2022-01-27 · +30d

lstm_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 144 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2395

144 of 144 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+21.99%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

72.9%

in alpha space · 60.8% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+5.24%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (144 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.7225	2.797	+2.74%	2.2359	-17.87%	0.2671	✗	0.85	8,523	2022-02-26
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.39	8.365	-0.30%	8.98	+7.03%	0.0034	✗	1.32	2.9M	2022-02-26
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.637	2.6149	-0.84%	2.305	-12.59%	0.2046	✓	1.54	1.0M	2022-02-26
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1146	0.113607	-0.87%	0.1506	+31.41%	0.2334	✗	0.95	349k	2022-02-26
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.530399	0.525438	-0.94%	0.544581	+2.67%	0.0262	✓	1.21	3.7M	2022-02-26
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.056453	0.055887	-1.00%	0.059459	+5.32%	0.0140	✗	0.94	478k	2022-02-26
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.5312	6.4621	-1.06%	6.4106	-1.85%	0.0555	✓	0.93	4.2M	2022-02-26
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0754	1.0633	-1.12%	0.99036	-7.90%	0.1213	✓	0.98	387k	2022-02-26
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002125	0.000020995	-1.20%	0.00002435	+14.59%	0.0759	✗	1.42	1.8M	2022-02-26
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.65	0.642184	-1.20%	0.7	+7.69%	0.0097	✓	1.88	1.2M	2022-02-26
XEM	NEM	native	0.0984	0.097144	-1.28%	0.101	+2.64%	0.0145	✓	1.04	43k	2022-02-26
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3156	2.2842	-1.36%	1.8651	-19.46%	0.2661	✓	1.24	841k	2022-02-26
XVG	Verge	native	0.00965	0.009517	-1.38%	0.00985	+2.07%	0.0335	✓	1.33	1.6M	2022-02-26
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.65	2.6083	-1.57%	1.5	-43.40%	0.6308	✓	1.52	2.2M	2022-02-26
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5092	0.501044	-1.60%	0.504	-1.02%	0.0638	✓	1.36	2.8M	2022-02-26
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	37,188.37	36,570.36	-1.66%	39,137.80	+5.24%	0.0168	✓	1.00	734.4M	2022-02-26
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.745	6.6319	-1.68%	6.245	-7.41%	0.0722	✓	0.24	38k	2022-02-26
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2772	0.272356	-1.75%	0.2129	-23.20%	0.3251	✓	1.54	4.2M	2022-02-26
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0794	0.077991	-1.77%	0.0685	-13.73%	0.1929	✓	1.24	352k	2022-02-26
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		89.31	87.5987	-1.92%	84.76	-5.09%	0.0812	✓	0.94	1.7M	2022-02-26
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.37	6.2466	-1.94%	6.27	-1.57%	0.0071	✓	0.21	1.2M	2022-02-26
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,269.30	36,522.97	-2.00%	39,589.70	+6.23%	0.0288	✗	1.01	47k	2022-02-26
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	289.64	283.6137	-2.08%	315.57	+8.95%	0.0536	✗	1.04	8.5M	2022-02-26
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.95	13.6432	-2.20%	12.91	-7.46%	0.1059	✓	0.99	841k	2022-02-26
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2367	0.231491	-2.20%	0.2767	+16.90%	0.1214	✗	1.12	469k	2022-02-26
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5781	0.564792	-2.30%	0.4599	-20.45%	0.2838	✓	1.53	1.4M	2022-02-26
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.89	3.8004	-2.30%	4.058	+4.32%	0.0256	✗	0.78	396k	2022-02-26
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.399	1.3667	-2.31%	1.524	+8.93%	0.0488	✗	1.18	1.6M	2022-02-26
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.07	4.9463	-2.44%	4.47	-11.83%	0.1516	✓	0.98	1.1M	2022-02-26
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5616	1.5234	-2.45%	1.5733	+0.74%	0.0245	✓	1.11	89k	2022-02-26
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07195	0.070115	-2.55%	0.06611	-8.12%	0.0989	✓	0.78	60k	2022-02-26
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.121	2.0639	-2.69%	2.285	+7.73%	0.0467	✗	1.08	23k	2022-02-26
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	24.33	23.6718	-2.71%	28.91	+18.82%	0.1451	✗	1.07	3.8M	2022-02-26
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.4851	3.39	-2.73%	6.0612	+73.92%	0.5821	✗	-0.02	371k	2022-02-26
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	47.47	46.1723	-2.73%	50.44	+6.26%	0.0290	✗	1.16	7.5M	2022-02-26
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01041	0.010125	-2.73%	0.00997	-4.23%	0.0809	✓	1.28	2.2M	2022-02-26
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00962	0.009352	-2.79%	0.00906	-5.82%	0.0851	✓	1.05	611k	2022-02-26
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0638	0.062011	-2.80%	0.0674	+5.64%	0.0260	✓	1.12	21k	2022-02-26
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.243	0.236184	-2.81%	0.232	-4.53%	0.0668	✓	0.96	67k	2022-02-26
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.32	10.0298	-2.81%	9.06	-12.21%	0.1694	✓	1.33	12.5M	2022-02-26
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08437	0.081994	-2.82%	0.08727	+3.44%	0.0015	✓	1.19	46k	2022-02-26
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02909	0.028261	-2.85%	0.02842	-2.30%	0.0417	✓	0.93	8.7M	2022-02-26
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.314	0.304834	-2.92%	0.29	-7.64%	0.1204	✓	1.38	1.6M	2022-02-26
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.26	2.1936	-2.94%	2.05	-9.29%	0.1283	✓	1.19	626k	2022-02-26
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17087	0.165818	-2.96%	0.15626	-8.55%	0.1394	✓	1.57	18k	2022-02-26
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8569	0.8312	-3.00%	1.6235	+89.46%	0.5926	✗	1.50	107k	2022-02-26
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	0.99692	0.966931	-3.01%	1.2108	+21.46%	0.1593	✗	1.28	2.4M	2022-02-26
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.81	0.785616	-3.01%	1.139	+40.62%	0.2944	✗	1.51	532k	2022-02-26
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.955	2.8656	-3.03%	2.576	-12.83%	0.1471	✓	0.79	431k	2022-02-26
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	88.89	86.1665	-3.06%	107.8	+21.27%	0.1566	✗	1.32	7.5M	2022-02-26
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.5654	5.3947	-3.07%	6.1323	+10.19%	0.0553	✗	1.43	227k	2022-02-26
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.141443	0.137057	-3.10%	0.127595	-9.79%	0.1253	✓	1.05	7.1M	2022-02-26
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	93.16	90.247	-3.13%	110.79	+18.92%	0.1524	✗	1.03	7.5M	2022-02-26
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.12	4.9599	-3.13%	4.68	-8.59%	0.0953	✓	0.73	457k	2022-02-26
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.722	5.5428	-3.13%	5.391	-5.78%	0.0779	✓	0.98	320k	2022-02-26
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.861	0.833853	-3.15%	0.895	+3.95%	0.0009	✓	1.37	2.4M	2022-02-26
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.83214	0.80587	-3.16%	0.69949	-15.94%	0.2296	✓	1.72	681k	2022-02-26
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,425.82	2,349.16	-3.16%	2,780.71	+14.63%	0.1123	✗	1.10	569.1M	2022-02-26
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.42	1.3749	-3.18%	1.148	-19.15%	0.2463	✓	1.29	3.6M	2022-02-26
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2126	4.0777	-3.20%	4.0234	-4.49%	0.0750	✓	1.21	403k	2022-02-26
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.9	5.7094	-3.23%	5.7	-3.39%	0.0449	✓	0.85	561k	2022-02-26
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7628	2.6734	-3.24%	2.7384	-0.88%	0.0285	✓	1.03	1.9M	2022-02-26
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.75	12.3369	-3.24%	14.7	+15.29%	0.1405	✗	0.68	801k	2022-02-26
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9095	2.8146	-3.26%	3.4172	+17.45%	0.1245	✗	1.36	2.6M	2022-02-26
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.065	0.062674	-3.58%	0.073	+12.31%	0.0790	✗	1.44	605k	2022-02-26
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014097	0.013593	-3.58%	0.01194	-15.30%	0.1903	✓	1.19	2.7M	2022-02-26
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.84	5.6293	-3.61%	5.38	-7.88%	0.0853	✓	0.78	504k	2022-02-26
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	16.82	16.2107	-3.62%	14.09	-16.23%	0.2326	✓	1.81	3.9M	2022-02-26
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.05	3.902	-3.66%	3.25	-19.75%	0.2515	✓	1.34	12.5M	2022-02-26
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	54.08	52.0962	-3.67%	78.15	+44.51%	0.3188	✗	1.70	8.6M	2022-02-26
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	24.3	23.4064	-3.68%	24.45	+0.62%	0.0417	✓	1.67	2.7M	2022-02-26
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4054	0.390306	-3.72%	0.3486	-14.01%	0.1786	✓	1.28	10.9M	2022-02-26
SOL	Solana	Solana	89.55	86.1701	-3.77%	90.32	+0.86%	0.0133	✓	1.18	164.2M	2022-02-26
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.873	5.6494	-3.81%	5.009	-14.71%	0.1629	✓	0.83	145k	2022-02-26
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2343	0.225372	-3.81%	0.226	-3.54%	0.0606	✓	1.24	1.8M	2022-02-26
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	106.92	102.688	-3.96%	108.29	+1.28%	0.0151	✓	1.33	35.7M	2022-02-26
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.38	3.2456	-3.98%	3.6	+6.51%	0.0404	✓	1.24	2.5M	2022-02-26
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9645	0.925663	-4.03%	0.7651	-20.67%	0.2912	✓	1.97	1.1M	2022-02-26
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.67	17.9026	-4.11%	21.2	+13.55%	0.0900	✗	1.55	841k	2022-02-26
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.725	0.695197	-4.11%	0.679	-6.34%	0.0801	✓	1.11	1.9M	2022-02-26
KCS	KuCoin	native	16.064	15.4021	-4.12%	19.708	+22.68%	0.1695	✗	1.51	10.9M	2022-02-26
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.76	1.6868	-4.16%	1.67	-5.11%	0.0796	✓	1.36	2.9M	2022-02-26
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.23	2.1373	-4.16%	1.24	-44.39%	0.6235	✓	1.55	2.6M	2022-02-26
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0428	0.999431	-4.16%	0.8873	-14.91%	0.1768	✓	1.13	113.2M	2022-02-26
DASH	Dash	Dash	91.73	87.908	-4.17%	93.68	+2.13%	0.0034	✓	1.18	3.0M	2022-02-26
ZEN	Horizen	Base	36.7	35.1633	-4.19%	33.26	-9.37%	0.1359	✓	1.57	626k	2022-02-26
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.97	3.8019	-4.24%	6.528	+64.43%	0.5280	✗	0.25	570k	2022-02-26
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1754	0.167968	-4.24%	0.1751	-0.17%	0.0280	✓	1.36	4.0M	2022-02-26
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0541	0.051777	-4.29%	0.0712	+31.61%	0.2083	✗	2.16	22.4M	2022-02-26
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.93	8.5428	-4.34%	9.33	+4.48%	0.0501	✗	0.75	724k	2022-02-26
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	144.54	138.1882	-4.39%	136.67	-5.44%	0.0804	✓	1.36	14.3M	2022-02-26
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1614	0.154297	-4.40%	0.1441	-10.72%	0.1019	✓	0.66	573k	2022-02-26
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020242	0.019345	-4.43%	0.01882	-7.02%	0.0847	✓	1.12	3.2M	2022-02-26
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.67	5.4167	-4.47%	4.934	-12.98%	0.1476	✓	1.06	2.6M	2022-02-26
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0947	0.090438	-4.50%	0.0854	-9.82%	0.1330	✓	1.48	1.9M	2022-02-26
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.23	14.5401	-4.53%	14.72	-3.35%	0.0496	✓	1.21	81.3M	2022-02-26
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.107	2.9655	-4.55%	2.874	-7.50%	0.0753	✓	0.86	944k	2022-02-26
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4474	0.426918	-4.58%	0.3655	-18.31%	0.2258	✓	1.38	2.5M	2022-02-26
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.038232	0.036479	-4.59%	0.048351	+26.47%	0.2194	✗	1.22	10.8M	2022-02-26
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	64.73	61.7089	-4.67%	81.79	+26.36%	0.2142	✗	1.32	92.3M	2022-02-26
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9364	0.892587	-4.68%	0.8598	-8.18%	0.0969	✓	1.16	37.9M	2022-02-26
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007022	0.00006692	-4.70%	0.00007538	+7.35%	0.0626	✗	1.11	5.8M	2022-02-26
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.3	2.1911	-4.74%	2.3	+0.00%	0.0034	✓	1.02	800k	2022-02-26
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.194019	0.184795	-4.75%	0.192899	-0.58%	0.0098	✓	1.03	26.2M	2022-02-26
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.57	4.3482	-4.85%	3.874	-15.23%	0.1790	✓	1.24	3.1M	2022-02-26
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.482	0.458195	-4.94%	0.438	-9.13%	0.1234	✓	1.53	5.5M	2022-02-26
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0403	0.038309	-4.94%	0.04014	-0.40%	0.0113	✓	1.14	30k	2022-02-26
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01439	0.013668	-5.02%	0.01217	-15.43%	0.1637	✓	0.93	19k	2022-02-26
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0464	2.89	-5.13%	2.7102	-11.04%	0.1201	✓	1.09	3.6M	2022-02-26
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	121.94	115.6662	-5.15%	113.35	-7.04%	0.0854	✓	1.28	74k	2022-02-26
XMR	Monero	Monero	144.6	136.9549	-5.29%	157.91	+9.20%	0.0910	✗	1.00	2.2M	2022-02-26
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.62	5.3219	-5.30%	4.46	-20.64%	0.2253	✓	0.95	960k	2022-02-26
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.2527	2.1323	-5.35%	2.6813	+19.02%	0.1810	✗	0.94	3.1M	2022-02-26
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.04646	0.043964	-5.37%	0.01784	-61.60%	0.9696	✓	1.32	9.5M	2022-02-26
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30	28.3686	-5.44%	29.89	-0.37%	0.0059	✓	1.14	130.3M	2022-02-26
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	164.64	155.6288	-5.47%	124.78	-24.21%	0.2822	✓	1.20	1.3M	2022-02-26
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1127	0.106523	-5.48%	0.1212	+7.54%	0.0625	✗	1.30	3.9M	2022-02-26
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	73.6045	69.5427	-5.52%	64.8155	-11.94%	0.1325	✓	1.22	442k	2022-02-26
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.21	18.1466	-5.54%	19.06	-0.78%	0.0111	✓	1.18	13.6M	2022-02-26
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.13	17.0976	-5.69%	18.04	-0.50%	0.0167	✓	1.38	54.6M	2022-02-26
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.95	1.8383	-5.73%	1.276	-34.56%	0.4402	✓	1.47	4.6M	2022-02-26
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,910.78	22,539.90	-5.73%	20,876.08	-12.69%	0.1240	✓	0.93	19.5M	2022-02-26
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8032	0.757011	-5.75%	0.7459	-7.13%	0.0709	✓	1.10	20.0M	2022-02-26
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8838	0.832786	-5.77%	0.9533	+7.86%	0.0579	✓	1.51	3.2M	2022-02-26
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04978	0.046897	-5.79%	0.04782	-3.94%	0.0530	✓	1.42	1.7M	2022-02-26
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.58	1.4864	-5.92%	1.441	-8.80%	0.0970	✓	1.29	1.8M	2022-02-26
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	38.35	36.0644	-5.96%	43.29	+12.88%	0.1210	✗	1.21	35.1M	2022-02-26
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.75	6.3419	-6.05%	6.27	-7.11%	0.0256	✓	0.28	2.0M	2022-02-26
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.61	18.3965	-6.19%	17.73	-9.59%	0.1008	✓	1.25	34.3M	2022-02-26
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	26.76	24.9776	-6.66%	30.18	+12.78%	0.1490	✗	0.79	377k	2022-02-26
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4535	0.423252	-6.67%	0.4281	-5.60%	0.0625	✓	1.45	2.1M	2022-02-26
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8043	1.682	-6.78%	1.8532	+2.71%	0.0572	✓	0.78	2.6M	2022-02-26
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0357	0.033198	-7.01%	0.0274	-23.25%	0.2674	✓	1.48	887k	2022-02-26
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.59	1.4769	-7.12%	1.437	-9.62%	0.0923	✓	1.27	2.3M	2022-02-26
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00534	0.004958	-7.16%	0.00431	-19.29%	0.2560	✓	2.27	21.3M	2022-02-26
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.79	2.5686	-7.93%	2.394	-14.19%	0.1418	✓	1.40	26.3M	2022-02-26
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.050557	0.046327	-8.37%	0.02263	-55.24%	0.7675	✓	1.00	332k	2022-02-26
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.38	2.1434	-9.94%	1.86	-21.85%	0.1929	✓	1.00	3.8M	2022-02-26
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.093	0.083613	-10.09%	0.141	+51.61%	0.4715	✗	1.00	141k	2022-02-26
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04444	0.039889	-10.24%	0.03453	-22.30%	0.1954	✓	1.00	6.4M	2022-02-26
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2041	1.08	-10.30%	0.794	-34.06%	0.3588	✓	1.00	3.6M	2022-02-26
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6525	0.579847	-11.13%	0.3507	-46.25%	0.6004	✓	1.91	52.0M	2022-02-26
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5303	0.468093	-11.73%	0.5505	+3.81%	0.1028	✓	1.16	2.1M	2022-02-26
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	6.617	5.8015	-12.32%	2.581	-60.99%	0.8610	✓	1.00	1.6M	2022-02-26

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.