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2022-09-04 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0066
187 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.50%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
43.9%
in alpha space · 54.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.05%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.9219.037+0.62%18.31-3.22%0.0315✗0.711.7M2022-09-05
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.18030.18133+0.57%0.1628-9.71%0.1077✗0.0193k2022-09-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05620.056518+0.57%0.0559-0.53%0.0017✓0.8891k2022-09-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.289140.290404+0.44%0.28593-1.11%0.0044✗1.0512k2022-09-05
GTGateEthereum4.21214.2303+0.43%4.0071-4.87%0.0459✗0.78724k2022-09-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.006080.006103+0.38%0.00599-1.48%0.0120✗0.63977k2022-09-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021570.021641+0.33%0.02134-1.07%0.0059✗0.769.8M2022-09-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012860.012899+0.30%0.01272-1.09%0.0071✗0.65220k2022-09-05
CBKCobakEthereum0.869040.871608+0.30%0.85582-1.52%0.0076✗1.0113k2022-09-05
XMRMoneroMonero155.77156.1841+0.27%157.52+1.12%0.0195✓1.041.4M2022-09-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,579.041,582.91+0.25%1,618.01+2.47%0.0366✓1.39628.3M2022-09-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044810.044919+0.24%0.0442-1.36%0.0084✗0.7415k2022-09-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029430.00295+0.24%0.002935-0.27%0.0046✓0.921.1M2022-09-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.349150.349983+0.24%0.34064-2.44%0.0166✗0.9940k2022-09-05
METISMetisEthereum30.1130.1808+0.24%30.53+1.39%0.0314✓1.88241k2022-09-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6710.672473+0.22%0.662-1.34%0.0054✗0.98196k2022-09-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3570.35778+0.22%0.3741+4.79%0.0580✓1.26194k2022-09-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08280.082976+0.21%0.0818-1.21%0.0043✗0.9410k2022-09-05
GITCOINGITCOIN2.31662.3213+0.20%2.3084-0.35%0.0064✓1.1313k2022-09-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10290.103098+0.19%0.1025-0.39%0.0019✓0.732,7842022-09-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037740.03781+0.18%0.03742-0.85%0.0017✓0.822,6312022-09-05
DIADIAEthereum0.386770.387481+0.18%0.38052-1.62%0.0078✗0.9834k2022-09-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.05160.051691+0.18%0.0508-1.55%0.0076✗0.92204k2022-09-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.073760.073884+0.17%0.07261-1.56%0.0050✗1.1725k2022-09-05
AAVEAaveEthereum88.8588.9973+0.17%91.3+2.76%0.0419✓1.555.2M2022-09-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207140.020748+0.16%0.020653-0.29%0.0040✓0.8112k2022-09-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.0119.0403+0.16%19.44+2.26%0.0343✓1.2820.1M2022-09-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001520.001522+0.16%0.001468-3.42%0.0291✗0.698,3412022-09-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,865.8019,896.26+0.15%19,866.30+0.00%0.0084✓0.9413k2022-09-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.90991.9128+0.15%1.8663-2.28%0.0131✗1.0927k2022-09-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022260.022293+0.15%0.02235+0.40%0.0112✓0.82459k2022-09-05
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.91e-7+0.14%8.90e-7+0.00%0.0070✓0.8015k2022-09-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,004.7320,032.97+0.14%19,794.58-1.05%0.0014✓1.00480.9M2022-09-05
TRXTRONTron0.0635470.063633+0.13%0.062937-0.96%0.0045✗0.62123k2022-09-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6730.673876+0.13%0.663-1.49%0.0072✗0.86199k2022-09-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05770.05777+0.12%0.0571-1.04%0.0017✗0.9497k2022-09-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2110.211242+0.11%0.2097-0.62%0.0032✓1.0058k2022-09-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.553890.554462+0.10%0.55546+0.28%0.0157✓1.3239k2022-09-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.747.747+0.09%7.53-2.71%0.0169✗1.09317k2022-09-05
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97260.973409+0.08%0.9577-1.53%0.0034✗1.22841k2022-09-05
MANADecentralandEthereum0.806570.80724+0.08%0.7895-2.12%0.0130✗0.87519k2022-09-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46950.46985+0.07%0.4722+0.58%0.0171✓1.15384k2022-09-05
KSMKusamaHydration50.6150.6394+0.06%51.33+1.42%0.0240✓0.99459k2022-09-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10450.104557+0.05%0.104-0.48%0.0061✓1.082.8M2022-09-05
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015630.001564+0.05%0.001564+0.06%0.0100✓0.93413k2022-09-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2690.269133+0.05%0.271+0.74%0.0148✓0.75627k2022-09-05
QNTQuantEthereum95.2995.3264+0.04%93.14-2.26%0.0142✗0.863.5M2022-09-05
SOLSolanaSolana32.1732.1823+0.04%32.18+0.03%0.0120✓1.1461.7M2022-09-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03650.036513+0.04%0.0367+0.55%0.0149✓0.9266k2022-09-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97860.978898+0.03%0.9784-0.02%0.0047✓0.503.1M2022-09-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5731.5735+0.03%1.573+0.00%0.0122✓1.1856k2022-09-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.0570.057017+0.03%0.0558-2.11%0.0097✗1.12220k2022-09-05
HIVEHivenative0.54390.544007+0.02%0.5388-0.94%0.0008✗0.83953k2022-09-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20410.204139+0.02%0.209+2.40%0.0377✓1.34140k2022-09-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5280.528099+0.02%0.522-1.14%0.0004✗1.0768k2022-09-05
ZENHorizenBase16.4516.4527+0.02%16.1-2.13%0.0099✗1.11107k2022-09-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1661.1661+0.01%1.17+0.34%0.0136✓0.971.3M2022-09-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.2565.2562+0.00%5.0514-3.89%0.0387✗0.10115k2022-09-05
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.981.98-0.00%1.97-0.51%0.0003✗0.5175k2022-09-05
XVSVenusEthereum4.914.9099-0.00%4.93+0.41%0.0131✗0.851.3M2022-09-05
FLOWFlownative1.951.9499-0.00%1.919-1.59%0.0016✓1.361.3M2022-09-05
STEEMSteemnative0.22510.225086-0.01%0.222-1.38%0.0039✓0.94468k2022-09-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.50.499952-0.01%0.487-2.60%0.0134✓1.223,8602022-09-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10330.10329-0.01%0.104+0.68%0.0160✗0.86150k2022-09-05
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.078140.078132-0.01%0.07583-2.96%0.0294✓0.05397k2022-09-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06250.062493-0.01%0.0625+0.00%0.0137✗1.28713k2022-09-05
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4240.423926-0.02%–pending––1.048,1172022-09-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012840.000012838-0.02%0.00001261-1.79%0.0078✓0.96861k2022-09-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.27353.2606-0.02%53.71+0.82%0.0164✗0.76302k2022-09-05
DODODODOEthereum0.130.12997-0.02%0.1279-1.62%0.0051✓1.041.5M2022-09-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.14370.143662-0.03%0.1448+0.77%0.0186✗1.0199k2022-09-05
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17820.178127-0.04%0.1872+5.05%0.0642✗1.382,0092022-09-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.05881.0584-0.04%1.0444-1.36%0.0043✓0.8641k2022-09-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36740.367244-0.04%0.355-3.38%0.0228✓1.0575k2022-09-05
ZECZcashZcash63.863.7708-0.05%63.41-0.61%0.0066✗1.161.3M2022-09-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.15230.15223-0.05%0.1562+2.56%0.0368✗1.051,4472022-09-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9812.9795-0.05%3.005+0.81%0.0247✗1.533.6M2022-09-05
XTZTezosTezos1.55611.5553-0.05%1.546-0.65%0.0059✗1.12253k2022-09-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007930.007926-0.05%0.00785-1.01%0.0023✗1.13428k2022-09-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.1557.1512-0.05%7.382+3.17%0.0429✗1.0517.4M2022-09-05
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.155180.155098-0.05%0.158+1.82%0.0400✗2.033442022-09-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03640.03638-0.06%0.0367+0.82%0.0169✗0.788,1752022-09-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059790.005976-0.07%0.00602+0.68%0.0148✗0.702,1662022-09-05
OPTIMOptimism1.1741.1732-0.07%1.199+2.13%0.0396✗1.693.0M2022-09-05
XYMSymbolnative0.0421850.042155-0.07%0.041483-1.66%0.0107✓0.5125k2022-09-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008920.008914-0.07%0.00891-0.11%0.0075✗0.744.7M2022-09-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0383.0357-0.07%2.972-2.17%0.0157✓0.53650k2022-09-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131720.013162-0.08%0.013125-0.36%0.0041✗0.65929k2022-09-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31570.315431-0.09%0.3145-0.38%0.0086✗1.0999k2022-09-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13860.138473-0.09%0.1447+4.40%0.0494✗0.513.4M2022-09-05
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20460.204406-0.09%0.2046+0.00%0.0148✗1.32111k2022-09-05
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31250.312191-0.10%0.307-1.76%0.0045✓1.17111k2022-09-05
QTUMQtumQtum3.23673.2333-0.11%3.3484+3.45%0.0457✗1.0119k2022-09-05
KCSKuCoinnative9.3949.3837-0.11%9.414+0.21%0.0134✗0.971.2M2022-09-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4981.4963-0.11%1.465-2.20%0.0088✓1.1784k2022-09-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6870.686213-0.11%0.676-1.60%0.0022✓1.214.0M2022-09-05
GMTGMTEthereum0.70710.706241-0.12%0.6925-2.06%0.0049✓1.40210k2022-09-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5340.533341-0.12%0.533-0.19%0.0114✗1.1476k2022-09-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29080.290438-0.12%0.2822-2.96%0.0187✓0.952.8M2022-09-05
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7984.7919-0.13%4.75-1.00%0.0054✗1.346.8M2022-09-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50430.503647-0.13%0.5193+2.97%0.0387✗0.77496k2022-09-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.6866.6769-0.14%6.734+0.72%0.0174✗0.844.4M2022-09-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12290.122724-0.14%0.1229+0.00%0.0125✗1.0525k2022-09-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14620.145986-0.15%0.1398-4.38%0.0321✓1.06409k2022-09-05
BANDBandEthereum1.3361.334-0.15%1.307-2.17%0.0079✓1.19449k2022-09-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1063240.106165-0.15%0.10507-1.18%0.0016✓0.836.8M2022-09-05
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43490.434242-0.15%0.4308-0.94%0.0042✗1.1591k2022-09-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.269.2457-0.15%9.21-0.54%0.0014✓0.502.0M2022-09-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.4632.4097-0.15%39.67+22.21%0.2183✗1.539.5M2022-09-05
UMAUMAEthereum2.7712.7666-0.16%2.722-1.77%0.0069✓0.88682k2022-09-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2990080.298537-0.16%0.298688-0.11%0.0120✗1.08514k2022-09-05
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4886.4775-0.16%6.576+1.36%0.0289✗1.316.9M2022-09-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31270.312189-0.16%0.3046-2.59%0.0152✓0.905.8M2022-09-05
XEMNEMnative0.0441320.044057-0.17%0.043718-0.94%0.0012✓0.8429k2022-09-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064550.006444-0.17%0.00635-1.63%0.0100✓0.4444k2022-09-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.09580.095635-0.17%0.0939-1.98%0.0081✓0.97375k2022-09-05
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.004013-0.17%0.00402+0.00%0.0122✗0.99127k2022-09-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.5410.521-0.18%10.8+2.47%0.0393✗1.24277k2022-09-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.09251.0904-0.19%1.1527+5.51%0.0718✗1.534.4M2022-09-05
FORTFortaEthereum0.23250.232039-0.20%0.2337+0.52%0.0166✗0.9067k2022-09-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.23990.239422-0.20%0.2373-1.08%0.0012✓0.9681k2022-09-05
XVGVergenative0.003110.003104-0.21%0.00309-0.64%0.0064✗1.02486k2022-09-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3917.353-0.21%17.32-0.40%0.0053✗0.69503k2022-09-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0632180.063082-0.21%0.062695-0.83%0.0051✗1.071.3M2022-09-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.9360.7961-0.22%60.36-0.94%0.0033✗0.9912.7M2022-09-05
ADACardanoCardano0.50350.502374-0.22%0.4987-0.95%0.0024✗0.9339.1M2022-09-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.884.8689-0.23%4.72-3.28%0.0254✓0.541.3M2022-09-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.138520.138206-0.23%0.13844-0.06%0.0145✗1.21183k2022-09-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.351.3468-0.23%1.37+1.48%0.0268✗0.9295k2022-09-05
FTTFTXEthereum26.426.3375-0.24%26.62+0.83%0.0209✗0.976.8M2022-09-05
DASHDashDash47.5947.4766-0.24%47.59+0.00%0.0127✗0.98419k2022-09-05
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.78e-7-0.24%8.90e-7+1.14%0.0222✗0.811.7M2022-09-05
NANOnanopayBase0.9006250.898471-0.24%0.898557-0.23%0.0089✗0.8454k2022-09-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05060.050473-0.25%0.0496-1.98%0.0069✓1.00739k2022-09-05
IMXImmutableEthereum0.84530.843127-0.26%0.8473+0.24%0.0159✗1.041.4M2022-09-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.15821.1551-0.26%1.2398+7.05%0.0835✗1.21949k2022-09-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1212.1154-0.26%2.117-0.19%0.0130✗1.1538k2022-09-05
ELAElastosEthereum1.7621.7573-0.27%1.752-0.57%0.0066✗0.91108k2022-09-05
COMPCompoundEthereum48.4748.338-0.27%48.36-0.23%0.0139✗1.279,0502022-09-05
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025020.024952-0.27%0.02511+0.36%0.0198✗1.283,2982022-09-05
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9820.979172-0.29%1.056+7.54%0.0794✗0.372.9M2022-09-05
API3Api3Ethereum1.7291.7239-0.30%1.69-2.26%0.0100✓0.93540k2022-09-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.12331.1199-0.30%1.1375+1.26%0.0250✗0.891.1M2022-09-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04440.044262-0.31%0.0446+0.45%0.0180✗0.98132k2022-09-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.68651.6813-0.31%1.6684-1.07%0.0027✓0.981.1M2022-09-05
MOVRMoonriverBase13.146113.1039-0.32%12.9054-1.83%0.0048✓0.9932k2022-09-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064730.064515-0.33%0.06402-1.10%0.0038✗1.081.9M2022-09-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.485-0.34%1.45-2.68%0.0253✓-0.13128k2022-09-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.961.9534-0.34%1.916-2.24%0.0015✓1.6974k2022-09-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.36117.9485-0.35%125.75+6.24%0.0762✗1.154.2M2022-09-05
RADRadworksEthereum2.312.3019-0.35%2.31+0.00%0.0115✗0.76262k2022-09-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.414.3941-0.36%4.31-2.27%0.0144✓0.472.3M2022-09-05
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067080.06683-0.37%0.06802+1.40%0.0273✗0.917702022-09-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7213.6682-0.38%14.53+5.90%0.0721✗1.041.7M2022-09-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3757.3465-0.39%7.368-0.09%0.0140✗1.0510.0M2022-09-05
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0451.0409-0.39%1.044-0.10%0.0163✗1.271.5M2022-09-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.85.776-0.41%5.7-1.72%0.0085✓0.452.3M2022-09-05
STXStacksnative0.36780.366243-0.42%0.3681+0.08%0.0173✗1.16335k2022-09-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.5974.5759-0.46%4.501-2.09%0.0140✓0.242.4M2022-09-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.360770.359113-0.46%0.35378-1.94%0.0065✓0.80332k2022-09-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.2656.2359-0.46%6.141-1.98%0.0063✓0.857.6M2022-09-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.6636.6315-0.47%6.361-4.53%0.0370✓0.444.4M2022-09-05
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84850.844114-0.52%0.8257-2.69%0.0063✓1.49116k2022-09-05
XECeCashnative0.000044320.000044089-0.52%0.00004372-1.35%0.0005✓0.841.8M2022-09-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1740.173079-0.53%0.173-0.57%0.0099✗0.98268k2022-09-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.353820.351942-0.53%0.35-1.08%0.0045✓0.95392k2022-09-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5614.481-0.54%14.28-1.92%0.0024✓1.101.0M2022-09-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.67074.6447-0.56%4.9518+6.02%0.0703✗0.604.7M2022-09-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035850.035643-0.58%0.03562-0.64%0.0101✗1.0151k2022-09-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,437.499,382.76-0.58%9,493.61+0.59%0.0266✗1.405.6M2022-09-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.312.2963-0.59%2.34+1.30%0.0311✗1.16217k2022-09-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.736.6897-0.60%6.64-1.34%0.0026✓0.462.2M2022-09-05
PROPropyEthereum0.730.725595-0.60%0.72-1.37%0.0042✓0.3369k2022-09-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0256740.025518-0.61%0.025549-0.49%0.0024✓0.12315k2022-09-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013390.001331-0.62%0.00133-0.65%0.0082✗0.802.4M2022-09-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.44227.3954-0.63%7.3781-0.86%0.0014✓0.357.6M2022-09-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.816.7643-0.67%6.72-1.32%0.0015✓0.482.1M2022-09-05
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,442.741,432.81-0.69%1,477.28+2.39%0.0411✗1.003.3M2022-09-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.01786.9684-0.70%7.2089+2.72%0.0363✗0.236.5M2022-09-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.04612.9508-0.73%12.633-3.17%0.0129✓1.1312.3M2022-09-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.21340.211843-0.73%0.2073-2.86%0.0128✓0.843.1M2022-09-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0534.0213-0.78%4.075+0.54%0.0235✗0.97259k2022-09-05
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.13625.0911-0.88%4.7997-6.55%0.0484✓1.00141k2022-09-05
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0108660.010761-0.97%0.010516-3.22%0.0125✓1.005602022-09-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12130.119822-1.22%0.1303+7.42%0.0912✗0.70208k2022-09-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.53913.3682-1.26%13.008-3.92%0.0217✓0.5315.8M2022-09-05
LUNATerraTerra 20.000253770.000250424-1.32%0.00040493+59.57%0.4887✗0.78640k2022-09-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.24e-79.10e-7-1.54%8.55e-7-7.51%0.0534✓0.861.7M2022-09-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.