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2022-08-26 · +30d

lstm_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0709
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.81%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.0%
in alpha space · 78.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.08%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066250.065726-0.79%0.06309-4.77%0.0192✗0.829142022-09-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,587.8020,353.26-1.14%18,700.00-9.17%0.0153✓0.9513k2022-09-25
TRXTRONTron0.0615520.060737-1.32%0.0597-3.01%0.0262✗0.59151k2022-09-25
NANOnanopayBase0.88010.866198-1.58%0.784151-10.90%0.0401✓0.8184k2022-09-25
XMRMoneroMonero142.81140.5217-1.60%141.32-1.04%0.0794✗1.001.2M2022-09-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,240.7219,864.41-1.86%18,808.61-7.08%0.0188✗1.00485.5M2022-09-25
STEEMSteemnative0.22130.217092-1.90%0.2183-1.36%0.0724✗0.91528k2022-09-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04720.046288-1.93%0.0373-20.97%0.1441✓0.98843k2022-09-25
ZENHorizenBase15.5215.2078-2.01%13.77-11.28%0.0174✓1.12130k2022-09-25
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08570.083967-2.02%0.0811-5.37%0.0340✗0.9414k2022-09-25
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.154180.150996-2.07%0.16721+8.45%0.2549✗2.086042022-09-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207260.020287-2.12%0.019355-6.61%0.0139✓0.8313k2022-09-25
XYMSymbolnative0.0454970.044513-2.16%0.037449-17.69%0.1347✓0.5233k2022-09-25
QNTQuantEthereum98.2395.9813-2.29%116.27+18.37%0.2544✗0.853.5M2022-09-25
DASHDashDash44.343.2464-2.38%41.11-7.20%0.0213✓0.98504k2022-09-25
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037830.036924-2.40%0.03412-9.81%0.0189✓0.822,8422022-09-25
CBKCobakEthereum0.867510.846411-2.43%0.79361-8.52%0.0074✓0.9813k2022-09-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.7151.3828-2.52%52.55-0.30%0.0953✗0.9913.1M2022-09-25
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05740.055923-2.57%0.0543-5.40%0.0369✗0.90104k2022-09-25
AAVEAaveEthereum82.7280.5714-2.60%73.64-10.98%0.0237✓1.556.7M2022-09-25
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.492.4245-2.63%1.97-20.88%0.1701✓0.5193k2022-09-25
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070150.068281-2.66%0.06038-13.93%0.0355✓1.1929k2022-09-25
ZECZcashZcash61.159.4696-2.67%56.19-8.04%0.0264✓1.132.0M2022-09-25
ADACardanoCardano0.43170.420013-2.71%0.4463+3.38%0.1372✗1.0440.7M2022-09-25
ETHEthereumEthereum1,508.021,466.36-2.76%1,294.63-14.15%0.0259✓1.34608.4M2022-09-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44910.436664-2.77%0.4357-2.98%0.0801✗1.12400k2022-09-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055380.005384-2.78%0.004975-10.17%0.0297✓0.672,6192022-09-25
XVSVenusEthereum5.134.9871-2.79%4.7-8.38%0.0037✓0.861.6M2022-09-25
STORJStorjEthereum0.556410.540563-2.85%0.45533-18.17%0.0772✓1.2945k2022-09-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04330.042065-2.85%0.0412-4.85%0.0514✗0.98180k2022-09-25
WOOWOOEthereum0.15620.151693-2.89%0.1352-13.44%0.0354✓1.091,8902022-09-25
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16190.157047-3.00%0.1575-2.72%0.1042✗1.382,1742022-09-25
GITCOINGITCOIN2.16622.1004-3.04%1.7195-20.62%0.1102✓1.2313k2022-09-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.2711.8952-3.05%13.81+12.55%0.2320✗1.131.9M2022-09-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95920.929682-3.08%0.9007-6.10%0.0095✓0.563.6M2022-09-25
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0351.9715-3.12%1.695-16.71%0.0661✓1.1655k2022-09-25
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.001439-3.13%0.001431-3.70%0.0470✗0.729,9742022-09-25
GLMGolemEthereum0.24330.235678-3.13%0.2691+10.60%0.2030✗0.9683k2022-09-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.14750.5113-3.14%48.082-7.80%0.0054✓0.75340k2022-09-25
GTGateEthereum4.37994.2423-3.14%4.2146-3.77%0.0499✗0.77827k2022-09-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044580.043173-3.16%0.04104-7.94%0.0003✓0.7016k2022-09-25
SCSiacoinnative0.003910.003786-3.17%0.00353-9.72%0.0030✓1.00158k2022-09-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20820.201514-3.21%0.1962-5.76%0.0480✗1.0266k2022-09-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03580.03465-3.21%0.0331-7.54%0.0228✓0.9386k2022-09-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10120.097908-3.25%0.0892-11.86%0.0406✓0.723,6712022-09-25
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02460.023792-3.29%0.02108-14.31%0.0270✓1.283,4352022-09-25
COMPCompoundEthereum45.9244.4017-3.31%61.45+33.82%0.4158✗1.2414k2022-09-25
KSMKusamaHydration44.5243.0282-3.35%40.47-9.10%0.0117✓0.99610k2022-09-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28310.273592-3.36%0.3884+37.20%0.4183✗0.937.6M2022-09-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10240.098955-3.36%0.1012-1.17%0.1029✗1.103.9M2022-09-25
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9421.8766-3.37%1.589-18.18%0.0404✓1.72106k2022-09-25
GMTGMTEthereum0.70530.681474-3.38%0.618-12.38%0.0077✓1.44258k2022-09-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.1430.138141-3.40%0.129-9.79%0.0060✓1.01190k2022-09-25
XECeCashnative0.000036680.000035424-3.42%0.0000401+9.32%0.1897✗0.901.7M2022-09-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5046.2805-3.44%7.869+20.99%0.3040✗1.0719.5M2022-09-25
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7744.6092-3.45%5.722+19.86%0.3166✗1.379.8M2022-09-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0635310.061335-3.46%0.061274-3.55%0.0753✗1.041.9M2022-09-25
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021860.021096-3.50%0.02274+4.03%0.1372✗0.8513.4M2022-09-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336050.323913-3.61%0.30082-10.48%0.0020✓0.9870k2022-09-25
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19730.190066-3.67%0.16-18.91%0.0988✓1.00152k2022-09-25
BANDBandEthereum1.2231.1781-3.67%1.22-0.25%0.1257✗1.24534k2022-09-25
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.60e-78.28e-7-3.71%7.80e-7-9.30%0.0001✓0.8217k2022-09-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003120.003004-3.72%0.002104-32.56%0.2907✓0.891.1M2022-09-25
DIADIAEthereum0.368280.354574-3.72%0.37615+2.14%0.1299✗0.9753k2022-09-25
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12460.119957-3.73%0.1109-11.00%0.0363✓0.584.1M2022-09-25
QTUMQtumQtum3.12053.0033-3.76%2.7901-10.59%0.0006✓1.0128k2022-09-25
XEMNEMnative0.0438050.042142-3.80%0.039806-9.13%0.0058✓0.8632k2022-09-25
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015660.001506-3.81%0.001554-0.77%0.1034✗0.98558k2022-09-25
C98Coin98Ethereum0.38790.373137-3.81%0.3536-8.84%0.0287✓1.1289k2022-09-25
MOVRMoonriverBase12.120111.6555-3.83%10.7033-11.69%0.0144✓0.9639k2022-09-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.170.163405-3.88%0.14748-13.25%0.0230✓1.08464k2022-09-25
SUSHISushiEthereum1.06851.027-3.88%1.0388-2.78%0.1030✗1.25981k2022-09-25
XLMStellarStellar0.1038590.09982-3.89%0.117358+13.00%0.2248✗0.867.8M2022-09-25
LSKLiskEthereum1.05081.0097-3.91%0.955083-9.11%0.0072✓0.8653k2022-09-25
XVGVergenative0.003030.002912-3.91%0.00325+7.26%0.1858✗1.03537k2022-09-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.05990.057551-3.92%0.0464-22.54%0.1316✓1.14258k2022-09-25
API3Api3Ethereum1.6831.617-3.92%1.593-5.35%0.0544✗0.95782k2022-09-25
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4310.414-3.94%0.397-7.89%0.0306✓0.998,3142022-09-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.33970.326122-4.00%0.3346-1.50%0.1167✗1.24191k2022-09-25
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5170.496291-4.01%0.376-27.27%0.1873✓1.232,6092022-09-25
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.670.642897-4.05%0.552-17.61%0.0587✓1.285.2M2022-09-25
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.35e-7-4.05%7.70e-7-11.49%0.0222✓0.802.4M2022-09-25
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1545.9049-4.05%5.659-8.04%0.0536✗1.3110.3M2022-09-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.77411.7021-4.06%1.7094-3.64%0.0837✗1.0838k2022-09-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.9226.6394-4.08%6.206-10.34%0.0080✓1.0314.0M2022-09-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.9132.5175-4.11%28.38-16.31%0.0304✓1.4416.0M2022-09-25
BORABORAKlay Token0.280990.269442-4.11%0.24186-13.93%0.0310✓1.0512k2022-09-25
KCSKuCoinnative9.2328.8525-4.11%8.909-3.50%0.0762✗0.951.8M2022-09-25
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06340.060793-4.11%0.0564-11.04%0.0083✓0.91116k2022-09-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2740.262704-4.12%0.25-8.76%0.0041✓0.73826k2022-09-25
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03780.036221-4.18%0.0409+8.20%0.1833✗0.8411k2022-09-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.7485.5057-4.22%5.911+2.84%0.1396✗0.935.2M2022-09-25
XTZTezosTezos1.48281.4202-4.22%1.4603-1.52%0.1088✗1.10355k2022-09-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.006570.006293-4.22%0.00478-27.25%0.2275✓0.651.2M2022-09-25
FTTFTXEthereum25.9724.8717-4.23%23.5-9.51%0.0135✓0.967.5M2022-09-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash116.16111.226-4.25%113.48-2.31%0.1033✗1.134.9M2022-09-25
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12070.115557-4.26%0.1275+5.63%0.1735✗1.0233k2022-09-25
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.2791-4.27%4.61+3.13%0.1085✗0.461.3M2022-09-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.312.7316-4.27%12.39-6.84%0.0632✗1.231.2M2022-09-25
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015860.015178-4.30%0.0107-32.53%0.3006✓0.67171k2022-09-25
IMXImmutableEthereum0.77510.741065-4.39%0.7301-5.81%0.0650✗1.092.1M2022-09-25
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1511.1003-4.40%1.072-6.86%0.0464✗0.992.1M2022-09-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013330.012743-4.40%0.011757-11.80%0.0336✓0.641.4M2022-09-25
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.14944.9221-4.41%4.0999-20.38%0.1726✓0.14158k2022-09-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.131480.125593-4.48%0.12204-7.18%0.0612✗1.22210k2022-09-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008480.008095-4.54%0.00683-19.46%0.1131✓0.776.4M2022-09-25
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6715.4067-4.66%5.717+0.81%0.1193✗0.8710.1M2022-09-25
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95780.913103-4.67%0.8636-9.84%0.0335✓1.221.0M2022-09-25
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6470.616681-4.69%0.573-11.44%0.0079✓0.89253k2022-09-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6620.63096-4.69%0.601-9.21%0.0205✓0.94304k2022-09-25
SOLSolanaSolana31.7430.2478-4.70%32.33+1.86%0.1515✗1.1670.1M2022-09-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5090.485014-4.71%0.458-10.02%0.0267✓1.1488k2022-09-25
ELAElastosEthereum1.7731.6883-4.78%1.389-21.66%0.1258✓0.94145k2022-09-25
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33230.316411-4.78%0.2916-12.25%0.0032✓1.16112k2022-09-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.6812.5526-4.79%3.035+13.20%0.2218✗0.66653k2022-09-25
UMAUMAEthereum2.72.5696-4.83%2.367-12.33%0.0192✓0.86749k2022-09-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27920.265708-4.83%0.2739-1.90%0.1005✗0.963.4M2022-09-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05291.0015-4.88%0.8882-15.64%0.0105✓1.494.9M2022-09-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.08870.084343-4.91%0.1073+20.97%0.3107✗0.95430k2022-09-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007650.007274-4.92%0.0069-9.80%0.0298✓1.13503k2022-09-25
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.248184-4.95%0.1178-54.88%0.7446✓0.0191k2022-09-25
AVTAventusEthereum1.361.2902-5.13%1.43+5.15%0.1001✗-0.04124k2022-09-25
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,981.548,519.31-5.15%8,084.45-9.99%0.0473✓1.367.3M2022-09-25
MANADecentralandEthereum0.778130.737864-5.17%0.69888-10.18%0.0131✓0.92523k2022-09-25
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.063210.059939-5.17%0.06083-3.77%0.0970✗1.122.4M2022-09-25
GALAGALAEthereum0.04980.047223-5.17%0.0406-18.47%0.0776✓1.00251k2022-09-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.539.9839-5.19%9.24-12.25%0.0095✓1.19466k2022-09-25
OPTIMOptimism1.0190.965573-5.24%0.904-11.29%0.0619✗1.743.5M2022-09-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10290.097491-5.26%0.0987-4.08%0.0762✗0.87238k2022-09-25
DODODODOEthereum0.12730.120567-5.29%0.1222-4.01%0.0844✗0.971.9M2022-09-25
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3861.3125-5.31%1.35-2.60%0.1147✗1.18130k2022-09-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7232.5782-5.32%2.321-14.76%0.0113✓1.594.0M2022-09-25
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5460.516621-5.38%0.465-14.84%0.0249✓1.0996k2022-09-25
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80010.756887-5.40%0.8499+6.22%0.2209✗1.43193k2022-09-25
STXStacksnative0.36120.341674-5.41%0.3268-9.52%0.0411✓1.17450k2022-09-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.317.8529-5.50%8.41+1.20%0.1017✗0.452.3M2022-09-25
FLOWFlownative1.8511.7477-5.58%1.644-11.18%0.0364✓1.331.2M2022-09-25
HIVEHivenative0.53430.504291-5.62%0.4965-7.07%0.0493✓0.881.6M2022-09-25
PROPropyEthereum0.730.68884-5.64%0.65-10.96%0.0323✓0.35105k2022-09-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2890820.272595-5.70%0.268444-7.14%0.0649✗1.09696k2022-09-25
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.331610.31247-5.77%0.4743+43.03%0.4901✗0.99418k2022-09-25
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35560.334989-5.80%0.295-17.04%0.0457✓1.11175k2022-09-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6321.5369-5.83%1.21-25.86%0.1505✓1.2196k2022-09-25
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1243.8827-5.85%3.981-3.47%0.0523✓0.371.9M2022-09-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1493.9043-5.90%4.058-2.19%0.0487✓0.142.4M2022-09-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6819.4577-5.91%17.32-16.25%0.0217✓1.2923.6M2022-09-25
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.30274.047-5.94%5.704+32.57%0.4166✗1.00169k2022-09-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13960.131268-5.97%0.138-1.15%0.1220✗0.98638k2022-09-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.6925.3495-6.02%5.84+2.60%0.1154✗0.385.3M2022-09-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.162.0294-6.05%1.74-19.44%0.0631✓1.24299k2022-09-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.326.8772-6.05%6.34-13.39%0.0003✓1.11638k2022-09-25
METISMetisEthereum31.129.1938-6.13%23.75-23.63%0.0682✓1.88348k2022-09-25
LUNATerraTerra 20.000123060.000115292-6.31%0.00019608+59.34%0.5945✗0.86340k2022-09-25
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.47730.446595-6.43%0.4159-12.86%0.0108✓0.82625k2022-09-25
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06260.058553-6.47%0.055-12.14%0.0271✓1.221.0M2022-09-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.78814.4758-6.52%7.7616+62.10%0.5689✗0.254.2M2022-09-25
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.693.4476-6.57%3.974+7.70%0.1851✗0.593.5M2022-09-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2216.0862-6.58%15.04-12.66%0.0151✓0.711.2M2022-09-25
RADRadworksEthereum2.252.1018-6.59%2.03-9.78%0.0233✓0.79451k2022-09-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023340.02178-6.68%0.01924-17.57%0.0670✓0.78444k2022-09-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72351.6074-6.74%1.163-32.52%0.2474✓1.041.2M2022-09-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012430.00001158-6.83%0.00001103-11.26%0.0205✓0.94948k2022-09-25
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085260.079382-6.89%0.07522-11.78%0.0490✓0.07637k2022-09-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.2009-6.91%1.13-12.40%0.0098✓0.96182k2022-09-25
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.39830.370772-6.91%0.2949-25.96%0.1474✓1.11152k2022-09-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.234.8671-6.94%5.36+2.49%0.1261✗0.402.8M2022-09-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain11.74410.9271-6.96%18.429+56.92%0.5579✗0.484.8M2022-09-25
FORTFortaEthereum0.26450.24592-7.02%0.1614-38.98%0.3522✓0.94106k2022-09-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2253.9271-7.05%3.81-9.82%0.0418✓0.98269k2022-09-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.08664.7278-7.05%6.5495+28.76%0.3412✗0.215.1M2022-09-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.24891.1597-7.14%1.1659-6.65%0.0742✗0.941.5M2022-09-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22450.207567-7.54%0.1759-21.65%0.0679✓1.33133k2022-09-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.55410.6662-7.68%13.976+20.96%0.3526✗1.1210.4M2022-09-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036890.03404-7.73%0.02945-20.17%0.0713✓1.0031k2022-09-25
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.975.4991-7.89%6.13+2.68%0.1400✗0.432.5M2022-09-25
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10060.092502-8.05%0.0879-12.62%0.0041✓0.75247k2022-09-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013750.001263-8.14%0.001035-24.67%0.1397✓0.802.0M2022-09-25
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.57e-76.95e-7-8.15%4.79e-7-36.69%0.3121✓0.82192k2022-09-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.20770.190082-8.48%0.2555+23.01%0.3557✗0.822.8M2022-09-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.045.5072-8.82%6.91+14.40%0.2579✗0.422.1M2022-09-25
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9280.845137-8.93%0.862-7.11%0.0499✓0.414.2M2022-09-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066650.006045-9.31%0.006393-4.08%0.0880✓0.4457k2022-09-25
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9250.838616-9.34%0.919-0.65%0.1809✗1.221.4M2022-09-25
UOSUltraEthereum0.340.308112-9.38%0.38138+12.17%0.2827✗0.95321k2022-09-25
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0231980.02102-9.39%0.025743+10.97%0.2115✗0.12250k2022-09-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.3933.6823-9.92%15.23-59.27%0.7302✓0.871.8M2022-09-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.