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2022-09-14 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0361
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.19%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
49.7%
in alpha space · 53.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.59%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GTGateEthereum4.30854.3287+0.47%4.1854-2.86%0.0155✗0.69696k2022-09-15
XMRMoneroMonero149.8150.4804+0.45%145.86-2.63%0.0054✗0.981.5M2022-09-15
BORABORAKlay Token0.269010.270061+0.39%0.25784-4.15%0.0242✗0.8415k2022-09-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.80881.8151+0.35%1.7321-4.24%0.0183✗1.0928k2022-09-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6120.614074+0.34%0.591-3.43%0.0119✗1.01178k2022-09-15
AAVEAaveEthereum83.9284.1869+0.32%78.51-6.45%0.0319✗1.446.2M2022-09-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.04870.048853+0.31%0.0471-3.29%0.0091✗1.05177k2022-09-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06070.060885+0.31%0.0665+9.56%0.1161✓1.0677k2022-09-15
ETHEthereumEthereum1,639.141,644.12+0.30%1,472.68-10.16%0.0762✗1.29569.9M2022-09-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.326110.327098+0.30%0.31479-3.47%0.0116✗1.0233k2022-09-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.005610.005626+0.29%0.00541-3.57%0.0228✗0.62911k2022-09-15
TRXTRONTron0.0616450.06182+0.28%0.061091-0.90%0.0006✓0.43129k2022-09-15
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13050.130859+0.27%0.1245-4.60%0.0361✗0.5283k2022-09-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.428.443+0.27%8.14-3.33%0.0226✗0.532.4M2022-09-15
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.82e-7+0.25%8.30e-7-5.68%0.0428✗0.7015k2022-09-15
DIADIAEthereum0.380030.380975+0.25%0.36772-3.24%0.0104✗0.9529k2022-09-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02060.02065+0.24%0.01964-4.66%0.0257✗0.939.2M2022-09-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028720.002879+0.23%0.002756-4.04%0.0196✗0.911.2M2022-09-15
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9280.930105+0.23%0.92-0.86%0.0014✓0.472.5M2022-09-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09530.09551+0.22%0.0978+2.62%0.0437✓0.762,9132022-09-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,259.0020,302.97+0.22%19,833.10-2.10%0.0004✓0.9113k2022-09-15
GITCOINGITCOIN2.02442.0287+0.21%1.9299-4.67%0.0211✗1.1013k2022-09-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5130.514091+0.21%0.485-5.46%0.0289✗1.1266k2022-09-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,227.7720,269.44+0.21%19,703.67-2.59%0.0021✗1.00480.9M2022-09-15
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9170.918793+0.20%0.883-3.71%0.0116✗1.071.5M2022-09-15
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6320.633221+0.19%0.603-4.59%0.0227✗1.00114k2022-09-15
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09140.091575+0.19%0.0912-0.22%0.0178✓0.8310k2022-09-15
KSMKusamaHydration47.5847.6705+0.19%44.46-6.56%0.0447✗0.95363k2022-09-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37760.378305+0.19%0.3559-5.75%0.0358✗0.96202k2022-09-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.07090.071032+0.19%0.06499-8.34%0.0636✗0.9625k2022-09-15
STORJStorjEthereum0.514520.515467+0.18%0.48387-5.96%0.0240✗1.5039k2022-09-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036310.036376+0.18%0.03582-1.35%0.0033✓0.712,2982022-09-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48830.489179+0.18%0.4691-3.93%0.0156✗1.00366k2022-09-15
LSKLiskEthereum1.01711.0189+0.17%0.977095-3.93%0.0209✗0.8039k2022-09-15
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16370.16396+0.16%0.1557-4.89%0.0226✗1.111,5602022-09-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.3379+0.15%5.19-2.63%0.0161✗0.462.4M2022-09-15
SGBSongbirdnative0.02620.026238+0.15%0.0246-6.11%0.0491✗0.5945k2022-09-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21190.212202+0.14%0.2063-2.64%0.0042✗0.9257k2022-09-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04310.043159+0.14%0.04198-2.60%0.0073✗0.7814k2022-09-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001530.001532+0.13%0.001455-4.90%0.0313✗0.785,8832022-09-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9383.9431+0.13%3.752-4.72%0.0367✗0.492.1M2022-09-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020420.020446+0.13%0.02027-0.73%0.0060✓0.56173k2022-09-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012190.000012206+0.13%0.00001167-4.27%0.0197✗0.96951k2022-09-15
ZENHorizenBase15.115.1188+0.12%14.5-3.97%0.0112✗1.1675k2022-09-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12520.125354+0.12%0.1206-3.67%0.0115✗1.032.6M2022-09-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03660.036643+0.12%0.0355-3.01%0.0054✗1.0093k2022-09-15
METISMetisEthereum27.5827.6098+0.11%25.7-6.82%0.0313✗1.54155k2022-09-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.87874.8837+0.10%4.8786-0.00%0.0017✓0.11135k2022-09-15
MANADecentralandEthereum0.744320.745046+0.10%0.71924-3.37%0.0075✗1.06584k2022-09-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1319.1476+0.09%18.2-4.86%0.0157✗1.3317.5M2022-09-15
FLOWFlownative1.8681.8697+0.09%1.753-6.16%0.0291✗1.35967k2022-09-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.384.3838+0.09%4.21-3.88%0.0270✗0.511.4M2022-09-15
CBKCobakEthereum0.811750.812457+0.09%0.80867-0.38%0.0153✓0.7613k2022-09-15
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.89860.89935+0.08%0.8579-4.53%0.0159✗1.19874k2022-09-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.875.8741+0.07%5.59-4.77%0.0362✗0.512.1M2022-09-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0134.0158+0.07%3.815-4.93%0.0423✗0.342.0M2022-09-15
OPTIMOptimism1.2161.2167+0.06%1.131-6.99%0.0319✗1.572.7M2022-09-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.01731.0179+0.06%0.9834-3.33%0.0227✗0.452.8M2022-09-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06010.06013+0.05%0.0585-2.66%0.0046✓1.22608k2022-09-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7395.7417+0.05%5.586-2.67%0.0142✗0.513.1M2022-09-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.087.083+0.04%6.64-6.21%0.0372✗1.04210k2022-09-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1093.1103+0.04%2.988-3.89%0.0318✗0.32676k2022-09-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012370.012375+0.04%0.01216-1.70%0.0016✗0.61233k2022-09-15
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05820.05822+0.03%0.0557-4.30%0.0241✗0.7782k2022-09-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7192.7199+0.03%2.583-5.00%0.0121✗1.512.9M2022-09-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.1218.1259+0.03%15.76-13.02%0.1205✗0.741.4M2022-09-15
QTUMQtumQtum3.09633.0972+0.03%2.9863-3.55%0.0102✗1.0019k2022-09-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.33660.336682+0.02%0.3228-4.10%0.0136✗1.0972k2022-09-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.36652.3787+0.02%51.746-1.18%0.0102✓0.85221k2022-09-15
STEEMSteemnative0.21950.219552+0.02%0.2141-2.46%0.0016✗0.90504k2022-09-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.4587.4598+0.02%7.563+1.41%0.0420✓1.0818.0M2022-09-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27190.271946+0.02%0.2622-3.57%0.0109✗0.972.7M2022-09-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059760.005976+0.01%0.005941-0.58%0.0100✓0.611,9622022-09-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.3871.3871+0.01%1.313-5.34%0.0244✗1.1643k2022-09-15
ZECZcashZcash61.9661.9628+0.00%58.33-5.86%0.0324✗1.071.1M2022-09-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.107601+0.00%0.1042-3.16%0.0104✗0.83188k2022-09-15
QNTQuantEthereum99.0599.0493-0.00%103.96+4.96%0.0714✗0.883.5M2022-09-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206930.020693-0.00%0.020113-2.80%0.0113✓0.6512k2022-09-15
FTTFTXEthereum25.525.4986-0.01%24.08-5.57%0.0309✓1.016.8M2022-09-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5080.507941-0.01%0.489-3.74%0.0071✓1.1870k2022-09-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.48530.485238-0.01%0.4585-5.52%0.0357✓0.80396k2022-09-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4430.442943-0.01%0.421-4.97%0.0197✓1.184,5592022-09-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008050.008048-0.02%0.00782-2.86%0.0010✗1.13463k2022-09-15
HIVEHivenative0.55510.554957-0.03%0.5477-1.33%0.0017✗0.57836k2022-09-15
SCSiacoinnative0.003890.003889-0.03%0.00375-3.60%0.0122✓0.9289k2022-09-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00850.008498-0.03%0.00833-2.00%0.0035✗0.893.3M2022-09-15
DODODODOEthereum0.12490.124859-0.03%0.1202-3.76%0.0092✓1.101.4M2022-09-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121830.012179-0.03%0.012048-1.11%0.0120✗0.87851k2022-09-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.13990.139853-0.03%0.1336-4.50%0.0196✓1.00119k2022-09-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.14870.14865-0.03%0.1448-2.62%0.0031✗1.128922022-09-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19750.197432-0.03%0.1903-3.65%0.0118✓0.95130k2022-09-15
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4310.43085-0.03%0.453+5.10%0.0785✗1.087,9852022-09-15
KCSKuCoinnative9.3689.3646-0.04%9.109-2.76%0.0054✓0.851.2M2022-09-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0430.04298-0.05%0.0408-5.12%0.0218✓1.15546k2022-09-15
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4661.4652-0.05%1.388-5.32%0.0249✓1.1168k2022-09-15
SOLSolanaSolana34.1234.1005-0.06%33.07-3.08%0.0002✓1.1852.2M2022-09-15
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18890.188783-0.06%0.1907+0.95%0.0369✗1.0286k2022-09-15
XEMNEMnative0.0427140.042687-0.06%0.040879-4.30%0.0196✓0.9028k2022-09-15
XTZTezosTezos1.61041.6094-0.06%1.5204-5.59%0.0304✓1.01236k2022-09-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03910.039075-0.06%0.0367-6.14%0.0436✓0.739,5132022-09-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.260.1598-0.07%56.34-6.41%0.0409✓0.9414.4M2022-09-15
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40620.405918-0.07%0.3922-3.45%0.0045✓1.1466k2022-09-15
ADACardanoCardano0.4810.480659-0.07%0.466-3.12%0.0061✓0.9536.8M2022-09-15
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015560.001555-0.08%0.0022+41.39%0.3667✗0.75340k2022-09-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2680.267776-0.08%0.259-3.36%0.0136✓0.75512k2022-09-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.05530.055252-0.09%0.0505-8.68%0.0715✓0.70234k2022-09-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07061.0697-0.09%1.0528-1.66%0.0228✗1.474.5M2022-09-15
BANDBandEthereum1.2571.2559-0.09%1.206-4.06%0.0092✓1.19303k2022-09-15
XLMStellarStellar0.1052090.105114-0.09%0.102273-2.79%0.0049✓0.866.5M2022-09-15
XVSVenusEthereum4.674.6657-0.09%4.47-4.28%0.0214✓0.82808k2022-09-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.26.1942-0.09%6.06-2.26%0.0106✓0.432.1M2022-09-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30320.302906-0.10%0.295-2.70%0.0019✓0.935.9M2022-09-15
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.79e-7-0.10%8.30e-7-5.68%0.0393✓0.691.7M2022-09-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6280.627367-0.10%0.593-5.57%0.0288✓1.053.2M2022-09-15
XYMSymbolnative0.0404550.040409-0.11%0.039421-2.56%0.0096✓0.5824k2022-09-15
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.068760.06868-0.12%0.06724-2.21%0.0160✓0.20351k2022-09-15
NANOnanopayBase0.8707160.869687-0.12%0.788148-9.48%0.0767✓0.8347k2022-09-15
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2850.284659-0.12%0.2861+0.39%0.0317✗1.0172k2022-09-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1671.1656-0.12%1.126-3.51%0.0110✓0.901.1M2022-09-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3116.3032-0.12%6.13-2.87%0.0031✓0.944.3M2022-09-15
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.4082-0.13%1.41+0.00%0.0037✓-0.19113k2022-09-15
UMAUMAEthereum2.6142.6106-0.13%2.546-2.60%0.0031✓0.83464k2022-09-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0611250.061046-0.13%0.058603-4.13%0.0165✓0.931.1M2022-09-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063250.006316-0.14%0.006336+0.17%0.0116✗0.3229k2022-09-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034420.034373-0.14%0.03257-5.37%0.0261✓1.0629k2022-09-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.0950.094867-0.14%0.0903-4.95%0.0234✓0.99319k2022-09-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11280.112639-0.14%0.1085-3.81%0.0040✓1.272.4M2022-09-15
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.811.8073-0.15%1.79-1.10%0.0024✗0.4656k2022-09-15
XVGVergenative0.003370.003365-0.15%0.00326-3.26%0.0085✓0.88483k2022-09-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0292.0259-0.15%1.962-3.30%0.0023✓1.1327k2022-09-15
ELAElastosEthereum1.5361.5335-0.16%1.509-1.76%0.0021✗0.6929k2022-09-15
DASHDashDash45.5845.5049-0.16%43.87-3.75%0.0092✓1.04299k2022-09-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum109.9832-0.17%9.29-7.10%0.0381✓1.29288k2022-09-15
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066740.066622-0.18%0.06518-2.34%0.0029✗0.958692022-09-15
RADRadworksEthereum2.352.3457-0.18%2.24-4.68%0.0304✓0.60200k2022-09-15
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.5184.5093-0.19%4.185-7.37%0.0484✓1.001.4M2022-09-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.6914.6607-0.20%14.21-3.27%0.0085✓0.871.9M2022-09-15
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1826.1696-0.20%5.884-4.82%0.0123✓1.346.9M2022-09-15
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.48484.4757-0.20%4.4233-1.37%0.0227✗1.31118k2022-09-15
SUSHISushiEthereum1.18891.1865-0.21%1.1128-6.40%0.0363✓1.061.2M2022-09-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain65.9874-0.21%6.1741+2.90%0.0373✗0.2512.5M2022-09-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136320.136031-0.21%0.12968-4.87%0.0181✓1.13146k2022-09-15
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023240.02319-0.22%0.02264-2.58%0.0040✗1.072,9142022-09-15
FORTFortaEthereum0.20990.209442-0.22%0.2059-1.91%0.0025✓0.5666k2022-09-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.54385.5315-0.22%5.7604+3.91%0.0431✗0.109.6M2022-09-15
MOVRMoonriverBase12.057112.0296-0.23%11.3056-6.23%0.0376✓0.9321k2022-09-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2938680.293184-0.23%0.28088-4.42%0.0160✓1.02430k2022-09-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.83353.8244-0.24%3.7372-2.51%0.0068✓0.626.3M2022-09-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.322810.321967-0.26%0.3001-7.04%0.0501✓0.77326k2022-09-15
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82340.821189-0.27%0.7977-3.12%0.0004✓1.09920k2022-09-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012250.001222-0.27%0.00116-5.33%0.0318✓0.772.1M2022-09-15
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8141.8089-0.28%1.72-5.18%0.0081✓1.6160k2022-09-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2087.1877-0.28%6.934-3.80%0.0086✓1.049.9M2022-09-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04650.046364-0.29%0.0441-5.16%0.0282✓0.83142k2022-09-15
API3Api3Ethereum1.6641.659-0.30%1.578-5.17%0.0273✓0.87578k2022-09-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14820.14773-0.32%0.1496+0.94%0.0372✗0.94322k2022-09-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash119.99119.5796-0.34%117.54-2.04%0.0119✗1.114.3M2022-09-15
GMTGMTEthereum0.67510.672744-0.35%0.6666-1.26%0.0303✗1.50194k2022-09-15
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1025.084-0.35%4.909-3.78%0.0028✓1.236.4M2022-09-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.19240.191718-0.35%0.1909-0.78%0.0194✗0.903.1M2022-09-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.042.0327-0.36%1.94-4.90%0.0131✓1.28226k2022-09-15
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33940.33813-0.37%0.3195-5.86%0.0305✓1.0079k2022-09-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,194.009,157.93-0.39%8,520.47-7.33%0.0373✓1.334.0M2022-09-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.9555.9306-0.41%5.726-3.85%0.0098✓0.975.9M2022-09-15
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,547.051,540.60-0.42%1,397.26-9.68%0.0714✓1.003.3M2022-09-15
STXStacksnative0.35220.350692-0.43%0.3436-2.44%0.0073✗1.06298k2022-09-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0259570.025846-0.43%0.025135-3.17%0.0291✓-0.04485k2022-09-15
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85150.847816-0.43%0.8518+0.04%0.0405✗1.3789k2022-09-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.3113.2512-0.44%12.71-4.51%0.0131✓1.09874k2022-09-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.34.2809-0.45%4.046-5.91%0.0323✓0.92223k2022-09-15
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.060490.060183-0.51%0.05919-2.15%0.0144✗1.181.1M2022-09-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.93791.9279-0.52%2.0023+3.32%0.0555✗0.671.5M2022-09-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.331.3231-0.52%1.27-4.51%0.0153✓0.9856k2022-09-15
XECeCashnative0.000046160.000045914-0.53%0.00004321-6.39%0.0390✓0.833.5M2022-09-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.97413.8987-0.54%14.912+6.71%0.1024✗1.2220.3M2022-09-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.3739.1578-0.54%35.67-9.40%0.0537✓1.5110.6M2022-09-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.22861.2219-0.54%1.2148-1.12%0.0216✗1.04844k2022-09-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.163480.16249-0.61%0.15592-4.62%0.0145✓1.02262k2022-09-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.9816.8771-0.61%16.28-4.12%0.0217✓0.55384k2022-09-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11380.1131-0.62%0.1102-3.16%0.0137✓0.47182k2022-09-15
PROPropyEthereum0.720.714366-0.78%0.7-2.78%0.0146✓0.2242k2022-09-15
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0117310.011635-0.82%0.011568-1.39%0.0205✗1.007452022-09-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain11.17211.0805-0.82%11.656+4.33%0.0599✗0.3515.8M2022-09-15
UOSUltraEthereum0.412960.409417-0.86%0.40594-1.70%0.0173✗0.98379k2022-09-15
FISStafiEthereum0.32090.317849-0.95%0.3538+10.25%0.1322✗0.957782022-09-15
GLMGolemEthereum0.30960.306477-1.01%0.3312+6.98%0.1017✗0.9289k2022-09-15
LUNATerraTerra 20.000300410.000297347-1.02%0.00025952-13.61%0.1357✓0.012.4M2022-09-15
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0171470.016968-1.04%0.016546-3.50%0.0011✓1.001,0682022-09-15
COMPCompoundEthereum60.0959.4187-1.12%56.91-5.29%0.0148✓1.088,4972022-09-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.58e-76.50e-7-1.18%5.79e-7-11.97%0.0948✓0.792.1M2022-09-15
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.20450.199679-2.36%0.1738-15.01%0.1185✓0.7730k2022-09-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.