8=======>

2022-02-14 · +30d

lstm_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3772
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+19.78%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
75.3%
in alpha space · 80.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.34%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0644840.063824-1.02%0.061066-5.30%0.0142✓0.88327k2022-03-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,156.2041,479.61-1.60%41,103.10-2.50%0.0240✗0.9851k2022-03-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08190.08041-1.82%0.0705-13.92%0.0899✓1.23195k2022-03-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.04370.042791-2.08%0.04049-7.35%0.0150✓1.1930k2022-03-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,548.7141,639.53-2.14%41,127.97-3.34%0.0216✓1.00642.7M2022-03-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6314.5258-2.27%4.679+1.04%0.0619✗0.84379k2022-03-16
BTTCBTTC0.000002130.000002081-2.28%0.00000185-13.15%0.0839✓1.0014.3M2022-03-16
ETHEthereumEthereum2,931.012,859.85-2.43%2,774.89-5.33%0.0079✓1.12572.6M2022-03-16
DASHDashDash103.84101.2447-2.50%98.4-5.24%0.0094✓1.122.0M2022-03-16
XYMSymbolnative0.17480.170423-2.50%0.1357-22.37%0.2035✓0.72388k2022-03-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1458210.14183-2.74%0.116967-19.79%0.1580✓1.026.7M2022-03-16
QNTQuantEthereum121.35117.9198-2.83%117.28-3.35%0.0289✗1.017.8M2022-03-16
XVSVenusEthereum9.589.2991-2.93%8.55-10.75%0.0382✓1.352.9M2022-03-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07080.06872-2.94%0.0732+3.39%0.1010✗1.1119k2022-03-16
NANOnanopayBase2.14322.0799-2.95%2.3037+7.49%0.1446✗1.25436k2022-03-16
CBKCobakEthereum2.3412.2713-2.98%2.135-8.80%0.0244✓1.1021k2022-03-16
GTGateEthereum6.65576.4541-3.03%6.5078-2.22%0.0382✗0.883.9M2022-03-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.4230.4644-3.04%27.36-12.92%0.0718✓1.055.1M2022-03-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.54810.531387-3.05%0.7347+34.04%0.3701✗1.362.4M2022-03-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin124.62120.7851-3.08%111.35-10.65%0.0387✓1.2634.8M2022-03-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.094360.091446-3.09%0.09466+0.32%0.0736✗1.1551k2022-03-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7932.7063-3.11%6.401+129.18%0.9069✗1.361.1M2022-03-16
LUNATerraTerra 253.9452.2543-3.13%89.17+65.31%0.5831✗1.436.9M2022-03-16
ADACardanoCardano1.051.0167-3.17%0.8393-20.07%0.1535✓1.13115.7M2022-03-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV93.7690.7471-3.21%78.23-16.56%0.1177✓0.901.2M2022-03-16
ZENHorizenBase41.2739.9394-3.22%38.67-6.30%0.0208✓1.56400k2022-03-16
XEMNEMnative0.10940.105862-3.23%0.099-9.51%0.0312✓1.0639k2022-03-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2253.1199-3.26%3.572+10.76%0.1632✗0.82218k2022-03-16
SCSiacoinnative0.010330.009992-3.28%0.00895-13.36%0.0751✓1.03483k2022-03-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.90010.870514-3.29%0.7371-18.11%0.1286✓1.1126.7M2022-03-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012190.011788-3.29%0.01117-8.37%0.0011✓1.551.7M2022-03-16
COMPCompoundEthereum123.15119.0911-3.30%110-10.68%0.0353✓1.3059k2022-03-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.052260.050535-3.30%0.04945-5.38%0.0260✓1.401.2M2022-03-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2850.275541-3.32%0.228-20.00%0.1571✓0.9577k2022-03-16
ZECZcashZcash120.62116.6139-3.32%154.1+27.76%0.3201✗1.227.2M2022-03-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.0416.4688-3.35%14.44-15.26%0.0721✓1.753.7M2022-03-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.226.977-3.37%6.02-16.62%0.1376✓0.291.2M2022-03-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.915.3601-3.40%14.68-7.67%0.0046✓1.2070.2M2022-03-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.475.284-3.40%6.66+21.76%0.2583✗0.79404k2022-03-16
QTUMQtumQtum6.58036.3553-3.42%6.0075-8.71%0.0072✓1.45130k2022-03-16
GITCOINGITCOIN7.1286.8826-3.44%5.736-19.53%0.1723✓0.2938k2022-03-16
KCSKuCoinnative19.60718.9297-3.45%18.299-6.67%0.0110✓1.3210.2M2022-03-16
XMRMoneroMonero176.38170.2734-3.46%189.66+7.53%0.1426✗1.021.2M2022-03-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013660.013186-3.47%0.01185-13.25%0.0807✓0.7713k2022-03-16
XECeCashnative0.000081780.000078939-3.47%0.00008028-1.83%0.0555✗1.145.1M2022-03-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.75561.693-3.57%2.0762+18.26%0.2426✗1.1467k2022-03-16
XVGVergenative0.011320.010915-3.58%0.009-20.49%0.1453✓1.401.2M2022-03-16
AAVEAaveEthereum161.11155.2756-3.62%141.71-12.04%0.0435✓1.418.1M2022-03-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15730.151592-3.63%0.128-18.63%0.1231✓1.363.2M2022-03-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.807090.777292-3.69%0.82098+1.72%0.1061✗1.51299k2022-03-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.40390.388939-3.70%0.455+12.65%0.2019✗1.338.7M2022-03-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.562.4649-3.72%2.32-9.38%0.0257✓1.03406k2022-03-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7590.730266-3.79%0.635-16.34%0.1027✓1.091.6M2022-03-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.54013.4056-3.80%4.461+26.01%0.3066✗1.082.5M2022-03-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.0175.7874-3.82%5.005-16.82%0.1159✓0.8772k2022-03-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.717.9777-3.86%19.04+1.82%0.1037✗1.3634.9M2022-03-16
STORJStorjEthereum1.13011.0854-3.95%1.053-6.82%0.0047✓1.03211k2022-03-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.029450.028281-3.97%0.02522-14.36%0.0858✓0.856.2M2022-03-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.09830.094398-3.97%0.0882-10.27%0.0157✓1.541.1M2022-03-16
MINAMina Protocolnative2.682.5735-3.98%1.86-30.60%0.2809✓1.29390k2022-03-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.414.7853-3.99%13.23-14.09%0.0756✓1.05483k2022-03-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.28860.277073-3.99%0.2713-5.99%0.0173✓1.13538k2022-03-16
BANDBandEthereum4.214.0404-4.03%3.642-13.49%0.0617✓1.241.9M2022-03-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.941.8618-4.03%1.81-6.70%0.0163✓1.312.2M2022-03-16
XLMStellarStellar0.2107090.202068-4.10%0.18936-10.13%0.0301✓1.0321.9M2022-03-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.333.1934-4.10%3.975+19.37%0.2482✗0.86502k2022-03-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.766.4777-4.18%6.49-3.99%0.0324✓0.90426k2022-03-16
KSMKusamaHydration167.33160.3417-4.18%130.7-21.89%0.1637✓1.20930k2022-03-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3640.348442-4.27%0.447+22.80%0.2946✗1.342.3M2022-03-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2680.256207-4.40%0.2435-9.14%0.0149✓1.061.6M2022-03-16
DIADIAEthereum0.940.898614-4.40%0.92-2.13%0.0575✗1.00271k2022-03-16
ORCAOrcaSolana3.092.9512-4.49%2.1-32.04%0.3063✓1.00914k2022-03-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.4425.2453-4.52%24.32-8.02%0.0152✓1.552.0M2022-03-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.476.1738-4.58%8.59+32.77%0.3587✗0.84463k2022-03-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.7519.7998-4.58%17.42-16.05%0.0869✓1.2110.5M2022-03-16
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2591.2013-4.58%1.181-6.20%0.0249✓1.233.2M2022-03-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.074950.071452-4.67%0.07308-2.49%0.0478✗0.7484k2022-03-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash330.66315.1616-4.69%299.84-9.32%0.0159✓1.008.9M2022-03-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum20.7419.7439-4.80%16.49-20.49%0.1406✓1.1624.7M2022-03-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.56440.537077-4.84%0.5055-10.44%0.0248✓1.051.0M2022-03-16
UNIUniswapEthereum10.6210.0985-4.91%9.09-14.41%0.0599✓1.3312.5M2022-03-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum56.8254.0186-4.93%50.45-11.21%0.0260✓1.258.8M2022-03-16
RADRadworksEthereum5.395.1242-4.93%4.47-17.07%0.0997✓1.09682k2022-03-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.61554.3876-4.94%4.1763-9.52%0.0078✓1.22349k2022-03-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1140.108363-4.94%0.105-7.89%0.0024✓1.0071k2022-03-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9090.863654-4.99%0.819-9.90%0.0067✓1.362.4M2022-03-16
AVTAventusEthereum2.842.6971-5.03%2.28-19.72%0.1340✓1.00693k2022-03-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5939720.563971-5.05%0.511443-13.89%0.0585✓1.163.5M2022-03-16
SOLSolanaSolana96.4391.5032-5.11%87.82-8.93%0.0020✓1.27179.7M2022-03-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.005660.00537-5.13%0.00348-38.52%0.3652✓2.0218.8M2022-03-16
IMXImmutableEthereum2.292.1724-5.14%1.646-28.12%0.2444✓0.973.2M2022-03-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7531.6603-5.29%1.428-18.54%0.1059✓1.321.1M2022-03-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.71.61-5.29%1.51-11.18%0.0212✓1.261.3M2022-03-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.1625.7126-5.33%28.97+6.66%0.1573✗1.1271.8M2022-03-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.17190.162727-5.34%0.1473-14.31%0.0443✓1.6334k2022-03-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.27420.259547-5.34%0.2051-25.20%0.1823✓1.574.2M2022-03-16
MOVRMoonriverBase83.6879.1602-5.40%51.8123-38.08%0.3741✓1.47315k2022-03-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.92830.877897-5.43%0.7151-22.97%0.1529✓1.54588k2022-03-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.9216.9428-5.45%13.13-26.73%0.2307✓0.721.1M2022-03-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0461330.043604-5.48%0.040705-11.77%0.0272✓1.226.5M2022-03-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.20460.193292-5.53%0.2037-0.44%0.1007✗1.423.7M2022-03-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.83995.5169-5.53%6.0499+3.60%0.1036✗0.33430k2022-03-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.4026.9884-5.59%4.733-36.06%0.3558✓1.00407k2022-03-16
FTTFTXEthereum44.8542.3223-5.64%42.72-4.75%0.0492✓1.1731.2M2022-03-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.611.5189-5.66%1.529-5.03%0.0464✓1.171.9M2022-03-16
UOSUltraEthereum1.0390.979874-5.69%1.174+12.99%0.2214✗1.202.3M2022-03-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,089.9021,750.77-5.80%19,215.35-16.78%0.0919✓0.947.6M2022-03-16
API3Api3Ethereum4.354.0949-5.86%4.743+9.03%0.1578✗0.322.0M2022-03-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000029580.000027834-5.90%0.00002273-23.16%0.1546✓1.412.3M2022-03-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08680.081641-5.94%0.0703-19.01%0.1028✓1.38674k2022-03-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.584.3037-6.03%4.216-7.95%0.0212✓1.232.6M2022-03-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.95523.711-6.17%4.0815+3.19%0.1282✗0.972.3M2022-03-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.92241.8025-6.24%3.0607+59.21%0.5495✗0.592.8M2022-03-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0166210.015584-6.24%0.011683-29.71%0.2486✓1.16535k2022-03-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.219.8663-6.29%19.73-6.93%0.0451✓1.53375k2022-03-16
SUSHISushiEthereum4.073.8132-6.31%3.12-23.34%0.1535✓1.398.0M2022-03-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.029760.027882-6.31%0.02106-29.23%0.2416✓1.1510.0M2022-03-16
STXStacksnative1.471.3764-6.37%1.28-12.93%0.0387✓1.001.0M2022-03-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.665.2971-6.41%4.14-26.86%0.2103✓1.06590k2022-03-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.4926.6414-6.49%28.13-1.26%0.0869✗0.961.2M2022-03-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.44780.418669-6.51%0.3185-28.87%0.2225✓1.502.0M2022-03-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.84590.790624-6.53%0.7237-14.45%0.0504✓1.1212.4M2022-03-16
XTZTezosTezos3.94733.6878-6.58%3.1013-21.43%0.1290✓1.302.4M2022-03-16
HIVEHivenative1.04520.975671-6.65%0.8746-16.32%0.0532✓1.651.9M2022-03-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.63760.595067-6.67%0.4194-34.22%0.2976✓1.54718k2022-03-16
UMAUMAEthereum65.5986-6.69%7.808+30.13%0.3679✗1.041.9M2022-03-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.43990.410345-6.72%0.3368-23.44%0.1369✓1.7926.1M2022-03-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.912.7138-6.74%2.091-28.14%0.2119✓1.4418.3M2022-03-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.6664.3504-6.76%2.572-44.88%0.4943✓0.92709k2022-03-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.940.875863-6.82%0.62-34.04%0.2788✓1.961.0M2022-03-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06880.064093-6.84%0.0619-10.03%0.0255✓1.7864.3M2022-03-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.48063.241-6.88%2.1072-39.46%0.4009✓0.8730k2022-03-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche81.8476.0292-7.10%74.12-9.43%0.0231✓1.4398.9M2022-03-16
CELLCellframeEthereum1.25121.1611-7.20%1.413+12.93%0.2497✗1.57123k2022-03-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.043610.040425-7.30%0.03622-16.95%0.0853✓0.722.6M2022-03-16
FIDABonfidaSolana2.3552.1801-7.43%1.611-31.59%0.2685✓1.0084k2022-03-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0286570.026522-7.45%0.017177-40.06%0.3899✓1.31102k2022-03-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.811.6748-7.47%1.322-26.96%0.1896✓1.382.9M2022-03-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.121.0361-7.49%1.186+5.89%0.1819✗1.38694k2022-03-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.4210.5546-7.58%11.83+3.59%0.1384✗0.71706k2022-03-16
DODODODOEthereum0.5020.462528-7.86%0.399-20.52%0.0990✓1.444.5M2022-03-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.841.695-7.88%1.08-41.30%0.4107✓1.181.4M2022-03-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0212380.019504-8.16%0.01695-20.19%0.0988✓1.222.5M2022-03-16
MANADecentralandEthereum2.84382.6089-8.26%2.4922-12.36%0.0104✓1.042.8M2022-03-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.2261.1226-8.43%0.7108-42.02%0.4272✓0.881.6M2022-03-16
PROPropyEthereum2.232.0366-8.67%1.46-34.53%0.2652✓1.99923k2022-03-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.176.5314-8.91%5.8-19.11%0.1082✓0.311.7M2022-03-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16260.148106-8.91%0.1519-6.58%0.0605✓1.04470k2022-03-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.5450.494061-9.35%0.3835-29.63%0.1884✓1.911.8M2022-03-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03380.03055-9.62%0.02474-26.80%0.1602✓1.49490k2022-03-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.