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2022-09-04 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0144
187 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.94%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
43.3%
in alpha space · 65.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.05%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000253770.000249023-1.87%0.00040493+59.57%0.4944✗0.78640k2022-09-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.2656.1745-1.45%6.141-1.98%0.0036✓0.857.6M2022-09-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.24e-79.12e-7-1.38%8.55e-7-7.51%0.0551✓0.861.7M2022-09-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.44227.344-1.32%7.3781-0.86%0.0084✓0.357.6M2022-09-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.53913.3726-1.23%13.008-3.92%0.0220✓0.5315.8M2022-09-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,437.499,326.10-1.18%9,493.61+0.59%0.0326✗1.405.6M2022-09-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.01786.9407-1.10%7.2089+2.72%0.0403✗0.236.5M2022-09-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.312.2871-0.99%2.34+1.30%0.0351✗1.16217k2022-09-05
OPTIMOptimism1.1741.1624-0.98%1.199+2.13%0.0488✗1.693.0M2022-09-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.67074.6257-0.96%4.9518+6.02%0.0744✗0.604.7M2022-09-05
BANDBandEthereum1.3361.3233-0.95%1.307-2.17%0.0001✓1.19449k2022-09-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.747.6694-0.91%7.53-2.71%0.0068✓1.09317k2022-09-05
GITCOINGITCOIN2.31662.2963-0.87%2.3084-0.35%0.0172✗1.1313k2022-09-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14620.144926-0.87%0.1398-4.38%0.0248✓1.06409k2022-09-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0383.0117-0.86%2.972-2.17%0.0077✓0.53650k2022-09-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31570.313077-0.83%0.3145-0.38%0.0161✗1.0999k2022-09-05
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9820.973872-0.83%1.056+7.54%0.0848✗0.372.9M2022-09-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10450.103648-0.82%0.104-0.48%0.0148✗1.082.8M2022-09-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6730.667552-0.81%0.663-1.49%0.0023✓0.86199k2022-09-05
METISMetisEthereum30.1129.8685-0.80%30.53+1.39%0.0418✗1.88241k2022-09-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5614.4455-0.79%14.28-1.92%0.0001✓1.101.0M2022-09-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.4632.2051-0.79%39.67+22.21%0.2246✗1.539.5M2022-09-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3917.2551-0.78%17.32-0.40%0.0110✗0.69503k2022-09-05
FLOWFlownative1.951.935-0.77%1.919-1.59%0.0061✓1.361.3M2022-09-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0534.022-0.77%4.075+0.54%0.0234✗0.97259k2022-09-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5731.561-0.76%1.573+0.00%0.0202✗1.1856k2022-09-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06250.062027-0.76%0.0625+0.00%0.0211✗1.28713k2022-09-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12130.120385-0.75%0.1303+7.42%0.0865✗0.70208k2022-09-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.961.9456-0.74%1.916-2.24%0.0025✓1.6974k2022-09-05
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4886.4405-0.73%6.576+1.36%0.0346✗1.316.9M2022-09-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3757.3218-0.72%7.368-0.09%0.0173✗1.0510.0M2022-09-05
IMXImmutableEthereum0.84530.83928-0.71%0.8473+0.24%0.0204✗1.041.4M2022-09-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13860.137617-0.71%0.1447+4.40%0.0556✗0.513.4M2022-09-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.12331.1154-0.71%1.1375+1.26%0.0291✗0.891.1M2022-09-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7213.6244-0.70%14.53+5.90%0.0753✗1.041.7M2022-09-05
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.13625.1004-0.70%4.7997-6.55%0.0502✓1.00141k2022-09-05
QTUMQtumQtum3.23673.2142-0.70%3.3484+3.45%0.0516✗1.0119k2022-09-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035850.035601-0.70%0.03562-0.64%0.0113✗1.0151k2022-09-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1212.1067-0.67%2.117-0.19%0.0170✗1.1538k2022-09-05
XVGVergenative0.003110.003089-0.67%0.00309-0.64%0.0111✗1.02486k2022-09-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0256740.025502-0.67%0.025549-0.49%0.0031✓0.12315k2022-09-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.6636.6185-0.67%6.361-4.53%0.0350✓0.444.4M2022-09-05
STXStacksnative0.36780.365341-0.67%0.3681+0.08%0.0198✗1.16335k2022-09-05
KSMKusamaHydration50.6150.273-0.67%51.33+1.42%0.0312✗0.99459k2022-09-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.85.7617-0.66%5.7-1.72%0.0060✓0.452.3M2022-09-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064730.064306-0.66%0.06402-1.10%0.0070✗1.081.9M2022-09-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029430.002924-0.64%0.002935-0.27%0.0134✗0.921.1M2022-09-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.269.2016-0.63%9.21-0.54%0.0061✓0.502.0M2022-09-05
XECeCashnative0.000044320.000044045-0.62%0.00004372-1.35%0.0015✓0.841.8M2022-09-05
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.003995-0.61%0.00402+0.00%0.0166✗0.99127k2022-09-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.351.3417-0.61%1.37+1.48%0.0306✗0.9295k2022-09-05
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4240.42143-0.61%–pending––1.048,1172022-09-05
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,442.741,434.07-0.60%1,477.28+2.39%0.0402✗1.003.3M2022-09-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5340.5308-0.60%0.533-0.19%0.0162✗1.1476k2022-09-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.289140.287408-0.60%0.28593-1.11%0.0059✓1.0512k2022-09-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50430.501286-0.60%0.5193+2.97%0.0434✗0.77496k2022-09-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0632180.062842-0.59%0.062695-0.83%0.0090✗1.071.3M2022-09-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.816.7695-0.59%6.72-1.32%0.0023✓0.482.1M2022-09-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.5974.5697-0.59%4.501-2.09%0.0126✓0.242.4M2022-09-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207140.020592-0.59%0.020653-0.29%0.0115✗0.8112k2022-09-05
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84850.843605-0.58%0.8257-2.69%0.0057✓1.49116k2022-09-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9812.9639-0.57%3.005+0.81%0.0300✗1.533.6M2022-09-05
MANADecentralandEthereum0.806570.801971-0.57%0.7895-2.12%0.0064✓0.87519k2022-09-05
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0108660.010804-0.57%0.010516-3.22%0.0165✓1.005602022-09-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.1557.1144-0.57%7.382+3.17%0.0480✗1.0517.4M2022-09-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.414.3854-0.56%4.31-2.27%0.0124✓0.472.3M2022-09-05
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.078140.077711-0.55%0.07583-2.96%0.0240✓0.05397k2022-09-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.360770.358791-0.55%0.35378-1.94%0.0056✓0.80332k2022-09-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007930.007887-0.55%0.00785-1.01%0.0073✗1.13428k2022-09-05
RADRadworksEthereum2.312.2974-0.54%2.31+0.00%0.0135✗0.76262k2022-09-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.90991.8996-0.54%1.8663-2.28%0.0062✓1.0927k2022-09-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.482-0.54%1.45-2.68%0.0233✓-0.13128k2022-09-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.736.6941-0.53%6.64-1.34%0.0032✓0.462.2M2022-09-05
XVSVenusEthereum4.914.8839-0.53%4.93+0.41%0.0184✗0.851.3M2022-09-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.05160.051327-0.53%0.0508-1.55%0.0006✓0.92204k2022-09-05
CBKCobakEthereum0.869040.864453-0.53%0.85582-1.52%0.0006✓1.0113k2022-09-05
API3Api3Ethereum1.7291.7199-0.53%1.69-2.26%0.0078✓0.93540k2022-09-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.9360.6143-0.52%60.36-0.94%0.0063✗0.9912.7M2022-09-05
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067080.066732-0.52%0.06802+1.40%0.0287✗0.917702022-09-05
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43490.43265-0.52%0.4308-0.94%0.0078✗1.1591k2022-09-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.21340.212296-0.52%0.2073-2.86%0.0149✓0.843.1M2022-09-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044810.04458-0.51%0.0442-1.36%0.0008✓0.7415k2022-09-05
ADACardanoCardano0.50350.500951-0.51%0.4987-0.95%0.0053✗0.9339.1M2022-09-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36740.365572-0.50%0.355-3.38%0.0182✓1.0575k2022-09-05
ZECZcashZcash63.863.4849-0.49%63.41-0.61%0.0111✗1.161.3M2022-09-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03640.036221-0.49%0.0367+0.82%0.0213✗0.788,1752022-09-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001520.001513-0.49%0.001468-3.42%0.0227✓0.698,3412022-09-05
ZENHorizenBase16.4516.3699-0.49%16.1-2.13%0.0049✓1.11107k2022-09-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.04612.9826-0.49%12.633-3.17%0.0154✓1.1312.3M2022-09-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021570.021465-0.49%0.02134-1.07%0.0022✓0.769.8M2022-09-05
XEMNEMnative0.0441320.043918-0.49%0.043718-0.94%0.0043✓0.8429k2022-09-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013390.001333-0.48%0.00133-0.65%0.0068✗0.802.4M2022-09-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31270.311191-0.48%0.3046-2.59%0.0120✓0.905.8M2022-09-05
HIVEHivenative0.54390.541286-0.48%0.5388-0.94%0.0042✓0.83953k2022-09-05
XYMSymbolnative0.0421850.041983-0.48%0.041483-1.66%0.0066✓0.5125k2022-09-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1740.173168-0.48%0.173-0.57%0.0094✗0.98268k2022-09-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05060.050359-0.48%0.0496-1.98%0.0046✓1.00739k2022-09-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022260.022156-0.47%0.02235+0.40%0.0174✗0.82459k2022-09-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131720.013111-0.47%0.013125-0.36%0.0080✗0.65929k2022-09-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10290.102421-0.47%0.1025-0.39%0.0085✗0.732,7842022-09-05
FTTFTXEthereum26.426.2789-0.46%26.62+0.83%0.0232✗0.976.8M2022-09-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.884.8578-0.46%4.72-3.28%0.0231✓0.541.3M2022-09-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04440.044198-0.45%0.0446+0.45%0.0194✗0.98132k2022-09-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4981.4912-0.45%1.465-2.20%0.0054✓1.1784k2022-09-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5280.525636-0.45%0.522-1.14%0.0043✓1.0768k2022-09-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12290.12235-0.45%0.1229+0.00%0.0155✗1.0525k2022-09-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.09251.0877-0.44%1.1527+5.51%0.0743✗1.534.4M2022-09-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008920.008881-0.44%0.00891-0.11%0.0111✗0.744.7M2022-09-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1063240.10586-0.44%0.10507-1.18%0.0013✓0.836.8M2022-09-05
COMPCompoundEthereum48.4748.2585-0.44%48.36-0.23%0.0156✗1.279,0502022-09-05
MOVRMoonriverBase13.146113.0894-0.43%12.9054-1.83%0.0037✓0.9932k2022-09-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.353820.352295-0.43%0.35-1.08%0.0035✓0.95392k2022-09-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064550.006427-0.43%0.00635-1.63%0.0074✓0.4444k2022-09-05
ELAElastosEthereum1.7621.7545-0.43%1.752-0.57%0.0082✗0.91108k2022-09-05
PROPropyEthereum0.730.726929-0.42%0.72-1.37%0.0061✓0.3369k2022-09-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3570.355502-0.42%0.3741+4.79%0.0643✗1.26194k2022-09-05
QNTQuantEthereum95.2994.8928-0.42%93.14-2.26%0.0096✓0.863.5M2022-09-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.349150.347701-0.42%0.34064-2.44%0.0101✓0.9940k2022-09-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.553890.551602-0.41%0.55546+0.28%0.0209✗1.3239k2022-09-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012840.000012788-0.41%0.00001261-1.79%0.0039✓0.96861k2022-09-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05770.057468-0.40%0.0571-1.04%0.0035✓0.9497k2022-09-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.14370.143126-0.40%0.1448+0.77%0.0223✗1.0199k2022-09-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.36117.8873-0.40%125.75+6.24%0.0767✗1.154.2M2022-09-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.15230.151694-0.40%0.1562+2.56%0.0403✗1.051,4472022-09-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29080.289645-0.40%0.2822-2.96%0.0160✓0.952.8M2022-09-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.6866.6595-0.40%6.734+0.72%0.0200✗0.844.4M2022-09-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10330.102892-0.40%0.104+0.68%0.0198✗0.86150k2022-09-05
DASHDashDash47.5947.4024-0.39%47.59+0.00%0.0142✗0.98419k2022-09-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2690.267961-0.39%0.271+0.74%0.0192✗0.75627k2022-09-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46950.467692-0.39%0.4722+0.58%0.0217✗1.15384k2022-09-05
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.77e-7-0.38%8.90e-7+1.14%0.0237✗0.811.7M2022-09-05
STEEMSteemnative0.22510.224245-0.38%0.222-1.38%0.0002✓0.94468k2022-09-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.68651.6801-0.38%1.6684-1.07%0.0034✓0.981.1M2022-09-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.05881.0548-0.38%1.0444-1.36%0.0009✓0.8641k2022-09-05
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17820.177529-0.38%0.1872+5.05%0.0676✗1.382,0092022-09-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97860.974916-0.38%0.9784-0.02%0.0088✗0.503.1M2022-09-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059790.005957-0.37%0.00602+0.68%0.0179✗0.702,1662022-09-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08280.082491-0.37%0.0818-1.21%0.0016✓0.9410k2022-09-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.15821.1539-0.37%1.2398+7.05%0.0846✗1.21949k2022-09-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.138520.138014-0.36%0.13844-0.06%0.0159✗1.21183k2022-09-05
GMTGMTEthereum0.70710.704532-0.36%0.6925-2.06%0.0025✓1.40210k2022-09-05
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025020.024931-0.35%0.02511+0.36%0.0206✗1.283,2982022-09-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6710.668671-0.35%0.662-1.34%0.0003✓0.98196k2022-09-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,004.7319,935.61-0.35%19,794.58-1.05%0.0035✗1.00480.9M2022-09-05
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20460.203905-0.34%0.2046+0.00%0.0173✗1.32111k2022-09-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05620.05601-0.34%0.0559-0.53%0.0073✗0.8891k2022-09-05
UMAUMAEthereum2.7712.7617-0.34%2.722-1.77%0.0051✓0.88682k2022-09-05
KCSKuCoinnative9.3949.3626-0.33%9.414+0.21%0.0157✗0.971.2M2022-09-05
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7984.782-0.33%4.75-1.00%0.0075✗1.346.8M2022-09-05
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0451.0415-0.33%1.044-0.10%0.0157✗1.271.5M2022-09-05
DODODODOEthereum0.130.129571-0.33%0.1279-1.62%0.0020✓1.041.5M2022-09-05
DIADIAEthereum0.386770.385504-0.33%0.38052-1.62%0.0027✓0.9834k2022-09-05
XMRMoneroMonero155.77155.2621-0.33%157.52+1.12%0.0254✗1.041.4M2022-09-05
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015630.001558-0.33%0.001564+0.06%0.0137✗0.93413k2022-09-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,579.041,573.99-0.32%1,618.01+2.47%0.0423✗1.39628.3M2022-09-05
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31250.311525-0.31%0.307-1.76%0.0023✓1.17111k2022-09-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.006080.006061-0.30%0.00599-1.48%0.0052✓0.63977k2022-09-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.5410.5079-0.30%10.8+2.47%0.0406✗1.24277k2022-09-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1661.1626-0.29%1.17+0.34%0.0166✗0.971.3M2022-09-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.073760.073545-0.29%0.07261-1.56%0.0004✓1.1725k2022-09-05
NANOnanopayBase0.9006250.898052-0.29%0.898557-0.23%0.0094✗0.8454k2022-09-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.50.498573-0.29%0.487-2.60%0.0106✓1.223,8602022-09-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6870.685055-0.28%0.676-1.60%0.0005✓1.214.0M2022-09-05
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.87e-7-0.28%8.90e-7+0.00%0.0112✗0.8015k2022-09-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.23990.239224-0.28%0.2373-1.08%0.0020✓0.9681k2022-09-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.2565.2412-0.28%5.0514-3.89%0.0358✓0.10115k2022-09-05
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97260.969947-0.27%0.9577-1.53%0.0001✓1.22841k2022-09-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03650.036403-0.27%0.0367+0.55%0.0179✗0.9266k2022-09-05
XTZTezosTezos1.55611.552-0.26%1.546-0.65%0.0080✗1.12253k2022-09-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037740.03764-0.26%0.03742-0.85%0.0028✗0.822,6312022-09-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2110.210492-0.24%0.2097-0.62%0.0068✗1.0058k2022-09-05
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.155180.154815-0.24%0.158+1.82%0.0418✗2.033442022-09-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.0570.056873-0.22%0.0558-2.11%0.0072✓1.12220k2022-09-05
FORTFortaEthereum0.23250.231986-0.22%0.2337+0.52%0.0169✗0.9067k2022-09-05
SOLSolanaSolana32.1732.1002-0.22%32.18+0.03%0.0145✗1.1461.7M2022-09-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,865.8019,823.27-0.21%19,866.30+0.00%0.0121✗0.9413k2022-09-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.09580.095601-0.21%0.0939-1.98%0.0078✓0.97375k2022-09-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.27353.1628-0.21%53.71+0.82%0.0182✗0.76302k2022-09-05
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.981.9761-0.20%1.97-0.51%0.0023✗0.5175k2022-09-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.0118.9738-0.19%19.44+2.26%0.0378✗1.2820.1M2022-09-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2990080.298483-0.18%0.298688-0.11%0.0121✗1.08514k2022-09-05
TRXTRONTron0.0635470.063459-0.14%0.062937-0.96%0.0018✓0.62123k2022-09-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012860.012847-0.10%0.01272-1.09%0.0030✓0.65220k2022-09-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20410.203957-0.07%0.209+2.40%0.0386✗1.34140k2022-09-05
AAVEAaveEthereum88.8588.7925-0.06%91.3+2.76%0.0442✗1.555.2M2022-09-05
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.18030.180214-0.05%0.1628-9.71%0.1015✓0.0193k2022-09-05
GTGateEthereum4.21214.2119-0.01%4.0071-4.87%0.0416✓0.78724k2022-09-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.9218.9828+0.33%18.31-3.22%0.0286✗0.711.7M2022-09-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.