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2022-09-10 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1024
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.54%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
64.4%
in alpha space · 52.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.83%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.00043480.000424145-2.45%0.00043138-0.79%0.0128✓0.501.8M2022-09-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.17380.169636-2.40%0.2611+50.23%0.4244✗0.8324k2022-09-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3596.2664-1.46%6.417+0.91%0.0168✗0.846.2M2022-09-11
METISMetisEthereum32.5532.0795-1.45%31.98-1.75%0.0173✓1.71178k2022-09-11
OPTIMOptimism1.3871.3673-1.42%1.402+1.08%0.0119✓1.582.8M2022-09-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6151.593-1.36%1.648+2.04%0.0249✗1.0943k2022-09-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065880.065003-1.33%0.06521-1.02%0.0059✓1.091.4M2022-09-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,440.9910,303.28-1.32%10,194.93-2.36%0.0221✓1.394.2M2022-09-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.491.4716-1.24%1.46-2.01%0.0153✓0.8981k2022-09-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.787.6843-1.23%7.63-1.93%0.0156✓1.03237k2022-09-11
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0189450.01872-1.19%0.01828-3.51%0.0321✓1.006792022-09-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.41537.3273-1.19%7.6094+2.62%0.0359✗0.229.9M2022-09-11
FISStafiEthereum0.39310.388522-1.16%0.3501-10.94%0.1129✓1.067402022-09-11
FLOWFlownative2.112.0862-1.13%2.116+0.28%0.0035✓1.281.1M2022-09-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5680.562072-1.04%0.595+4.75%0.0481✗1.0763k2022-09-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.21412.0889-1.02%12.594+3.11%0.0373✗0.4416.0M2022-09-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.465030.460275-1.02%0.45678-1.77%0.0153✓0.93392k2022-09-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.3251.3115-1.02%1.3145-0.79%0.0052✓0.911.1M2022-09-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.2338.8539-0.96%38.56-1.71%0.0196✓1.4411.7M2022-09-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.9617.7886-0.95%18.93+5.40%0.0571✗0.61384k2022-09-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.679509-0.95%0.686+0.00%0.0030✓0.78116k2022-09-11
BANDBandEthereum1.3721.3592-0.93%1.369-0.22%0.0019✓1.09385k2022-09-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0670.066377-0.93%0.0662-1.19%0.0127✓1.21608k2022-09-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.342.3188-0.91%2.33-0.43%0.0047✓1.14229k2022-09-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0482.0294-0.91%1.99-2.83%0.0331✓1.6260k2022-09-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.37543.3448-0.90%3.3066-2.04%0.0195✓0.9619k2022-09-11
IMXImmutableEthereum0.87190.864237-0.88%0.8663-0.64%0.0058✓0.99988k2022-09-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5160.511496-0.87%0.513-0.58%0.0053✓0.997,7812022-09-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.99515.8577-0.86%15.699-1.85%0.0195✓1.1418.7M2022-09-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5694.5299-0.86%4.501-1.49%0.0138✓0.90289k2022-09-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11730.116307-0.85%0.1167-0.51%0.0052✓1.032.5M2022-09-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3140.31136-0.84%0.2929-6.72%0.0696✓1.0292k2022-09-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.281686-0.81%0.285+0.35%0.0058✓0.72563k2022-09-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.97826.9219-0.81%7.1468+2.42%0.0307✗0.158.6M2022-09-11
STXStacksnative0.38460.38151-0.80%0.3903+1.48%0.0137✗1.09335k2022-09-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03820.037911-0.76%0.03781-1.02%0.0108✓0.9859k2022-09-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.28180.279672-0.76%0.3308+17.39%0.1614✗0.7984k2022-09-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023050.022876-0.75%0.02332+1.17%0.0123✗0.839.2M2022-09-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.04772.0323-0.75%2.0077-1.95%0.0194✓0.871.2M2022-09-11
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32732.31-0.74%2.3057-0.93%0.0109✓1.0913k2022-09-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0281.0205-0.73%1.024-0.39%0.0002✓0.442.8M2022-09-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7214.6125-0.73%14.56-1.09%0.0121✓1.02925k2022-09-11
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6746.6267-0.71%6.491-2.74%0.0310✓1.246.9M2022-09-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2723.2489-0.71%3.278+0.18%0.0048✓0.50653k2022-09-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15330.152251-0.68%0.1545+0.78%0.0064✓1.00361k2022-09-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5734.5418-0.68%4.6789+2.32%0.0255✗0.517.3M2022-09-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029110.002891-0.67%0.002904-0.24%0.0027✓0.851.2M2022-09-11
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0109740.0109-0.67%0.011314+3.10%0.0290✗1.006082022-09-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2242.2093-0.66%2.202-0.99%0.0124✓1.1033k2022-09-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0215750.021435-0.65%0.021887+1.45%0.0146✗0.7512k2022-09-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12740.12658-0.64%0.1254-1.57%0.0151✓0.69195k2022-09-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5520.548512-0.63%0.543-1.63%0.0191✓1.0877k2022-09-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.612.5935-0.63%2.63+0.77%0.0085✗0.66262k2022-09-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13910.138236-0.62%0.1378-0.93%0.0072✓0.482.9M2022-09-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.85e-76.81e-7-0.62%7.30e-7+6.57%0.0629✗0.832.3M2022-09-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0647310.064334-0.61%0.063703-1.59%0.0182✓1.001.3M2022-09-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.81370.808744-0.61%0.80376-1.22%0.0131✓0.83584k2022-09-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.5715.4753-0.61%15.7+0.83%0.0072✗0.871.7M2022-09-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7777.7302-0.60%7.702-0.96%0.0118✓0.9810.0M2022-09-11
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,670.431,660.40-0.60%1,656.91-0.81%0.0104✓1.003.4M2022-09-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09950.098905-0.60%0.0941-5.43%0.0569✓0.8613k2022-09-11
XVSVenusEthereum5.115.0798-0.59%5.1-0.20%0.0028✓0.81943k2022-09-11
XVGVergenative0.003220.003201-0.58%0.00381+18.32%0.1663✗0.94481k2022-09-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.9067.8603-0.58%8.03+1.57%0.0134✗0.9618.0M2022-09-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.415.3789-0.57%5.43+0.37%0.0060✗0.412.0M2022-09-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0243.0066-0.57%2.963-2.02%0.0265✓1.433.0M2022-09-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.74910.744803-0.57%0.7351-1.87%0.0244✓1.36210k2022-09-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.290350.28869-0.57%0.29146+0.38%0.0016✓0.9614k2022-09-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52490.521914-0.57%0.5157-1.75%0.0175✓0.66444k2022-09-11
API3Api3Ethereum1.7891.7789-0.56%1.838+2.74%0.0256✗0.85627k2022-09-11
ORCAOrcaSolana0.9020.896925-0.56%0.8885-1.50%0.0207✓1.3694k2022-09-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.34010.338188-0.56%0.3328-2.15%0.0248✓1.0582k2022-09-11
COMPCompoundEthereum53.0652.7642-0.56%55.25+4.13%0.0361✗1.209,0502022-09-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0425350.042298-0.56%0.042322-0.50%0.0037✓0.5123k2022-09-11
CBKCobakEthereum0.850180.845459-0.56%0.8518+0.19%0.0001✓0.8913k2022-09-11
KSMKusamaHydration52.3252.032-0.55%51.9-0.80%0.0102✓0.93363k2022-09-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.24461.2378-0.55%1.183-4.95%0.0575✓1.484.4M2022-09-11
XECeCashnative0.000044560.000044315-0.55%0.00004562+2.38%0.0225✗0.792.5M2022-09-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.028.9708-0.55%8.98-0.44%0.0026✓0.442.2M2022-09-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046140.04589-0.54%0.04664+1.08%0.0103✗0.7114k2022-09-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.626.5841-0.54%6.73+1.66%0.0184✗0.432.1M2022-09-11
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0525.0247-0.54%5.682+12.47%0.1126✗1.246.2M2022-09-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1147070.11409-0.54%0.114387-0.28%0.0043✓0.836.5M2022-09-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05980.059479-0.54%0.0611+2.17%0.0196✗0.8881k2022-09-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.179590.178628-0.54%0.17789-0.95%0.0118✓0.93268k2022-09-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash132.64131.934-0.53%130.35-1.73%0.0213✓1.114.4M2022-09-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013810.001373-0.53%0.001367-0.97%0.0099✓0.672.3M2022-09-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0241910.024063-0.53%0.023973-0.90%0.0041✓0.04454k2022-09-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03790.0377-0.53%0.0372-1.85%0.0195✓0.747,8252022-09-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42040.41818-0.53%0.4255+1.21%0.0088✗1.03209k2022-09-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.93891.9287-0.53%1.9241-0.76%0.0111✓1.0523k2022-09-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11450.113899-0.52%0.1156+0.96%0.0084✗0.77169k2022-09-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.05220.051927-0.52%0.052-0.38%0.0057✓0.86204k2022-09-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.20160.200546-0.52%0.2083+3.32%0.0310✗0.833.2M2022-09-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2964.2737-0.52%4.405+2.54%0.0267✗0.442.1M2022-09-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50590.503288-0.52%0.512+1.21%0.0081✗1.09384k2022-09-11
HIVEHivenative0.57790.57492-0.52%0.5792+0.22%0.0013✓0.74826k2022-09-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004130.004109-0.51%0.00419+1.45%0.0121✗0.90103k2022-09-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.071970.071601-0.51%0.07414+3.02%0.0338✗0.13389k2022-09-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.3262.9955-0.51%62.18-1.80%0.0209✓0.9513.5M2022-09-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44340.44114-0.51%0.4445+0.25%0.0018✓1.1381k2022-09-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0510.050741-0.51%0.0501-1.76%0.0205✓0.94546k2022-09-11
FTTFTXEthereum27.6927.5498-0.51%27.89+0.72%0.0042✓0.976.8M2022-09-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04790.047659-0.50%0.0497+3.76%0.0346✗0.88132k2022-09-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007860.00782-0.50%0.00844+7.38%0.0677✗1.03389k2022-09-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009380.009333-0.50%0.00944+0.64%0.0054✗0.723.3M2022-09-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06580.06547-0.50%0.0645-1.98%0.0216✓0.8081k2022-09-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36650.364685-0.50%0.3619-1.26%0.0162✓1.0271k2022-09-11
XEMNEMnative0.0457360.045511-0.49%0.046785+2.29%0.0211✗0.7928k2022-09-11
QNTQuantEthereum105.47104.951-0.49%108.82+3.18%0.0299✗0.763.4M2022-09-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32230.320724-0.49%0.3264+1.27%0.0104✗0.865.9M2022-09-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013280.000013215-0.49%0.00001299-2.18%0.0246✓0.90951k2022-09-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.069110.068778-0.48%0.07307+5.73%0.0528✗0.936022022-09-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,651.5221,547.57-0.48%21,831.72+0.83%0.0048✗1.00473.4M2022-09-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130660.013004-0.48%0.013193+0.97%0.0094✗0.61929k2022-09-11
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8134.7901-0.48%4.896+1.72%0.0136✗1.001.2M2022-09-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.16250.161728-0.48%0.168+3.38%0.0305✗0.921,0012022-09-11
ZECZcashZcash65.3365.02-0.47%64.27-1.62%0.0213✓1.171.2M2022-09-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.33511.3288-0.47%1.3029-2.41%0.0289✓1.111.1M2022-09-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5160.513586-0.47%0.515-0.19%0.0068✓1.154,5592022-09-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.466.4301-0.46%6.57+1.70%0.0179✗0.432.2M2022-09-11
ADACardanoCardano0.51240.510039-0.46%0.5101-0.45%0.0070✓0.8637.9M2022-09-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.06961.0647-0.46%1.0863+1.55%0.0134✗0.8034k2022-09-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354070.352466-0.45%0.35169-0.67%0.0101✓0.9534k2022-09-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.3344-0.45%4.354+0.00%0.0018✓0.322.2M2022-09-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.9510.901-0.45%11.23+2.56%0.0196✗1.22298k2022-09-11
STEEMSteemnative0.22930.228302-0.44%0.235+2.49%0.0219✗0.85503k2022-09-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,732.5021,638.19-0.43%21,663.60-0.32%0.0066✓0.9413k2022-09-11
MOVRMoonriverBase13.467613.4094-0.43%12.8866-4.31%0.0471✓0.8822k2022-09-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03940.039231-0.43%0.0393-0.25%0.0052✓0.8584k2022-09-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0215.9954-0.43%6.139+1.96%0.0202✗0.423.3M2022-09-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03411.0297-0.43%1.0275-0.64%0.0064✓0.512.7M2022-09-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.005930.005905-0.42%0.00661+11.47%0.1076✗0.63911k2022-09-11
PROPropyEthereum0.730.726945-0.42%0.72-1.37%0.0127✓0.3850k2022-09-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29490.293669-0.42%0.2923-0.88%0.0123✓0.922.7M2022-09-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.634.6108-0.42%4.64+0.22%0.0022✓0.501.3M2022-09-11
ZENHorizenBase16.8516.7802-0.41%16.47-2.26%0.0276✓1.0885k2022-09-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.14910.148482-0.41%0.1518+1.81%0.0142✗0.95117k2022-09-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18610.18533-0.41%0.183-1.67%0.0238✓1.341,5202022-09-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2221.2169-0.41%1.251+2.37%0.0198✗0.941.1M2022-09-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5141.5078-0.41%1.517+0.20%0.0030✓1.1071k2022-09-11
BTTCBTTC9.30e-79.26e-7-0.40%9.10e-7-2.15%0.0241✓0.771.7M2022-09-11
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.45134.4339-0.39%4.847+8.89%0.0765✗1.52129k2022-09-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016010.001595-0.39%0.001636+2.19%0.0201✗0.666,5532022-09-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1297.1016-0.38%7.173+0.62%0.0030✓0.844.3M2022-09-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,774.691,767.91-0.38%1,766.95-0.44%0.0114✓1.30591.2M2022-09-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.4246-0.38%1.42-0.70%0.0028✓-0.05124k2022-09-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10360.103212-0.37%0.1027-0.87%0.0108✓0.712,6892022-09-11
DASHDashDash48.7748.5878-0.37%48.35-0.86%0.0128✓0.95328k2022-09-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143720.143191-0.37%0.14382+0.07%0.0049✓1.12157k2022-09-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.4520.3747-0.37%20.69+1.17%0.0056✗1.1718.5M2022-09-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22080.219988-0.37%0.2303+4.30%0.0382✗0.9257k2022-09-11
KCSKuCoinnative9.7769.7405-0.36%9.755-0.21%0.0061✓0.921.2M2022-09-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025470.025379-0.36%0.0255+0.12%0.0069✓1.412,9582022-09-11
XMRMoneroMonero157.51156.9494-0.36%159.22+1.09%0.0060✗1.011.3M2022-09-11
DODODODOEthereum0.13360.133131-0.35%0.1333-0.22%0.0075✓1.061.4M2022-09-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021060.020987-0.35%0.0213+1.14%0.0087✗0.73223k2022-09-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.33230.331152-0.35%0.33139-0.27%0.0052✓0.72327k2022-09-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062280.006207-0.34%0.006309+1.30%0.0127✗0.4433k2022-09-11
SOLSolanaSolana35.0734.9516-0.34%35.01-0.17%0.0069✓1.0458.3M2022-09-11
XTZTezosTezos1.66641.661-0.33%1.6855+1.15%0.0061✗1.04241k2022-09-11
RARESuperRareEthereum0.210.209317-0.33%0.2106+0.29%0.0034✓1.15108k2022-09-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.00630.00628-0.32%0.006537+3.75%0.0343✗0.692,0442022-09-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6570.654892-0.32%0.649-1.22%0.0166✓0.92178k2022-09-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.8072.7981-0.32%2.782-0.89%0.0124✓0.80630k2022-09-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-79.07e-7-0.32%9.10e-7+0.00%0.0030✓0.7515k2022-09-11
NANOnanopayBase0.9383090.93538-0.31%0.927788-1.12%0.0146✓0.7849k2022-09-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.556410.554728-0.30%0.55506-0.24%0.0095✓1.2239k2022-09-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.98750.984578-0.30%0.9748-1.29%0.0194✓1.13899k2022-09-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075980.075757-0.29%0.07546-0.68%0.0131✓1.1125k2022-09-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.050659-0.28%0.0508+0.00%0.0054✓0.99234k2022-09-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.891.8848-0.28%1.9+0.53%0.0038✗0.5161k2022-09-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.680.678174-0.27%0.676-0.59%0.0126✓1.133.7M2022-09-11
DIADIAEthereum0.403660.402578-0.27%0.40526+0.40%0.0011✓0.9431k2022-09-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.22990.229288-0.27%0.2312+0.57%0.0020✓0.7767k2022-09-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9780.975472-0.26%0.974-0.41%0.0115✓1.211.5M2022-09-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3126760.311886-0.25%0.313787+0.36%0.0021✓0.99514k2022-09-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015480.001544-0.25%0.001558+0.65%0.0026✗0.77343k2022-09-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039780.039681-0.25%0.0396-0.45%0.0083✓0.762,2982022-09-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.171290.170877-0.24%0.17414+1.66%0.0047✗1.712952022-09-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.6611.657-0.24%1.655-0.36%0.0074✓0.7544k2022-09-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.23655.1126-0.22%54.454-1.42%0.0181✓0.73284k2022-09-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.4717.431-0.22%16.58-5.09%0.0557✓0.681.6M2022-09-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.09890.09868-0.22%0.0997+0.81%0.0029✗0.89336k2022-09-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013060.013031-0.22%0.01293-1.00%0.0137✓0.72228k2022-09-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.94554.9362-0.19%5.0627+2.37%0.0245✗0.09115k2022-09-11
TRXTRONTron0.0645860.064506-0.12%0.06419-0.61%0.0100✓0.62129k2022-09-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21160.211343-0.12%0.2141+1.18%0.0033✗1.16139k2022-09-11
AAVEAaveEthereum92.7492.6666-0.08%91.63-1.20%0.0230✓1.425.6M2022-09-11
GTGateEthereum4.3244.3221-0.05%4.3301+0.14%0.0044✓0.75702k2022-09-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13070.130652-0.04%0.127-2.83%0.0284✓0.0183k2022-09-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.