BASECAT
Basecat · Base · lstm_s4
- token id
- #592
- symbol
- BASECAT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0xb2000000000000000000004c27f6523082f41d01
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +1d
assessed
49
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
57.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1083
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0035
actual -0.0185
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.012065 | 0.012058 | -0.06% | – | pending | – | – | 2.76 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.01172 | 0.01172 | +0.00% | 0.012065 | +2.94% | 0.0371 | ✓ | 2.77 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.012275 | 0.012255 | -0.17% | 0.01172 | -4.52% | 0.0822 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.01293 | 0.01288 | -0.39% | 0.012275 | -5.07% | 0.0423 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.012765 | 0.012719 | -0.36% | 0.01293 | +1.29% | 0.0051 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.012975 | 0.012922 | -0.40% | 0.012765 | -1.62% | 0.0082 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0129 | 0.012848 | -0.41% | 0.012975 | +0.58% | 0.0314 | ✗ | 2.83 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.012605 | 0.012568 | -0.30% | 0.0129 | +2.34% | 0.0069 | ✗ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.013565 | 0.01347 | -0.70% | 0.012605 | -7.08% | 0.0138 | ✓ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.013175 | 0.013105 | -0.54% | 0.013565 | +2.96% | 0.0119 | ✓ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.01678 | 0.016261 | -3.09% | 0.013175 | -21.48% | 0.1498 | ✓ | 2.59 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01299 | 0.012954 | -0.28% | 0.01678 | +29.18% | 0.2360 | ✗ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.011325 | 0.011358 | +0.29% | 0.01299 | +14.70% | 0.1234 | ✓ | 2.44 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.01146 | 0.011503 | +0.38% | 0.011325 | -1.18% | 0.0410 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01295 | 0.012942 | -0.06% | 0.01146 | -11.51% | 0.0758 | ✓ | 2.39 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01176 | 0.011788 | +0.24% | 0.01295 | +10.12% | 0.1668 | ✓ | 2.71 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.0129 | 0.012902 | +0.02% | 0.01176 | -8.84% | 0.0861 | ✗ | 2.70 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01304 | 0.013053 | +0.10% | 0.0129 | -1.07% | 0.0121 | ✓ | 2.72 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.013365 | 0.013381 | +0.12% | 0.01304 | -2.43% | 0.0833 | ✗ | 2.79 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01108 | 0.01114 | +0.54% | 0.013365 | +20.62% | 0.1743 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.0119 | 0.011956 | +0.47% | 0.01108 | -6.89% | 0.0648 | ✗ | 2.76 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.012285 | 0.012346 | +0.50% | 0.0119 | -3.13% | 0.0799 | ✗ | 2.81 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.013715 | 0.013763 | +0.35% | 0.012285 | -10.43% | 0.1109 | ✗ | 2.79 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.014675 | 0.014717 | +0.29% | 0.013715 | -6.54% | 0.0766 | ✗ | 2.80 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01592 | 0.015948 | +0.17% | 0.014675 | -7.82% | 0.0500 | ✗ | 2.77 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.016155 | 0.016179 | +0.15% | 0.01592 | -1.45% | 0.0177 | ✗ | 2.77 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01685 | 0.016862 | +0.07% | 0.016155 | -4.12% | 0.0535 | ✗ | 2.78 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01852 | 0.018499 | -0.11% | 0.01685 | -9.02% | 0.0838 | ✓ | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01875 | 0.01874 | -0.05% | 0.01852 | -1.23% | 0.0120 | ✓ | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.0173 | 0.017331 | +0.18% | 0.01875 | +8.38% | 0.1000 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.019505 | 0.01951 | +0.03% | 0.0173 | -11.30% | 0.1156 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.01746 | 0.017473 | +0.08% | 0.019505 | +11.71% | 0.0452 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.018945 | 0.018944 | -0.00% | 0.01746 | -7.84% | 0.0807 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.02233 | 0.022259 | -0.32% | 0.018945 | -15.16% | 0.1656 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.01693 | 0.016904 | -0.15% | 0.02233 | +31.90% | 0.2208 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.016355 | 0.01632 | -0.22% | 0.01693 | +3.52% | 0.0340 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.020295 | 0.020202 | -0.46% | 0.016355 | -19.41% | 0.2187 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.02134 | 0.021293 | -0.22% | 0.020295 | -4.90% | 0.0143 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.021645 | 0.021545 | -0.46% | 0.02134 | -1.41% | 0.0273 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.022805 | 0.022711 | -0.41% | 0.021645 | -5.09% | 0.0421 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.02132 | 0.021238 | -0.38% | 0.022805 | +6.97% | 0.0705 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.031655 | 0.031487 | -0.53% | 0.02132 | -32.65% | 0.3987 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.03201 | 0.031929 | -0.25% | 0.031655 | -1.11% | 0.0139 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.039 | 0.038793 | -0.53% | 0.03201 | -17.92% | 0.1901 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.042955 | 0.042674 | -0.66% | 0.039 | -9.21% | 0.0818 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.0556 | 0.054961 | -1.15% | 0.042955 | -22.74% | 0.2308 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.07782 | 0.075057 | -3.55% | 0.0556 | -28.55% | 0.3064 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.057 | 0.055547 | -2.55% | 0.07782 | +36.53% | 0.3352 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0465 | 0.045624 | -1.88% | 0.057 | +22.58% | 0.2424 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.02865 | 0.028613 | -0.13% | 0.0465 | +62.30% | 0.4357 | ✗ | 1.00 |