ALIGN
Aligned · Ethereum · lstm_s5
- token id
- #369
- symbol
- ALIGN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x50614cc8e44f7814549c223aa31db9296e58057c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-20
- predictions
- 162
Track record at +1d
assessed
53
of 54 predictions shown
direction hit
52.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0448
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0025
actual -0.0158
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004775 | 0.004742 | -0.70% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004405 | 0.004381 | -0.53% | 0.004775 | +8.40% | 0.0842 | ✗ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004435 | 0.004409 | -0.58% | 0.004405 | -0.68% | 0.0076 | ✗ | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004845 | 0.004811 | -0.70% | 0.004435 | -8.46% | 0.0827 | ✓ | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004885 | 0.004854 | -0.64% | 0.004845 | -0.82% | 0.0032 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005015 | 0.004982 | -0.65% | 0.004885 | -2.59% | 0.0207 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.004595 | 0.004582 | -0.27% | 0.005015 | +9.14% | 0.0855 | ✗ | -0.61 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00456 | 0.004548 | -0.26% | 0.004595 | +0.77% | 0.0145 | ✗ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004635 | 0.004622 | -0.27% | 0.00456 | -1.62% | 0.0252 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004785 | 0.00477 | -0.31% | 0.004635 | -3.13% | 0.0184 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004985 | 0.004969 | -0.32% | 0.004785 | -4.01% | 0.0532 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00511 | 0.005093 | -0.34% | 0.004985 | -2.45% | 0.0153 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005055 | 0.005036 | -0.38% | 0.00511 | +1.09% | 0.0176 | ✗ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00526 | 0.005238 | -0.42% | 0.005055 | -3.90% | 0.0287 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00572 | 0.005704 | -0.28% | 0.00526 | -8.04% | 0.0951 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00581 | 0.005798 | -0.21% | 0.00572 | -1.55% | 0.0335 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005875 | 0.005863 | -0.21% | 0.00581 | -1.11% | 0.0109 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005995 | 0.005982 | -0.22% | 0.005875 | -2.00% | 0.0246 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006145 | 0.006131 | -0.23% | 0.005995 | -2.44% | 0.0068 | ✓ | -0.76 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00596 | 0.005948 | -0.20% | 0.006145 | +3.10% | 0.0347 | ✗ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.005915 | 0.005903 | -0.20% | 0.00596 | +0.76% | 0.0065 | ✗ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00622 | 0.006208 | -0.19% | 0.005915 | -4.90% | 0.0371 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006299 | -0.18% | 0.00622 | -1.43% | 0.0133 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006435 | 0.006422 | -0.21% | 0.00631 | -1.94% | 0.0160 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006503 | -0.26% | 0.006435 | -1.30% | 0.0193 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.006415 | 0.006401 | -0.22% | 0.00652 | +1.64% | 0.0189 | ✗ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.006405 | 0.006391 | -0.22% | 0.006415 | +0.16% | 0.0065 | ✗ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006504 | -0.24% | 0.006405 | -1.76% | 0.0178 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.00623 | 0.006216 | -0.22% | 0.00652 | +4.65% | 0.0478 | ✗ | -0.70 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006803 | -0.39% | 0.00623 | -8.78% | 0.1051 | ✓ | -0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.00686 | 0.006828 | -0.46% | 0.00683 | -0.44% | 0.0034 | ✓ | -0.79 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.0068 | 0.006766 | -0.50% | 0.00686 | +0.88% | 0.0882 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00702 | 0.006985 | -0.50% | 0.0068 | -3.13% | 0.0279 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.006925 | 0.006891 | -0.49% | 0.00702 | +1.37% | 0.0141 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006797 | -0.49% | 0.006925 | +1.39% | 0.0389 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00675 | 0.006712 | -0.56% | 0.00683 | +1.19% | 0.0147 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.007965 | 0.007867 | -1.23% | 0.00675 | -15.25% | 0.1606 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.005885 | 0.005882 | -0.04% | 0.007965 | +35.34% | 0.3368 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006125 | 0.006129 | +0.06% | 0.005885 | -3.92% | 0.0583 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.006325 | 0.006329 | +0.07% | 0.006125 | -3.16% | 0.0268 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006635 | 0.006638 | +0.05% | 0.006325 | -4.67% | 0.0491 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00694 | 0.006943 | +0.05% | 0.006635 | -4.39% | 0.0541 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.00705 | 0.007053 | +0.04% | 0.00694 | -1.56% | 0.0065 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.00798 | 0.007975 | -0.07% | 0.00705 | -11.65% | 0.1212 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.00801 | 0.008008 | -0.02% | 0.00798 | -0.37% | 0.0046 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.007945 | 0.007947 | +0.03% | 0.00801 | +0.82% | 0.0235 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.008195 | 0.008199 | +0.04% | 0.007945 | -3.05% | 0.0377 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.00829 | 0.008297 | +0.08% | 0.008195 | -1.15% | 0.0143 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0083 | 0.008309 | +0.11% | 0.00829 | -0.12% | 0.0175 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00927 | 0.009275 | +0.06% | 0.0083 | -10.46% | 0.1610 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.009765 | 0.009769 | +0.04% | 0.00927 | -5.07% | 0.0513 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.010555 | 0.010554 | -0.01% | 0.009765 | -7.48% | 0.0628 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01074 | 0.010741 | +0.01% | 0.010555 | -1.72% | 0.0290 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01105 | 0.011052 | +0.02% | 0.01074 | -2.81% | 0.0213 | ✗ | 1.00 |