DARK
Darkwoods · Robinhood · lstm_s4
- token id
- #795
- symbol
- DARK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xdc45b71d7203c2e8baafc43a19bca0eb993bb54e
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2023-11-23
- predictions
- 456
Track record at +1d
assessed
149
of 152 predictions shown
direction hit
53.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1009
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0009
actual -0.0378
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001307 | 0.001293 | -1.10% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.000949 | 0.000934645 | -1.51% | 0.001307 | +37.72% | 0.3382 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.001397 | 0.001383 | -1.04% | 0.000949 | -32.07% | 0.3896 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.001845 | 0.001827 | -0.95% | 0.001397 | -24.26% | 0.2663 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002037 | 0.002019 | -0.88% | 0.001845 | -9.45% | 0.0981 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-08-04 | oos | 0.002796 | 0.002786 | -0.36% | – | pending | – | – | 3.62 |
| 2025-08-03 | oos | 0.00239 | 0.002388 | -0.07% | 0.002796 | +17.03% | 0.1328 | ✗ | 3.45 |
| 2025-08-02 | oos | 0.002305 | 0.002306 | +0.05% | 0.00239 | +3.67% | 0.0151 | ✗ | 3.43 |
| 2025-08-01 | oos | 0.002374 | 0.002374 | +0.01% | 0.002305 | -2.91% | 0.0085 | ✗ | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-31 | oos | 0.002516 | 0.002515 | -0.06% | 0.002374 | -5.64% | 0.0203 | ✗ | 3.55 |
| 2025-07-30 | oos | 0.002592 | 0.00259 | -0.07% | 0.002516 | -2.93% | 0.0353 | ✗ | 3.63 |
| 2025-07-29 | oos | 0.00286 | 0.002857 | -0.10% | 0.002592 | -9.37% | 0.0945 | ✓ | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-28 | oos | 0.003153 | 0.003147 | -0.20% | 0.00286 | -9.29% | 0.0916 | ✓ | 3.38 |
| 2025-07-27 | oos | 0.003054 | 0.00305 | -0.13% | 0.003153 | +3.24% | 0.0735 | ✗ | 3.44 |
| 2025-07-26 | oos | 0.002947 | 0.002943 | -0.14% | 0.003054 | +3.63% | 0.0050 | ✓ | 3.34 |
| 2025-07-25 | oos | 0.003035 | 0.003029 | -0.19% | 0.002947 | -2.90% | 0.0371 | ✓ | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-24 | oos | 0.003066 | 0.00306 | -0.19% | 0.003035 | -1.01% | 0.0134 | ✗ | 3.35 |
| 2025-07-23 | oos | 0.003233 | 0.003224 | -0.28% | 0.003066 | -5.17% | 0.0387 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2025-07-22 | oos | 0.003309 | 0.003298 | -0.32% | 0.003233 | -2.30% | 0.0137 | ✗ | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-21 | oos | 0.003192 | 0.003182 | -0.30% | 0.003309 | +3.67% | 0.0336 | ✓ | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-20 | oos | 0.002797 | 0.002793 | -0.15% | 0.003192 | +14.12% | 0.1293 | ✗ | 4.40 |
| 2025-07-19 | oos | 0.002741 | 0.002737 | -0.14% | 0.002797 | +2.04% | 0.0422 | ✗ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-18 | oos | 0.002851 | 0.002847 | -0.15% | 0.002741 | -3.86% | 0.0341 | ✓ | 4.05 |
| 2025-07-17 | oos | 0.002938 | 0.002934 | -0.13% | 0.002851 | -2.96% | 0.0142 | ✗ | 4.07 |
| 2025-07-16 | oos | 0.002999 | 0.002995 | -0.13% | 0.002938 | -2.03% | 0.0392 | ✓ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-15 | oos | 0.002946 | 0.002942 | -0.13% | 0.002999 | +1.80% | 0.0115 | ✓ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-14 | oos | 0.002694 | 0.002692 | -0.07% | 0.002946 | +9.35% | 0.1633 | ✗ | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-13 | oos | 0.002897 | 0.002894 | -0.10% | 0.002694 | -7.01% | 0.0972 | ✓ | 4.18 |
| 2025-07-12 | oos | 0.003098 | 0.003091 | -0.22% | 0.002897 | -6.49% | 0.1238 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-11 | oos | 0.003358 | 0.003343 | -0.45% | 0.003098 | -7.74% | 0.0721 | ✓ | 4.20 |
| 2025-07-10 | oos | 0.003002 | 0.002994 | -0.28% | 0.003358 | +11.86% | 0.0595 | ✗ | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-09 | oos | 0.002724 | 0.002721 | -0.10% | 0.003002 | +10.21% | 0.0781 | ✓ | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-08 | oos | 0.002578 | 0.002581 | +0.12% | 0.002724 | +5.66% | 0.0350 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-07 | oos | 0.002644 | 0.002647 | +0.11% | 0.002578 | -2.50% | 0.0531 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-06 | oos | 0.002814 | 0.002815 | +0.02% | 0.002644 | -6.04% | 0.0257 | ✗ | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-05 | oos | 0.002657 | 0.002663 | +0.23% | 0.002814 | +5.91% | 0.0176 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-04 | oos | 0.002586 | 0.002594 | +0.32% | 0.002657 | +2.75% | 0.0154 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-03 | oos | 0.002754 | 0.002761 | +0.26% | 0.002586 | -6.10% | 0.0031 | ✗ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-02 | oos | 0.002885 | 0.002894 | +0.30% | 0.002754 | -4.54% | 0.0782 | ✗ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-01 | oos | 0.002573 | 0.002588 | +0.57% | 0.002885 | +12.13% | 0.0157 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2025-06-30 | oos | 0.003278 | 0.003288 | +0.29% | 0.002573 | -21.51% | 0.1887 | ✗ | 4.11 |
| 2025-06-29 | oos | 0.003167 | 0.003179 | +0.38% | 0.003278 | +3.50% | 0.0777 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-28 | oos | 0.002957 | 0.002971 | +0.48% | 0.003167 | +7.10% | 0.0239 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-27 | oos | 0.003523 | 0.003534 | +0.33% | 0.002957 | -16.07% | 0.1877 | ✗ | 4.16 |
| 2025-06-26 | oos | 0.004013 | 0.004018 | +0.13% | 0.003523 | -12.21% | 0.1347 | ✗ | 4.15 |
| 2025-06-25 | oos | 0.004036 | 0.004043 | +0.17% | 0.004013 | -0.57% | 0.0070 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-24 | oos | 0.004267 | 0.004274 | +0.15% | 0.004036 | -5.41% | 0.1066 | ✗ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-23 | oos | 0.004368 | 0.004375 | +0.16% | 0.004267 | -2.31% | 0.0536 | ✗ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-22 | oos | 0.004004 | 0.004022 | +0.45% | 0.004368 | +9.09% | 0.1008 | ✗ | 4.28 |
| 2025-06-21 | oos | 0.003983 | 0.004002 | +0.47% | 0.004004 | +0.53% | 0.0503 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-20 | oos | 0.004445 | 0.004461 | +0.36% | 0.003983 | -10.39% | 0.0646 | ✗ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-19 | oos | 0.004911 | 0.00492 | +0.18% | 0.004445 | -9.49% | 0.0451 | ✗ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-18 | oos | 0.005086 | 0.005093 | +0.14% | 0.004911 | -3.44% | 0.0264 | ✗ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-17 | oos | 0.005041 | 0.005054 | +0.25% | 0.005086 | +0.89% | 0.0071 | ✗ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-16 | oos | 0.005281 | 0.005287 | +0.11% | 0.005041 | -4.54% | 0.0476 | ✓ | 4.45 |
| 2025-06-15 | oos | 0.005917 | 0.005906 | -0.19% | 0.005281 | -10.75% | 0.1649 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-14 | oos | 0.006217 | 0.006193 | -0.38% | 0.005917 | -4.83% | 0.0514 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-13 | oos | 0.005012 | 0.005029 | +0.34% | 0.006217 | +24.04% | 0.2406 | ✓ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-12 | oos | 0.005304 | 0.005321 | +0.32% | 0.005012 | -5.51% | 0.0770 | ✗ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-11 | oos | 0.006633 | 0.0066 | -0.50% | 0.005304 | -20.04% | 0.0930 | ✓ | 4.57 |
| 2025-06-10 | oos | 0.005894 | 0.005893 | -0.01% | 0.006633 | +12.54% | 0.1899 | ✗ | 4.81 |
| 2025-06-09 | oos | 0.006098 | 0.006095 | -0.04% | 0.005894 | -3.35% | 0.0336 | ✓ | 4.82 |
| 2025-06-08 | oos | 0.005929 | 0.005944 | +0.26% | 0.006098 | +2.85% | 0.1863 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-07 | oos | 0.005997 | 0.006015 | +0.31% | 0.005929 | -1.13% | 0.0224 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-06 | oos | 0.005891 | 0.005915 | +0.41% | 0.005997 | +1.80% | 0.0452 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-05 | oos | 0.005238 | 0.005267 | +0.56% | 0.005891 | +12.47% | 0.0259 | ✗ | 5.02 |
| 2025-06-04 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006338 | +0.44% | 0.005238 | -16.99% | 0.0340 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-03 | oos | 0.00767 | 0.007678 | +0.11% | 0.00631 | -17.73% | 0.1632 | ✗ | 5.00 |
| 2025-06-02 | oos | 0.007135 | 0.007157 | +0.30% | 0.00767 | +7.50% | 0.0913 | ✓ | 5.09 |
| 2025-06-01 | oos | 0.007398 | 0.00742 | +0.29% | 0.007135 | -3.56% | 0.0491 | ✗ | 5.09 |
| 2025-05-31 | oos | 0.006696 | 0.006729 | +0.49% | 0.007398 | +10.48% | 0.0443 | ✓ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-30 | oos | 0.006587 | 0.006623 | +0.54% | 0.006696 | +1.65% | 0.0187 | ✗ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-29 | oos | 0.007919 | 0.00795 | +0.40% | 0.006587 | -16.82% | 0.1149 | ✗ | 4.98 |
| 2025-05-28 | oos | 0.00946 | 0.009465 | +0.05% | 0.007919 | -16.29% | 0.0739 | ✗ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-27 | oos | 0.010931 | 0.010906 | -0.22% | 0.00946 | -13.46% | 0.0896 | ✓ | 4.92 |
| 2025-05-26 | oos | 0.01142 | 0.01139 | -0.26% | 0.010931 | -4.28% | 0.0191 | ✓ | 4.95 |
| 2025-05-25 | oos | 0.011277 | 0.01125 | -0.24% | 0.01142 | +1.27% | 0.0039 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-24 | oos | 0.012084 | 0.01205 | -0.28% | 0.011277 | -6.68% | 0.1240 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-23 | oos | 0.012392 | 0.01236 | -0.26% | 0.012084 | -2.49% | 0.0441 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-22 | oos | 0.015393 | 0.015372 | -0.14% | 0.012392 | -19.50% | 0.0084 | ✓ | 5.16 |
| 2025-05-21 | oos | 0.012423 | 0.012399 | -0.20% | 0.015393 | +23.91% | 0.1250 | ✗ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-20 | oos | 0.011758 | 0.011738 | -0.17% | 0.012423 | +5.66% | 0.0735 | ✓ | 5.01 |
| 2025-05-19 | oos | 0.012125 | 0.012101 | -0.20% | 0.011758 | -3.03% | 0.0886 | ✓ | 5.02 |
| 2025-05-18 | oos | 0.011663 | 0.011648 | -0.13% | 0.012125 | +3.96% | 0.0824 | ✗ | 5.22 |
| 2025-05-17 | oos | 0.011383 | 0.011372 | -0.09% | 0.011663 | +2.46% | 0.1450 | ✓ | 5.39 |
| 2025-05-16 | oos | 0.011643 | 0.011631 | -0.10% | 0.011383 | -2.23% | 0.0183 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-15 | oos | 0.012234 | 0.012217 | -0.14% | 0.011643 | -4.83% | 0.0453 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-14 | oos | 0.013635 | 0.01361 | -0.19% | 0.012234 | -10.28% | 0.1089 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-13 | oos | 0.016633 | 0.016599 | -0.21% | 0.013635 | -18.02% | 0.1910 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-12 | oos | 0.018853 | 0.018768 | -0.45% | 0.016633 | -11.78% | 0.1336 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-11 | oos | 0.017499 | 0.017453 | -0.26% | 0.018853 | +7.74% | 0.0901 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-10 | oos | 0.016775 | 0.016748 | -0.16% | 0.017499 | +4.32% | 0.0504 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-09 | oos | 0.01342 | 0.013393 | -0.20% | 0.016775 | +25.00% | 0.2075 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-08 | in | 0.015819 | 0.015788 | -0.19% | 0.01342 | -15.17% | 0.1599 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-07 | in | 0.011052 | 0.010967 | -0.77% | 0.015819 | +43.13% | 0.3045 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-06 | in | 0.01415 | 0.014033 | -0.83% | 0.011052 | -21.89% | 0.2410 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-05 | in | 0.015996 | 0.015851 | -0.90% | 0.01415 | -11.54% | 0.1355 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-04 | in | 0.017052 | 0.0169 | -0.89% | 0.015996 | -6.19% | 0.0599 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-03 | in | 0.01703 | 0.01687 | -0.94% | 0.017052 | +0.13% | 0.0275 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-02 | in | 0.023187 | 0.022984 | -0.87% | 0.01703 | -26.55% | 0.2888 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-01 | in | 0.0163 | 0.016151 | -0.92% | 0.023187 | +42.25% | 0.3574 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-30 | in | 0.02036 | 0.020175 | -0.91% | 0.0163 | -19.94% | 0.2379 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-29 | in | 0.024322 | 0.024126 | -0.80% | 0.02036 | -16.29% | 0.1688 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-28 | in | 0.025719 | 0.025502 | -0.84% | 0.024322 | -5.43% | 0.0392 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-27 | in | 0.030589 | 0.030302 | -0.94% | 0.025719 | -15.92% | 0.1774 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-26 | in | 0.03442 | 0.034012 | -1.18% | 0.030589 | -11.13% | 0.0967 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-01-16 | in | 0.000009 | 0.000009059 | +0.65% | – | pending | – | – | -1.27 |
| 2024-01-15 | in | 0.0000157 | 0.000015807 | +0.68% | 0.000009 | -42.68% | 0.5469 | ✗ | -1.09 |
| 2024-01-14 | in | 0.0000149 | 0.000015013 | +0.76% | 0.0000157 | +5.37% | 0.0661 | ✓ | -1.13 |
| 2024-01-13 | in | 0.00001622 | 0.000016321 | +0.62% | 0.0000149 | -8.14% | 0.1239 | ✗ | -1.21 |
| 2024-01-12 | in | 0.0000257 | 0.000025726 | +0.10% | 0.00001622 | -36.89% | 0.4594 | ✗ | -1.23 |
| 2024-01-11 | in | 0.00002504 | 0.000025045 | +0.02% | 0.0000257 | +2.64% | 0.0872 | ✗ | -1.41 |
| 2024-01-10 | in | 0.00002673 | 0.000026703 | -0.10% | 0.00002504 | -6.32% | 0.0743 | ✓ | -1.44 |
| 2024-01-09 | in | 0.00003347 | 0.00003342 | -0.15% | 0.00002673 | -20.14% | 0.2072 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2024-01-08 | in | 0.00002866 | 0.000028661 | +0.01% | 0.00003347 | +16.78% | 0.1315 | ✓ | -1.26 |
| 2024-01-07 | in | 0.00002885 | 0.000028878 | +0.10% | 0.00002866 | -0.66% | 0.0937 | ✓ | -1.51 |
| 2024-01-06 | in | 0.00003261 | 0.00003257 | -0.12% | 0.00002885 | -11.53% | 0.1228 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-05 | in | 0.0000316 | 0.000031602 | +0.01% | 0.00003261 | +3.20% | 0.0247 | ✓ | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-04 | in | 0.000032 | 0.000031983 | -0.05% | 0.0000316 | -1.25% | 0.0123 | ✓ | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-03 | in | 0.00003349 | 0.000033465 | -0.07% | 0.000032 | -4.45% | 0.0022 | ✗ | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-02 | in | 0.0000337 | 0.000033696 | -0.01% | 0.00003349 | -0.62% | 0.0894 | ✓ | -1.73 |
| 2024-01-01 | in | 0.00003166 | 0.000031667 | +0.02% | 0.0000337 | +6.44% | 0.0925 | ✓ | -1.80 |
| 2023-12-31 | in | 0.00003167 | 0.000031665 | -0.01% | 0.00003166 | -0.03% | 0.0899 | ✗ | -2.01 |
| 2023-12-30 | in | 0.00003168 | 0.000031677 | -0.01% | 0.00003167 | -0.03% | 0.0068 | ✗ | -2.02 |
| 2023-12-29 | in | 0.00003798 | 0.000037917 | -0.17% | 0.00003168 | -16.59% | 0.1760 | ✓ | -2.03 |
| 2023-12-28 | in | 0.0000381 | 0.000038023 | -0.20% | 0.00003798 | -0.31% | 0.0262 | ✓ | -2.05 |
| 2023-12-27 | in | 0.00002929 | 0.000029269 | -0.07% | 0.0000381 | +30.08% | 0.2285 | ✗ | -1.70 |
| 2023-12-26 | in | 0.00003903 | 0.000038966 | -0.16% | 0.00002929 | -24.96% | 0.2536 | ✓ | -1.43 |
| 2023-12-25 | in | 0.00004557 | 0.000045569 | -0.00% | 0.00003903 | -14.35% | 0.1995 | ✓ | -1.79 |
| 2023-12-24 | in | 0.00005145 | 0.000051398 | -0.10% | 0.00004557 | -11.43% | 0.0978 | ✓ | -1.73 |
| 2023-12-23 | in | 0.00004727 | 0.000047287 | +0.04% | 0.00005145 | +8.84% | 0.0577 | ✓ | -1.65 |
| 2023-12-22 | in | 0.00003765 | 0.000037652 | +0.01% | 0.00004727 | +25.55% | 0.2340 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-21 | in | 0.00004179 | 0.00004181 | +0.05% | 0.00003765 | -9.91% | 0.1079 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-20 | in | 0.00004502 | 0.000045061 | +0.09% | 0.00004179 | -7.17% | 0.0799 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-19 | in | 0.00005 | 0.000049969 | -0.06% | 0.00004502 | -9.96% | 0.1371 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-18 | in | 0.000056 | 0.000055987 | -0.02% | 0.00005 | -10.71% | 0.1041 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-17 | in | 0.00005097 | 0.000050884 | -0.17% | 0.000056 | +9.87% | 0.0648 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-16 | in | 0.000045 | 0.000044957 | -0.10% | 0.00005097 | +13.27% | 0.1468 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-15 | in | 0.00004838 | 0.000048122 | -0.53% | 0.000045 | -6.99% | 0.0743 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-14 | in | 0.00004328 | 0.000043416 | +0.31% | 0.00004838 | +11.78% | 0.1340 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-13 | in | 0.00004588 | 0.000046007 | +0.28% | 0.00004328 | -5.67% | 0.0644 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-12 | in | 0.00006089 | 0.000060908 | +0.03% | 0.00004588 | -24.65% | 0.3167 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-11 | in | 0.00006109 | 0.000061111 | +0.03% | 0.00006089 | -0.33% | 0.0096 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-10 | in | 0.00006163 | 0.000061689 | +0.10% | 0.00006109 | -0.88% | 0.0506 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-09 | in | 0.00005702 | 0.000057045 | +0.04% | 0.00006163 | +8.08% | 0.0757 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-08 | in | 0.00005751 | 0.000057458 | -0.09% | 0.00005702 | -0.85% | 0.0030 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-07 | in | 0.00006009 | 0.000060071 | -0.03% | 0.00005751 | -4.29% | 0.0644 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-06 | in | 0.0000579 | 0.000057829 | -0.12% | 0.00006009 | +3.78% | 0.0494 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-05 | in | 0.00005568 | 0.000055571 | -0.20% | 0.0000579 | +3.99% | 0.0483 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-04 | in | 0.00006001 | 0.00005998 | -0.05% | 0.00005568 | -7.22% | 0.1231 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-03 | in | 0.00006997 | 0.000069805 | -0.24% | 0.00006001 | -14.23% | 0.2001 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-02 | in | 0.00006388 | 0.00006368 | -0.31% | 0.00006997 | +9.53% | 0.0815 | ✗ | 1.00 |