8=======>

2022-09-11 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2179
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.57%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
89.0%
in alpha space · 67.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.62%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.26110.251304-3.75%0.2164-17.12%0.1703✓0.8024k2022-09-12
LUNATerraTerra 20.000431380.000422822-1.98%0.0003-30.46%0.3528✓0.372.1M2022-09-12
XVGVergenative0.003810.003753-1.51%0.00357-6.30%0.0760✓1.01481k2022-09-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.4176.3295-1.36%6.556+2.17%0.0103✓0.966.2M2022-09-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6481.6263-1.32%1.563-5.16%0.0718✓1.2443k2022-09-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.33080.326475-1.31%0.4093+23.73%0.2064✗0.7684k2022-09-12
METISMetisEthereum31.9831.5646-1.30%29.93-6.41%0.0972✓1.70168k2022-09-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.60947.513-1.27%7.6604+0.67%0.0129✗0.2511.9M2022-09-12
OPTIMOptimism1.4021.385-1.22%1.267-9.63%0.1336✓1.732.7M2022-09-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065210.064457-1.15%0.06474-0.72%0.0279✓1.251.3M2022-09-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5130.50718-1.13%0.481-6.24%0.0804✓1.067,7812022-09-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.637.5441-1.13%7.42-2.75%0.0451✓1.10230k2022-09-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,194.9310,082.05-1.11%9,751.47-4.35%0.0705✓1.444.2M2022-09-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.59412.4556-1.10%12.34-2.02%0.0190✓0.3816.0M2022-09-12
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0113140.011191-1.09%0.012004+6.10%0.0443✗1.006302022-09-12
FLOWFlownative2.1162.0944-1.02%2.102-0.66%0.0332✓1.43967k2022-09-12
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.018280.018096-1.01%0.018489+1.14%0.0043✓1.008742022-09-12
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073070.072339-1.00%0.06915-5.36%0.0702✓0.977022022-09-12
FISStafiEthereum0.35010.346621-0.99%0.3627+3.60%0.0182✗1.057782022-09-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.31451.3021-0.94%1.3976+6.32%0.0431✗1.071.0M2022-09-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.4463-0.94%1.41-3.42%0.0531✓1.0779k2022-09-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.9318.7545-0.93%18.23-3.70%0.0425✓0.55384k2022-09-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.679809-0.90%0.67-2.33%0.0424✓1.08111k2022-09-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5950.589691-0.89%0.569-4.37%0.0656✓1.1664k2022-09-12
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.991.9723-0.89%1.935-2.76%0.0635✓1.7260k2022-09-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.5638.2203-0.88%38.45-0.29%0.0349✓1.5910.6M2022-09-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.14687.0872-0.83%7.0049-1.99%0.0144✓0.109.1M2022-09-12
BANDBandEthereum1.3691.3576-0.83%1.352-1.24%0.0369✓1.27343k2022-09-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.332.3107-0.83%2.19-6.01%0.0870✓1.29227k2022-09-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06620.065663-0.81%0.0654-1.21%0.0357✓1.23555k2022-09-12
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86630.859396-0.80%0.8638-0.29%0.0253✓1.18946k2022-09-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.30e-77.24e-7-0.79%7.49e-7+2.61%0.0115✗0.862.3M2022-09-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5014.4668-0.76%4.524+0.51%0.0117✓0.95286k2022-09-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.456780.453357-0.75%0.44028-3.61%0.0552✓1.01379k2022-09-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11670.11583-0.75%0.1286+10.20%0.0726✗1.242.5M2022-09-12
APEApeCoinEthereum5.6825.6399-0.74%5.492-3.34%0.0630✓1.416.4M2022-09-12
QTUMQtumQtum3.30663.2821-0.74%3.2933-0.40%0.0236✓1.0419k2022-09-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023320.023152-0.72%0.0228-2.23%0.0428✓1.069.7M2022-09-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.006610.006563-0.72%0.00621-6.05%0.0717✓0.64911k2022-09-12
STXStacksnative0.39030.387502-0.72%0.3879-0.61%0.0268✓1.08324k2022-09-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.67894.6457-0.71%4.5628-2.48%0.0336✓0.618.1M2022-09-12
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30572.2897-0.69%2.1488-6.80%0.0929✓1.1413k2022-09-12
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0241.017-0.69%1.01-1.37%0.0174✓0.412.7M2022-09-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037810.037555-0.67%0.0373-1.35%0.0344✓1.0745k2022-09-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.69915.5932-0.67%15.53-1.08%0.0375✓1.3018.7M2022-09-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29290.290934-0.67%0.2976+1.60%0.0052✓1.0883k2022-09-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5614.4629-0.67%14.22-2.34%0.0477✓1.19925k2022-09-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2783.2562-0.67%3.245-1.01%0.0131✓0.38720k2022-09-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029040.002885-0.65%0.003106+6.96%0.0505✗0.901.2M2022-09-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008440.008386-0.64%0.00833-1.30%0.0372✓1.18406k2022-09-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15450.153532-0.63%0.1547+0.13%0.0187✓1.02336k2022-09-12
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4916.4506-0.62%6.659+2.59%0.0043✓1.406.9M2022-09-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218870.021752-0.62%0.022018+0.60%0.0039✓0.6212k2022-09-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2022.1886-0.61%2.171-1.41%0.0412✓1.2832k2022-09-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.283281-0.60%0.275-3.51%0.0499✓0.78563k2022-09-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.00771.9956-0.60%1.9123-4.75%0.0646✓0.851.4M2022-09-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12540.124646-0.60%0.1144-8.77%0.1018✓0.62191k2022-09-12
XECeCashnative0.000045620.000045347-0.60%0.00004597+0.77%0.0092✓0.882.5M2022-09-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.291460.28973-0.59%0.2943+0.97%0.0075✓0.9015k2022-09-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13780.137007-0.58%0.1347-2.25%0.0459✓1.122.9M2022-09-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5430.539897-0.57%0.542-0.18%0.0277✓1.2274k2022-09-12
API3Api3Ethereum1.8381.8276-0.57%1.803-1.90%0.0400✓1.02627k2022-09-12
COMPCompoundEthereum55.2554.9364-0.57%54.73-0.94%0.0370✓1.298,9662022-09-12
RADRadworksEthereum2.632.6154-0.56%2.46-6.46%0.0773✓0.62262k2022-09-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.435.3999-0.55%5.33-1.84%0.0301✓0.662.0M2022-09-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0637030.063352-0.55%0.063958+0.40%0.0166✓1.011.3M2022-09-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7027.6601-0.54%7.664-0.49%0.0296✓1.1710.0M2022-09-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.736.6937-0.54%6.71-0.30%0.0105✓0.502.1M2022-09-12
XVSVenusEthereum5.15.0726-0.54%4.98-2.35%0.0408✓0.86859k2022-09-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.037.9871-0.53%7.758-3.39%0.0583✓1.1317.5M2022-09-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.20830.207187-0.53%0.2014-3.31%0.0542✓1.003.2M2022-09-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04970.049435-0.53%0.0493-0.80%0.0247✓0.85138k2022-09-12
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,656.911,648.11-0.53%1,615.21-2.52%0.0460✓1.003.4M2022-09-12
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1830.182032-0.53%0.1839+0.49%0.0200✓1.171,7442022-09-12
KSMKusamaHydration51.951.6258-0.53%52.21+0.60%0.0150✓1.02395k2022-09-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.715.6171-0.53%15.12-3.69%0.0585✓1.011.8M2022-09-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4054.3819-0.53%4.238-3.79%0.0473✓0.542.3M2022-09-12
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.074140.073752-0.52%0.074-0.19%0.0001✓0.14378k2022-09-12
MANADecentralandEthereum0.803760.799585-0.52%0.79422-1.19%0.0361✓1.14584k2022-09-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.988.9335-0.52%8.95-0.33%0.0137✓0.602.4M2022-09-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9632.9477-0.52%2.943-0.67%0.0420✓1.572.9M2022-09-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51570.513047-0.51%0.5129-0.54%0.0224✓0.85418k2022-09-12
CBKCobakEthereum0.85180.84744-0.51%0.85428+0.29%0.0124✓0.7913k2022-09-12
XYMSymbolnative0.0423220.042106-0.51%0.042673+0.83%0.0002✓0.5323k2022-09-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03720.03701-0.51%0.0399+7.26%0.0526✗0.877,8252022-09-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0239730.02385-0.51%0.024035+0.26%0.0058✗0.07455k2022-09-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046640.046402-0.51%0.04747+1.78%0.0061✗0.6414k2022-09-12
SCSiacoinnative0.004190.004169-0.51%0.0042+0.24%0.0169✓0.95103k2022-09-12
HIVEHivenative0.57920.576263-0.51%0.5802+0.17%0.0092✓0.62826k2022-09-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42550.423344-0.51%0.408-4.11%0.0655✓1.11202k2022-09-12
STEEMSteemnative0.2350.233839-0.49%0.2355+0.21%0.0154✓0.87503k2022-09-12
QNTQuantEthereum108.82108.2856-0.49%106.65-1.99%0.0398✓0.953.5M2022-09-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013670.001361-0.49%0.001323-3.23%0.0496✓0.842.2M2022-09-12
XEMNEMnative0.0467850.046557-0.49%0.046711-0.16%0.0198✓0.8928k2022-09-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1143870.11383-0.49%0.113859-0.46%0.0226✓0.896.4M2022-09-12
FTTFTXEthereum27.8927.7555-0.48%28.46+2.04%0.0012✓1.026.8M2022-09-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.0520.051751-0.48%0.0513-1.35%0.0389✓1.17190k2022-09-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.88850.884242-0.48%0.8948+0.71%0.0286✓1.5794k2022-09-12
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33280.331214-0.48%0.3346+0.54%0.0169✓1.0575k2022-09-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.1680.167219-0.46%0.1642-2.26%0.0524✓1.321,0012022-09-12
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44450.442447-0.46%0.4436-0.20%0.0276✓1.1781k2022-09-12
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8474.8246-0.46%4.863+0.33%0.0317✓1.53129k2022-09-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.576.5398-0.46%6.38-2.89%0.0387✓0.542.1M2022-09-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32640.3249-0.46%0.3237-0.83%0.0292✓0.995.9M2022-09-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177890.177073-0.46%0.17731-0.33%0.0262✓1.07268k2022-09-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.5120.509649-0.46%0.4948-3.36%0.0600✓1.18384k2022-09-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009440.009397-0.46%0.00905-4.13%0.0625✓0.963.2M2022-09-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131930.013133-0.45%0.013154-0.30%0.0202✓0.85920k2022-09-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,831.7221,733.10-0.45%22,402.71+2.62%0.0045✓1.00473.4M2022-09-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1831.1777-0.45%1.143-3.38%0.0701✓1.564.4M2022-09-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05010.049875-0.45%0.0492-1.80%0.0437✓1.17536k2022-09-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.35129.7723-0.44%128.87-1.14%0.0376✓1.194.4M2022-09-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.1861.9048-0.44%61.41-1.24%0.0350✓1.0413.5M2022-09-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36190.360299-0.44%0.3514-2.90%0.0555✓1.1872k2022-09-12
GMTGMTEthereum0.73510.731851-0.44%0.7419+0.93%0.0260✓1.53226k2022-09-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.92411.9156-0.44%1.962+1.97%0.0050✓1.1223k2022-09-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06450.064216-0.44%0.0667+3.41%0.0113✗1.0379k2022-09-12
ZECZcashZcash64.2763.9884-0.44%62.92-2.10%0.0473✓1.181.2M2022-09-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11560.115095-0.44%0.1141-1.30%0.0313✓0.88169k2022-09-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06110.060836-0.43%0.06-1.80%0.0360✓0.8682k2022-09-12
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09410.093696-0.43%0.0915-2.76%0.0493✓0.9914k2022-09-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1396.1131-0.42%5.948-3.11%0.0444✓0.663.1M2022-09-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2511.2457-0.42%1.279+2.24%0.0022✓0.931.1M2022-09-12
ADACardanoCardano0.51010.507952-0.42%0.5014-1.71%0.0390✓1.0138.3M2022-09-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.3359-0.42%4.285-1.58%0.0214✓0.372.2M2022-09-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23030.229349-0.41%0.2346+1.87%0.0005✓0.8957k2022-09-12
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8964.876-0.41%5.093+4.02%0.0177✗1.001.4M2022-09-12
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.174140.173438-0.40%0.17256-0.91%0.0253✓0.783512022-09-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.08631.082-0.40%1.091+0.44%0.0115✓0.7734k2022-09-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.1512-0.40%0.1518+0.00%0.0220✓1.00110k2022-09-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.351690.350301-0.39%0.35436+0.76%0.0163✓1.0834k2022-09-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.644.6217-0.39%4.55-1.94%0.0316✓0.621.4M2022-09-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012990.000012939-0.39%0.00001288-0.85%0.0309✓1.021.0M2022-09-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016360.00163-0.39%0.001651+0.92%0.0046✓0.686,5532022-09-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2311.1863-0.39%11.02-1.87%0.0502✓1.36298k2022-09-12
PROPropyEthereum0.720.717202-0.39%0.73+1.39%0.0117✗0.2346k2022-09-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02751.0235-0.39%1.0045-2.24%0.0335✓0.572.6M2022-09-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5171.5112-0.38%1.534+1.12%0.0140✓1.1271k2022-09-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0065370.006512-0.38%0.006356-2.76%0.0415✓0.672,0442022-09-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10270.102309-0.38%0.1013-1.36%0.0298✓0.772,6892022-09-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.555060.552986-0.37%0.563+1.43%0.0167✓1.3439k2022-09-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29230.291209-0.37%0.2917-0.21%0.0245✓1.022.6M2022-09-12
XTZTezosTezos1.68551.6794-0.36%1.6565-1.72%0.0412✓1.06241k2022-09-12
ZENHorizenBase16.4716.4113-0.36%16.48+0.06%0.0282✓1.2584k2022-09-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.415-0.35%1.43+0.70%0.0142✗-0.14124k2022-09-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.021225-0.35%0.02102-1.31%0.0252✓0.60206k2022-09-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1737.148-0.35%6.926-3.44%0.0576✓1.014.3M2022-09-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03930.039163-0.35%0.0397+1.02%0.0127✓1.0288k2022-09-12
ETHEthereumEthereum1,766.951,760.79-0.35%1,716.71-2.84%0.0608✓1.37575.8M2022-09-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.30291.2984-0.35%1.2695-2.56%0.0522✓1.151.1M2022-09-12
BTTCBTTC9.10e-79.07e-7-0.34%9.00e-7-1.10%0.0269✓0.741.7M2022-09-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143820.143334-0.34%0.14211-1.19%0.0399✓1.21151k2022-09-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,663.6021,591.17-0.33%22,320.80+3.03%0.0096✗0.9213k2022-09-12
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21060.209897-0.33%0.2053-2.52%0.0519✓1.15108k2022-09-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6920.6212-0.33%21.37+3.29%0.0003✓1.3718.0M2022-09-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063090.006288-0.33%0.006234-1.19%0.0186✓0.3830k2022-09-12
XMRMoneroMonero159.22158.693-0.33%163.77+2.86%0.0061✗0.981.3M2022-09-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.331390.330305-0.33%0.31623-4.57%0.0617✓0.70326k2022-09-12
KCSKuCoinnative9.7559.7231-0.33%9.715-0.41%0.0231✓0.861.2M2022-09-12
DASHDashDash48.3548.1925-0.33%47.17-2.44%0.0493✓1.08321k2022-09-12
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02550.025419-0.32%0.02488-2.43%0.0506✓1.132,9142022-09-12
DODODODOEthereum0.13330.132876-0.32%0.1319-1.05%0.0380✓1.191.4M2022-09-12
MOVRMoonriverBase12.886612.8468-0.31%12.665-1.72%0.0407✓1.0222k2022-09-12
SOLSolanaSolana35.0134.9043-0.30%37.46+7.00%0.0395✗1.2154.5M2022-09-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5150.513454-0.30%0.483-6.21%0.0929✓1.234,2692022-09-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6490.647166-0.28%0.648-0.15%0.0253✓1.03178k2022-09-12
UMAUMAEthereum2.7822.7742-0.28%2.756-0.93%0.0269✓0.79586k2022-09-12
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97480.972264-0.26%0.9591-1.61%0.0464✓1.27899k2022-09-12
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.91.8951-0.26%1.84-3.16%0.0418✓0.4861k2022-09-12
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-79.08e-7-0.26%9.10e-7+0.00%0.0168✓0.7515k2022-09-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075460.075268-0.25%0.07199-4.60%0.0707✓1.0124k2022-09-12
DIADIAEthereum0.405260.404231-0.25%0.39977-1.35%0.0373✓1.0132k2022-09-12
NANOnanopayBase0.9277880.925472-0.25%0.914216-1.46%0.0347✓0.8749k2022-09-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6760.674328-0.25%0.672-0.59%0.0330✓1.153.5M2022-09-12
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9740.971651-0.24%0.97-0.41%0.0327✓1.201.5M2022-09-12
FORTFortaEthereum0.23120.230644-0.24%0.2257-2.38%0.0415✓0.7766k2022-09-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.03960.039509-0.23%0.04+1.01%0.0055✓0.692,1832022-09-12
ELAElastosEthereum1.6551.6512-0.23%1.622-1.99%0.0371✓0.7536k2022-09-12
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015580.001554-0.23%0.001626+4.36%0.0252✗0.77353k2022-09-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.050685-0.23%0.0516+1.57%0.0065✓0.94234k2022-09-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3137870.313128-0.21%0.32043+2.12%0.0024✓0.99471k2022-09-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5816.5464-0.20%16.58+0.00%0.0183✓0.791.5M2022-09-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012930.012904-0.20%0.01294+0.08%0.0142✓0.66233k2022-09-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.09970.099503-0.20%0.1027+3.01%0.0056✗1.01336k2022-09-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.45454.3581-0.18%54.609+0.28%0.0178✓0.87275k2022-09-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.06275.0545-0.16%5.0452-0.35%0.0035✓0.06117k2022-09-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21410.213855-0.11%0.2063-3.64%0.0641✓1.09138k2022-09-12
TRXTRONTron0.064190.064129-0.10%0.063883-0.48%0.0165✓0.49123k2022-09-12
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.1270.126889-0.09%0.1916+50.87%0.4120✗0.0183k2022-09-12
AAVEAaveEthereum91.6391.5925-0.04%90.99-0.70%0.0462✓1.535.6M2022-09-12
GTGateEthereum4.33014.3291-0.02%4.3839+1.24%0.0064✓0.73690k2022-09-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.