GRVT
GRVT Token · Ethereum · lstm_s5
- token id
- #373
- symbol
- GRVT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xad29f2723fcdbcf665f210f25e06f97477e417cf
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-30
- predictions
- 225
Track record at +1d
assessed
74
of 75 predictions shown
direction hit
50.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0368
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0064
actual -0.0039
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.2669 | 0.264458 | -0.91% | – | pending | – | – | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.25965 | 0.25654 | -1.20% | 0.2669 | +2.79% | 0.0400 | ✗ | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.23295 | 0.230933 | -0.87% | 0.25965 | +11.46% | 0.1159 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.21595 | 0.214414 | -0.71% | 0.23295 | +7.87% | 0.0831 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.21555 | 0.21388 | -0.77% | 0.21595 | +0.19% | 0.0088 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.2179 | 0.216217 | -0.77% | 0.21555 | -1.08% | 0.0029 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.2297 | 0.227887 | -0.79% | 0.2179 | -5.14% | 0.0441 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.2142 | 0.212613 | -0.74% | 0.2297 | +7.24% | 0.0767 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.20665 | 0.205122 | -0.74% | 0.2142 | +3.65% | 0.0454 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2119 | 0.210277 | -0.77% | 0.20665 | -2.48% | 0.0194 | ✓ | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.2314 | 0.229278 | -0.92% | 0.2119 | -8.43% | 0.0776 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.234 | 0.231627 | -1.01% | 0.2314 | -1.11% | 0.0015 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.22515 | 0.222826 | -1.03% | 0.234 | +3.93% | 0.0487 | ✗ | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.2283 | 0.225897 | -1.05% | 0.22515 | -1.38% | 0.0039 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.223 | 0.22094 | -0.92% | 0.2283 | +2.38% | 0.0342 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.2265 | 0.224305 | -0.97% | 0.223 | -1.55% | 0.0041 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.22355 | 0.221496 | -0.92% | 0.2265 | +1.32% | 0.0225 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.22175 | 0.219743 | -0.91% | 0.22355 | +0.81% | 0.0178 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2159 | 0.214053 | -0.86% | 0.22175 | +2.71% | 0.0342 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2158 | 0.213913 | -0.87% | 0.2159 | +0.05% | 0.0091 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.20775 | 0.206103 | -0.79% | 0.2158 | +3.87% | 0.0462 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.2074 | 0.205738 | -0.80% | 0.20775 | +0.17% | 0.0087 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.2034 | 0.201901 | -0.74% | 0.2074 | +1.97% | 0.0269 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.2057 | 0.204108 | -0.77% | 0.2034 | -1.12% | 0.0036 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2017 | 0.200247 | -0.72% | 0.2057 | +1.98% | 0.0279 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.20385 | 0.202214 | -0.80% | 0.2017 | -1.05% | 0.0026 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.20935 | 0.207423 | -0.92% | 0.20385 | -2.63% | 0.0177 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2047 | 0.202896 | -0.88% | 0.20935 | +2.27% | 0.0316 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.1944 | 0.192919 | -0.76% | 0.2047 | +5.30% | 0.0593 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.19575 | 0.19429 | -0.75% | 0.1944 | -0.69% | 0.0026 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.19225 | 0.190891 | -0.71% | 0.19575 | +1.82% | 0.0256 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.1913 | 0.189821 | -0.77% | 0.19225 | +0.50% | 0.0064 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.1938 | 0.192188 | -0.83% | 0.1913 | -1.29% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1894 | 0.187914 | -0.78% | 0.1938 | +2.32% | 0.0304 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.1787 | 0.177636 | -0.60% | 0.1894 | +5.99% | 0.0669 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.1675 | 0.16668 | -0.49% | 0.1787 | +6.69% | 0.0698 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.16815 | 0.167285 | -0.51% | 0.1675 | -0.39% | 0.0016 | ✓ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.1705 | 0.169474 | -0.60% | 0.16815 | -1.38% | 0.0099 | ✓ | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.17025 | 0.169257 | -0.58% | 0.1705 | +0.15% | 0.0085 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.170666 | -0.60% | 0.17025 | -0.84% | 0.0029 | ✓ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.17495 | 0.173866 | -0.62% | 0.1717 | -1.86% | 0.0125 | ✓ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.16865 | 0.167799 | -0.50% | 0.17495 | +3.74% | 0.0424 | ✗ | -0.08 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.16025 | 0.159586 | -0.41% | 0.16865 | +5.24% | 0.0552 | ✗ | -0.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.1672 | 0.166409 | -0.47% | 0.16025 | -4.16% | 0.0377 | ✓ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.1687 | 0.167864 | -0.50% | 0.1672 | -0.89% | 0.0041 | ✓ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.1635 | 0.162726 | -0.47% | 0.1687 | +3.18% | 0.0366 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.1627 | 0.161892 | -0.50% | 0.1635 | +0.49% | 0.0097 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.1619 | 0.161108 | -0.49% | 0.1627 | +0.49% | 0.0098 | ✗ | 0.04 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.1622 | 0.161428 | -0.48% | 0.1619 | -0.18% | 0.0039 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.1587 | 0.1581 | -0.38% | 0.1622 | +2.21% | 0.0273 | ✗ | -0.03 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.1504 | 0.150057 | -0.23% | 0.1587 | +5.52% | 0.0560 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.1633 | 0.162772 | -0.32% | 0.1504 | -7.90% | 0.0805 | ✓ | -0.10 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.1744 | 0.173776 | -0.36% | 0.1633 | -6.36% | 0.0613 | ✓ | -0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.1704 | 0.169956 | -0.26% | 0.1744 | +2.35% | 0.0254 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.1649 | 0.164675 | -0.14% | 0.1704 | +3.34% | 0.0291 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.171417 | -0.16% | 0.1649 | -3.96% | 0.0079 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.1827 | 0.182377 | -0.18% | 0.1717 | -6.02% | 0.0760 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.1968 | 0.196395 | -0.21% | 0.1827 | -7.16% | 0.0786 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.2039 | 0.203511 | -0.19% | 0.1968 | -3.48% | 0.0278 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.2315 | 0.230975 | -0.23% | 0.2039 | -11.92% | 0.1407 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.2462 | 0.245589 | -0.25% | 0.2315 | -5.97% | 0.0678 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.2856 | 0.284719 | -0.31% | 0.2462 | -13.80% | 0.1290 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.2785 | 0.277299 | -0.43% | 0.2856 | +2.55% | 0.0408 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.3042 | 0.302441 | -0.58% | 0.2785 | -8.45% | 0.1346 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.2932 | 0.291678 | -0.52% | 0.3042 | +3.75% | 0.0269 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.2813 | 0.2799 | -0.50% | 0.2932 | +4.23% | 0.0433 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.2828 | 0.281336 | -0.52% | 0.2813 | -0.53% | 0.0259 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.2924 | 0.290696 | -0.58% | 0.2828 | -3.28% | 0.0246 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.3029 | 0.301023 | -0.62% | 0.2924 | -3.47% | 0.0298 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.3229 | 0.320556 | -0.73% | 0.3029 | -6.19% | 0.0495 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.3174 | 0.315192 | -0.70% | 0.3229 | +1.73% | 0.0239 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.3169 | 0.314658 | -0.71% | 0.3174 | +0.16% | 0.0106 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.3277 | 0.325032 | -0.81% | 0.3169 | -3.30% | 0.0194 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.3111 | 0.308811 | -0.74% | 0.3277 | +5.34% | 0.0739 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.2961 | 0.294037 | -0.70% | 0.3111 | +5.07% | 0.0573 | ✗ | 1.00 |