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2022-08-03 · +7d

lstm_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1048
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.04%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
37.8%
in alpha space · 13.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.98%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.9931.8844-5.45%1.569-21.27%0.2790✓1.972.4M2022-08-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.7310.2453-4.52%10.61-1.12%0.0322✓1.38334k2022-08-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.4415.9359-3.07%16.17-1.64%0.0538✓1.412.3M2022-08-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.6426.8005-3.04%38.68+39.94%0.3009✗1.36773k2022-08-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.405920.393655-3.02%0.41642+2.59%0.0109✓1.38583k2022-08-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.0635.0063-2.92%38.83+7.68%0.0354✗1.409.4M2022-08-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.35773.2602-2.90%3.3964+1.15%0.0023✓0.891.3M2022-08-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.0422.3757-2.88%29.18+26.65%0.1886✗1.5827.5M2022-08-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,725.0410,428.22-2.77%11,510.60+7.32%0.0295✗1.424.4M2022-08-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0241.9682-2.76%2.049+1.24%0.0283✓1.41255k2022-08-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08610.083795-2.68%0.0919+6.74%0.0364✗1.15128k2022-08-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017040.001659-2.66%0.001757+3.11%0.0074✓1.039,4962022-08-10
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00270.976178-2.65%0.9791-2.35%0.0804✓1.72211k2022-08-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3358930.327172-2.60%0.369005+9.86%0.0586✗1.271.1M2022-08-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.9821.4111-2.59%21.15-3.78%0.0536✓0.852.2M2022-08-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.60360.588155-2.56%0.6574+8.91%0.0559✗1.14690k2022-08-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0877.8814-2.54%8.306+2.71%0.0017✓1.042.4M2022-08-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31820.310116-2.54%0.4951+55.59%0.4129✗1.1377k2022-08-10
FORTFortaEthereum0.31830.310251-2.53%0.3078-3.30%0.0619✓1.11294k2022-08-10
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.0899-2.53%3.02-4.73%0.0469✓0.49102k2022-08-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32670.318538-2.50%0.3644+11.54%0.0798✗1.138.1M2022-08-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.26543.1842-2.49%3.2108-1.67%0.0287✓0.761.1M2022-08-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1251.0971-2.48%1.046-7.02%0.0794✓0.651.8M2022-08-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.436.2719-2.46%5.43-15.55%0.1738✓0.611.4M2022-08-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6330.617649-2.43%0.697+10.11%0.0528✗1.4088k2022-08-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.1659.9189-2.42%11.986+17.91%0.1234✗1.3514.4M2022-08-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010870.00106-2.42%0.001521+39.94%0.3003✗1.241.3M2022-08-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.037490.036585-2.41%0.03296-12.08%0.1743✓1.4413.9M2022-08-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043450.042402-2.41%0.04665+7.36%0.0498✗0.942,3002022-08-10
XTZTezosTezos1.72041.6789-2.41%1.8733+8.89%0.0479✗1.27530k2022-08-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.01780.993264-2.41%1.4709+44.52%0.3368✗1.151.1M2022-08-10
MOVRMoonriverBase14.622114.2705-2.40%17.7+21.05%0.1595✗1.1563k2022-08-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05850.057097-2.40%0.0686+17.26%0.1211✗1.28799k2022-08-10
HIVEHivenative0.5960.581941-2.36%0.6261+5.05%0.0156✓1.181.5M2022-08-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7670.748953-2.35%0.883+15.12%0.1152✗1.02377k2022-08-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.11090.108294-2.35%0.1219+9.92%0.0574✗1.25505k2022-08-10
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.80e-79.57e-7-2.33%0.00000103+5.10%0.0247✗1.0025k2022-08-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15880.155125-2.31%0.1861+17.19%0.1217✗1.24508k2022-08-10
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.088010.086006-2.28%0.08979+2.02%0.0303✗0.261.1M2022-08-10
FLOWFlownative1.841.7984-2.26%3.057+66.14%0.4684✗1.28430k2022-08-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1160.113382-2.26%0.1265+9.05%0.0573✗1.07370k2022-08-10
COMPCompoundEthereum55.7654.5027-2.25%65.2+16.93%0.1116✗1.3934k2022-08-10
STEEMSteemnative0.24950.243877-2.25%0.266+6.61%0.0302✗1.17768k2022-08-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199490.019503-2.24%0.020275+1.63%0.0183✓0.42165k2022-08-10
API3Api3Ethereum1.9971.9528-2.21%2.075+3.91%0.0011✓1.27626k2022-08-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07730.075598-2.20%0.0827+6.99%0.0360✗1.11952k2022-08-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011830.000011572-2.18%0.0000124+4.82%0.0085✓1.25986k2022-08-10
ZENHorizenBase17.1516.7758-2.18%21.93+27.87%0.2012✗1.37116k2022-08-10
APEApeCoinEthereum7.1687.0131-2.16%7.116-0.73%0.0697✓1.7312.2M2022-08-10
XVGVergenative0.003730.003649-2.16%0.00383+2.68%0.0146✓1.29551k2022-08-10
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47440.464206-2.15%0.5471+15.32%0.1098✗1.1246k2022-08-10
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9078.7156-2.15%9.22+3.51%0.0113✓1.399.8M2022-08-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017680.017304-2.13%0.01893+7.07%0.0497✗0.82207k2022-08-10
GMTGMTEthereum0.9050.885898-2.11%0.98+8.29%0.0150✓1.77513k2022-08-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4784.3835-2.11%4.752+6.12%0.0533✗0.561.3M2022-08-10
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.255712-2.10%0.2616+0.15%0.0222✗0.0129k2022-08-10
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099970.000097876-2.09%0.00009856-1.41%0.0921✓2.04536k2022-08-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3341.3062-2.08%1.3894+4.15%0.0110✓1.506.4M2022-08-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3320.325101-2.08%0.34+2.41%0.0056✓1.041.1M2022-08-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2130.208579-2.08%0.229+7.51%0.0199✓1.51786k2022-08-10
XECeCashnative0.000042440.000041562-2.07%0.00004643+9.40%0.0546✗1.161.9M2022-08-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.163040.159681-2.06%0.17975+10.25%0.0438✗1.53212k2022-08-10
METISMetisEthereum35.334.575-2.05%47.24+33.82%0.2188✗1.92251k2022-08-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4752.4242-2.05%2.734+10.46%0.0769✗0.89110k2022-08-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.040453-2.05%0.0441+6.78%0.0267✗1.2376k2022-08-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008680.008503-2.04%0.00896+3.23%0.0098✓1.28375k2022-08-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06820.066831-2.01%0.0739+8.36%0.0549✗0.94229k2022-08-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.825.7035-2.00%5.68-2.41%0.0329✓0.59873k2022-08-10
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54110.530311-1.99%0.537-0.76%0.0556✓1.40222k2022-08-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.713.6361-1.99%4.199+13.18%0.0593✗1.745.0M2022-08-10
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2591.234-1.99%1.348+7.07%0.0279✗1.241.2M2022-08-10
BANDBandEthereum1.6891.6554-1.99%1.849+9.47%0.0411✗1.43341k2022-08-10
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022550.002211-1.97%0.002157-4.35%0.0732✓1.001.5M2022-08-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8263.7508-1.97%4.079+6.61%0.0554✗0.591.9M2022-08-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.790.774467-1.97%0.976+23.54%0.1729✗1.20225k2022-08-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.49e-73.42e-7-1.97%3.34e-7-4.32%0.0724✓0.99170k2022-08-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031270.030658-1.96%0.03518+12.50%0.0776✗1.2314k2022-08-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8160.800024-1.96%0.88+7.84%0.0107✓1.744.8M2022-08-10
DIADIAEthereum0.465640.456525-1.96%0.48951+5.13%0.0326✗0.7668k2022-08-10
PROPropyEthereum0.740.725532-1.96%0.77+4.05%0.0306✗0.5983k2022-08-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.559.3679-1.91%8.75-8.38%0.0919✓0.491.7M2022-08-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5170.507158-1.90%0.532+2.90%0.0080✓1.1513k2022-08-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1180.115769-1.89%0.1462+23.90%0.1667✗1.372.9M2022-08-10
RADRadworksEthereum2.472.4234-1.89%2.59+4.86%0.0141✓1.08398k2022-08-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.081210.079681-1.88%0.10427+28.40%0.1966✗1.49786k2022-08-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.780.765343-1.88%0.79+1.28%0.0390✓1.453,6872022-08-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13490.132366-1.88%0.1428+5.86%0.0141✓1.2761k2022-08-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.84852.7951-1.87%2.9592+3.89%0.0093✓0.981.2M2022-08-10
QNTQuantEthereum105.18103.2247-1.86%126.64+20.40%0.1563✗0.994.2M2022-08-10
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.42e-7-1.86%0.00000101+5.21%0.0288✗0.846.4M2022-08-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14480.142111-1.86%0.1704+17.68%0.1355✗0.953.6M2022-08-10
NANOnanopayBase1.02431.0054-1.85%1.0722+4.67%0.0187✗0.9460k2022-08-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0230560.022631-1.84%0.024212+5.01%0.0207✗0.9611k2022-08-10
IMXImmutableEthereum1.08341.0635-1.83%1.133+4.58%0.0035✓1.371.4M2022-08-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.03721.0185-1.81%1.1836+14.12%0.0991✗1.0513k2022-08-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009760.009586-1.79%0.01031+5.64%0.0300✗0.885.0M2022-08-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.4045-1.78%1.58+10.49%0.0492✗1.411.1M2022-08-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9814.8933-1.76%6.395+28.39%0.2420✗0.532.2M2022-08-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9053.8363-1.76%4.198+7.50%0.0484✗0.86922k2022-08-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.2857.1571-1.76%9.062+24.39%0.1752✗1.2518.3M2022-08-10
DODODODOEthereum0.17080.167835-1.74%0.1819+6.50%0.0211✗1.223.5M2022-08-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066980.006583-1.72%0.006078-9.26%0.1048✓0.5239k2022-08-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.05830.057299-1.72%0.0635+8.92%0.0351✗1.39167k2022-08-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54530.535958-1.71%0.6134+12.49%0.0798✗1.14335k2022-08-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.084.993-1.71%4.92-3.15%0.0488✓0.701.3M2022-08-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0620.060938-1.71%0.1362+119.68%0.7685✗0.74159k2022-08-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43990.43237-1.71%0.4553+3.50%0.0201✓1.48278k2022-08-10
FTTFTXEthereum29.128.6041-1.70%31.37+7.80%0.0462✗0.9510.8M2022-08-10
XMRMoneroMonero157.11154.4433-1.70%167.53+6.63%0.0277✗1.101.2M2022-08-10
STXStacksnative0.46630.45847-1.68%0.4979+6.78%0.0222✗1.24892k2022-08-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.7856.8158-1.67%61.61+6.63%0.0249✗1.1513.7M2022-08-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.13380.131591-1.65%0.1532+14.50%0.0993✗1.09779k2022-08-10
ZECZcashZcash61.8560.8319-1.65%78.7+27.24%0.1967✗1.251.5M2022-08-10
DASHDashDash48.7747.9674-1.65%54.6+11.95%0.0762✗1.10574k2022-08-10
SOLSolanaSolana38.5537.9171-1.64%42.5+10.25%0.0476✗1.3781.8M2022-08-10
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7440.731906-1.63%0.884+18.82%0.1297✗1.22895k2022-08-10
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.03080.030302-1.62%0.03249+5.49%0.0064✓1.301,3502022-08-10
GTGateEthereum4.50944.4367-1.61%4.9377+9.50%0.0707✗0.75920k2022-08-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.812.765-1.60%3.04+8.19%0.0210✗1.52198k2022-08-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.8617.7356-1.60%8.348+6.20%0.0168✗1.227.0M2022-08-10
UMAUMAEthereum2.9642.9168-1.59%3.098+4.52%0.0061✓1.11597k2022-08-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.45891.4357-1.59%1.6203+11.06%0.0529✗1.40675k2022-08-10
KSMKusamaHydration61.3160.3387-1.58%62.92+2.63%0.0151✓1.17379k2022-08-10
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6722.6297-1.58%2.928+9.58%0.0223✗1.75109k2022-08-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05460.053737-1.58%0.0548+0.37%0.0426✓1.28284k2022-08-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,825.0022,464.59-1.58%23,962.18+4.98%0.0159✗1.00427.9M2022-08-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087710.086327-1.58%0.08743-0.32%0.0536✓1.3629k2022-08-10
ADACardanoCardano0.50090.493057-1.57%0.5376+7.33%0.0280✗1.2041.9M2022-08-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.648990.638848-1.56%0.71796+10.63%0.0433✗1.5188k2022-08-10
XEMNEMnative0.0492910.048521-1.56%0.052134+5.77%0.0136✓1.2035k2022-08-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.4963-1.56%1.52+0.00%0.0009✓0.30221k2022-08-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2462.2115-1.54%2.452+9.17%0.0360✗1.38177k2022-08-10
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09720.095714-1.53%0.1008+3.70%0.0068✓1.206,5342022-08-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.31159.3897-1.53%62.292+3.28%0.0072✓0.83330k2022-08-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.008190.008066-1.52%0.00837+2.20%0.0068✓0.901.6M2022-08-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0037.8819-1.51%9.529+19.07%0.1304✗1.2211.0M2022-08-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031410.003094-1.50%0.003961+26.11%0.1990✗0.991.0M2022-08-10
MANADecentralandEthereum0.960.945668-1.49%1.072+11.67%0.0622✗1.30532k2022-08-10
SCSiacoinnative0.004560.004493-1.47%0.00485+6.36%0.0129✓1.31112k2022-08-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.309310.304771-1.47%0.37799+22.20%0.1605✗1.13398k2022-08-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.2070.204012-1.44%0.2472+19.42%0.1286✗1.311,6972022-08-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9783.9209-1.43%4.046+1.71%0.0023✓0.691.5M2022-08-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0157850.015559-1.43%0.015766-0.12%0.0303✓0.892.1M2022-08-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.995.9042-1.43%5.97-0.33%0.0219✓0.68725k2022-08-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048340.047652-1.42%0.05257+8.75%0.0551✗0.8915k2022-08-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.020998-1.42%0.02661+24.93%0.1875✗1.02159k2022-08-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.13851.1223-1.42%1.2251+7.61%0.0366✗1.0547k2022-08-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40220.39656-1.40%0.4648+15.56%0.0948✗1.32127k2022-08-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.25980.256269-1.36%0.2716+4.54%0.0038✓1.1265k2022-08-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.05870.057906-1.35%0.0607+3.41%0.0223✓1.43350k2022-08-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03431.0205-1.34%1.1615+12.30%0.0868✗0.883.9M2022-08-10
ELAElastosEthereum1.7991.7751-1.33%2.108+17.18%0.1410✗0.64189k2022-08-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24610.242872-1.31%0.2649+7.64%0.0274✗1.22110k2022-08-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.8210.6781-1.31%12.16+12.38%0.0717✗1.20259k2022-08-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.320.315822-1.31%0.3479+8.72%0.0401✗1.173.5M2022-08-10
TRXTRONTron0.0677990.066932-1.28%0.070307+3.70%0.0159✗0.69364k2022-08-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3591.3418-1.27%1.444+6.25%0.0113✓1.282.5M2022-08-10
QTUMQtumQtum3.89863.8501-1.24%4.1947+7.59%0.0330✗1.0945k2022-08-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6860.677468-1.24%0.766+11.66%0.0511✗1.47106k2022-08-10
KCSKuCoinnative10.0289.905-1.23%10.779+7.49%0.0309✗1.102.0M2022-08-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12880.127224-1.22%0.1324+2.80%0.0085✓1.004,9522022-08-10
ETHEthereumEthereum1,618.821,599.05-1.22%1,854.12+14.54%0.0859✗1.28404.0M2022-08-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.01514.9555-1.19%4.7-6.28%0.0613✓0.17219k2022-08-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.394220.389556-1.18%0.46429+17.77%0.1176✗1.19118k2022-08-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1716.9736-1.14%18.55+8.04%0.0252✗1.311.3M2022-08-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23110.228477-1.14%0.2326+0.65%0.0536✓1.4789k2022-08-10
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188040.185913-1.13%0.19756+5.06%0.0517✓2.311,1512022-08-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.6952.6647-1.12%2.856+5.97%0.0001✓1.4349k2022-08-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.15520.153497-1.10%0.1652+6.44%0.0136✗1.23102k2022-08-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.17592.1523-1.08%2.3862+9.66%0.0448✗1.2032k2022-08-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062080.006142-1.07%0.006634+6.87%0.0363✗0.848,9962022-08-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.61.583-1.06%1.82+13.75%0.0753✗1.32122k2022-08-10
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.3633-1.04%6.71+4.35%0.0145✓1.391.2M2022-08-10
XYMSymbolnative0.0557310.055154-1.04%0.057508+3.19%0.0136✗0.5824k2022-08-10
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078280.077475-1.03%0.08525+8.90%0.0601✗0.731,0202022-08-10
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19990.197909-1.00%0.2383+19.21%0.1178✗1.401,1742022-08-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.7132.3688-1.00%142.18+6.34%0.0133✗1.204.5M2022-08-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1141840.113164-0.89%0.125982+10.33%0.0592✗0.997.0M2022-08-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.349220.346457-0.79%0.36767+5.28%0.0041✓1.3113k2022-08-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,844.1022,671.72-0.75%23,919.30+4.71%0.0059✓0.9814k2022-08-10
GITCOINGITCOIN2.73812.7219-0.59%3.0285+10.61%0.0307✗1.5612k2022-08-10
AAVEAaveEthereum94.9794.4327-0.57%111.17+17.06%0.0827✗1.6610.2M2022-08-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04580.045598-0.44%0.0495+8.08%0.0188✗1.309,0132022-08-10
CBKCobakEthereum1.10561.1022-0.31%1.145+3.56%0.0157✓1.1111k2022-08-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.06620.066166-0.05%0.071244+7.62%0.0170✗1.171.7M2022-08-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.