8=======>

2022-05-14 · +30d

lstm_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1183
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.34%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
43.4%
in alpha space · 86.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-25.23%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000460.000413828-10.04%0.00006043-86.86%1.0730✓2.938.4M2022-06-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6350.591556-6.84%0.392-38.27%0.0104✓1.4517k2022-06-13
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3571.2744-6.09%0.778-42.67%0.2027✓1.005.2M2022-06-13
PROPropyEthereum1.111.0446-5.89%0.9-18.92%0.0501✓0.68470k2022-06-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.399530.377477-5.52%0.25719-35.63%0.1050✗1.6832k2022-06-13
STEEMSteemnative0.25420.241451-5.02%0.1835-27.81%0.0164✓1.002.1M2022-06-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.351630.33415-4.97%0.45073+28.18%0.7735✗1.63331k2022-06-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.73291.6487-4.86%1.2396-28.47%0.0723✗1.239.6M2022-06-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1211.0675-4.78%1.458+30.06%0.7066✗1.3614.9M2022-06-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.635.3613-4.77%4.53-19.54%0.2321✗1.38572k2022-06-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7532.628-4.54%1.912-30.55%0.1686✗1.677.4M2022-06-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.12070.11524-4.52%0.0833-30.99%0.2210✗1.88694k2022-06-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.67441.599-4.50%1.0426-37.73%0.2429✓0.6416k2022-06-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.27590.263776-4.39%0.1607-41.75%0.1284✓1.26463k2022-06-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.28640.274089-4.30%0.1335-53.39%0.5799✓0.48458k2022-06-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010130.009705-4.19%0.00971-4.15%0.4808✗1.6543.3M2022-06-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4175280.400028-4.19%0.252041-39.63%0.0735✓1.346.1M2022-06-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.134.9166-4.16%4.54-11.50%0.1731✗0.872.7M2022-06-13
DODODODOEthereum0.1580.151433-4.16%0.136-13.92%0.3156✗1.454.4M2022-06-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8271.7534-4.03%1.255-31.31%0.2403✗1.98973k2022-06-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04610.044345-3.81%0.03724-19.22%0.1062✗0.978,2452022-06-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2280.219328-3.80%0.189-17.11%0.2822✗1.484.0M2022-06-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.8391.7695-3.78%1.149-37.52%0.0143✓1.442.5M2022-06-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.831.7609-3.77%1.29-29.51%0.1833✗1.70418k2022-06-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20080.193322-3.72%0.1611-19.77%0.2439✗1.47649k2022-06-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.36470.351347-3.66%0.2205-39.54%0.0973✓1.2793k2022-06-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015660.015089-3.65%0.01967+25.61%0.4651✗0.69400k2022-06-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.58e-75.38e-7-3.54%3.58e-7-35.81%0.2566✓0.521.4M2022-06-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.0740.071393-3.52%0.04897-33.82%0.0862✓1.003.8M2022-06-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.630.60782-3.52%0.493-21.75%0.2458✗1.571.7M2022-06-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.9752.0705-3.52%46.677-13.51%0.1715✗0.971.8M2022-06-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.880.849205-3.50%0.68-22.73%0.2261✗1.54801k2022-06-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053370.051524-3.46%0.04329-18.89%0.1146✗0.9925k2022-06-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8570.828045-3.38%0.7-18.32%0.2761✗1.537.6M2022-06-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.11090.107176-3.36%0.0926-16.50%0.3072✗1.561.7M2022-06-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.48951.4402-3.31%1.7211+15.55%0.4915✗1.084.3M2022-06-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.25650.248111-3.27%0.1992-22.34%0.1874✗1.40180k2022-06-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0152870.014789-3.26%0.01281-16.20%0.1784✗1.114.3M2022-06-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0119920.011603-3.25%0.012961+8.08%0.3262✗0.74198k2022-06-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6210.600921-3.23%0.332-46.54%0.2449✓1.2040k2022-06-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.311.2679-3.22%0.97-25.95%0.1579✗1.463.6M2022-06-13
AVTAventusEthereum0.950.919731-3.19%1.61+69.47%0.7893✗0.79201k2022-06-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.9922.8983-3.13%1.997-33.26%0.1119✗1.672.4M2022-06-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.010010.009698-3.12%0.00733-26.77%0.0487✓0.80269k2022-06-13
RADRadworksEthereum1.891.8311-3.12%1.52-19.58%0.1111✗1.02381k2022-06-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche33.8932.8458-3.08%16.09-52.52%0.2933✓1.4545.0M2022-06-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11980.116141-3.05%0.0914-23.71%0.0866✗1.121.1M2022-06-13
GMTGMTEthereum1.5331.4862-3.05%0.591-61.45%0.6314✓1.008.1M2022-06-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.582.502-3.02%2.19-15.12%0.3780✗1.76378k2022-06-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.64381.5943-3.01%2.0689+25.86%0.5788✗1.092.5M2022-06-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8180.793415-3.01%0.776-5.13%0.2971✗1.103.3M2022-06-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.58832.5115-2.97%1.8846-27.19%0.0718✗1.23173k2022-06-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.231.1944-2.90%0.858-30.24%0.1593✗1.69582k2022-06-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.73262.6535-2.90%2.313-15.36%0.3344✗1.628.0M2022-06-13
APEApeCoinEthereum8.6468.3966-2.88%3.485-59.69%0.1206✓2.6194.8M2022-06-13
MANADecentralandEthereum1.33181.2936-2.86%0.82849-37.79%0.0001✓1.531.1M2022-06-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.4131.3726-2.86%0.718-49.19%0.2310✓1.436.6M2022-06-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1381110.134189-2.84%0.106761-22.70%0.0823✗1.0713.6M2022-06-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4960.481948-2.83%0.301-39.31%0.0493✓1.45869k2022-06-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003950.003839-2.80%0.00331-16.20%0.1283✗0.9519k2022-06-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34930.339665-2.76%0.2574-26.31%0.0871✗1.258.5M2022-06-13
FTTFTXEthereum31.5330.661-2.76%24.51-22.26%0.0549✗0.9615.2M2022-06-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038980.037913-2.74%0.02635-32.40%0.0326✗1.3694k2022-06-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.7811.7325-2.72%3.335+87.25%0.8619✗0.711.9M2022-06-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.531.4893-2.66%3.225+110.78%1.0745✗1.04683k2022-06-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.533.4361-2.66%2.75-22.10%0.0082✓0.74777k2022-06-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001340.001304-2.65%0.000828-38.21%0.0221✓1.493.8M2022-06-13
CBKCobakEthereum1.1411.111-2.63%0.80971-29.04%0.0290✓0.9924k2022-06-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos21.9476-2.62%1.145-42.75%0.0496✓1.6687k2022-06-13
SOLSolanaSolana52.3751.0055-2.61%28.58-45.43%0.1740✓1.3987.4M2022-06-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07140.069553-2.59%0.0561-21.43%0.3325✗1.88176k2022-06-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9380.913779-2.58%0.599-36.14%0.1002✓1.11769k2022-06-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14290.139218-2.58%0.149+4.27%0.5236✗1.576.2M2022-06-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04720.045991-2.56%0.0358-24.15%0.0870✗1.161.5M2022-06-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.084.9528-2.50%6.79+33.66%0.5530✗0.821.3M2022-06-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.47580.463942-2.49%0.3765-20.87%0.2191✗1.47307k2022-06-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.7313.638-2.49%3.092-17.13%0.1409✗1.041.5M2022-06-13
UNIUniswapEthereum5.175.0429-2.46%3.662-29.17%0.0284✗1.203.6M2022-06-13
XYMSymbolnative0.06970.067986-2.46%0.0486-30.27%0.1212✓0.74568k2022-06-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.11710.114257-2.43%0.0945-19.30%0.2052✗1.361.2M2022-06-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.5141.4779-2.39%3.286+117.04%1.0767✗0.95779k2022-06-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.013760.013444-2.30%0.00905-34.23%0.0870✓1.063.2M2022-06-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.07290.071231-2.29%0.048-34.16%0.0922✓1.04115k2022-06-13
XVGVergenative0.004770.004662-2.27%0.00303-36.48%0.0412✓1.34885k2022-06-13
MINAMina Protocolnative1.0921.0674-2.25%0.662-39.38%0.0746✓1.39760k2022-06-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.42.3461-2.24%3.52+46.67%0.7105✗1.05548k2022-06-13
HIVEHivenative0.50930.49811-2.20%0.3584-29.63%0.0337✗1.251.5M2022-06-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.572.5137-2.19%4.17+62.26%0.7899✗0.98453k2022-06-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004710.004607-2.18%0.00285-39.49%0.1296✓1.211.8M2022-06-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01710.016729-2.17%0.01829+6.96%0.7388✗2.2325.3M2022-06-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.90.880471-2.17%0.6-33.33%0.1127✓0.93137k2022-06-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0893580.087431-2.16%0.054172-39.38%0.1565✓1.116.3M2022-06-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7710.5407-2.13%6.495-39.69%0.0961✓1.3320.1M2022-06-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4472.395-2.13%2.0821-14.91%0.3563✗1.7123k2022-06-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13750.134582-2.12%0.1013-26.33%0.1977✗1.66109k2022-06-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.377370.369408-2.11%0.25822-31.57%0.0795✗1.501.4M2022-06-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.7112.442-2.11%8.14-35.96%0.1621✓0.90555k2022-06-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7430.727474-2.09%0.447-39.84%0.0553✓1.48357k2022-06-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.06340.062112-2.03%0.0519-18.14%0.1532✗1.14415k2022-06-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.09940.097421-1.99%0.0599-39.74%0.0084✓1.70215k2022-06-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.4630.453796-1.99%0.3039-34.36%0.0553✓1.1914.3M2022-06-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.9214.6242-1.98%8.36-43.97%0.1795✓1.31822k2022-06-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.629.4301-1.97%8.03-16.53%0.2911✗1.555.9M2022-06-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.183.1177-1.96%4.2+32.08%0.5710✗0.94798k2022-06-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0093150.009133-1.96%0.00763-18.09%0.1195✗1.0327k2022-06-13
GTGateEthereum5.55515.4469-1.95%4.2445-23.59%0.0929✓0.544.9M2022-06-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3050.299095-1.94%0.941+208.52%1.6504✗1.731.8M2022-06-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.88.6322-1.91%5.329-39.44%0.1190✓1.257.4M2022-06-13
XTZTezosTezos1.83041.7957-1.90%1.4008-23.47%0.1189✗1.26878k2022-06-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.18290.179431-1.90%0.1272-30.45%0.0708✗1.43375k2022-06-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24970.244987-1.89%0.195-21.91%0.1344✗1.25292k2022-06-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.6410.4394-1.89%11.71+10.06%0.5486✗1.49136k2022-06-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.196760.193077-1.87%0.13259-32.61%0.0935✗1.61262k2022-06-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03380.03317-1.86%0.0291-13.91%0.2586✗1.34179k2022-06-13
STXStacksnative0.560.549829-1.82%0.347-38.04%0.1391✓1.10296k2022-06-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11710.11501-1.79%0.0991-15.37%0.1154✗0.9119k2022-06-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.2811.0818-1.76%7.032-37.66%0.0777✓1.3012.2M2022-06-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024960.024525-1.74%0.01883-24.56%0.0444✗1.06202k2022-06-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.538.3823-1.73%5.442-36.20%0.0262✓1.408.0M2022-06-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009440.009279-1.71%0.00632-33.05%0.0647✓1.101.1M2022-06-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012570.000012359-1.68%0.00000802-36.20%0.0508✓1.311.3M2022-06-13
BANDBandEthereum1.7441.7147-1.68%1.318-24.43%0.1537✗1.43500k2022-06-13
KSMKusamaHydration74.373.0725-1.65%46.08-37.98%0.1072✓1.221.2M2022-06-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.026460.026037-1.60%0.018258-31.00%0.0610✓1.0126k2022-06-13
ZECZcashZcash105.67103.9846-1.59%65.48-38.03%0.0943✓1.275.3M2022-06-13
TRXTRONTron0.072360.071211-1.59%0.063701-11.97%0.1236✗0.811.1M2022-06-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash208.47205.2419-1.55%126.93-39.11%0.1529✓1.135.3M2022-06-13
XECeCashnative0.000042570.000041913-1.54%0.00003827-10.10%0.3084✗1.376.5M2022-06-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.32787-1.54%0.256-23.12%0.0437✗1.001.1M2022-06-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum22.422.0633-1.50%13.49-39.78%0.0757✓1.433.5M2022-06-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,041.8829,603.08-1.46%22,460.97-25.23%0.0147✗1.00672.6M2022-06-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08790.086625-1.45%0.0654-25.60%0.0361✓0.84169k2022-06-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.19240.189641-1.43%0.1066-44.59%0.1245✓1.558.6M2022-06-13
DIADIAEthereum0.376460.371068-1.43%0.38009+0.96%0.2476✗0.7770k2022-06-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.19581.1791-1.40%0.939069-21.47%0.0786✗1.0598k2022-06-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.64010.631162-1.40%0.5649-11.75%0.2924✗1.396.1M2022-06-13
ETHEthereumEthereum2,053.332,025.30-1.36%1,207.82-41.18%0.2175✓1.03494.1M2022-06-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.421.4016-1.29%0.88-38.03%0.1514✓1.08140k2022-06-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.547610.540832-1.24%0.37168-32.13%0.0408✗1.4393k2022-06-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08660.085547-1.22%0.0508-41.34%0.0769✓1.533.6M2022-06-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068470.067647-1.20%0.04562-33.37%0.0907✓1.0419k2022-06-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.0192.985-1.13%2.414-20.04%0.0917✗1.0596k2022-06-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5982.5688-1.12%2.042-21.40%0.2126✗1.52221k2022-06-13
BTTCBTTC0.000001110.000001098-1.11%8.10e-7-27.03%0.0747✓0.797.9M2022-06-13
COMPCompoundEthereum71.4570.66-1.11%35.73-49.99%0.2845✓1.3730k2022-06-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.0520.8194-1.10%14.4-31.59%0.0032✓1.264.2M2022-06-13
XMRMoneroMonero153.49151.8429-1.07%132.56-13.64%0.1641✗1.033.2M2022-06-13
MOVRMoonriverBase22.493222.253-1.07%14.6487-34.87%0.0028✓1.45195k2022-06-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin68.8168.0977-1.04%43.45-36.86%0.1160✓1.1518.2M2022-06-13
AAVEAaveEthereum86.4485.5547-1.02%59.74-30.89%0.0743✗1.497.8M2022-06-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.257.1767-1.01%5.917-18.39%0.1878✗1.3118.3M2022-06-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.417580.41353-0.97%0.28493-31.77%0.0029✓1.27199k2022-06-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.20080.198862-0.97%0.1305-35.01%0.1187✓1.042,6012022-06-13
XEMNEMnative0.05680.05627-0.93%0.039006-31.33%0.0091✓1.23164k2022-06-13
KCSKuCoinnative12.96812.8548-0.87%11.706-9.73%0.1777✗0.934.1M2022-06-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,968.5029,713.92-0.85%22,471.70-25.02%0.0038✓0.9768k2022-06-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,210.4910,129.51-0.79%4,951.67-51.50%0.3776✓1.162.7M2022-06-13
ZENHorizenBase21.2121.0464-0.77%14.12-33.43%0.0441✗1.52167k2022-06-13
ADACardanoCardano0.53710.533027-0.76%0.4636-13.68%0.2330✗1.2846.3M2022-06-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.065.0262-0.67%5.3088+4.92%0.1331✗0.27285k2022-06-13
QTUMQtumQtum4.10784.0813-0.64%2.7762-32.42%0.0342✓1.21135k2022-06-13
SCSiacoinnative0.005120.005088-0.63%0.00359-29.88%0.0738✗1.45403k2022-06-13
QNTQuantEthereum72.1171.8072-0.42%49.66-31.13%0.0678✓1.033.6M2022-06-13
XVSVenusEthereum4.64.5923-0.17%3.88-15.65%0.2518✗1.452.8M2022-06-13
DASHDashDash60.8660.8698+0.02%42.59-30.02%0.0130✗1.181.1M2022-06-13
NANOnanopayBase1.15951.1616+0.18%0.845884-27.05%0.0484✓1.26161k2022-06-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.