AVA

AVA (Travala) · Ethereum · lstm_s6

token id: #60
symbol: AVA
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xa6c0c097741d55ecd9a3a7def3a8253fd022ceb9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-14
predictions: 456

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

151

of 152 predictions shown

direction hit

57.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0357

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0052

actual +0.0013

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3215	0.319128	-0.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.37
2026-10-20	oos	0.3432	0.339544	-1.07%	0.3215	-6.32%	0.0535	✓	0.37
2026-10-19	oos	0.42285	0.410643	-2.89%	0.3432	-18.84%	0.1854	✓	0.45
2026-10-18	oos	0.3193	0.313163	-1.92%	0.42285	+32.43%	0.3013	✗	0.49
2026-10-17	oos	0.3784	0.36801	-2.75%	0.3193	-15.62%	0.1459	✓	0.51
2026-10-16	oos	0.2935	0.290335	-1.08%	0.3784	+28.93%	0.2657	✗	0.54
2026-10-15	oos	0.2846	0.280767	-1.35%	0.2935	+3.13%	0.0485	✗	0.54
2026-10-14	oos	0.26855	0.262484	-2.26%	0.2846	+5.98%	0.0772	✗	0.54
2026-10-13	oos	0.2373	0.235072	-0.94%	0.26855	+13.17%	0.1448	✗	0.63
2026-10-12	oos	0.2321	0.231006	-0.47%	0.2373	+2.24%	0.0167	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.22825	0.227171	-0.47%	0.2321	+1.69%	0.0364	✗	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.2325	0.231511	-0.43%	0.22825	-1.83%	0.0203	✓	0.66
2026-10-09	oos	0.2387	0.237723	-0.41%	0.2325	-2.60%	0.0251	✓	0.66
2026-10-08	oos	0.23205	0.231213	-0.36%	0.2387	+2.87%	0.0250	✗	0.66
2026-10-07	oos	0.22615	0.225386	-0.34%	0.23205	+2.61%	0.0422	✗	0.68
2026-10-06	oos	0.23255	0.23168	-0.37%	0.22615	-2.75%	0.0061	✓	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.24515	0.244174	-0.40%	0.23255	-5.14%	0.0471	✓	0.67
2026-10-04	oos	0.2621	0.260738	-0.52%	0.24515	-6.47%	0.0558	✓	0.67
2026-10-03	oos	0.26635	0.264661	-0.63%	0.2621	-1.60%	0.0238	✓	0.68
2026-10-02	oos	0.26025	0.258798	-0.56%	0.26635	+2.34%	0.0269	✗	0.68
2026-10-01	oos	0.25855	0.257124	-0.55%	0.26025	+0.66%	0.0149	✗	0.68
2026-09-30	oos	0.2456	0.244391	-0.49%	0.25855	+5.27%	0.0459	✗	0.68
2026-09-29	oos	0.24525	0.244001	-0.51%	0.2456	+0.14%	0.0072	✗	0.66
2026-09-28	oos	0.2432	0.241977	-0.50%	0.24525	+0.84%	0.0119	✗	0.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.2525	0.251124	-0.54%	0.2432	-3.68%	0.0238	✓	0.69
2026-09-26	oos	0.2456	0.244505	-0.45%	0.2525	+2.81%	0.0318	✗	0.69
2026-09-25	oos	0.26395	0.262692	-0.48%	0.2456	-6.95%	0.0699	✓	0.69
2026-09-24	oos	0.2556	0.254422	-0.46%	0.26395	+3.27%	0.0392	✗	0.70
2026-09-23	oos	0.253	0.251694	-0.52%	0.2556	+1.03%	0.0153	✗	0.70
2026-09-22	oos	0.25725	0.255646	-0.62%	0.253	-1.65%	0.0046	✓	0.70
2026-09-21	oos	0.24785	0.24657	-0.52%	0.25725	+3.79%	0.0458	✗	0.73
2026-09-20	oos	0.2389	0.23691	-0.83%	0.24785	+3.75%	0.0042	✓	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.2257	0.224131	-0.70%	0.2389	+5.85%	0.0645	✗	0.76
2026-09-18	oos	0.2356	0.23196	-1.55%	0.2257	-4.20%	0.0308	✓	0.78
2026-09-17	oos	0.2631	0.25498	-3.09%	0.2356	-10.45%	0.1395	✓	1.05
2026-09-16	oos	0.15575	0.155537	-0.14%	0.2631	+68.92%	0.5229	✗	1.03
2026-09-15	oos	0.15935	0.159031	-0.20%	0.15575	-2.26%	0.0286	✓	1.05
2026-09-14	oos	0.16475	0.164098	-0.40%	0.15935	-3.28%	0.0055	✗	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.17235	0.17041	-1.13%	0.16475	-4.41%	0.0525	✓	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.16675	0.166535	-0.13%	0.17235	+3.36%	0.0407	✗	1.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.1533	0.153426	+0.08%	0.16675	+8.77%	0.0825	✓	1.07
2026-09-10	oos	0.14845	0.148752	+0.20%	0.1533	+3.27%	0.0209	✓	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.15835	0.158505	+0.10%	0.14845	-6.25%	0.0423	✗	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.16595	0.165989	+0.02%	0.15835	-4.58%	0.0448	✗	1.09
2026-09-07	oos	0.16025	0.160545	+0.18%	0.16595	+3.56%	0.0422	✓	1.11
2026-09-06	oos	0.1657	0.165984	+0.17%	0.16025	-3.29%	0.0178	✗	1.11
2026-09-05	oos	0.17045	0.170742	+0.17%	0.1657	-2.79%	0.0370	✗	1.11
2026-09-04	oos	0.1723	0.172582	+0.16%	0.17045	-1.07%	0.0146	✗	1.11
2026-09-03	oos	0.19615	0.196035	-0.06%	0.1723	-12.16%	0.1086	✓	1.04
2026-09-02	oos	0.1842	0.184125	-0.04%	0.19615	+6.49%	0.0103	✗	1.06
2026-09-01	oos	0.1902	0.190025	-0.09%	0.1842	-3.15%	0.0299	✓	1.07
2026-08-31	oos	0.19365	0.193525	-0.06%	0.1902	-1.78%	0.0024	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.19105	0.190987	-0.03%	0.19365	+1.36%	0.0023	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.1997	0.199505	-0.10%	0.19105	-4.33%	0.0362	✓	0.97
2026-08-28	oos	0.202	0.201812	-0.09%	0.1997	-1.14%	0.0154	✓	0.97
2026-08-27	oos	0.2085	0.208349	-0.07%	0.202	-3.12%	0.0010	✓	0.97
2026-08-26	oos	0.21075	0.210507	-0.12%	0.2085	-1.07%	0.0249	✓	0.98
2026-08-25	oos	0.2092	0.20894	-0.12%	0.21075	+0.74%	0.0024	✗	0.99
2026-08-24	oos	0.2018	0.201741	-0.03%	0.2092	+3.67%	0.0420	✗	0.99
2026-08-23	oos	0.20705	0.206789	-0.13%	0.2018	-2.54%	0.0406	✓	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.2035	0.203196	-0.15%	0.20705	+1.74%	0.0100	✗	1.01
2026-08-21	oos	0.2049	0.204465	-0.21%	0.2035	-0.68%	0.0118	✗	1.01
2026-08-20	oos	0.191	0.190322	-0.36%	0.2049	+7.28%	0.0025	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.1799	0.179313	-0.33%	0.191	+6.17%	0.0101	✗	1.02
2026-08-18	oos	0.17065	0.169926	-0.42%	0.1799	+5.42%	0.0155	✓	1.05
2026-08-17	oos	0.17415	0.173331	-0.47%	0.17065	-2.01%	0.0190	✓	1.08
2026-08-16	oos	0.17405	0.173178	-0.50%	0.17415	+0.06%	0.0230	✓	1.11
2026-08-15	oos	0.17835	0.177401	-0.53%	0.17405	-2.41%	0.0159	✓	1.11
2026-08-14	oos	0.17865	0.177678	-0.54%	0.17835	-0.17%	0.0030	✓	1.12
2026-08-13	oos	0.18025	0.179238	-0.56%	0.17865	-0.89%	0.0047	✓	1.12
2026-08-12	oos	0.18485	0.183714	-0.61%	0.18025	-2.49%	0.0193	✓	1.15
2026-08-11	oos	0.19115	0.189814	-0.70%	0.18485	-3.30%	0.0243	✓	1.15
2026-08-10	oos	0.203	0.201267	-0.85%	0.19115	-5.84%	0.0447	✓	1.15
2026-08-09	oos	0.2075	0.205481	-0.97%	0.203	-2.17%	0.0045	✓	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.20655	0.204243	-1.12%	0.2075	+0.46%	0.0169	✗	1.14
2026-08-07	oos	0.21025	0.207001	-1.55%	0.20655	-1.76%	0.0025	✓	1.15
2026-08-06	oos	0.1902	0.187996	-1.16%	0.21025	+10.54%	0.1012	✗	1.11
2026-08-05	oos	0.18165	0.179744	-1.05%	0.1902	+4.71%	0.0623	✗	1.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.16775	0.166297	-0.87%	0.18165	+8.29%	0.0790	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	0.1717	0.16947	-1.30%	0.16775	-2.30%	0.0202	✓	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.1825	0.18001	-1.36%	0.1717	-5.92%	0.0467	✓	1.10
2026-08-01	oos	0.17155	0.168613	-1.71%	0.1825	+6.38%	0.0666	✗	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	0.16075	0.159409	-0.83%	0.17155	+6.72%	0.0745	✗	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	0.152	0.151069	-0.61%	0.16075	+5.76%	0.0966	✗	1.16
2026-07-29	oos	0.1501	0.149237	-0.57%	0.152	+1.27%	0.0035	✓	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.1533	0.152373	-0.60%	0.1501	-2.09%	0.0159	✓	1.16
2026-07-27	oos	0.15455	0.153611	-0.61%	0.1533	-0.81%	0.0048	✓	1.16
2026-07-26	oos	0.1624	0.161288	-0.68%	0.15455	-4.83%	0.0134	✓	1.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.1637	0.16248	-0.75%	0.1624	-0.79%	0.0193	✓	1.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.15435	0.153462	-0.58%	0.1637	+6.06%	0.0608	✗	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.15365	0.152834	-0.53%	0.15435	+0.46%	0.0273	✗	1.16
2026-07-22	oos	0.1581	0.157283	-0.52%	0.15365	-2.81%	0.0051	✓	1.16
2026-07-21	oos	0.15995	0.159127	-0.51%	0.1581	-1.16%	0.0010	✓	1.16
2026-07-20	oos	0.1559	0.155101	-0.51%	0.15995	+2.60%	0.0080	✗	1.15
2026-07-19	oos	0.1539	0.153117	-0.51%	0.1559	+1.30%	0.0086	✗	1.15
2026-07-18	oos	0.15475	0.153961	-0.51%	0.1539	-0.55%	0.0016	✓	1.15
2026-07-17	oos	0.158	0.157154	-0.54%	0.15475	-2.06%	0.0319	✓	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.15955	0.158687	-0.54%	0.158	-0.97%	0.0066	✓	1.17
2026-07-15	oos	0.16415	0.16326	-0.54%	0.15955	-2.80%	0.0058	✓	1.17
2026-07-14	oos	0.1618	0.161037	-0.47%	0.16415	+1.45%	0.0241	✗	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.1574	0.156711	-0.44%	0.1618	+2.80%	0.0199	✓	1.21
2026-07-12	oos	0.1628	0.162017	-0.48%	0.1574	-3.32%	0.0006	✓	1.21
2026-07-11	oos	0.16735	0.166506	-0.50%	0.1628	-2.72%	0.0219	✓	1.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.1696	0.168696	-0.53%	0.16735	-1.33%	0.0013	✓	1.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.16805	0.16725	-0.48%	0.1696	+0.92%	0.0043	✓	1.22
2026-07-08	oos	0.1669	0.166181	-0.43%	0.16805	+0.69%	0.0071	✓	1.23
2026-07-07	oos	0.1711	0.170341	-0.44%	0.1669	-2.45%	0.0008	✓	1.23
2026-07-06	oos	0.17935	0.178429	-0.51%	0.1711	-4.60%	0.0290	✓	1.22
2026-07-05	oos	0.1803	0.179369	-0.52%	0.17935	-0.53%	0.0081	✓	1.22
2026-07-04	oos	0.18395	0.182917	-0.56%	0.1803	-1.98%	0.0241	✓	1.24
2026-07-03	oos	0.17725	0.176354	-0.51%	0.18395	+3.78%	0.0312	✗	1.22
2026-07-02	oos	0.17095	0.170279	-0.39%	0.17725	+3.69%	0.0201	✗	1.20
2026-07-01	oos	0.17475	0.174161	-0.34%	0.17095	-2.17%	0.0508	✓	1.28
2026-06-30	oos	0.16145	0.161144	-0.19%	0.17475	+8.24%	0.0520	✗	1.20
2026-06-29	oos	0.1661	0.165888	-0.13%	0.16145	-2.80%	0.0062	✗	1.21
2026-06-28	oos	0.16695	0.166787	-0.10%	0.1661	-0.51%	0.0182	✓	1.22
2026-06-27	oos	0.16885	0.168707	-0.08%	0.16695	-1.13%	0.0010	✓	1.22
2026-06-26	oos	0.1731	0.172954	-0.08%	0.16885	-2.46%	0.0226	✓	1.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.17085	0.170789	-0.04%	0.1731	+1.32%	0.0073	✗	1.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1746	0.174519	-0.05%	0.17085	-2.15%	0.0048	✗	1.23
2026-06-23	oos	0.18185	0.181703	-0.08%	0.1746	-3.99%	0.0070	✓	1.22
2026-06-22	oos	0.18755	0.18733	-0.12%	0.18185	-3.04%	0.0045	✓	1.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.1911	0.190869	-0.12%	0.18755	-1.86%	0.0316	✓	1.25
2026-06-20	oos	0.19835	0.197942	-0.21%	0.1911	-3.66%	0.0159	✓	1.24
2026-06-19	oos	0.19035	0.189875	-0.25%	0.19835	+4.20%	0.0295	✗	1.21
2026-06-18	oos	0.1941	0.192725	-0.71%	0.19035	-1.93%	0.0241	✓	1.25
2026-06-17	oos	0.2037	0.202192	-0.74%	0.1941	-4.71%	0.0107	✓	1.22
2026-06-16	oos	0.1998	0.198677	-0.56%	0.2037	+1.95%	0.0476	✗	1.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.1971	0.196162	-0.48%	0.1998	+1.37%	0.0310	✗	1.26
2026-06-14	oos	0.1934	0.192774	-0.32%	0.1971	+1.91%	0.0114	✗	1.25
2026-06-13	oos	0.1904	0.189903	-0.26%	0.1934	+1.58%	0.0066	✓	1.27
2026-06-12	oos	0.191	0.190093	-0.47%	0.1904	-0.31%	0.0123	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.19395	0.192738	-0.62%	0.191	-1.52%	0.0087	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.1754	0.174827	-0.33%	0.19395	+10.58%	0.0699	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.17575	0.175298	-0.26%	0.1754	-0.20%	0.0045	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.1836	0.182801	-0.43%	0.17575	-4.28%	0.0173	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.1835	0.182393	-0.60%	0.1836	+0.05%	0.0104	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.1772	0.176847	-0.20%	0.1835	+3.56%	0.0026	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.1769	0.176602	-0.17%	0.1772	+0.17%	0.0064	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.1918	0.191061	-0.39%	0.1769	-7.77%	0.0326	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.2098	0.209222	-0.28%	0.1918	-8.58%	0.0833	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.2063	0.205261	-0.50%	0.2098	+1.70%	0.0619	✗	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.2219	0.221219	-0.31%	0.2063	-7.03%	0.0023	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.2223	0.221731	-0.26%	0.2219	-0.18%	0.0320	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.21885	0.218384	-0.21%	0.2223	+1.58%	0.0204	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.21825	0.217723	-0.24%	0.21885	+0.27%	0.0003	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.215	0.214508	-0.23%	0.21825	+1.51%	0.0193	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.2224	0.221778	-0.28%	0.215	-3.33%	0.0202	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.2274	0.227059	-0.15%	0.2224	-2.20%	0.0006	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.2333	0.232869	-0.18%	0.2274	-2.53%	0.0052	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.2314	0.230842	-0.24%	0.2333	+0.82%	0.0071	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.2424	0.241743	-0.27%	0.2314	-4.54%	0.0480	✓	1.00