4STOCK
4Stock · Binance Smart Chain · beta_5y
- token id
- #596
- symbol
- 4STOCK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0xd270d4e1ec6e6e0d28c0ecb8be966ec75997ffff
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 102
Track record at +1d
assessed
33
of 34 predictions shown
direction hit
54.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0956
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0035
actual -0.0331
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 0.00411 | 0.004092 | -0.44% | – | pending | – | – | 4.00 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.003904 | 0.00389 | -0.36% | 0.00411 | -0.02% | 0.0054 | ✓ | 3.80 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.003528 | 0.003528 | -0.01% | 0.003904 | +10.66% | 0.1127 | ✗ | 3.87 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.003593 | 0.003593 | -0.02% | 0.003528 | -1.82% | 0.0700 | ✓ | 3.87 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0032 | 0.003213 | +0.41% | 0.003593 | +12.31% | 0.1201 | ✓ | 3.93 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003746 | 0.00375 | +0.11% | 0.0032 | -14.59% | 0.1893 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.003468 | 0.003484 | +0.47% | 0.003746 | +8.03% | 0.0784 | ✓ | 4.02 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003481 | 0.003504 | +0.63% | 0.003468 | -0.40% | 0.0208 | ✓ | 4.09 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00381 | 0.003831 | +0.55% | 0.003481 | -8.62% | 0.1236 | ✗ | 4.11 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004392 | 0.004406 | +0.30% | 0.00381 | -13.26% | 0.0686 | ✗ | 4.11 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004583 | 0.004599 | +0.34% | 0.004392 | -4.17% | 0.1146 | ✗ | 4.16 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005344 | 0.005346 | +0.04% | 0.004583 | -14.22% | 0.0557 | ✗ | 4.19 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005176 | 0.005189 | +0.26% | 0.005344 | +3.24% | 0.0090 | ✗ | 4.15 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005327 | 0.005342 | +0.29% | 0.005176 | -2.83% | 0.0360 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.004808 | 0.004846 | +0.80% | 0.005327 | +10.79% | 0.0842 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.005606 | 0.005632 | +0.47% | 0.004808 | -14.23% | 0.1390 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.007086 | 0.007048 | -0.54% | 0.005606 | -20.89% | 0.2022 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.006889 | 0.006872 | -0.26% | 0.007086 | +2.85% | 0.0331 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.007242 | 0.007209 | -0.45% | 0.006889 | -4.87% | 0.0366 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.007364 | 0.007339 | -0.33% | 0.007242 | -1.65% | 0.0339 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.007354 | 0.007341 | -0.18% | 0.007364 | +0.13% | 0.0003 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.009011 | 0.008934 | -0.86% | 0.007354 | -18.39% | 0.1905 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.009411 | 0.009325 | -0.90% | 0.009011 | -4.25% | 0.0497 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.008594 | 0.00855 | -0.51% | 0.009411 | +9.51% | 0.0969 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.009772 | 0.009693 | -0.80% | 0.008594 | -12.06% | 0.1226 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.011118 | 0.010985 | -1.20% | 0.009772 | -12.11% | 0.1050 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.010767 | 0.010658 | -1.00% | 0.011118 | +3.26% | 0.0417 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.010275 | 0.010196 | -0.77% | 0.010767 | +4.78% | 0.0506 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.011434 | 0.011333 | -0.88% | 0.010275 | -10.13% | 0.0945 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.013476 | 0.013306 | -1.26% | 0.011434 | -15.15% | 0.1517 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.015175 | 0.014815 | -2.37% | 0.013476 | -11.20% | 0.0734 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.011248 | 0.011081 | -1.49% | 0.015175 | +34.91% | 0.3191 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.009298 | 0.009259 | -0.42% | 0.011248 | +20.97% | 0.1298 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.011466 | 0.011311 | -1.36% | 0.009298 | -18.91% | 0.1951 | ✓ | 1.00 |