2022-02-05 · +7d

lstm_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2308

148 of 148 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+13.32%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

76.4%

in alpha space · 68.0% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+2.03%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.064762	0.064386	-0.58%	0.063473	-1.99%	0.0323	✓	0.90	379k	2022-02-12
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.67	8.6174	-0.61%	8.98	+3.58%	0.0163	✗	1.24	2.3M	2022-02-12
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,460.80	41,187.60	-0.66%	42,568.00	+2.67%	0.0134	✗	0.97	40k	2022-02-12
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1933	2.1782	-0.69%	2.1781	-0.69%	0.0232	✓	1.15	845k	2022-02-12
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0869	0.086279	-0.71%	0.0857	-1.38%	0.0304	✓	1.18	244k	2022-02-12
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,404.85	41,065.75	-0.82%	42,244.97	+2.03%	0.0082	✗	1.00	648.0M	2022-02-12
DASH	Dash	Dash	103.6	102.6642	-0.90%	104.19	+0.57%	0.0081	✓	1.14	2.8M	2022-02-12
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.265	0.262555	-0.92%	0.338	+27.55%	0.2342	✗	0.91	63k	2022-02-12
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01113	0.011027	-0.93%	0.01276	+14.65%	0.1200	✗	1.29	1.7M	2022-02-12
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.51	4.4658	-0.98%	4.786	+6.12%	0.0533	✗	0.79	351k	2022-02-12
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.147026	0.145574	-0.99%	0.144281	-1.87%	0.0293	✓	1.01	7.1M	2022-02-12
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.728	2.6994	-1.05%	2.76	+1.17%	0.0045	✓	1.33	911k	2022-02-12
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.42	29.1076	-1.06%	31.67	+7.65%	0.0637	✗	1.03	3.8M	2022-02-12
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.0021	0.991412	-1.07%	0.9188	-8.31%	0.0983	✓	1.11	29.4M	2022-02-12
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1855	0.183483	-1.09%	0.1736	-6.42%	0.0692	✓	0.69	423k	2022-02-12
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04465	0.044159	-1.10%	0.04235	-5.15%	0.0635	✓	1.08	28k	2022-02-12
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	17.77	17.5729	-1.11%	15.97	-10.13%	0.1192	✓	1.17	77.2M	2022-02-12
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1293	0.127862	-1.11%	0.1393	+7.73%	0.0599	✗	1.28	3.3M	2022-02-12
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.562	2.5333	-1.12%	2.354	-8.12%	0.0935	✓	1.00	22k	2022-02-12
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		8.166	8.073	-1.14%	7.781	-4.71%	0.0434	✓	0.33	40k	2022-02-12
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,014.50	2,980.08	-1.14%	2,919.99	-3.14%	0.0423	✓	1.09	557.7M	2022-02-12
XEC	eCash	native	0.0000839	0.000082938	-1.15%	0.0000823	-1.91%	0.0299	✓	1.10	5.5M	2022-02-12
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	55.39	54.7288	-1.19%	51.96	-6.19%	0.0804	✓	1.42	8.8M	2022-02-12
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.47	5.4033	-1.22%	5.48	+0.18%	0.0003	✓	0.72	377k	2022-02-12
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	116.08	114.6499	-1.23%	117.83	+1.51%	0.0024	✓	1.24	6.6M	2022-02-12
XMR	Monero	Monero	168.71	166.6183	-1.24%	173.82	+3.03%	0.0220	✗	1.01	1.7M	2022-02-12
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03104	0.030655	-1.24%	0.03125	+0.68%	0.0028	✓	0.82	7.6M	2022-02-12
XVG	Verge	native	0.01122	0.01108	-1.25%	0.01149	+2.41%	0.0110	✓	1.26	1.4M	2022-02-12
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4481	0.442393	-1.27%	0.4191	-6.47%	0.0796	✓	1.27	9.4M	2022-02-12
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10107	0.099782	-1.27%	0.09377	-7.22%	0.0821	✓	1.00	47k	2022-02-12
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.8014	1.7783	-1.28%	1.7725	-1.60%	0.0248	✓	1.07	76k	2022-02-12
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	121.8	120.2277	-1.29%	126.78	+4.09%	0.0270	✗	1.30	31.3M	2022-02-12
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0763	0.075314	-1.29%	0.0717	-6.03%	0.0705	✓	1.06	21k	2022-02-12
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.778	0.767758	-1.32%	0.745	-4.24%	0.0509	✓	1.04	1.6M	2022-02-12
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.231	3.1882	-1.33%	3.162	-2.14%	0.0237	✓	0.77	212k	2022-02-12
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.9281	6.8355	-1.34%	6.7389	-2.73%	0.0427	✓	1.42	174k	2022-02-12
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.059	5.9769	-1.36%	5.916	-2.36%	0.0268	✓	0.83	91k	2022-02-12
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	20.04	19.7678	-1.36%	17.04	-14.97%	0.1833	✓	1.73	3.8M	2022-02-12
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.52	6.4312	-1.36%	6.67	+2.30%	0.0199	✗	0.82	478k	2022-02-12
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.24	7.1413	-1.36%	7.93	+9.53%	0.0985	✗	0.31	1.1M	2022-02-12
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1255	1.11	-1.38%	1.0596	-5.86%	0.0686	✓	1.10	110.9M	2022-02-12
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000226	0.000002229	-1.39%	0.00000217	-3.98%	0.0468	✓	1.00	15.3M	2022-02-12
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.354	0.349088	-1.39%	0.37	+4.52%	0.0324	✗	1.28	1.7M	2022-02-12
XEM	NEM	native	0.1129	0.111322	-1.40%	0.1086	-3.81%	0.0444	✓	0.98	37k	2022-02-12
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		96.73	95.3714	-1.40%	94.11	-2.71%	0.0316	✓	0.91	1.6M	2022-02-12
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05888	0.058044	-1.42%	0.05601	-4.87%	0.0619	✓	1.30	1.5M	2022-02-12
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002254	0.000022219	-1.42%	0.0000292	+29.55%	0.2477	✗	1.27	1.3M	2022-02-12
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.3404	3.2925	-1.43%	3.5079	+5.01%	0.0425	✗	1.04	2.6M	2022-02-12
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	132.93	131.0231	-1.43%	133.7	+0.58%	0.0020	✓	0.91	7.6M	2022-02-12
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.17	2.1388	-1.44%	2.02	-6.91%	0.0830	✓	1.29	2.2M	2022-02-12
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.213222	0.21015	-1.44%	0.218218	+2.34%	0.0177	✗	0.99	24.9M	2022-02-12
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.9	2.8579	-1.45%	2.5	-13.79%	0.1574	✓	1.17	441k	2022-02-12
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5995	0.590754	-1.46%	0.562	-6.26%	0.0754	✓	1.27	2.7M	2022-02-12
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01353	0.013332	-1.46%	0.01362	+0.67%	0.0035	✓	0.89	13k	2022-02-12
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01154	0.011371	-1.47%	0.01068	-7.45%	0.0831	✓	1.01	572k	2022-02-12
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.976	0.961598	-1.48%	0.942	-3.48%	0.0476	✓	1.34	2.3M	2022-02-12
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.016433	0.01619	-1.48%	0.015897	-3.26%	0.0414	✓	1.15	2.6M	2022-02-12
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	166.2	163.7315	-1.49%	162.52	-2.21%	0.0347	✓	1.36	10.9M	2022-02-12
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.9	3.842	-1.49%	4.27	+9.49%	0.0803	✗	1.26	2.1M	2022-02-12
ZEN	Horizen	Base	45.61	44.9293	-1.49%	40.89	-10.35%	0.1253	✓	1.55	568k	2022-02-12
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.66	2.6202	-1.50%	2.56	-3.76%	0.0431	✓	0.99	579k	2022-02-12
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00674	0.006639	-1.50%	0.00616	-8.61%	0.1156	✓	2.03	20.1M	2022-02-12
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	185.88	183.0989	-1.50%	166.09	-10.65%	0.1201	✓	1.12	1.0M	2022-02-12
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	21.35	21.0299	-1.50%	18.82	-11.85%	0.1377	✓	1.33	43.5M	2022-02-12
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	136.68	134.6289	-1.50%	127.26	-6.89%	0.0810	✓	1.23	54k	2022-02-12
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	29.81	29.3578	-1.52%	28.49	-4.43%	0.0623	✓	1.61	2.1M	2022-02-12
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.27	11.0985	-1.52%	10.64	-5.59%	0.0679	✓	1.28	12.5M	2022-02-12
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.040382	0.039755	-1.55%	0.044288	+9.67%	0.0828	✗	1.25	8.4M	2022-02-12
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.89	2.8451	-1.55%	2.3	-20.42%	0.2317	✓	0.95	2.2M	2022-02-12
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5202	0.51209	-1.56%	0.4544	-12.65%	0.1549	✓	1.76	42.5M	2022-02-12
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.686	19.3704	-1.60%	19.111	-2.92%	0.0416	✓	1.40	10.5M	2022-02-12
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1181	0.116205	-1.60%	0.1035	-12.36%	0.1453	✓	1.47	1.6M	2022-02-12
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.01	0.993767	-1.61%	0.96	-4.95%	0.0547	✓	1.00	333k	2022-02-12
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.3221	1.3008	-1.62%	1.1541	-12.71%	0.1394	✓	0.99	333k	2022-02-12
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0405	0.039838	-1.63%	0.03381	-16.52%	0.1847	✓	1.03	9.0M	2022-02-12
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	25,186.77	24,773.20	-1.64%	23,131.85	-8.16%	0.0868	✓	0.91	12.4M	2022-02-12
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	56.8	55.8665	-1.64%	59.18	+4.19%	0.0353	✗	1.11	7.8M	2022-02-12
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.77	0.757263	-1.65%	0.94	+22.08%	0.1787	✗	1.87	996k	2022-02-12
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	21.97	21.6055	-1.66%	20.86	-5.05%	0.0580	✓	1.14	10.4M	2022-02-12
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	15.3	15.0381	-1.71%	15.16	-0.92%	0.0113	✓	0.96	663k	2022-02-12
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9682	0.951105	-1.77%	0.9401	-2.90%	0.0446	✓	1.64	725k	2022-02-12
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2627	0.258037	-1.78%	0.2514	-4.30%	0.0481	✓	1.10	1.7M	2022-02-12
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2088	0.205041	-1.80%	0.2064	-1.15%	0.0194	✓	1.29	3.6M	2022-02-12
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	320.74	314.8929	-1.82%	330.64	+3.09%	0.0284	✗	1.02	7.6M	2022-02-12
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.085	0.083449	-1.83%	0.07609	-10.48%	0.1074	✓	0.75	84k	2022-02-12
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	22.26	21.8504	-1.84%	20.07	-9.84%	0.1077	✓	1.13	26.9M	2022-02-12
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.92529	0.908011	-1.87%	0.80694	-12.79%	0.1505	✓	1.62	350k	2022-02-12
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.79	1.7564	-1.87%	1.69	-5.59%	0.0630	✓	1.22	1.8M	2022-02-12
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4932	0.483926	-1.88%	0.4604	-6.65%	0.0773	✓	1.37	2.0M	2022-02-12
SOL	Solana	Solana	113.8	111.6396	-1.90%	95.95	-15.69%	0.1754	✓	1.19	187.6M	2022-02-12
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.46	6.3373	-1.90%	6.4	-0.93%	0.0052	✓	0.75	463k	2022-02-12
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.1203	5.0221	-1.92%	4.7989	-6.28%	0.0702	✓	1.23	406k	2022-02-12
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.514	6.3874	-1.94%	6.939	+6.52%	0.0634	✗	0.97	341k	2022-02-12
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.48	5.3732	-1.95%	5.34	-2.55%	0.0261	✓	0.99	875k	2022-02-12
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.921	1.8823	-2.01%	1.812	-5.67%	0.0621	✓	1.20	1.2M	2022-02-12
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.0234	6.8816	-2.02%	6.758	-3.78%	0.0349	✓	0.84	4.1M	2022-02-12
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6186	0.605984	-2.04%	0.5785	-6.48%	0.0683	✓	1.09	1.5M	2022-02-12
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3102	0.303871	-2.04%	0.2838	-8.51%	0.0994	✓	1.55	4.1M	2022-02-12
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3148	0.308337	-2.05%	0.2852	-9.40%	0.0997	✓	1.08	554k	2022-02-12
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.6	3.5259	-2.06%	3.312	-8.00%	0.0784	✓	0.79	678k	2022-02-12
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.128	0.125364	-2.06%	0.116	-9.37%	0.0977	✓	1.00	102k	2022-02-12
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	85.8205	84.0481	-2.07%	85.8439	+0.03%	0.0059	✓	1.35	320k	2022-02-12
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.2266	3.1595	-2.08%	3.7974	+17.69%	0.1651	✗	0.94	2.0M	2022-02-12
STX	Stacks	native	1.58	1.5465	-2.12%	1.52	-3.80%	0.0374	✓	1.00	1.3M	2022-02-12
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	4.7941	4.6918	-2.13%	5.9446	+24.00%	0.2316	✗	0.25	376k	2022-02-12
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.9549	0.93419	-2.17%	1.2471	+30.60%	0.2600	✗	1.44	99k	2022-02-12
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.069	0.067494	-2.18%	0.0956	+38.55%	0.3234	✗	1.23	540k	2022-02-12
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.9423	3.8558	-2.19%	4.109	+4.23%	0.0378	✗	1.28	2.4M	2022-02-12
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.9491	0.928038	-2.22%	0.8744	-7.87%	0.0803	✓	1.03	14.2M	2022-02-12
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.42	3.344	-2.22%	2.87	-16.08%	0.1806	✓	1.38	21.3M	2022-02-12
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.24	2.1901	-2.23%	2.404	+7.32%	0.0731	✗	1.00	67k	2022-02-12
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.67	6.52	-2.25%	5.98	-10.34%	0.1062	✓	0.98	818k	2022-02-12
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20531	0.200692	-2.25%	0.18496	-9.91%	0.1119	✓	1.51	32k	2022-02-12
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.652675	0.637943	-2.26%	0.617618	-5.37%	0.0553	✓	1.14	3.5M	2022-02-12
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.761	1.7212	-2.26%	1.618	-8.12%	0.0841	✓	1.11	1.6M	2022-02-12
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.31	2.2577	-2.26%	1.92	-16.88%	0.1860	✓	1.20	2.3M	2022-02-12
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1381	1.1123	-2.27%	1.0443	-8.24%	0.0868	✓	1.18	2.3M	2022-02-12
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	77.09	75.3266	-2.29%	81.34	+5.51%	0.0505	✗	1.31	87.1M	2022-02-12
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05051	0.049355	-2.29%	0.04741	-6.14%	0.0603	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-12
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.87	15.5053	-2.30%	18.05	+13.74%	0.1393	✗	0.63	908k	2022-02-12
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.4881	3.4072	-2.32%	3.527	+1.12%	0.0177	✓	0.84	26k	2022-02-12
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.57	3.4858	-2.36%	4.07	+14.01%	0.1491	✗	0.29	1.5M	2022-02-12
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.1	9.8519	-2.46%	11.03	+9.21%	0.0989	✗	0.70	660k	2022-02-12
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.4	6.2416	-2.47%	6.32	-1.25%	0.0074	✓	0.99	1.9M	2022-02-12
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30.76	29.9888	-2.51%	27.07	-12.00%	0.1248	✓	1.12	109.3M	2022-02-12
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.533	0.519626	-2.51%	0.514	-3.56%	0.0384	✓	1.37	4.6M	2022-02-12
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.68	4.562	-2.52%	4.15	-11.32%	0.1215	✓	1.34	8.4M	2022-02-12
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.22	2.1636	-2.54%	2.22	+0.00%	0.0056	✓	1.00	2.3M	2022-02-12
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2863	1.2528	-2.60%	1.2939	+0.59%	0.0122	✓	1.00	2.7M	2022-02-12
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.769	5.6166	-2.64%	4.904	-14.99%	0.1558	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-02-12
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.21	1.178	-2.64%	1.12	-7.44%	0.0762	✓	1.28	490k	2022-02-12
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.054	1.9995	-2.65%	1.8422	-10.31%	0.0951	✓	0.66	3.5M	2022-02-12
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.039527	0.038444	-2.74%	0.028632	-27.56%	0.3204	✓	1.28	120k	2022-02-12
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4421	0.429894	-2.76%	0.6015	+36.06%	0.3031	✗	1.63	1.8M	2022-02-12
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	22.45	21.8263	-2.78%	22.54	+0.40%	0.0010	✓	1.55	411k	2022-02-12
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46.16	44.8769	-2.78%	44.18	-4.29%	0.0388	✓	1.15	34.0M	2022-02-12
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.76	5.5992	-2.79%	4.89	-15.10%	0.1595	✓	1.20	3.0M	2022-02-12
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.519	1.4763	-2.81%	1.267	-16.59%	0.1776	✓	1.23	3.4M	2022-02-12
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.02206	0.021401	-2.99%	0.021888	-0.78%	0.0014	✓	1.05	2.7M	2022-02-12
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	8.15	7.9044	-3.01%	7.78	-4.54%	0.0228	✓	0.34	1.6M	2022-02-12
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.21	2.142	-3.08%	1.91	-13.57%	0.1423	✓	1.38	3.5M	2022-02-12
HIVE	Hive	native	1.166	1.1298	-3.10%	1.052	-9.78%	0.0997	✓	1.41	1.9M	2022-02-12
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7727	0.746839	-3.35%	0.6501	-15.87%	0.1674	✓	1.43	1.1M	2022-02-12
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0368	0.03549	-3.56%	0.0322	-12.50%	0.1285	✓	1.55	490k	2022-02-12
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.0145	2.9069	-3.57%	2.9115	-3.41%	0.0163	✓	0.89	2.8M	2022-02-12
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.35	27.3322	-3.59%	30.19	+6.49%	0.0800	✗	0.97	513k	2022-02-12
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.1089	0.104794	-3.77%	0.0682	-37.37%	0.4672	✓	1.87	26.7M	2022-02-12
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1551	0.149192	-3.81%	0.1672	+7.80%	0.0931	✗	1.04	337k	2022-02-12

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.