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2022-09-21 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 193 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1251
192 of 193 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.67%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.2%
in alpha space · 79.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+5.08%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (193 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism0.8920.899168+0.80%0.938+5.16%0.0363✗1.582.5M2022-09-22
ETHEthereumEthereum1,245.651,255.26+0.77%1,326.43+6.48%0.0101✗1.32536.5M2022-09-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0021420.002157+0.72%0.002218+3.55%0.0232✗1.031.6M2022-09-22
AAVEAaveEthereum71.5872.0288+0.63%76.67+7.11%0.0096✗1.455.1M2022-09-22
GALAGALAEthereum0.04050.040749+0.62%0.0425+4.94%0.0146✗1.14177k2022-09-22
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.30083.3208+0.60%3.6025+9.14%0.0478✓0.685.6M2022-09-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.289080.290804+0.60%0.3092+6.96%0.0113✓1.0133k2022-09-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.2161.2232+0.59%1.2577+3.43%0.0082✗0.731.3M2022-09-22
XMRMoneroMonero135.48136.2314+0.55%144.06+6.33%0.0110✓0.901.4M2022-09-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.004870.004897+0.55%0.00496+1.85%0.0215✗0.69911k2022-09-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.006820.006857+0.54%0.00722+5.87%0.0042✓0.963.0M2022-09-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9294.9555+0.54%5.329+8.12%0.0464✓0.532.3M2022-09-22
GTGateEthereum4.13214.1538+0.52%4.2613+3.13%0.0050✓0.62687k2022-09-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.4450.447326+0.52%0.47+5.62%0.0057✗1.1181k2022-09-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.2862.2976+0.51%2.503+9.49%0.0151✓1.422.3M2022-09-22
METISMetisEthereum23.0323.1463+0.50%24.33+5.64%0.0267✗1.54122k2022-09-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.10830.108845+0.50%0.1154+6.56%0.0060✓1.062.4M2022-09-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.010420.010471+0.49%0.01075+3.17%0.0018✓0.49187k2022-09-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative27.6927.8225+0.48%28.61+3.32%0.0543✗1.6610.9M2022-09-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5630.565623+0.47%0.594+5.51%0.0053✗1.09174k2022-09-22
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8680.87204+0.47%0.898+3.46%0.0029✓0.532.2M2022-09-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.65061.6582+0.46%1.762+6.75%0.0033✓1.1630k2022-09-22
BORABORAKlay Token0.239450.240503+0.44%0.24837+3.73%0.0126✗0.9018k2022-09-22
ZECZcashZcash53.5453.7753+0.44%56.76+6.01%0.0000✓1.091.1M2022-09-22
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07940.079746+0.44%0.083+4.53%0.0046✗0.909,4762022-09-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.727.7535+0.43%8.14+5.44%0.0196✓0.592.1M2022-09-22
STORJStorjEthereum0.445040.446958+0.43%0.46901+5.39%0.0106✗1.1927k2022-09-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05690.05714+0.42%0.0604+6.15%0.0082✓0.9568k2022-09-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.1861.1909+0.41%1.268+6.91%0.0025✓1.2232k2022-09-22
LSKLiskEthereum0.9166560.920448+0.41%0.957561+4.46%0.0014✓0.8329k2022-09-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.882.8917+0.41%2.993+3.92%0.0219✓0.25790k2022-09-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin18,462.6418,537.23+0.40%19,401.25+5.08%0.0040✓1.00485.5M2022-09-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.30670.307938+0.40%0.3219+4.96%0.0074✓0.74157k2022-09-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.286.3051+0.40%6.74+7.32%0.0108✓1.13105k2022-09-22
GITCOINGITCOIN1.77381.7809+0.40%1.8808+6.03%0.0003✓1.0913k2022-09-22
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.12180.122281+0.40%0.1197-1.72%0.0454✗0.4992k2022-09-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010390.00001043+0.39%0.00001085+4.43%0.0092✗0.98722k2022-09-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09320.09355+0.38%0.1002+7.51%0.0027✓1.442.1M2022-09-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0049560.004975+0.36%0.005037+1.62%0.0192✗0.641,5952022-09-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum13.3413.3879+0.36%15.23+14.17%0.0878✓0.831.3M2022-09-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.5883.6009+0.36%3.814+6.30%0.0297✓0.561.7M2022-09-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.061770.061988+0.35%0.06228+0.83%0.0393✗0.8925k2022-09-22
FLOWFlownative1.6221.6277+0.35%1.705+5.12%0.0229✗1.40918k2022-09-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.039110.039246+0.35%0.04114+5.19%0.0058✓0.8315k2022-09-22
KSMKusamaHydration40.1840.3178+0.34%41.75+3.91%0.0179✗1.06318k2022-09-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021120.021192+0.34%0.02213+4.78%0.0109✗1.099.2M2022-09-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.18880.189442+0.34%0.1967+4.18%0.0096✗0.9556k2022-09-22
BTTBitTorrentEthereum7.80e-77.83e-7+0.33%8.00e-7+2.56%0.0138✗0.7214k2022-09-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.17060.171154+0.32%0.1748+2.46%0.0251✗0.93121k2022-09-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.031.0333+0.32%1.096+6.41%0.0101✓0.981.0M2022-09-22
CHRChromiaEthereum0.13770.138144+0.32%0.1485+7.84%0.0181✓1.091,2452022-09-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.5416.5924+0.32%17.7+7.01%0.0028✓1.3615.3M2022-09-22
XECeCashnative0.000037710.000037829+0.32%0.00003923+4.03%0.0066✗0.874.2M2022-09-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.593.6011+0.31%3.786+5.46%0.0323✓0.361.6M2022-09-22
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8710.873658+0.31%0.947+8.73%0.0276✓1.071.5M2022-09-22
BANDBandEthereum1.0981.1013+0.30%1.18+7.47%0.0058✓1.27272k2022-09-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.86250.865125+0.30%0.9165+6.26%0.0155✗1.484.1M2022-09-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010130.001016+0.30%0.001068+5.44%0.0117✓0.771.4M2022-09-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.033450.033551+0.30%0.03492+4.39%0.0033✓0.741,7012022-09-22
HIVEHivenative0.49050.491982+0.30%0.5088+3.73%0.0054✓0.57836k2022-09-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum18,203.7018,257.80+0.30%19,424.70+6.71%0.0169✓0.9112k2022-09-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.04540.045532+0.29%0.0465+2.42%0.0138✗0.70211k2022-09-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.555.566+0.29%5.93+6.85%0.0335✓0.601.7M2022-09-22
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.81540.817734+0.29%0.8935+9.58%0.0255✓1.27838k2022-09-22
MINAMina Protocolnative0.5730.574634+0.29%0.601+4.89%0.0054✗1.0194k2022-09-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.090.090256+0.28%0.0912+1.33%0.0292✗0.802,0592022-09-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.41730.418476+0.28%0.4377+4.89%0.0055✗1.02322k2022-09-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.6826.7006+0.28%7.121+6.57%0.0067✓1.0918.5M2022-09-22
TRXTRONTron0.0592120.059374+0.27%0.060338+1.90%0.0085✗0.50136k2022-09-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0013770.001381+0.27%0.001555+12.93%0.0814✓0.764,5762022-09-22
QTUMQtumQtum2.74872.756+0.27%2.9024+5.59%0.0003✓1.0520k2022-09-22
ZENHorizenBase13.313.3356+0.27%14.19+6.69%0.0001✓1.2567k2022-09-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.12480.12513+0.26%0.1324+6.09%0.0057✓1.0289k2022-09-22
RADRadworksEthereum1.921.925+0.26%1.99+3.65%0.0041✓0.59109k2022-09-22
BTTCBTTC7.70e-77.72e-7+0.25%8.00e-7+3.90%0.0005✓0.711.6M2022-09-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.5420.543348+0.25%0.576+6.27%0.0111✓0.952.9M2022-09-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029170.029242+0.25%0.03064+5.04%0.0099✗1.1422k2022-09-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03230.032378+0.24%0.0339+4.95%0.0040✗1.0184k2022-09-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0550.055133+0.24%0.0589+7.09%0.0027✓1.28500k2022-09-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.03710.037189+0.24%0.039+5.12%0.0130✗1.22538k2022-09-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.934.9417+0.24%5.26+6.69%0.0418✓0.411.9M2022-09-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.32164.3318+0.24%4.92+13.85%0.1196✓0.15196k2022-09-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.42070.421687+0.23%0.4348+3.35%0.0126✗0.87392k2022-09-22
UMAUMAEthereum2.2962.3013+0.23%2.383+3.79%0.0067✗0.84360k2022-09-22
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum1.6821.6859+0.23%1.793+6.60%0.0012✓1.2219k2022-09-22
DIADIAEthereum0.372350.373201+0.23%0.38331+2.94%0.0212✗0.9729k2022-09-22
CBKCobakEthereum0.758890.760575+0.22%0.79949+5.35%0.0125✓0.7515k2022-09-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2460.246541+0.22%0.255+3.66%0.0055✗0.79431k2022-09-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.0980.098214+0.22%0.1009+2.96%0.0125✗0.80250k2022-09-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.141.1424+0.21%1.2+5.26%0.0041✗1.0746k2022-09-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2602940.260851+0.21%0.276025+6.04%0.0043✓1.05400k2022-09-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.29260.293221+0.21%0.3086+5.47%0.0038✗1.1147k2022-09-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin51.0851.187+0.21%53.56+4.86%0.0021✓0.9615.2M2022-09-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.89370.89556+0.21%0.9326+4.35%0.0163✓0.492.2M2022-09-22
MANADecentralandEthereum0.683630.685017+0.20%0.72039+5.38%0.0046✗1.11519k2022-09-22
RARESuperRareEthereum0.1690.169338+0.20%0.1749+3.49%0.0182✗1.0261k2022-09-22
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,207.281,209.70+0.20%1,279.09+5.95%0.0062✓1.003.5M2022-09-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.25160.252101+0.20%0.2721+8.15%0.0270✓0.993.0M2022-09-22
FTTFTXEthereum22.7122.7549+0.20%23.73+4.49%0.0078✗1.006.8M2022-09-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007020.007033+0.19%0.00716+1.99%0.0404✗1.18432k2022-09-22
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR3.643.6469+0.19%3.865+6.18%0.0085✓1.00975k2022-09-22
WOOWOOEthereum0.130.130242+0.19%0.1386+6.62%0.0134✓0.987832022-09-22
STEEMSteemnative0.2080.208386+0.19%0.2202+5.87%0.0117✓0.88528k2022-09-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV47.68247.7687+0.18%50.042+4.95%0.0009✓0.92209k2022-09-22
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.350.350633+0.18%0.391+11.71%0.0464✓1.263,4952022-09-22
FORTFortaEthereum0.1720.172294+0.17%0.1639-4.71%0.0654✗0.3155k2022-09-22
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05240.052486+0.16%0.0532+1.53%0.0206✗0.6980k2022-09-22
DASHDashDash39.8439.9051+0.16%41.89+5.15%0.0057✗1.09263k2022-09-22
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3111.3131+0.16%1.36+3.74%0.0214✗1.1454k2022-09-22
XTZTezosTezos1.40951.4118+0.16%1.5113+7.22%0.0172✓1.03186k2022-09-22
GMTGMTEthereum0.5980.598966+0.16%0.638+6.69%0.0101✗1.48179k2022-09-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019320.019351+0.16%0.01926-0.31%0.0331✗0.57125k2022-09-22
MOVRMoonriverBase10.550410.5669+0.16%10.9372+3.67%0.0131✗0.9621k2022-09-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.23765.2456+0.15%5.5103+5.21%0.0462✓0.067.8M2022-09-22
SOLSolanaSolana30.6830.7239+0.14%32.42+5.67%0.0106✗1.3038.6M2022-09-22
ADACardanoCardano0.43890.439526+0.14%0.4583+4.42%0.0069✗0.9832.1M2022-09-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4550.455638+0.14%0.482+5.93%0.0047✗1.2362k2022-09-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0111850.0112+0.14%0.011386+1.80%0.0285✗0.91793k2022-09-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,985.437,996.29+0.14%8,444.74+5.75%0.0151✗1.403.7M2022-09-22
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.014350.014369+0.13%0.01558+8.57%0.0313✓1.001,0292022-09-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.24.2054+0.13%4.46+6.19%0.0291✓0.601.0M2022-09-22
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25210.252424+0.13%0.2895+14.84%0.0847✓1.0558k2022-09-22
KCSKuCoinnative8.7758.7862+0.13%8.958+2.09%0.0177✗0.751.2M2022-09-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.895.897+0.12%6.27+6.45%0.0362✓0.511.6M2022-09-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.88.81+0.11%9.47+7.61%0.0059✓1.34188k2022-09-22
C98Coin98Ethereum0.35880.359189+0.11%0.3861+7.61%0.0111✓1.2352k2022-09-22
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0350.035038+0.11%0.04+14.29%0.0937✓0.788,8372022-09-22
XVSVenusEthereum4.44.4045+0.10%4.58+4.09%0.0042✗0.87733k2022-09-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0191750.019192+0.09%0.019904+3.80%0.0004✓0.7413k2022-09-22
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.06720.067258+0.09%0.07506+11.70%0.1016✓0.16301k2022-09-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.1256.1303+0.09%6.442+5.18%0.0058✗1.129.1M2022-09-22
UNIUniswapEthereum5.3385.3423+0.08%5.733+7.40%0.0042✓1.346.4M2022-09-22
IMXImmutableEthereum0.74380.744365+0.08%0.7866+5.75%0.0012✓1.09698k2022-09-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0573690.057412+0.07%0.059585+3.86%0.0065✗0.88988k2022-09-22
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3970.397289+0.07%0.42+5.79%0.0063✓0.996,9542022-09-22
SCSiacoinnative0.003420.003422+0.07%0.00359+4.97%0.0017✓0.9380k2022-09-22
DODODODOEthereum0.11990.119984+0.07%0.1264+5.42%0.0036✗1.121.2M2022-09-22
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.5831.5839+0.06%1.639+3.54%0.0442✗1.5845k2022-09-22
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.054740.054766+0.05%0.05865+7.14%0.0069✓1.24786k2022-09-22
XEMNEMnative0.0387580.038776+0.05%0.041197+6.29%0.0121✓0.9827k2022-09-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum15.1715.1766+0.04%15.3+0.86%0.0186✗0.54327k2022-09-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.4613.4654+0.04%13.94+3.57%0.0178✗1.062.1M2022-09-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum1.81.8005+0.03%1.88+4.44%0.0207✗1.29173k2022-09-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.139960.139995+0.02%0.14774+5.56%0.0031✓1.02282k2022-09-22
QNTQuantEthereum100.7100.7226+0.02%104.33+3.60%0.0111✗0.933.6M2022-09-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.120.120025+0.02%0.12523+4.36%0.0088✗1.03110k2022-09-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.9095.91+0.02%6.074+2.79%0.0201✗0.963.9M2022-09-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.2485.2487+0.01%5.522+5.22%0.0006✓1.015.4M2022-09-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13160.131607+0.01%0.1393+5.85%0.0095✓0.95288k2022-09-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.79475.7948+0.00%6.0262+4.00%0.0263✓0.269.9M2022-09-22
NANOnanopayBase0.7857020.785653-0.01%0.80705+2.72%0.0186✓0.9247k2022-09-22
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015310.001531-0.01%0.001651+7.84%0.0483✗0.55319k2022-09-22
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12890.128884-0.01%0.1352+4.89%0.0077✗0.8166k2022-09-22
XYMSymbolnative0.0369390.036934-0.01%0.038248+3.54%0.0039✗0.6326k2022-09-22
AVTAventusEthereum1.391.3895-0.03%1.39+0.00%0.0079✓0.1782k2022-09-22
SUSHISushiEthereum1.01241.012-0.04%1.088+7.47%0.0191✗1.081.3M2022-09-22
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.162440.162338-0.06%0.16587+2.11%0.0141✓0.722422022-09-22
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85070.850153-0.06%0.8513+0.07%0.0797✓1.6380k2022-09-22
XLMStellarStellar0.1106950.110622-0.07%0.122951+11.07%0.0613✗0.896.7M2022-09-22
STXStacksnative0.32210.321887-0.07%0.3369+4.59%0.0058✓1.04236k2022-09-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.09640.096336-0.07%0.1001+3.84%0.0100✓0.98319k2022-09-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.39513.3855-0.07%14.626+9.19%0.0257✗1.2721.7M2022-09-22
XVGVergenative0.003210.003207-0.08%0.0033+2.80%0.0166✓0.91469k2022-09-22
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.021310.021291-0.09%0.02212+3.80%0.0028✓0.832,6342022-09-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04110.041063-0.09%0.0431+4.87%0.0087✗0.80121k2022-09-22
API3Api3Ethereum1.4871.4857-0.09%1.615+8.61%0.0294✗1.09407k2022-09-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0260420.026015-0.10%0.025846-0.75%0.0003✓-0.13485k2022-09-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09510.094999-0.11%0.0978+2.84%0.0021✗0.54174k2022-09-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash108.98108.8628-0.11%116.62+7.01%0.0098✗1.193.7M2022-09-22
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.060310.060242-0.11%0.06306+4.56%0.0059✗0.808692022-09-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.913.9055-0.12%3.986+1.94%0.0313✓1.04153k2022-09-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum11.8211.8005-0.17%12.35+4.48%0.0109✓1.14796k2022-09-22
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.28840.287911-0.17%0.3062+6.17%0.0115✗1.0166k2022-09-22
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.15e-75.14e-7-0.18%5.35e-7+3.74%0.0025✗0.731.4M2022-09-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33520.334493-0.21%0.3698+10.32%0.0538✗0.945.9M2022-09-22
GLMGolemEthereum0.2730.272357-0.24%0.2809+2.89%0.0132✓0.8988k2022-09-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.20731.2042-0.26%1.24+2.71%0.0181✓0.96481k2022-09-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063190.006303-0.26%0.006292-0.43%0.0150✓0.2725k2022-09-22
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.022.0143-0.28%2.01-0.50%0.0337✓0.6460k2022-09-22
UOSUltraEthereum0.39650.395189-0.33%0.40249+1.51%0.0284✓0.94400k2022-09-22
ELAElastosEthereum1.4581.4529-0.35%1.453-0.34%0.0325✓0.6626k2022-09-22
FISStafiEthereum0.33280.331566-0.37%–pending––0.913122022-09-22
PROPropyEthereum0.630.627587-0.38%0.65+3.17%0.0271✗0.1634k2022-09-22
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0108230.010773-0.46%0.010908+0.79%0.0371✓1.001,3452022-09-22
AURORAAuroraEthereum1.1241.1185-0.49%1.165+3.65%0.0089✓1.0075k2022-09-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.22870.227551-0.50%0.2687+17.49%0.1216✗0.903.1M2022-09-22
CVXConvex FinanceEthereum4.4894.4587-0.68%4.779+6.46%0.0198✗1.00132k2022-09-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.01611.9272-0.74%12.825+6.73%0.0559✗0.3415.4M2022-09-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.381280.378456-0.74%0.39165+2.72%0.0035✓0.62326k2022-09-22
APEApeCoinEthereum5.7935.7496-0.75%5.905+1.93%0.0356✓1.266.4M2022-09-22
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.33575.282-1.01%5.4035+1.27%0.0416✓1.3096k2022-09-22
COMPCompoundEthereum58.2757.6604-1.05%61.38+5.34%0.0109✗1.046,5122022-09-22
LUNATerraTerra 20.00028470.000281658-1.07%0.00027642-2.91%0.0199✓0.024.1M2022-09-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.