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2022-02-08 · +30d

lstm_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2178
148 of 148 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+18.48%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
70.9%
in alpha space · 77.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-10.55%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum7.57986.7159-11.40%5.8363-23.00%0.1062✓0.31389k2022-03-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0342710.030549-10.86%0.015274-55.43%0.5534✓1.25114k2022-03-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.8315.2295-10.31%2.532-56.58%0.6138✓1.001.0M2022-03-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.046280.041743-9.80%0.04023-13.07%0.0746✓1.005.0M2022-03-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.85560.780089-8.83%0.4126-51.78%0.4310✓1.851.8M2022-03-10
PROPropyEthereum2.232.058-7.71%1.6-28.25%0.1402✓1.001.7M2022-03-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.224560.209577-6.67%0.15896-29.21%0.0994✓1.5936k2022-03-10
MANADecentralandEthereum3.46883.2414-6.55%2.3707-31.66%0.2039✓0.982.8M2022-03-10
DIADIAEthereum1.060.992891-6.33%0.91-14.15%0.0243✓1.00287k2022-03-10
FIDABonfidaSolana2.1662.0386-5.88%1.676-22.62%0.0844✓1.0066k2022-03-10
STXStacksnative1.691.5948-5.63%1.51-10.65%0.0569✓1.001.2M2022-03-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.59930.565805-5.59%0.5014-16.34%0.0016✓1.071.3M2022-03-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.91811.8127-5.50%2.7676+44.29%0.4917✗0.612.9M2022-03-10
FTTFTXEthereum46.3943.9721-5.21%40.75-12.16%0.0538✗1.1733.0M2022-03-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07990.075764-5.18%0.0588-26.41%0.0685✓1.6627.8M2022-03-10
BTTCBTTC0.000002250.000002134-5.16%0.00000181-19.56%0.0531✓1.0015.3M2022-03-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.35041.2822-5.05%0.7483-44.59%0.4270✓1.002.1M2022-03-10
CELLCellframeEthereum1.3191.2535-4.97%1.4191+7.59%0.2958✗1.54106k2022-03-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.67113.4961-4.77%2.155-41.30%0.3862✓0.8827k2022-03-10
API3Api3Ethereum3.853.6705-4.66%5.224+35.69%0.3886✗0.321.5M2022-03-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.262.1553-4.63%1.201-46.86%0.4315✓1.373.3M2022-03-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.040010.03818-4.57%0.01693-57.69%0.6889✓1.119.1M2022-03-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.4229.122-4.27%28.05-7.79%0.0862✗1.1198.1M2022-03-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1230.117882-4.16%0.107-13.01%0.0147✓1.0081k2022-03-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.54420.521889-4.10%0.3311-39.16%0.2542✓1.8040.2M2022-03-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.51943.3759-4.08%2.8703-18.44%0.0561✓0.952.0M2022-03-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.2316.5278-4.08%13.72-20.37%0.1083✓0.70919k2022-03-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.423.2871-3.89%2.046-40.18%0.3192✓1.3920.8M2022-03-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03440.033073-3.86%0.02397-30.32%0.1542✓1.50490k2022-03-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum25,530.1324,615.41-3.58%19,059.42-25.35%0.1507✓0.9411.8M2022-03-10
HIVEHivenative1.17891.1387-3.41%0.928-21.28%0.0417✓1.461.9M2022-03-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.4583.5475-3.36%73.95-14.46%0.0280✓1.3587.1M2022-03-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.007240.006999-3.33%0.00366-49.45%0.4256✓2.0020.0M2022-03-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08650.083631-3.32%0.0684-20.92%0.0469✓1.38548k2022-03-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin24.623.8237-3.16%17.9-27.24%0.1529✓1.1910.5M2022-03-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.861.8036-3.03%1.374-26.13%0.1328✓1.251.6M2022-03-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.535.3645-2.99%4.473-19.11%0.0462✓1.222.7M2022-03-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot21.6821.0505-2.90%16.97-21.73%0.0651✓1.3539.2M2022-03-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.112.0495-2.87%1.33-36.97%0.2892✓1.281.3M2022-03-10
SOLSolanaSolana113.58110.3757-2.82%82.92-26.99%0.1481✓1.24182.7M2022-03-10
XLMStellarStellar0.2423940.235711-2.76%0.178633-26.30%0.1629✓1.0324.9M2022-03-10
KCSKuCoinnative20.23719.6791-2.76%18.083-10.64%0.0649✗1.3410.5M2022-03-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.658.4158-2.71%5.7-34.10%0.3517✓0.341.6M2022-03-10
XECeCashnative0.000094440.000091894-2.70%0.00008054-14.72%0.0046✓1.145.5M2022-03-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.98720.961653-2.59%0.732-25.85%0.1568✓1.0413.5M2022-03-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.0222.4494-2.48%16.62-27.80%0.1725✓1.1526.9M2022-03-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.191.1611-2.43%0.979-17.73%0.0227✓1.33523k2022-03-10
QNTQuantEthereum147.49143.9848-2.38%116.66-20.90%0.0988✓1.007.8M2022-03-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin133.82130.6642-2.36%102.58-23.34%0.0972✓1.3032.4M2022-03-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.02390.999935-2.34%0.7308-28.63%0.1912✓1.1029.4M2022-03-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0168890.016494-2.34%0.011453-32.19%0.2336✓1.182.0M2022-03-10
KSMKusamaHydration192.41187.9528-2.32%126.53-34.24%0.2611✓1.211.0M2022-03-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13350.130568-2.20%0.1198-10.26%0.0668✗1.373.2M2022-03-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.0826.4932-2.17%27.97+3.29%0.1615✗0.96543k2022-03-10
SUSHISushiEthereum4.654.5505-2.14%2.98-35.91%0.2712✓1.368.3M2022-03-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.6327.471-2.11%4.75-37.76%0.3412✓1.00460k2022-03-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.22580.221069-2.10%0.1964-13.02%0.0364✗1.393.7M2022-03-10
ADACardanoCardano1.17641.1521-2.07%0.807-31.40%0.2324✓1.11113.2M2022-03-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.51593.4452-2.01%2.8775-18.16%0.0584✓1.092.5M2022-03-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.4710.2645-1.96%10.26-2.01%0.0775✗0.70660k2022-03-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.52880.51849-1.95%0.2987-43.51%0.3854✓1.492.2M2022-03-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.0631.435-1.95%26.7-16.72%0.0456✓1.064.0M2022-03-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.418.0533-1.88%13.18-28.37%0.1820✓1.1976.9M2022-03-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.31390.308043-1.87%0.2624-16.41%0.0366✓1.11538k2022-03-10
ETHEthereumEthereum3,119.573,061.56-1.86%2,608.22-16.39%0.0369✓1.11557.7M2022-03-10
XYMSymbolnative0.18580.182443-1.81%0.1369-26.32%0.2077✓0.71423k2022-03-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.28150.276675-1.71%0.2216-21.28%0.1019✓1.081.7M2022-03-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.059080.058067-1.71%0.0474-19.77%0.0434✓1.431.3M2022-03-10
ZENHorizenBase47.6246.8102-1.70%42.28-11.21%0.0702✗1.54504k2022-03-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.049120.048292-1.68%0.040695-17.15%0.0402✓1.178.8M2022-03-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.12430.122223-1.67%0.0821-33.95%0.2243✓1.561.5M2022-03-10
DASHDashDash112.75110.8963-1.64%104.65-7.18%0.0684✗1.132.3M2022-03-10
LRCLoopringEthereum1.07911.0629-1.50%0.7156-33.69%0.2236✓1.54680k2022-03-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015360.01514-1.43%0.01209-21.29%0.0583✓1.491.7M2022-03-10
ZECZcashZcash133.12131.3115-1.36%157.3+18.16%0.3223✗1.276.6M2022-03-10
UOSUltraEthereum1.26931.2523-1.34%1.1927-6.04%0.0833✗1.182.3M2022-03-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3710.366087-1.32%0.266-28.30%0.1688✓1.351.8M2022-03-10
XTZTezosTezos4.39274.3359-1.29%3.0579-30.39%0.2029✓1.312.3M2022-03-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045330.044745-1.29%0.03918-13.57%0.0086✓1.1130k2022-03-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.8090.799072-1.23%0.618-23.61%0.1355✓1.091.7M2022-03-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6413.5974-1.20%2.69-26.12%0.1935✓0.87536k2022-03-10
UNIUniswapEthereum11.9511.808-1.19%8.68-27.36%0.1610✓1.3212.9M2022-03-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.47410.468768-1.12%0.3255-31.34%0.2183✓1.319.3M2022-03-10
COMPCompoundEthereum147.97146.3425-1.10%103.46-30.08%0.2044✓1.2865k2022-03-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.252.2253-1.10%1.12-50.22%0.5549✓1.181.7M2022-03-10
MOVRMoonriverBase101.7616100.666-1.08%51.3064-49.58%0.5160✓1.42320k2022-03-10
AAVEAaveEthereum184.15182.1729-1.07%119.26-35.24%0.2683✓1.399.8M2022-03-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.816.7377-1.06%4.08-40.09%0.3792✓1.10789k2022-03-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum30.8230.4999-1.04%24.22-21.41%0.0642✓1.492.0M2022-03-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum66.7966.1032-1.03%46.78-29.96%0.2100✓1.228.1M2022-03-10
BANDBandEthereum3.963.9198-1.01%3.473-12.30%0.0195✗1.261.9M2022-03-10
DODODODOEthereum0.5570.551422-1.00%0.386-30.70%0.1970✓1.434.6M2022-03-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.15830.156739-0.99%0.116797-26.22%0.1796✓1.037.1M2022-03-10
XMRMoneroMonero179177.3099-0.94%178.98-0.01%0.1250✗1.041.6M2022-03-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.782.7547-0.91%2.2-20.86%0.1117✓1.02504k2022-03-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.75150.744833-0.89%0.4164-44.59%0.4107✓1.53969k2022-03-10
LUNATerraTerra 257.2256.7179-0.88%101.21+76.88%0.7359✗1.418.8M2022-03-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013150.013036-0.87%0.01203-8.52%0.0083✓0.7912k2022-03-10
NANOnanopayBase2.35892.3394-0.83%1.6882-28.43%0.1942✓1.18845k2022-03-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030970.000030721-0.80%0.00002262-26.96%0.1509✓1.391.4M2022-03-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0223050.022145-0.72%0.01703-23.65%0.1278✓1.212.5M2022-03-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.192.1743-0.72%1.67-23.74%0.1193✓1.302.2M2022-03-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7911.7781-0.72%1.536-14.24%0.0184✓1.151.6M2022-03-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4221.4142-0.55%1.175-17.37%0.0471✓1.243.4M2022-03-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum25.9925.85-0.54%18.43-29.09%0.1632✓1.57405k2022-03-10
UMAUMAEthereum6.516.4765-0.52%7.407+13.78%0.2440✗0.981.9M2022-03-10
RADRadworksEthereum6.136.1003-0.49%4.46-27.24%0.1972✓1.04867k2022-03-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash335.57333.962-0.48%289.59-13.70%0.0293✓1.027.9M2022-03-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0451.0409-0.40%0.827-20.86%0.0775✓1.372.3M2022-03-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.30650.30549-0.33%0.2025-33.93%0.2390✓1.544.1M2022-03-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.2155.2015-0.26%4.2989-17.57%0.0542✓1.22442k2022-03-10
GTGateEthereum6.81116.7971-0.21%6.3304-7.06%0.0281✗0.894.1M2022-03-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV101.44101.2332-0.20%78.54-22.57%0.1531✓0.901.5M2022-03-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin44,085.5943,998.02-0.20%39,433.71-10.55%0.0020✓1.00682.8M2022-03-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16380.163533-0.16%0.1518-7.33%0.0418✗1.04362k2022-03-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.6926.6896-0.04%4.672-30.19%0.2584✓0.9081k2022-03-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.03140.031398-0.00%0.02578-17.90%0.0976✓0.897.0M2022-03-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.102190.102229+0.04%0.08882-13.08%0.0231✗1.0549k2022-03-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.1516.1678+0.11%12.75-21.05%0.1207✗1.05604k2022-03-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.297.2982+0.11%6.04-17.15%0.1534✗0.321.1M2022-03-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6818040.682581+0.11%0.503035-26.22%0.1773✗1.153.5M2022-03-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.923820.925042+0.13%0.68631-25.71%0.1337✗1.48311k2022-03-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.051.0514+0.14%0.61-41.90%0.3287✗1.931.0M2022-03-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.086060.086224+0.19%0.07709-10.42%0.0274✗0.7689k2022-03-10
GITCOINGITCOIN8.6538.6727+0.23%5.737-33.70%0.3776✗0.3238k2022-03-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum20.120.1759+0.38%14-30.35%0.1738✗1.723.8M2022-03-10
SCSiacoinnative0.011760.011826+0.56%0.00902-23.30%0.1588✗1.00588k2022-03-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.836.8739+0.64%6.06-11.27%0.0284✗0.88416k2022-03-10
IMXImmutableEthereum2.782.7979+0.64%1.512-45.61%0.5125✗0.922.6M2022-03-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8472.8692+0.78%3.236+13.66%0.2695✓1.341.1M2022-03-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.635.6747+0.79%5.2-7.64%0.0008✓0.78377k2022-03-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,914.5043,294.35+0.89%39,505.90-7.94%0.0158✓0.9641k2022-03-10
MINAMina Protocolnative33.0289+0.96%1.79-40.33%0.3829✗1.28407k2022-03-10
XVSVenusEthereum9.729.8146+0.97%8.5-12.55%0.0002✓1.292.5M2022-03-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.62640.633109+1.07%0.6973+11.32%0.2434✓1.322.7M2022-03-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09190.092904+1.09%0.068-26.01%0.1749✗1.23244k2022-03-10
XEMNEMnative0.11630.117591+1.11%0.0965-17.02%0.0814✗1.0435k2022-03-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.957.0374+1.26%7.54+8.49%0.1588✓0.81463k2022-03-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07860.079628+1.31%0.0702-10.69%0.0049✓1.0921k2022-03-10
STORJStorjEthereum1.3441.3619+1.33%1.0319-23.22%0.1627✗1.03292k2022-03-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5784.6394+1.34%4.112-10.18%0.0283✗0.83346k2022-03-10
QTUMQtumQtum7.07857.1891+1.56%6.006-15.15%0.0187✗1.44179k2022-03-10
XVGVergenative0.011840.01203+1.61%0.00985-16.81%0.0487✗1.361.3M2022-03-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2613.3165+1.70%2.591-20.55%0.1570✗0.81206k2022-03-10
TRXTRONTron0.0680590.069578+2.23%0.059896-11.99%0.0500✗0.90362k2022-03-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.86821.9167+2.59%2.1814+16.76%0.2514✓1.0978k2022-03-10
CBKCobakEthereum2.5612.6275+2.59%2.141-16.40%0.0873✗1.0522k2022-03-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2830.292688+3.42%0.23-18.73%0.1347✗0.9576k2022-03-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.