ARTX

ARTX · · beta_5y

token id: #926
symbol: ARTX
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-11-21
predictions: 981

Track record at +30d

assessed

297

of 327 predictions shown

direction hit

57.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4743

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.1063

actual -0.1517

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.093705	0.086301	-7.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-21	oos	0.09112	0.084228	-7.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-10-20	oos	0.093015	0.086711	-6.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-10-19	oos	0.09756	0.090605	-7.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.094575	0.088217	-6.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-17	oos	0.106115	0.09757	-8.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-16	oos	0.10138	0.093295	-7.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-15	oos	0.1234	0.112503	-8.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-14	oos	0.11857	0.107788	-9.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-13	oos	0.12636	0.114387	-9.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-12	oos	0.13068	0.117955	-9.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-11	oos	0.12673	0.113729	-10.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-10	oos	0.13147	0.117626	-10.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.58
2026-10-09	oos	0.13893	0.123928	-10.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-10-08	oos	0.13381	0.119182	-10.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-07	oos	0.14202	0.125666	-11.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.14394	0.126737	-11.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.49
2026-10-05	oos	0.13734	0.120289	-12.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.37
2026-10-04	oos	0.14216	0.12414	-12.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-03	oos	0.13647	0.11878	-12.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.129615	0.112274	-13.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.13413	0.115763	-13.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.49
2026-09-30	oos	0.12831	0.110633	-13.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.48
2026-09-29	oos	0.12186	0.104629	-14.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.12169	0.104249	-14.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-27	oos	0.11761	0.100033	-14.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-26	oos	0.12334	0.104829	-15.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.12612	0.107009	-15.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.12071	0.101115	-16.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.13952	0.117363	-15.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-09-22	oos	0.180595	0.1521	-15.78%	0.093705	-48.11%	0.4766	✓	0.34
2026-09-21	oos	0.145695	0.121975	-16.28%	0.09112	-37.46%	0.2734	✓	0.40
2026-09-20	oos	0.13979	0.119363	-14.61%	0.093015	-33.46%	0.2569	✓	0.35
2026-09-19	oos	0.13128	0.112232	-14.51%	0.09756	-25.69%	0.1428	✓	0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.13046	0.111754	-14.34%	0.094575	-27.51%	0.1718	✓	0.35
2026-09-17	oos	0.13023	0.115051	-11.66%	0.106115	-18.52%	0.1053	✓	0.38
2026-09-16	oos	0.13023	0.115023	-11.68%	0.10138	-22.15%	0.1539	✓	0.41
2026-09-15	oos	0.12496	0.111286	-10.94%	0.1234	-1.25%	0.0648	✓	0.46
2026-09-14	oos	0.12496	0.109397	-12.45%	0.11857	-5.11%	0.0637	✓	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.12525	0.110796	-11.54%	0.12636	+0.89%	0.1009	✓	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.124745	0.110362	-11.53%	0.13068	+4.76%	0.1469	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.123	0.109423	-11.04%	0.12673	+3.03%	0.1156	✓	0.39
2026-09-10	oos	0.124525	0.111498	-10.46%	0.13147	+5.58%	0.1336	✗	0.39
2026-09-09	oos	0.12525	0.111672	-10.84%	0.13893	+10.92%	0.1977	✗	0.39
2026-09-08	oos	0.135155	0.120167	-11.09%	0.13381	-1.00%	0.0946	✓	0.32
2026-09-07	oos	0.128825	0.115382	-10.44%	0.14202	+10.24%	0.1909	✗	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.1211	0.109328	-9.72%	0.14394	+18.86%	0.2535	✗	0.34
2026-09-05	oos	0.120915	0.110153	-8.90%	0.13734	+13.58%	0.1951	✗	0.36
2026-09-04	oos	0.122475	0.112675	-8.00%	0.14216	+16.07%	0.2100	✗	0.27
2026-09-03	oos	0.13708	0.1256	-8.37%	0.13647	-0.44%	0.0705	✓	0.30
2026-09-02	oos	0.146055	0.133288	-8.74%	0.129615	-11.26%	0.0898	✓	0.70
2026-09-01	oos	0.13597	0.124587	-8.37%	0.13413	-1.35%	0.0095	✓	0.70
2026-08-31	oos	0.13609	0.124577	-8.46%	0.12831	-5.72%	0.0112	✓	0.66
2026-08-30	oos	0.14456	0.131543	-9.00%	0.12186	-15.70%	0.1217	✓	0.61
2026-08-29	oos	0.14002	0.128034	-8.56%	0.12169	-13.09%	0.0890	✓	0.59
2026-08-28	oos	0.14029	0.128518	-8.39%	0.11761	-16.17%	0.1367	✓	0.59
2026-08-27	oos	0.1318	0.123893	-6.00%	0.12334	-6.42%	0.0374	✓	0.66
2026-08-26	oos	0.13055	0.122471	-6.19%	0.12612	-3.39%	0.0111	✓	0.65
2026-08-25	oos	0.11097	0.107156	-3.44%	0.12071	+8.78%	0.0736	✗	0.63
2026-08-24	oos	0.10564	0.103778	-1.76%	0.13952	+32.07%	0.2534	✗	0.64
2026-08-23	oos	0.09912	0.09795	-1.18%	0.180595	+82.20%	0.5482	✗	0.62
2026-08-22	oos	0.09782	0.097032	-0.81%	0.145695	+48.94%	0.3353	✗	0.61
2026-08-21	oos	0.09892	0.099639	+0.73%	0.13979	+41.32%	0.3169	✓	0.61
2026-08-20	oos	0.08866	0.088986	+0.37%	0.13128	+48.07%	0.3388	✓	0.47
2026-08-19	oos	0.08248	0.08078	-2.06%	0.13046	+58.17%	0.4233	✗	0.36
2026-08-18	oos	0.08061	0.075981	-5.74%	0.13023	+61.56%	0.4816	✗	0.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.07939	0.074968	-5.57%	0.13023	+64.04%	0.4954	✗	0.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.07996	0.075019	-6.18%	0.12496	+56.28%	0.4461	✗	0.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.0798	0.07502	-5.99%	0.12496	+56.59%	0.4353	✗	0.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.07828	0.073857	-5.65%	0.12525	+60.00%	0.4601	✗	0.34
2026-08-13	oos	0.0761	0.072286	-5.01%	0.124745	+63.92%	0.4788	✗	0.34
2026-08-12	oos	0.07612	0.072419	-4.86%	0.123	+61.59%	0.4628	✗	0.34
2026-08-11	oos	0.08099	0.0766	-5.42%	0.124525	+53.75%	0.4166	✗	0.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.08718	0.081607	-6.39%	0.12525	+43.67%	0.3523	✗	0.38
2026-08-09	oos	0.08714	0.081776	-6.16%	0.135155	+55.10%	0.4336	✗	0.36
2026-08-08	oos	0.08746	0.081891	-6.37%	0.128825	+47.30%	0.3820	✗	0.36
2026-08-07	oos	0.08789	0.082093	-6.60%	0.1211	+37.79%	0.3132	✗	0.35
2026-08-06	oos	0.08869	0.082307	-7.20%	0.120915	+36.33%	0.3085	✗	0.35
2026-08-05	oos	0.09064	0.083755	-7.60%	0.122475	+35.12%	0.3060	✗	0.35
2026-08-04	oos	0.09087	0.083363	-8.26%	0.13708	+50.85%	0.4121	✗	0.36
2026-08-03	oos	0.09113	0.082034	-9.98%	0.146055	+60.27%	0.5058	✗	0.36
2026-08-02	oos	0.09022	0.079901	-11.44%	0.13597	+50.71%	0.4625	✗	0.35
2026-08-01	oos	0.09259	0.081189	-12.31%	0.13609	+46.98%	0.4357	✗	0.36
2026-07-31	oos	0.09239	0.08084	-12.50%	0.14456	+56.47%	0.5053	✗	0.36
2026-07-30	oos	0.09582	0.083069	-13.31%	0.14002	+46.13%	0.4570	✗	0.34
2026-07-29	oos	0.09915	0.08535	-13.92%	0.14029	+41.49%	0.4379	✗	0.30
2026-07-28	oos	0.09295	0.081031	-12.82%	0.1318	+41.80%	0.4178	✗	0.30
2026-07-27	oos	0.09121	0.080007	-12.28%	0.13055	+43.13%	0.4268	✗	0.29
2026-07-26	oos	0.09188	0.080593	-12.28%	0.11097	+20.78%	0.2646	✗	0.30
2026-07-25	oos	0.09238	0.081257	-12.04%	0.10564	+14.35%	0.2064	✗	0.27
2026-07-24	oos	0.09233	0.081878	-11.32%	0.09912	+7.35%	0.1352	✗	0.29
2026-07-23	oos	0.09152	0.081597	-10.84%	0.09782	+6.88%	0.1283	✗	0.31
2026-07-22	oos	0.0928	0.0829	-10.67%	0.09892	+6.59%	0.1216	✗	0.32
2026-07-21	oos	0.09412	0.084338	-10.39%	0.08866	-5.80%	0.0206	✓	0.31
2026-07-20	oos	0.09323	0.083959	-9.94%	0.08248	-11.53%	0.0402	✓	0.37
2026-07-19	oos	0.09612	0.086893	-9.60%	0.08061	-16.14%	0.0751	✓	0.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.09678	0.087859	-9.22%	0.07939	-17.97%	0.0992	✓	0.45
2026-07-17	oos	0.09966	0.090473	-9.22%	0.07996	-19.77%	0.1162	✓	0.44
2026-07-16	oos	0.09603	0.087469	-8.92%	0.0798	-16.90%	0.0868	✓	0.42
2026-07-15	oos	0.09806	0.089755	-8.47%	0.07828	-20.17%	0.1239	✓	0.47
2026-07-14	oos	0.09213	0.084616	-8.16%	0.0761	-17.40%	0.0944	✓	0.48
2026-07-13	oos	0.09363	0.086421	-7.70%	0.07612	-18.70%	0.1369	✓	0.55
2026-07-12	oos	0.1004	0.092835	-7.53%	0.08099	-19.33%	0.1348	✓	0.51
2026-07-11	oos	0.1177	0.109721	-6.78%	0.08718	-25.93%	0.2313	✓	0.59
2026-07-10	oos	0.13164	0.122163	-7.20%	0.08714	-33.80%	0.3448	✓	0.63
2026-07-09	oos	0.18065	0.160416	-11.20%	0.08746	-51.59%	0.6281	✓	0.80
2026-07-08	oos	0.17605	0.156038	-11.37%	0.08789	-50.08%	0.6087	✓	0.83
2026-07-07	oos	0.14276	0.131257	-8.06%	0.08869	-37.87%	0.4058	✓	0.93
2026-07-06	oos	0.17996	0.157651	-12.40%	0.09064	-49.63%	0.5616	✓	0.87
2026-07-05	oos	0.12253	0.114795	-6.31%	0.09087	-25.84%	0.2393	✓	0.76
2026-07-04	oos	0.11081	0.105151	-5.11%	0.09113	-17.76%	0.1475	✓	0.73
2026-07-03	oos	0.09966	0.095641	-4.03%	0.09022	-9.47%	0.0697	✓	0.73
2026-07-02	oos	0.10026	0.095918	-4.33%	0.09259	-7.65%	0.0506	✓	0.74
2026-07-01	oos	0.10267	0.09766	-4.88%	0.09239	-10.01%	0.0917	✓	0.78
2026-06-30	oos	0.10179	0.096476	-5.22%	0.09582	-5.87%	0.0833	✓	0.76
2026-06-29	oos	0.1007	0.095712	-4.95%	0.09915	-1.54%	0.0120	✓	0.79
2026-06-28	oos	0.10125	0.095866	-5.32%	0.09295	-8.20%	0.0894	✓	0.82
2026-06-27	oos	0.10114	0.095805	-5.28%	0.09121	-9.82%	0.0995	✓	0.83
2026-06-26	oos	0.1017	0.096361	-5.25%	0.09188	-9.66%	0.1182	✓	0.83
2026-06-25	oos	0.10343	0.097671	-5.57%	0.09238	-10.68%	0.1171	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	0.1142	0.10622	-6.99%	0.09233	-19.15%	0.1743	✓	0.69
2026-06-23	oos	0.11691	0.108628	-7.08%	0.09152	-21.72%	0.1973	✓	0.69
2026-06-22	oos	0.1138	0.106034	-6.82%	0.0928	-18.45%	0.1587	✓	0.77
2026-06-21	oos	0.10724	0.100273	-6.50%	0.09412	-12.23%	0.1013	✓	0.75
2026-06-20	oos	0.10447	0.097803	-6.38%	0.09323	-10.76%	0.0586	✓	0.70
2026-06-19	oos	0.10446	0.097271	-6.88%	0.09612	-7.98%	0.0248	✓	0.69
2026-06-18	oos	0.09376	0.088455	-5.66%	0.09678	+3.22%	0.0703	✗	0.65
2026-06-17	oos	0.10243	0.095142	-7.12%	0.09966	-2.70%	0.0516	✓	0.60
2026-06-16	oos	0.08992	0.084837	-5.65%	0.09603	+6.79%	0.1427	✗	0.66
2026-06-15	oos	0.08654	0.082184	-5.03%	0.09806	+13.31%	0.1927	✗	0.68
2026-06-14	oos	0.08469	0.081005	-4.35%	0.09213	+8.78%	0.1360	✗	0.66
2026-06-13	oos	0.08426	0.081099	-3.75%	0.09363	+11.12%	0.1658	✗	0.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.08415	0.081513	-3.13%	0.1004	+19.31%	0.2063	✗	0.65
2026-06-11	oos	0.0848	0.082576	-2.62%	0.1177	+38.80%	0.3523	✗	0.65
2026-06-10	oos	0.08882	0.086818	-2.25%	0.13164	+48.21%	0.3860	✗	0.71
2026-06-09	oos	0.0853	0.084608	-0.81%	0.18065	+111.78%	0.7414	✗	0.72
2026-06-08	oos	0.08358	0.084026	+0.53%	0.17605	+110.64%	0.7495	✓	0.74
2026-06-07	oos	0.08842	0.089474	+1.19%	0.14276	+61.46%	0.4670	✓	0.75
2026-06-06	oos	0.094	0.096512	+2.67%	0.17996	+91.45%	0.5819	✓	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	0.16111	0.157014	-2.54%	0.12253	-23.95%	0.2819	✓	0.83
2026-06-04	oos	0.20274	0.190572	-6.00%	0.11081	-45.34%	0.5359	✓	0.55
2026-06-03	oos	0.20092	0.188625	-6.12%	0.09966	-50.40%	0.6262	✓	0.49
2026-06-02	oos	0.19989	0.188022	-5.94%	0.10026	-49.84%	0.5897	✓	0.48
2026-06-01	oos	0.202	0.190684	-5.60%	0.10267	-49.17%	0.5428	✓	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.19954	0.188907	-5.33%	0.10179	-48.99%	0.5170	✓	0.44
2026-05-30	oos	0.19479	0.184896	-5.08%	0.1007	-48.30%	0.5210	✓	0.42
2026-05-29	oos	0.19405	0.183917	-5.22%	0.10125	-47.82%	0.5044	✓	0.44
2026-05-28	oos	0.18868	0.17917	-5.04%	0.10114	-46.40%	0.4807	✓	0.45
2026-05-27	oos	0.19323	0.182675	-5.46%	0.1017	-47.37%	0.4953	✓	0.42
2026-05-26	oos	0.19796	0.186872	-5.60%	0.10343	-47.75%	0.4943	✓	0.41
2026-05-25	oos	0.19995	0.188577	-5.69%	0.1142	-42.89%	0.4616	✓	0.17
2026-05-24	oos	0.20674	0.193469	-6.42%	0.11691	-43.45%	0.4672	✓	0.18
2026-05-23	oos	0.2121	0.197289	-6.98%	0.1138	-46.35%	0.4996	✓	0.28
2026-05-22	oos	0.20854	0.193913	-7.01%	0.10724	-48.58%	0.5380	✓	0.31
2026-05-21	oos	0.20926	0.194559	-7.03%	0.10447	-50.08%	0.5624	✓	0.32
2026-05-20	oos	0.20873	0.193857	-7.13%	0.10446	-49.95%	0.5754	✓	0.22
2026-05-19	oos	0.20956	0.194233	-7.31%	0.09376	-55.26%	0.6876	✓	0.20
2026-05-18	oos	0.21118	0.195177	-7.58%	0.10243	-51.50%	0.6171	✓	0.16
2026-05-17	oos	0.21404	0.19714	-7.90%	0.08992	-57.99%	0.7402	✓	0.27
2026-05-16	oos	0.21526	0.197738	-8.14%	0.08654	-59.80%	0.7817	✓	0.27
2026-05-15	oos	0.21161	0.194514	-8.08%	0.08469	-59.98%	0.7836	✓	0.26
2026-05-14	oos	0.21633	0.197877	-8.53%	0.08426	-61.05%	0.8056	✓	0.21
2026-05-13	oos	0.20919	0.192689	-7.89%	0.08415	-59.77%	0.7807	✓	0.22
2026-05-12	oos	0.21746	0.199324	-8.34%	0.0848	-61.00%	0.8244	✓	0.13
2026-05-11	oos	0.21108	0.194252	-7.97%	0.08882	-57.92%	0.7373	✓	0.16
2026-05-10	oos	0.20974	0.193524	-7.73%	0.0853	-59.33%	0.7636	✓	0.19
2026-05-09	oos	0.21169	0.195173	-7.80%	0.08358	-60.52%	0.7979	✓	0.20
2026-05-08	oos	0.21659	0.199121	-8.07%	0.08842	-59.18%	0.7694	✓	0.18
2026-05-07	oos	0.21408	0.197456	-7.77%	0.094	-56.09%	0.6852	✓	0.21
2026-05-06	oos	0.21996	0.202781	-7.81%	0.16111	-26.75%	0.1697	✓	0.21
2026-05-05	oos	0.21899	0.202488	-7.54%	0.20274	-7.42%	0.0885	✗	0.37
2026-05-04	oos	0.22405	0.206505	-7.83%	0.20092	-10.32%	0.0535	✓	0.37
2026-05-03	oos	0.22449	0.207033	-7.78%	0.19989	-10.96%	0.0237	✓	0.36
2026-05-02	oos	0.23685	0.21721	-8.29%	0.202	-14.71%	0.0380	✓	0.35
2026-05-01	oos	0.23814	0.217207	-8.79%	0.19954	-16.21%	0.0625	✓	0.36
2026-04-30	oos	0.2544	0.228158	-10.32%	0.19479	-23.43%	0.1374	✓	0.61
2026-04-29	oos	0.25014	0.224192	-10.37%	0.19405	-22.42%	0.1252	✓	0.60
2026-04-28	oos	0.24689	0.221355	-10.34%	0.18868	-23.58%	0.1369	✓	0.61
2026-04-27	oos	0.25108	0.223857	-10.84%	0.19323	-23.04%	0.1227	✓	0.61
2026-04-26	oos	0.2408	0.213804	-11.21%	0.19796	-17.79%	0.0530	✓	0.65
2026-04-25	oos	0.23347	0.205186	-12.11%	0.19995	-14.36%	0.0225	✓	0.65
2026-04-24	oos	0.21508	0.188109	-12.54%	0.20674	-3.88%	0.0986	✓	0.66
2026-04-23	oos	0.22602	0.195756	-13.39%	0.2121	-6.16%	0.0940	✓	0.66
2026-04-22	oos	0.25056	0.213953	-14.61%	0.20854	-16.77%	0.0019	✓	0.66
2026-04-21	oos	0.23355	0.200793	-14.03%	0.20926	-10.40%	0.0312	✓	0.65
2026-04-20	oos	0.21961	0.19025	-13.37%	0.20873	-4.95%	0.0813	✓	0.54
2026-04-19	oos	0.20759	0.180413	-13.09%	0.20956	+0.95%	0.1301	✓	0.50
2026-04-18	oos	0.2053	0.178749	-12.93%	0.21118	+2.86%	0.1587	✗	0.51
2026-04-17	oos	0.203	0.176871	-12.87%	0.21404	+5.44%	0.1887	✗	0.51
2026-04-16	oos	0.18934	0.166241	-12.20%	0.21526	+13.69%	0.2396	✗	0.49
2026-04-15	oos	0.1869	0.163968	-12.27%	0.21161	+13.22%	0.2283	✗	0.49
2026-04-14	oos	0.17724	0.155475	-12.28%	0.21633	+22.05%	0.2877	✗	0.48
2026-04-13	oos	0.17992	0.157491	-12.47%	0.20919	+16.27%	0.2535	✗	0.48
2026-04-12	oos	0.16778	0.147361	-12.17%	0.21746	+29.61%	0.3383	✗	0.39
2026-04-11	oos	0.18011	0.15655	-13.08%	0.21108	+17.20%	0.2558	✗	0.39
2026-04-10	oos	0.16646	0.145875	-12.37%	0.20974	+26.00%	0.3176	✗	0.38
2026-04-09	oos	0.15251	0.134457	-11.84%	0.21169	+38.80%	0.4116	✗	0.36
2026-04-08	oos	0.15256	0.134247	-12.00%	0.21659	+41.97%	0.4347	✗	0.36
2026-04-07	oos	0.15237	0.133829	-12.17%	0.21408	+40.50%	0.4310	✗	0.36
2026-04-06	oos	0.14934	0.131432	-11.99%	0.21996	+47.29%	0.4561	✗	0.35
2026-04-05	oos	0.14433	0.126994	-12.01%	0.21899	+51.73%	0.4892	✗	0.35
2026-04-04	oos	0.1375	0.121766	-11.44%	0.22405	+62.95%	0.5521	✗	0.34
2026-04-03	oos	0.13502	0.119836	-11.25%	0.22449	+66.26%	0.5753	✗	0.33
2026-04-02	oos	0.125	0.11211	-10.31%	0.23685	+89.48%	0.6952	✗	0.32
2026-04-01	oos	0.12109	0.108854	-10.11%	0.23814	+96.66%	0.7369	✗	0.33
2026-03-31	oos	0.11782	0.10668	-9.46%	0.2544	+115.92%	0.8329	✗	0.32
2026-03-30	oos	0.11046	0.100943	-8.62%	0.25014	+126.45%	0.8688	✗	0.31
2026-03-29	oos	0.10873	0.09955	-8.44%	0.24689	+127.07%	0.8578	✗	0.35
2026-03-28	oos	0.10899	0.099912	-8.33%	0.25108	+130.37%	0.8683	✗	0.35
2026-03-27	oos	0.12829	0.115257	-10.16%	0.2408	+87.70%	0.6772	✗	0.35
2026-03-26	oos	0.12071	0.108887	-9.79%	0.23347	+93.41%	0.7156	✗	0.39
2026-03-25	oos	0.12386	0.110788	-10.55%	0.21508	+73.65%	0.6311	✗	0.39
2026-03-24	oos	0.10205	0.093629	-8.25%	0.22602	+121.48%	0.8440	✗	0.36
2026-03-23	oos	0.09701	0.089292	-7.96%	0.25056	+158.28%	0.9963	✗	0.36
2026-03-22	oos	0.09875	0.091491	-7.35%	0.23355	+136.51%	0.8977	✗	0.33
2026-03-21	oos	0.09554	0.088828	-7.02%	0.21961	+129.86%	0.8715	✗	0.35
2026-03-20	oos	0.09634	0.088835	-7.79%	0.20759	+115.48%	0.8330	✗	0.34
2026-03-19	oos	0.09674	0.089039	-7.96%	0.2053	+112.22%	0.8075	✗	0.35
2026-03-18	oos	0.09541	0.0875	-8.29%	0.203	+112.77%	0.8168	✗	0.31
2026-03-17	oos	0.09853	0.089069	-9.60%	0.18934	+92.16%	0.7488	✗	0.33
2026-03-16	oos	0.09658	0.087199	-9.71%	0.1869	+93.52%	0.7626	✗	0.33
2026-03-15	oos	0.09748	0.088535	-9.18%	0.17724	+81.82%	0.6884	✗	0.31
2026-03-14	oos	0.09559	0.087793	-8.16%	0.17992	+88.22%	0.7041	✗	0.30
2026-03-13	oos	0.0982	0.089805	-8.55%	0.16778	+70.86%	0.6258	✗	0.29
2026-03-12	oos	0.09987	0.091254	-8.63%	0.18011	+80.34%	0.6696	✗	0.29
2026-03-11	oos	0.09496	0.087118	-8.26%	0.16646	+75.29%	0.6364	✗	0.28
2026-03-10	oos	0.09206	0.084908	-7.77%	0.15251	+65.66%	0.5783	✗	0.28
2026-03-09	oos	0.08949	0.083091	-7.15%	0.15256	+70.48%	0.5974	✗	0.27
2026-03-08	oos	0.0899	0.084241	-6.30%	0.15237	+69.49%	0.5679	✗	0.29
2026-03-07	oos	0.09914	0.090715	-8.50%	0.14934	+50.64%	0.4919	✗	0.28
2026-03-06	oos	0.09149	0.084471	-7.67%	0.14433	+57.75%	0.5318	✗	0.30
2026-03-05	oos	0.08728	0.079498	-8.92%	0.1375	+57.54%	0.5653	✗	0.33
2026-03-04	oos	0.08433	0.076318	-9.50%	0.13502	+60.11%	0.5907	✗	0.25
2026-03-03	oos	0.08424	0.07795	-7.47%	0.125	+48.39%	0.4773	✗	0.24
2026-03-02	oos	0.07928	0.073397	-7.42%	0.12109	+52.74%	0.5033	✗	0.25
2026-03-01	oos	0.07818	0.073726	-5.70%	0.11782	+50.70%	0.4547	✗	0.38
2026-02-28	oos	0.08025	0.075028	-6.51%	0.11046	+37.64%	0.3874	✗	0.17
2026-02-27	oos	0.07814	0.074393	-4.80%	0.10873	+39.15%	0.3793	✗	0.16
2026-02-26	oos	0.07656	0.073592	-3.88%	0.10899	+42.36%	0.3956	✗	0.16
2026-02-25	oos	0.0757	0.074045	-2.19%	0.12829	+69.47%	0.5537	✗	0.17
2026-02-24	oos	0.08598	0.085874	-0.12%	0.12071	+40.39%	0.3243	✗	0.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.0875	0.087744	+0.28%	0.12386	+41.55%	0.3007	✓	0.45
2026-02-22	oos	0.0957	0.095618	-0.09%	0.10205	+6.64%	0.0499	✗	0.36
2026-02-21	oos	0.1166	0.115253	-1.15%	0.09701	-16.80%	0.1882	✓	0.38
2026-02-20	oos	0.1384	0.135582	-2.04%	0.09875	-28.65%	0.3163	✓	0.34
2026-02-19	oos	0.1872	0.179702	-4.01%	0.09554	-48.96%	0.6440	✓	0.43
2026-02-18	oos	0.2015	0.193464	-3.99%	0.09634	-52.19%	0.7236	✓	0.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.18	0.176445	-1.97%	0.09674	-46.26%	0.6175	✓	0.46
2026-02-16	oos	0.2265	0.21841	-3.57%	0.09541	-57.88%	0.8421	✓	0.41
2026-02-15	oos	0.2682	0.253013	-5.66%	0.09853	-63.26%	0.9731	✓	0.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.2554	0.242052	-5.23%	0.09658	-62.18%	0.9487	✓	0.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.2932	0.271237	-7.49%	0.09748	-66.75%	1.0494	✓	0.46
2026-02-12	oos	0.2845	0.264069	-7.18%	0.09559	-66.40%	1.0495	✓	0.46
2026-02-11	oos	0.2291	0.221923	-3.13%	0.0982	-57.14%	0.8428	✓	0.48
2026-02-10	oos	0.2363	0.228515	-3.29%	0.09987	-57.74%	0.8395	✓	0.48
2026-02-09	oos	0.2548	0.243352	-4.49%	0.09496	-62.73%	0.9417	✓	0.46
2026-02-08	oos	0.273	0.257888	-5.54%	0.09206	-66.28%	1.0280	✓	0.46
2026-02-07	oos	0.2982	0.278129	-6.73%	0.08949	-69.99%	1.1282	✓	0.48
2026-02-06	oos	0.3204	0.294018	-8.23%	0.0899	-71.94%	1.1536	✓	0.47
2026-02-05	oos	0.313	0.294017	-6.06%	0.09914	-68.33%	1.1254	✓	0.56
2026-02-04	oos	0.3526	0.316347	-10.28%	0.09149	-74.05%	1.2161	✓	0.35
2026-02-03	oos	0.3563	0.31644	-11.19%	0.08728	-75.50%	1.2656	✓	0.34
2026-02-02	oos	0.3561	0.314343	-11.73%	0.08433	-76.32%	1.2882	✓	0.35
2026-02-01	oos	0.3609	0.319615	-11.44%	0.08424	-76.66%	1.2894	✓	0.37
2026-01-31	oos	0.3809	0.333142	-12.54%	0.07928	-79.19%	1.3913	✓	0.33
2026-01-30	oos	0.5296	0.436601	-17.56%	0.07818	-85.24%	1.8454	✓	-0.51
2026-01-29	oos	0.4026	0.335036	-16.78%	0.08025	-80.07%	1.5368	✓	-0.46
2026-01-28	oos	0.4234	0.342445	-19.12%	0.07814	-81.54%	1.6823	✓	-0.68
2026-01-27	oos	0.434	0.345727	-20.34%	0.07656	-82.36%	1.6955	✓	-0.68
2026-01-26	oos	0.3299	0.272582	-17.37%	0.0757	-77.05%	1.4859	✓	-0.79
2026-01-25	oos	0.3227	0.270588	-16.15%	0.08598	-73.36%	1.3895	✓	-0.81
2026-01-24	oos	0.345	0.284719	-17.47%	0.0875	-74.64%	1.4840	✓	-0.95
2026-01-23	oos	0.3352	0.279978	-16.47%	0.0957	-71.45%	1.3380	✓	-0.94
2026-01-22	oos	0.3251	0.27611	-15.07%	0.1166	-64.13%	1.1216	✓	-0.94
2026-01-21	oos	0.2796	0.240244	-14.08%	0.1384	-50.50%	0.8102	✓	-0.95
2026-01-20	oos	0.5375	0.458337	-14.73%	0.1872	-65.17%	1.0609	✓	-0.60
2026-01-19	oos	0.5315	0.456088	-14.19%	0.2015	-62.09%	1.0473	✓	-0.69
2026-01-18	oos	0.5106	0.436438	-14.52%	0.18	-64.75%	1.1106	✓	-0.69
2026-01-17	oos	0.5144	0.439096	-14.64%	0.2265	-55.97%	0.8958	✓	-0.72
2026-01-16	oos	0.5277	0.449869	-14.75%	0.2682	-49.18%	0.7603	✓	-0.74
2026-01-15	oos	0.5142	0.436353	-15.14%	0.2554	-50.33%	0.7686	✓	-0.74
2026-01-14	oos	0.52	0.441947	-15.01%	0.2932	-43.62%	0.6783	✓	-0.78
2026-01-13	oos	0.5168	0.437126	-15.42%	0.2845	-44.95%	0.7135	✓	-0.78
2026-01-12	oos	0.5646	0.477162	-15.49%	0.2291	-59.42%	0.9081	✓	-0.57
2026-01-11	oos	0.516	0.435327	-15.63%	0.2363	-54.21%	0.7711	✓	-0.58
2026-01-10	oos	0.5139	0.433588	-15.63%	0.2548	-50.42%	0.6767	✓	-0.57
2026-01-09	oos	0.5145	0.433754	-15.69%	0.273	-46.94%	0.6087	✓	-0.58
2026-01-08	oos	0.5196	0.437647	-15.77%	0.2982	-42.61%	0.5457	✓	-0.59
2026-01-07	oos	0.5194	0.437502	-15.77%	0.3204	-38.31%	0.4662	✓	-0.60
2026-01-06	oos	0.5237	0.441046	-15.78%	0.313	-40.23%	0.6209	✓	-0.69
2026-01-05	oos	0.5295	0.445995	-15.77%	0.3526	-33.41%	0.4120	✓	-0.70
2026-01-04	oos	0.5249	0.4414	-15.91%	0.3563	-32.12%	0.3476	✓	-0.70
2026-01-03	oos	0.5516	0.462429	-16.17%	0.3561	-35.44%	0.3546	✓	-0.66
2026-01-02	oos	0.552	0.461811	-16.34%	0.3609	-34.62%	0.3487	✓	-0.65
2026-01-01	oos	0.5644	0.471287	-16.50%	0.3809	-32.51%	0.2868	✓	-0.61
2025-12-31	oos	0.595	0.495109	-16.79%	0.5296	-10.99%	0.0460	✓	-0.54
2025-12-30	oos	0.6343	0.524518	-17.31%	0.4026	-36.53%	0.2925	✓	-0.62
2025-12-29	oos	0.5135	0.427472	-16.75%	0.4234	-17.55%	0.0094	✓	-0.81
2025-12-28	oos	0.5143	0.427433	-16.89%	0.434	-15.61%	0.0270	✓	-0.84
2025-12-27	oos	0.5231	0.432792	-17.26%	0.3299	-36.93%	0.2672	✓	-0.84
2025-12-26	oos	0.5086	0.419834	-17.45%	0.3227	-36.55%	0.2702	✓	-0.84
2025-12-25	oos	0.5089	0.418419	-17.78%	0.345	-32.21%	0.1747	✓	-0.84
2025-12-24	oos	0.5185	0.424443	-18.14%	0.3352	-35.35%	0.2178	✓	-0.86
2025-12-23	oos	0.5239	0.42604	-18.68%	0.3251	-37.95%	0.2506	✓	-0.86
2025-12-22	oos	0.3999	0.32307	-19.21%	0.2796	-30.08%	0.1388	✓	-0.63
2025-12-21	oos	0.2857	0.231155	-19.09%	0.5375	+88.13%	0.8417	✗	-0.57
2025-12-20	oos	0.3273	0.263957	-19.35%	0.5315	+62.39%	0.6531	✗	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.30135	0.243014	-19.36%	0.5106	+69.44%	0.6815	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.3353	0.271311	-19.08%	0.5144	+53.41%	0.5327	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.4039	0.325148	-19.50%	0.5277	+30.65%	0.3819	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.4051	0.324152	-19.98%	0.5142	+26.93%	0.3770	✗	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.4392	0.351726	-19.92%	0.52	+18.40%	0.2759	✗	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.4519	0.366571	-18.88%	0.5168	+14.36%	0.2648	✗	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.4378	0.351601	-19.69%	0.5646	+28.96%	0.4633	✗	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.4792	0.382656	-20.15%	0.516	+7.68%	0.2924	✗	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.4945	0.392179	-20.69%	0.5139	+3.92%	0.2940	✗	1.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.4975	0.393156	-20.97%	0.5145	+3.42%	0.2856	✗	1.00
2025-12-09	oos	0.4963	0.389783	-21.46%	0.5196	+4.69%	0.3056	✗	1.00
2025-12-08	oos	0.47205	0.369576	-21.71%	0.5194	+10.03%	0.3334	✗	1.00
2025-12-07	oos	0.4262	0.335548	-21.27%	0.5237	+22.88%	0.4091	✗	1.00
2025-12-06	oos	0.4224	0.332624	-21.25%	0.5295	+25.36%	0.4147	✗	1.00
2025-12-05	oos	0.3871	0.302718	-21.80%	0.5249	+35.60%	0.5266	✗	1.00
2025-12-04	oos	0.2954	0.237035	-19.76%	0.5516	+86.73%	0.8610	✗	1.00
2025-12-03	oos	0.2836	0.226783	-20.03%	0.552	+94.64%	0.9277	✗	1.00
2025-12-02	oos	0.2791	0.222325	-20.34%	0.5644	+102.22%	0.9602	✗	1.00
2025-12-01	oos	0.23205	0.187287	-19.29%	0.595	+156.41%	1.1419	✗	1.00
2025-11-30	oos	0.161	0.138066	-14.24%	0.6343	+293.98%	1.5469	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.