8=======>

2021-12-24 · +7d

lstm_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1314
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.70%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
26.5%
in alpha space · 85.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.12%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GTCGitcoinEthereum15.714.7582-6.00%12.7-19.11%0.1522✓-0.024.8M2021-12-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.75960.72712-4.28%0.6864-9.64%0.0650✗1.285.1M2021-12-31
GITCOINGITCOIN15.61114.9935-3.96%12.734-18.43%0.1710✓-0.08133k2021-12-31
HIVEHivenative1.5931.5302-3.94%1.4896-6.49%0.0994✗1.3210.4M2021-12-31
UOSUltraEthereum1.7511.6823-3.92%1.5666-10.53%0.0242✓1.006.7M2021-12-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.40620.390685-3.82%0.3547-12.68%0.0491✗1.524.4M2021-12-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07810.075143-3.79%0.0763-2.30%0.1407✗1.312.5M2021-12-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.1111.6517-3.78%12.22+0.91%0.0987✗0.532.7M2021-12-31
MANADecentralandEthereum3.53.3705-3.70%3.2677-6.64%0.0532✗0.889.0M2021-12-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.11831.0769-3.70%1.2282+9.83%0.2736✗1.492.5M2021-12-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.76220.734284-3.66%0.9356+22.75%0.4105✗1.7614.6M2021-12-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.195.0019-3.62%5.32+2.50%0.1877✗1.3228.7M2021-12-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum44.1542.5608-3.60%39.69-10.10%0.0942✗1.714.7M2021-12-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0382470.036949-3.40%0.033825-11.56%0.0094✓1.0212.1M2021-12-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021910.021171-3.37%0.02346+7.07%0.1984✗1.0039.8M2021-12-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.30160.291702-3.28%0.2833-6.07%0.0933✗1.286.2M2021-12-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.89671.8345-3.28%1.62-14.59%0.0612✓0.668.1M2021-12-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.773.648-3.24%4.55+20.69%0.3166✗1.0011.9M2021-12-31
RADRadworksEthereum10.8510.5006-3.22%10.85+0.00%0.1240✗0.951.6M2021-12-31
AAVEAaveEthereum270.33261.8563-3.13%253.92-6.07%0.0716✗1.0711.4M2021-12-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche114.93111.4022-3.07%109.4-4.81%0.0902✗1.13142.8M2021-12-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.36110.35021-3.02%0.3279-9.19%0.0211✓0.91388k2021-12-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8506110.825165-2.99%0.802611-5.64%0.0758✗1.083.7M2021-12-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.68076.4818-2.98%5.8862-11.89%0.0176✓1.19876k2021-12-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.7932.71-2.97%2.574-7.84%0.0422✗0.982.2M2021-12-31
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9991.9402-2.94%1.634-18.26%0.0461✓1.317.9M2021-12-31
UMAUMAEthereum9.569.2867-2.86%9.11-4.71%0.0840✗1.084.1M2021-12-31
DODODODOEthereum0.9090.883168-2.84%0.843-7.26%0.0938✗1.479.3M2021-12-31
TRBTellor TributesEthereum34.9233.93-2.84%33.06-5.33%0.1196✗1.521.3M2021-12-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.38260.371906-2.79%0.3655-4.47%0.1046✗1.276.2M2021-12-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10860.105577-2.78%0.0971-10.59%0.0470✗1.373.0M2021-12-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.71.653-2.76%1.62-4.71%0.1433✗1.711.5M2021-12-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6730.654451-2.76%0.612-9.06%0.0518✗1.243.0M2021-12-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.79660.775385-2.66%0.7078-11.15%0.0286✗1.257.7M2021-12-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,577.6331,719.63-2.63%33,038.28+1.41%0.0905✗0.527.0M2021-12-31
FTTFTXEthereum42.6841.5563-2.63%38.25-10.38%0.0184✓1.0621.8M2021-12-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.31381.2796-2.61%1.2039-8.36%0.1079✗1.761.6M2021-12-31
SUSHISushiEthereum7.947.7329-2.61%9.42+18.64%0.3291✗1.3814.9M2021-12-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000036140.000035214-2.56%0.00003342-7.53%0.0434✗1.002.2M2021-12-31
MOVRMoonriverBase188.1748183.3559-2.56%181.8528-3.36%0.1005✗1.14720k2021-12-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019720.019221-2.53%0.01908-3.25%0.0492✗0.5960k2021-12-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.28491.2526-2.51%1.3658+6.30%0.1861✗1.0422.8M2021-12-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum45.7244.5773-2.50%38.92-14.87%0.0410✗1.858.8M2021-12-31
SCSiacoinnative0.016510.016101-2.48%0.01518-8.06%0.0307✗0.941.4M2021-12-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.0810.8062-2.47%10.11-8.75%0.0074✓0.771.5M2021-12-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0622170.060684-2.46%0.063529+2.11%0.1861✗1.479.5M2021-12-31
LRCLoopringEthereum2.21292.159-2.44%2.0908-5.52%0.1542✗1.952.1M2021-12-31
MINAMina Protocolnative3.543.4542-2.42%3.54+0.00%0.1219✗1.02807k2021-12-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.3424.7353-2.39%24.41-3.67%0.0895✗1.072.7M2021-12-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.515.379-2.38%4.34-21.23%0.1189✓1.006.5M2021-12-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7933.7054-2.31%3.496-7.83%0.0375✗1.003.5M2021-12-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.082840.080955-2.28%0.08513+2.76%0.1658✗1.2121.7M2021-12-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.214830.209976-2.26%0.19688-8.36%0.0908✗1.6224k2021-12-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum104.62102.2767-2.24%93.21-10.91%0.0007✓0.968.8M2021-12-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.46290.452679-2.21%0.4139-10.59%0.0471✗1.431.2M2021-12-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.20280.198385-2.18%0.1752-13.61%0.0149✓1.144.3M2021-12-31
XVGVergenative0.017980.017589-2.18%0.01703-5.28%0.0813✗1.192.8M2021-12-31
CELLCellframeEthereum1.1891.1633-2.16%0.9088-23.57%0.1512✓1.00190k2021-12-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.6818.495-2.14%8.1-6.69%0.0800✗1.33511k2021-12-31
LSKLiskEthereum2.57592.521-2.13%2.397-6.95%0.0628✗1.18152k2021-12-31
KCSKuCoinnative22.8122.3307-2.10%21.376-6.29%0.1174✗1.6821.0M2021-12-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.5761.5435-2.06%1.6589+5.26%0.1747✗1.0734.9M2021-12-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.049440.048429-2.05%0.04828-2.35%0.0844✗0.9112.1M2021-12-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.6970.683076-2.00%0.6421-7.88%0.0607✗1.2814.0M2021-12-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.8726.344-1.96%32.43+20.69%0.2903✗0.8640.2M2021-12-31
ZENHorizenBase70.5369.1511-1.96%60.57-14.12%0.0121✓1.511.4M2021-12-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.6327.0907-1.95%24.42-11.62%0.0303✗1.4024.1M2021-12-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018760.018394-1.95%0.01579-15.83%0.0331✓1.253.2M2021-12-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.21620.212038-1.93%0.1984-8.23%0.0166✓0.87776k2021-12-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.110160.108049-1.92%0.1009-8.41%0.0137✓0.57143k2021-12-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.725.6105-1.91%5.48-4.20%0.0830✗1.115.0M2021-12-31
DASHDashDash149.49146.655-1.90%133.78-10.51%0.0294✗1.272.2M2021-12-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2871.2626-1.89%1.259-2.18%0.0896✗0.974.1M2021-12-31
SOLSolanaSolana190.65187.0925-1.87%169.88-10.89%0.0011✓1.02257.1M2021-12-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.21710.213089-1.85%0.2023-6.82%0.0654✗1.236.5M2021-12-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.38561.3602-1.83%1.2796-7.65%0.0418✗1.081.4M2021-12-31
XECeCashnative0.00011730.000115182-1.81%0.00010819-7.77%0.0321✗0.9911.7M2021-12-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.3412.119-1.79%11.78-4.54%0.0554✓-0.284.9M2021-12-31
QTUMQtumQtum9.79219.6175-1.78%8.736-10.79%0.0421✗1.44349k2021-12-31
STORJStorjEthereum1.94691.9127-1.76%1.7428-10.48%0.0259✓0.701.3M2021-12-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13790.135482-1.75%0.1283-6.96%0.0468✗1.06445k2021-12-31
BANDBandEthereum5.635.5331-1.72%5.01-11.01%0.0149✓1.193.0M2021-12-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5931.5657-1.71%1.542-3.20%0.1097✗1.315.2M2021-12-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.092570.090985-1.71%0.08767-5.29%0.1042✗1.484.8M2021-12-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.533.4716-1.65%3.21-9.07%0.0161✓0.991.3M2021-12-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.0239.8577-1.65%8.873-11.47%0.0451✓0.63455k2021-12-31
KSMKusamaHydration288.88284.1178-1.65%276.22-4.38%0.0762✗1.091.5M2021-12-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash452.27444.8213-1.65%430.15-4.89%0.0648✗1.0313.7M2021-12-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.752.7053-1.63%2.39-13.09%0.0267✓1.024.7M2021-12-31
API3Api3Ethereum4.834.7522-1.61%4.22-12.63%0.0231✓1.001.5M2021-12-31
XLMStellarStellar0.2786280.27415-1.61%0.266478-4.36%0.0679✗1.0136.2M2021-12-31
XTZTezosTezos4.49014.4179-1.61%4.3404-3.33%0.1058✗1.295.4M2021-12-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2662.23-1.59%2.058-9.18%0.0258✗1.113.4M2021-12-31
UNIUniswapEthereum17.517.2287-1.55%16.98-2.97%0.1109✗1.3114.6M2021-12-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.231.2112-1.53%1.13-8.13%0.0263✗1.002.4M2021-12-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1574.0934-1.53%4.508+8.44%0.1761✗0.83714k2021-12-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin161.35158.914-1.51%146.15-9.42%0.0492✗1.3958.6M2021-12-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.40933.358-1.50%3.1464-7.71%0.0548✗1.253.4M2021-12-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.0144.9408-1.46%4.6064-8.13%0.0599✗1.365.2M2021-12-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.058.9187-1.45%8.8-2.76%0.0515✗0.681.0M2021-12-31
IMXImmutableEthereum4.634.563-1.45%4.91+6.05%0.1690✗1.002.5M2021-12-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.057980.057147-1.44%0.05331-8.05%0.0373✗1.1217k2021-12-31
GTGateEthereum6.31286.2243-1.40%6.5555+3.84%0.1284✗0.804.6M2021-12-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.7416.5064-1.40%15.07-9.98%0.0249✓0.691.4M2021-12-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.1727.7786-1.39%26.67-5.32%0.0788✗1.2577.3M2021-12-31
XEMNEMnative0.13590.134016-1.39%0.1227-9.71%0.0167✗1.10202k2021-12-31
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.2195.1474-1.37%4.7425-9.13%0.0102✓0.7529k2021-12-31
ZECZcashZcash165.18162.9158-1.37%146.46-11.33%0.0198✗1.3213.6M2021-12-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV129.58127.8415-1.34%121.02-6.61%0.0397✗0.993.2M2021-12-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.4236.9232-1.33%34.06-8.98%0.0197✗1.056.1M2021-12-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.078.9499-1.32%8.41-7.28%0.0121✓0.78836k2021-12-31
XYMSymbolnative0.24450.241343-1.29%0.1945-20.45%0.1708✓0.47410k2021-12-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.0133.58-1.26%31.4-7.67%0.0030✓0.67649k2021-12-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3680.363352-1.26%0.426+15.76%0.2313✗0.7645k2021-12-31
ADACardanoCardano1.39351.376-1.26%1.3082-6.12%0.0517✗1.07124.4M2021-12-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin36.4736.0127-1.25%34.24-6.11%0.0468✗1.0223.1M2021-12-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1863160.183982-1.25%0.170222-8.64%0.0286✗1.116.1M2021-12-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08880.087688-1.25%0.0823-7.32%0.0411✗1.0921k2021-12-31
QNTQuantEthereum199.57197.1366-1.22%179.22-10.20%0.0054✓0.9412.0M2021-12-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0043.9553-1.22%4.018+0.35%0.0841✗0.71473k2021-12-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.083.0429-1.21%2.93-4.87%0.0855✗1.293.2M2021-12-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum21.4721.218-1.17%19.51-9.13%0.0412✗1.3169.7M2021-12-31
COMPCompoundEthereum230.2227.559-1.15%199.58-13.30%0.0261✓1.10239k2021-12-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.12190.12053-1.12%0.11271-7.54%0.0382✗1.1030k2021-12-31
XVSVenusEthereum15.8315.6668-1.03%15.14-4.36%0.0746✗1.145.0M2021-12-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.023260.023025-1.01%0.021822-6.18%0.0615✗1.202.2M2021-12-31
CBKCobakEthereum3.1393.1075-1.00%2.882-8.19%0.0059✓0.85100k2021-12-31
ETHEthereumEthereum4,049.654,009.23-1.00%3,675.80-9.23%0.0133✗1.05768.5M2021-12-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.58143.5458-0.99%3.7613+5.02%0.0507✗-0.09384k2021-12-31
TRXTRONTron0.0808920.080144-0.92%0.075477-6.69%0.0321✗0.96659k2021-12-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.2755.2267-0.92%5.023-4.78%0.0224✗0.65846k2021-12-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.767.6927-0.87%7.06-9.02%0.0251✓0.631.0M2021-12-31
NANOnanopayBase3.64213.6125-0.81%3.4015-6.61%0.0416✗1.06819k2021-12-31
XMRMoneroMonero204.44202.9434-0.73%228.93+11.98%0.2153✗0.992.7M2021-12-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,851.3850,499.59-0.69%46,211.24-9.12%0.0069✗1.00750.8M2021-12-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum50,714.6050,519.40-0.38%46,060.20-9.18%0.0017✓0.989,2792021-12-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.