2022-02-09 · +30d

lstm_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2288

148 of 148 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+21.72%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

71.6%

in alpha space · 77.0% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-12.80%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.288	0.299068	+3.84%	0.226	-21.53%	0.1494	✗	0.95	70k	2022-03-11
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.9982	2.0556	+2.87%	2.1155	+5.87%	0.1795	✓	1.10	79k	2022-03-11
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.069943	0.07169	+2.50%	0.060203	-13.93%	0.0517	✗	0.90	362k	2022-03-11
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.609	2.6732	+2.46%	2.114	-18.97%	0.0903	✗	1.05	22k	2022-03-11
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.347	3.4269	+2.39%	2.741	-18.11%	0.1126	✗	0.81	206k	2022-03-11
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.14	7.2815	+1.98%	7.84	+9.80%	0.1845	✓	0.81	463k	2022-03-11
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.2042	7.3265	+1.70%	5.8755	-18.44%	0.0228	✗	1.45	156k	2022-03-11
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.801	4.8818	+1.68%	4.326	-9.89%	0.0067	✓	0.83	346k	2022-03-11
XVG	Verge	native	0.01253	0.012741	+1.68%	0.00939	-25.06%	0.1187	✗	1.36	1.3M	2022-03-11
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.3519	1.3734	+1.59%	0.96652	-28.51%	0.2105	✗	1.03	279k	2022-03-11
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08573	0.086848	+1.30%	0.07118	-16.97%	0.0954	✗	0.76	89k	2022-03-11
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0943	0.09551	+1.28%	0.0696	-26.19%	0.1479	✗	1.23	219k	2022-03-11
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	44,492.60	45,051.52	+1.26%	38,852.80	-12.68%	0.0157	✗	0.97	41k	2022-03-11
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6233	0.631128	+1.26%	0.6706	+7.59%	0.2402	✓	1.31	2.6M	2022-03-11
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0794	0.080316	+1.15%	0.06831	-13.97%	0.0132	✗	1.09	21k	2022-03-11
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.94	2.9733	+1.13%	1.75	-40.48%	0.3554	✗	1.28	401k	2022-03-11
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	10.06	10.172	+1.11%	8.54	-15.11%	0.0024	✓	1.29	2.5M	2022-03-11
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6	6.0646	+1.08%	5.49	-8.50%	0.0076	✓	0.78	377k	2022-03-11
XEM	NEM	native	0.1212	0.12248	+1.06%	0.0935	-22.85%	0.1267	✗	1.05	35k	2022-03-11
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.18	7.2505	+0.98%	6.28	-12.53%	0.0231	✗	0.88	416k	2022-03-11
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.81	2.8359	+0.92%	1.705	-39.32%	0.3821	✗	0.92	2.6M	2022-03-11
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01205	0.012129	+0.65%	0.00879	-27.05%	0.1841	✗	1.01	572k	2022-03-11
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.94117	0.946743	+0.59%	0.65584	-30.32%	0.1648	✗	1.48	311k	2022-03-11
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	21.27	21.3705	+0.47%	13.72	-35.50%	0.2071	✗	1.72	3.8M	2022-03-11
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10785	0.108205	+0.33%	0.09115	-15.48%	0.0264	✗	1.06	49k	2022-03-11
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.48	7.5025	+0.30%	5.85	-21.79%	0.2046	✗	0.32	1.0M	2022-03-11
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	16.51	16.5446	+0.21%	12.74	-22.83%	0.1178	✗	1.05	590k	2022-03-11
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.897	6.9089	+0.17%	4.778	-30.72%	0.2451	✗	0.90	81k	2022-03-11
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		9.329	9.3408	+0.13%	5.556	-40.44%	0.4748	✗	0.33	38k	2022-03-11
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.706728	0.707069	+0.05%	0.48841	-30.89%	0.2127	✗	1.15	3.5M	2022-03-11
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.0312	0.031213	+0.04%	0.02468	-20.90%	0.1129	✗	0.89	6.6M	2022-03-11
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.083	3.0833	+0.01%	5.761	+86.86%	0.8101	✓	1.35	1.1M	2022-03-11
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	144.23	144.1906	-0.03%	102.07	-29.23%	0.1713	✓	1.27	65k	2022-03-11
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		101.5	101.4456	-0.05%	78.04	-23.11%	0.1386	✓	0.90	1.4M	2022-03-11
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.09	1.0892	-0.07%	0.59	-45.87%	0.3477	✓	1.94	1.1M	2022-03-11
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.3633	5.3588	-0.08%	4.0628	-24.25%	0.1094	✓	1.22	442k	2022-03-11
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.0423	7.0353	-0.10%	6.328	-10.14%	0.0162	✗	0.89	4.1M	2022-03-11
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1678	0.167521	-0.17%	0.1489	-11.26%	0.0251	✗	1.04	412k	2022-03-11
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3218	0.32115	-0.20%	0.1962	-39.03%	0.2807	✓	1.55	4.0M	2022-03-11
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.086	1.0837	-0.21%	0.807	-25.69%	0.1073	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-03-11
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	44,416.35	44,323.19	-0.21%	38,732.04	-12.80%	0.0021	✗	1.00	642.7M	2022-03-11
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	25.8	25.7415	-0.23%	17.81	-30.97%	0.1539	✓	1.57	398k	2022-03-11
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	6.08	6.062	-0.30%	4.44	-26.97%	0.1696	✓	1.04	773k	2022-03-11
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01324	0.013196	-0.33%	0.01186	-10.42%	0.0020	✓	0.79	12k	2022-03-11
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.66	6.6314	-0.43%	7.075	+6.23%	0.1986	✗	0.98	1.9M	2022-03-11
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	346.21	344.607	-0.46%	287.73	-16.89%	0.0410	✓	1.02	7.9M	2022-03-11
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.28	2.2688	-0.49%	1.64	-28.07%	0.1466	✓	1.30	2.2M	2022-03-11
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.43	1.4229	-0.49%	1.113	-22.17%	0.0762	✓	1.24	3.2M	2022-03-11
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.832	1.8206	-0.62%	1.464	-20.09%	0.0608	✓	1.15	1.6M	2022-03-11
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.024233	0.024068	-0.68%	0.01714	-29.27%	0.1733	✓	1.21	2.5M	2022-03-11
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01509	0.014979	-0.73%	0.01151	-23.72%	0.0595	✓	1.49	1.7M	2022-03-11
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.591	0.586469	-0.77%	0.385	-34.86%	0.2243	✓	1.44	4.6M	2022-03-11
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	57.56	57.1002	-0.80%	88.28	+53.37%	0.6281	✗	1.41	8.8M	2022-03-11
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0468	0.046413	-0.83%	0.03906	-16.54%	0.0197	✓	1.12	30k	2022-03-11
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.4	2.3798	-0.84%	1.6874	-29.69%	0.1815	✓	1.19	845k	2022-03-11
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.83	2.8061	-0.85%	2.16	-23.67%	0.1225	✓	1.02	489k	2022-03-11
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7609	0.753973	-0.91%	0.4152	-45.43%	0.3868	✓	1.53	938k	2022-03-11
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.17	4.1316	-0.92%	3.44	-17.51%	0.0100	✓	1.26	1.9M	2022-03-11
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	188.2	186.39	-0.96%	116.61	-38.04%	0.2780	✓	1.39	9.5M	2022-03-11
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	7.06	6.9917	-0.97%	3.82	-45.89%	0.4536	✓	1.10	733k	2022-03-11
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.159048	0.15751	-0.97%	0.11539	-27.45%	0.1706	✓	1.03	7.1M	2022-03-11
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	107.0699	106.0275	-0.97%	48.7591	-54.46%	0.5824	✓	1.42	320k	2022-03-11
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	126.05	124.809	-0.98%	153.51	+21.79%	0.3795	✗	1.26	6.6M	2022-03-11
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003298	0.000032654	-0.99%	0.00002206	-33.11%	0.2005	✓	1.40	1.4M	2022-03-11
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.827	0.8187	-1.00%	0.636	-23.10%	0.1031	✓	1.09	1.6M	2022-03-11
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	67.62	66.9358	-1.01%	45.9	-32.12%	0.2106	✓	1.22	8.4M	2022-03-11
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	12.33	12.2039	-1.02%	8.51	-30.98%	0.1799	✓	1.32	12.5M	2022-03-11
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.796	3.7566	-1.04%	2.869	-24.42%	0.1499	✓	0.87	536k	2022-03-11
XMR	Monero	Monero	185.83	183.8423	-1.07%	170.68	-8.15%	0.0683	✗	1.04	1.5M	2022-03-11
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.21	2.1863	-1.07%	1.06	-52.04%	0.5626	✓	1.18	1.7M	2022-03-11
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.4429	4.3949	-1.08%	2.9889	-32.73%	0.2059	✓	1.31	2.3M	2022-03-11
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4877	0.482384	-1.09%	0.3189	-34.61%	0.2337	✓	1.32	9.2M	2022-03-11
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.406	0.401545	-1.10%	0.262	-35.47%	0.2412	✓	1.36	1.8M	2022-03-11
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2907	1.2733	-1.35%	1.1514	-10.79%	0.0611	✗	1.18	2.3M	2022-03-11
ZEN	Horizen	Base	47.83	47.1846	-1.35%	37.86	-20.84%	0.0095	✓	1.54	461k	2022-03-11
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	33.92	33.4265	-1.45%	22.89	-32.52%	0.1724	✓	1.51	2.0M	2022-03-11
DASH	Dash	Dash	114.95	113.1492	-1.57%	94.95	-17.40%	0.0202	✓	1.13	2.2M	2022-03-11
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1868	0.183762	-1.63%	0.1335	-28.53%	0.2220	✓	0.71	423k	2022-03-11
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1237	0.121674	-1.64%	0.0787	-36.38%	0.2230	✓	1.55	1.5M	2022-03-11
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0976	1.0795	-1.64%	0.6978	-36.42%	0.2251	✓	1.54	672k	2022-03-11
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2963	0.291329	-1.68%	0.2186	-26.22%	0.1388	✓	1.08	1.7M	2022-03-11
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05941	0.058406	-1.69%	0.0472	-20.55%	0.0172	✓	1.43	1.2M	2022-03-11
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3185	0.312681	-1.83%	0.2585	-18.84%	0.0383	✓	1.11	518k	2022-03-11
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,246.22	3,186.17	-1.85%	2,556.42	-21.25%	0.0682	✓	1.11	544.5M	2022-03-11
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	18.7	18.3525	-1.86%	13.05	-30.21%	0.1780	✓	1.19	75.4M	2022-03-11
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5406	0.530454	-1.88%	0.2924	-45.91%	0.3928	✓	1.48	2.2M	2022-03-11
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.76	4.6699	-1.89%	2.89	-39.29%	0.2929	✓	1.37	8.0M	2022-03-11
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	192.22	188.45	-1.96%	124.19	-35.39%	0.2520	✓	1.20	1.0M	2022-03-11
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.8968	3.8193	-1.99%	3.707	-4.87%	0.1211	✗	1.10	2.5M	2022-03-11
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1947	1.1701	-2.06%	0.7884	-34.01%	0.2429	✓	1.11	109.8M	2022-03-11
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2412	0.235706	-2.28%	0.1931	-19.94%	0.0087	✓	1.39	3.7M	2022-03-11
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1429	0.139614	-2.30%	0.1144	-19.94%	0.0108	✓	1.38	3.2M	2022-03-11
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.0371	1.013	-2.32%	0.7014	-32.37%	0.2174	✓	1.10	29.2M	2022-03-11
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	33.84	33.052	-2.33%	26.5	-21.69%	0.0756	✓	1.06	4.0M	2022-03-11
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.91	10.6554	-2.33%	10.59	-2.93%	0.0904	✗	0.71	660k	2022-03-11
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	150.18	146.5937	-2.39%	113.22	-24.61%	0.1210	✓	1.00	7.6M	2022-03-11
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	23.1	22.541	-2.42%	16.01	-30.69%	0.1847	✓	1.15	26.1M	2022-03-11
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.48	27.7887	-2.43%	27.91	-2.00%	0.1367	✗	0.97	566k	2022-03-11
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0216	0.996294	-2.48%	0.7111	-30.39%	0.1944	✓	1.04	13.5M	2022-03-11
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	140.21	136.6852	-2.51%	104.55	-25.43%	0.0896	✓	1.30	32.4M	2022-03-11
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009721	0.000094706	-2.58%	0.0000731	-24.80%	0.1025	✓	1.14	5.6M	2022-03-11
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0867	0.084445	-2.60%	0.0661	-23.76%	0.0560	✓	1.38	548k	2022-03-11
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.238854	0.232497	-2.66%	0.183591	-23.14%	0.0962	✓	1.02	24.9M	2022-03-11
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.017007	0.016553	-2.67%	0.011862	-30.25%	0.1723	✓	1.18	1.6M	2022-03-11
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.16	2.101	-2.73%	1.307	-39.49%	0.2989	✓	1.28	1.2M	2022-03-11
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.705	20.1366	-2.75%	18.17	-12.24%	0.0808	✗	1.34	10.4M	2022-03-11
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	21.97	21.3506	-2.82%	17.7	-19.44%	0.0028	✓	1.35	37.4M	2022-03-11
SOL	Solana	Solana	114.04	110.8186	-2.82%	80.7	-29.24%	0.1478	✓	1.24	179.7M	2022-03-11
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	24.32	23.6222	-2.87%	17.37	-28.58%	0.1443	✓	1.19	10.4M	2022-03-11
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.93	1.8743	-2.89%	1.321	-31.55%	0.1785	✓	1.25	1.5M	2022-03-11
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	9.31	9.0345	-2.96%	5.57	-40.17%	0.4360	✓	0.35	1.6M	2022-03-11
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00744	0.007217	-3.00%	0.00353	-52.55%	0.4412	✓	2.00	19.8M	2022-03-11
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.263	8.0102	-3.06%	4.594	-44.40%	0.4175	✓	1.01	460k	2022-03-11
HIVE	Hive	native	1.1728	1.1353	-3.20%	0.8661	-26.15%	0.0711	✓	1.46	1.9M	2022-03-11
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.84	5.6526	-3.21%	4.165	-28.68%	0.1383	✓	1.22	2.6M	2022-03-11
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	26,293.98	25,439.90	-3.25%	18,538.11	-29.50%	0.1871	✓	0.94	11.3M	2022-03-11
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	90.18	87.1795	-3.33%	71.25	-20.99%	0.0172	✓	1.35	87.1M	2022-03-11
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0337	0.032568	-3.36%	0.02301	-31.72%	0.1419	✓	1.50	490k	2022-03-11
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5665	0.545443	-3.72%	0.3152	-44.36%	0.3026	✓	1.79	40.2M	2022-03-11
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.5	3.3689	-3.75%	1.97	-43.71%	0.3463	✓	1.39	20.5M	2022-03-11
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.128	0.122877	-4.00%	0.111	-13.28%	0.0353	✓	1.00	72k	2022-03-11
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.041	0.039319	-4.10%	0.0143	-65.12%	0.8583	✓	1.12	9.1M	2022-03-11
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30.94	29.6361	-4.21%	27.47	-11.22%	0.0761	✗	1.11	96.8M	2022-03-11
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.351	1.2914	-4.41%	0.7156	-47.03%	0.4534	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-03-11
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.28	2.1788	-4.44%	1.157	-49.25%	0.4444	✓	1.38	3.1M	2022-03-11
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.05819	0.055595	-4.46%	0.040059	-31.16%	0.1642	✓	1.19	8.8M	2022-03-11
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.04	3.8521	-4.65%	4.776	+18.22%	0.2597	✗	0.33	1.5M	2022-03-11
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.43	1.3622	-4.74%	0.959	-32.94%	0.1666	✓	1.35	523k	2022-03-11
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000232	0.000002209	-4.79%	0.00000178	-23.28%	0.0790	✓	1.00	15.1M	2022-03-11
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.8694	3.6712	-5.12%	2.0529	-46.95%	0.4607	✓	0.88	28k	2022-03-11
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.086	0.081563	-5.16%	0.0576	-33.02%	0.1185	✓	1.67	27.8M	2022-03-11
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	47.97	45.4837	-5.18%	40.81	-14.93%	0.0515	✓	1.17	32.3M	2022-03-11
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.3852	1.3133	-5.19%	1.4867	+7.33%	0.3357	✗	1.55	107k	2022-03-11
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	18.16	17.2162	-5.20%	13.84	-23.79%	0.1220	✓	0.70	919k	2022-03-11
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6017	0.569703	-5.32%	0.5009	-16.75%	0.0177	✓	1.07	1.2M	2022-03-11
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.9679	1.8632	-5.32%	2.5749	+30.85%	0.4079	✗	0.62	2.8M	2022-03-11
STX	Stacks	native	1.72	1.628	-5.35%	1.36	-20.93%	0.0429	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-03-11
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.885	3.6759	-5.38%	3.4608	-10.92%	0.0716	✗	0.96	2.2M	2022-03-11
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.3415	3.1497	-5.74%	2.3033	-31.07%	0.1803	✓	0.97	2.8M	2022-03-11
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.07	1.0057	-6.01%	0.93	-13.08%	0.0587	✓	1.00	286k	2022-03-11
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.23058	0.215514	-6.53%	0.15536	-32.62%	0.1098	✓	1.59	36k	2022-03-11
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.46	2.2834	-7.18%	1.51	-38.62%	0.2766	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-03-11
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.8202	0.759838	-7.36%	0.3924	-52.16%	0.4095	✓	1.84	1.8M	2022-03-11
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	3.269	3.0256	-7.45%	1.662	-49.16%	0.4621	✓	1.00	67k	2022-03-11
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	6.8052	6.243	-8.26%	5.8362	-14.24%	0.0271	✓	0.29	407k	2022-03-11
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04699	0.042698	-9.13%	0.04078	-13.22%	0.0910	✓	1.00	4.9M	2022-03-11
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.908	5.3523	-9.41%	2.42	-59.04%	0.6568	✓	1.00	1.0M	2022-03-11
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.03747	0.033179	-11.45%	0.01489	-60.26%	0.6260	✓	1.28	114k	2022-03-11

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.