DELTA
Delta · Robinhood · lstm_s4
- token id
- #742
- symbol
- DELTA
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xe8ffd7e24187f72afb08d75b1bb13088a989a791
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +1d
assessed
49
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
51.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1196
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0059
actual -0.0033
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.011815 | 0.011774 | -0.35% | – | pending | – | – | 3.40 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.012275 | 0.01222 | -0.44% | 0.011815 | -3.75% | 0.0238 | ✓ | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.011275 | 0.011256 | -0.16% | 0.012275 | +8.87% | 0.0417 | ✗ | 3.37 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.011075 | 0.011064 | -0.10% | 0.011275 | +1.81% | 0.0259 | ✗ | 3.37 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.01162 | 0.011593 | -0.23% | 0.011075 | -4.69% | 0.0717 | ✓ | 3.40 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.012941 | 0.01286 | -0.63% | 0.01162 | -10.21% | 0.0964 | ✓ | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.013122 | 0.013024 | -0.75% | 0.012941 | -1.38% | 0.0195 | ✗ | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.01289 | 0.0128 | -0.70% | 0.013122 | +1.80% | 0.0018 | ✓ | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.014953 | 0.014763 | -1.27% | 0.01289 | -13.80% | 0.0743 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.011504 | 0.011497 | -0.06% | 0.014953 | +29.99% | 0.2114 | ✗ | 3.12 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.00957 | 0.009607 | +0.39% | 0.011504 | +20.21% | 0.2614 | ✓ | 3.47 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00982 | 0.009859 | +0.39% | 0.00957 | -2.55% | 0.0620 | ✗ | 3.50 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.011175 | 0.011193 | +0.16% | 0.00982 | -12.12% | 0.1464 | ✗ | 3.53 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.011133 | 0.011154 | +0.19% | 0.011175 | +0.38% | 0.0350 | ✗ | 3.55 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.012469 | 0.012462 | -0.05% | 0.011133 | -10.71% | 0.0459 | ✓ | 3.49 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.013666 | 0.01365 | -0.11% | 0.012469 | -8.76% | 0.0026 | ✗ | 3.47 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.013962 | 0.013939 | -0.16% | 0.013666 | -2.12% | 0.0114 | ✓ | 3.47 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.016442 | 0.016364 | -0.48% | 0.013962 | -15.09% | 0.1291 | ✓ | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.017937 | 0.017811 | -0.70% | 0.016442 | -8.33% | 0.1536 | ✓ | 3.57 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.016716 | 0.01662 | -0.58% | 0.017937 | +7.30% | 0.0662 | ✗ | 3.57 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.016504 | 0.016408 | -0.58% | 0.016716 | +1.29% | 0.0332 | ✗ | 3.57 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.018147 | 0.018001 | -0.80% | 0.016504 | -9.06% | 0.1441 | ✓ | 3.73 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.019621 | 0.019426 | -1.00% | 0.018147 | -7.51% | 0.0644 | ✓ | 3.71 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.021976 | 0.02172 | -1.17% | 0.019621 | -10.72% | 0.1097 | ✓ | 3.72 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.023136 | 0.022827 | -1.33% | 0.021976 | -5.01% | 0.0061 | ✓ | 3.68 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.020233 | 0.019969 | -1.30% | 0.023136 | +14.35% | 0.1452 | ✗ | 3.69 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.021156 | 0.020864 | -1.38% | 0.020233 | -4.36% | 0.0449 | ✓ | 3.70 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.024448 | 0.024025 | -1.73% | 0.021156 | -13.47% | 0.1145 | ✓ | 3.64 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.025309 | 0.024782 | -2.08% | 0.024448 | -3.40% | 0.0139 | ✓ | 3.63 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.020785 | 0.020429 | -1.71% | 0.025309 | +21.77% | 0.2355 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.020234 | 0.019699 | -2.64% | 0.020785 | +2.72% | 0.0582 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.011271 | 0.011232 | -0.35% | 0.020234 | +79.53% | 0.5238 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.01237 | 0.012319 | -0.41% | 0.011271 | -8.88% | 0.0880 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.0163 | 0.01609 | -1.29% | 0.01237 | -24.11% | 0.2674 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.013229 | 0.013096 | -1.00% | 0.0163 | +23.21% | 0.1612 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.014519 | 0.014323 | -1.35% | 0.013229 | -8.88% | 0.0821 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.01313 | 0.012974 | -1.19% | 0.014519 | +10.58% | 0.1051 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.010613 | 0.010574 | -0.37% | 0.01313 | +23.71% | 0.2502 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.007963 | 0.007931 | -0.40% | 0.010613 | +33.29% | 0.2736 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.010432 | 0.010386 | -0.44% | 0.007963 | -23.67% | 0.2597 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.011622 | 0.011559 | -0.54% | 0.010432 | -10.24% | 0.1033 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.011299 | 0.011232 | -0.59% | 0.011622 | +2.86% | 0.0254 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.011225 | 0.011218 | -0.07% | 0.011299 | +0.65% | 0.0298 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.015572 | 0.015503 | -0.45% | 0.011225 | -27.91% | 0.3208 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.014605 | 0.014589 | -0.11% | 0.015572 | +6.62% | 0.0734 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.012454 | 0.012503 | +0.39% | 0.014605 | +17.27% | 0.1711 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.012201 | 0.012245 | +0.36% | 0.012454 | +2.07% | 0.0106 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.015719 | 0.015737 | +0.11% | 0.012201 | -22.38% | 0.2565 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.018546 | 0.018572 | +0.14% | 0.015719 | -15.24% | 0.1470 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.013588 | 0.013558 | -0.23% | 0.018546 | +36.48% | 0.2634 | ✗ | 1.00 |