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2021-12-19 · +30d

lstm_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 135 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1226
135 of 135 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+17.98%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.9%
in alpha space · 75.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.25%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (135 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NANOnanopayBase3.35563.3096-1.37%2.9248-12.84%0.0222✓1.04781k2022-01-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,160.0046,509.16-1.38%42,495.40-9.89%0.0060✓0.9915k2022-01-18
COMPCompoundEthereum195.44191.8944-1.81%178.35-8.74%0.0303✗1.07228k2022-01-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.47743.4141-1.82%3.6709+5.56%0.0628✗-0.10372k2022-01-18
XMRMoneroMonero183.97180.5059-1.88%204.44+11.13%0.2191✗0.982.9M2022-01-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,687.1945,788.61-1.92%42,369.74-9.25%0.0194✗1.00744.5M2022-01-18
TRXTRONTron0.0795040.077825-2.11%0.068419-13.94%0.0331✓0.99735k2022-01-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0231720.022672-2.16%0.019469-15.98%0.0321✓1.241.9M2022-01-18
ETHEthereumEthereum3,925.793,839.65-2.19%3,160.81-19.49%0.0894✓1.08768.5M2022-01-18
QNTQuantEthereum182.22178.0241-2.30%146.04-19.86%0.1110✓0.9012.3M2022-01-18
AAVEAaveEthereum183.44178.6768-2.60%232.45+26.72%0.3579✗0.9810.9M2022-01-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.169530.164881-2.74%0.165155-2.58%0.1102✗1.125.3M2022-01-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.8818.3584-2.76%22.98+21.72%0.3495✗1.2969.7M2022-01-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.967.7333-2.85%7.79-2.14%0.0714✗0.661.1M2022-01-18
XVSVenusEthereum15.4815.0383-2.85%13.04-15.76%0.0302✓1.166.6M2022-01-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.646.4468-2.91%6.43-3.16%0.0596✗0.641.1M2022-01-18
XYMSymbolnative0.25770.250082-2.96%0.1864-27.67%0.2482✓0.47434k2022-01-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7224.5767-3.08%4.936+4.53%0.1368✗0.63961k2022-01-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV123.02119.1585-3.14%108.41-11.88%0.0024✓1.002.3M2022-01-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.055640.053873-3.18%0.04814-13.48%0.0023✓1.1422k2022-01-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.348.0733-3.20%7.81-6.35%0.0431✗0.79824k2022-01-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.93344.7742-3.23%4.0803-17.29%0.0818✓0.7831k2022-01-18
CBKCobakEthereum2.9842.887-3.25%2.691-9.82%0.0130✓0.86105k2022-01-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.111040.107428-3.25%0.10541-5.07%0.0898✗1.1231k2022-01-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08460.081843-3.26%0.0796-5.91%0.0804✗1.1124k2022-01-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.8933.7457-3.28%32.64-6.45%0.0695✗1.066.9M2022-01-18
XEMNEMnative0.12880.124502-3.34%0.1142-11.34%0.0211✓1.11191k2022-01-18
ADACardanoCardano1.24431.2016-3.43%1.4589+17.25%0.2942✗1.03131.8M2022-01-18
GITCOINGITCOIN9.2798.9539-3.50%11.382+22.66%0.2192✗-0.21119k2022-01-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1312.0558-3.53%1.794-15.81%0.0274✓1.123.4M2022-01-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.553.4241-3.55%3.727+4.99%0.1499✗0.67532k2022-01-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.834.5169-3.58%28.48-20.45%0.0919✓1.0320.8M2022-01-18
API3Api3Ethereum4.24.0411-3.78%4.64+10.48%0.2352✗1.001.7M2022-01-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3630.349187-3.81%0.376+3.58%0.1466✗0.7554k2022-01-18
IMXImmutableEthereum4.54.3271-3.84%3.72-17.33%0.0541✓1.003.1M2022-01-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.4512.9307-3.86%14.74+9.59%0.1964✗0.671.6M2022-01-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.712.6052-3.87%2.55-5.90%0.1028✗1.282.9M2022-01-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum32.2531.0022-3.87%27.26-15.47%0.0644✓0.66754k2022-01-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.7823.8126-3.90%25.15+1.49%0.1761✗1.2575.1M2022-01-18
ZECZcashZcash157.78151.555-3.95%131.97-16.36%0.0038✓1.3915.2M2022-01-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8893.7342-3.98%4.117+5.86%0.1772✗0.82780k2022-01-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.3229.9086-4.00%7.355-28.74%0.2334✓0.67374k2022-01-18
XTZTezosTezos4.13833.9722-4.01%4.1162-0.53%0.1636✗1.324.2M2022-01-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.7551.6837-4.06%1.348-23.19%0.0965✓1.307.6M2022-01-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.171.1223-4.08%0.98-16.24%0.0385✓1.002.4M2022-01-18
SUSHISushiEthereum5.335.1099-4.13%6.21+16.51%0.3213✗1.3012.7M2022-01-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.422.32-4.13%2.19-9.50%0.0355✓0.964.9M2022-01-18
STORJStorjEthereum1.68471.6146-4.16%1.5502-7.98%0.0227✓0.651.4M2022-01-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin153.31146.9244-4.17%141.53-7.68%0.1019✗1.4463.2M2022-01-18
GTGateEthereum5.79835.5567-4.17%7.0464+21.53%0.3169✗0.825.2M2022-01-18
DASHDashDash129.18123.7278-4.22%130.54+1.05%0.1752✗1.252.2M2022-01-18
UNIUniswapEthereum14.9714.3358-4.24%15.98+6.75%0.2334✗1.2914.2M2022-01-18
QTUMQtumQtum9.08398.6987-4.24%7.8307-13.80%0.0381✓1.48356k2022-01-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.73624.5351-4.25%4.1197-13.02%0.0368✓1.375.2M2022-01-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19220.184021-4.26%0.1541-19.82%0.0605✓1.218.9M2022-01-18
XECeCashnative0.000108670.000104009-4.29%0.00009565-11.98%0.0136✓1.0014.3M2022-01-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.223.08-4.35%3.02-6.21%0.0765✗0.991.3M2022-01-18
KSMKusamaHydration274.31262.3467-4.36%253.4-7.62%0.0732✗1.111.5M2022-01-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash432.94413.8393-4.41%381.47-11.89%0.0205✓1.0514.2M2022-01-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum22.6721.6685-4.42%29.38+29.60%0.4340✗1.3320.5M2022-01-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.13121.0805-4.49%1.0043-11.22%0.0995✗1.781.6M2022-01-18
ZENHorizenBase65.5262.5387-4.55%52.32-20.15%0.0284✓1.552.2M2022-01-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.02332.8848-4.58%3.2233+6.62%0.2287✗1.214.7M2022-01-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20120.191748-4.70%0.1749-13.07%0.0069✓0.88776k2022-01-18
BANDBandEthereum5.124.8718-4.85%5.05-1.37%0.1507✗1.182.8M2022-01-18
SOLSolanaSolana179.95171.162-4.88%141.35-21.45%0.0919✓1.02281.0M2022-01-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.8811.2977-4.90%8.79-26.01%0.2834✓-0.335.9M2022-01-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13650.1298-4.91%0.105-23.08%0.1052✓1.10648k2022-01-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.27851.2154-4.93%1.473+15.21%0.2979✗1.091.6M2022-01-18
XLMStellarStellar0.2538850.241313-4.95%0.253995+0.04%0.1470✗0.9939.3M2022-01-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos22.1821.0804-4.96%38.27+72.54%0.6771✗0.8342.5M2022-01-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.092060.087458-5.00%0.07514-18.38%0.0102✓1.467.0M2022-01-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2191.1576-5.04%1.008-17.31%0.0418✓1.005.1M2022-01-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.588.1444-5.08%10.34+20.51%0.3066✗0.701.9M2022-01-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030760.000029189-5.11%0.00002811-8.62%0.0594✗1.001.8M2022-01-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017610.016705-5.14%0.01425-19.08%0.0369✓1.263.6M2022-01-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum40.8338.7312-5.14%23.4-42.69%0.3155✓1.9413.8M2022-01-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.35641.2864-5.16%1.3179-2.84%0.1267✗1.0638.2M2022-01-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4531.378-5.16%1.273-12.39%0.0493✓1.335.6M2022-01-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.64820.614501-5.20%0.5309-18.10%0.0263✓1.2414.9M2022-01-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.203670.192933-5.27%0.19779-2.89%0.1848✗1.6537k2022-01-18
LSKLiskEthereum2.33162.2084-5.29%2.0816-10.73%0.0563✗1.19191k2022-01-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.69090.654225-5.31%0.6816-1.35%0.1581✗1.218.2M2022-01-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,997.5130,247.91-5.47%32,596.41+1.87%0.1306✗0.575.5M2022-01-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.100480.09489-5.56%0.08843-11.99%0.0191✓0.53143k2022-01-18
XVGVergenative0.016740.015763-5.83%0.01322-21.03%0.0610✓1.183.6M2022-01-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum95.2989.7136-5.85%73.86-22.49%0.1016✓0.9610.9M2022-01-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.9087.4335-6.00%7-11.48%0.0716✗1.36640k2022-01-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.07090.066625-6.03%0.06479-8.62%0.0696✗1.0123.2M2022-01-18
SCSiacoinnative0.015370.014441-6.04%0.0133-13.47%0.0068✓0.922.1M2022-01-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.43510.408521-6.11%0.6027+38.52%0.4859✗1.001.8M2022-01-18
KCSKuCoinnative21.2319.9302-6.12%20.371-4.05%0.1895✗1.7324.3M2022-01-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.0480.045056-6.13%0.03887-19.02%0.0546✓0.9615.8M2022-01-18
FTTFTXEthereum39.7437.2959-6.15%44.97+13.16%0.2905✗1.0726.1M2022-01-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.214.8878-6.18%5.03-3.45%0.1334✗1.085.5M2022-01-18
MINAMina Protocolnative3.182.9811-6.25%3.45+8.49%0.2415✗0.98821k2022-01-18
MOVRMoonriverBase183.3809171.597-6.43%126.385-31.08%0.1944✓1.151.2M2022-01-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09470.088589-6.45%0.0808-14.68%0.0400✓1.363.6M2022-01-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6040.564902-6.47%0.499-17.38%0.0036✓1.243.4M2022-01-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.95595.5624-6.61%5.9429-0.22%0.1813✗1.19876k2022-01-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.725.339-6.66%3.25-43.18%0.3993✓1.0011.5M2022-01-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.551.4465-6.68%1.28-17.42%0.0420✓1.692.1M2022-01-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6283.3839-6.73%3.378-6.89%0.0953✗1.003.8M2022-01-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.7323.0547-6.77%19.56-20.91%0.0609✓1.073.0M2022-01-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.173.8864-6.80%4.56+9.35%0.2885✗1.3328.7M2022-01-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum31.8429.6671-6.82%27.84-12.56%0.0836✗1.521.6M2022-01-18
LRCLoopringEthereum2.05191.9112-6.86%1.1612-43.41%0.3071✓1.972.3M2022-01-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3352.174-6.89%2.277-2.48%0.1355✗0.923.4M2022-01-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36580.340268-6.98%0.3129-14.46%0.0434✓1.317.0M2022-01-18
UOSUltraEthereum1.47011.3672-7.00%1.236-15.92%0.0033✓1.017.8M2022-01-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.65181.5357-7.03%0.8648-47.64%0.5272✓0.489.0M2022-01-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.32520.301865-7.18%0.3128-3.81%0.1211✗0.88775k2022-01-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.06410.987671-7.18%1.1015+3.51%0.2017✗0.9523.6M2022-01-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.770370.714813-7.21%0.720057-6.53%0.1120✗1.084.8M2022-01-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0608960.056494-7.23%0.052076-14.48%0.0648✓1.5113.9M2022-01-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.30630.283903-7.31%0.4092+33.59%0.5085✗1.474.9M2022-01-18
UMAUMAEthereum9.098.4191-7.38%7.94-12.65%0.0491✓1.114.1M2022-01-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.28.507-7.53%11.41+24.02%0.2782✗-0.163.7M2022-01-18
DODODODOEthereum0.8260.763369-7.58%0.739-10.53%0.1103✗1.4712.1M2022-01-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.4290.395306-7.85%0.9154+113.38%1.0148✗1.8010.2M2022-01-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.26310.242006-8.02%0.259-1.56%0.1907✗1.277.4M2022-01-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.533.2468-8.02%3.54+0.28%0.1835✗1.0012.1M2022-01-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.016890.015517-8.13%0.01274-24.57%0.1002✓1.0033.0M2022-01-18
RADRadworksEthereum9.99.0816-8.27%7.44-24.85%0.1057✓0.971.9M2022-01-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum35.1432.2255-8.29%34.09-2.99%0.2268✗1.766.8M2022-01-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche107.698.343-8.60%86.02-20.06%0.0239✓1.13164.3M2022-01-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07070.064477-8.80%0.0499-29.42%0.1222✓1.383.5M2022-01-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.69.6116-9.32%8.78-17.17%0.0421✓0.504.2M2022-01-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.020350.018413-9.52%0.01679-17.49%0.0379✓0.5661k2022-01-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.07690.972865-9.66%0.9593-10.92%0.1338✗1.523.6M2022-01-18
MANADecentralandEthereum3.25672.9301-10.03%2.859-12.21%0.0609✓0.8812.2M2022-01-18
HIVEHivenative1.46421.3138-10.27%1.2149-17.03%0.0512✓1.3312.4M2022-01-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.64580.577003-10.65%0.6093-5.65%0.1738✗1.238.7M2022-01-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0384950.033177-13.81%0.027164-29.43%0.1011✓1.0215.0M2022-01-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.27680.237166-14.32%0.1293-53.29%0.4886✓1.223.7M2022-01-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.