8=======>

2022-01-01 · +30d

lstm_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2258
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+18.25%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
84.1%
in alpha space · 97.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-19.36%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DUSKDUSKEthereum1.00260.884654-11.76%0.5403-46.11%0.1345✓1.6731.1M2022-01-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.200320.17677-11.76%0.19016-5.07%0.4060✗1.557,2812022-01-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum13.5811.9902-11.71%7.35-45.88%0.4829✓0.033.9M2022-01-31
CELLCellframeEthereum0.97930.864791-11.69%0.8388-14.35%0.1847✗1.00146k2022-01-31
GITCOINGITCOIN13.6912.1027-11.59%7.318-46.54%0.5090✓-0.03111k2022-01-31
MANADecentralandEthereum3.35012.9649-11.50%2.8223-15.76%0.1518✗0.936.6M2022-01-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.373.8703-11.44%2.15-50.80%0.3727✓1.003.4M2022-01-31
HIVEHivenative1.52381.3527-11.23%0.9619-36.87%0.0492✓1.365.5M2022-01-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.494.0078-10.74%2.16-51.89%0.3360✓1.3111.9M2022-01-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.023330.020856-10.60%0.00728-68.80%0.8373✓1.0031.2M2022-01-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.36710.328958-10.39%0.2718-25.96%0.0227✓0.99293k2022-01-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum13.211.8687-10.09%6.25-52.65%0.5155✓0.581.3M2022-01-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.6812.4137-9.97%1.888-29.58%0.0288✓1.012.0M2022-01-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6093.2608-9.65%2.683-25.66%0.1508✗1.612.3M2022-01-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.25821.1384-9.53%0.85261-32.24%0.0822✓1.731.3M2022-01-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.7150.647728-9.41%0.464-35.10%0.0500✓1.323.0M2022-01-31
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.12490.11343-9.18%0.0975-21.94%0.0639✓1.0035.9M2022-01-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.42640.387856-9.04%0.549+28.75%0.6491✗1.40650k2022-01-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.5222.3127-9.00%14.36-41.44%0.2896✓0.701.5M2022-01-31
ZENHorizenBase63.9458.2328-8.93%41-35.88%0.0461✓1.42924k2022-01-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.7610.7191-8.85%6.54-44.39%0.5283✓-0.162.8M2022-01-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.38790.353737-8.81%0.3291-15.16%0.2344✗1.424.0M2022-01-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.74331.5916-8.70%0.9504-45.48%0.2826✓1.0830.5M2022-01-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum40.1736.6782-8.69%20.15-49.84%0.2125✓1.806.3M2022-01-31
STORJStorjEthereum1.8351.676-8.66%1.1648-36.52%0.1906✓0.80828k2022-01-31
MINAMina Protocolnative3.733.4095-8.59%2.39-35.92%0.1300✓1.05667k2022-01-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.62811.4883-8.59%0.4369-73.17%1.0414✓0.864.6M2022-01-31
SCSiacoinnative0.015540.014209-8.56%0.00994-36.04%0.1537✓0.95859k2022-01-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.02020.018475-8.54%0.01331-34.11%0.2048✓0.5741k2022-01-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.049640.045401-8.54%0.02978-40.01%0.2304✓0.898.4M2022-01-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche114.26104.5094-8.53%69.92-38.81%0.1769✓1.05123.8M2022-01-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum6.215.6825-8.49%3.27-47.34%0.2646✓1.3429.2M2022-01-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.29520.270381-8.41%0.1889-36.01%0.0820✓1.295.0M2022-01-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8757360.803454-8.25%0.567335-35.22%0.1147✓1.082.8M2022-01-31
IMXImmutableEthereum4.834.4336-8.21%2.69-44.31%0.2845✓1.002.8M2022-01-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.18850.173274-8.08%0.1215-35.54%0.0998✓1.192.4M2022-01-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.38051.2695-8.04%1.887+36.69%0.6296✗1.08987k2022-01-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.102950.094728-7.99%0.07979-22.50%0.0322✓0.6555k2022-01-31
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.55174.1891-7.97%3.1775-30.19%0.1402✓0.6319k2022-01-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.37750.347575-7.93%0.2423-35.81%0.0868✓1.273.9M2022-01-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.21280.195948-7.92%0.1136-46.62%0.2863✓1.205.1M2022-01-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07970.07339-7.92%0.0352-55.83%0.4359✓1.391.7M2022-01-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73020.672733-7.87%0.5492-24.79%0.0645✓1.246.0M2022-01-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum41.0737.86-7.82%27.02-34.21%0.0180✓1.652.8M2022-01-31
UOSUltraEthereum1.57871.4558-7.79%1.0903-30.94%0.0849✓0.954.2M2022-01-31
LUNATerraTerra 291.6684.5278-7.78%52.15-43.10%0.2678✓1.005.3M2022-01-31
CBKCobakEthereum2.9142.6886-7.74%2.247-22.89%0.0057✓0.8644k2022-01-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6330.584048-7.73%0.318-49.76%0.3401✓1.242.3M2022-01-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0338630.031253-7.71%0.021024-37.91%0.1755✓1.037.8M2022-01-31
SUSHISushiEthereum9.148.4571-7.47%4.23-53.72%0.4155✓1.2918.1M2022-01-31
LRCLoopringEthereum2.081.9252-7.44%0.9985-52.00%0.2583✓1.851.5M2022-01-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6511.5302-7.31%0.915-44.58%0.2380✓1.283.6M2022-01-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.4111.3094-7.20%0.8338-40.91%0.2547✓0.9123.0M2022-01-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.20782.9773-7.18%3.0665-4.40%0.2886✗1.203.3M2022-01-31
LSKLiskEthereum2.39652.2244-7.18%1.5526-35.22%0.1352✓1.04111k2022-01-31
AAVEAaveEthereum266.48247.5111-7.12%157.59-40.86%0.2162✓1.0912.0M2022-01-31
XECeCashnative0.000110770.000102991-7.02%0.00007633-31.09%0.0879✓0.987.6M2022-01-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.171.0879-7.02%0.64-45.30%0.3154✓1.002.1M2022-01-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.985.5617-7.00%5.73-4.18%0.2789✗1.163.8M2022-01-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum94.187.5242-6.99%52.38-44.34%0.3049✓0.976.5M2022-01-31
RADRadworksEthereum1110.2335-6.97%5.8-47.27%0.3852✓0.851.2M2022-01-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.71.5818-6.95%0.82-51.76%0.2941✓1.691.1M2022-01-31
API3Api3Ethereum4.364.0597-6.89%3.41-21.79%0.0408✓1.001.1M2022-01-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.430.400453-6.87%0.247-42.56%0.3278✓0.7245k2022-01-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.397.8143-6.86%5.904-29.63%0.0170✓1.22379k2022-01-31
UMAUMAEthereum9.338.6917-6.84%5.95-36.23%0.1385✓1.124.1M2022-01-31
MOVRMoonriverBase189.4715176.5814-6.80%75.0775-60.38%0.6370✓1.01600k2022-01-31
TRBTellor TributesEthereum35.2732.9078-6.70%20.51-41.85%0.1563✓1.471.2M2022-01-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0642080.05991-6.69%0.039278-38.83%0.1320✓1.357.6M2022-01-31
DODODODOEthereum0.8750.817181-6.61%0.491-43.89%0.2001✓1.448.1M2022-01-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.10945.7073-6.58%5.0138-17.93%0.1164✗1.14649k2022-01-31
KSMKusamaHydration289.04270.5566-6.39%159.75-44.73%0.2928✓1.091.3M2022-01-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13390.125351-6.38%0.0812-39.36%0.2026✓1.08315k2022-01-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.8732.6499-6.37%25.67-26.38%0.0256✓1.004.3M2022-01-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.016540.01549-6.35%0.00993-39.96%0.1694✓1.282.2M2022-01-31
DASHDashDash138.03129.4027-6.25%94.18-31.77%0.0521✓1.232.1M2022-01-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2761.1974-6.16%0.731-42.71%0.2950✓0.922.6M2022-01-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum36,545.6934,315.07-6.10%24,852.85-32.00%0.1892✓0.6215.4M2022-01-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.414.4846-5.94%14.25-7.47%0.1293✗0.681.4M2022-01-31
XVGVergenative0.017750.016711-5.85%0.01022-42.42%0.2357✓1.192.3M2022-01-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.6127.0233-5.55%19.39-32.23%0.0589✓1.2774.7M2022-01-31
FTTFTXEthereum40.237.9884-5.50%43.58+8.41%0.3546✗1.0120.0M2022-01-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.0930.087954-5.43%0.058-37.63%0.1033✓1.453.5M2022-01-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos36.3334.3672-5.40%28.07-22.74%0.0035✓0.9243.4M2022-01-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.29121.2222-5.35%0.6166-52.25%0.3825✓1.402.1M2022-01-31
ZECZcashZcash150.36142.3254-5.34%94.57-37.10%0.1346✓1.2711.0M2022-01-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.658.1878-5.34%6.27-27.51%0.1091✓0.73979k2022-01-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.1938.7035-5.32%6.119-33.44%0.2145✓0.64324k2022-01-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10010.094839-5.26%0.0619-38.16%0.1299✓1.381.6M2022-01-31
KCSKuCoinnative22.38621.2917-4.89%18.065-19.30%0.1828✗1.6115.7M2022-01-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.379.8657-4.86%9.62-7.23%0.1366✗0.751.3M2022-01-31
QTUMQtumQtum8.96138.528-4.84%6.0678-32.29%0.0487✓1.36278k2022-01-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1332.0309-4.79%1.547-27.47%0.0312✓1.122.9M2022-01-31
CTKShentuOsmosis1.7481.6647-4.76%1.359-22.25%0.0856✗1.346.8M2022-01-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin150.83143.6546-4.76%109.55-27.37%0.0151✓1.3341.9M2022-01-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.0694.8279-4.76%3.227-36.34%0.2436✓0.741.0M2022-01-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.79893.6196-4.72%3.7199-2.08%0.0031✓-0.11405k2022-01-31
BANDBandEthereum5.184.9377-4.68%3.48-32.82%0.0990✓1.172.2M2022-01-31
XVSVenusEthereum16.0815.3314-4.66%7.94-50.62%0.4122✓1.143.8M2022-01-31
XLMStellarStellar0.2768020.264193-4.56%0.199723-27.85%0.0616✓1.0126.4M2022-01-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.246.9179-4.45%5.25-27.49%0.1384✓0.641.1M2022-01-31
XMRMoneroMonero250.04238.9974-4.42%147.48-41.02%0.2830✓0.933.2M2022-01-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.66470.636587-4.23%0.409-38.47%0.1862✓1.1911.8M2022-01-31
XEMNEMnative0.1260.120706-4.20%0.1022-18.89%0.0615✗1.06137k2022-01-31
GTGateEthereum6.76356.4799-4.19%6.867+1.53%0.2256✗0.784.0M2022-01-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000034160.000032763-4.09%0.00002142-37.30%0.1570✓1.251.8M2022-01-31
NANOnanopayBase3.583.4348-4.06%2.1315-40.46%0.2510✓1.05819k2022-01-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.086250.082759-4.05%0.04586-46.83%0.3314✓1.2021.1M2022-01-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.2214.0507-4.03%3.042-27.93%0.1431✓0.67514k2022-01-31
ETHEthereumEthereum3,765.723,618.28-3.92%2,689.72-28.57%0.0779✓1.02685.0M2022-01-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV123.03118.2486-3.89%91.32-25.77%0.0567✓0.943.7M2022-01-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.75584.574-3.82%3.1164-34.47%0.1042✓1.305.0M2022-01-31
TRXTRONTron0.0766250.073698-3.82%0.059132-22.83%0.0205✓0.93589k2022-01-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.532.4351-3.75%1.68-33.60%0.1515✓1.024.1M2022-01-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum25.6124.6621-3.70%19.82-22.61%0.0837✗1.4024.2M2022-01-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.8834.5597-3.68%21.3-40.64%0.2617✓1.0323.7M2022-01-31
XYMSymbolnative0.22450.21635-3.63%0.1836-18.22%0.0347✓0.60428k2022-01-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.353.2312-3.55%2.5-25.37%0.0457✓0.981.0M2022-01-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash445.07429.457-3.51%285.23-35.91%0.1959✓0.999.8M2022-01-31
ADACardanoCardano1.37971.3318-3.47%1.0524-23.72%0.0069✓1.06102.6M2022-01-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.054880.05303-3.37%0.04045-26.29%0.0449✓1.0515k2022-01-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.948.6465-3.28%6.26-29.98%0.1938✓0.60998k2022-01-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin47,733.4346,182.44-3.25%38,491.93-19.36%0.0330✗1.00750.8M2022-01-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1731180.167515-3.24%0.141646-18.18%0.0668✗1.095.5M2022-01-31
SOLSolanaSolana179.21173.4237-3.23%99.52-44.47%0.3478✓0.96226.4M2022-01-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.2115.0429-3.23%4.108-21.17%0.0778✓0.59738k2022-01-31
UNIUniswapEthereum17.4716.9087-3.21%11.78-32.57%0.0893✓1.2614.5M2022-01-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum20.7520.0878-3.19%17.16-17.30%0.1159✗1.2769.7M2022-01-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.114760.111132-3.16%0.08784-23.46%0.0013✓1.0926k2022-01-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum32.4631.4587-3.08%25.21-22.34%0.0826✓0.65463k2022-01-31
QNTQuantEthereum179.87174.3999-3.04%97.15-45.99%0.3839✓0.938.9M2022-01-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20610.200157-2.88%0.1361-33.96%0.1959✓0.88585k2022-01-31
COMPCompoundEthereum210.69205.051-2.68%121.39-42.38%0.2821✓1.13210k2022-01-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.13.0174-2.66%1.95-37.10%0.1572✓1.303.2M2022-01-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08390.081931-2.35%0.0658-21.57%0.0042✓1.0420k2022-01-31
XTZTezosTezos4.74944.6462-2.17%3.4938-26.44%0.0001✓1.335.2M2022-01-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.0224630.022119-1.53%0.014268-36.48%0.1755✓1.222.4M2022-01-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,429.6046,704.12-1.53%38,589.30-18.64%0.0182✗0.9710k2022-01-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.