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2022-06-04 · +7d

lstm_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 170 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0197
170 of 170 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.21%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
77.6%
in alpha space · 90.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.87%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (170 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum106.84107.5353+0.65%77.02-27.91%0.2445✗1.798.9M2022-06-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash188.78188.889+0.06%156.57-17.06%0.1244✗1.274.5M2022-06-11
XVSVenusEthereum4.694.6892-0.02%4.46-4.90%0.0444✗1.891.7M2022-06-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,803.351,801.64-0.10%1,531.09-15.10%0.1083✓1.09363.3M2022-06-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.731.7279-0.12%1.48-14.45%0.0594✓1.91580k2022-06-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027380.027334-0.17%0.02402-12.27%0.0790✓1.01184k2022-06-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.051.0476-0.23%1.2+14.29%0.1816✗0.92160k2022-06-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0152220.01518-0.27%0.013157-13.57%0.0834✓1.192.8M2022-06-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.7377.7158-0.27%5.966-22.89%0.1725✓1.709.4M2022-06-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.28190.28103-0.31%0.2586-8.27%0.0143✓1.38318k2022-06-11
DIADIAEthereum0.457670.456215-0.32%0.43727-4.46%0.0102✓0.64190k2022-06-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum20.5920.5211-0.33%16.29-20.88%0.1489✓1.643.0M2022-06-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.1280.127535-0.36%0.1045-18.36%0.1285✓1.41996k2022-06-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.4112.3638-0.37%10.23-17.57%0.1260✓1.27551k2022-06-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34940.348061-0.38%0.3004-14.02%0.0776✓1.397.0M2022-06-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1434410.142883-0.39%0.125213-12.71%0.0717✓1.2111.8M2022-06-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.449.4012-0.41%8.03-14.94%0.0823✓1.5113.8M2022-06-11
QNTQuantEthereum65.5365.2512-0.43%55-16.07%0.1122✓1.182.4M2022-06-11
UNIUniswapEthereum5.1195.097-0.43%4.379-14.46%0.0798✓1.442.6M2022-06-11
SOLSolanaSolana38.9938.8222-0.43%33.91-13.03%0.0577✓1.55114.5M2022-06-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,796.6029,667.42-0.43%28,488.70-4.39%0.0083✗0.9875k2022-06-11
ADACardanoCardano0.56620.563719-0.44%0.5535-2.24%0.0608✗1.5846.8M2022-06-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.4067.3723-0.45%7.036-5.00%0.0278✗1.4927.1M2022-06-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020350.020257-0.46%0.01781-12.48%0.0099✓2.3837.4M2022-06-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.6210.5709-0.46%16.25+53.01%0.5293✗1.99197k2022-06-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.6793.6616-0.47%3.46-5.95%0.0104✓0.921.8M2022-06-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9812.9663-0.49%2.386-19.96%0.1330✓1.70271k2022-06-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.053.0349-0.49%3.74+22.62%0.2631✗1.09642k2022-06-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08630.085872-0.50%0.0843-2.32%0.0189✗0.75274k2022-06-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.561610.558758-0.51%0.47161-16.03%0.0903✓1.5968k2022-06-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,843.1829,688.55-0.52%28,388.63-4.87%0.0052✗1.00674.4M2022-06-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.9621.8425-0.54%18.23-16.99%0.1148✓1.323.1M2022-06-11
SCSiacoinnative0.005470.005441-0.54%0.00448-18.10%0.1098✓1.69261k2022-06-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.8611.7953-0.55%10.29-13.24%0.0853✓1.02434k2022-06-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.6863.3217-0.56%52.13-18.14%0.1297✓1.3018.9M2022-06-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7511.741-0.57%1.409-19.53%0.1289✓1.6682k2022-06-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004460.004434-0.58%0.00362-18.83%0.1427✓1.202.2M2022-06-11
KSMKusamaHydration68.6768.2553-0.60%57.01-16.98%0.1130✓1.341.6M2022-06-11
MOVRMoonriverBase20.639620.5148-0.60%17.8217-13.65%0.0617✓1.58239k2022-06-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.31920.317238-0.61%0.2544-20.30%0.1534✓1.35345k2022-06-11
FTTFTXEthereum25.9925.8296-0.62%27.47+5.69%0.1111✗0.999.6M2022-06-11
KCSKuCoinnative16.77916.6736-0.63%15.02-10.48%0.0521✓1.056.9M2022-06-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03470.034482-0.63%0.0329-5.19%0.0327✗1.59257k2022-06-11
DASHDashDash58.6658.2891-0.63%48.95-16.55%0.1120✓1.25976k2022-06-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.06630.065874-0.64%0.0687+3.62%0.1017✗1.19398k2022-06-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.832.811-0.67%2.63-7.07%0.0375✗2.08282k2022-06-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5010.497596-0.68%0.394-21.36%0.1427✓1.82683k2022-06-11
UMAUMAEthereum3.0913.07-0.68%2.558-17.24%0.1116✓1.421.5M2022-06-11
BTTCBTTC0.000001070.000001063-0.69%9.50e-7-11.21%0.0678✓0.897.2M2022-06-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,564.987,513.08-0.69%6,353.67-16.01%0.1025✓1.303.9M2022-06-11
STXStacksnative0.52810.524434-0.69%0.4676-11.46%0.0566✓1.16165k2022-06-11
ZECZcashZcash90.4389.8017-0.69%79.58-12.00%0.0551✓1.324.3M2022-06-11
COMPCompoundEthereum56.3555.9579-0.70%45.28-19.65%0.1352✓1.5331k2022-06-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.09160.090953-0.71%0.0736-19.65%0.1351✓1.53172k2022-06-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.980250.973069-0.73%0.8164-16.72%0.0869✓1.77855k2022-06-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.380660.377853-0.74%0.33297-12.53%0.0578✓1.37141k2022-06-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.485.4393-0.74%5.07-7.48%0.0305✓0.802.3M2022-06-11
HIVEHivenative0.53630.532306-0.74%0.4854-9.49%0.0223✓1.401.4M2022-06-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.60780.603238-0.75%0.624+2.67%0.1069✗1.463.6M2022-06-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1781.1688-0.78%0.908-22.92%0.1831✓1.396.3M2022-06-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.16060.159331-0.79%0.1332-17.06%0.1012✓1.5676k2022-06-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.3131.3024-0.80%1.066-18.81%0.0993✓2.02423k2022-06-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.1580.156724-0.81%0.1288-18.48%0.1212✓1.501,8812022-06-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14070.139497-0.86%0.1159-17.63%0.1007✓1.693.6M2022-06-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.199690.197958-0.87%0.16333-18.21%0.0995✓1.86298k2022-06-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12760.126491-0.87%0.1108-13.17%0.0706✓1.2413k2022-06-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010860.000010764-0.88%0.00000932-14.18%0.0726✓1.43957k2022-06-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.370.366723-0.89%0.297-19.73%0.1490✓1.24970k2022-06-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.231.2188-0.91%1.1-10.57%0.0455✓1.1484k2022-06-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.556.4877-0.95%5.99-8.55%0.0049✓1.50414k2022-06-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.99814.9503-0.96%5.5003+10.05%0.1225✗0.34279k2022-06-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.23093.1999-0.96%2.6845-16.91%0.0953✓1.615.6M2022-06-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.2010.19904-0.97%0.2195+9.20%0.1748✗1.54501k2022-06-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.51620.51116-0.98%0.4408-14.61%0.0657✓1.65159k2022-06-11
ORCAOrcaSolana0.820.811977-0.98%0.74-9.76%0.0365✓1.1383k2022-06-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8460.837614-0.99%0.72-14.89%0.0647✓1.73622k2022-06-11
XVGVergenative0.004690.004643-1.00%0.00375-20.04%0.1321✓1.63753k2022-06-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00920.009108-1.00%0.00779-15.33%0.1011✓1.10917k2022-06-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000092240.000091307-1.01%0.0000695-24.65%0.1104✓3.252.8M2022-06-11
BANDBandEthereum1.6411.6243-1.02%1.772+7.98%0.1722✗1.70353k2022-06-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.44852.4231-1.04%2.2757-7.06%0.0058✓1.3768k2022-06-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.2469.149-1.05%7.55-18.34%0.1170✓1.5017.0M2022-06-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008470.00838-1.07%0.00819-3.31%0.0188✗0.83180k2022-06-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.16460.162812-1.09%0.1232-25.15%0.1941✓1.706.4M2022-06-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13110.129663-1.10%0.1114-15.03%0.0867✓1.30951k2022-06-11
NANOnanopayBase1.1661.1532-1.10%1-14.24%0.0761✓1.33170k2022-06-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.069050.068286-1.11%0.06237-9.67%0.0293✓1.2318k2022-06-11
GTGateEthereum5.40215.3421-1.11%5.2873-2.13%0.0186✗0.583.9M2022-06-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.15310.151391-1.12%0.1355-11.50%0.0609✓1.003,0542022-06-11
XEMNEMnative0.0505770.050009-1.12%0.0446-11.82%0.0377✓1.5437k2022-06-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.321.3047-1.16%1.1426-13.44%0.0722✓1.2150k2022-06-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.12240.120945-1.19%0.1088-11.11%0.0200✓1.721.2M2022-06-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6942.6619-1.19%2.777+3.08%0.0991✗1.1463k2022-06-11
XECeCashnative0.000048340.000047724-1.27%0.00004524-6.41%0.0185✗1.443.5M2022-06-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.4527.3562-1.29%6.098-18.17%0.1111✓1.533.1M2022-06-11
XTZTezosTezos1.90761.8829-1.29%1.7948-5.91%0.0185✗1.33928k2022-06-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.07450.073529-1.30%0.0626-15.97%0.0658✓1.90146k2022-06-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0159020.015689-1.34%0.013159-17.25%0.1410✓0.70198k2022-06-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.011490.01133-1.39%0.01046-8.96%0.0239✓1.121.7M2022-06-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.99e-76.90e-7-1.42%3.17e-7-54.71%0.7260✓1.03961k2022-06-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09320.091867-1.43%0.0883-5.26%0.0529✗1.85445k2022-06-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0816670.080484-1.45%0.069729-14.62%0.0818✓1.231.7M2022-06-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.042.0103-1.46%1.9-6.86%0.0067✓1.26233k2022-06-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.5724.2088-1.47%19.89-19.05%0.1150✓1.6352.5M2022-06-11
CTKShentuOsmosis0.790.778363-1.47%0.763-3.42%0.0407✗1.212.4M2022-06-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.38830.382428-1.51%0.3504-9.76%0.0185✓1.3816.6M2022-06-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12980.127781-1.56%0.1608+23.88%0.2790✗0.98295k2022-06-11
XMRMoneroMonero189.06186.0768-1.58%166.23-12.08%0.0584✓1.092.4M2022-06-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4770.469011-1.67%0.414-13.21%0.0624✓1.2519k2022-06-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.527.3911-1.71%7.19-4.39%0.0022✓0.511.4M2022-06-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6920.68013-1.72%0.541-21.82%0.1439✓1.701.1M2022-06-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.8573.7906-1.72%3.3617-12.84%0.0576✓1.2557k2022-06-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8680.853036-1.72%0.694-20.05%0.1482✓1.16566k2022-06-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.17760.174443-1.78%0.1611-9.29%0.0051✓1.49220k2022-06-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6110.59982-1.83%0.533-12.77%0.0307✓1.757,0732022-06-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.53642.4899-1.83%2.399-5.42%0.0149✓1.043.1M2022-06-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.068250.066986-1.85%0.05764-15.55%0.0390✓2.232.6M2022-06-11
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8192.7667-1.86%2.59-8.12%0.0403✗2.1314k2022-06-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07040.069082-1.87%0.0578-17.90%0.0888✓1.791.9M2022-06-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.564.4732-1.90%4.57+0.22%0.0623✗0.82830k2022-06-11
DODODODOEthereum0.16760.164393-1.91%0.148-11.69%0.0225✓1.652.6M2022-06-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.06230.061106-1.92%0.0509-18.30%0.0971✓1.7152k2022-06-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.581.5495-1.93%1.2-24.05%0.1695✓1.721.6M2022-06-11
ZENHorizenBase19.919.508-1.97%16.5-17.09%0.0852✓1.6581k2022-06-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004680.004584-2.06%0.00391-16.45%0.0953✓1.278,3852022-06-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV56.93955.7368-2.11%52.899-7.10%0.0002✓1.051.2M2022-06-11
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1956.0637-2.12%4.736-23.55%0.1342✓2.2629.0M2022-06-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.27251.2454-2.12%1.093-14.10%0.0716✓1.186,7502022-06-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.360170.352493-2.13%0.32232-10.51%0.0176✓1.44606k2022-06-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.9810.735-2.23%9.2-16.21%0.0593✓1.904.6M2022-06-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6230.609096-2.23%0.535-14.13%0.0488✓1.62170k2022-06-11
API3Api3Ethereum1.4941.4604-2.25%1.305-12.65%0.0295✓1.66932k2022-06-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.9990.976062-2.30%0.798-20.12%0.0851✓2.332.8M2022-06-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.194.0915-2.35%4.16-0.72%0.0543✗0.761.2M2022-06-11
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2171.1874-2.43%1.088-10.60%0.0325✓1.101.2M2022-06-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.023.9214-2.45%3.9-2.99%0.0399✗0.911.1M2022-06-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.99781.9483-2.48%1.6454-17.64%0.1007✓1.373.1M2022-06-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012740.001242-2.49%0.001013-20.49%0.1222✓1.641.8M2022-06-11
TRXTRONTron0.0803770.078366-2.50%0.075758-5.75%0.0092✓0.861.4M2022-06-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.30590.298142-2.54%0.2524-17.49%0.0991✓1.35116k2022-06-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32110.312819-2.58%0.2599-19.06%0.1065✓1.5835k2022-06-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.27852.2185-2.63%2.0307-10.88%0.0378✓1.013.7M2022-06-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3711.3345-2.66%1.714+25.02%0.3272✗1.545.0M2022-06-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2951.2599-2.71%1.073-17.14%0.1106✓1.001.3M2022-06-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.009770.009503-2.73%0.00918-6.04%0.0212✓1.122,4432022-06-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.028270.027481-2.79%0.024591-13.01%0.0532✓1.1611k2022-06-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6832.6066-2.85%2.333-13.05%0.0077✓2.073.4M2022-06-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.860.83551-2.85%0.79-8.14%0.0294✗1.71240k2022-06-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012160.011807-2.90%0.01027-15.54%0.0581✓1.6319.7M2022-06-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0569080.055229-2.95%0.052386-7.95%0.0121✓0.82104k2022-06-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8282.7424-3.03%2.422-14.36%0.0743✓1.00124k2022-06-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8812.7934-3.04%3.371+17.01%0.2204✗0.652.1M2022-06-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037910.036738-3.09%0.03183-16.04%0.0710✓1.4521k2022-06-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05340.051742-3.11%0.046-13.86%0.0457✓1.44593k2022-06-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6454.5006-3.11%4.07-12.38%0.0677✓0.665.1M2022-06-11
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9630.932757-3.14%0.794-17.55%0.0712✓1.803.4M2022-06-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.414870.40146-3.23%0.35094-15.41%0.0541✓1.6118k2022-06-11
FLOWFlownative2.4762.3957-3.24%2.056-16.96%0.1029✓1.00724k2022-06-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.065590.063417-3.31%0.0527-19.65%0.1283✓1.1415k2022-06-11
STEEMSteemnative0.25960.250605-3.46%0.2405-7.36%0.0385✗1.59585k2022-06-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.053110.05126-3.48%0.04731-10.92%0.0271✓1.064,6802022-06-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8550.824207-3.60%1.217+42.34%0.4933✗2.072.5M2022-06-11
PROPropyEthereum0.930.895988-3.66%0.92-1.08%0.0696✗0.86187k2022-06-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0451.968-3.76%1.597-21.91%0.1138✓1.90338k2022-06-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.029490.028341-3.90%0.02121-28.08%0.2578✓0.64452k2022-06-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.51281.4513-4.06%1.2205-19.32%0.1353✓0.764,7612022-06-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.846760.812235-4.08%0.59423-29.82%0.2048✓2.161.2M2022-06-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3947260.378265-4.17%0.332152-15.85%0.0563✓1.472.5M2022-06-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.283.1259-4.70%3.162-3.60%0.0569✗0.911.3M2022-06-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.290.275852-4.88%0.221-23.79%0.1264✓1.911.3M2022-06-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.