2022-02-26 · +30d

lstm_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.4527

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+23.79%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

63.6%

in alpha space · 8.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+20.46%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	39,589.70	39,257.10	-0.84%	47,634.90	+20.32%	0.0132	✗	0.97	49k	2022-03-28
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.059459	0.058673	-1.32%	0.069168	+16.33%	0.0087	✓	0.84	270k	2022-03-28
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0685	0.067277	-1.79%	0.0824	+20.29%	0.0017	✓	1.08	163k	2022-03-28
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	39,137.80	38,389.44	-1.91%	47,144.92	+20.46%	0.0193	✗	1.00	630.5M	2022-03-28
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.91	28.3556	-1.92%	47.08	+62.85%	0.2955	✗	1.14	5.1M	2022-03-28
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,780.71	2,722.57	-2.09%	3,334.47	+19.91%	0.0014	✓	1.08	540.3M	2022-03-28
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04014	0.03919	-2.37%	0.04895	+21.95%	0.0178	✓	1.10	30k	2022-03-28
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000191	0.000001862	-2.50%	0.00000209	+9.42%	0.0135	✓	0.69	14.4M	2022-03-28
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.68	4.5605	-2.55%	7	+49.57%	0.2830	✗	0.78	459k	2022-03-28
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	107.8	105.0369	-2.56%	192.22	+78.31%	0.3889	✗	1.16	7.4M	2022-03-28
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.576	2.5061	-2.71%	3.85	+49.46%	0.2700	✗	0.86	213k	2022-03-28
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.285	2.2219	-2.76%	2.688	+17.64%	0.0118	✓	1.09	20k	2022-03-28
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	110.79	107.6929	-2.80%	142.25	+28.40%	0.0821	✗	1.05	6.3M	2022-03-28
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1441	0.14001	-2.84%	0.1499	+4.02%	0.0894	✓	0.85	301k	2022-03-28
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	108.29	105.1958	-2.86%	127.59	+17.82%	0.0317	✓	1.21	29.3M	2022-03-28
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	113.35	110.0498	-2.91%	122.91	+8.43%	0.1294	✓	1.29	58k	2022-03-28
XEM	NEM	native	0.101	0.098037	-2.93%	0.1127	+11.58%	0.0589	✓	1.07	38k	2022-03-28
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	14.09	13.6704	-2.98%	18.66	+32.43%	0.0262	✓	1.53	2.5M	2022-03-28
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00906	0.008789	-2.99%	0.01178	+30.02%	0.0395	✗	1.36	563k	2022-03-28
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.058	3.9365	-2.99%	6.372	+57.02%	0.3214	✗	0.86	395k	2022-03-28
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.232	0.224866	-3.07%	0.268	+15.52%	0.0117	✓	0.88	57k	2022-03-28
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.504	0.48843	-3.09%	1.2251	+143.08%	0.6672	✗	1.36	2.1M	2022-03-28
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00997	0.009655	-3.16%	0.01399	+40.32%	0.0913	✗	1.50	2.7M	2022-03-28
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5733	1.5232	-3.18%	2.5454	+61.79%	0.3203	✗	1.04	69k	2022-03-28
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01217	0.01178	-3.21%	0.01375	+12.98%	0.0056	✓	0.80	14k	2022-03-28
ZEN	Horizen	Base	33.26	32.1753	-3.26%	47.68	+43.36%	0.1093	✗	1.53	281k	2022-03-28
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08727	0.084408	-3.28%	0.11222	+28.59%	0.0735	✗	1.13	46k	2022-03-28
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3486	0.337156	-3.28%	0.4334	+24.33%	0.0230	✓	1.47	8.3M	2022-03-28
XVG	Verge	native	0.00985	0.009526	-3.29%	0.01205	+22.34%	0.0094	✓	1.31	1.2M	2022-03-28
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04782	0.046226	-3.33%	0.05633	+17.80%	0.0428	✓	1.29	703k	2022-03-28
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.874	2.7775	-3.36%	4.028	+40.15%	0.1922	✗	0.96	477k	2022-03-28
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.127595	0.123279	-3.38%	0.142307	+11.53%	0.0458	✓	1.02	3.7M	2022-03-28
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.05	1.9801	-3.41%	2.59	+26.34%	0.0364	✗	1.25	343k	2022-03-28
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.38	5.1966	-3.41%	8.52	+58.36%	0.3308	✗	0.88	398k	2022-03-28
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8873	0.856599	-3.46%	1.1694	+31.79%	0.0927	✗	1.17	96.0M	2022-03-28
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007538	0.000072768	-3.47%	0.00009365	+24.24%	0.0293	✓	1.20	4.5M	2022-03-28
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.305	2.2251	-3.47%	6.28	+172.45%	0.8049	✗	1.25	687k	2022-03-28
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.69949	0.675196	-3.47%	0.87181	+24.64%	0.0250	✓	1.51	216k	2022-03-28
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	124.78	120.3852	-3.52%	168.16	+34.77%	0.1099	✗	1.21	930k	2022-03-28
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.679	0.654988	-3.54%	0.763	+12.37%	0.0690	✓	1.19	2.2M	2022-03-28
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.7	5.4955	-3.59%	6.42	+12.63%	0.0019	✓	0.85	425k	2022-03-28
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.7102	2.6127	-3.60%	4.2216	+55.77%	0.2929	✗	1.00	2.2M	2022-03-28
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.708	18.9916	-3.63%	19.506	-1.02%	0.1755	✓	1.09	9.5M	2022-03-28
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.27	6.0414	-3.65%	7	+11.64%	0.0607	✗	0.47	1.1M	2022-03-28
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.5	1.4453	-3.65%	2.68	+78.67%	0.4135	✗	1.10	3.4M	2022-03-28
XMR	Monero	Monero	157.91	152.1399	-3.65%	214.66	+35.94%	0.1579	✗	1.00	960k	2022-03-28
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.009	4.8256	-3.66%	6.365	+27.07%	0.1202	✗	0.84	65k	2022-03-28
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7384	2.6375	-3.68%	4.1594	+51.89%	0.2767	✗	0.96	2.9M	2022-03-28
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.67	1.6085	-3.69%	2.2	+31.74%	0.0606	✗	1.36	2.0M	2022-03-28
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.4106	6.1713	-3.73%	6.7648	+5.53%	0.0545	✓	0.79	2.9M	2022-03-28
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.02263	0.021784	-3.74%	0.039005	+72.36%	0.3854	✗	1.06	114k	2022-03-28
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.245	6.0066	-3.82%	7.142	+14.36%	0.0976	✓	1.45	28k	2022-03-28
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01784	0.017156	-3.83%	0.03419	+91.65%	0.3810	✗	1.66	12.7M	2022-03-28
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.29	0.278857	-3.84%	0.581	+100.34%	0.4687	✗	1.43	2.0M	2022-03-28
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.581	2.481	-3.87%	3.061	+18.60%	0.0514	✓	1.40	579k	2022-03-28
DASH	Dash	Dash	93.68	90.0411	-3.88%	127.73	+36.35%	0.1321	✗	1.17	1.5M	2022-03-28
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0674	0.064775	-3.89%	0.08807	+30.67%	0.1043	✗	1.09	13k	2022-03-28
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	14.72	14.1358	-3.97%	16.51	+12.16%	0.0784	✓	1.26	56.1M	2022-03-28
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.98	8.6213	-3.99%	10.74	+19.60%	0.0228	✓	1.30	3.2M	2022-03-28
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	64.8155	62.2239	-4.00%	66.3939	+2.44%	0.2209	✓	1.54	223k	2022-03-28
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15626	0.149973	-4.02%	0.16823	+7.66%	0.1378	✓	1.36	28k	2022-03-28
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.1323	5.8854	-4.03%	8.1779	+33.36%	0.0583	✗	1.45	184k	2022-03-28
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	136.67	130.9861	-4.16%	167.77	+22.76%	0.0278	✓	1.48	6.4M	2022-03-28
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8598	0.82395	-4.17%	0.9075	+5.55%	0.1340	✓	1.24	22.5M	2022-03-28
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.25	3.113	-4.21%	3.81	+17.23%	0.0435	✓	1.32	7.0M	2022-03-28
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.192899	0.184607	-4.30%	0.229783	+19.12%	0.0059	✓	1.14	19.8M	2022-03-28
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.276	1.2208	-4.33%	1.596	+25.08%	0.0121	✓	1.37	1.9M	2022-03-28
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		84.76	81.0831	-4.34%	95.28	+12.41%	0.0043	✓	0.89	915k	2022-03-28
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.808	1.7289	-4.37%	1.98	+9.51%	0.0412	✓	0.95	76k	2022-03-28
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.148	1.0977	-4.38%	1.358	+18.29%	0.0352	✓	1.33	2.8M	2022-03-28
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.04	17.2368	-4.45%	21.97	+21.78%	0.0096	✓	1.36	26.4M	2022-03-28
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.226	0.215854	-4.49%	0.2732	+20.88%	0.0431	✓	1.03	1.9M	2022-03-28
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.35	2.2433	-4.54%	2.76	+17.45%	0.0211	✓	1.00	584k	2022-03-28
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.06	18.1939	-4.54%	25.29	+32.69%	0.0872	✗	1.30	8.6M	2022-03-28
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02842	0.027122	-4.57%	0.02704	-4.86%	0.1505	✓	0.79	4.3M	2022-03-28
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1212	0.115659	-4.57%	0.1721	+42.00%	0.1461	✗	1.35	2.9M	2022-03-28
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	315.57	300.9135	-4.64%	368.1	+16.65%	0.0116	✓	1.02	7.2M	2022-03-28
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.8651	1.7783	-4.65%	2.4853	+33.25%	0.0997	✗	1.26	185k	2022-03-28
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.524	1.452	-4.73%	1.935	+26.97%	0.0580	✗	1.23	1.8M	2022-03-28
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	43.29	41.2353	-4.75%	51.74	+19.52%	0.0131	✓	1.15	20.8M	2022-03-28
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.2359	2.1298	-4.75%	2.734	+22.28%	0.0868	✗	0.88	26k	2022-03-28
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.47	4.2575	-4.75%	5.05	+12.98%	0.0171	✓	1.01	651k	2022-03-28
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.895	0.852069	-4.80%	1.004	+12.18%	0.0991	✓	1.41	2.1M	2022-03-28
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0854	0.081288	-4.82%	0.121	+41.69%	0.1024	✗	1.59	647k	2022-03-28
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.874	3.6866	-4.84%	5.361	+38.38%	0.1245	✗	1.34	2.3M	2022-03-28
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.441	1.3707	-4.88%	1.71	+18.67%	0.0661	✓	1.54	928k	2022-03-28
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.99036	0.941803	-4.90%	1.2969	+30.96%	0.0502	✓	1.45	165k	2022-03-28
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	50.44	47.9611	-4.91%	66.44	+31.72%	0.0740	✗	1.35	6.8M	2022-03-28
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06611	0.06286	-4.92%	0.08479	+28.26%	0.0576	✗	1.30	69k	2022-03-28
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	24.45	23.2445	-4.93%	28.79	+17.75%	0.0703	✓	1.53	1.7M	2022-03-28
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.06	8.5996	-5.08%	10.91	+20.42%	0.0141	✓	1.35	10.8M	2022-03-28
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.08	1.025	-5.09%	1.05	-2.78%	0.0207	✓	0.02	286k	2022-03-28
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.528	6.1933	-5.13%	5.55	-14.98%	0.1787	✓	0.37	2.1M	2022-03-28
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.7	0.663905	-5.16%	0.75	+7.14%	0.2361	✓	1.92	995k	2022-03-28
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.544581	0.516091	-5.23%	0.697186	+28.02%	0.0726	✗	1.23	2.9M	2022-03-28
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.934	4.675	-5.25%	7.75	+57.07%	0.3191	✗	1.00	1.9M	2022-03-28
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.6	3.4092	-5.30%	4.31	+19.72%	0.0178	✓	1.36	1.9M	2022-03-28
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	17.73	16.7758	-5.38%	21.79	+22.90%	0.0413	✓	1.18	22.1M	2022-03-28
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.4172	3.2305	-5.46%	3.7138	+8.68%	0.1168	✓	1.38	2.1M	2022-03-28
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.7	13.8947	-5.48%	13.55	-7.82%	0.1613	✓	0.73	1.9M	2022-03-28
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.139	1.0766	-5.48%	1.751	+53.73%	0.2535	✗	1.25	1.1M	2022-03-28
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9533	0.900927	-5.49%	1.16	+21.68%	0.0112	✓	1.30	1.9M	2022-03-28
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	6.0612	5.7269	-5.52%	6.1415	+1.32%	0.0014	✓	0.38	433k	2022-03-28
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.3	2.1723	-5.55%	2.72	+18.26%	0.0343	✓	1.02	263k	2022-03-28
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2767	0.261277	-5.57%	0.3353	+21.18%	0.0222	✓	1.46	413k	2022-03-28
SOL	Solana	Solana	90.32	85.2413	-5.62%	105.84	+17.18%	0.0252	✓	1.30	131.2M	2022-03-28
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8532	1.7488	-5.64%	3.61	+94.80%	0.5939	✗	0.70	2.6M	2022-03-28
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.91	12.1716	-5.72%	15.64	+21.15%	0.0540	✓	1.06	340k	2022-03-28
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.46	4.2034	-5.75%	5.34	+19.73%	0.0648	✓	1.63	432k	2022-03-28
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002435	0.000022941	-5.79%	0.00002648	+8.75%	0.1083	✓	1.35	3.8M	2022-03-28
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.437	1.3527	-5.87%	1.725	+20.04%	0.0142	✓	1.23	940k	2022-03-28
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2129	0.200195	-5.97%	0.258	+21.18%	0.0351	✓	1.55	3.0M	2022-03-28
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.0234	3.7827	-5.98%	5.3424	+32.78%	0.1161	✗	1.23	284k	2022-03-28
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.794	0.746141	-6.03%	0.9441	+18.90%	0.1284	✗	0.57	1.4M	2022-03-28
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.56	2.4052	-6.05%	2.29	-10.55%	0.2352	✓	1.00	518k	2022-03-28
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01194	0.011214	-6.08%	0.014818	+24.10%	0.0700	✗	1.12	33k	2022-03-28
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7459	0.700265	-6.12%	0.8484	+13.74%	0.0202	✓	1.14	9.4M	2022-03-28
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.438	0.411158	-6.13%	0.484	+10.50%	0.0943	✓	1.38	4.2M	2022-03-28
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01882	0.017663	-6.15%	0.02025	+7.60%	0.0681	✓	1.10	2.2M	2022-03-28
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00431	0.004043	-6.19%	0.00426	-1.16%	0.2913	✓	1.85	12.0M	2022-03-28
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1751	0.16426	-6.19%	0.2589	+47.86%	0.1856	✗	1.45	2.7M	2022-03-28
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.33	8.7502	-6.21%	14.47	+55.09%	0.3737	✗	0.69	853k	2022-03-28
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03453	0.032376	-6.24%	0.04219	+22.18%	0.1021	✗	0.87	1.4M	2022-03-28
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4281	0.401294	-6.26%	0.5048	+17.92%	0.1635	✓	2.11	2.1M	2022-03-28
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5505	0.515925	-6.28%	0.5753	+4.50%	0.0715	✓	0.97	684k	2022-03-28
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	20,876.08	19,557.34	-6.32%	22,270.34	+6.68%	0.0580	✓	1.01	5.7M	2022-03-28
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4599	0.430407	-6.41%	0.716	+55.69%	0.2372	✗	1.46	559k	2022-03-28
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0274	0.025633	-6.45%	0.03317	+21.06%	0.0186	✓	1.48	479k	2022-03-28
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3507	0.328041	-6.46%	0.3815	+8.78%	0.1742	✓	1.75	15.2M	2022-03-28
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.391	5.0367	-6.57%	5.572	+3.36%	0.0898	✓	1.02	202k	2022-03-28
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1506	0.140695	-6.58%	0.1695	+12.55%	0.0152	✓	1.08	420k	2022-03-28
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7651	0.714444	-6.62%	1.1283	+47.47%	0.1680	✗	1.55	295k	2022-03-28
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.394	2.2325	-6.75%	2.585	+7.98%	0.1435	✓	1.56	13.2M	2022-03-28
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0712	0.066242	-6.96%	0.0805	+13.06%	0.1623	✓	1.92	76.7M	2022-03-28
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	81.79	76.0849	-6.98%	89.58	+9.52%	0.1251	✓	1.55	110.8M	2022-03-28
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6813	2.491	-7.10%	2.6767	-0.17%	0.1682	✓	1.29	3.1M	2022-03-28
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.18	28.0373	-7.10%	30.82	+2.12%	0.0994	✓	1.04	1.6M	2022-03-28
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.6235	1.5081	-7.11%	1.507	-7.18%	0.2687	✓	1.44	251k	2022-03-28
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	78.15	72.5419	-7.18%	97.24	+24.43%	0.0349	✓	1.39	4.5M	2022-03-28
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.073	0.067712	-7.24%	0.0794	+8.77%	0.1061	✓	1.43	1.0M	2022-03-28
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.2	19.6484	-7.32%	22.99	+8.44%	0.1465	✓	1.63	325k	2022-03-28
STX	Stacks	native	1.19	1.1024	-7.36%	1.41	+18.49%	0.0038	✓	1.30	646k	2022-03-28
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3655	0.338523	-7.38%	0.4031	+10.29%	0.1069	✓	1.51	1.3M	2022-03-28
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.86	1.7194	-7.56%	1.64	-11.83%	0.3511	✓	1.63	539k	2022-03-28
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.048351	0.044688	-7.58%	0.043	-11.07%	0.2620	✓	1.20	8.1M	2022-03-28
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2108	1.1138	-8.02%	1.2726	+5.10%	0.1387	✓	1.46	2.6M	2022-03-28
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.27	5.7585	-8.16%	7.37	+17.54%	0.0310	✓	1.49	1.2M	2022-03-28
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.24	1.1387	-8.17%	1.39	+12.10%	0.0386	✓	1.28	885k	2022-03-28
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	6.98e-7	6.40e-7	-8.38%	0.000001135	+62.57%	0.3873	✗	1.00	1.3M	2022-03-28
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.141	0.128917	-8.57%	0.125	-11.35%	0.2085	✓	0.95	47k	2022-03-28
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.89	27.255	-8.82%	29.36	-1.77%	0.1371	✓	1.14	52.8M	2022-03-28

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.