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2022-01-22 · +7d

lstm_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0392
143 of 143 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.90%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
35.7%
in alpha space · 82.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+8.91%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
XVSVenusEthereum7.598.1025+6.75%8.22+8.30%0.0917✗1.243.0M2022-01-29
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.675306+5.52%0.66+3.12%0.1867✗1.921.3M2022-01-29
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.1116.9806+5.40%20.07+24.58%0.0113✓1.834.1M2022-01-29
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3190.335936+5.31%0.333+4.39%0.1291✗1.411.8M2022-01-29
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.7619.7503+5.28%20.73+10.50%0.0842✗1.55944k2022-01-29
LCXLCXEthereum0.07990.084117+5.28%0.11+37.67%0.1503✓1.382.0M2022-01-29
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.870.915413+5.22%0.924+6.21%0.1106✗1.402.3M2022-01-29
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.066.3746+5.19%6.65+9.74%0.0240✓0.211.2M2022-01-29
QNTQuantEthereum98.78103.8136+5.10%97.51-1.29%0.1497✗1.027.0M2022-01-29
SUSHISushiEthereum4.424.644+5.07%4.19-5.20%0.2170✗1.3416.1M2022-01-29
UOSUltraEthereum0.806960.847593+5.04%1.0479+29.86%0.1071✓1.232.4M2022-01-29
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048960.051408+5.00%0.06396+30.64%0.0896✓1.511.9M2022-01-29
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.615.8882+4.96%6.1+8.73%0.0434✓0.921.0M2022-01-29
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.1913.8393+4.92%14.12+7.05%0.0754✗1.12841k2022-01-29
SPELLSpellEthereum0.007930.008318+4.89%0.00723-8.83%0.3498✗2.4623.2M2022-01-29
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.635.9046+4.88%5.93+5.33%0.0605✗0.76645k2022-01-29
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7110.745666+4.88%0.731+2.81%0.1138✗1.102.0M2022-01-29
ZECZcashZcash94.5999.1992+4.87%96.39+1.90%0.1429✗1.348.4M2022-01-29
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009980.010465+4.86%0.0104+4.21%0.1146✗1.272.3M2022-01-29
NANOnanopayBase2.04612.145+4.83%2.3362+14.17%0.0217✓1.25714k2022-01-29
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03760.039412+4.82%0.0907+141.22%0.6615✓2.0224.3M2022-01-29
HIVEHivenative0.79870.837121+4.81%0.952+19.19%0.0018✓1.483.8M2022-01-29
CVCCivicEthereum0.21790.228375+4.81%0.2671+22.58%0.0608✓1.12440k2022-01-29
BANDBandEthereum3.493.6561+4.76%3.51+0.57%0.1429✗1.202.4M2022-01-29
YFIyearn.financeEthereum22,897.6423,982.29+4.74%24,297.65+6.11%0.0602✗0.8621.5M2022-01-29
UMAUMAEthereum6.116.3972+4.70%6.08-0.49%0.1408✗1.053.9M2022-01-29
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0201080.021035+4.61%0.022029+9.55%0.0493✗1.123.7M2022-01-29
UNIUniswapEthereum11.1611.672+4.59%11.16+0.00%0.1586✗1.3312.7M2022-01-29
LRCLoopringEthereum0.73160.765113+4.58%0.9684+32.37%0.0648✓2.001.1M2022-01-29
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.967.2783+4.57%7.35+5.60%0.0248✓0.412.8M2022-01-29
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.90.940943+4.55%0.85-5.56%0.2408✗1.63569k2022-01-29
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.44540.465648+4.55%0.4988+11.99%0.0388✓1.262.4M2022-01-29
DODODODOEthereum0.4960.518528+4.54%0.508+2.42%0.1542✗1.578.0M2022-01-29
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.58340.609419+4.46%0.5968+2.30%0.1534✗1.551.4M2022-01-29
RADRadworksEthereum5.065.2846+4.44%5.34+5.53%0.0770✗1.021.1M2022-01-29
MINAMina Protocolnative2.342.4434+4.42%2.31-1.28%0.1575✗1.19737k2022-01-29
SOLSolanaSolana94.7898.9664+4.42%96.25+1.55%0.1309✗1.21142.2M2022-01-29
MOVRMoonriverBase83.994187.6164+4.31%79.3124-5.57%0.2093✗1.29486k2022-01-29
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.082.169+4.28%2.36+13.46%0.0407✓1.476.6M2022-01-29
AAVEAaveEthereum147.18153.425+4.24%154.04+4.66%0.1040✗1.2617.6M2022-01-29
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.893.012+4.22%2.99+3.46%0.1366✗1.5132.4M2022-01-29
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.95120.991192+4.20%0.9693+1.90%0.1256✗1.2134.7M2022-01-29
CBKCobakEthereum1.9792.0618+4.18%2.245+13.44%0.0078✓1.0924k2022-01-29
XTZTezosTezos2.95213.0751+4.17%3.0915+4.72%0.1113✗1.373.1M2022-01-29
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11350.118228+4.17%0.121+6.61%0.0915✗1.344.3M2022-01-29
DASHDashDash97.07101.0848+4.14%96.55-0.54%0.1504✗1.222.8M2022-01-29
STORJStorjEthereum1.03811.0809+4.12%1.154+11.17%0.0218✓1.02402k2022-01-29
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3661.4218+4.08%1.493+9.30%0.0531✗1.191.8M2022-01-29
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.665.8905+4.07%6.08+7.42%0.0404✗0.84616k2022-01-29
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.050510.052562+4.06%0.05052+0.02%0.1548✗1.3512.0M2022-01-29
COMPCompoundEthereum120.3125.1805+4.06%123.06+2.29%0.1237✗1.2588k2022-01-29
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5061.5664+4.01%1.758+16.73%0.0069✓1.271.9M2022-01-29
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.8616.4935+3.99%16.24+2.40%0.1214✗1.2475.4M2022-01-29
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2440.253742+3.99%0.251+2.87%0.0902✗0.9367k2022-01-29
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5188610.539253+3.93%0.565434+8.98%0.0559✗1.212.3M2022-01-29
CHZChilizEthereum0.17640.183317+3.92%0.1844+4.54%0.1144✗1.414.3M2022-01-29
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.062370.064814+3.92%0.0727+16.56%0.0437✓0.8360k2022-01-29
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03260.033862+3.87%0.0362+11.04%0.0592✗1.481.1M2022-01-29
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000020530.000021322+3.86%0.00002166+5.50%0.1047✗1.411.7M2022-01-29
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.86.0196+3.79%6.001+3.47%0.0703✗0.79163k2022-01-29
SCSiacoinnative0.00940.009755+3.78%0.01015+7.98%0.0532✗1.09641k2022-01-29
XVGVergenative0.009350.009703+3.77%0.01002+7.17%0.0822✗1.341.8M2022-01-29
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.8424.7366+3.76%27.09+13.63%0.0550✗1.712.7M2022-01-29
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.714670.741547+3.76%0.84787+18.64%0.0151✓1.75848k2022-01-29
IMXImmutableEthereum2.462.5522+3.75%2.83+15.04%0.0349✓1.622.2M2022-01-29
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07320.075936+3.74%0.0817+11.61%0.0315✓1.23299k2022-01-29
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche59.862.0281+3.73%71.95+20.32%0.0367✓1.3187.3M2022-01-29
QTUMQtumQtum5.55655.763+3.72%5.9616+7.29%0.0892✗1.44263k2022-01-29
GITCOINGITCOIN6.9447.2009+3.70%7.324+5.47%0.0134✓0.3638k2022-01-29
XECeCashnative0.000068390.000070886+3.65%0.00007692+12.47%0.0101✓1.086.5M2022-01-29
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.621.6791+3.65%1.72+6.17%0.0681✗1.082.6M2022-01-29
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.0119.6936+3.60%20.29+6.73%0.0730✗1.2014.5M2022-01-29
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0367650.038086+3.59%0.039999+8.80%0.0628✗1.3110.3M2022-01-29
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012750.013206+3.58%0.01347+5.65%0.0554✗0.8821k2022-01-29
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.2618.9129+3.58%18.75+2.68%0.1268✗1.3858.5M2022-01-29
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.771.8331+3.57%1.92+8.47%0.0710✗1.373.1M2022-01-29
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum20.5421.2698+3.55%20.18-1.75%0.1669✗1.3434.9M2022-01-29
MANADecentralandEthereum2.04342.1155+3.53%2.372+16.08%0.0156✓1.164.3M2022-01-29
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.780.807188+3.49%0.8302+6.44%0.0661✗1.1022.7M2022-01-29
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.84.9651+3.44%5.16+7.50%0.0228✓0.72491k2022-01-29
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum50.1751.8834+3.42%49.58-1.18%0.1485✗1.216.3M2022-01-29
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23310.241038+3.41%0.2425+4.03%0.1020✗1.271.9M2022-01-29
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.5122.2383+3.39%26.24+21.99%0.1018✓0.75353k2022-01-29
AMPAmpEthereum0.029850.030861+3.39%0.03035+1.68%0.1005✗0.988.3M2022-01-29
CTSICartesiEthereum0.43850.453252+3.36%0.4637+5.75%0.0983✗1.422.6M2022-01-29
XMRMoneroMonero152.34157.4554+3.36%153.67+0.87%0.1107✗1.012.6M2022-01-29
ETHEthereumEthereum2,411.902,492.85+3.36%2,603.74+7.95%0.0523✗1.12502.4M2022-01-29
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8042.8955+3.26%3.009+7.31%0.0290✓0.79523k2022-01-29
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05430.056013+3.16%0.0636+17.13%0.0017✓1.47684k2022-01-29
CELLCellframeEthereum0.71060.732938+3.14%0.9037+27.17%0.0926✓1.37108k2022-01-29
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41630.429336+3.13%0.4104-1.42%0.1567✗1.3110.8M2022-01-29
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.783.8978+3.12%5.4+42.86%0.2216✓1.223.2M2022-01-29
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.50760.523275+3.09%0.5251+3.45%0.1090✗1.323.2M2022-01-29
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.54820.564996+3.06%0.6022+9.85%0.0931✗1.8448.9M2022-01-29
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.036310.037415+3.04%0.04089+12.61%0.0078✓1.1325k2022-01-29
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.12.162+2.95%2.34+11.43%0.0437✗1.442.6M2022-01-29
XEMNEMnative0.09440.097173+2.94%0.1047+10.91%0.0164✓1.0741k2022-01-29
XLMStellarStellar0.192370.197978+2.92%0.203491+5.78%0.0641✗1.0724.9M2022-01-29
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash291.88300.2596+2.87%299.03+2.45%0.0940✗1.057.0M2022-01-29
ETCEthereum Classicnative24.2324.9117+2.81%25.34+4.58%0.0765✗1.103.3M2022-01-29
ZENHorizenBase35.2836.2716+2.81%41.64+18.03%0.0045✓1.56613k2022-01-29
LSKLiskEthereum1.651.6948+2.71%1.6081-2.54%0.1480✗1.1295k2022-01-29
KCSKuCoinnative15.12915.5394+2.71%17.542+15.95%0.0163✓1.6110.7M2022-01-29
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.6653.7632+2.68%4.042+10.29%0.0052✓0.78445k2022-01-29
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.0593.1362+2.52%3.258+6.51%0.0362✗0.871.1M2022-01-29
SUNSun TokenTron0.0149610.015337+2.51%0.014518-2.96%0.1586✗1.222.7M2022-01-29
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.332.3867+2.43%2.42+3.86%0.0737✗1.03819k2022-01-29
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.00683.0794+2.42%3.1573+5.01%0.0802✗1.233.8M2022-01-29
DKAdKargoEthereum0.078730.080617+2.40%0.08979+14.05%0.0066✓1.1941k2022-01-29
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13940.142689+2.36%0.1205-13.56%0.2498✗0.95362k2022-01-29
KSMKusamaHydration190.08194.5531+2.35%171.16-9.95%0.2311✗1.211.3M2022-01-29
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV89.2491.3066+2.32%92.7+3.88%0.0661✗0.951.8M2022-01-29
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.5672.6259+2.30%2.667+3.90%0.1159✗1.541.1M2022-01-29
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum34,807.7035,593.15+2.26%38,181.60+9.69%0.0157✓1.0126k2022-01-29
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.05940.060675+2.15%0.0653+9.93%0.0226✗1.1321k2022-01-29
LTCLitecoinLitecoin108.41110.6992+2.11%110.84+2.24%0.1124✗1.3330.5M2022-01-29
LUNATerraTerra 262.8964.21+2.10%50.93-19.02%0.3855✗1.807.8M2022-01-29
COTICOTIEthereum0.26450.269983+2.07%0.31+17.20%0.0007✓1.614.6M2022-01-29
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.23944.3219+1.95%4.851+14.43%0.0128✓1.20443k2022-01-29
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1611.1824+1.85%1.364+17.48%0.0340✓1.274.0M2022-01-29
GLMRMoonbeamBase7.3927.5215+1.75%6.173-16.49%0.2829✗1.001.6M2022-01-29
XYMSymbolnative0.14980.152394+1.73%0.1739+16.09%0.0719✓0.70536k2022-01-29
GTGateEthereum5.67085.7683+1.72%6.7736+19.45%0.0812✓0.934.5M2022-01-29
TRXTRONTron0.056750.057699+1.67%0.060341+6.33%0.0375✗0.96486k2022-01-29
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1331580.135306+1.61%0.143169+7.52%0.0357✗1.086.7M2022-01-29
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.44421.4664+1.54%1.2936-10.43%0.2107✗1.004.1M2022-01-29
BFCBifrostEthereum0.156380.158696+1.48%0.18677+19.43%0.0321✓1.537,0112022-01-29
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.688.7965+1.34%9.17+5.65%0.0224✗0.75800k2022-01-29
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.96423.0026+1.30%3.0631+3.34%0.0547✗0.872,9422022-01-29
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana12.6212.7807+1.27%13.15+4.20%0.0313✗0.70813k2022-01-29
FTTFTXEthereum33.4433.8111+1.11%41.73+24.79%0.1081✓1.2029.0M2022-01-29
BTCBitcoinBitcoin35,066.4335,454.21+1.11%38,191.10+8.91%0.0110✗1.00648.0M2022-01-29
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.072020.072673+0.91%0.05525-23.29%0.3595✗1.0012.6M2022-01-29
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.2729.523+0.86%29.1-0.58%0.1015✗1.02109.3M2022-01-29
ADACardanoCardano1.07131.08+0.82%1.0603-1.03%0.1151✗1.13104.1M2022-01-29
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.4246.4703+0.72%6.128-4.61%0.1467✗1.08301k2022-01-29
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.72272.736+0.49%2.9824+9.54%0.0019✓1.032.2M2022-01-29
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0541840.05413-0.10%0.04515-16.67%0.2668✓1.00575k2022-01-29
PROPropyEthereum2.152.143-0.33%2.31+7.44%0.0103✓1.005.4M2022-01-29
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.60153.5791-0.62%3.4878-3.16%0.0270✓0.01371k2022-01-29
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.50391.4854-1.23%1.7284+14.93%0.0813✗0.821.6M2022-01-29
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.56580.555401-1.84%0.5693+0.62%0.0793✓1.221.8M2022-01-29
API3Api3Ethereum4.824.6078-4.40%3.69-23.44%0.2553✓0.39471k2022-01-29
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.