2022-02-08 · +30d

lstm_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2835

148 of 148 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+24.94%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

81.1%

in alpha space · 92.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-10.55%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.068059	0.06797	-0.13%	0.059896	-11.99%	0.0266	✓	0.90	362k	2022-03-10
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,914.50	42,820.25	-0.22%	39,505.90	-7.94%	0.0268	✗	0.96	41k	2022-03-10
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.578	4.542	-0.79%	4.112	-10.18%	0.0070	✓	0.83	346k	2022-03-10
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0919	0.091113	-0.86%	0.068	-26.01%	0.1554	✓	1.23	244k	2022-03-10
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3589	2.3349	-1.02%	1.6882	-28.43%	0.1923	✓	1.18	845k	2022-03-10
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04533	0.044779	-1.21%	0.03918	-13.57%	0.0094	✓	1.11	30k	2022-03-10
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.72	9.6016	-1.22%	8.5	-12.55%	0.0221	✗	1.29	2.5M	2022-03-10
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1335	0.131752	-1.31%	0.1198	-10.26%	0.0577	✗	1.37	3.2M	2022-03-10
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.283	0.279128	-1.37%	0.23	-18.73%	0.0872	✓	0.95	76k	2022-03-10
XMR	Monero	Monero	179	176.5272	-1.38%	178.98	-0.01%	0.1294	✗	1.04	1.6M	2022-03-10
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	44,085.59	43,444.68	-1.45%	39,433.71	-10.55%	0.0146	✓	1.00	682.8M	2022-03-10
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1858	0.183007	-1.50%	0.1369	-26.32%	0.2108	✓	0.71	423k	2022-03-10
DASH	Dash	Dash	112.75	110.9135	-1.63%	104.65	-7.18%	0.0683	✗	1.13	2.3M	2022-03-10
XEM	NEM	native	0.1163	0.114359	-1.67%	0.0965	-17.02%	0.0535	✓	1.04	35k	2022-03-10
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000225	0.000002212	-1.67%	0.00000181	-19.56%	0.0892	✓	1.00	15.3M	2022-03-10
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.561	2.518	-1.68%	2.141	-16.40%	0.0447	✓	1.05	22k	2022-03-10
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,119.57	3,066.63	-1.70%	2,608.22	-16.39%	0.0385	✓	1.11	557.7M	2022-03-10
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.261	3.203	-1.78%	2.591	-20.55%	0.1221	✓	0.81	206k	2022-03-10
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.0785	6.9514	-1.80%	6.006	-15.15%	0.0149	✓	1.44	179k	2022-03-10
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	20.1	19.7362	-1.81%	14	-30.35%	0.1518	✓	1.72	3.8M	2022-03-10
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.8682	1.8343	-1.82%	2.1814	+16.76%	0.2953	✗	1.09	78k	2022-03-10
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.1583	0.155376	-1.85%	0.116797	-26.22%	0.1709	✓	1.03	7.1M	2022-03-10
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.78	2.7278	-1.88%	2.2	-20.86%	0.1019	✓	1.02	504k	2022-03-10
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0786	0.077053	-1.97%	0.0702	-10.69%	0.0280	✗	1.09	21k	2022-03-10
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6264	0.613628	-2.04%	0.6973	+11.32%	0.2747	✗	1.32	2.7M	2022-03-10
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.63	5.5147	-2.05%	5.2	-7.64%	0.0278	✗	0.78	377k	2022-03-10
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.847	2.7882	-2.06%	3.236	+13.66%	0.2981	✗	1.34	1.1M	2022-03-10
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.83	6.6887	-2.07%	6.06	-11.27%	0.0011	✓	0.88	416k	2022-03-10
XVG	Verge	native	0.01184	0.011584	-2.16%	0.00985	-16.81%	0.0109	✓	1.36	1.3M	2022-03-10
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.0239	1.0012	-2.22%	0.7308	-28.63%	0.1924	✓	1.10	29.4M	2022-03-10
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.29	7.1284	-2.22%	6.04	-17.15%	0.1299	✓	0.32	1.1M	2022-03-10
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01176	0.011494	-2.26%	0.00902	-23.30%	0.1304	✓	1.00	588k	2022-03-10
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	133.12	130.0895	-2.28%	157.3	+18.16%	0.3317	✗	1.27	6.6M	2022-03-10
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	57.22	55.8934	-2.32%	101.21	+76.88%	0.7505	✗	1.41	8.8M	2022-03-10
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.692	6.5363	-2.33%	4.672	-30.19%	0.2352	✓	0.90	81k	2022-03-10
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	184.15	179.844	-2.34%	119.26	-35.24%	0.2554	✓	1.39	9.8M	2022-03-10
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4741	0.462947	-2.35%	0.3255	-31.34%	0.2058	✓	1.31	9.3M	2022-03-10
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.78	2.7146	-2.35%	1.512	-45.61%	0.4823	✓	0.92	2.6M	2022-03-10
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.19	2.1383	-2.36%	1.67	-23.74%	0.1027	✓	1.30	2.2M	2022-03-10
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10219	0.099765	-2.37%	0.08882	-13.08%	0.0013	✓	1.05	49k	2022-03-10
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009444	0.000092168	-2.41%	0.00008054	-14.72%	0.0076	✓	1.14	5.5M	2022-03-10
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	18.4	17.9571	-2.41%	13.18	-28.37%	0.1767	✓	1.19	76.9M	2022-03-10
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01536	0.014988	-2.42%	0.01209	-21.29%	0.0482	✓	1.49	1.7M	2022-03-10
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.92382	0.901382	-2.43%	0.68631	-25.71%	0.1078	✓	1.48	311k	2022-03-10
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01315	0.012829	-2.44%	0.01203	-8.52%	0.0243	✓	0.79	12k	2022-03-10
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3	2.9254	-2.49%	1.79	-40.33%	0.3481	✓	1.28	407k	2022-03-10
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.809	0.788833	-2.49%	0.618	-23.61%	0.1226	✓	1.09	1.7M	2022-03-10
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.95	6.7764	-2.50%	7.54	+8.49%	0.1966	✗	0.81	463k	2022-03-10
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.5159	3.4275	-2.51%	2.8775	-18.16%	0.0532	✓	1.09	2.5M	2022-03-10
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	32.06	31.2478	-2.53%	26.7	-16.72%	0.0396	✓	1.06	4.0M	2022-03-10
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	147.97	144.1801	-2.56%	103.46	-30.08%	0.1895	✓	1.28	65k	2022-03-10
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.371	0.361058	-2.68%	0.266	-28.30%	0.1549	✓	1.35	1.8M	2022-03-10
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05908	0.057488	-2.69%	0.0474	-19.77%	0.0334	✓	1.43	1.3M	2022-03-10
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.06	1.0309	-2.75%	0.91	-14.15%	0.0132	✓	1.00	287k	2022-03-10
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		8.653	8.4146	-2.76%	5.737	-33.70%	0.3474	✓	0.32	38k	2022-03-10
ZEN	Horizen	Base	47.62	46.2841	-2.81%	42.28	-11.21%	0.0815	✗	1.54	504k	2022-03-10
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.0314	0.030496	-2.88%	0.02578	-17.90%	0.0685	✓	0.89	7.0M	2022-03-10
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		101.44	98.5133	-2.89%	78.54	-22.57%	0.1259	✓	0.90	1.5M	2022-03-10
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	21.68	21.054	-2.89%	16.97	-21.73%	0.0652	✓	1.35	39.2M	2022-03-10
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.344	1.3048	-2.91%	1.0319	-23.22%	0.1199	✓	1.03	292k	2022-03-10
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	192.41	186.7806	-2.93%	126.53	-34.24%	0.2549	✓	1.21	1.0M	2022-03-10
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	30.82	29.9003	-2.98%	24.22	-21.41%	0.0444	✓	1.49	2.0M	2022-03-10
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1243	0.120558	-3.01%	0.0821	-33.95%	0.2106	✓	1.56	1.5M	2022-03-10
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.045	1.0134	-3.03%	0.827	-20.86%	0.0508	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-03-10
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.242394	0.234959	-3.07%	0.178633	-26.30%	0.1597	✓	1.03	24.9M	2022-03-10
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1764	1.1402	-3.08%	0.807	-31.40%	0.2220	✓	1.11	113.2M	2022-03-10
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.96	3.8331	-3.21%	3.473	-12.30%	0.0418	✗	1.26	1.9M	2022-03-10
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	25,530.13	24,707.31	-3.22%	19,059.42	-25.35%	0.1544	✓	0.94	11.8M	2022-03-10
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	133.82	129.5008	-3.23%	102.58	-23.34%	0.0882	✓	1.30	32.4M	2022-03-10
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5993	0.579561	-3.29%	0.5014	-16.34%	0.0256	✓	1.07	1.3M	2022-03-10
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.016889	0.016331	-3.31%	0.011453	-32.19%	0.2237	✓	1.18	2.0M	2022-03-10
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.123	0.1189	-3.33%	0.107	-13.01%	0.0061	✓	1.00	81k	2022-03-10
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.237	19.5577	-3.36%	18.083	-10.64%	0.0711	✗	1.34	10.5M	2022-03-10
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.86	1.7972	-3.38%	1.374	-26.13%	0.1292	✓	1.25	1.6M	2022-03-10
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.641	3.5177	-3.39%	2.69	-26.12%	0.1711	✓	0.87	536k	2022-03-10
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	24.6	23.762	-3.41%	17.9	-27.24%	0.1503	✓	1.19	10.5M	2022-03-10
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	66.79	64.4983	-3.43%	46.78	-29.96%	0.1854	✓	1.22	8.1M	2022-03-10
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.04912	0.047433	-3.43%	0.040695	-17.15%	0.0222	✓	1.17	8.8M	2022-03-10
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	147.49	142.3846	-3.46%	116.66	-20.90%	0.0877	✓	1.00	7.8M	2022-03-10
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	16.15	15.5876	-3.48%	12.75	-21.05%	0.0842	✓	1.05	604k	2022-03-10
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5442	0.525147	-3.50%	0.3311	-39.16%	0.2604	✓	1.80	40.2M	2022-03-10
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	23.02	22.2134	-3.50%	16.62	-27.80%	0.1619	✓	1.15	26.9M	2022-03-10
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08606	0.083035	-3.51%	0.07709	-10.42%	0.0103	✓	0.76	89k	2022-03-10
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.215	5.0307	-3.53%	4.2989	-17.57%	0.0208	✓	1.22	442k	2022-03-10
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	335.57	323.6793	-3.54%	289.59	-13.70%	0.0020	✓	1.02	7.9M	2022-03-10
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00724	0.006979	-3.61%	0.00366	-49.45%	0.4227	✓	2.00	20.0M	2022-03-10
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2815	0.27122	-3.65%	0.2216	-21.28%	0.0820	✓	1.08	1.7M	2022-03-10
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.95	11.4903	-3.85%	8.68	-27.36%	0.1337	✓	1.32	12.9M	2022-03-10
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	101.7616	97.8229	-3.87%	51.3064	-49.58%	0.4874	✓	1.42	320k	2022-03-10
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.8111	6.5472	-3.87%	6.3304	-7.06%	0.0656	✗	0.89	4.1M	2022-03-10
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2258	0.216766	-4.00%	0.1964	-13.02%	0.0561	✗	1.39	3.7M	2022-03-10
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0791	1.0358	-4.01%	0.7156	-33.69%	0.1977	✓	1.54	680k	2022-03-10
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.11	2.0235	-4.10%	1.33	-36.97%	0.2765	✓	1.28	1.3M	2022-03-10
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.791	1.7165	-4.16%	1.536	-14.24%	0.0168	✓	1.15	1.6M	2022-03-10
SOL	Solana	Solana	113.58	108.6984	-4.30%	82.92	-26.99%	0.1328	✓	1.24	182.7M	2022-03-10
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3065	0.293311	-4.30%	0.2025	-33.93%	0.1983	✓	1.54	4.1M	2022-03-10
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3139	0.29996	-4.44%	0.2624	-16.41%	0.0100	✓	1.11	538k	2022-03-10
STX	Stacks	native	1.69	1.6147	-4.46%	1.51	-10.65%	0.0445	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-03-10
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003097	0.000029583	-4.48%	0.00002262	-26.96%	0.1132	✓	1.39	1.4M	2022-03-10
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.22456	0.214433	-4.51%	0.15896	-29.21%	0.1223	✓	1.59	36k	2022-03-10
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.04001	0.038175	-4.59%	0.01693	-57.69%	0.6888	✓	1.11	9.1M	2022-03-10
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.9872	0.941838	-4.59%	0.732	-25.85%	0.1360	✓	1.04	13.5M	2022-03-10
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5288	0.504325	-4.63%	0.2987	-43.51%	0.3577	✓	1.49	2.2M	2022-03-10
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.81	6.4937	-4.64%	4.08	-40.09%	0.3423	✓	1.10	789k	2022-03-10
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.08	25.8128	-4.68%	27.97	+3.29%	0.1875	✗	0.96	543k	2022-03-10
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.47	9.9798	-4.68%	10.26	-2.01%	0.1056	✗	0.70	660k	2022-03-10
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.422	1.3539	-4.79%	1.175	-17.37%	0.0036	✓	1.24	3.4M	2022-03-10
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.5194	3.3503	-4.81%	2.8703	-18.44%	0.0485	✓	0.95	2.0M	2022-03-10
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	6.13	5.8347	-4.82%	4.46	-27.24%	0.1527	✓	1.04	867k	2022-03-10
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.681804	0.648648	-4.86%	0.503035	-26.22%	0.1263	✓	1.15	3.5M	2022-03-10
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.42	3.253	-4.88%	2.046	-40.18%	0.3088	✓	1.39	20.8M	2022-03-10
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.6711	3.4871	-5.01%	2.155	-41.30%	0.3837	✓	0.88	27k	2022-03-10
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.3927	4.1719	-5.03%	3.0579	-30.39%	0.1643	✓	1.31	2.3M	2022-03-10
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.51	6.1726	-5.18%	7.407	+13.78%	0.2920	✗	0.98	1.9M	2022-03-10
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.25	2.1321	-5.24%	1.12	-50.22%	0.5122	✓	1.18	1.7M	2022-03-10
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.65	4.4032	-5.31%	2.98	-35.91%	0.2383	✓	1.36	8.3M	2022-03-10
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.05	0.99377	-5.36%	0.61	-41.90%	0.2723	✓	1.93	1.0M	2022-03-10
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	17.23	16.2967	-5.42%	13.72	-20.37%	0.0942	✓	0.70	919k	2022-03-10
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30.42	28.7555	-5.47%	28.05	-7.79%	0.0989	✗	1.11	98.1M	2022-03-10
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.557	0.526014	-5.56%	0.386	-30.70%	0.1499	✓	1.43	4.6M	2022-03-10
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.166	2.0454	-5.57%	1.676	-22.62%	0.0877	✓	1.00	66k	2022-03-10
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0865	0.081674	-5.58%	0.0684	-20.92%	0.0232	✓	1.38	548k	2022-03-10
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0799	0.075386	-5.65%	0.0588	-26.41%	0.0635	✓	1.66	27.8M	2022-03-10
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.9181	1.8062	-5.83%	2.7676	+44.29%	0.4952	✗	0.61	2.9M	2022-03-10
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46.39	43.6715	-5.86%	40.75	-12.16%	0.0607	✗	1.17	33.0M	2022-03-10
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2693	1.1949	-5.86%	1.1927	-6.04%	0.1302	✗	1.18	2.3M	2022-03-10
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	25.99	24.4562	-5.90%	18.43	-29.09%	0.1078	✓	1.57	405k	2022-03-10
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.19	1.1197	-5.91%	0.979	-17.73%	0.0136	✓	1.33	523k	2022-03-10
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.85	3.6207	-5.96%	5.224	+35.69%	0.4023	✗	0.32	1.5M	2022-03-10
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	86.45	81.2262	-6.04%	73.95	-14.46%	0.0562	✓	1.35	87.1M	2022-03-10
HIVE	Hive	native	1.1789	1.1053	-6.24%	0.928	-21.28%	0.0119	✓	1.46	1.9M	2022-03-10
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.53	5.1807	-6.32%	4.473	-19.11%	0.0114	✓	1.22	2.7M	2022-03-10
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.831	5.4606	-6.35%	2.532	-56.58%	0.6570	✓	1.00	1.0M	2022-03-10
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04628	0.043332	-6.37%	0.04023	-13.07%	0.0372	✓	1.00	5.0M	2022-03-10
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7515	0.70308	-6.44%	0.4164	-44.59%	0.3530	✓	1.53	969k	2022-03-10
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.632	7.1259	-6.63%	4.75	-37.76%	0.2939	✓	1.00	460k	2022-03-10
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.022305	0.020811	-6.70%	0.01703	-23.65%	0.0657	✓	1.21	2.5M	2022-03-10
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.319	1.2305	-6.71%	1.4191	+7.59%	0.3142	✗	1.54	106k	2022-03-10
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	8.65	8.0531	-6.90%	5.7	-34.10%	0.3076	✓	0.34	1.6M	2022-03-10
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1638	0.152376	-6.97%	0.1518	-7.33%	0.1124	✗	1.04	362k	2022-03-10
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.23	2.067	-7.31%	1.6	-28.25%	0.1446	✓	1.00	1.7M	2022-03-10
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.3504	1.2512	-7.35%	0.7483	-44.59%	0.4025	✓	1.00	2.1M	2022-03-10
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.26	2.0934	-7.37%	1.201	-46.86%	0.4024	✓	1.37	3.3M	2022-03-10
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.034271	0.03173	-7.42%	0.015274	-55.43%	0.5913	✓	1.25	114k	2022-03-10
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0344	0.031642	-8.02%	0.02397	-30.32%	0.1100	✓	1.50	490k	2022-03-10
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	7.5798	6.9166	-8.75%	5.8363	-23.00%	0.1357	✓	0.31	389k	2022-03-10
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.4688	3.1634	-8.80%	2.3707	-31.66%	0.1796	✓	0.98	2.8M	2022-03-10
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.8556	0.741671	-13.32%	0.4126	-51.78%	0.3804	✓	1.85	1.8M	2022-03-10

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.