FOLD
The Interfold · Ethereum · lstm_s6
- token id
- #290
- symbol
- FOLD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-25
- predictions
- 147
Track record at +1d
assessed
48
of 49 predictions shown
direction hit
56.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0475
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0042
actual -0.0051
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.04772 | 0.047601 | -0.25% | – | pending | – | – | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04858 | 0.048479 | -0.21% | 0.04772 | -1.77% | 0.0133 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.04751 | 0.04746 | -0.10% | 0.04858 | +2.25% | 0.0122 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.04779 | 0.047762 | -0.06% | 0.04751 | -0.59% | 0.0036 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.05113 | 0.051036 | -0.18% | 0.04779 | -6.53% | 0.0723 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.05269 | 0.052586 | -0.20% | 0.05113 | -2.96% | 0.0268 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.05285 | 0.052751 | -0.19% | 0.05269 | -0.30% | 0.0054 | ✗ | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.05383 | 0.053722 | -0.20% | 0.05285 | -1.82% | 0.0223 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.060215 | 0.060024 | -0.32% | 0.05383 | -10.60% | 0.0944 | ✓ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.059405 | 0.059202 | -0.34% | 0.060215 | +1.36% | 0.0043 | ✗ | 0.76 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.06681 | 0.066463 | -0.52% | 0.059405 | -11.08% | 0.0973 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.06538 | 0.065067 | -0.48% | 0.06681 | +2.19% | 0.0207 | ✗ | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.064485 | 0.064231 | -0.39% | 0.06538 | +1.39% | 0.0150 | ✗ | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.06178 | 0.061562 | -0.35% | 0.064485 | +4.38% | 0.0402 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.064415 | 0.064182 | -0.36% | 0.06178 | -4.09% | 0.0271 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.06901 | 0.068743 | -0.39% | 0.064415 | -6.66% | 0.0517 | ✓ | 0.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.07369 | 0.073325 | -0.50% | 0.06901 | -6.35% | 0.0595 | ✓ | 0.48 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.0701 | 0.069799 | -0.43% | 0.07369 | +5.12% | 0.0589 | ✗ | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.072825 | 0.072358 | -0.64% | 0.0701 | -3.74% | 0.0435 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.06417 | 0.063939 | -0.36% | 0.072825 | +13.49% | 0.1285 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.067655 | 0.067368 | -0.42% | 0.06417 | -5.15% | 0.0464 | ✓ | 0.55 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069015 | 0.068605 | -0.59% | 0.067655 | -1.97% | 0.0226 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066025 | 0.065703 | -0.49% | 0.069015 | +4.53% | 0.0498 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.061035 | 0.060776 | -0.42% | 0.066025 | +8.18% | 0.0816 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.06903 | 0.06861 | -0.61% | 0.061035 | -11.58% | 0.1113 | ✓ | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.066875 | 0.066452 | -0.63% | 0.06903 | +3.22% | 0.0378 | ✗ | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.058715 | 0.058398 | -0.54% | 0.066875 | +13.90% | 0.1337 | ✗ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0597 | 0.059374 | -0.55% | 0.058715 | -1.65% | 0.0095 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.05971 | 0.059408 | -0.51% | 0.0597 | -0.02% | 0.0048 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.060325 | 0.060053 | -0.45% | 0.05971 | -1.02% | 0.0156 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.06106 | 0.060803 | -0.42% | 0.060325 | -1.20% | 0.0033 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.062015 | 0.061483 | -0.86% | 0.06106 | -1.54% | 0.0717 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.07045 | 0.069422 | -1.46% | 0.062015 | -11.97% | 0.1119 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.066755 | 0.065765 | -1.48% | 0.07045 | +5.54% | 0.0644 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.0641 | 0.062841 | -1.96% | 0.066755 | +4.14% | 0.0028 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.05471 | 0.054126 | -1.07% | 0.0641 | +17.16% | 0.1665 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.043735 | 0.043704 | -0.07% | 0.05471 | +25.09% | 0.2172 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.049085 | 0.048892 | -0.39% | 0.043735 | -10.90% | 0.0778 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.04818 | 0.04805 | -0.27% | 0.049085 | +1.88% | 0.0036 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.050545 | 0.050401 | -0.28% | 0.04818 | -4.68% | 0.0391 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.051095 | 0.051005 | -0.18% | 0.050545 | -1.08% | 0.0098 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.05233 | 0.052246 | -0.16% | 0.051095 | -2.36% | 0.0310 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.05138 | 0.051329 | -0.10% | 0.05233 | +1.85% | 0.0419 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.05349 | 0.053428 | -0.12% | 0.05138 | -3.94% | 0.0370 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.05533 | 0.055283 | -0.08% | 0.05349 | -3.33% | 0.0248 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.05607 | 0.056068 | -0.00% | 0.05533 | -1.32% | 0.0024 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.055135 | 0.055145 | +0.02% | 0.05607 | +1.70% | 0.0103 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.05539 | 0.055447 | +0.10% | 0.055135 | -0.46% | 0.0076 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.059025 | 0.059109 | +0.14% | 0.05539 | -6.16% | 0.0452 | ✗ | 1.00 |