	oos	149.8991	149.3158	-0.39%	150.5222	+0.42%	0.0110	✗	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	150.7103	150.1046	-0.40%	149.8991	-0.54%	0.0012	✓	0.20
2026-08-07	oos	150.2681	149.6637	-0.40%	150.7103	+0.29%	0.0069	✗	0.21
2026-08-06	oos	150.2508	149.6474	-0.40%	150.2681	+0.01%	0.0022	✓	0.20
2026-08-05	oos	151.7696	151.1306	-0.42%	150.2508	-1.00%	0.0048	✓	0.20
2026-08-04	oos	151.192	150.5486	-0.43%	151.7696	+0.38%	0.0066	✗	0.18
2026-08-03	oos	151.2501	150.5898	-0.44%	151.192	-0.04%	0.0025	✓	0.17
2026-08-02	oos	152.0657	151.3807	-0.45%	151.2501	-0.54%	0.0008	✓	0.18
2026-08-01	oos	151.7473	151.0537	-0.46%	152.0657	+0.21%	0.0047	✗	0.17
2026-07-31	oos	150.4472	149.8007	-0.43%	151.7473	+0.86%	0.0131	✗	0.17
2026-07-30	oos	151.3602	150.7411	-0.41%	150.4472	-0.60%	0.0031	✓	0.17
2026-07-29	oos	150.5366	149.9545	-0.39%	151.3602	+0.55%	0.0065	✗	0.22
2026-07-28	oos	151.869	151.277	-0.39%	150.5366	-0.88%	0.0051	✓	0.23
2026-07-27	oos	149.3046	148.7995	-0.34%	151.869	+1.72%	0.0199	✗	0.22
2026-07-26	oos	153.1511	152.6097	-0.35%	149.3046	-2.51%	0.0168	✓	0.20
2026-07-25	oos	151.4572	150.9525	-0.33%	153.1511	+1.12%	0.0114	✗	0.19
2026-07-24	oos	151.2942	150.8061	-0.32%	151.4572	+0.11%	0.0037	✗	0.17
2026-07-23	oos	151.0425	150.6068	-0.29%	151.2942	+0.17%	0.0073	✗	0.18
2026-07-22	oos	152.3194	151.9003	-0.28%	151.0425	-0.84%	0.0028	✓	0.18
2026-07-21	oos	153.2626	152.8419	-0.27%	152.3194	-0.62%	0.0022	✓	0.18
2026-07-20	oos	152.0898	151.6823	-0.27%	153.2626	+0.77%	0.0067	✗	0.19
2026-07-19	oos	154.1228	153.669	-0.29%	152.0898	-1.32%	0.0119	✓	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	155.108	154.6312	-0.31%	154.1228	-0.64%	0.0029	✓	0.22
2026-07-17	oos	152.9571	152.4961	-0.30%	155.108	+1.41%	0.0139	✗	0.22
2026-07-16	oos	151.6415	151.2055	-0.29%	152.9571	+0.87%	0.0111	✗	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	149.9178	149.5543	-0.24%	151.6415	+1.15%	0.0175	✗	0.25
2026-07-14	oos	153.3422	152.928	-0.27%	149.9178	-2.23%	0.0189	✓	0.23
2026-07-13	oos	152.7226	152.27	-0.30%	153.3422	+0.41%	0.0023	✓	0.22
2026-07-12	oos	152.4355	152.0288	-0.27%	152.7226	+0.19%	0.0099	✗	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	152.4016	152.0022	-0.26%	152.4355	+0.02%	0.0030	✗	0.25
2026-07-10	oos	152.366	151.9855	-0.25%	152.4016	+0.02%	0.0043	✗	0.27
2026-07-09	oos	152.3446	151.9582	-0.25%	152.366	+0.01%	0.0014	✓	0.27
2026-07-08	oos	151.7781	151.3971	-0.25%	152.3446	+0.37%	0.0022	✓	0.27
2026-07-07	oos	151.5182	151.1834	-0.22%	151.7781	+0.17%	0.0086	✗	0.27
2026-07-06	oos	154.3142	153.9557	-0.23%	151.5182	-1.81%	0.0131	✓	0.27
2026-07-05	oos	154.077	153.7236	-0.23%	154.3142	+0.15%	0.0021	✓	0.27
2026-07-04	oos	154.7202	154.349	-0.24%	154.077	-0.42%	0.0039	✓	0.27
2026-07-03	oos	153.7662	153.3891	-0.25%	154.7202	+0.62%	0.0063	✗	0.26
2026-07-02	oos	152.0462	151.6793	-0.24%	153.7662	+1.13%	0.0094	✗	0.26
2026-07-01	oos	151.6335	151.2425	-0.26%	152.0462	+0.27%	0.0011	✓	0.25
2026-06-30	oos	152.05	151.6177	-0.28%	151.6335	-0.27%	0.0059	✓	0.25
2026-06-29	oos	152.0878	151.6926	-0.26%	152.05	-0.02%	0.0095	✗	0.26
2026-06-28	oos	151.5607	151.1529	-0.27%	152.0878	+0.35%	0.0031	✗	0.26
2026-06-27	oos	152.1466	151.7438	-0.26%	151.5607	-0.39%	0.0009	✓	0.27
2026-06-26	oos	154.0792	153.6328	-0.29%	152.1466	-1.25%	0.0094	✓	0.27
2026-06-25	oos	152.199	151.7734	-0.28%	154.0792	+1.24%	0.0137	✗	0.27
2026-06-24	oos	152.274	151.8811	-0.26%	152.199	-0.05%	0.0076	✗	0.26
2026-06-23	oos	152.4131	152.0587	-0.23%	152.274	-0.09%	0.0084	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	152.288	151.9735	-0.21%	152.4131	+0.08%	0.0084	✗	0.27
2026-06-21	oos	152.065	151.7474	-0.21%	152.288	+0.15%	0.0006	✓	0.26
2026-06-20	oos	152.8393	152.5418	-0.19%	152.065	-0.51%	0.0007	✓	0.24
2026-06-19	oos	153.6905	153.3733	-0.21%	152.8393	-0.55%	0.0063	✓	0.24
2026-06-18	oos	154.2555	153.9315	-0.21%	153.6905	-0.37%	0.0037	✓	0.22
2026-06-17	oos	155.0079	154.7186	-0.19%	154.2555	-0.49%	0.0026	✗	0.23
2026-06-16	oos	158.1635	157.8641	-0.19%	155.0079	-2.00%	0.0141	✓	0.23
2026-06-15	oos	155.3014	155.0777	-0.14%	158.1635	+1.84%	0.0218	✗	0.21
2026-06-14	oos	160.2353	159.957	-0.17%	155.3014	-3.08%	0.0314	✓	0.22
2026-06-13	oos	159.8021	159.5314	-0.17%	160.2353	+0.27%	0.0001	✓	0.23
2026-06-12	oos	159.9919	159.7491	-0.15%	159.8021	-0.12%	0.0029	✓	0.23
2026-06-11	oos	166.0988	165.7907	-0.19%	159.9919	-3.68%	0.0355	✓	0.23
2026-06-10	oos	169.7934	169.4209	-0.22%	166.0988	-2.18%	0.0284	✓	0.25
2026-06-09	oos	174.6371	174.1686	-0.27%	169.7934	-2.77%	0.0244	✓	0.26
2026-06-08	oos	180.7511	180.2127	-0.30%	174.6371	-3.38%	0.0256	✓	0.26
2026-06-07	oos	183.1239	182.5222	-0.33%	180.7511	-1.30%	0.0086	✓	0.31
2026-06-06	oos	182.4621	181.8694	-0.32%	183.1239	+0.36%	0.0030	✓	0.25
2026-06-05	oos	185.492	184.8446	-0.35%	182.4621	-1.63%	0.0123	✓	0.23
2026-06-04	oos	187.7511	187.0853	-0.35%	185.492	-1.20%	0.0015	✓	0.23
2026-06-03	oos	193.7013	192.8759	-0.43%	187.7511	-3.07%	0.0262	✓	0.20
2026-06-02	oos	196.8275	195.9806	-0.43%	193.7013	-1.59%	0.0058	✓	0.15
2026-06-01	oos	198.3972	197.6111	-0.40%	196.8275	-0.79%	0.0125	✗	0.24
2026-05-31	oos	199.2405	198.4905	-0.38%	198.3972	-0.42%	0.0073	✗	0.25
2026-05-30	oos	202.775	201.9832	-0.39%	199.2405	-1.74%	0.0121	✓	0.59
2026-05-29	oos	200.2331	199.513	-0.36%	202.775	+1.27%	0.0134	✗	0.51
2026-05-28	oos	204.5351	203.7665	-0.38%	200.2331	-2.10%	0.0165	✓	0.52
2026-05-27	oos	206.7726	205.986	-0.38%	204.5351	-1.08%	0.0039	✓	0.29
2026-05-26	oos	205.4656	204.7	-0.37%	206.7726	+0.64%	0.0109	✗	0.04
2026-05-25	oos	203.8498	203.1751	-0.33%	205.4656	+0.79%	0.0207	✗	0.51
2026-05-24	oos	201.751	201.0886	-0.33%	203.8498	+1.04%	0.0118	✗	0.51
2026-05-23	oos	203.1663	202.4835	-0.34%	201.751	-0.70%	0.0058	✓	0.52
2026-05-22	oos	202.7993	202.1441	-0.32%	203.1663	+0.18%	0.0035	✓	0.54
2026-05-21	oos	211.6062	210.7722	-0.39%	202.7993	-4.16%	0.0247	✓	0.50
2026-05-20	oos	208.2707	207.4856	-0.38%	211.6062	+1.60%	0.0192	✗	0.50
2026-05-19	oos	202.8908	202.1992	-0.34%	208.2707	+2.65%	0.0250	✗	0.50
2026-05-18	oos	204.5183	203.8037	-0.35%	202.8908	-0.80%	0.0033	✓	0.52
2026-05-17	oos	200.68	200.1575	-0.26%	204.5183	+1.91%	0.0247	✗	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	222.4611	221.5296	-0.42%	200.68	-9.79%	0.0944	✓	0.50
2026-05-15	oos	221.8012	220.9711	-0.37%	222.4611	+0.30%	0.0129	✗	0.51
2026-05-14	oos	222.2199	221.505	-0.32%	221.8012	-0.19%	0.0141	✗	0.51
2026-05-13	oos	228.3821	227.5104	-0.38%	222.2199	-2.70%	0.0348	✓	0.50
2026-05-12	oos	247.5702	246.2811	-0.52%	228.3821	-7.75%	0.0685	✓	0.46
2026-05-11	oos	240.5782	239.5673	-0.42%	247.5702	+2.91%	0.0401	✗	0.47
2026-05-10	oos	244.2902	243.2253	-0.44%	240.5782	-1.52%	0.0081	✓	0.49
2026-05-09	oos	243.2573	242.2086	-0.43%	244.2902	+0.42%	0.0009	✓	0.50
2026-05-08	oos	245.6895	244.625	-0.43%	243.2573	-0.99%	0.0085	✓	0.49
2026-05-07	oos	260.8894	259.449	-0.55%	245.6895	-5.83%	0.0556	✓	0.50
2026-05-06	oos	255.1516	254.0132	-0.45%	260.8894	+2.25%	0.0354	✗	0.49
2026-05-05	oos	264.0396	262.6156	-0.54%	255.1516	-3.37%	0.0323	✓	0.54
2026-05-04	oos	259.6586	258.2859	-0.53%	264.0396	+1.69%	0.0148	✗	0.55
2026-05-03	oos	262.6737	261.0746	-0.61%	259.6586	-1.15%	0.0146	✓	0.56
2026-05-02	oos	262.4384	260.8054	-0.62%	262.6737	+0.09%	0.0080	✗	0.56
2026-05-01	oos	265.3872	263.5013	-0.71%	262.4384	-1.11%	0.0074	✓	0.58
2026-04-30	oos	249.8432	248.1736	-0.67%	265.3872	+6.22%	0.0533	✗	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	246.8498	245.1729	-0.68%	249.8432	+1.21%	0.0148	✗	0.55
2026-04-28	oos	244.3125	242.7123	-0.65%	246.8498	+1.04%	0.0209	✗	0.54
2026-04-27	oos	239.4538	238.0988	-0.57%	244.3125	+2.03%	0.0331	✗	0.54
2026-04-26	oos	240.4076	239.1921	-0.51%	239.4538	-0.40%	0.0099	✗	0.52
2026-04-25	oos	246.8195	245.1858	-0.66%	240.4076	-2.60%	0.0266	✓	0.53
2026-04-24	oos	239.3317	237.7029	-0.68%	246.8195	+3.13%	0.0363	✗	0.55
2026-04-23	oos	240.4245	238.6923	-0.72%	239.3317	-0.45%	0.0085	✗	0.55
2026-04-22	oos	242.0296	240.1894	-0.76%	240.4245	-0.66%	0.0005	✓	0.55
2026-04-21	oos	239.428	237.668	-0.74%	242.0296	+1.09%	0.0047	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	241.0308	239.2023	-0.76%	239.428	-0.66%	0.0026	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	233.5885	232.0428	-0.66%	241.0308	+3.19%	0.0215	✗	0.60
2026-04-18	oos	239.4263	237.7395	-0.70%	233.5885	-2.44%	0.0024	✓	0.60
2026-04-17	oos	241.1719	239.4623	-0.71%	239.4263	-0.72%	0.0105	✗	0.60
2026-04-16	oos	235.6184	234.2557	-0.58%	241.1719	+2.36%	0.0137	✗	0.60
2026-04-15	oos	262.677	260.901	-0.68%	235.6184	-10.30%	0.1046	✓	0.62
2026-04-14	oos	268.7346	266.9753	-0.65%	262.677	-2.25%	0.0218	✓	0.63
2026-04-13	oos	275.3103	273.4073	-0.69%	268.7346	-2.39%	0.0150	✓	0.62
2026-04-12	oos	269.944	268.0547	-0.70%	275.3103	+1.99%	0.0062	✓	0.65
2026-04-11	oos	280.1861	278.0573	-0.76%	269.944	-3.66%	0.0093	✓	0.63
2026-04-10	oos	283.65	281.2229	-0.86%	280.1861	-1.22%	0.0044	✓	0.63
2026-04-09	oos	285.12	282.5777	-0.89%	283.65	-0.52%	0.0067	✓	0.64
2026-04-08	oos	287.4921	284.9176	-0.90%	285.12	-0.83%	0.0057	✓	0.64
2026-04-07	oos	288.3202	285.6623	-0.92%	287.4921	-0.29%	0.0138	✗	0.64
2026-04-06	oos	285.8666	283.2306	-0.92%	288.3202	+0.86%	0.0118	✓	0.68
2026-04-05	oos	292.2391	289.3051	-1.00%	285.8666	-2.18%	0.0105	✓	0.68
2026-04-04	oos	296.5	293.2791	-1.09%	292.2391	-1.44%	0.0207	✓	0.68
2026-04-03	oos	289.5533	286.4633	-1.07%	296.5	+2.40%	0.0311	✗	0.68
2026-04-02	oos	291.033	287.7829	-1.12%	289.5533	-0.51%	0.0055	✓	0.68
2026-04-01	oos	290.5238	287.1371	-1.17%	291.033	+0.18%	0.0256	✗	0.67
2026-03-31	oos	288.4871	285.0338	-1.20%	290.5238	+0.71%	0.0202	✗	0.67
2026-03-30	oos	285.5425	282.1249	-1.20%	288.4871	+1.03%	0.0072	✓	0.69
2026-03-29	oos	282.4259	279.0462	-1.20%	285.5425	+1.10%	0.0150	✗	0.68
2026-03-28	oos	283.9924	280.4801	-1.24%	282.4259	-0.55%	0.0107	✓	0.69
2026-03-27	oos	286.5556	282.9043	-1.27%	283.9924	-0.89%	0.0042	✓	0.69
2026-03-26	oos	286.9869	283.2069	-1.32%	286.5556	-0.15%	0.0362	✗	0.68
2026-03-25	oos	288.6543	284.678	-1.38%	286.9869	-0.58%	0.0326	✗	0.68
2026-03-24	oos	289.4908	285.3849	-1.42%	288.6543	-0.29%	0.0039	✓	0.69
2026-03-23	oos	285.2288	281.1728	-1.42%	289.4908	+1.49%	0.0325	✗	0.68
2026-03-22	oos	288.3836	284.1812	-1.46%	285.2288	-1.09%	0.0280	✓	0.73
2026-03-21	oos	285.2849	281.069	-1.48%	288.3836	+1.09%	0.0370	✗	0.72
2026-03-20	oos	281.6591	277.5232	-1.47%	285.2849	+1.29%	0.0440	✗	0.72
2026-03-19	oos	283.0578	279.0552	-1.41%	281.6591	-0.49%	0.0033	✓	0.72
2026-03-18	oos	292.3958	287.7053	-1.60%	283.0578	-3.19%	0.0031	✓	0.70
2026-03-17	oos	287.8671	283.0985	-1.66%	292.3958	+1.57%	0.0591	✗	0.72
2026-03-16	oos	293.0667	288.0958	-1.70%	287.8671	-1.77%	0.0076	✓	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	287.8375	282.6842	-1.79%	293.0667	+1.82%	0.0177	✓	0.66
2026-03-14	oos	286.9874	281.7846	-1.81%	287.8375	+0.30%	0.0061	✓	0.68
2026-03-13	oos	287.1263	281.2743	-2.04%	286.9874	-0.05%	0.0173	✓	0.70
2026-03-12	oos	291.2892	284.1687	-2.44%	287.1263	-1.43%	0.0063	✓	0.70
2026-03-11	oos	274.2802	267.2807	-2.55%	291.2892	+6.20%	0.0829	✗	0.68
2026-03-10	oos	250.1096	243.5849	-2.61%	274.2802	+9.66%	0.1163	✗	0.66
2026-03-09	oos	229.7689	224.1586	-2.44%	250.1096	+8.85%	0.0952	✗	0.65
2026-03-08	oos	243.7696	237.2479	-2.68%	229.7689	-5.74%	0.0578	✓	0.70
2026-03-07	oos	234.8456	228.1536	-2.85%	243.7696	+3.80%	0.0798	✗	0.70
2026-03-06	oos	235.0381	227.8185	-3.07%	234.8456	-0.08%	0.0390	✗	0.69
2026-03-05	oos	233.0921	224.313	-3.77%	235.0381	+0.83%	0.0745	✗	0.69
2026-03-04	oos	217.4655	209.1814	-3.81%	233.0921	+7.19%	0.1265	✗	0.73
2026-03-03	oos	204.6076	196.4603	-3.98%	217.4655	+6.28%	0.0555	✗	0.75
2026-03-02	oos	205.5447	195.652	-4.81%	204.6076	-0.46%	0.0502	✗	0.76
2026-03-01	oos	153.2768	146.1617	-4.64%	205.5447	+34.10%	0.3124	✗	0.63
2026-02-28	oos	133.8969	127.9537	-4.44%	153.2768	+14.47%	0.1930	✗	0.69
2026-02-27	oos	130.9839	124.2241	-5.16%	133.8969	+2.22%	0.0634	✗	0.69
2026-02-26	oos	95.535	90.0154	-5.78%	130.9839	+37.11%	0.3941	✗	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	32.0054	31.4495	-1.74%	95.535	+198.50%	1.1173	✗	0.84
2026-02-24	oos	22.4332	22.3407	-0.41%	32.0054	+42.67%	0.3255	✗	0.57
2026-02-23	oos	22.132	22.0487	-0.38%	22.4332	+1.36%	0.0223	✗	0.57
2026-02-22	oos	22.2461	22.1726	-0.33%	22.132	-0.51%	0.0247	✗	0.59
2026-02-21	oos	22.9018	22.8124	-0.39%	22.2461	-2.86%	0.0222	✓	0.59
2026-02-20	oos	22.7649	22.6719	-0.41%	22.9018	+0.60%	0.0103	✗	0.59
2026-02-19	oos	22.1787	22.0956	-0.37%	22.7649	+2.64%	0.0211	✗	0.58
2026-02-18	oos	21.7848	21.7114	-0.34%	22.1787	+1.81%	0.0164	✗	0.59
2026-02-17	oos	22.3419	22.2619	-0.36%	21.7848	-2.49%	0.0131	✓	0.55
2026-02-16	oos	22.6204	22.5382	-0.36%	22.3419	-1.23%	0.0030	✓	0.58
2026-02-15	oos	22.5257	22.4441	-0.36%	22.6204	+0.42%	0.0073	✗	0.57
2026-02-14	oos	23.3204	23.2157	-0.45%	22.5257	-3.41%	0.0222	✓	0.55
2026-02-13	oos	22.5	22.4087	-0.41%	23.3204	+3.65%	0.0322	✗	0.55
2026-02-12	oos	22.3803	22.2799	-0.45%	22.5	+0.53%	0.0111	✓	0.54
2026-02-11	oos	21.9658	21.8749	-0.41%	22.3803	+1.89%	0.0307	✗	0.64
2026-02-10	oos	21.9054	21.8204	-0.39%	21.9658	+0.28%	0.0236	✗	0.65
2026-02-09	oos	22.4283	22.3331	-0.42%	21.9054	-2.33%	0.0072	✓	0.65
2026-02-08	oos	22.1734	22.0826	-0.41%	22.4283	+1.15%	0.0172	✗	0.66
2026-02-07	oos	22.3773	22.2766	-0.45%	22.1734	-0.91%	0.0146	✓	0.67
2026-02-06	oos	22.299	22.1871	-0.50%	22.3773	+0.35%	0.0208	✗	0.67
2026-02-05	oos	20.5777	20.5148	-0.31%	22.299	+8.36%	0.0070	✗	0.66
2026-02-04	oos	22.0357	21.9377	-0.44%	20.5777	-6.62%	0.0547	✗	0.79
2026-02-03	oos	22.5834	22.4641	-0.53%	22.0357	-2.43%	0.0097	✗	0.81
2026-02-02	oos	22.4885	22.3636	-0.56%	22.5834	+0.42%	0.0379	✗	0.72
2026-02-01	oos	21.5711	21.4716	-0.46%	22.4885	+4.25%	0.0314	✗	0.65
2026-01-31	oos	22.5394	22.3977	-0.63%	21.5711	-4.30%	0.0222	✓	0.68
2026-01-30	oos	22.1003	21.9633	-0.62%	22.5394	+1.99%	0.0803	✗	0.81
2026-01-29	oos	20.9116	20.8194	-0.44%	22.1003	+5.68%	0.0636	✗	0.81
2026-01-28	oos	20.4224	20.3533	-0.34%	20.9116	+2.40%	0.0767	✗	0.93
2026-01-27	oos	20.2232	20.1617	-0.30%	20.4224	+0.99%	0.0124	✗	0.93
2026-01-26	oos	21.3303	21.2425	-0.41%	20.2232	-5.19%	0.0581	✓	0.91
2026-01-25	oos	20.5804	20.5127	-0.33%	21.3303	+3.64%	0.0218	✗	0.89
2026-01-24	oos	21.7946	21.7062	-0.41%	20.5804	-5.57%	0.0281	✓	0.88
2026-01-23	oos	21.8302	21.7448	-0.39%	21.7946	-0.16%	0.0061	✗	0.87
2026-01-22	oos	21.8837	21.7975	-0.39%	21.8302	-0.24%	0.0014	✓	0.87
2026-01-21	oos	22.1339	22.041	-0.42%	21.8837	-1.13%	0.0081	✓	0.88
2026-01-20	oos	21.6518	21.5735	-0.36%	22.1339	+2.23%	0.0154	✗	0.87
2026-01-19	oos	23.4273	23.3269	-0.43%	21.6518	-7.58%	0.0356	✓	0.83
2026-01-18	oos	23.2421	23.156	-0.37%	23.4273	+0.80%	0.0213	✗	0.84
2026-01-17	oos	23.9459	23.8529	-0.39%	23.2421	-2.94%	0.0127	✓	0.85
2026-01-16	oos	23.9111	23.8222	-0.37%	23.9459	+0.15%	0.0087	✗	0.86
2026-01-15	oos	24.0331	23.9422	-0.38%	23.9111	-0.51%	0.0006	✓	0.86
2026-01-14	oos	24.5732	24.4719	-0.41%	24.0331	-2.20%	0.0059	✓	0.86
2026-01-13	oos	24.7011	24.5801	-0.49%	24.5732	-0.52%	0.0105	✓	0.63
2026-01-12	oos	23.1593	23.0635	-0.41%	24.7011	+6.66%	0.0427	✗	0.58
2026-01-11	oos	23.9192	23.8104	-0.45%	23.1593	-3.18%	0.0297	✓	0.58
2026-01-10	oos	23.8134	23.71	-0.43%	23.9192	+0.44%	0.0056	✗	0.58
2026-01-09	oos	23.8132	23.7202	-0.39%	23.8134	+0.00%	0.0048	✗	0.60
2026-01-08	oos	24.1148	24.0241	-0.38%	23.8132	-1.25%	0.0055	✓	0.59
2026-01-07	oos	24.5347	24.4454	-0.36%	24.1148	-1.71%	0.0121	✓	0.55
2026-01-06	oos	25.6867	25.5814	-0.41%	24.5347	-4.48%	0.0276	✓	0.54
2026-01-05	oos	25.467	25.3698	-0.38%	25.6867	+0.86%	0.0133	✗	0.55
2026-01-04	oos	25.957	25.8448	-0.43%	25.467	-1.89%	0.0297	✓	0.58
2026-01-03	oos	25.5897	25.481	-0.42%	25.957	+1.44%	0.0127	✗	0.59
2026-01-02	oos	25.667	25.5464	-0.47%	25.5897	-0.30%	0.0027	✓	0.62
2026-01-01	oos	24.5707	24.472	-0.40%	25.667	+4.46%	0.0394	✗	0.60
2025-12-31	oos	23.7913	23.7081	-0.35%	24.5707	+3.28%	0.0275	✗	0.58
2025-12-30	oos	24.2007	24.1118	-0.37%	23.7913	-1.69%	0.0075	✓	0.58
2025-12-29	oos	23.9863	23.8977	-0.37%	24.2007	+0.89%	0.0039	✗	0.59
2025-12-28	oos	24.3566	24.2642	-0.38%	23.9863	-1.52%	0.0063	✓	0.59
2025-12-27	oos	24.3761	24.283	-0.38%	24.3566	-0.08%	0.0026	✓	0.59
2025-12-26	oos	23.7524	23.6742	-0.33%	24.3761	+2.63%	0.0258	✗	0.58
2025-12-25	oos	23.5185	23.4529	-0.28%	23.7524	+0.99%	0.0119	✗	0.58
2025-12-24	oos	26.0062	25.901	-0.40%	23.5185	-9.57%	0.0936	✓	0.58
2025-12-23	oos	26.8291	26.7049	-0.46%	26.0062	-3.07%	0.0277	✓	0.58
2025-12-22	oos	26.8696	26.7453	-0.46%	26.8291	-0.15%	0.0106	✗	0.59
2025-12-21	oos	26.5705	26.4559	-0.43%	26.8696	+1.13%	0.0161	✗	0.58
2025-12-20	oos	26.8269	26.7044	-0.46%	26.5705	-0.96%	0.0070	✓	0.54
2025-12-19	oos	26.7768	26.6485	-0.48%	26.8269	+0.19%	0.0053	✗	0.54
2025-12-18	oos	26.2886	26.1568	-0.50%	26.7768	+1.86%	0.0077	✗	0.52
2025-12-17	oos	29.9878	29.5836	-1.35%	26.2886	-12.34%	0.1138	✓	0.50
2025-12-16	oos	21.8866	21.8108	-0.35%	29.9878	+37.01%	0.3299	✗	0.61
2025-12-15	oos	21.6415	21.5686	-0.34%	21.8866	+1.13%	0.0046	✗	0.61
2025-12-14	oos	22.2734	22.2013	-0.32%	21.6415	-2.84%	0.0136	✓	0.59
2025-12-13	oos	23.0332	22.9567	-0.33%	22.2734	-3.30%	0.0165	✓	0.59
2025-12-12	oos	23.8373	23.7369	-0.42%	23.0332	-3.37%	0.0299	✓	0.59
2025-12-11	oos	21.8244	21.7744	-0.23%	23.8373	+9.22%	0.1064	✗	0.64
2025-12-10	oos	22.8815	22.8167	-0.28%	21.8244	-4.62%	0.0480	✓	0.65
2025-12-09	oos	23.3848	23.311	-0.32%	22.8815	-2.15%	0.0136	✓	0.70
2025-12-08	oos	22.6316	22.5715	-0.27%	23.3848	+3.33%	0.0201	✗	0.69
2025-12-07	oos	23.2849	23.2173	-0.29%	22.6316	-2.81%	0.0275	✓	0.69
2025-12-06	oos	23.7457	23.6708	-0.32%	23.2849	-1.94%	0.0253	✓	0.70
2025-12-05	oos	23.319	23.257	-0.27%	23.7457	+1.83%	0.0214	✗	0.70
2025-12-04	oos	24.4511	24.3726	-0.32%	23.319	-4.63%	0.0235	✓	0.68
2025-12-03	oos	25.408	25.3026	-0.41%	24.4511	-3.77%	0.0243	✓	0.67
2025-12-02	oos	23.6644	23.5873	-0.33%	25.408	+7.37%	0.0595	✗	0.64
2025-12-01	oos	21.5241	21.4871	-0.17%	23.6644	+9.94%	0.0654	✗	0.55
2025-11-30	oos	23.1575	23.1013	-0.24%	21.5241	-7.05%	0.0474	✓	0.50
2025-11-29	oos	23.481	23.4242	-0.24%	23.1575	-1.38%	0.0084	✓	0.60
2025-11-28	oos	23.7343	23.6794	-0.23%	23.481	-1.07%	0.0079	✓	0.61
2025-11-27	oos	24.1139	24.056	-0.24%	23.7343	-1.57%	0.0107	✓	0.60
2025-11-26	oos	24.3308	24.2713	-0.24%	24.1139	-0.89%	0.0123	✓	0.62
2025-11-25	oos	23.7477	23.707	-0.17%	24.3308	+2.46%	0.0046	✗	0.61
2025-11-24	oos	23.9648	23.9226	-0.18%	23.7477	-0.91%	0.0009	✓	0.61
2025-11-23	oos	23.7215	23.6869	-0.15%	23.9648	+1.03%	0.0008	✓	0.75
2025-11-22	oos	23.2791	23.2631	-0.07%	23.7215	+1.90%	0.0037	✗	0.64
2025-11-21	oos	23.1645	23.1666	+0.01%	23.2791	+0.49%	0.0078	✓	0.64
2025-11-20	oos	23.9538	23.9625	+0.04%	23.1645	-3.30%	0.0231	✗	0.63
2025-11-19	oos	23.5218	23.5548	+0.14%	23.9538	+1.84%	0.0529	✓	0.65
2025-11-18	oos	28.4432	28.4122	-0.11%	23.5218	-17.30%	0.1801	✓	0.55
2025-11-17	oos	30.6551	30.5931	-0.20%	28.4432	-7.22%	0.0780	✓	0.59
2025-11-16	oos	30.1868	30.1504	-0.12%	30.6551	+1.55%	0.0279	✗	0.50
2025-11-15	oos	30.8623	30.8315	-0.10%	30.1868	-2.19%	0.0143	✓	0.47
2025-11-14	oos	33.0263	32.9833	-0.13%	30.8623	-6.55%	0.0720	✓	0.51
2025-11-13	oos	39.8493	39.665	-0.46%	33.0263	-17.12%	0.1704	✓	0.24
2025-11-12	oos	40.1724	39.9899	-0.45%	39.8493	-0.80%	0.0011	✓	0.23
2025-11-11	oos	40.3298	40.1775	-0.38%	40.1724	-0.39%	0.0029	✓	0.22
2025-11-10	oos	43.3289	43.0987	-0.53%	40.3298	-6.92%	0.0620	✓	0.16
2025-11-09	oos	42.2415	42.0658	-0.42%	43.3289	+2.57%	0.0277	✗	0.15
2025-11-08	oos	42.1604	42.0025	-0.37%	42.2415	+0.19%	0.0017	✓	0.17
2025-11-07	oos	43.038	42.8658	-0.40%	42.1604	-2.04%	0.0150	✓	0.16
2025-11-06	oos	42.0086	41.9025	-0.25%	43.038	+2.45%	0.0237	✗	0.16
2025-11-05	oos	44.1646	44.0235	-0.32%	42.0086	-4.88%	0.0441	✓	0.11
2025-11-04	oos	52.6475	52.2817	-0.69%	44.1646	-16.11%	0.1751	✓	0.27
2025-11-03	oos	52.3884	52.0351	-0.67%	52.6475	+0.49%	0.0248	✗	0.27
2025-11-02	oos	57.15	56.6549	-0.87%	52.3884	-8.33%	0.0734	✓	0.13
2025-11-01	oos	55.4853	55.0436	-0.80%	57.15	+3.00%	0.0370	✗	0.13
2025-10-31	oos	55.7768	55.3144	-0.83%	55.4853	-0.52%	0.0025	✓	0.14
2025-10-30	oos	54.3527	53.945	-0.75%	55.7768	+2.62%	0.0318	✗	0.14
2025-10-29	oos	55.7967	55.3404	-0.82%	54.3527	-2.59%	0.0163	✓	0.11
2025-10-28	oos	54.3445	53.9444	-0.74%	55.7967	+2.67%	0.0367	✗	0.12
2025-10-27	oos	55.5335	55.1084	-0.77%	54.3445	-2.14%	0.0129	✓	0.10
2025-10-26	oos	57.5933	57.059	-0.93%	55.5335	-3.58%	0.0267	✓	0.09
2025-10-25	oos	57.1906	56.6711	-0.91%	57.5933	+0.70%	0.0133	✗	0.11
2025-10-24	oos	57.1726	56.647	-0.92%	57.1906	+0.03%	0.0089	✓	0.12
2025-10-23	oos	56.9443	56.4141	-0.93%	57.1726	+0.40%	0.0123	✗	0.13
2025-10-22	oos	56.2255	55.7099	-0.92%	56.9443	+1.28%	0.0185	✗	0.14
2025-10-21	oos	56.035	55.5014	-0.95%	56.2255	+0.34%	0.0140	✗	0.14
2025-10-20	oos	57.4	56.747	-1.14%	56.035	-2.38%	0.0106	✓	0.10
2025-10-19	oos	55.5789	54.9827	-1.07%	57.4	+3.28%	0.0413	✗	0.10
2025-10-18	oos	54.0674	53.5144	-1.02%	55.5789	+2.80%	0.0365	✗	0.10
2025-10-17	oos	54.232	53.5931	-1.18%	54.0674	-0.30%	0.0080	✓	0.11
2025-10-16	oos	55.8495	54.4445	-2.52%	54.232	-2.90%	0.0027	✓	0.08
2025-10-15	oos	38.7231	38.4627	-0.67%	55.8495	+44.23%	0.3829	✗	0.42
2025-10-14	oos	39.6162	39.3254	-0.73%	38.7231	-2.25%	0.0077	✓	0.38
2025-10-13	oos	40.1722	39.8389	-0.83%	39.6162	-1.38%	0.0013	✓	0.36
2025-10-12	oos	39.6347	39.304	-0.83%	40.1722	+1.36%	0.0212	✗	0.36
2025-10-11	oos	38.3818	38.095	-0.75%	39.6347	+3.26%	0.0255	✗	0.37
2025-10-10	oos	38.5326	38.2282	-0.79%	38.3818	-0.39%	0.0110	✗	0.35
2025-10-09	oos	39.5594	39.2197	-0.86%	38.5326	-2.60%	0.0019	✓	0.21
2025-10-08	oos	40.0443	39.6892	-0.89%	39.5594	-1.21%	0.0009	✓	0.17
2025-10-07	oos	38.6379	38.3233	-0.81%	40.0443	+3.64%	0.0412	✗	0.17
2025-10-06	oos	40.0257	39.629	-0.99%	38.6379	-3.47%	0.0241	✓	0.04
2025-10-05	oos	38.1369	37.7443	-1.03%	40.0257	+4.95%	0.0584	✗	0.03
2025-10-04	oos	34.6692	34.3771	-0.84%	38.1369	+10.00%	0.1039	✗	-0.01
2025-10-03	oos	35.2035	34.8996	-0.86%	34.6692	-1.52%	0.0066	✓	-0.01
2025-10-02	oos	35.7534	35.4325	-0.90%	35.2035	-1.54%	0.0070	✓	0.04
2025-10-01	oos	35.9315	35.5896	-0.95%	35.7534	-0.50%	0.0032	✓	0.08
2025-09-30	oos	34.53	34.2223	-0.89%	35.9315	+4.06%	0.0465	✗	0.06
2025-09-29	oos	35.227	34.8967	-0.94%	34.53	-1.98%	0.0104	✓	0.05
2025-09-28	oos	35.3014	34.9604	-0.97%	35.227	-0.21%	0.0054	✓	0.11
2025-09-27	oos	34.9165	34.5978	-0.91%	35.3014	+1.10%	0.0163	✗	0.17
2025-09-26	oos	35.3441	34.9931	-0.99%	34.9165	-1.21%	0.0022	✓	0.18
2025-09-25	oos	34.0119	33.7106	-0.89%	35.3441	+3.92%	0.0463	✗	0.17
2025-09-24	oos	34.679	34.3356	-0.99%	34.0119	-1.92%	0.0107	✓	-0.03
2025-09-23	oos	34.2595	33.8677	-1.14%	34.679	+1.22%	0.0236	✗	0.00
2025-09-22	oos	32.1767	31.8152	-1.12%	34.2595	+6.47%	0.0742	✗	0.02
2025-09-21	oos	29.8116	29.4524	-1.20%	32.1767	+7.93%	0.0916	✗	0.14
2025-09-20	oos	24.5372	24.3556	-0.74%	29.8116	+21.50%	0.2030	✗	0.21
2025-09-19	oos	31.4257	31.0659	-1.14%	24.5372	-21.92%	0.2361	✓	0.25
2025-09-18	oos	30.3499	30.0259	-1.07%	31.4257	+3.54%	0.0486	✗	0.25

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.