8=======>

2022-03-19 · +30d

lstm_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 160 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3668
160 of 160 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+20.46%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.1%
in alpha space · 63.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.38%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (160 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0619210.06115-1.24%0.0616-0.52%0.0293✗0.64259k2022-04-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07610.074795-1.71%0.1174+54.27%0.4832✗0.94146k2022-04-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,269.5041,511.24-1.79%40,850.20-3.36%0.0170✓0.9652k2022-04-18
ETHEthereumEthereum2,952.162,894.13-1.97%3,056.19+3.52%0.0904✗1.04501.7M2022-04-18
BTTCBTTC0.000001870.000001831-2.08%0.00000191+2.14%0.0636✗0.6212.5M2022-04-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,232.2641,347.46-2.10%40,803.58-3.38%0.0212✗1.00688.5M2022-04-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041490.040558-2.25%0.04446+7.16%0.1209✗0.8424k2022-04-18
QNTQuantEthereum119.96117.2057-2.30%111.58-6.99%0.0174✓0.924.4M2022-04-18
COMPCompoundEthereum118.78115.9806-2.36%139.03+17.05%0.2212✗1.1646k2022-04-18
CBKCobakEthereum2.2492.1944-2.43%2.242-0.31%0.0484✗0.7821k2022-04-18
XVSVenusEthereum9.148.9-2.63%10.17+11.27%0.1691✗1.043.0M2022-04-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012390.012059-2.67%0.01149-7.26%0.0240✓0.719,3002022-04-18
SCSiacoinnative0.009810.009537-2.78%0.01042+6.22%0.1264✗1.10441k2022-04-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin116.82113.5476-2.80%111.24-4.78%0.0139✓1.0025.9M2022-04-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.9933.0127-2.88%36.9+8.56%0.1457✗1.003.8M2022-04-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.096510.093707-2.90%0.09391-2.69%0.0324✗0.8829k2022-04-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1236350.120014-2.93%0.140355+13.52%0.1845✗0.812.7M2022-04-18
MINAMina Protocolnative2.162.0964-2.95%2.39+10.65%0.1668✗1.04354k2022-04-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13180.127882-2.97%0.1867+41.65%0.4191✗1.182.1M2022-04-18
XEMNEMnative0.10110.098071-3.00%0.0979-3.17%0.0273✓0.8439k2022-04-18
XYMSymbolnative0.1370.132885-3.00%0.1102-19.56%0.1602✓0.78296k2022-04-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.36.1103-3.01%5.82-7.62%0.0229✓0.75822k2022-04-18
QTUMQtumQtum6.35446.1618-3.03%6.6996+5.43%0.1226✗1.1397k2022-04-18
ADACardanoCardano0.9030.875283-3.07%0.9367+3.73%0.1025✗1.0164.1M2022-04-18
KCSKuCoinnative18.63118.0461-3.14%20.26+8.74%0.1467✗0.906.5M2022-04-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.051480.049852-3.16%0.04894-4.93%0.0191✓1.09459k2022-04-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2390.231408-3.18%0.265+10.88%0.1636✗0.8136k2022-04-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6540.633142-3.19%0.737+12.69%0.1831✗0.912.1M2022-04-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.0114.5087-3.34%14.06-6.33%0.0052✓1.0636.5M2022-04-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.76510.738102-3.53%0.7369-3.69%0.0329✓1.0016.8M2022-04-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012140.011705-3.58%0.01101-9.31%0.0192✓1.223.1M2022-04-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.931.8596-3.65%1.99+3.11%0.1121✗1.291.2M2022-04-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.2117.5352-3.71%19.62+7.74%0.1457✗0.976.1M2022-04-18
KSMKusamaHydration146.84141.0934-3.91%167.23+13.89%0.2089✗1.13671k2022-04-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.154410.148354-3.92%0.14143-8.41%0.0181✓0.8614k2022-04-18
XVGVergenative0.009670.00929-3.93%0.01043+7.86%0.1554✗1.151.6M2022-04-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.4315.7833-3.94%14.27-13.15%0.0562✓1.302.3M2022-04-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.20052.1133-3.96%2.545+15.66%0.2107✗0.7213k2022-04-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.4218.6486-3.97%18.16-6.49%0.0105✓1.0824.4M2022-04-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.2845.0712-4.03%5.068-4.09%0.0321✓0.9578k2022-04-18
FTTFTXEthereum44.9243.0937-4.07%43.37-3.45%0.0420✗1.0314.4M2022-04-18
XLMStellarStellar0.200540.192347-4.09%0.205114+2.28%0.0985✗0.9918.9M2022-04-18
FIDABonfidaSolana1.7181.6475-4.10%1.46-15.02%0.0931✓0.8150k2022-04-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.026950.025844-4.10%0.02162-19.78%0.1527✓0.752.7M2022-04-18
AVTAventusEthereum2.152.0614-4.12%2.51+16.74%0.2117✗0.43309k2022-04-18
SUSHISushiEthereum3.363.2212-4.13%3.29-2.08%0.0613✗1.176.0M2022-04-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.073840.070763-4.17%0.0757+2.52%0.0949✗0.809,2172022-04-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.1712.6198-4.18%14.46+9.79%0.1505✗0.423.0M2022-04-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.333.1898-4.21%3.523+5.80%0.1244✗0.73789k2022-04-18
XMRMoneroMonero197.76189.4279-4.21%265.87+34.44%0.3712✗0.941.7M2022-04-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024160.000023133-4.25%0.00002527+4.59%0.1287✗1.172.5M2022-04-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41090.393352-4.27%0.3623-11.83%0.0413✓1.198.8M2022-04-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.0545.7945-4.29%5.9739-1.32%0.0446✗0.41181k2022-04-18
NANOnanopayBase2.27022.1726-4.30%2.1427-5.62%0.0256✓1.14127k2022-04-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.42.2962-4.32%2.3-4.17%0.0353✓0.98146k2022-04-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8630.825482-4.35%0.855-0.93%0.0809✗1.332.0M2022-04-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.5236.2325-4.45%6.541+0.28%0.0827✗1.00475k2022-04-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51820.495061-4.47%0.5015-3.22%0.0387✓0.75399k2022-04-18
ZECZcashZcash179.68171.6429-4.47%156.2-13.07%0.0608✓0.9712.5M2022-04-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.110.10505-4.50%0.228+107.27%0.7933✗0.5334k2022-04-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.852.7212-4.52%4.174+46.46%0.4675✗1.15514k2022-04-18
GTGateEthereum6.32146.0339-4.55%6.5754+4.02%0.1081✗0.643.3M2022-04-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.436.135-4.59%5.21-18.97%0.1383✓0.731.6M2022-04-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.08860.084527-4.60%0.1161+31.04%0.3594✗1.22522k2022-04-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.6216.8071-4.61%16.97-3.69%0.0442✓1.0014.5M2022-04-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.29860.284802-4.62%0.2911-2.51%0.0610✗1.14183k2022-04-18
XTZTezosTezos3.25773.1072-4.62%3.1743-2.56%0.0589✗1.091.1M2022-04-18
ORCAOrcaSolana2.132.0314-4.63%1.87-12.21%0.0592✓0.69180k2022-04-18
XECeCashnative0.000083210.000079347-4.64%0.00009056+8.83%0.1650✗0.954.7M2022-04-18
GITCOINGITCOIN7.0166.6897-4.65%5.982-14.74%0.0651✓1.3625k2022-04-18
MOVRMoonriverBase56.506253.8745-4.66%57.9777+2.60%0.1201✗1.36154k2022-04-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.24180.230372-4.73%0.2011-16.83%0.1015✓1.001.8M2022-04-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25360.241485-4.78%0.2404-5.21%0.0239✓0.832.3M2022-04-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash328.01312.3308-4.78%340.48+3.80%0.1185✗0.946.6M2022-04-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV83.3379.3086-4.83%84.67+1.61%0.0915✗0.761.0M2022-04-18
UNIUniswapEthereum9.749.2633-4.89%9.39-3.59%0.0487✓1.026.1M2022-04-18
DASHDashDash103.0397.975-4.91%108.7+5.50%0.1385✗1.011.7M2022-04-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7593.5711-5.00%3.551-5.53%0.0164✓0.64650k2022-04-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5477940.520399-5.00%0.712157+30.00%0.3497✗1.051.7M2022-04-18
SOLSolanaSolana92.3987.7635-5.01%102.39+10.82%0.1972✗1.2592.9M2022-04-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum52.0549.423-5.05%46.22-11.20%0.0239✓1.254.8M2022-04-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.5619.5176-5.07%20.41-0.73%0.0902✗1.32246k2022-04-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0122330.011612-5.07%0.014417+17.85%0.2484✗0.9311k2022-04-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.48220.457714-5.08%0.4206-12.77%0.0501✓1.001.6M2022-04-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6391.5557-5.08%2.975+81.51%0.6824✗0.992.1M2022-04-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8754.6268-5.09%6.129+25.72%0.3039✗0.66593k2022-04-18
AAVEAaveEthereum157.26149.1157-5.18%169.22+7.61%0.1706✗1.287.4M2022-04-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.75090.711943-5.19%0.6652-11.41%0.0340✓0.996.9M2022-04-18
HIVEHivenative0.93240.883992-5.19%0.8922-4.31%0.0478✓1.122.1M2022-04-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0660.062572-5.19%0.0502-23.94%0.1609✓1.7343.9M2022-04-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.44450.421388-5.20%0.3922-11.77%0.0058✓1.922.1M2022-04-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.22850.216617-5.20%0.2359+3.24%0.1197✗1.00352k2022-04-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2851.218-5.21%1.27-1.17%0.0758✗0.992.9M2022-04-18
DIADIAEthereum0.940.890984-5.21%0.87-7.45%0.0111✓0.37271k2022-04-18
UOSUltraEthereum1.15651.0962-5.22%1.0855-6.14%0.0348✓1.292.1M2022-04-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.840220.795482-5.32%0.76358-9.12%0.0024✓1.12111k2022-04-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.0627.5021-5.36%26.26-9.64%0.0148✓0.91821k2022-04-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.8955.5724-5.47%4.599-21.98%0.1754✓0.484.5M2022-04-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.511.4272-5.48%1.441-4.57%0.0565✗1.36498k2022-04-18
ZENHorizenBase41.9939.6788-5.50%37.89-9.76%0.0011✓1.31261k2022-04-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.426.0637-5.55%5.7-11.21%0.0374✓0.711.0M2022-04-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,673.7919,508.49-5.64%19,131.97-7.46%0.0175✓1.075.7M2022-04-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0194850.018384-5.65%0.026332+35.14%0.3871✗0.81167k2022-04-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00360.003396-5.65%0.00404+12.22%0.2221✗1.415.2M2022-04-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.88040.830291-5.69%1.2254+39.19%0.4315✗1.234.4M2022-04-18
STORJStorjEthereum1.09891.0349-5.83%1.06-3.54%0.0638✗1.16128k2022-04-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.6351.5378-5.95%1.496-8.50%0.0070✓1.00639k2022-04-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034530.032474-5.95%0.03494+1.19%0.0981✗0.72895k2022-04-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.21150.198887-5.96%0.2419+14.37%0.2402✗1.291.8M2022-04-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.074650.070166-6.01%0.07482+0.23%0.1010✗1.0754k2022-04-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.19493.9416-6.04%3.9596-5.61%0.0272✓0.664.1M2022-04-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.5930.55709-6.06%0.4825-18.63%0.1093✓1.005,0542022-04-18
LUNATerraTerra 292.186.4782-6.10%90.98-1.22%0.0986✗1.399.1M2022-04-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.45420.426303-6.14%0.5505+21.20%0.2997✗1.28433k2022-04-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.24930.233901-6.18%0.1952-21.70%0.1465✓1.00180k2022-04-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2862.1439-6.22%2.185-4.42%0.0650✗1.349.5M2022-04-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.32863.1209-6.24%4.2984+29.14%0.3480✗0.814.1M2022-04-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.7793.5419-6.27%5.4193+43.41%0.4465✗0.613.8M2022-04-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.660.618428-6.30%0.64-3.03%0.0861✗1.50511k2022-04-18
API3Api3Ethereum5.024.7032-6.31%4.285-14.64%0.0714✓0.637.4M2022-04-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.1550.145098-6.39%0.1372-11.48%0.0202✓1.04215k2022-04-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.35410.331285-6.44%0.3385-4.41%0.0720✗1.4710.2M2022-04-18
PROPropyEthereum1.531.4307-6.49%1.86+21.57%0.2985✗1.05228k2022-04-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0421970.039403-6.62%0.03442-18.43%0.1024✓0.954.6M2022-04-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.654.3413-6.64%4.3-7.53%0.0389✓1.41361k2022-04-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche89.5883.612-6.66%77.73-13.23%0.0278✓1.31119.2M2022-04-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.6526.7397-6.67%24.08-15.95%0.0661✓1.1241.1M2022-04-18
DODODODOEthereum0.4350.40577-6.72%0.39-10.34%0.0016✓1.112.8M2022-04-18
CELLCellframeEthereum1.50321.4012-6.78%0.9939-33.88%0.2944✓1.43236k2022-04-18
LSKLiskEthereum2.17592.0262-6.88%2.1201-2.56%0.0729✗0.80123k2022-04-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.7132.5262-6.89%2.075-23.52%0.1623✓1.0052k2022-04-18
IMXImmutableEthereum2.0841.9384-6.99%1.751-15.98%0.0676✓0.993.6M2022-04-18
BANDBandEthereum3.813.5381-7.14%3.783-0.71%0.1052✗1.11631k2022-04-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain9.13688.4844-7.14%5.3562-41.38%0.4256✓1.0049.7M2022-04-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.7125.7267-7.16%23.4-15.55%0.0507✓1.28735k2022-04-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.097.5104-7.16%6.7-17.18%0.0899✓0.712.1M2022-04-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.1734.8022-7.17%5.176+0.06%0.1192✗1.282.4M2022-04-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0720.066816-7.20%0.0672-6.67%0.0466✓1.19352k2022-04-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.21140.196003-7.28%0.2297+8.66%0.1984✗1.162.3M2022-04-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.5121.4017-7.29%1.213-19.78%0.1100✓1.001.3M2022-04-18
MANADecentralandEthereum2.5082.324-7.34%2.0866-16.80%0.0676✓1.171.4M2022-04-18
RADRadworksEthereum4.694.3382-7.50%4.62-1.49%0.0932✗0.88521k2022-04-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.7660.708273-7.54%0.6854-10.52%0.0207✓0.35651k2022-04-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.211.1173-7.66%1.06-12.40%0.0176✓1.02522k2022-04-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.020610.019028-7.68%0.01729-16.11%0.0605✓1.021.3M2022-04-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.026980.024901-7.70%0.02255-16.42%0.0621✓1.08281k2022-04-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana12.4311.4669-7.75%14.72+18.42%0.2673✗0.511.5M2022-04-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.70924.3421-7.80%4.7151+0.13%0.1150✗0.95204k2022-04-18
STXStacksnative1.321.2151-7.95%1.21-8.33%0.0281✓0.94463k2022-04-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.2614.8132-8.51%4.573-13.08%0.0192✓0.93102k2022-04-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011960.000001092-8.70%0.000001187-0.76%0.0680✓-0.451.7M2022-04-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.35580.32481-8.71%0.3495-1.77%0.1188✗1.32907k2022-04-18
UMAUMAEthereum7.6897.0104-8.83%6.318-17.83%0.0594✓1.306.0M2022-04-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6980.633209-9.28%0.676-3.15%0.1064✗1.192.0M2022-04-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.036020.032634-9.40%0.01821-49.44%0.5262✓1.6613.0M2022-04-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.5881.4385-9.41%1.316-17.13%0.0452✓1.273.5M2022-04-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.9360.826504-11.70%0.9302-0.62%0.1646✗1.35100k2022-04-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum22.5119.7423-12.30%13.42-40.38%0.3462✓1.16397k2022-04-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.036.035-14.15%5.97-15.08%0.0366✓1.38447k2022-04-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum7.446.3246-14.99%4.722-36.53%0.2578✓1.00417k2022-04-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.