8=======>

2022-05-08 · +7d

lstm_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0923
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.77%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
42.8%
in alpha space · 42.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.05%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3462.28-2.81%1.507-35.76%0.3044✓1.315.1M2022-05-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.72890.709937-2.60%0.4902-32.75%0.2886✓0.9811.5M2022-05-15
TRXTRONTron0.0880130.085826-2.48%0.072317-17.83%0.1118✓0.71352k2022-05-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.9916.5783-2.42%10.37-38.96%0.3540✓1.372.4M2022-05-15
NEXONEXOEthereum1.8721.8409-1.66%1.401-25.16%0.1892✓1.006.1M2022-05-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3011.2794-1.66%0.977-24.90%0.1860✓1.00547k2022-05-15
ZENHorizenBase30.9930.5196-1.52%22.1-28.69%0.2072✓1.38173k2022-05-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.16290.160794-1.29%0.1258-22.77%0.1457✓1.191.2M2022-05-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.8963.8483-1.22%2.072-46.82%0.5050✓1.3675k2022-05-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.20840.20602-1.14%0.1323-36.52%0.3040✓1.661.1M2022-05-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.5420.535931-1.12%0.357-34.13%0.3409✓0.781.2M2022-05-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.18090.178898-1.11%0.122-32.56%0.2665✓1.391.8M2022-05-15
UNIUniswapEthereum7.17.0221-1.10%5.45-23.24%0.1613✓1.104.1M2022-05-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0127550.012621-1.05%0.009284-27.21%0.2336✓0.8838k2022-05-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.002960.002935-0.86%0.00141-52.36%0.6356✓1.163.9M2022-05-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV70.1969.6381-0.79%54.96-21.70%0.1660✓0.842.0M2022-05-15
DODODODOEthereum0.2750.272921-0.76%0.169-38.55%0.3730✓1.274.7M2022-05-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.24920.247333-0.75%0.2021-18.90%0.0907✓1.33634k2022-05-15
STEEMSteemnative0.3830.380196-0.73%0.2689-29.79%0.2625✓1.003.1M2022-05-15
AVTAventusEthereum1.871.8568-0.71%1.08-42.25%0.4943✓0.57254k2022-05-15
XECeCashnative0.000068240.00006776-0.70%0.00004308-36.87%0.3673✓1.026.7M2022-05-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum15,574.1215,467.71-0.68%10,598.49-31.95%0.2939✓1.002.3M2022-05-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.5126.329-0.68%22.11-16.60%0.0751✓1.194.4M2022-05-15
DASHDashDash82.9382.3722-0.67%63.03-24.00%0.1797✓1.051.0M2022-05-15
PROPropyEthereum1.631.6191-0.67%1.2-26.38%0.2477✓0.62507k2022-05-15
BTTCBTTC0.000001610.000001599-0.67%0.00000115-28.57%0.2714✓0.707.6M2022-05-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash261.65259.9188-0.66%214.55-18.00%0.1078✓1.004.7M2022-05-15
UMAUMAEthereum5.325.2863-0.63%3.132-41.13%0.4028✓1.441.8M2022-05-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.54283.5212-0.61%2.6617-24.87%0.1878✓1.10173k2022-05-15
FTTFTXEthereum33.8333.6268-0.60%32.66-3.46%0.0486✗0.9311.0M2022-05-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.523.4997-0.58%1.86-47.16%0.5120✓1.43349k2022-05-15
XLMStellarStellar0.1616290.1607-0.57%0.144986-10.30%0.0199✓0.9913.4M2022-05-15
RADRadworksEthereum3.333.3111-0.57%2-39.94%0.4321✓0.86509k2022-05-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum11.9111.8432-0.56%9.22-22.59%0.1472✓1.238.0M2022-05-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.09070.090207-0.54%0.0705-22.27%0.1717✓0.89416k2022-05-15
BORABORAKlay Token0.506480.503894-0.51%0.40992-19.06%0.1036✓1.2347k2022-05-15
SOLSolanaSolana75.3474.9918-0.46%58.82-21.93%0.1386✓1.2482.2M2022-05-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.017830.017752-0.44%0.01426-20.02%0.1578✓0.732.7M2022-05-15
APEApeCoinEthereum11.22711.1786-0.43%9.131-18.67%0.0327✓2.0275.7M2022-05-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin93.8393.4274-0.43%71.5-23.80%0.1833✓1.0016.8M2022-05-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.8550.851445-0.42%0.528-38.25%0.3674✓1.32954k2022-05-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.632.6197-0.39%1.57-40.30%0.4500✓0.74775k2022-05-15
GTGateEthereum6.13326.1097-0.38%5.5674-9.23%0.0557✓0.444.2M2022-05-15
ADACardanoCardano0.74030.737508-0.38%0.598-19.22%0.1129✓1.1540.5M2022-05-15
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9480.945039-0.31%0.832-12.24%0.0343✓1.113.2M2022-05-15
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.12980.129398-0.31%0.0751-42.14%0.3789✓1.97245k2022-05-15
API3Api3Ethereum3.1793.17-0.28%1.915-39.76%0.4148✓1.062.6M2022-05-15
GMTGMTEthereum2.7192.7114-0.28%1.618-40.49%0.4324✓1.008.1M2022-05-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.015560.015518-0.27%0.011-29.31%0.2081✓1.6246.7M2022-05-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum30.4630.3785-0.27%24.12-20.81%0.1196✓1.323.5M2022-05-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche51.5751.4347-0.26%36.54-29.14%0.2396✓1.2243.7M2022-05-15
ETHEthereumEthereum2,519.102,512.52-0.26%2,142.69-14.94%0.0745✓1.01428.7M2022-05-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.29930.298519-0.26%0.1995-33.34%0.3010✓1.226.3M2022-05-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.036310.036216-0.26%0.02694-25.81%0.2250✓0.85227k2022-05-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000018360.000018312-0.26%0.00001304-28.98%0.2537✓1.021.2M2022-05-15
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.14960.149249-0.23%0.0861-42.45%0.4662✓1.003.8M2022-05-15
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.17830.177974-0.18%0.1461-18.06%0.0822✓1.37108k2022-05-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.007860.007848-0.15%0.0057-27.48%0.2305✓1.061.7M2022-05-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.48564.4788-0.15%2.8557-36.34%0.3556✓1.138.6M2022-05-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.344.335-0.12%2.74-36.87%0.4014✓0.68497k2022-05-15
CELLCellframeEthereum0.61960.618931-0.11%0.3803-38.62%0.3880✓1.1895k2022-05-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.6462.6442-0.07%1.587-40.02%0.4557✓0.651.0M2022-05-15
XTZTezosTezos2.56152.56-0.06%1.915-25.24%0.1987✓1.09855k2022-05-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.11420.114133-0.06%0.0907-20.58%0.1591✓0.84136k2022-05-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.034650.034634-0.05%0.02804-19.08%0.1383✓0.8731k2022-05-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.65940.659114-0.04%0.5152-21.87%0.1350✓1.33260k2022-05-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.754.7489-0.02%3.26-31.37%0.3153✓0.73855k2022-05-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.68322.6829-0.01%1.6876-37.10%0.4081✓0.662.7M2022-05-15
XMRMoneroMonero217.35217.3421-0.00%171.74-20.98%0.1617✓0.883.0M2022-05-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1241950.124205+0.01%0.092987-25.13%0.2123✗0.926.1M2022-05-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.013960.013963+0.02%0.01045-25.14%0.2163✗0.88199k2022-05-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.2164.2175+0.03%3.057-27.49%0.1938✗1.536.6M2022-05-15
MINAMina Protocolnative1.651.6509+0.06%1.16-29.70%0.2547✗1.17775k2022-05-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum4.434.4327+0.06%2.52-43.12%0.4374✗1.52335k2022-05-15
XVGVergenative0.00740.007406+0.08%0.0053-28.38%0.2392✗1.14885k2022-05-15
KCSKuCoinnative15.89615.909+0.08%14.507-8.74%0.0259✗0.794.0M2022-05-15
COMPCompoundEthereum99.6799.7594+0.09%74.83-24.92%0.1858✗1.2130k2022-05-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.370.370392+0.11%0.24-35.14%0.3980✗0.43540k2022-05-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.18050.180695+0.11%0.1299-28.03%0.2563✗0.881.1M2022-05-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.0110.0218+0.12%6.04-39.66%0.4198✗1.03666k2022-05-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.013120.01314+0.15%0.01019-22.33%0.1785✗0.90961k2022-05-15
HIVEHivenative0.70880.709897+0.15%0.5339-24.68%0.1955✗1.071.4M2022-05-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.058490.058582+0.16%0.0485-17.08%0.1173✗0.859,7632022-05-15
AAVEAaveEthereum126.06126.3158+0.20%92.06-26.97%0.2042✗1.348.2M2022-05-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.660.661424+0.22%0.41498-37.12%0.3594✗1.27398k2022-05-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.23930.239836+0.22%0.1868-21.94%0.1500✗1.19372k2022-05-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12930.129607+0.24%0.0914-29.31%0.2386✗1.323.7M2022-05-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.21090.211408+0.24%0.1516-28.12%0.2135✗1.426.1M2022-05-15
STORJStorjEthereum0.781250.783258+0.26%0.59535-23.80%0.1699✗1.2474k2022-05-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.33960.34053+0.27%0.319-6.07%0.0305✓1.14486k2022-05-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.32180.322811+0.31%0.2124-34.00%0.3651✗0.642,9402022-05-15
XEMNEMnative0.07570.075941+0.32%0.0667-11.89%0.0464✗0.9951k2022-05-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03490.035013+0.32%0.0173-50.43%0.5463✗1.8921.9M2022-05-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.341.3444+0.33%0.89-33.58%0.2977✗1.37842k2022-05-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6140.616075+0.34%0.328-46.58%0.5111✗1.421.6M2022-05-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin34,027.9134,146.35+0.35%31,290.05-8.05%0.0035✗1.00553.2M2022-05-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.02390.023984+0.35%0.01781-25.48%0.2567✗0.49400k2022-05-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum20.320.3728+0.36%15.77-22.32%0.1495✗1.27532k2022-05-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04840.048575+0.36%0.0357-26.24%0.2139✗1.12173k2022-05-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.1082.1156+0.36%1.412-33.02%0.2738✗1.56582k2022-05-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.963.9745+0.37%2.54-35.86%0.3835✗0.77585k2022-05-15
BANDBandEthereum2.7312.7413+0.38%1.808-33.80%0.3073✗1.30499k2022-05-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.1161.1204+0.39%0.697-37.54%0.3778✗1.1534k2022-05-15
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.1573.1695+0.40%2.084-33.99%0.2743✗1.731.2M2022-05-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6451.6516+0.40%1.359-17.39%0.0989✗1.1517.4M2022-05-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.360.361463+0.41%0.237-34.17%0.3268✗1.144.3M2022-05-15
XYMSymbolnative0.07790.078221+0.41%0.0717-7.96%0.0279✗0.70657k2022-05-15
NANOnanopayBase1.63471.6414+0.41%1.1867-27.41%0.2300✗1.13145k2022-05-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum13.4413.4987+0.44%11.53-14.21%0.0395✗1.41134k2022-05-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot13.2613.3216+0.46%11.79-11.09%0.0292✗1.1111.6M2022-05-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.84110.845024+0.47%0.7169-14.77%0.0537✗1.326.1M2022-05-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.715.7743+0.47%12.37-21.21%0.1454✗1.1618.8M2022-05-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.9150.919409+0.48%0.704-23.06%0.1626✗1.241.7M2022-05-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.210.211024+0.49%0.1359-35.29%0.3806✗0.7121k2022-05-15
IMXImmutableEthereum1.3631.3705+0.55%0.954-30.01%0.2429✗1.428.2M2022-05-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin13.1213.1939+0.56%9.16-30.18%0.2712✗1.125.8M2022-05-15
DIADIAEthereum0.640.643698+0.58%0.40967-35.99%0.4120✗0.4870k2022-05-15
GLMGolemEthereum0.31440.316221+0.58%0.2757-12.31%0.0409✗1.15186k2022-05-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.06e-78.10e-7+0.59%6.30e-7-21.82%0.2488✗0.04777k2022-05-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.9580.963751+0.60%0.773-19.31%0.1109✗1.31327k2022-05-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0345.0651+0.62%3.65-27.49%0.2717✗0.671.4M2022-05-15
ZECZcashZcash114114.7199+0.63%112.6-1.23%0.0788✓1.165.1M2022-05-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.13612.1497+0.64%1.7798-16.68%0.1354✗0.6415k2022-05-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.81.8115+0.64%1.5-16.67%0.1019✗1.03134k2022-05-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum9.9910.0541+0.64%7.96-20.32%0.1345✗1.1817.5M2022-05-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6264750.630617+0.66%0.444265-29.08%0.2547✗1.145.6M2022-05-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08270.083258+0.67%0.0557-32.65%0.3312✗0.842.2M2022-05-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1250.12587+0.70%0.074-40.80%0.4839✗0.56130k2022-05-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0220680.022224+0.71%0.017163-22.23%0.1785✗0.954.0M2022-05-15
LSKLiskEthereum1.5971.6087+0.73%1.2834-19.63%0.1493✗0.9180k2022-05-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.13090.131893+0.76%0.1001-23.53%0.1658✗1.31180k2022-05-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.36740.370229+0.77%0.2616-28.80%0.2664✗0.97292k2022-05-15
SUSHISushiEthereum2.112.1264+0.78%1.39-34.12%0.3128✗1.343.2M2022-05-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.178.2343+0.79%5.39-34.03%0.3819✗0.501.2M2022-05-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.46590.469591+0.79%0.3745-19.62%0.1331✗1.117.9M2022-05-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2233.2491+0.81%1.844-42.79%0.5360✗0.362.4M2022-05-15
MANADecentralandEthereum1.331.3408+0.81%1.3383+0.63%0.1001✓1.22734k2022-05-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.31835.3646+0.87%5.0077-5.84%0.0423✗0.32262k2022-05-15
QTUMQtumQtum5.03875.0845+0.91%4.2708-15.24%0.0775✗1.16103k2022-05-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.542750.547695+0.91%0.43346-20.14%0.1411✗1.11136k2022-05-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum33,986.5034,304.57+0.94%31,292.30-7.93%0.0109✗0.9726k2022-05-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.070390.071056+0.95%0.05678-19.34%0.1504✗0.8827k2022-05-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.054020.054532+0.95%0.04022-25.55%0.2108✗1.1255k2022-05-15
LUNATerraTerra 264.264.8375+0.99%0.00022-100.00%12.4817✗1.346.9M2022-05-15
SCSiacoinnative0.007390.007464+1.00%0.00572-22.60%0.1629✗1.23367k2022-05-15
ORCAOrcaSolana1.41.4148+1.05%1-28.57%0.2852✗0.74142k2022-05-15
KSMKusamaHydration111.73112.9453+1.09%80.53-27.92%0.2438✗1.131.0M2022-05-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.006740.006814+1.09%0.00449-33.38%0.3646✗0.6220k2022-05-15
QNTQuantEthereum83.2284.1541+1.12%75.21-9.63%0.0315✗0.963.4M2022-05-15
STXStacksnative0.780.788756+1.12%0.62-20.51%0.1571✗1.00260k2022-05-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.953.9949+1.14%3.06-22.53%0.1830✗1.0067k2022-05-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum4.5014.5532+1.16%2.887-35.86%0.3557✗1.19184k2022-05-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.24.253+1.26%3.83-8.81%0.0518✗0.63825k2022-05-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.0819.3233+1.28%13.65-28.46%0.2816✗0.79458k2022-05-15
GITCOINGITCOIN4.434.4879+1.31%2.469-44.27%0.4731✗1.4818k2022-05-15
FIDABonfidaSolana0.9220.934135+1.32%0.641-30.48%0.2835✗1.1143k2022-05-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.64212.6772+1.33%1.5127-42.75%0.5176✗0.635.0M2022-05-15
XVSVenusEthereum6.917.0055+1.38%5.01-27.50%0.2421✗1.112.6M2022-05-15
MOVRMoonriverBase32.383332.8401+1.41%25.575-21.02%0.1326✗1.40173k2022-05-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.104570.106047+1.41%0.07163-31.50%0.3303✗0.7418k2022-05-15
CBKCobakEthereum1.571.5933+1.48%1.212-22.80%0.2056✗0.8124k2022-05-15
UOSUltraEthereum0.575020.583576+1.49%0.39997-30.44%0.2658✗1.341.3M2022-05-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.350.355218+1.49%0.21866-37.53%0.3686✗1.39250k2022-05-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.41082.447+1.50%1.8142-24.75%0.2124✗1.0410.0M2022-05-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0163380.016584+1.51%0.012593-22.92%0.2249✗0.60193k2022-05-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.18.2506+1.86%4.99-38.40%0.4598✗0.512.7M2022-05-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.