AVA

AVA (Travala) · Ethereum · lstm_s4

token id: #60
symbol: AVA
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xa6c0c097741d55ecd9a3a7def3a8253fd022ceb9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-14
predictions: 456

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

151

of 152 predictions shown

direction hit

45.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0361

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0022

actual +0.0013

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3215	0.318342	-0.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.37
2026-10-20	oos	0.3432	0.339754	-1.00%	0.3215	-6.32%	0.0541	✓	0.37
2026-10-19	oos	0.42285	0.412045	-2.56%	0.3432	-18.84%	0.1888	✓	0.45
2026-10-18	oos	0.3193	0.315091	-1.32%	0.42285	+32.43%	0.2952	✗	0.49
2026-10-17	oos	0.3784	0.367813	-2.80%	0.3193	-15.62%	0.1454	✓	0.51
2026-10-16	oos	0.2935	0.291351	-0.73%	0.3784	+28.93%	0.2622	✗	0.54
2026-10-15	oos	0.2846	0.282261	-0.82%	0.2935	+3.13%	0.0432	✗	0.54
2026-10-14	oos	0.26855	0.264734	-1.42%	0.2846	+5.98%	0.0687	✗	0.54
2026-10-13	oos	0.2373	0.236832	-0.20%	0.26855	+13.17%	0.1374	✗	0.63
2026-10-12	oos	0.2321	0.231923	-0.08%	0.2373	+2.24%	0.0127	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.22825	0.227998	-0.11%	0.2321	+1.69%	0.0328	✗	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.2325	0.232066	-0.19%	0.22825	-1.83%	0.0227	✓	0.66
2026-10-09	oos	0.2387	0.238136	-0.24%	0.2325	-2.60%	0.0269	✓	0.66
2026-10-08	oos	0.23205	0.231669	-0.16%	0.2387	+2.87%	0.0230	✗	0.66
2026-10-07	oos	0.22615	0.225982	-0.07%	0.23205	+2.61%	0.0396	✗	0.68
2026-10-06	oos	0.23255	0.232402	-0.06%	0.22615	-2.75%	0.0092	✓	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.24515	0.244731	-0.17%	0.23255	-5.14%	0.0494	✓	0.67
2026-10-04	oos	0.2621	0.261221	-0.34%	0.24515	-6.47%	0.0576	✓	0.67
2026-10-03	oos	0.26635	0.265131	-0.46%	0.2621	-1.60%	0.0256	✓	0.68
2026-10-02	oos	0.26025	0.259053	-0.46%	0.26635	+2.34%	0.0259	✗	0.68
2026-10-01	oos	0.25855	0.257293	-0.49%	0.26025	+0.66%	0.0142	✗	0.68
2026-09-30	oos	0.2456	0.244794	-0.33%	0.25855	+5.27%	0.0442	✗	0.68
2026-09-29	oos	0.24525	0.244287	-0.39%	0.2456	+0.14%	0.0060	✗	0.66
2026-09-28	oos	0.2432	0.241865	-0.55%	0.24525	+0.84%	0.0124	✗	0.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.2525	0.250655	-0.73%	0.2432	-3.68%	0.0220	✓	0.69
2026-09-26	oos	0.2456	0.244283	-0.54%	0.2525	+2.81%	0.0327	✗	0.69
2026-09-25	oos	0.26395	0.262166	-0.68%	0.2456	-6.95%	0.0679	✓	0.69
2026-09-24	oos	0.2556	0.254372	-0.48%	0.26395	+3.27%	0.0394	✗	0.70
2026-09-23	oos	0.253	0.251915	-0.43%	0.2556	+1.03%	0.0145	✗	0.70
2026-09-22	oos	0.25725	0.256384	-0.34%	0.253	-1.65%	0.0017	✓	0.70
2026-09-21	oos	0.24785	0.247565	-0.12%	0.25725	+3.79%	0.0417	✗	0.73
2026-09-20	oos	0.2389	0.237148	-0.73%	0.24785	+3.75%	0.0052	✓	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.2257	0.224508	-0.53%	0.2389	+5.85%	0.0628	✗	0.76
2026-09-18	oos	0.2356	0.232179	-1.45%	0.2257	-4.20%	0.0317	✓	0.78
2026-09-17	oos	0.2631	0.249036	-5.35%	0.2356	-10.45%	0.1159	✓	1.05
2026-09-16	oos	0.15575	0.155868	+0.08%	0.2631	+68.92%	0.5208	✓	1.03
2026-09-15	oos	0.15935	0.159421	+0.04%	0.15575	-2.26%	0.0311	✗	1.05
2026-09-14	oos	0.16475	0.16471	-0.02%	0.15935	-3.28%	0.0018	✗	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.17235	0.171007	-0.78%	0.16475	-4.41%	0.0560	✓	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.16675	0.167102	+0.21%	0.17235	+3.36%	0.0373	✓	1.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.1533	0.153781	+0.31%	0.16675	+8.77%	0.0802	✓	1.07
2026-09-10	oos	0.14845	0.148983	+0.36%	0.1533	+3.27%	0.0193	✓	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.15835	0.158983	+0.40%	0.14845	-6.25%	0.0453	✗	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.16595	0.166629	+0.41%	0.15835	-4.58%	0.0487	✗	1.09
2026-09-07	oos	0.16025	0.16095	+0.44%	0.16595	+3.56%	0.0396	✓	1.11
2026-09-06	oos	0.1657	0.166425	+0.44%	0.16025	-3.29%	0.0204	✗	1.11
2026-09-05	oos	0.17045	0.171242	+0.46%	0.1657	-2.79%	0.0400	✗	1.11
2026-09-04	oos	0.1723	0.173088	+0.46%	0.17045	-1.07%	0.0175	✗	1.11
2026-09-03	oos	0.19615	0.19667	+0.27%	0.1723	-12.16%	0.1118	✗	1.04
2026-09-02	oos	0.1842	0.18476	+0.30%	0.19615	+6.49%	0.0068	✓	1.06
2026-09-01	oos	0.1902	0.190709	+0.27%	0.1842	-3.15%	0.0335	✗	1.07
2026-08-31	oos	0.19365	0.194136	+0.25%	0.1902	-1.78%	0.0056	✗	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.19105	0.191573	+0.27%	0.19365	+1.36%	0.0007	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.1997	0.200081	+0.19%	0.19105	-4.33%	0.0391	✗	0.97
2026-08-28	oos	0.202	0.202415	+0.21%	0.1997	-1.14%	0.0184	✗	0.97
2026-08-27	oos	0.2085	0.208645	+0.07%	0.202	-3.12%	0.0024	✗	0.97
2026-08-26	oos	0.21075	0.210964	+0.10%	0.2085	-1.07%	0.0271	✗	0.98
2026-08-25	oos	0.2092	0.20935	+0.07%	0.21075	+0.74%	0.0004	✓	0.99
2026-08-24	oos	0.2018	0.201723	-0.04%	0.2092	+3.67%	0.0421	✗	0.99
2026-08-23	oos	0.20705	0.207011	-0.02%	0.2018	-2.54%	0.0416	✓	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.2035	0.203388	-0.05%	0.20705	+1.74%	0.0090	✗	1.01
2026-08-21	oos	0.2049	0.20452	-0.19%	0.2035	-0.68%	0.0115	✗	1.01
2026-08-20	oos	0.191	0.19051	-0.26%	0.2049	+7.28%	0.0015	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.1799	0.179263	-0.35%	0.191	+6.17%	0.0104	✗	1.02
2026-08-18	oos	0.17065	0.169781	-0.51%	0.1799	+5.42%	0.0147	✓	1.05
2026-08-17	oos	0.17415	0.173116	-0.59%	0.17065	-2.01%	0.0178	✓	1.08
2026-08-16	oos	0.17405	0.172946	-0.63%	0.17415	+0.06%	0.0217	✓	1.11
2026-08-15	oos	0.17835	0.177229	-0.63%	0.17405	-2.41%	0.0149	✓	1.11
2026-08-14	oos	0.17865	0.17758	-0.60%	0.17835	-0.17%	0.0036	✓	1.12
2026-08-13	oos	0.18025	0.17909	-0.64%	0.17865	-0.89%	0.0055	✓	1.12
2026-08-12	oos	0.18485	0.183704	-0.62%	0.18025	-2.49%	0.0192	✓	1.15
2026-08-11	oos	0.19115	0.189998	-0.60%	0.18485	-3.30%	0.0253	✓	1.15
2026-08-10	oos	0.203	0.201646	-0.67%	0.19115	-5.84%	0.0466	✓	1.15
2026-08-09	oos	0.2075	0.206	-0.72%	0.203	-2.17%	0.0020	✓	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.20655	0.204951	-0.77%	0.2075	+0.46%	0.0134	✗	1.14
2026-08-07	oos	0.21025	0.20815	-1.00%	0.20655	-1.76%	0.0080	✓	1.15
2026-08-06	oos	0.1902	0.188773	-0.75%	0.21025	+10.54%	0.0970	✗	1.11
2026-08-05	oos	0.18165	0.180341	-0.72%	0.1902	+4.71%	0.0590	✗	1.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.16775	0.166746	-0.60%	0.18165	+8.29%	0.0763	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	0.1717	0.170511	-0.69%	0.16775	-2.30%	0.0264	✓	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.1825	0.180697	-0.99%	0.1717	-5.92%	0.0505	✓	1.10
2026-08-01	oos	0.17155	0.169689	-1.08%	0.1825	+6.38%	0.0603	✗	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	0.16075	0.159997	-0.47%	0.17155	+6.72%	0.0708	✗	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	0.152	0.15161	-0.26%	0.16075	+5.76%	0.0930	✗	1.16
2026-07-29	oos	0.1501	0.149839	-0.17%	0.152	+1.27%	0.0005	✓	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.1533	0.152946	-0.23%	0.1501	-2.09%	0.0197	✓	1.16
2026-07-27	oos	0.15455	0.154239	-0.20%	0.1533	-0.81%	0.0089	✓	1.16
2026-07-26	oos	0.1624	0.161851	-0.34%	0.15455	-4.83%	0.0169	✓	1.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.1637	0.163219	-0.29%	0.1624	-0.79%	0.0238	✓	1.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.15435	0.154265	-0.06%	0.1637	+6.06%	0.0556	✗	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.15365	0.153572	-0.05%	0.15435	+0.46%	0.0225	✗	1.16
2026-07-22	oos	0.1581	0.158048	-0.03%	0.15365	-2.81%	0.0099	✓	1.16
2026-07-21	oos	0.15995	0.159993	+0.03%	0.1581	-1.16%	0.0044	✗	1.16
2026-07-20	oos	0.1559	0.156065	+0.11%	0.15995	+2.60%	0.0018	✓	1.15
2026-07-19	oos	0.1539	0.154068	+0.11%	0.1559	+1.30%	0.0024	✓	1.15
2026-07-18	oos	0.15475	0.154934	+0.12%	0.1539	-0.55%	0.0047	✗	1.15
2026-07-17	oos	0.158	0.158175	+0.11%	0.15475	-2.06%	0.0383	✗	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.15955	0.159729	+0.11%	0.158	-0.97%	0.0132	✗	1.17
2026-07-15	oos	0.16415	0.16432	+0.10%	0.15955	-2.80%	0.0122	✗	1.17
2026-07-14	oos	0.1618	0.162077	+0.17%	0.16415	+1.45%	0.0176	✓	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.1574	0.157799	+0.25%	0.1618	+2.80%	0.0268	✗	1.21
2026-07-12	oos	0.1628	0.163116	+0.19%	0.1574	-3.32%	0.0074	✗	1.21
2026-07-11	oos	0.16735	0.167638	+0.17%	0.1628	-2.72%	0.0287	✗	1.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.1696	0.169811	+0.12%	0.16735	-1.33%	0.0079	✗	1.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.16805	0.168328	+0.17%	0.1696	+0.92%	0.0107	✗	1.22
2026-07-08	oos	0.1669	0.167255	+0.21%	0.16805	+0.69%	0.0136	✗	1.23
2026-07-07	oos	0.1711	0.171359	+0.15%	0.1669	-2.45%	0.0052	✗	1.23
2026-07-06	oos	0.17935	0.179449	+0.06%	0.1711	-4.60%	0.0347	✗	1.22
2026-07-05	oos	0.1803	0.180372	+0.04%	0.17935	-0.53%	0.0137	✗	1.22
2026-07-04	oos	0.18395	0.183913	-0.02%	0.1803	-1.98%	0.0296	✓	1.24
2026-07-03	oos	0.17725	0.177197	-0.03%	0.18395	+3.78%	0.0264	✗	1.22
2026-07-02	oos	0.17095	0.171131	+0.11%	0.17725	+3.69%	0.0151	✓	1.20
2026-07-01	oos	0.17475	0.175155	+0.23%	0.17095	-2.17%	0.0565	✗	1.28
2026-06-30	oos	0.16145	0.162388	+0.58%	0.17475	+8.24%	0.0443	✓	1.20
2026-06-29	oos	0.1661	0.167076	+0.59%	0.16145	-2.80%	0.0009	✓	1.21
2026-06-28	oos	0.16695	0.168109	+0.69%	0.1661	-0.51%	0.0261	✗	1.22
2026-06-27	oos	0.16885	0.169971	+0.66%	0.16695	-1.13%	0.0085	✗	1.22
2026-06-26	oos	0.1731	0.174226	+0.65%	0.16885	-2.46%	0.0300	✗	1.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.17085	0.172049	+0.70%	0.1731	+1.32%	0.0000	✓	1.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1746	0.175645	+0.60%	0.17085	-2.15%	0.0016	✓	1.23
2026-06-23	oos	0.18185	0.182669	+0.45%	0.1746	-3.99%	0.0123	✗	1.22
2026-06-22	oos	0.18755	0.188162	+0.33%	0.18185	-3.04%	0.0090	✗	1.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.1911	0.191731	+0.33%	0.18755	-1.86%	0.0362	✗	1.25
2026-06-20	oos	0.19835	0.198705	+0.18%	0.1911	-3.66%	0.0197	✗	1.24
2026-06-19	oos	0.19035	0.190707	+0.19%	0.19835	+4.20%	0.0251	✓	1.21
2026-06-18	oos	0.1941	0.19423	+0.07%	0.19035	-1.93%	0.0319	✗	1.25
2026-06-17	oos	0.2037	0.203406	-0.14%	0.1941	-4.71%	0.0167	✓	1.22
2026-06-16	oos	0.1998	0.199385	-0.21%	0.2037	+1.95%	0.0440	✗	1.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.1971	0.196451	-0.33%	0.1998	+1.37%	0.0296	✗	1.26
2026-06-14	oos	0.1934	0.19302	-0.20%	0.1971	+1.91%	0.0101	✗	1.25
2026-06-13	oos	0.1904	0.190409	+0.00%	0.1934	+1.58%	0.0093	✗	1.27
2026-06-12	oos	0.191	0.191097	+0.05%	0.1904	-0.31%	0.0176	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.19395	0.193719	-0.12%	0.191	-1.52%	0.0137	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.1754	0.176694	+0.74%	0.19395	+10.58%	0.0593	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.17575	0.176964	+0.69%	0.1754	-0.20%	0.0050	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.1836	0.183596	-0.00%	0.17575	-4.28%	0.0216	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.1835	0.183014	-0.26%	0.1836	+0.05%	0.0070	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.1772	0.178775	+0.89%	0.1835	+3.56%	0.0134	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.1769	0.17838	+0.84%	0.1772	+0.17%	0.0037	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.1918	0.191373	-0.22%	0.1769	-7.77%	0.0342	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.2098	0.209425	-0.18%	0.1918	-8.58%	0.0843	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.2063	0.205339	-0.47%	0.2098	+1.70%	0.0616	✗	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.2219	0.220957	-0.43%	0.2063	-7.03%	0.0011	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.2223	0.221106	-0.54%	0.2219	-0.18%	0.0348	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.21885	0.217525	-0.61%	0.2223	+1.58%	0.0244	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.21825	0.217357	-0.41%	0.21885	+0.27%	0.0014	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.215	0.214073	-0.43%	0.21825	+1.51%	0.0213	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.2224	0.221179	-0.55%	0.215	-3.33%	0.0175	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.2274	0.226126	-0.56%	0.2224	-2.20%	0.0035	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.2333	0.23202	-0.55%	0.2274	-2.53%	0.0015	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.2314	0.230165	-0.53%	0.2333	+0.82%	0.0100	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.2424	0.240965	-0.59%	0.2314	-4.54%	0.0447	✓	1.00