2022-01-03 · +30d

lstm_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2859

138 of 138 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+22.15%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

82.6%

in alpha space · 97.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-20.53%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.64	0.490187	-23.41%	0.5361	-16.23%	0.4092	✗	1.39	650k	2022-02-02
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	12.81	10.9359	-14.63%	5.77	-54.96%	0.5010	✓	0.60	1.3M	2022-02-02
HIVE	Hive	native	1.6303	1.3948	-14.45%	0.9455	-42.00%	0.0718	✓	1.38	5.5M	2022-02-02
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6942	0.609301	-12.23%	0.4277	-38.39%	0.0495	✓	1.32	2.9M	2022-02-02
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	13.72	12.0966	-11.83%	7.54	-45.04%	0.4732	✓	-0.00	3.7M	2022-02-02
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.89	3.4437	-11.47%	1.9	-51.16%	0.2907	✓	1.32	11.2M	2022-02-02
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	6.53	5.7835	-11.43%	3.11	-52.37%	0.3098	✓	1.35	29.3M	2022-02-02
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.2506	2.8834	-11.30%	2.537	-21.95%	0.0883	✓	0.94	5.9M	2022-02-02
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	41.84	37.2283	-11.02%	26.55	-36.54%	0.0408	✓	1.65	2.8M	2022-02-02
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.8413	0.748835	-10.99%	0.4666	-44.54%	0.0792	✓	1.71	31.9M	2022-02-02
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02216	0.019938	-10.03%	0.00607	-72.61%	0.9596	✓	1.00	29.0M	2022-02-02
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	4.17	3.7573	-9.90%	2.18	-47.72%	0.3147	✓	1.00	3.4M	2022-02-02
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19941	0.179886	-9.79%	0.19118	-4.13%	0.4210	✗	1.57	6,519	2022-02-02
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	39.23	35.5158	-9.47%	18.01	-54.09%	0.2660	✓	1.80	5.7M	2022-02-02
ZEN	Horizen	Base	63.44	57.4873	-9.38%	38.13	-39.90%	0.0641	✓	1.51	837k	2022-02-02
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.0456	1.8598	-9.08%	0.8664	-57.65%	0.3326	✓	1.88	1.5M	2022-02-02
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.5062	1.3709	-8.98%	0.37	-75.43%	1.1220	✓	0.82	4.5M	2022-02-02
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.3005	0.273942	-8.84%	0.1803	-40.00%	0.1185	✓	1.30	4.6M	2022-02-02
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.1235	0.112691	-8.75%	0.0786	-36.36%	0.1305	✓	1.00	35.9M	2022-02-02
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.7949	1.6381	-8.74%	0.9235	-48.55%	0.3177	✓	1.11	30.0M	2022-02-02
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01573	0.014364	-8.68%	0.00983	-37.51%	0.1599	✓	0.96	817k	2022-02-02
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.374	0.341892	-8.59%	0.278	-25.67%	0.0216	✓	0.99	293k	2022-02-02
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.64	0.585589	-8.50%	0.316	-50.63%	0.3270	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-02-02
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0025	0.919207	-8.31%	0.8666	-13.56%	0.1708	✗	1.00	146k	2022-02-02
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.796	2.5654	-8.25%	1.696	-39.34%	0.1790	✓	1.02	1.9M	2022-02-02
KCS	KuCoin	native	22.363	20.5225	-8.23%	17.776	-20.51%	0.2316	✗	1.63	14.1M	2022-02-02
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.0636	0.058491	-8.03%	0.035872	-43.60%	0.1695	✓	1.39	7.5M	2022-02-02
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1352	0.124373	-8.01%	0.0794	-41.27%	0.2024	✓	1.07	310k	2022-02-02
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	11.29	10.4373	-7.55%	5.22	-53.76%	0.5002	✓	0.84	1.2M	2022-02-02
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2052	0.189731	-7.54%	0.1092	-46.78%	0.2675	✓	1.24	4.8M	2022-02-02
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	39.29	36.3561	-7.47%	26.33	-32.99%	0.1141	✓	0.91	43.4M	2022-02-02
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.467	3.215	-7.27%	2.582	-25.53%	0.1474	✗	1.60	1.9M	2022-02-02
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	88.92	82.7876	-6.90%	47.6	-46.47%	0.3237	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-02
XEC	eCash	native	0.00011648	0.000108554	-6.80%	0.00007582	-34.91%	0.1334	✓	0.98	7.4M	2022-02-02
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.05248	0.048931	-6.76%	0.02927	-44.23%	0.3080	✓	0.90	8.2M	2022-02-02
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	191.896	178.9444	-6.75%	73.5972	-61.65%	0.6216	✓	1.16	574k	2022-02-02
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.22	37.518	-6.72%	42.9	+6.66%	0.3763	✗	1.05	19.4M	2022-02-02
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	11.56	10.8033	-6.55%	6.53	-43.51%	0.5419	✓	-0.17	2.3M	2022-02-02
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.7	23.1415	-6.31%	13.76	-44.29%	0.2835	✓	1.03	1.3M	2022-02-02
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.09008	0.084445	-6.26%	0.05325	-40.89%	0.1269	✓	1.45	3.0M	2022-02-02
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.56	2.4023	-6.16%	1.63	-36.33%	0.1447	✓	1.06	4.0M	2022-02-02
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0731	0.068607	-6.15%	0.034	-53.49%	0.3808	✓	1.40	1.7M	2022-02-02
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.13	3.8764	-6.14%	3.4	-17.68%	0.0986	✗	1.00	1.0M	2022-02-02
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		13.612	12.7793	-6.12%	7.564	-44.43%	0.5373	✓	-0.06	98k	2022-02-02
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	3.381	3.1765	-6.05%	2.235	-33.90%	0.1574	✓	0.85	41k	2022-02-02
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	148.43	139.456	-6.05%	108.36	-27.00%	0.0572	✓	1.35	38.3M	2022-02-02
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.3842	1.3024	-5.91%	0.8404	-39.29%	0.2229	✓	0.94	21.2M	2022-02-02
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.605	4.3331	-5.90%	3.3042	-28.25%	0.1122	✓	0.69	18k	2022-02-02
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	7.19	6.7721	-5.81%	5.33	-25.87%	0.0221	✓	1.14	3.3M	2022-02-02
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.72	1.6202	-5.80%	1.36	-20.93%	0.2200	✗	1.72	1.0M	2022-02-02
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.2437	1.1726	-5.72%	0.6281	-49.50%	0.3028	✓	1.40	1.9M	2022-02-02
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	38,753.93	36,619.43	-5.51%	23,029.36	-40.58%	0.3252	✓	0.60	15.7M	2022-02-02
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.290288	0.274355	-5.49%	0.193151	-33.46%	0.1174	✓	1.02	24.9M	2022-02-02
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.94026	0.888851	-5.47%	0.5718	-39.19%	0.1842	✓	1.12	2.8M	2022-02-02
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.5394	1.4558	-5.43%	1.0423	-32.29%	0.1158	✓	0.95	3.7M	2022-02-02
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.27	8.7787	-5.30%	5.49	-40.78%	0.2132	✓	1.12	3.9M	2022-02-02
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.904	0.856156	-5.29%	0.465	-48.56%	0.2723	✓	1.47	8.1M	2022-02-02
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.72	32.9121	-5.21%	26.29	-24.28%	0.0142	✓	1.04	3.9M	2022-02-02
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.43	3.2518	-5.19%	2.41	-29.74%	0.0703	✓	1.00	995k	2022-02-02
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.316	7.8852	-5.18%	5.883	-29.26%	0.0025	✓	1.26	354k	2022-02-02
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	289.65	274.6635	-5.17%	162.31	-43.96%	0.2697	✓	1.12	1.3M	2022-02-02
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.02023	0.019189	-5.14%	0.0126	-37.72%	0.2723	✓	0.65	36k	2022-02-02
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0855	0.081144	-5.09%	0.0418	-51.11%	0.3838	✓	1.22	20.9M	2022-02-02
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3948	1.324	-5.08%	1.8613	+33.45%	0.5933	✗	1.10	926k	2022-02-02
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.24	1.1784	-4.97%	0.719	-42.02%	0.2778	✓	0.94	2.5M	2022-02-02
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.57	3.3963	-4.87%	2.46	-31.09%	0.0739	✓	1.08	626k	2022-02-02
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1177	2.9663	-4.86%	3.0352	-2.65%	0.2983	✗	1.20	3.1M	2022-02-02
SOL	Solana	Solana	170.13	161.9234	-4.82%	101.99	-40.05%	0.2173	✓	1.07	217.0M	2022-02-02
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.6279	4.4077	-4.76%	3.1357	-32.24%	0.0437	✓	1.29	5.0M	2022-02-02
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	108.09	102.9746	-4.73%	67.87	-37.21%	0.1608	✓	1.11	119.6M	2022-02-02
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	31.64	30.1564	-4.69%	23.57	-25.51%	0.0908	✓	0.68	385k	2022-02-02
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	35.08	33.4421	-4.67%	20.19	-42.45%	0.2656	✓	1.04	22.7M	2022-02-02
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	30.09	28.6858	-4.67%	18.76	-37.65%	0.1287	✓	1.29	72.5M	2022-02-02
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.11092	0.105818	-4.60%	0.07379	-33.47%	0.2133	✓	0.64	55k	2022-02-02
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	178.99	170.8026	-4.57%	113.54	-36.57%	0.1882	✓	0.96	8.7M	2022-02-02
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.616	1.5437	-4.47%	0.883	-45.36%	0.2619	✓	1.29	3.4M	2022-02-02
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05659	0.054066	-4.46%	0.03913	-30.85%	0.0706	✓	1.10	15k	2022-02-02
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3721	0.355527	-4.45%	0.2314	-37.81%	0.1368	✓	1.27	3.4M	2022-02-02
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.033837	0.032364	-4.35%	0.020246	-40.17%	0.2338	✓	1.02	7.8M	2022-02-02
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	222.2	212.5914	-4.32%	121.22	-45.45%	0.2986	✓	1.15	210k	2022-02-02
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.3545	2.2527	-4.32%	1.6005	-32.02%	0.0836	✓	1.12	100k	2022-02-02
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.436	9.0373	-4.23%	5.754	-39.02%	0.3112	✓	0.61	302k	2022-02-02
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.197	0.188724	-4.20%	0.11	-44.16%	0.2675	✓	1.19	2.4M	2022-02-02
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3186	1.2634	-4.18%	1.0268	-22.13%	0.0445	✗	1.10	98.5M	2022-02-02
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	36.41	34.9112	-4.12%	20.09	-44.82%	0.2013	✓	1.53	1.1M	2022-02-02
XVG	Verge	native	0.01731	0.016602	-4.09%	0.00978	-43.50%	0.2551	✓	1.19	2.2M	2022-02-02
DASH	Dash	Dash	139.05	133.3742	-4.08%	93.05	-33.08%	0.0689	✓	1.27	1.9M	2022-02-02
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.2052	8.8343	-4.03%	6.025	-34.55%	0.0575	✓	1.42	273k	2022-02-02
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.57	4.3859	-4.03%	3.03	-33.70%	0.1401	✓	1.00	2.5M	2022-02-02
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.1828	5.9389	-3.95%	4.6307	-25.10%	0.0271	✓	1.20	577k	2022-02-02
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2058	0.197778	-3.90%	0.1756	-14.67%	0.0182	✓	0.60	428k	2022-02-02
XMR	Monero	Monero	231.81	222.787	-3.89%	145.08	-37.41%	0.1981	✓	1.00	3.2M	2022-02-02
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.51	10.1012	-3.89%	9.36	-10.94%	0.0954	✗	0.75	1.3M	2022-02-02
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7048	0.677653	-3.85%	0.5398	-23.41%	0.0641	✗	1.27	5.3M	2022-02-02
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,766.04	3,621.82	-3.83%	2,682.66	-28.77%	0.0616	✓	1.04	654.8M	2022-02-02
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	29.28	28.17	-3.79%	21.59	-26.26%	0.0575	✗	1.41	24.2M	2022-02-02
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.56	5.3495	-3.79%	3.37	-39.39%	0.1884	✓	1.19	2.1M	2022-02-02
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6582	0.63331	-3.78%	0.4048	-38.50%	0.1503	✓	1.29	11.4M	2022-02-02
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1004	0.09672	-3.67%	0.0599	-40.34%	0.1659	✓	1.36	1.6M	2022-02-02
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	94.38	90.9302	-3.66%	49.12	-47.96%	0.3949	✓	0.96	6.3M	2022-02-02
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.18	14.6321	-3.61%	14.09	-7.18%	0.1198	✗	0.69	1.2M	2022-02-02
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.52	14.9621	-3.59%	7.83	-49.55%	0.3823	✓	1.15	3.5M	2022-02-02
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003307	0.000031894	-3.56%	0.00002064	-37.59%	0.1490	✓	1.25	1.7M	2022-02-02
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	150.55	145.2333	-3.53%	98.35	-34.67%	0.0796	✓	1.35	10.3M	2022-02-02
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01736	0.016758	-3.47%	0.00952	-45.16%	0.2691	✓	1.29	2.2M	2022-02-02
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.3019	1.2577	-3.40%	0.81012	-37.77%	0.0349	✓	1.76	1.3M	2022-02-02
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	434.61	420.0504	-3.35%	278	-36.03%	0.1803	✓	1.01	9.1M	2022-02-02
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	267.25	258.561	-3.25%	151.26	-43.40%	0.2763	✓	1.13	12.6M	2022-02-02
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	8.51	8.24	-3.17%	4.09	-51.94%	0.3999	✓	1.31	17.7M	2022-02-02
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.8521	1.7942	-3.13%	1.1125	-39.93%	0.2934	✓	0.80	689k	2022-02-02
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.25	3.1504	-3.06%	1.87	-42.46%	0.2218	✓	1.30	3.0M	2022-02-02
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.086	0.083541	-2.86%	0.0643	-25.23%	0.0154	✓	1.07	20k	2022-02-02
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	23.72	23.0457	-2.84%	15.79	-33.43%	0.0740	✓	1.32	69.2M	2022-02-02
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.414	0.402535	-2.77%	0.25	-39.61%	0.3082	✓	0.73	41k	2022-02-02
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.6	8.3622	-2.76%	6.05	-29.65%	0.1484	✓	0.76	773k	2022-02-02
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.170103	0.165417	-2.76%	0.137104	-19.40%	0.0653	✗	1.10	4.7M	2022-02-02
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.265	2.2043	-2.68%	1.589	-29.85%	0.0697	✓	1.12	2.7M	2022-02-02
XEM	NEM	native	0.127	0.123665	-2.63%	0.1015	-20.08%	0.0552	✗	1.10	115k	2022-02-02
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7914	3.6982	-2.46%	4.1355	+9.08%	0.0862	✗	-0.11	374k	2022-02-02
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.12106	0.11819	-2.37%	0.08941	-26.14%	0.0260	✓	1.10	26k	2022-02-02
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022053	0.021536	-2.34%	0.014783	-32.97%	0.0995	✓	1.20	2.4M	2022-02-02
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		122.18	119.4181	-2.26%	90	-26.34%	0.0638	✓	0.95	3.2M	2022-02-02
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.5792	3.4986	-2.25%	2.1064	-41.15%	0.2625	✓	1.07	754k	2022-02-02
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.777	4.6713	-2.21%	3.166	-33.72%	0.2144	✓	0.76	1.2M	2022-02-02
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.89	8.6952	-2.19%	6.02	-32.28%	0.2288	✓	0.60	869k	2022-02-02
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	18.47	18.0762	-2.13%	10.53	-42.99%	0.2455	✓	1.28	14.1M	2022-02-02
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3888	0.380564	-2.12%	0.2783	-28.42%	0.0291	✗	1.49	3.4M	2022-02-02
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.682	1.6484	-2.00%	1.279	-23.96%	0.0590	✗	1.36	6.0M	2022-02-02
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.14	1.1179	-1.94%	0.64	-43.86%	0.3280	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-02-02
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.21	7.0705	-1.93%	5.04	-30.10%	0.1920	✓	0.64	861k	2022-02-02
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1984	0.194699	-1.87%	0.1348	-32.06%	0.1594	✓	0.91	527k	2022-02-02
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.8156	4.7286	-1.81%	3.7524	-22.08%	0.0753	✗	1.33	4.9M	2022-02-02
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.152	5.0644	-1.70%	3.998	-22.40%	0.0978	✓	0.60	598k	2022-02-02
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	46,459.56	45,673.59	-1.69%	36,923.39	-20.53%	0.0171	✗	1.00	727.0M	2022-02-02
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.4392	6.34	-1.54%	6.8016	+5.63%	0.2636	✗	0.84	3.9M	2022-02-02
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	46,018.20	45,416.10	-1.31%	37,883.40	-17.68%	0.0434	✗	0.98	10k	2022-02-02
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.076988	0.075981	-1.31%	0.058639	-23.83%	0.0432	✓	0.94	552k	2022-02-02
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.152	4.1102	-1.01%	3.03	-27.02%	0.1526	✓	0.66	483k	2022-02-02

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.