2021-12-22 · +30d

lstm_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2326

136 of 136 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+21.47%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

68.4%

in alpha space · 95.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-25.00%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	10.62	9.2204	-13.18%	7.97	-24.95%	0.1799	✓	-0.12	4.2M	2022-01-21
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6893	0.60527	-12.19%	0.4811	-30.20%	0.1251	✓	1.23	6.5M	2022-01-21
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	41.49	36.8601	-11.16%	24.86	-40.08%	0.1047	✓	1.73	5.2M	2022-01-21
HIVE	Hive	native	1.5055	1.3386	-11.09%	0.906	-39.82%	0.0133	✓	1.31	11.9M	2022-01-21
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5.05	4.5198	-10.50%	3.31	-34.46%	0.0776	✓	1.35	28.7M	2022-01-21
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	11.08	9.917	-10.50%	6.49	-41.43%	0.2774	✓	0.51	3.4M	2022-01-21
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.2895	2.9499	-10.32%	2.2219	-32.45%	0.0388	✓	0.85	9.3M	2022-01-21
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02388	0.021425	-10.28%	0.0092	-61.47%	0.5577	✓	1.00	34.3M	2022-01-21
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0889	0.978245	-10.16%	0.6747	-38.04%	0.0651	✓	1.52	3.0M	2022-01-21
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.6078	1.448	-9.94%	0.91734	-42.95%	0.1673	✓	1.01	7.8M	2022-01-21
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0712	0.064398	-9.55%	0.0363	-49.02%	0.1805	✓	1.37	2.7M	2022-01-21
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2856	0.258821	-9.38%	0.198	-30.67%	0.0946	✓	1.26	6.6M	2022-01-21
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.7654	1.6076	-8.94%	0.5186	-70.62%	0.9810	✓	0.52	8.5M	2022-01-21
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.59	3.2732	-8.82%	2.45	-31.75%	0.0020	✓	1.00	11.9M	2022-01-21
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.898	0.820285	-8.65%	0.561	-37.53%	0.0432	✓	1.47	9.7M	2022-01-21
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	116.66	106.6766	-8.56%	66.07	-43.37%	0.1469	✓	1.15	158.3M	2022-01-21
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.824208	0.75413	-8.50%	0.55846	-32.24%	0.0065	✓	1.07	4.7M	2022-01-21
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.036887	0.033821	-8.31%	0.022082	-40.14%	0.1330	✓	1.02	13.9M	2022-01-21
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3409	0.312756	-8.26%	0.2396	-29.72%	0.0112	✓	0.89	401k	2022-01-21
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	10.02	9.1974	-8.21%	5.68	-43.31%	0.2092	✓	0.95	1.9M	2022-01-21
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.2709	1.1687	-8.04%	0.857	-32.57%	0.0038	✓	1.07	23.6M	2022-01-21
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.579	2.3721	-8.02%	1.738	-32.61%	0.0470	✓	0.92	2.8M	2022-01-21
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3293	0.302901	-8.02%	0.2921	-11.30%	0.3816	✗	1.45	4.4M	2022-01-21
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.5402	6.0224	-7.92%	4.7186	-27.85%	0.0973	✗	1.19	833k	2022-01-21
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6721	0.619787	-7.78%	0.6365	-5.30%	0.5555	✗	1.84	12.6M	2022-01-21
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.31	1.2085	-7.75%	0.8913	-31.96%	0.0168	✓	1.00	196k	2022-01-21
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.46	8.7297	-7.72%	6.6	-30.23%	0.0334	✓	1.09	4.1M	2022-01-21
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	33.76	31.2	-7.58%	21.23	-37.11%	0.0473	✓	1.50	1.6M	2022-01-21
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1026	0.094926	-7.48%	0.0619	-39.67%	0.0392	✓	1.35	3.3M	2022-01-21
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.6	1.4823	-7.36%	0.97	-39.38%	0.0640	✓	1.70	1.6M	2022-01-21
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.759	3.4845	-7.30%	2.795	-25.65%	0.0672	✓	1.00	3.6M	2022-01-21
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.1998	2.0406	-7.24%	0.8678	-60.55%	0.2788	✓	2.00	2.3M	2022-01-21
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.060937	0.056543	-7.21%	0.041641	-31.67%	0.1235	✗	1.49	11.0M	2022-01-21
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3774	0.350194	-7.21%	0.2523	-33.15%	0.0452	✓	1.30	6.6M	2022-01-21
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.51	22.7579	-7.15%	15.55	-36.56%	0.0746	✓	1.06	2.7M	2022-01-21
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	5.45	5.0674	-7.02%	2.29	-57.98%	0.5066	✓	1.00	6.8M	2022-01-21
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01601	0.014887	-7.01%	0.01044	-34.79%	0.0893	✓	0.92	1.5M	2022-01-21
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.634	0.589615	-7.00%	0.352	-44.48%	0.1639	✓	1.22	3.2M	2022-01-21
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4511	0.419702	-6.96%	0.5351	+18.62%	0.6512	✗	1.42	1.6M	2022-01-21
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	45.03	41.9708	-6.79%	17.88	-60.29%	0.3204	✓	1.85	10.6M	2022-01-21
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0877	0.081831	-6.69%	0.05552	-36.69%	0.0309	✓	1.24	22.6M	2022-01-21
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.05029	0.046956	-6.63%	0.0303	-39.75%	0.1658	✓	0.95	16.3M	2022-01-21
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	101.56	95.0357	-6.42%	58.39	-42.51%	0.2121	✓	0.96	9.8M	2022-01-21
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.0194	0.018156	-6.41%	0.01394	-28.14%	0.1057	✓	0.55	61k	2022-01-21
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	181.9072	170.2493	-6.41%	95	-47.78%	0.2553	✓	1.14	748k	2022-01-21
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7367	0.689618	-6.39%	0.5619	-23.73%	0.1455	✗	1.22	7.7M	2022-01-21
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.53	5.1766	-6.39%	4.17	-24.59%	0.0947	✗	1.08	5.3M	2022-01-21
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.33	38.7017	-6.36%	38.52	-6.80%	0.3008	✗	1.06	23.4M	2022-01-21
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.31	3.1003	-6.34%	2.9	-12.39%	0.2122	✗	0.97	807k	2022-01-21
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.258	7.7438	-6.23%	8.351	+1.13%	0.4554	✗	1.32	635k	2022-01-21
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.9655	1.8444	-6.16%	1.1848	-39.72%	0.2432	✓	0.69	1.3M	2022-01-21
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.000035	0.000032878	-6.06%	0.00002226	-36.40%	0.1024	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-01-21
KCS	KuCoin	native	21.435	20.1397	-6.04%	16.808	-21.59%	0.3050	✗	1.69	22.7M	2022-01-21
XVG	Verge	native	0.01724	0.016215	-5.95%	0.01002	-41.88%	0.1426	✓	1.18	2.9M	2022-01-21
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.4567	2.3111	-5.92%	1.6672	-32.14%	0.0197	✓	1.20	147k	2022-01-21
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	31,630.71	29,784.05	-5.84%	25,741.64	-18.62%	0.0088	✓	0.54	6.8M	2022-01-21
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.10602	0.099874	-5.80%	0.07197	-32.12%	0.1711	✓	0.54	143k	2022-01-21
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20351	0.191936	-5.69%	0.16704	-17.92%	0.3299	✗	1.63	34k	2022-01-21
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6944	0.655412	-5.61%	0.4366	-37.13%	0.0364	✓	1.29	14.9M	2022-01-21
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	27.39	25.8553	-5.60%	34.64	+26.47%	0.5418	✗	0.87	41.0M	2022-01-21
ZEN	Horizen	Base	68	64.1923	-5.60%	38.94	-42.74%	0.0631	✓	1.52	1.7M	2022-01-21
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.271	1.2027	-5.37%	0.764	-39.89%	0.1720	✓	0.98	4.4M	2022-01-21
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3628	1.2897	-5.36%	1.4321	+5.09%	0.4137	✗	1.07	1.5M	2022-01-21
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.569	1.4853	-5.33%	0.984	-37.28%	0.0334	✓	1.32	5.4M	2022-01-21
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3641	1.2925	-5.25%	1.0303	-24.47%	0.0752	✗	1.05	35.5M	2022-01-21
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1365	0.129402	-5.20%	0.0834	-38.90%	0.1282	✓	1.08	508k	2022-01-21
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.0942	0.089322	-5.18%	0.05388	-42.80%	0.0714	✓	1.51	6.4M	2022-01-21
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.18	11.5651	-5.05%	6.72	-44.83%	0.6330	✓	-0.31	5.4M	2022-01-21
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.36	5.0956	-4.93%	3.96	-26.12%	0.0881	✗	1.18	2.8M	2022-01-21
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2077	0.197485	-4.92%	0.1206	-41.94%	0.1498	✓	1.19	7.6M	2022-01-21
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.2119	0.201516	-4.90%	0.0939	-55.69%	0.4335	✓	1.15	4.2M	2022-01-21
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.0179	0.017027	-4.88%	0.01111	-37.93%	0.0657	✓	1.26	3.6M	2022-01-21
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.801	1.7156	-4.74%	1.209	-32.87%	0.0209	✓	1.29	6.8M	2022-01-21
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.4299	8.9835	-4.73%	6.1225	-35.07%	0.0329	✓	1.45	349k	2022-01-21
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.1865	1.1304	-4.73%	0.81011	-31.72%	0.1688	✗	1.74	1.6M	2022-01-21
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.2078	0.198032	-4.70%	0.1474	-29.07%	0.0438	✓	0.87	776k	2022-01-21
XEC	eCash	native	0.00011055	0.000105405	-4.65%	0.00007968	-27.92%	0.0057	✓	0.99	12.0M	2022-01-21
SOL	Solana	Solana	178.45	170.2117	-4.62%	112.32	-37.06%	0.1254	✓	1.01	265.5M	2022-01-21
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.267724	0.255616	-4.52%	0.202862	-24.23%	0.0528	✗	0.99	39.0M	2022-01-21
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	438.3	418.8695	-4.43%	315.04	-28.12%	0.0120	✓	1.03	14.2M	2022-01-21
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.37	9.911	-4.43%	9.4	-9.35%	0.1611	✗	0.74	1.6M	2022-01-21
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.39	3.2419	-4.37%	2.46	-27.43%	0.0067	✓	0.98	1.3M	2022-01-21
DASH	Dash	Dash	135.16	129.277	-4.35%	105.73	-21.77%	0.1578	✗	1.25	2.2M	2022-01-21
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	16.21	15.5133	-4.30%	12.63	-22.09%	0.1595	✗	1.27	14.1M	2022-01-21
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.125	5.8618	-4.30%	6.243	+1.93%	0.2972	✗	0.81	4.7M	2022-01-21
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	23.34	22.3812	-4.11%	24.19	+3.64%	0.4618	✗	1.34	21.2M	2022-01-21
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.5418	4.3562	-4.09%	3.3417	-26.42%	0.1086	✗	1.30	5.1M	2022-01-21
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	273.22	262.1706	-4.04%	213.87	-21.72%	0.1071	✗	1.08	1.5M	2022-01-21
API3	Api3	Ethereum	5.04	4.8366	-4.04%	4.65	-7.74%	0.2483	✗	1.00	1.8M	2022-01-21
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	155.44	149.1946	-4.02%	114.51	-26.33%	0.1378	✗	1.40	60.2M	2022-01-21
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.21	1.1622	-3.95%	0.73	-39.67%	0.1773	✓	1.00	2.3M	2022-01-21
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.47	2.3724	-3.95%	1.84	-25.51%	0.0183	✓	0.95	4.7M	2022-01-21
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	10.14	9.7398	-3.95%	5.957	-41.25%	0.3066	✓	0.64	455k	2022-01-21
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.2372	3.1102	-3.92%	3.11	-3.93%	0.3466	✗	1.21	4.0M	2022-01-21
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.024	3.8719	-3.78%	3.392	-15.71%	0.0988	✗	0.80	714k	2022-01-21
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	33.08	31.8453	-3.73%	23.31	-29.53%	0.1200	✓	0.67	711k	2022-01-21
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	165.84	159.6866	-3.71%	102.35	-38.28%	0.0530	✓	1.36	13.6M	2022-01-21
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.36	6.1244	-3.70%	4.96	-22.01%	0.1671	✗	1.31	13.8M	2022-01-21
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.357	0.343777	-3.70%	0.271	-24.09%	0.0241	✓	0.74	49k	2022-01-21
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	5.0655	4.8785	-3.69%	3.555	-29.82%	0.0766	✗	1.37	5.0M	2022-01-21
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.53	4.3655	-3.63%	2.71	-40.18%	0.1891	✓	1.00	2.8M	2022-01-21
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.227	2.1478	-3.56%	1.445	-35.11%	0.0767	✓	1.11	3.4M	2022-01-21
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		10.58	10.2052	-3.54%	7.826	-26.03%	0.3160	✓	-0.18	129k	2022-01-21
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	27.24	26.279	-3.53%	19.67	-27.79%	0.0672	✗	1.24	75.5M	2022-01-21
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.79	15.2412	-3.48%	13.42	-15.01%	0.0637	✗	0.66	1.5M	2022-01-21
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	35.67	34.4582	-3.40%	25.95	-27.25%	0.0168	✓	1.04	6.2M	2022-01-21
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.56	15.0341	-3.38%	9.94	-36.12%	0.0852	✓	1.14	5.7M	2022-01-21
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	206.48	199.6887	-3.29%	171.09	-17.14%	0.1232	✗	0.97	11.4M	2022-01-21
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3279	1.2847	-3.25%	1.1211	-15.57%	0.1591	✗	1.03	128.9M	2022-01-21
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05685	0.055004	-3.25%	0.03977	-30.04%	0.0010	✓	1.12	20k	2022-01-21
XEM	NEM	native	0.1305	0.126317	-3.21%	0.097	-25.67%	0.0483	✗	1.09	202k	2022-01-21
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.973	2.878	-3.19%	2.197	-26.10%	0.0278	✓	0.84	103k	2022-01-21
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	35.63	34.5112	-3.14%	21.98	-38.31%	0.1599	✓	1.01	22.5M	2022-01-21
METRONOME	METRONOME		5.0079	4.8514	-3.12%	3.2277	-35.55%	0.1889	✓	0.76	31k	2022-01-21
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0865	0.083858	-3.05%	0.0634	-26.71%	0.0369	✗	1.10	22k	2022-01-21
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.07	2.9762	-3.05%	2	-34.85%	0.0277	✓	1.29	3.2M	2022-01-21
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11507	0.111614	-3.00%	0.08324	-27.66%	0.0234	✓	1.10	30k	2022-01-21
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	19.92	19.3434	-2.89%	17.44	-12.45%	0.2625	✗	1.27	67.0M	2022-01-21
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		123.67	120.1096	-2.88%	95.68	-22.63%	0.0558	✗	0.98	2.8M	2022-01-21
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.83	8.576	-2.88%	6.56	-25.71%	0.0460	✓	0.77	934k	2022-01-21
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2424	0.235813	-2.72%	0.1639	-32.38%	0.2324	✓	0.46	428k	2022-01-21
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.173188	0.168569	-2.67%	0.142057	-17.98%	0.1448	✗	1.10	5.5M	2022-01-21
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.79	8.5617	-2.60%	6.31	-28.21%	0.1165	✓	0.66	1.1M	2022-01-21
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.862	3.7624	-2.58%	3.168	-17.97%	0.0237	✓	0.68	487k	2022-01-21
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.151	5.0279	-2.39%	4.12	-20.02%	0.0172	✓	0.63	936k	2022-01-21
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	182.5	178.3571	-2.27%	114.44	-37.29%	0.1806	✓	0.91	12.1M	2022-01-21
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.5995	3.5223	-2.15%	3.5345	-1.81%	0.0223	✓	-0.09	372k	2022-01-21
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022989	0.022516	-2.06%	0.016171	-29.66%	0.0171	✓	1.21	2.0M	2022-01-21
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	206.65	202.4302	-2.04%	139.37	-32.56%	0.0707	✓	1.05	236k	2022-01-21
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,981.12	3,899.90	-2.04%	2,569.01	-35.47%	0.1122	✓	1.06	768.5M	2022-01-21
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.079046	0.077665	-1.75%	0.061109	-22.69%	0.0374	✗	0.96	787k	2022-01-21
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	48,608.62	47,780.51	-1.70%	36,456.94	-25.00%	0.0172	✗	1.00	750.8M	2022-01-21
XMR	Monero	Monero	190.53	187.5467	-1.57%	172.82	-9.30%	0.1919	✗	0.95	2.8M	2022-01-21
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.93	7.8084	-1.53%	5.64	-28.88%	0.1434	✓	0.63	1.1M	2022-01-21
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.4753	3.4283	-1.35%	2.3265	-33.06%	0.0881	✓	1.04	819k	2022-01-21
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	48,803.20	48,451.12	-0.72%	36,607.80	-24.99%	0.0029	✓	0.98	12k	2022-01-21

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.