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2022-09-13 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1438
190 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.28%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
35.3%
in alpha space · 32.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.26%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum82.9783.0105+0.05%83.92+1.14%0.0071✓1.466.2M2022-09-14
GTGateEthereum4.14324.1447+0.04%4.3085+3.99%0.0369✓0.72696k2022-09-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.1990.198912-0.04%0.1975-0.75%0.0098✓1.01132k2022-09-14
TRXTRONTron0.0606820.060632-0.08%0.061645+1.59%0.0154✗0.45123k2022-09-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.56651.5039-0.12%52.366+1.55%0.0144✗0.85246k2022-09-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06790.067817-0.12%0.0709+4.42%0.0419✗0.9625k2022-09-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96994.9635-0.13%4.8787-1.84%0.0175✓0.09119k2022-09-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.215.18-0.13%18.12+19.21%0.1750✗0.781.4M2022-09-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.04960.049535-0.13%0.0553+11.49%0.1078✗0.86234k2022-09-14
FORTFortaEthereum0.21030.210013-0.14%0.2099-0.19%0.0025✓0.7467k2022-09-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.8718.842-0.15%19.13+1.38%0.0116✗1.3518.0M2022-09-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012520.012501-0.15%0.01237-1.20%0.0122✓0.62233k2022-09-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.09240.092259-0.15%0.095+2.81%0.0266✗1.01336k2022-09-14
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9130.911527-0.16%0.917+0.44%0.0030✗1.131.5M2022-09-14
NANOnanopayBase0.8462690.844869-0.17%0.870716+2.89%0.0279✗0.8446k2022-09-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2893870.288887-0.17%0.293868+1.55%0.0145✗0.97487k2022-09-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6220.620918-0.17%0.628+0.96%0.0085✗1.093.2M2022-09-14
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18980.189466-0.18%0.1889-0.47%0.0057✓1.02101k2022-09-14
XMRMoneroMonero145.44145.1774-0.18%149.8+3.00%0.0287✗0.991.4M2022-09-14
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.87960.878008-0.18%0.8986+2.16%0.0200✗1.21899k2022-09-14
SUSHISushiEthereum1.17031.1682-0.18%1.1889+1.59%0.0147✗1.091.1M2022-09-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.46.3881-0.19%6.311-1.39%0.0147✓0.974.3M2022-09-14
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.68e-7-0.19%8.80e-7+1.15%0.0115✗0.6915k2022-09-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.739.7108-0.20%10+2.77%0.0259✗1.33288k2022-09-14
ETHEthereumEthereum1,574.711,571.56-0.20%1,639.14+4.09%0.0387✗1.31616.7M2022-09-14
SOLSolanaSolana33.0132.9436-0.20%34.12+3.36%0.0319✗1.2054.5M2022-09-14
MOVRMoonriverBase11.933911.9098-0.20%12.0571+1.03%0.0097✗0.9821k2022-09-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03610.036024-0.21%0.0366+1.39%0.0132✗1.0190k2022-09-14
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015190.001516-0.21%0.001556+2.44%0.0242✗0.74353k2022-09-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036480.036402-0.21%0.03631-0.47%0.0044✓0.712,2982022-09-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4490.44803-0.22%0.443-1.34%0.0143✓1.164,5592022-09-14
DASHDashDash43.7743.6755-0.22%45.58+4.14%0.0400✗1.03312k2022-09-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7192.7131-0.22%2.719+0.00%0.0017✓1.482.9M2022-09-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5950.593694-0.22%0.612+2.86%0.0278✗1.00178k2022-09-14
XTZTezosTezos1.53481.5314-0.22%1.6104+4.93%0.0476✗1.02246k2022-09-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.507980.506823-0.23%0.51452+1.29%0.0117✗1.3041k2022-09-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,237.1020,189.52-0.24%20,259.00+0.11%0.0010✓0.9215k2022-09-14
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023170.023114-0.24%0.02324+0.30%0.0028✗1.022,9582022-09-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.134760.134429-0.25%0.13632+1.16%0.0110✗1.14151k2022-09-14
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.811.8055-0.25%1.81+0.00%0.0013✓0.4656k2022-09-14
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31050.309728-0.25%0.3394+9.31%0.0889✗0.9982k2022-09-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05251.0499-0.25%1.0706+1.72%0.0157✗1.474.5M2022-09-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012090.000012059-0.26%0.00001219+0.83%0.0083✗0.971.0M2022-09-14
DODODODOEthereum0.12530.12498-0.26%0.1249-0.32%0.0036✓1.111.4M2022-09-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.00271.0001-0.26%1.0171+1.43%0.0148✗0.7741k2022-09-14
KCSKuCoinnative9.2549.2296-0.26%9.368+1.23%0.0127✗0.831.2M2022-09-14
BTTCBTTC8.60e-78.58e-7-0.27%8.80e-7+2.33%0.0238✗0.711.7M2022-09-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04410.043982-0.27%0.043-2.49%0.0256✓1.16546k2022-09-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26790.267184-0.27%0.2719+1.49%0.0149✗0.992.7M2022-09-14
DIADIAEthereum0.381160.380141-0.27%0.38003-0.30%0.0028✓0.9531k2022-09-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash117.6117.2842-0.27%119.99+2.03%0.0198✗1.154.4M2022-09-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058990.005883-0.28%0.005976+1.30%0.0140✗0.641,9622022-09-14
ZENHorizenBase14.8414.7987-0.28%15.1+1.75%0.0170✗1.2275k2022-09-14
ELAElastosEthereum1.5531.5486-0.28%1.536-1.09%0.0100✓0.6929k2022-09-14
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.4184.4055-0.28%4.518+2.26%0.0226✗1.001.4M2022-09-14
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1650.164531-0.28%0.1637-0.79%0.0080✓1.131,7442022-09-14
UMAUMAEthereum2.6182.6105-0.28%2.614-0.15%0.0008✓0.80523k2022-09-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.309660.30876-0.29%0.32281+4.25%0.0428✗0.64326k2022-09-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.54.4868-0.29%4.38-2.67%0.0256✓0.571.4M2022-09-14
ADACardanoCardano0.46370.462332-0.30%0.481+3.73%0.0371✗0.9738.3M2022-09-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121520.012116-0.30%0.012183+0.26%0.0034✗0.83882k2022-09-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46250.461092-0.30%0.4883+5.58%0.0544✗1.12366k2022-09-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,174.7820,113.23-0.31%20,227.77+0.26%0.0031✗1.00480.9M2022-09-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.107263-0.31%0.1076+0.00%0.0009✓0.84188k2022-09-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015310.001526-0.31%0.00153-0.07%0.0007✓0.676,5532022-09-14
GMTGMTEthereum0.66060.658491-0.32%0.6751+2.19%0.0210✗1.49210k2022-09-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1424.1287-0.32%4.013-3.11%0.0294✓0.372.0M2022-09-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29660.295641-0.32%0.3032+2.23%0.0227✗0.956.0M2022-09-14
QNTQuantEthereum97.8797.5509-0.33%99.05+1.21%0.0128✗0.933.5M2022-09-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05720.057011-0.33%0.0582+1.75%0.0185✗0.8090k2022-09-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1521.1482-0.33%1.167+1.30%0.0138✗0.931.1M2022-09-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20850.207804-0.33%0.2119+1.63%0.0171✗0.9159k2022-09-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0257.0015-0.33%7.458+6.16%0.0603✗1.1118.0M2022-09-14
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.069130.068898-0.34%0.06876-0.54%0.0025✓0.20354k2022-09-14
STEEMSteemnative0.21610.215371-0.34%0.2195+1.57%0.0167✗0.87527k2022-09-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09680.096472-0.34%0.0953-1.55%0.0141✓0.722,9132022-09-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.158.8991-0.34%60.2+1.86%0.0193✗0.9714.4M2022-09-14
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.4052-0.34%1.41+0.00%0.0037✗-0.11113k2022-09-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.126.099-0.34%5.87-4.08%0.0396✓0.522.1M2022-09-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08480.084504-0.35%0.0914+7.78%0.0759✗0.9711k2022-09-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.005630.00561-0.35%0.00561-0.36%0.0018✓0.66911k2022-09-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.89713.848-0.35%13.974+0.55%0.0058✗1.2520.3M2022-09-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.13920.138702-0.36%0.1399+0.50%0.0060✗0.98128k2022-09-14
XEMNEMnative0.0421630.042012-0.36%0.042714+1.31%0.0142✗0.9028k2022-09-14
ZECZcashZcash58.9258.7087-0.36%61.96+5.16%0.0510✗1.101.1M2022-09-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2630.262053-0.36%0.268+1.90%0.0205✗0.74534k2022-09-14
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.3116-0.36%2.35+1.29%0.0149✗0.61247k2022-09-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1046540.104272-0.37%0.105209+0.53%0.0067✗0.876.5M2022-09-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.321390.320212-0.37%0.32611+1.47%0.0155✗1.0333k2022-09-14
MANADecentralandEthereum0.731470.728727-0.38%0.74432+1.76%0.0183✗1.08624k2022-09-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020070.019994-0.38%0.02042+1.74%0.0195✗0.59173k2022-09-14
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.60294.5852-0.38%4.4848-2.57%0.0256✓1.32118k2022-09-14
CBKCobakEthereum0.824730.821559-0.38%0.81175-1.57%0.0139✓0.7313k2022-09-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008510.008477-0.39%0.0085-0.12%0.0003✓0.903.3M2022-09-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05940.059169-0.39%0.0607+2.19%0.0228✗1.0578k2022-09-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4551.4493-0.39%1.466+0.76%0.0087✗1.0771k2022-09-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062160.006192-0.39%0.006325+1.75%0.0204✗0.3330k2022-09-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.266920.265853-0.40%0.26901+0.78%0.0095✗0.8815k2022-09-14
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84630.842889-0.40%0.8515+0.61%0.0063✗1.4894k2022-09-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012360.001231-0.40%0.001225-0.92%0.0073✓0.812.2M2022-09-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020430.020347-0.41%0.0206+0.83%0.0097✗1.039.7M2022-09-14
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40140.39976-0.41%0.4062+1.20%0.0130✗1.1467k2022-09-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.48650.484511-0.41%0.4853-0.25%0.0005✓0.81422k2022-09-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04520.045015-0.41%0.0465+2.88%0.0302✗0.85142k2022-09-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.042730.042554-0.41%0.0431+0.87%0.0110✗0.6814k2022-09-14
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,471.371,465.26-0.42%1,547.05+5.14%0.0517✗1.003.4M2022-09-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0824.065-0.42%3.938-3.53%0.0331✓0.512.3M2022-09-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1346.1079-0.43%5.739-6.44%0.0638✓0.563.1M2022-09-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12430.12377-0.43%0.1252+0.72%0.0087✗1.052.6M2022-09-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40080.399063-0.43%0.3776-5.79%0.0579✓0.99202k2022-09-14
FTTFTXEthereum25.8925.7769-0.44%25.5-1.51%0.0134✓1.006.8M2022-09-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.13214.114-0.44%3.8335-7.23%0.0723✓0.667.3M2022-09-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02231.0178-0.44%1.0173-0.49%0.0018✓0.492.8M2022-09-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.33080.329344-0.44%0.3366+1.75%0.0189✗1.1072k2022-09-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.476.4414-0.44%6.2-4.17%0.0395✓0.482.1M2022-09-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.19340.192543-0.44%0.1924-0.52%0.0032✓0.923.2M2022-09-14
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.167380.166634-0.45%–pending––0.703542022-09-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11040.109908-0.45%0.1138+3.08%0.0333✗0.56182k2022-09-14
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9210.91687-0.45%0.928+0.76%0.0109✗0.462.7M2022-09-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5314.4646-0.45%14.69+1.10%0.0130✗0.931.8M2022-09-14
XYMSymbolnative0.039870.03969-0.45%0.040455+1.47%0.0177✗0.5423k2022-09-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.78661.7785-0.45%1.8088+1.24%0.0140✗1.1025k2022-09-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.7102-0.46%8.42-3.77%0.0353✓0.562.4M2022-09-14
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.064680.064385-0.46%0.06674+3.18%0.0336✗0.897802022-09-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0553.041-0.46%3.109+1.77%0.0211✗0.39759k2022-09-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.162840.162089-0.46%0.16348+0.39%0.0058✗1.04271k2022-09-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4930.490716-0.46%0.508+3.04%0.0315✗1.1877k2022-09-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033670.033514-0.46%0.03442+2.23%0.0239✗1.0532k2022-09-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007960.007923-0.47%0.00805+1.13%0.0130✗1.10463k2022-09-14
STXStacksnative0.34970.348056-0.47%0.3522+0.71%0.0091✗1.06313k2022-09-14
API3Api3Ethereum1.681.672-0.47%1.664-0.95%0.0073✓0.94627k2022-09-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.04790.047672-0.48%0.0487+1.67%0.0184✗1.10177k2022-09-14
SCSiacoinnative0.003810.003792-0.48%0.00389+2.10%0.0231✗0.9495k2022-09-14
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1365.1114-0.48%5.102-0.66%0.0053✓1.316.4M2022-09-14
PROPropyEthereum0.710.706598-0.48%0.72+1.41%0.0181✗0.2442k2022-09-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.420010.417989-0.48%0.41296-1.68%0.0146✓0.93392k2022-09-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.15610.155345-0.48%0.1487-4.74%0.0468✓1.189132022-09-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0596350.059346-0.48%0.061125+2.50%0.0270✗0.961.2M2022-09-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4340.431887-0.49%0.431-0.69%0.0048✓1.047,9852022-09-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.95861.9488-0.50%1.9379-1.06%0.0075✓0.721.5M2022-09-14
GITCOINGITCOIN2.03292.0227-0.50%2.0244-0.42%0.0020✓1.0613k2022-09-14
XECeCashnative0.000043950.00004373-0.50%0.00004616+5.03%0.0519✗0.833.0M2022-09-14
HIVEHivenative0.55040.547622-0.50%0.5551+0.85%0.0120✗0.60871k2022-09-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0201910.020087-0.51%0.020693+2.49%0.0281✗0.6312k2022-09-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1813.1114-0.52%13.31+0.99%0.0121✗1.12925k2022-09-14
XVSVenusEthereum4.664.6357-0.52%4.67+0.21%0.0052✓0.83839k2022-09-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0590.05869-0.53%0.0601+1.86%0.0206✗1.20568k2022-09-14
UNIUniswapEthereum6.0346.0022-0.53%6.182+2.45%0.0260✗1.356.9M2022-09-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.077.0324-0.53%7.208+1.95%0.0218✗1.1110.0M2022-09-14
QTUMQtumQtum3.02333.007-0.54%3.0963+2.42%0.0266✗1.0120k2022-09-14
KSMKusamaHydration46.3846.1293-0.54%47.58+2.59%0.0283✗1.02363k2022-09-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.586.5439-0.55%5.5438-15.75%0.1663✓0.169.1M2022-09-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0246920.024552-0.57%0.025957+5.12%0.0555✗0.04471k2022-09-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2124.1875-0.58%4.3+2.09%0.0241✗0.92245k2022-09-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0222.01-0.60%2.029+0.35%0.0063✗1.1930k2022-09-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.96e-76.92e-7-0.64%6.58e-7-5.48%0.0522✓0.862.2M2022-09-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.520.516651-0.64%0.513-1.35%0.0100✓1.1166k2022-09-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028270.002809-0.65%0.002872+1.59%0.0199✗0.901.2M2022-09-14
FLOWFlownative1.8641.8518-0.65%1.868+0.21%0.0051✓1.39967k2022-09-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.059510.05911-0.67%0.06049+1.65%0.0199✗1.201.2M2022-09-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.31.2911-0.69%1.33+2.31%0.0270✗1.0258k2022-09-14
IMXImmutableEthereum0.80660.800934-0.70%0.8234+2.08%0.0247✗1.11946k2022-09-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2980.295854-0.72%0.285-4.36%0.0399✓0.9774k2022-09-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.725.6788-0.72%5.33-6.82%0.0648✓0.522.0M2022-09-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14440.143351-0.73%0.1482+2.63%0.0307✗0.97336k2022-09-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.2935.0174-0.77%39.37+11.56%0.1132✗1.5010.6M2022-09-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.816.6702-0.77%16.98+1.07%0.0169✗0.57396k2022-09-14
OPTIMOptimism1.1821.1728-0.77%1.216+2.88%0.0319✗1.602.8M2022-09-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,017.078,946.56-0.78%9,194.00+1.96%0.0237✗1.354.1M2022-09-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.976.9155-0.78%7.08+1.58%0.0207✗1.05224k2022-09-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7851.771-0.78%1.814+1.62%0.0197✗1.6265k2022-09-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10820.107353-0.78%0.1128+4.25%0.0461✗1.282.5M2022-09-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.24291.2325-0.84%1.2286-1.15%0.0060✓1.09922k2022-09-14
BANDBandEthereum1.2441.2335-0.84%1.257+1.05%0.0157✗1.22323k2022-09-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.09211.9896-0.85%11.172-7.61%0.0716✓0.3715.8M2022-09-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04030.039959-0.85%0.0391-2.98%0.0238✓0.799,5132022-09-14
FISStafiEthereum0.350.347028-0.85%0.3209-8.31%0.0808✓0.961,1592022-09-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.032.0124-0.87%2.04+0.49%0.0104✗1.21227k2022-09-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.411.3977-0.87%1.387-1.63%0.0108✓1.1943k2022-09-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.23497.1716-0.87%6-17.07%0.1791✓0.2912.2M2022-09-14
METISMetisEthereum27.927.6561-0.87%27.58-1.15%0.0068✓1.54159k2022-09-14
XVGVergenative0.003370.00334-0.90%0.00337+0.00%0.0066✓0.94483k2022-09-14
MINAMina Protocolnative0.610.604288-0.94%0.632+3.61%0.0421✗1.04114k2022-09-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8715.8142-0.97%5.955+1.43%0.0214✗0.976.2M2022-09-14
COMPCompoundEthereum55.8355.285-0.98%60.09+7.63%0.0804✗1.138,6412022-09-14
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0172110.017026-1.07%0.017147-0.37%0.0044✓1.001,0292022-09-14
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0109980.010879-1.08%0.011731+6.66%0.0727✗1.006682022-09-14
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13650.13491-1.16%0.1305-4.40%0.0346✓0.5283k2022-09-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.34440.339396-1.45%0.3096-10.10%0.0942✓0.8989k2022-09-14
LUNATerraTerra 20.000358060.000351987-1.70%0.00030041-16.10%0.1587✓0.102.4M2022-09-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.19630.190936-2.73%0.2045+4.18%0.0666✗0.7730k2022-09-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.