8=======>

2022-06-17 · +7d

lstm_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 173 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1183
173 of 173 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.61%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
68.8%
in alpha space · 72.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.79%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (173 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum57.3158.6855+2.40%71.02+23.92%0.1282✓1.687.6M2022-06-24
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6460.657464+1.77%0.686+6.19%0.0014✓1.18977k2022-06-24
ETHEthereumEthereum1,085.761,104.93+1.77%1,224.47+12.78%0.0607✓1.13386.3M2022-06-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0568770.057836+1.69%0.066862+17.56%0.0978✓1.271.3M2022-06-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.560.569169+1.64%0.54-3.57%0.0960✗1.1771k2022-06-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash121.36123.3134+1.61%114.43-5.71%0.1200✗1.214.5M2022-06-24
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07990.081143+1.56%0.0898+12.39%0.0496✓1.394,6642022-06-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6970.707726+1.54%0.686-1.58%0.0954✗1.73303k2022-06-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.16440.166861+1.50%0.2136+29.93%0.1920✓1.48191k2022-06-24
MOVRMoonriverBase11.624911.791+1.43%12.8216+10.29%0.0345✓1.32194k2022-06-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum7.727.8197+1.29%10.51+36.14%0.2512✓1.19468k2022-06-24
XMRMoneroMonero114.16115.6203+1.28%126.48+10.79%0.0473✓1.141.7M2022-06-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,447.8620,705.79+1.26%21,223.72+3.79%0.0125✓1.00582.4M2022-06-24
ORCAOrcaSolana0.490.495828+1.19%0.56+14.29%0.0774✓1.1956k2022-06-24
QNTQuantEthereum46.5647.0912+1.14%58.51+25.67%0.1795✓1.011.9M2022-06-24
SCSiacoinnative0.003540.00358+1.12%0.00423+19.49%0.1100✓1.53239k2022-06-24
XLMStellarStellar0.1118030.113049+1.11%0.127732+14.25%0.0814✓1.0911.1M2022-06-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.038.1195+1.11%9.14+13.82%0.0805✓1.02267k2022-06-24
DODODODOEthereum0.12440.125774+1.10%0.131+5.31%0.0124✗1.434.4M2022-06-24
APEApeCoinEthereum3.7413.7822+1.10%4.483+19.83%0.0996✓1.8915.8M2022-06-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.045990.046482+1.07%0.0566+23.07%0.1469✓1.3470k2022-06-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05860.059223+1.06%0.0548-6.48%0.1070✗0.79313k2022-06-24
KCSKuCoinnative11.09611.2124+1.05%10.928-1.51%0.0660✗1.085.0M2022-06-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09840.099415+1.03%0.1157+17.58%0.0971✓1.475.0M2022-06-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8413.981+1.02%17.12+23.70%0.1482✓1.462.2M2022-06-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.3714.5089+0.97%16.42+14.27%0.0758✓1.292.1M2022-06-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.660.66626+0.95%0.841+27.42%0.1812✓1.394.6M2022-06-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002750.002776+0.94%0.00279+1.45%0.0370✗1.132.1M2022-06-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.0060550.006111+0.92%0.006458+6.66%0.0158✓1.062,5622022-06-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,789.564,833.35+0.91%7,085.93+47.95%0.3340✓1.303.6M2022-06-24
CBKCobakEthereum0.870460.878374+0.91%1.0063+15.61%0.0898✓1.246,0082022-06-24
BTTCBTTC7.60e-77.67e-7+0.90%8.80e-7+15.79%0.1047✓0.885.3M2022-06-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03570.036021+0.90%0.0423+18.49%0.1083✓1.41364k2022-06-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.7151.7303+0.89%3.029+76.62%0.4954✓1.732.4M2022-06-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21320.215045+0.87%0.2295+7.65%0.0127✓1.41462k2022-06-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.114.1455+0.86%4.75+15.57%0.1088✓0.731.4M2022-06-24
UNIUniswapEthereum3.9313.9649+0.86%5.467+39.07%0.2707✓1.363.3M2022-06-24
XVGVergenative0.002910.002935+0.85%0.00332+14.09%0.0685✓1.47645k2022-06-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0029040.002928+0.83%0.00291+0.21%0.0472✗1.104,6932022-06-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86111.8764+0.82%2.017+8.38%0.0222✓1.3455k2022-06-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.311.3207+0.82%1.56+19.08%0.1061✓1.62596k2022-06-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.4375.4815+0.82%6.116+12.49%0.0566✓1.4211.1M2022-06-24
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7271.741+0.81%2.291+32.66%0.2155✓1.5992k2022-06-24
SUSHISushiEthereum1.011.0181+0.80%1.28+26.73%0.1698✓1.591.1M2022-06-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.1310.132005+0.77%0.1463+11.68%0.0514✓1.38166k2022-06-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.2660.268039+0.77%0.3052+14.74%0.0823✓1.285.1M2022-06-24
ZECZcashZcash62.5262.9934+0.76%69.14+10.59%0.0427✓1.353.3M2022-06-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3566.4039+0.75%7.256+14.16%0.0758✓1.3241.5M2022-06-24
COMPCompoundEthereum32.8333.073+0.74%46.89+42.83%0.2942✓1.4726k2022-06-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.1661.1746+0.74%1.56+33.79%0.2282✓1.4979k2022-06-24
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.047790.048143+0.74%0.0552+15.51%0.0772✓1.601.6M2022-06-24
GTGateEthereum3.95983.9889+0.74%4.2842+8.19%0.0457✓0.691.7M2022-06-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.2910.293061+0.71%0.45+54.64%0.3709✓1.56376k2022-06-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0007770.000782428+0.70%0.000841+8.24%0.0209✓1.382.0M2022-06-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2697.3193+0.69%8.182+12.56%0.0611✓1.3513.8M2022-06-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04620.046511+0.67%0.049+6.06%0.0056✓1.5516k2022-06-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.640.6443+0.67%0.79+23.44%0.1497✓1.46182k2022-06-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.09430.094931+0.67%0.1012+7.32%0.0179✓1.24803k2022-06-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.3736.4155+0.67%8.25+29.45%0.2016✓1.3413.7M2022-06-24
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.8570.862656+0.66%1.1+28.35%0.2058✓1.001.5M2022-06-24
HIVEHivenative0.36270.36501+0.64%0.4157+14.61%0.0769✓1.431.1M2022-06-24
XVSVenusEthereum4.164.186+0.62%5.17+24.28%0.1486✓1.681.6M2022-06-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.123.1391+0.61%3.34+7.05%0.0323✓0.801.5M2022-06-24
ADACardanoCardano0.48680.48978+0.61%0.4979+2.28%0.0361✗1.4171.0M2022-06-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.922.9378+0.61%3.174+8.70%0.0454✓0.861.8M2022-06-24
TRXTRONTron0.05980.060157+0.60%0.065776+9.99%0.0527✓0.98887k2022-06-24
OPTIMOptimism0.5180.521078+0.59%0.589+13.71%0.0853✓1.006.4M2022-06-24
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.34e-73.36e-7+0.59%3.57e-7+6.74%0.0266✓0.88951k2022-06-24
SOLSolanaSolana30.6930.8665+0.58%41.88+36.46%0.2526✓1.41109.1M2022-06-24
FLOWFlownative1.3921.4+0.58%1.701+22.20%0.1575✓1.00541k2022-06-24
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.056120.05644+0.57%0.06239+11.17%0.0630✓1.001,5532022-06-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.712.7253+0.57%2.94+8.49%0.0341✓1.12663k2022-06-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0120480.012116+0.56%0.012119+0.59%0.0322✗0.872.0M2022-06-24
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11180.112426+0.56%0.1222+9.30%0.0304✓1.4250k2022-06-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02040.020513+0.56%0.02005-1.72%0.0632✗1.08137k2022-06-24
QTUMQtumQtum2.7442.7592+0.55%3.1049+13.16%0.0737✓1.1939k2022-06-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14860.149406+0.54%0.1671+12.45%0.0579✓1.45917k2022-06-24
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2831.2899+0.54%1.352+5.38%0.0113✗1.57223k2022-06-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.08920.089679+0.54%0.1001+12.22%0.0537✓1.511.1M2022-06-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046570.046818+0.53%0.04889+4.98%0.0050✓1.0315k2022-06-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.128620.129302+0.53%0.14633+13.77%0.0640✓1.60246k2022-06-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3335.3612+0.53%6.109+14.55%0.0811✓1.332.5M2022-06-24
DASHDashDash43.5343.7578+0.52%51.61+18.56%0.1230✓1.13810k2022-06-24
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.850350.854731+0.52%0.8599+1.12%0.0247✗0.828792022-06-24
KSMKusamaHydration48.9749.2171+0.50%57.36+17.13%0.1065✓1.25986k2022-06-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008160.000008201+0.50%0.00001082+32.60%0.2306✓1.25813k2022-06-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin47.5547.787+0.50%55.79+17.33%0.1099✓1.2117.5M2022-06-24
LSKLiskEthereum0.987830.992742+0.50%1.1037+11.73%0.0615✓1.1949k2022-06-24
UOSUltraEthereum0.263340.264613+0.48%0.2966+12.63%0.0664✓1.28453k2022-06-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.784.8021+0.46%5.32+11.30%0.0522✓1.35400k2022-06-24
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0382.0468+0.43%2.726+33.76%0.2299✓1.5288k2022-06-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,457.0020,540.01+0.41%21,181.80+3.54%0.0061✗0.9929k2022-06-24
LUNATerraTerra 20.000058530.000058757+0.39%0.00005899+0.79%0.0767✗2.171.6M2022-06-24
GLMGolemEthereum0.22070.221545+0.38%0.2537+14.95%0.0919✓1.17100k2022-06-24
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06150.061726+0.37%0.0603-1.95%0.0677✗1.19147k2022-06-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.362.3685+0.36%2.8+18.64%0.1056✓1.66311k2022-06-24
STXStacksnative0.38170.382993+0.34%0.4119+7.91%0.0231✓1.33195k2022-06-24
XTZTezosTezos1.38791.3924+0.32%1.5327+10.43%0.0468✓1.32914k2022-06-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2678790.268713+0.31%0.301756+12.65%0.0634✓1.412.4M2022-06-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.37691.3811+0.30%1.462+6.18%0.0093✓1.281.5M2022-06-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.590.591777+0.30%0.755+27.97%0.2051✓1.03365k2022-06-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017770.017823+0.30%0.01697-4.50%0.0752✗0.70608k2022-06-24
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6110.612773+0.29%0.67+9.66%0.0377✓1.38531k2022-06-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.7411.746+0.28%1.8858+8.32%0.0433✓0.912.8M2022-06-24
GALAGALAEthereum0.05680.056953+0.27%0.0625+10.04%0.0339✓1.59142k2022-06-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3760.376925+0.25%0.4251+13.06%0.0645✓1.50146k2022-06-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009130.009152+0.24%0.01027+12.49%0.0790✓0.9711.3M2022-06-24
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7590.760813+0.24%0.875+15.28%0.0809✓1.583.3M2022-06-24
DIADIAEthereum0.385560.386474+0.24%0.40622+5.36%0.0242✓0.69256k2022-06-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0520.052117+0.22%0.0573+10.19%0.0404✓1.461.7M2022-06-24
XECeCashnative0.000037960.000038044+0.22%0.00004299+13.25%0.0725✓1.332.8M2022-06-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.256.2636+0.22%6.85+9.60%0.0704✓0.512.0M2022-06-24
FTTFTXEthereum24.3524.3967+0.19%26.72+9.73%0.0565✓0.929.9M2022-06-24
RADRadworksEthereum1.551.5529+0.19%1.65+6.45%0.0162✓1.19270k2022-06-24
GMTGMTEthereum0.6160.617068+0.17%0.834+35.39%0.2349✓1.781.6M2022-06-24
STEEMSteemnative0.20110.201448+0.17%0.2308+14.77%0.0895✓1.25656k2022-06-24
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3460.346596+0.17%0.359+3.76%0.0079✗1.1616k2022-06-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche15.9816.0075+0.17%20.46+28.04%0.1909✓1.4649.3M2022-06-24
ZENHorizenBase14.0814.1019+0.16%15.65+11.15%0.0494✓1.4755k2022-06-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2660.266413+0.16%0.287+7.89%0.0344✓1.08847k2022-06-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09240.092539+0.15%0.103+11.47%0.0634✓1.17686k2022-06-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.248.2495+0.12%9.91+20.27%0.1208✓1.682.4M2022-06-24
NANOnanopayBase0.8083990.809283+0.11%0.870963+7.74%0.0317✓1.12119k2022-06-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.008970.008979+0.10%0.00941+4.91%0.0079✓1.051.4M2022-06-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006710.006716+0.09%0.00701+4.47%0.0043✓1.03540k2022-06-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.963.9633+0.08%4.14+4.55%0.0176✓0.701.5M2022-06-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4410.441305+0.07%0.543+23.13%0.1534✓1.45108k2022-06-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12140.121444+0.04%0.1499+23.48%0.1732✓1.003.3M2022-06-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4132.4135+0.02%2.635+9.20%0.0505✓1.0075k2022-06-24
XEMNEMnative0.0398990.039903+0.01%0.0431+8.02%0.0280✓1.3226k2022-06-24
BANDBandEthereum1.3721.372-0.00%1.505+9.69%0.0343✗1.56407k2022-06-24
XYMSymbolnative0.0504990.050498-0.00%0.056+10.89%0.0779✗0.6965k2022-06-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.553520.553427-0.02%0.54988-0.66%0.0736✓1.803.6M2022-06-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.683.6787-0.03%3.93+6.79%0.0435✗0.611.9M2022-06-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026750.026738-0.05%0.03156+17.98%0.1147✗1.3719k2022-06-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04010.040077-0.06%0.0437+8.98%0.0455✗1.102,9602022-06-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069450.006939-0.08%0.007033+1.27%0.0149✓0.76167k2022-06-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.06130.061249-0.08%0.0652+6.36%0.0044✗1.56409k2022-06-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.0110.9974-0.11%12.71+15.44%0.0821✗1.68322k2022-06-24
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.3850.384518-0.13%0.533+38.44%0.2684✗1.563,5232022-06-24
CELLCellframeEthereum0.23780.237479-0.13%0.2632+10.68%0.0560✗1.2631k2022-06-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02820.028161-0.14%0.0404+43.26%0.3114✗1.33197k2022-06-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0197880.01976-0.14%0.022291+12.65%0.0757✗1.208,7652022-06-24
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.43362.4297-0.16%2.64+8.48%0.0422✗1.102.9M2022-06-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.14592.1424-0.16%2.2352+4.16%0.0087✗0.903.1M2022-06-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10660.106422-0.17%0.1087+1.97%0.0189✓1.085,8092022-06-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.43254.3259-0.19%64.278+18.09%0.1353✗0.891.2M2022-06-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5050.503717-0.25%0.558+10.50%0.0528✗1.33767k2022-06-24
MANADecentralandEthereum0.838280.835699-0.31%0.93721+11.80%0.0627✗1.39725k2022-06-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.338270.337228-0.31%0.43995+30.06%0.2175✗1.30105k2022-06-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.310.308998-0.32%0.3499+12.87%0.0780✗1.2414.4M2022-06-24
GITCOINGITCOIN2.41652.407-0.39%2.721+12.60%0.0568✗1.7717k2022-06-24
WOOWOOEthereum0.14920.148592-0.41%0.225+50.80%0.3693✗1.223,2772022-06-24
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7610.757874-0.41%0.858+12.75%0.0889✗0.941.7M2022-06-24
API3Api3Ethereum1.2761.2705-0.43%1.714+34.33%0.2432✗1.51891k2022-06-24
UMAUMAEthereum2.6492.6347-0.54%2.833+6.95%0.0259✗1.251.1M2022-06-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.080.079563-0.55%0.0791-1.12%0.0585✓1.41334k2022-06-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0153930.015302-0.59%0.016005+3.98%0.0227✗0.60469k2022-06-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13040.129454-0.73%0.1149-11.89%0.1570✓1.01255k2022-06-24
STORJStorjEthereum0.472670.469228-0.73%0.98085+107.51%0.6850✗1.4163k2022-06-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6193.5924-0.74%3.826+5.72%0.0375✗0.686.3M2022-06-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021960.021786-0.79%0.02871+30.74%0.2041✗1.9340.1M2022-06-24
BORABORAKlay Token0.293090.290476-0.89%0.31756+8.35%0.0335✗1.5012k2022-06-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.0555.0091-0.91%5.8361+15.45%0.1437✗0.24226k2022-06-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8880.879861-0.92%0.928+4.50%0.0223✓2.0329.5M2022-06-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8492.82-1.02%3.55+24.61%0.2093✗0.564.3M2022-06-24
PROPropyEthereum0.90.89069-1.03%0.87-3.33%0.0513✓0.75186k2022-06-24
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49930.493672-1.13%0.5437+8.89%0.0593✗1.00161k2022-06-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.341.3188-1.59%1.486+10.90%0.0634✗1.504.9M2022-06-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1333.0793-1.72%3.276+4.56%0.0352✗0.724.9M2022-06-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.240.235067-2.06%0.261+8.75%0.0439✗1.631.2M2022-06-24
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.4587-2.10%1.7+14.09%0.1275✗0.69166k2022-06-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72370.699831-3.30%0.8689+20.06%0.1721✗1.192.8M2022-06-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.