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2022-09-12 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0442
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.72%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
18.3%
in alpha space · 95.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.94%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.21640.20984-3.03%0.1963-9.29%0.0117✓0.7526k2022-09-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.40930.397929-2.78%0.3444-15.86%0.0593✓0.8189k2022-09-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.00030.000295574-1.48%0.00035806+19.35%0.2200✗0.272.3M2022-09-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.19160.188923-1.40%0.1365-28.76%0.3104✓0.1483k2022-09-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.5566.4677-1.35%5.871-10.45%0.0047✓0.976.2M2022-09-13
XVGVergenative0.003570.003526-1.23%0.00337-5.60%0.0584✗0.99483k2022-09-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.66047.5665-1.23%7.2349-5.55%0.0186✓0.2511.9M2022-09-13
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0120040.011861-1.19%0.010998-8.38%0.0292✗1.006492022-09-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5631.5452-1.14%1.41-9.79%0.0367✗1.2343k2022-09-13
METISMetisEthereum29.9329.6013-1.10%27.9-6.78%0.1152✗1.66159k2022-09-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064740.064049-1.07%0.05951-8.08%0.0573✗1.251.2M2022-09-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.427.3438-1.03%6.97-6.06%0.0626✗1.10224k2022-09-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.3412.2158-1.01%12.092-2.01%0.0291✗0.3816.0M2022-09-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.39761.3841-0.97%1.2429-11.07%0.0057✓1.08922k2022-09-13
FLOWFlownative2.1022.0818-0.96%1.864-11.32%0.0380✗1.42967k2022-09-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,751.479,660.81-0.93%9,017.07-7.53%0.0795✗1.424.1M2022-09-13
OPTIMOptimism1.2671.2553-0.93%1.182-6.71%0.1173✗1.692.7M2022-09-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.49e-77.42e-7-0.87%6.96e-7-7.05%0.0269✗0.872.3M2022-09-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.4538.1352-0.82%35.29-8.22%0.0874✗1.5810.6M2022-09-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.670.664572-0.81%0.61-8.96%0.0259✗1.07111k2022-09-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.411.3987-0.80%1.3-7.80%0.0379✗1.0668k2022-09-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12860.127586-0.79%0.1082-15.86%0.0336✓1.252.5M2022-09-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9351.9198-0.79%1.785-7.75%0.1066✗1.7160k2022-09-13
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0184890.018348-0.76%0.017211-6.91%0.0408✗1.009912022-09-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.2318.0912-0.76%16.8-7.84%0.0182✓0.53396k2022-09-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.192.1734-0.76%2.03-7.31%0.0652✗1.27227k2022-09-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5690.564706-0.75%0.52-8.61%0.0375✗1.1466k2022-09-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86380.857361-0.75%0.8066-6.62%0.0620✗1.17946k2022-09-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.00496.9538-0.73%6.58-6.07%0.0448✓0.109.1M2022-09-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.172560.171336-0.71%0.16738-3.00%0.0564✗0.765152022-09-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03990.039622-0.70%0.0403+1.00%0.1100✗0.899,1922022-09-13
BANDBandEthereum1.3521.3426-0.69%1.244-7.99%0.0574✗1.28323k2022-09-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5244.4928-0.69%4.212-6.90%0.0341✗0.94273k2022-09-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031060.003085-0.68%0.002827-8.98%0.0083✗0.911.2M2022-09-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06540.064956-0.68%0.059-9.79%0.0313✗1.22563k2022-09-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4810.477751-0.68%0.434-9.77%0.0132✗1.047,9852022-09-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29760.295619-0.67%0.298+0.13%0.1211✗1.0874k2022-09-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02280.022649-0.66%0.02043-10.39%0.0085✗1.0710.3M2022-09-13
QTUMQtumQtum3.29333.2718-0.65%3.0233-8.20%0.0298✗1.0419k2022-09-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.56284.5334-0.64%4.1321-9.44%0.0284✓0.618.1M2022-09-13
CTKShentuOsmosis1.011.0036-0.64%0.921-8.81%0.0431✓0.412.7M2022-09-13
STXStacksnative0.38790.385441-0.63%0.3497-9.85%0.0147✗1.07314k2022-09-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2214.1318-0.62%13.18-7.31%0.0545✗1.19925k2022-09-13
FISStafiEthereum0.36270.360486-0.61%0.35-3.50%0.0811✗1.061,1592022-09-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008330.00828-0.60%0.00796-4.44%0.0838✗1.18428k2022-09-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03730.037076-0.60%0.03367-9.73%0.0147✗1.0635k2022-09-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.29430.292563-0.59%0.26692-9.30%0.0029✓0.9015k2022-09-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.14882.1363-0.58%2.0329-5.39%0.0685✗1.1313k2022-09-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2453.2262-0.58%3.055-5.86%0.0155✓0.37676k2022-09-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.5315.4421-0.57%13.897-10.52%0.0287✗1.2819.6M2022-09-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5420.538996-0.55%0.493-9.04%0.0386✗1.2277k2022-09-13
APEApeCoinEthereum5.4925.462-0.55%5.136-6.48%0.0849✗1.406.4M2022-09-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23460.23332-0.55%0.2085-11.13%0.0185✓0.9057k2022-09-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.069150.068773-0.55%0.06468-6.46%0.0363✗0.938202022-09-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.440280.437896-0.54%0.42001-4.60%0.0611✗0.98379k2022-09-13
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6596.6232-0.54%6.034-9.39%0.0540✗1.406.9M2022-09-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15470.153867-0.54%0.1444-6.66%0.0425✗1.01336k2022-09-13
XECeCashnative0.000045970.000045723-0.54%0.00004395-4.39%0.0527✗0.883.0M2022-09-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.006210.006177-0.53%0.00563-9.34%0.0263✓0.63911k2022-09-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1712.1596-0.53%2.022-6.86%0.0676✗1.2732k2022-09-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0220180.021903-0.52%0.020191-8.30%0.0165✓0.6212k2022-09-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13470.134009-0.51%0.1243-7.72%0.0383✗1.082.7M2022-09-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.3027-0.51%5.72+7.32%0.1433✗0.642.0M2022-09-13
FTTFTXEthereum28.4628.3161-0.51%25.89-9.03%0.0168✗1.026.8M2022-09-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.716.6762-0.50%6.47-3.58%0.0203✗0.492.1M2022-09-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0639580.063636-0.50%0.059635-6.76%0.0409✗1.011.2M2022-09-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0240350.023915-0.50%0.024692+2.73%0.0413✗0.09465k2022-09-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.6647.626-0.50%7.07-7.75%0.0466✗1.1710.0M2022-09-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5341.5265-0.49%1.455-5.15%0.0699✗1.1371k2022-09-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.958.9067-0.48%8.75-2.23%0.0440✗0.592.4M2022-09-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.8031.7943-0.48%1.68-6.82%0.0407✗1.02627k2022-09-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9432.9289-0.48%2.719-7.61%0.0881✗1.552.9M2022-09-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1215.0476-0.48%14.53-3.90%0.0698✗1.001.8M2022-09-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047470.047244-0.48%0.04273-9.99%0.0324✓0.6514k2022-09-13
XYMSymbolnative0.0426730.04247-0.48%0.03987-6.57%0.0073✓0.5323k2022-09-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.794220.79045-0.47%0.73147-7.90%0.0407✗1.13624k2022-09-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04930.049066-0.47%0.0452-8.32%0.0070✗0.85145k2022-09-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51290.510467-0.47%0.4865-5.15%0.0416✗0.86396k2022-09-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11440.113861-0.47%0.1104-3.50%0.0318✗0.60188k2022-09-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.20140.200458-0.47%0.1934-3.97%0.0672✗0.983.2M2022-09-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.0740.073659-0.46%0.06913-6.58%0.0494✓0.13378k2022-09-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33460.333076-0.46%0.3105-7.20%0.0389✗1.0482k2022-09-13
XEMNEMnative0.0467110.046499-0.45%0.042163-9.74%0.0044✓0.8928k2022-09-13
COMPCompoundEthereum54.7354.4819-0.45%55.83+2.01%0.1577✗1.278,6412022-09-13
SCSiacoinnative0.00420.004181-0.45%0.00381-9.29%0.0057✗0.94103k2022-09-13
XVSVenusEthereum4.984.9575-0.45%4.66-6.43%0.0287✗0.87839k2022-09-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.91231.9037-0.45%1.9586+2.42%0.1171✗0.851.4M2022-09-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,402.7122,301.50-0.45%20,174.78-9.94%0.0045✗1.00480.9M2022-09-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2384.2191-0.45%4.082-3.68%0.0216✗0.522.3M2022-09-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.854280.850475-0.45%0.82473-3.46%0.0519✗0.7913k2022-09-13
KSMKusamaHydration52.2151.9782-0.44%46.38-11.17%0.0062✓1.03363k2022-09-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7587.7236-0.44%7.025-9.45%0.0240✗1.1318.0M2022-09-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1138590.113357-0.44%0.104654-8.08%0.0132✗0.896.5M2022-09-13
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,615.211,608.09-0.44%1,471.37-8.91%0.0159✗1.003.3M2022-09-13
HIVEHivenative0.58020.577689-0.43%0.5504-5.14%0.0162✗0.62836k2022-09-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06670.066414-0.43%0.0594-10.94%0.0018✓1.0579k2022-09-13
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR5.0935.0713-0.43%4.418-13.25%0.0332✓1.001.4M2022-09-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013230.001318-0.42%0.001236-6.57%0.0229✗0.832.2M2022-09-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.89480.891026-0.42%0.8463-5.42%0.1126✗1.5789k2022-09-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2750.273843-0.42%0.263-4.36%0.0404✗0.77563k2022-09-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9621.9538-0.42%1.7866-8.94%0.0282✗1.1223k2022-09-13
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8634.8427-0.42%4.6029-5.35%0.1056✗1.49122k2022-09-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131540.013099-0.42%0.012152-7.62%0.0125✗0.84882k2022-09-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.386.3538-0.41%6.12-4.08%0.0175✗0.522.1M2022-09-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44360.441782-0.41%0.4014-9.51%0.0275✗1.1875k2022-09-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.05130.05109-0.41%0.0479-6.63%0.0574✗1.16178k2022-09-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04920.048999-0.41%0.0441-10.37%0.0178✗1.18546k2022-09-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177310.176586-0.41%0.16284-8.16%0.0322✗1.08271k2022-09-13
QNTQuantEthereum106.65106.218-0.41%97.87-8.23%0.0160✗0.933.5M2022-09-13
STEEMSteemnative0.23550.234555-0.40%0.2161-8.24%0.0094✗0.87527k2022-09-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32370.322403-0.40%0.2966-8.37%0.0195✗0.986.0M2022-09-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2791.2739-0.40%1.152-9.93%0.0028✓0.931.1M2022-09-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4080.406395-0.39%0.4008-1.76%0.1001✗1.09202k2022-09-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35140.35003-0.39%0.3308-5.86%0.0661✗1.1772k2022-09-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.4161.1719-0.39%59.1-3.76%0.0748✗1.0414.0M2022-09-13
ZECZcashZcash62.9262.6772-0.39%58.92-6.36%0.0603✗1.171.1M2022-09-13
RADRadworksEthereum2.462.4505-0.38%2.32-5.69%0.0090✗0.61261k2022-09-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.16420.163576-0.38%0.1561-4.93%0.0906✗1.319132022-09-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1431.1387-0.38%1.0525-7.92%0.0831✗1.544.4M2022-09-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash128.87128.3902-0.37%117.6-8.75%0.0354✗1.184.4M2022-09-13
SOLSolanaSolana37.4637.3207-0.37%33.01-11.88%0.0054✗1.2254.5M2022-09-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.2854.2692-0.37%4.142-3.34%0.0082✗0.372.2M2022-09-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.9485.9262-0.37%6.134+3.13%0.1018✗0.643.1M2022-09-13
ADACardanoCardano0.50140.499567-0.37%0.4637-7.52%0.0308✗1.0138.3M2022-09-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.74190.739256-0.36%0.6606-10.96%0.0488✗1.54210k2022-09-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche21.3721.2941-0.36%18.87-11.70%0.0233✗1.3818.0M2022-09-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49480.493042-0.36%0.4625-6.53%0.0572✗1.16384k2022-09-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18390.183249-0.35%0.165-10.28%0.0156✗1.151,7442022-09-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.554.5341-0.35%4.5-1.10%0.0562✗0.611.4M2022-09-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009050.009018-0.35%0.00851-5.97%0.0408✗0.943.3M2022-09-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29170.290694-0.34%0.2679-8.16%0.0247✗1.022.7M2022-09-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016510.001645-0.34%0.001531-7.27%0.0009✓0.685,8832022-09-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354360.353198-0.33%0.32139-9.30%0.0186✗1.0833k2022-09-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.00451.0012-0.32%1.0223+1.77%0.0805✗0.572.6M2022-09-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.0911.0875-0.32%1.0027-8.09%0.0004✓0.7736k2022-09-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11410.113732-0.32%0.1076-5.70%0.0367✗0.88188k2022-09-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.151312-0.32%0.1392-8.30%0.0211✗1.00119k2022-09-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012880.000012839-0.32%0.00001209-6.13%0.0460✗1.011.0M2022-09-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.060.059808-0.32%0.0572-4.67%0.0442✗0.8590k2022-09-13
XMRMoneroMonero163.77163.2471-0.32%145.44-11.19%0.0143✓0.971.4M2022-09-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.4255-0.32%1.41-1.40%0.0253✓-0.14124k2022-09-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09150.091213-0.31%0.0848-7.32%0.0301✗0.9814k2022-09-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,320.8022,252.02-0.31%20,237.10-9.34%0.0013✓0.9213k2022-09-13
ZENHorizenBase16.4816.4293-0.31%14.84-9.95%0.0295✗1.2579k2022-09-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03970.039579-0.31%0.0361-9.07%0.0146✗1.0289k2022-09-13
PROPropyEthereum0.730.727781-0.30%0.71-2.74%0.0004✓0.2444k2022-09-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10130.100995-0.30%0.0968-4.44%0.0373✗0.762,7302022-09-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021020.020957-0.30%0.02007-4.52%0.0202✗0.61191k2022-09-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.5630.561366-0.29%0.50798-9.77%0.0401✗1.3439k2022-09-13
KCSKuCoinnative9.7159.6869-0.29%9.254-4.75%0.0447✗0.861.2M2022-09-13
BTTCBTTC9.00e-78.97e-7-0.29%8.60e-7-4.44%0.0348✗0.741.7M2022-09-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,716.711,711.81-0.29%1,574.71-8.27%0.0586✗1.36569.9M2022-09-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.142110.141706-0.28%0.13476-5.17%0.0765✗1.21151k2022-09-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.9266.9068-0.28%6.4-7.59%0.0284✗1.004.3M2022-09-13
XTZTezosTezos1.65651.6519-0.28%1.5348-7.35%0.0375✗1.06241k2022-09-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063560.006338-0.28%0.005899-7.19%0.0049✓0.641,9622022-09-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0210.9896-0.28%9.73-11.71%0.0191✗1.34288k2022-09-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.26951.266-0.27%1.1703-7.81%0.0409✗1.141.1M2022-09-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062340.006217-0.27%0.006216-0.29%0.0386✗0.3730k2022-09-13
DODODODOEthereum0.13190.131554-0.26%0.1253-5.00%0.0747✗1.181.4M2022-09-13
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016260.001622-0.25%0.001519-6.58%0.0168✗0.79374k2022-09-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.316230.315438-0.25%0.30966-2.08%0.0540✗0.69326k2022-09-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6480.646378-0.25%0.595-8.18%0.0243✗1.02178k2022-09-13
DASHDashDash47.1747.0542-0.25%43.77-7.21%0.0397✗1.07312k2022-09-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5816.5396-0.24%15.2-8.32%0.0027✓0.781.5M2022-09-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.10270.102454-0.24%0.0924-10.03%0.0030✗1.01336k2022-09-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024880.024821-0.24%0.02317-6.87%0.0445✗1.082,9582022-09-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040.039905-0.24%0.03648-8.80%0.0167✓0.702,2982022-09-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.7562.7495-0.24%2.618-5.01%0.0380✗0.83523k2022-09-13
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20530.204837-0.23%0.1898-7.55%0.0412✗1.12108k2022-09-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.970.967886-0.22%0.913-5.88%0.0661✗1.191.5M2022-09-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.841.836-0.22%1.81-1.63%0.0349✗0.4758k2022-09-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95910.95704-0.21%0.8796-8.29%0.0482✗1.27899k2022-09-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6720.670565-0.21%0.622-7.44%0.0440✗1.143.3M2022-09-13
MOVRMoonriverBase12.66512.638-0.21%11.9339-5.77%0.0495✗1.0221k2022-09-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.320430.319757-0.21%0.289387-9.69%0.0034✗0.99471k2022-09-13
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-79.08e-7-0.19%8.70e-7-4.40%0.0349✗0.7415k2022-09-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.05160.051505-0.19%0.0496-3.88%0.0628✗0.96234k2022-09-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.22570.225308-0.17%0.2103-6.82%0.0106✗0.7667k2022-09-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071990.071866-0.17%0.0679-5.68%0.0480✗1.0025k2022-09-13
DIADIAEthereum0.399770.399108-0.17%0.38116-4.66%0.0601✗1.0131k2022-09-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4830.4822-0.17%0.449-7.04%0.0555✗1.214,2692022-09-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012940.012919-0.16%0.01252-3.25%0.0372✗0.65233k2022-09-13
NANOnanopayBase0.9142160.912729-0.16%0.846269-7.43%0.0144✗0.8649k2022-09-13
ELAElastosEthereum1.6221.6195-0.16%1.553-4.25%0.0350✗0.7329k2022-09-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.60954.5329-0.14%51.566-5.57%0.0368✗0.88264k2022-09-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.04525.0388-0.13%4.9699-1.49%0.0071✓0.06119k2022-09-13
TRXTRONTron0.0638830.063849-0.05%0.060682-5.01%0.0020✓0.47123k2022-09-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20630.206191-0.05%0.199-3.54%0.0785✗1.09135k2022-09-13
AAVEAaveEthereum90.9990.9676-0.02%82.97-8.81%0.0682✗1.536.0M2022-09-13
GTGateEthereum4.38394.3837-0.00%4.1432-5.49%0.0211✗0.74688k2022-09-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.