DARK

Darkwoods · Robinhood · lstm_s8

token id: #795
symbol: DARK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xdc45b71d7203c2e8baafc43a19bca0eb993bb54e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 456

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

149

of 152 predictions shown

direction hit

63.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1004

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0022

actual -0.0378

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.001307	0.001302	-0.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.000949	0.000946725	-0.24%	0.001307	+37.72%	0.3254	✗	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.001397	0.001392	-0.35%	0.000949	-32.07%	0.3965	✓	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.001845	0.001835	-0.49%	0.001397	-24.26%	0.2709	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.002037	0.002026	-0.52%	0.001845	-9.45%	0.1017	✓	1.00
2025-08-04	oos	0.002796	0.002786	-0.36%	–	pending	–	–	3.62
2025-08-03	oos	0.00239	0.002384	-0.23%	0.002796	+17.03%	0.1345	✗	3.45
2025-08-02	oos	0.002305	0.002301	-0.19%	0.00239	+3.67%	0.0127	✓	3.43
2025-08-01	oos	0.002374	0.00237	-0.18%	0.002305	-2.91%	0.0066	✓	3.37
2025-07-31	oos	0.002516	0.002511	-0.19%	0.002374	-5.64%	0.0217	✗	3.55
2025-07-30	oos	0.002592	0.002587	-0.19%	0.002516	-2.93%	0.0365	✗	3.63
2025-07-29	oos	0.00286	0.002853	-0.24%	0.002592	-9.37%	0.0930	✓	3.37
2025-07-28	oos	0.003153	0.003142	-0.34%	0.00286	-9.29%	0.0902	✓	3.38
2025-07-27	oos	0.003054	0.003045	-0.29%	0.003153	+3.24%	0.0752	✗	3.44
2025-07-26	oos	0.002947	0.002939	-0.27%	0.003054	+3.63%	0.0037	✓	3.34
2025-07-25	oos	0.003035	0.003026	-0.31%	0.002947	-2.90%	0.0359	✓	3.37
2025-07-24	oos	0.003066	0.003056	-0.32%	0.003035	-1.01%	0.0147	✗	3.35
2025-07-23	oos	0.003233	0.00322	-0.40%	0.003066	-5.17%	0.0376	✓	3.29
2025-07-22	oos	0.003309	0.003294	-0.45%	0.003233	-2.30%	0.0150	✗	3.32
2025-07-21	oos	0.003192	0.003178	-0.44%	0.003309	+3.67%	0.0322	✓	3.32
2025-07-20	oos	0.002797	0.002788	-0.31%	0.003192	+14.12%	0.1309	✗	4.40
2025-07-19	oos	0.002741	0.002733	-0.30%	0.002797	+2.04%	0.0438	✗	4.02
2025-07-18	oos	0.002851	0.002841	-0.33%	0.002741	-3.86%	0.0323	✓	4.05
2025-07-17	oos	0.002938	0.002928	-0.36%	0.002851	-2.96%	0.0164	✗	4.07
2025-07-16	oos	0.002999	0.002987	-0.40%	0.002938	-2.03%	0.0366	✓	4.02
2025-07-15	oos	0.002946	0.002935	-0.38%	0.002999	+1.80%	0.0089	✓	4.02
2025-07-14	oos	0.002694	0.002686	-0.31%	0.002946	+9.35%	0.1657	✗	4.17
2025-07-13	oos	0.002897	0.002886	-0.37%	0.002694	-7.01%	0.0946	✓	4.18
2025-07-12	oos	0.003098	0.003084	-0.44%	0.002897	-6.49%	0.1217	✓	4.21
2025-07-11	oos	0.003358	0.003339	-0.57%	0.003098	-7.74%	0.0709	✓	4.20
2025-07-10	oos	0.003002	0.002989	-0.44%	0.003358	+11.86%	0.0612	✗	4.17
2025-07-09	oos	0.002724	0.002715	-0.32%	0.003002	+10.21%	0.0759	✓	4.22
2025-07-08	oos	0.002578	0.002572	-0.22%	0.002724	+5.66%	0.0316	✓	4.21
2025-07-07	oos	0.002644	0.002639	-0.20%	0.002578	-2.50%	0.0499	✓	4.21
2025-07-06	oos	0.002814	0.002807	-0.26%	0.002644	-6.04%	0.0229	✓	4.22
2025-07-05	oos	0.002657	0.002653	-0.14%	0.002814	+5.91%	0.0213	✗	4.21
2025-07-04	oos	0.002586	0.002585	-0.06%	0.002657	+2.75%	0.0192	✗	4.21
2025-07-03	oos	0.002754	0.002751	-0.13%	0.002586	-6.10%	0.0007	✓	4.24
2025-07-02	oos	0.002885	0.002882	-0.10%	0.002754	-4.54%	0.0742	✓	4.24
2025-07-01	oos	0.002573	0.002579	+0.23%	0.002885	+12.13%	0.0124	✗	4.21
2025-06-30	oos	0.003278	0.003274	-0.13%	0.002573	-21.51%	0.1845	✓	4.11
2025-06-29	oos	0.003167	0.003166	-0.03%	0.003278	+3.50%	0.0819	✗	4.19
2025-06-28	oos	0.002957	0.002962	+0.18%	0.003167	+7.10%	0.0269	✓	4.17
2025-06-27	oos	0.003523	0.003522	-0.04%	0.002957	-16.07%	0.1841	✓	4.16
2025-06-26	oos	0.004013	0.004004	-0.21%	0.003523	-12.21%	0.1313	✓	4.15
2025-06-25	oos	0.004036	0.004029	-0.18%	0.004013	-0.57%	0.0105	✗	4.17
2025-06-24	oos	0.004267	0.004259	-0.20%	0.004036	-5.41%	0.1031	✓	4.19
2025-06-23	oos	0.004368	0.00436	-0.17%	0.004267	-2.31%	0.0502	✓	4.19
2025-06-22	oos	0.004004	0.004009	+0.13%	0.004368	+9.09%	0.0977	✗	4.28
2025-06-21	oos	0.003983	0.00399	+0.17%	0.004004	+0.53%	0.0533	✓	4.34
2025-06-20	oos	0.004445	0.004446	+0.03%	0.003983	-10.39%	0.0612	✗	4.33
2025-06-19	oos	0.004911	0.004905	-0.13%	0.004445	-9.49%	0.0419	✓	4.33
2025-06-18	oos	0.005086	0.005078	-0.15%	0.004911	-3.44%	0.0235	✓	4.34
2025-06-17	oos	0.005041	0.005038	-0.05%	0.005086	+0.89%	0.0041	✓	4.34
2025-06-16	oos	0.005281	0.005273	-0.15%	0.005041	-4.54%	0.0503	✗	4.45
2025-06-15	oos	0.005917	0.005898	-0.32%	0.005281	-10.75%	0.1636	✓	4.50
2025-06-14	oos	0.006217	0.006192	-0.40%	0.005917	-4.83%	0.0512	✓	4.50
2025-06-13	oos	0.005012	0.005017	+0.11%	0.006217	+24.04%	0.2429	✓	4.64
2025-06-12	oos	0.005304	0.005309	+0.09%	0.005012	-5.51%	0.0748	✗	4.64
2025-06-11	oos	0.006633	0.006604	-0.43%	0.005304	-20.04%	0.0937	✓	4.57
2025-06-10	oos	0.005894	0.005887	-0.12%	0.006633	+12.54%	0.1910	✗	4.81
2025-06-09	oos	0.006098	0.00609	-0.13%	0.005894	-3.35%	0.0327	✓	4.82
2025-06-08	oos	0.005929	0.005935	+0.10%	0.006098	+2.85%	0.1847	✗	5.07
2025-06-07	oos	0.005997	0.006005	+0.14%	0.005929	-1.13%	0.0207	✗	5.07
2025-06-06	oos	0.005891	0.005904	+0.21%	0.005997	+1.80%	0.0432	✗	5.07
2025-06-05	oos	0.005238	0.005256	+0.34%	0.005891	+12.47%	0.0237	✗	5.02
2025-06-04	oos	0.00631	0.006324	+0.23%	0.005238	-16.99%	0.0319	✗	5.07
2025-06-03	oos	0.00767	0.007669	-0.01%	0.00631	-17.73%	0.1621	✓	5.00
2025-06-02	oos	0.007135	0.007144	+0.13%	0.00767	+7.50%	0.0930	✓	5.09
2025-06-01	oos	0.007398	0.007407	+0.12%	0.007135	-3.56%	0.0473	✗	5.09
2025-05-31	oos	0.006696	0.006713	+0.26%	0.007398	+10.48%	0.0466	✓	5.05
2025-05-30	oos	0.006587	0.006607	+0.30%	0.006696	+1.65%	0.0163	✗	5.05
2025-05-29	oos	0.007919	0.007933	+0.18%	0.006587	-16.82%	0.1127	✗	4.98
2025-05-28	oos	0.00946	0.009442	-0.19%	0.007919	-16.29%	0.0714	✓	4.96
2025-05-27	oos	0.010931	0.010881	-0.46%	0.00946	-13.46%	0.0873	✓	4.92
2025-05-26	oos	0.01142	0.011365	-0.49%	0.010931	-4.28%	0.0169	✓	4.95
2025-05-25	oos	0.011277	0.011226	-0.45%	0.01142	+1.27%	0.0017	✓	4.96
2025-05-24	oos	0.012084	0.012024	-0.50%	0.011277	-6.68%	0.1218	✓	4.99
2025-05-23	oos	0.012392	0.012329	-0.51%	0.012084	-2.49%	0.0416	✓	4.99
2025-05-22	oos	0.015393	0.015292	-0.65%	0.012392	-19.50%	0.0032	✓	5.16
2025-05-21	oos	0.012423	0.012362	-0.49%	0.015393	+23.91%	0.1280	✗	4.99
2025-05-20	oos	0.011758	0.011707	-0.44%	0.012423	+5.66%	0.0709	✓	5.01
2025-05-19	oos	0.012125	0.012069	-0.46%	0.011758	-3.03%	0.0860	✓	5.02
2025-05-18	oos	0.011663	0.011616	-0.40%	0.012125	+3.96%	0.0851	✗	5.22
2025-05-17	oos	0.011383	0.011346	-0.32%	0.011663	+2.46%	0.1427	✓	5.39
2025-05-16	oos	0.011643	0.011605	-0.33%	0.011383	-2.23%	0.0160	✓	1.00
2025-05-15	oos	0.012234	0.012191	-0.35%	0.011643	-4.83%	0.0432	✓	1.00
2025-05-14	oos	0.013635	0.013582	-0.39%	0.012234	-10.28%	0.1069	✓	1.00
2025-05-13	oos	0.016633	0.016557	-0.46%	0.013635	-18.02%	0.1885	✓	1.00
2025-05-12	oos	0.018853	0.01874	-0.60%	0.016633	-11.78%	0.1321	✓	1.00
2025-05-11	oos	0.017499	0.017411	-0.50%	0.018853	+7.74%	0.0925	✗	1.00
2025-05-10	oos	0.016775	0.016697	-0.46%	0.017499	+4.32%	0.0534	✗	1.00
2025-05-09	oos	0.01342	0.01337	-0.37%	0.016775	+25.00%	0.2093	✗	1.00
2025-05-08	in	0.015819	0.015751	-0.43%	0.01342	-15.17%	0.1576	✓	1.00
2025-05-07	in	0.011052	0.011039	-0.12%	0.015819	+43.13%	0.2979	✗	1.00
2025-05-06	in	0.01415	0.014109	-0.29%	0.011052	-21.89%	0.2465	✓	1.00
2025-05-05	in	0.015996	0.015936	-0.37%	0.01415	-11.54%	0.1409	✓	1.00
2025-05-04	in	0.017052	0.016985	-0.39%	0.015996	-6.19%	0.0649	✓	1.00
2025-05-03	in	0.01703	0.016967	-0.37%	0.017052	+0.13%	0.0217	✗	1.00
2025-05-02	in	0.023187	0.023076	-0.48%	0.01703	-26.55%	0.2928	✓	1.00
2025-05-01	in	0.0163	0.016252	-0.30%	0.023187	+42.25%	0.3512	✗	1.00
2025-04-30	in	0.02036	0.020282	-0.39%	0.0163	-19.94%	0.2431	✓	1.00
2025-04-29	in	0.024322	0.024227	-0.39%	0.02036	-16.29%	0.1729	✓	1.00
2025-04-28	in	0.025719	0.025623	-0.37%	0.024322	-5.43%	0.0440	✓	1.00
2025-04-27	in	0.030589	0.030416	-0.57%	0.025719	-15.92%	0.1811	✓	1.00
2025-04-26	in	0.03442	0.034178	-0.70%	0.030589	-11.13%	0.1015	✓	1.00
2024-01-16	in	0.000009	0.000009015	+0.16%	–	pending	–	–	-1.27
2024-01-15	in	0.0000157	0.000015754	+0.34%	0.000009	-42.68%	0.5436	✗	-1.09
2024-01-14	in	0.0000149	0.000014963	+0.43%	0.0000157	+5.37%	0.0694	✓	-1.13
2024-01-13	in	0.00001622	0.000016277	+0.35%	0.0000149	-8.14%	0.1212	✗	-1.21
2024-01-12	in	0.0000257	0.000025669	-0.12%	0.00001622	-36.89%	0.4571	✓	-1.23
2024-01-11	in	0.00002504	0.000024989	-0.20%	0.0000257	+2.64%	0.0850	✓	-1.41
2024-01-10	in	0.00002673	0.000026651	-0.29%	0.00002504	-6.32%	0.0724	✓	-1.44
2024-01-09	in	0.00003347	0.000033321	-0.45%	0.00002673	-20.14%	0.2042	✓	-1.38
2024-01-08	in	0.00002866	0.00002858	-0.28%	0.00003347	+16.78%	0.1343	✗	-1.26
2024-01-07	in	0.00002885	0.000028801	-0.17%	0.00002866	-0.66%	0.0963	✗	-1.51
2024-01-06	in	0.00003261	0.000032491	-0.36%	0.00002885	-11.53%	0.1203	✓	-1.54
2024-01-05	in	0.0000316	0.000031498	-0.32%	0.00003261	+3.20%	0.0280	✗	-1.52
2024-01-04	in	0.000032	0.000031897	-0.32%	0.0000316	-1.25%	0.0096	✓	-1.52
2024-01-03	in	0.00003349	0.000033392	-0.29%	0.000032	-4.45%	0.0044	✗	-1.54
2024-01-02	in	0.0000337	0.000033584	-0.34%	0.00003349	-0.62%	0.0861	✓	-1.73
2024-01-01	in	0.00003166	0.000031581	-0.25%	0.0000337	+6.44%	0.0953	✗	-1.80
2023-12-31	in	0.00003167	0.00003162	-0.16%	0.00003166	-0.03%	0.0913	✗	-2.01
2023-12-30	in	0.00003168	0.00003164	-0.13%	0.00003167	-0.03%	0.0080	✗	-2.02
2023-12-29	in	0.00003798	0.000037865	-0.30%	0.00003168	-16.59%	0.1746	✓	-2.03
2023-12-28	in	0.0000381	0.000037982	-0.31%	0.00003798	-0.31%	0.0251	✓	-2.05
2023-12-27	in	0.00002929	0.000029288	-0.01%	0.0000381	+30.08%	0.2278	✗	-1.70
2023-12-26	in	0.00003903	0.00003894	-0.23%	0.00002929	-24.96%	0.2530	✓	-1.43
2023-12-25	in	0.00004557	0.00004548	-0.20%	0.00003903	-14.35%	0.1975	✓	-1.79
2023-12-24	in	0.00005145	0.000051292	-0.31%	0.00004557	-11.43%	0.0957	✓	-1.73
2023-12-23	in	0.00004727	0.00004718	-0.19%	0.00005145	+8.84%	0.0599	✗	-1.65
2023-12-22	in	0.00003765	0.000037587	-0.17%	0.00004727	+25.55%	0.2358	✗	1.00
2023-12-21	in	0.00004179	0.000041727	-0.15%	0.00003765	-9.91%	0.1060	✓	1.00
2023-12-20	in	0.00004502	0.000044963	-0.13%	0.00004179	-7.17%	0.0778	✓	1.00
2023-12-19	in	0.00005	0.000049865	-0.27%	0.00004502	-9.96%	0.1350	✓	1.00
2023-12-18	in	0.000056	0.000055831	-0.30%	0.00005	-10.71%	0.1013	✓	1.00
2023-12-17	in	0.00005097	0.000050773	-0.39%	0.000056	+9.87%	0.0670	✗	1.00
2023-12-16	in	0.000045	0.000044843	-0.35%	0.00005097	+13.27%	0.1493	✗	1.00
2023-12-15	in	0.00004838	0.000048081	-0.62%	0.000045	-6.99%	0.0734	✓	1.00
2023-12-14	in	0.00004328	0.000043258	-0.05%	0.00004838	+11.78%	0.1376	✗	1.00
2023-12-13	in	0.00004588	0.000045869	-0.02%	0.00004328	-5.67%	0.0614	✓	1.00
2023-12-12	in	0.00006089	0.00006073	-0.26%	0.00004588	-24.65%	0.3138	✓	1.00
2023-12-11	in	0.00006109	0.000060911	-0.29%	0.00006089	-0.33%	0.0063	✓	1.00
2023-12-10	in	0.00006163	0.000061659	+0.05%	0.00006109	-0.88%	0.0511	✓	1.00
2023-12-09	in	0.00005702	0.000057064	+0.08%	0.00006163	+8.08%	0.0754	✓	1.00
2023-12-08	in	0.00005751	0.000057588	+0.14%	0.00005702	-0.85%	0.0008	✓	1.00
2023-12-07	in	0.00006009	0.000060103	+0.02%	0.00005751	-4.29%	0.0649	✗	1.00
2023-12-06	in	0.0000579	0.000057963	+0.11%	0.00006009	+3.78%	0.0471	✓	1.00
2023-12-05	in	0.00005568	0.000055762	+0.15%	0.0000579	+3.99%	0.0449	✓	1.00
2023-12-04	in	0.00006001	0.000059972	-0.06%	0.00005568	-7.22%	0.1230	✓	1.00
2023-12-03	in	0.00006997	0.00006967	-0.43%	0.00006001	-14.23%	0.1981	✓	1.00
2023-12-02	in	0.00006388	0.00006364	-0.38%	0.00006997	+9.53%	0.0821	✗	1.00